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Post-COVID-19 Recovery: An Integrated Framework of Construction Project Performance Evaluation in China 新冠肺炎疫情后的复苏:中国建设项目绩效评估的综合框架
Pub Date : 2023-07-14 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070359
Hanjun Guo, Mingxiao Liu, Jin Xue, Izzy Yi Jian, Qian Xu, Qian-Cheng Wang
With the lifting of the COVID-19 lockdown, the construction industry is gradually moving towards a new normality. This study aims to evaluate the construction project performance in the post-COVID-19 pandemic context and proposes a roadmap framework to achieve project recovery in China. This paper follows a sequential mixed methodology with three core steps. First, the critical success factors (CSFs) and key performance indicators (KPIs) are derived from literature reviews and expert interviews. Second, the study conducts a questionnaire survey with 150 experts. Third, the research implements factor analysis and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) analysis for CSFs and characteristics and comparative analysis for KPIs. Based on the results, the study employs structural equational modelling (SEM) to connect the CSFs and KPIs and develop a roadmap towards the post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery of the construction projects. The study identifies 32 CSFs and 25 KPIs and categorises them into five clusters, respectively. The SEM analysis suggests that management and technological innovation significantly contribute to achieving enterprise strategic goals and advancing industrial development. The consistency of project goals and external expectations also positively affect the satisfaction level of stakeholders and social impact. In addition, the AHP clarifies that the stability of the external environment, the internal support, and the adequacy of resources are critical drivers to the post-COVID-19 recovery of construction projects. This research proffers a roadmap towards the project recovery of the construction industry in the post-COVID-19 era by connecting the performance indicators and their critical success drivers. The findings would guide comprehensive design and construction, project life cycle management, and assist in dealing with public health emergencies in construction project management to maximise the organisation’s profits and positive social impact.
随着新冠肺炎疫情防控解除,建筑行业正在逐步走向新常态。本研究旨在评估后covid -19大流行背景下的建设项目绩效,并提出中国实现项目复苏的路线图框架。本文遵循一个顺序混合方法与三个核心步骤。首先,通过文献综述和专家访谈得出关键成功因素(csf)和关键绩效指标(kpi)。其次,对150名专家进行问卷调查。第三,对企业绩效指标进行因子分析和层次分析法,对kpi进行特征分析和比较分析。根据研究结果,本研究采用结构方程模型(SEM)将CSFs和kpi联系起来,并制定了建设项目在covid -19大流行后恢复的路线图。该研究确定了32个可持续发展目标和25个关键绩效指标,并将它们分别分为5类。SEM分析表明,管理创新和技术创新对实现企业战略目标和促进产业发展具有显著的促进作用。项目目标与外部期望的一致性对干系人满意度和社会影响也有正向影响。此外,AHP还明确指出,外部环境的稳定性、内部支持和资源的充足性是建设项目在新冠肺炎疫情后恢复的关键驱动因素。本研究通过将绩效指标与其关键成功驱动因素联系起来,为后covid -19时代建筑行业的项目复苏提供了路线图。研究结果将指导建筑项目的全面设计和施工、项目生命周期管理,并协助处理突发公共卫生事件,以最大限度地提高组织的利润和积极的社会影响。
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引用次数: 1
To Compete or to Collaborate? Logistics Service Sharing and Retailers' Resale in Competitive Online Channels 竞争还是合作?竞争网络中的物流服务共享与零售商转售
Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070358
Xi Zhang, Shengping Zhang, Bisheng Du
The prosperity of e-commerce has made more and more businesses willing to enter the e-commerce market, which has also brought a series of strategic collaboration between firms. This study considers game models with and without collaboration between the platform and the retailer. An e-commerce platform has relative logistics service sharing advantages while the retailer has relative procurement advantages. We formulated a multichannel supply chain consisting of a manufacturer and two retailers to explore the feasibility of the above strategic collaboration model. We utilized the Stackelberg game and Nash game approaches to obtain equilibrium solutions under both cooperative and noncooperative scenarios. Through a further analysis, we determined the impacts of the logistics sensitivity, the cost of the unit logistics service effort, the price of shared logistics service per unit, and the price competition intensity on optimal prices, the logistics service efforts, and the profits. Moreover, the collaborative exchange of advantages between the platform and the retailer needs to consider the interests of participating manufacturers in the game. Our extension suggests all three firms should actively promote deeper collaboration.
