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Reinforcement Learning for Optimizing Can-Order Policy with the Rolling Horizon Method 滚动地平线法优化Can-Order策略的强化学习
Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070350
J. Noh
This study presents a novel approach to a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model for periodic inventory management that combines reinforcement learning algorithms. The rolling horizon method (RHM) is a multi-period optimization approach that is applied to handle new information in updated markets. The RHM faces a limitation in easily determining a prediction horizon; to overcome this, a dynamic RHM is developed in which RL algorithms optimize the prediction horizon of the RHM. The state vector consisted of the order-up-to-level, real demand, total cost, holding cost, and backorder cost, whereas the action included the prediction horizon and forecasting demand for the next time step. The performance of the proposed model was validated through two experiments conducted in cases with stable and uncertain demand patterns. The results showed the effectiveness of the proposed approach in inventory management, particularly when the proximal policy optimization (PPO) algorithm was used for training compared with other reinforcement learning algorithms. This study signifies important advancements in both the theoretical and practical aspects of multi-item inventory management.
本研究提出了一种结合强化学习算法的混合整数线性规划(MILP)周期性库存管理模型的新方法。滚动水平法是一种多周期优化方法,用于处理更新市场中的新信息。RHM在容易确定预测范围方面存在局限性;为了克服这个问题,开发了一种动态RHM,其中RL算法优化了RHM的预测范围。状态向量包括到级订单、实际需求、总成本、持有成本和缺货成本,而动作包括预测范围和预测下一个时间步的需求。通过稳定需求模式和不确定需求模式两种情况下的实验,验证了该模型的性能。结果表明,与其他强化学习算法相比,本文提出的方法在库存管理中是有效的,特别是当使用近端策略优化(PPO)算法进行训练时。本研究在多项目库存管理的理论和实践方面都取得了重要进展。
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引用次数: 0
Failure Mode and Effect Analysis with a Fuzzy Logic Approach 用模糊逻辑方法分析故障模式和影响
Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070348
José Jovani Cardiel-Ortega, R. Serrato
Failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) is one of the most used techniques in risk management due to its potential to solve multidisciplinary engineering problems. The role of experts is fundamental when developing the FMEA; they identify the failure modes by expressing their opinion based on their experience. A relevant aspect is a way in which the experts evaluate to obtain the indicator of the risk priority number (RPN), which is based on qualitative analysis and a table of criteria where they subjectively and intuitively determine the factor level (severity, occurrence, and detection) for each of the failures. With this, imprecision is present due to the interpretation that each one has regarding the failures. Therefore, this research proposes a fuzzy logic evaluation system with a solid mathematical basis that integrates these conditions of imprecision and uncertainty, thus offering a robust system capable of emulating the evaluation form of experts to support and improve decision making. One of the main contributions of this research is in the defuzzification stage, adjusting the centroid method and treating each set individually. With this, the RPN values approximate to the conventional technique were obtained. Simulations were carried out to test and determine the system’s best structure. The system was validated in a textile company in southern Guanajuato. The results demonstrate that the system reliably represents how experts perform risk assessment.
失效模式和影响分析(FMEA)是风险管理中最常用的技术之一,因为它具有解决多学科工程问题的潜力。在制定FMEA时,专家的作用至关重要;他们根据自己的经验,通过表达自己的意见来识别故障模式。一个相关的方面是专家评估以获得风险优先级数(RPN)指标的方法,该指标基于定性分析和标准表,其中他们主观和直观地确定每个故障的因素级别(严重性,发生和检测)。在这种情况下,由于每个人对失败的解释,存在不精确性。因此,本研究提出了一个具有坚实数学基础的模糊逻辑评价系统,将这些不精确和不确定条件整合在一起,从而提供一个能够模拟专家评价形式的鲁棒系统,以支持和改进决策。本研究的主要贡献之一是在去模糊化阶段,调整质心方法并单独处理每个集合。利用此方法,得到了近似于传统方法的RPN值。通过仿真测试,确定了系统的最佳结构。该系统在瓜纳华托南部的一家纺织公司进行了验证。结果表明,该系统可靠地反映了专家如何进行风险评估。
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引用次数: 4
Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of the Water Footprint in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020 2000 - 2020年新疆水足迹时空演变特征及影响因素分析
Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070349
Shijie Wang, Xiaoying Lai, Xinchen Gu
Xinjiang is home to one of the most serious resource-based water shortages, and at the same time, it is an important main production area of grain, cotton, and high-quality fruits and vegetables in China, placing a heavy burden on water resources. Based on this, this paper determines the basic condition of water resources in regions of Xinjiang using the water footprint method. It then identifies the drivers of water footprint changes using the population scale effect, policy support effect, investment–output effect, economic structure effect, water use efficiency effect, and water use structure effect via the LMDI decomposition model. Finally, this paper illustrates the trajectory of the regional water footprint through individual stochastic convergence. This study found the following: (1) The water footprint of Xinjiang showed a fluctuating upward trend, and the total water footprint varied significantly between regions. From a compositional standpoint, most regions were dominated by the agricultural water footprint, while spatially, the regional water footprint had a high distribution trend in the south and a low distribution in the north. (2) The driving effects of the water footprint, policy support, population scale, and water use structure were incremental, while the effects of water use efficiency, economic structure, and investment output were decremental. (3) Most regions in Xinjiang showed individual stochastic convergence trends, indicating that regions converged to their respective compensating difference equilibrium levels. In this regard, it is necessary to strengthen R&D and the promotion of water use technology, further optimize the industrial structure, and leverage the positive effect of government investment to alleviate the regional water constraint dilemma and promote high-quality regional economic development.
新疆是中国资源性水资源短缺最严重的地区之一,同时又是中国重要的粮食、棉花、优质果蔬主产区,水资源负担沉重。在此基础上,运用水足迹法确定了新疆地区水资源的基本状况。利用人口规模效应、政策支持效应、投资产出效应、经济结构效应、水利用效率效应和水利用结构效应,通过LMDI分解模型识别水足迹变化的驱动因素。最后,通过个体的随机收敛,阐述了区域水足迹的发展轨迹。研究发现:(1)新疆水足迹呈波动上升趋势,区域间总水足迹差异显著。从组成上看,大部分区域以农业水足迹为主,而在空间上,区域水足迹呈南高北低的分布趋势。②水足迹、政策支持、人口规模和用水结构的驱动效应呈递增趋势,而用水效率、经济结构和投资产出的驱动效应呈递减趋势。(3)新疆大部分地区表现出个别的随机收敛趋势,表明各地区收敛到各自的补偿差异平衡水平。为此,有必要加强水资源利用技术的研发和推广,进一步优化产业结构,发挥政府投资的积极作用,缓解区域水约束困境,促进区域经济高质量发展。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Customer Satisfaction in Tourism Services Based on the Kano Model 基于Kano模型的旅游服务顾客满意度分析
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070345
Kailin Zhou, Zhong Yao
Understanding customer needs is of great significance to enhance service quality and competitive advantage. However, for the tourism industry, it is still unclear how to mine service improvement strategies from tourist-generated online reviews. This paper aims to develop a data-driven approach to conduct a fine-grained dimension analysis of customer satisfaction with tourism services. First, this paper uses Latent Dirichlet Allocation to explore the key dimensions of tourist satisfaction from online reviews. Next, based on the Chinese sentiment dictionary, tourists’ emotional attitudes towards each service dimension can be identified. Then, the backpropagation neural network is used to measure the complex relationship between tourists’ sentiment orientations towards different dimensions and their satisfaction. Finally, according to the improved Kano model, multi-dimensional attribute classification is realized to support the strategic analysis of tourism service quality improvement. The proposed method is empirically verified through a real tourism review dataset. The results exhibit the theoretical and practical implications of our method.
了解顾客需求对提高服务质量和竞争优势具有重要意义。然而,对于旅游业来说,如何从游客产生的在线评论中挖掘服务改进策略仍不清楚。本文旨在开发一种数据驱动的方法,对旅游服务的顾客满意度进行细粒度的维度分析。首先,本文利用潜在狄利克雷分配方法从在线评论中探索游客满意度的关键维度。其次,基于汉语情感词典,可以识别游客对各个服务维度的情感态度。然后,利用反向传播神经网络测度旅游者对不同维度的情感取向与满意度之间的复杂关系。最后,根据改进的卡诺模型,实现多维属性分类,支持旅游服务质量提升战略分析。通过一个真实的旅游评论数据集对所提出的方法进行了实证验证。结果显示了我们的方法的理论和实际意义。
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引用次数: 1
Scalable Electronic Health Record Management System Using a Dual-Channel Blockchain Hyperledger Fabric 使用双通道区块链超级账本结构的可扩展电子健康记录管理系统
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070346
Álvaro Díaz, Héctor Kaschel
Communication and information technologies have accelerated the implementation of electronic medical records, but at the same time, have put patient privacy, information security and health data at risk. An alternative to address the problem of security and privacy of medical data is the use of blockchain. Scalability has become one of the biggest challenges facing the development of blockchain-based electronic health records (EHRs). The purpose of this article is to implement and test a scalable blockchain-based EHR management system. For this reason, we present a scalable blockchain-based EHR management architecture. In this paper, we propose an EHR management model based on entities and user roles, adapt, and then implement with Hyperledger Fabric in a two-channel configuration. We develop a prototype in Fabric using a one-and two-channel configuration. We then designed and conducted an experiment to verify the performance of the proposed scheme in terms of scalability improvement. This scalable blockchain-based EHR management solution, such as the Hyperledger Fabric platform, offers a viable alternative to address scalability issues, as well as to protect patient's privacy and the security of their medical data.