电子商务的繁荣使得越来越多的企业愿意进入电子商务市场,这也带来了企业之间的一系列战略合作。这项研究考虑了平台和零售商之间有无合作的游戏模式。电子商务平台具有相对的物流服务共享优势,零售商具有相对的采购优势。我们制定了一个由一个制造商和两个零售商组成的多渠道供应链来探索上述战略合作模式的可行性。利用Stackelberg博弈和Nash博弈方法分别求解了合作和非合作两种情况下的均衡解。通过进一步分析,确定了物流敏感性、单位物流服务努力成本、单位共享物流服务价格、价格竞争强度对最优价格、物流服务努力和利润的影响。此外,平台与零售商之间的优势协同交换需要考虑参与博弈的厂商的利益。我们的扩展建议这三家公司应该积极促进更深层次的合作。
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引用次数: 1
Decentralized Inventory Transshipments with Quantal Response Equilibrium 具有定量反应均衡的分散库存转运
Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070357
Qingren He, Taiwei Shi, Fei Xu, W. Qiu
Despite the benefits of inventory transshipment, numerous behavioral experiments have revealed that retailers often deviate from the Nash-equilibrium ordering quantities, which in turn impacts the potential advantages. Motivated by this issue, we developed a behavioral model to analyze the deviation of ordering quantities among two independent retailers who engage in inventory transshipment from the perspective of analytical modeling. In our model, we incorporated bounded rationality with the quantal response equilibrium. Firstly, we established the existence of such a quantal response equilibrium and provided the conditions for its uniqueness. Secondly, we compared the quantal response equilibrium with the Nash equilibrium within a certain range of transshipment prices and observed that the limiting quantal response equilibrium is equivalent to the Nash equilibrium. Lastly, we design an iterative algorithm that incorporates the learning effects of the retailers to determine the quantal response equilibrium for the ordering quantity. The results indicate that the optimal ordering quantity and the nearby ordering quantities should be chosen with higher probabilities. Additionally, the retailer should gradually enhance their cognitive or computational abilities through repeated transshipment games to improve their decision-making process. Furthermore, to ensure a balanced inventory-sharing system, the evaluation of inventory strategies should consistently prioritize avoiding surplus instead of shortage.
尽管库存转运有好处,但许多行为实验表明,零售商经常偏离纳什均衡订货数量,这反过来影响了潜在的优势。受此问题的启发,我们建立了一个行为模型,从分析建模的角度分析两家从事库存转运的独立零售商之间的订货数量偏差。在我们的模型中,我们将有限理性与量子反应平衡结合起来。首先,我们建立了这种量子响应平衡的存在性,并给出了其唯一性的条件。其次,比较了一定转运价格范围内的量子反应均衡与纳什均衡,发现极限量子反应均衡等价于纳什均衡。最后,我们设计了一个包含零售商学习效应的迭代算法来确定订购数量的定量响应平衡。结果表明,最优订货量和邻近订货量应以较高的概率选择。此外,零售商应该通过反复的转运博弈,逐步提高他们的认知能力或计算能力,以改善他们的决策过程。此外,为了确保平衡的库存共享系统,库存策略的评估应始终优先考虑避免过剩而不是短缺。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial Intelligence and Green Total Factor Productivity: The Moderating Effect of Slack Resources 人工智能与绿色全要素生产率:闲置资源的调节作用
Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070356
Ying Ying, Xiaoyan Cui, Shanyue Jin
With the emergence of the digital economy, digital technologies—such as artificial intelligence (AI)—have provided new possibilities for the green development of enterprises. Green total factor productivity is a key indicator of green sustainable development. While traditional total factor productivity does not consider the constraints of natural resources and the environment, green total factor productivity remedies this deficiency by incorporating environmental protection indicators, such as pollutant emissions, into the accounting system. To further clarify the relationship between AI technology and corporate green total factor productivity, this study uses a two-way fixed effects model to examine the impact of AI technology on the corporate green total factor productivity of A-share listed companies in China from 2013 to 2020 while examining how corporate slack resources affect the relationship between the two. The results show that the AI application positively contributes to the green total factor productivity of enterprises. Meanwhile, firms’ absorbed, unabsorbed, and potential slack resources all positively moderate the positive impact of AI technology on firms’ green total factor productivity. This study offers a theoretical basis for a comprehensive understanding of digital technology and enterprises’ green development. It also contributes practical insights for the government to formulate relevant policies and for enterprises to use digital technology to attain green and sustainable development.