通信和信息技术加速了电子病历的实施,但与此同时,也使患者隐私、信息安全和健康数据面临风险。解决医疗数据安全和隐私问题的另一种选择是使用区块链。可扩展性已经成为基于区块链的电子健康记录(EHRs)发展面临的最大挑战之一。本文的目的是实现和测试一个可扩展的基于区块链的电子病历管理系统。出于这个原因,我们提出了一个可扩展的基于区块链的电子病历管理架构。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于实体和用户角色的EHR管理模型,并在双通道配置下使用Hyperledger Fabric进行调整和实现。我们在Fabric中使用单通道和双通道配置开发了一个原型。然后,我们设计并进行了一个实验,以验证所提出的方案在可扩展性改进方面的性能。这种可扩展的基于区块链的EHR管理解决方案,如Hyperledger Fabric平台,提供了一个可行的替代方案来解决可扩展性问题,并保护患者的隐私和医疗数据的安全性。
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引用次数: 2
Digital Transformation and Corporate Sustainability: The Moderating Effect of Ambidextrous Innovation 数字化转型与企业可持续发展:双灵巧创新的调节作用
Pub Date : 2023-07-05 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070344
Ying Ying, Shanyue Jin
Digital transformation (DT) has become the new normal. Research has focused on the effect of the overall level of DT in enterprises. However, the effects of DT across different dimensions remain unclear. This study divided DT into technology- (TDT) and market-based digital transformation (MDT). It examined the effects on corporate sustainability and how ambidextrous innovation affects the relationship between both types and corporate sustainability. This study used the two-way fixed-effects model and the two-stage least squares method to study A-share listed companies in China from 2013 to 2021. The results showed that both TDT and MDT had positive effects on corporate sustainability. The higher the levels of exploratory and exploitative innovation in enterprises, the stronger the contribution of both types of DT to corporate sustainability. The findings validate the research on DT in line with the resource-based view, enrich the literature on and expand the boundary conditions of DT applications across various dimensions, and offer useful insights for practitioners.
数字化转型(DT)已成为新常态。研究的重点是对企业整体技术创新水平的影响。然而,DT在不同维度上的影响尚不清楚。本研究将数字化转型分为技术型(TDT)和市场化型(MDT)。它研究了对企业可持续性的影响,以及双灵巧创新如何影响两种类型与企业可持续性之间的关系。本研究采用双向固定效应模型和两阶段最小二乘法对2013 - 2021年中国a股上市公司进行了研究。结果表明,TDT和MDT对企业可持续发展均有正向影响。企业探索性创新和剥削性创新水平越高,两类创新对企业可持续发展的贡献越强。研究结果验证了基于资源基础观点的DT研究,丰富了关于DT应用的文献,并在各个维度上拓展了DT应用的边界条件,为实践者提供了有益的见解。
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引用次数: 1
Policy Analysis of Biomass Recycling Supply Chain Considering Carbon and Pollution Emission Reduction - Taking China's Straw Subsidy Policy for Example 考虑碳减排和污染减排的生物质回收供应链政策分析——以中国秸秆补贴政策为例
Pub Date : 2023-07-04 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070343
Long Yu, Jingwen Sun, Weina Liu, Wenpeng Zhang, Li’ao Sun, Jun Wu
In recent years, global environmental problems such as air pollution and the greenhouse effect have become more and more serious. The utilization of biomass energy not only can promote low-carbon transformation to establish a competitive advantage through value creation under the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality but is also an important force in solving environmental problems. Government subsidy policies play an important role in promoting the development of biomass energy utilization. Taking straw as an example, this paper constructs a straw recycling supply chain system dynamics model consisting of farmers, acquisition stations, power plants, and pyrolysis plants based on a real-world case. Two types of straw processing, namely power generation and pyrolysis, are considered in the model. This paper analyzes the economic and environmental impacts of three subsidy policies, namely the unified rate policy, the linear growth policy, and a two-step policy, by comparing the profit, carbon, and pollution emission reduction benefits of the supply chain under different subsidy scenarios. The result shows that, among the three subsidy policies, the unified rate policy shows the best-promoting effect. The research results and policy implications in this paper could be a reference for governments trying to formulate subsidy policies for developing biomass energy utilization.
近年来,全球环境问题,如空气污染和温室效应变得越来越严重。生物质能的利用不仅可以促进低碳转型,在碳峰值和碳中和目标下通过价值创造建立竞争优势,而且是解决环境问题的重要力量。政府补贴政策对促进生物质能利用的发展具有重要作用。以秸秆为例,基于实际案例,构建了由农户、采集站、电厂、热解厂组成的秸秆回收供应链系统动力学模型。模型中考虑了秸秆的发电和热解两种处理方式。本文通过比较不同补贴情景下供应链的利润效益、碳减排效益和污染减排效益,分析了统一费率政策、线性增长政策和两步补贴政策三种补贴政策对经济和环境的影响。结果表明,在三种补贴政策中,统一费率政策的促进效果最好。本文的研究结果和政策启示可以为各国政府制定发展生物质能源利用的补贴政策提供参考。
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引用次数: 1
Group Decision-Making Model Based on 2-Tuple Fuzzy Linguistic Model and AHP Applied to Measuring Digital Maturity Level of Organizations 基于二元模糊语言模型和层次分析法的群体决策模型在组织数字化成熟度水平度量中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070341
Gabriel Marín Díaz, José Luis Galdón Salvador
In the digital era, companies have experienced a progressive change in their business models, which has led them to develop greater agility to adapt to changing environments, and the necessity to properly manage the group decision making in these companies is patent. This paper shows how fuzzy models are utilized in group decision making. In this context, one of the most important group decisions to be adopted is how to manage the digital transformation of the company, drawing up the best possible roadmap. To achieve this goal, this paper proposes a new methodology improvement of group decision making based on a fuzzy 2-tuple linguistic model and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method. The suggested methodology proposes the calculation of the digital maturity level (DML) of companies based on five of the most cited and agreed upon criteria in the existing literature. The methodology proposed in this paper was tested and validated for the business case of Spanish SMEs through three different clusters to derive global recommendations tailored to each specific cluster and company segments, using a sample of 1428 companies. The main fundings reveal that the digital maturity level directly impacts on the size of the company and its digital mindset in the sense of driving change management processes. As future works, authors recommend extending the model to any industry using the proposed methodology and evaluate disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) in supporting the digital transformation of SMEs.
在数字时代,公司经历了商业模式的渐进式变化,这使他们发展出更大的灵活性,以适应不断变化的环境,在这些公司中,正确管理群体决策的必要性是显而易见的。本文阐述了模糊模型在群体决策中的应用。在这种情况下,要采用的最重要的小组决策之一是如何管理公司的数字化转型,制定最佳路线图。为此,本文提出了一种基于模糊二元组语言模型和层次分析法的群体决策改进方法。建议的方法提出了基于现有文献中引用最多和商定的五个标准的公司数字成熟度水平(DML)的计算。本文提出的方法通过三个不同的集群对西班牙中小企业的商业案例进行了测试和验证,以获得针对每个特定集群和公司细分的全球建议,使用1428家公司的样本。主要研究表明,数字化成熟度水平直接影响公司的规模及其数字化思维,从而推动变革管理流程。在未来的工作中,作者建议将该模型扩展到使用所提出的方法的任何行业,并评估支持中小企业数字化转型的人工智能(AI)等颠覆性技术。
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引用次数: 1
A Systemic and Transdisciplinary Study to Contribute to Decolonial Futures in Two Indigenous Municipalities of Chiapas, Mexico 一个系统和跨学科的研究,以促进墨西哥恰帕斯州两个土著城市的非殖民化未来
Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070342
Jorge Urdapilleta-Carrasco, M. R. Parra-Vázquez, Tlacaelel Rivera-Núñez
We draw from participatory action research and sustainable livelihood approaches to integrate a systemic and transdisciplinary methodological proposal capable of contributing to decolonial futures for indigenous peoples. This methodological proposal is illustrated with two decades of research experience collaborating with Mayan Tseltal communities in Chiapas, Mexico, to contribute towards improving their life strategies. The conceptual framework employed was Local Socio-Environmental Systems, a soft system proposal made up of four sub-systems that are interrelated, based on their formations in a particular territory framed within specific historical regimes. Community workshops were organized, and ethnographic fieldwork was conducted. The findings were systematized through Grounded Theory coding processes and linguistic translation. The results focus on (a) showing the process of alignment of the transdisciplinary horizon from the interests of three groups of actors participating in the accompaniment (communities, academia and civil society), (b) analyzing the emergence of Tseltal ethos associated with territory, family lineages, community harmony and dignified life that complexified the initial methodological proposal and (c) detailing the reinterpretation and appropriation that social subjects made to the category “capitals” of the livelihood framework. We conclude by reflecting on ‘knowledge dialogues’ and epistemic decolonization to which transdisciplinary research has given rise, to the extent that the accompanied Tseltal communities are currently demanding recognition of their political autonomy from the state.
我们从参与性行动研究和可持续生计方法中汲取经验,将能够促进土著人民非殖民化未来的系统和跨学科方法建议整合起来。这一方法建议是通过与墨西哥恰帕斯州的玛雅策尔人社区合作20年的研究经验来说明的,旨在为改善他们的生活策略做出贡献。所采用的概念框架是当地社会环境系统,这是一个由四个相互关联的子系统组成的软系统建议,基于它们在特定历史制度框架内特定领土的形成。组织了社区讲习班,并进行了人种学实地调查。研究结果通过扎根理论编码过程和语言翻译进行系统化。结果集中在(a)展示了从参与伴奏的三个行动者群体(社区、学术界和公民社会)的利益出发的跨学科视界对齐的过程,(b)分析了与领土、家族血统、社区和谐和有尊严的生活使最初的方法建议复杂化,(c)详细说明了社会主体对生计框架的“资本”类别的重新解释和挪用。最后,我们反思了跨学科研究引发的“知识对话”和知识非殖民化,在某种程度上,伴随的Tseltal社区目前要求承认他们的政治自治权。
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引用次数: 0
Information Alienation and Circle Fracture: Policy Communication and Opinion-Generating Networks on Social Media in China from the Perspective of COVID-19 Policy 信息异化与圈裂:新冠肺炎政策视角下的中国社交媒体政策传播与舆论生成网络
Pub Date : 2023-07-02 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070340
Yuanchu Dai, Xinyu Cheng, Yichuan Liu
The emergence of the Internet and social media provides a new platform for information diffusion, promoting the interaction among relatively independent participants in the opinion market and changing the balance of the intrinsic mechanism and external dynamics based on political communication. In this way, it is necessary to investigate the new interactive landscape of political communication and political discourse regarding digital media. In this study, we conduct a social and semantic network analysis of the dissemination and public opinion generation landscape of the COVID-19 “New Ten Articles” policy communication by the Chinese government, exploring the network relationships and emotional value interactions behind the contact of a new public policy in China. The results show that, in the political communication system, the influence of information’s position in the communication field has surpassed the information source impact, and the power of network opinion leaders is significant; the policy communication network presents a situation of “identity status circle” division, and the information circle connection presents a trend of fracture and barrier thickening, which may cause policy information alienation and social opinion polarization risk; the imbalance between policy information supply and public demand is further enhanced, and the negative emotion “cloud” is distributed on a scale and condenses into grassroots social governance pressure; and the content released by some key opinion leaders, experts, online media, and local mainstream media accounts is significantly correlated with network emotions. These emotions continue to spread in subsequent discussions, and to some extent, influence the formation process of political public opinion.
互联网和社交媒体的出现为信息扩散提供了新的平台,促进了相对独立的意见市场参与者之间的互动,改变了以政治传播为基础的内在机制和外部动力的平衡。这样,就有必要研究数字媒体下政治传播和政治话语的新互动景观。在本研究中,我们对中国政府新冠肺炎“新十条”政策传播的传播和舆论生成格局进行了社会和语义网络分析,探索中国新公共政策接触背后的网络关系和情感价值互动。研究结果表明,在政治传播体系中,信息在传播领域的地位影响已经超过了信息源影响,网络意见领袖的力量显著;政策传播网络呈现“身份身份圈”分化态势,信息圈连接呈现断裂和屏障加厚趋势,可能造成政策信息异化和社会舆论两极分化风险;政策信息供给与公众需求的不平衡进一步加剧,负面情绪“云”规模化分布并凝结为基层社会治理压力;一些关键意见领袖、专家、网络媒体和当地主流媒体账号发布的内容与网络情绪显著相关。这些情绪在随后的讨论中不断蔓延,并在一定程度上影响了政治舆论的形成过程。
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引用次数: 0
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