随着数字经济的出现,人工智能(AI)等数字技术为企业的绿色发展提供了新的可能性。绿色全要素生产率是衡量绿色可持续发展的重要指标。传统的全要素生产率没有考虑自然资源和环境的约束,而绿色全要素生产率通过将环境保护指标(如污染物排放)纳入核算体系来弥补这一缺陷。为了进一步明确人工智能技术与企业绿色全要素生产率之间的关系,本研究采用双向固定效应模型,考察了2013 - 2020年中国a股上市公司人工智能技术对企业绿色全要素生产率的影响,同时考察了企业闲置资源对两者关系的影响。结果表明,人工智能应用对企业绿色全要素生产率有正向贡献。同时,企业已吸收资源、未吸收资源和潜在闲置资源都正向调节人工智能技术对企业绿色全要素生产率的正向影响。本研究为全面理解数字技术与企业绿色发展提供了理论基础。为政府制定相关政策和企业利用数字技术实现绿色可持续发展提供了实践见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Innovative Research on Sustainable Microgrid Artwork Design Based on Regression Analysis and Multi-Objective Optimization 基于回归分析和多目标优化的可持续微电网艺术品设计创新研究
Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070354
Shuang Chang, Dian Liu, Bahram Dehghan
One of the most vital issues in electrical systems involves optimally operating microgrids (MGs) using demand-side management (DSM). A DSM program lowers utility operational costs in one sense but also needs policies that encourage financial incentives in the other. The present study formulates the optimum functioning of MGs using DSM in the form of a problem of optimization. DSM considers load shifting to be a viable option. There are operational limitations and executive limitations that affect the problem, and its objective function aims at minimizing the overall operational prices of the grid and the load-shifting prices. The major problem has been solved using an improved butterfly optimization scheme. Furthermore, the suggested technique was tested in various case studies that consider types of generation unit, load types, unit uncertainties, grid sharing, and energy costs. A comparison was made between the suggested scheme and various algorithms on the IEEE 33-bus network to demonstrate the proficiency of the suggested scheme, showing that it lowered prices by 57%.
电力系统中最重要的问题之一涉及使用需求侧管理(DSM)优化运行微电网(mg)。DSM项目一方面降低了公用事业的运营成本,但另一方面也需要鼓励财政激励的政策。本研究以最优化问题的形式阐述了使用DSM的mg的最优功能。帝斯曼认为负荷转移是一个可行的选择。影响问题的有运行限制和执行限制,其目标函数是使电网的总体运行价格和负荷转移价格最小。采用改进的蝶形优化方案解决了主要问题。此外,建议的技术在考虑发电机组类型、负荷类型、机组不确定性、电网共享和能源成本的各种案例研究中进行了测试。将所提出的方案与IEEE 33总线网络上的各种算法进行了比较,证明了所提出方案的熟练性,表明其降低了57%的价格。
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引用次数: 0
How Does Digital Transformation Increase Corporate Sustainability? The Moderating Role of Top Management Teams 数字化转型如何提高企业的可持续性?高层管理团队的调节作用
Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070355
Yaxin Zhang, Shanyue Jin
Digitization is a megatrend that shapes the economy and society, driving major transformations. Enterprises, as the most important microeconomic entities, are critical carriers for society in conducting digital transformation and practicing sustainable development to achieve socioeconomic and environmental sustainability. Exploring the relationship and mechanisms between digital transformation and sustainable corporate development is crucial. This study investigates the influence of digital transformation on sustainable corporate development as well as its moderating mechanisms. A two-way fixed effects model is used on a research sample of Chinese A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen from 2010 to 2020. Three methods are used for robustness testing to alleviate endogeneity issues. The empirical results show that digital transformation can significantly enhance sustainable corporate development, whereas empowered management and highly educated employees are essential complementary human resources that effectively strengthen the contribution of digitalization to sustainability. Additionally, internal controls are internal drivers that have a positive moderating effect on the digital transformation to improve corporate sustainability. This study reveals that digital transformation is an important tool for promoting corporate sustainability, broadening the literature in related fields, and providing insights for corporate management and government policymakers to advance corporate sustainability.
数字化是塑造经济和社会的大趋势,推动重大变革。企业作为最重要的微观经济主体,是社会进行数字化转型、实现可持续发展、实现社会经济和环境可持续发展的重要载体。探索数字化转型与企业可持续发展之间的关系和机制至关重要。本研究探讨了数字化转型对企业可持续发展的影响及其调节机制。本文以2010 - 2020年沪深两市A股上市公司为研究样本,采用双向固定效应模型。三种方法用于鲁棒性检验,以减轻内生性问题。实证结果表明,数字化转型可以显著促进企业可持续发展,而授权管理和高学历员工是必不可少的互补人力资源,可以有效增强数字化对可持续发展的贡献。此外,内部控制是内部驱动因素,对数字化转型具有积极的调节作用,以提高企业的可持续性。本研究发现,数字化转型是促进企业可持续发展的重要工具,拓宽了相关领域的文献,为企业管理层和政府决策者提供了促进企业可持续发展的见解。
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引用次数: 2
Agile Methodology for the Standardization of Engineering Requirements Using Large Language Models 使用大型语言模型的工程需求标准化的敏捷方法
Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070352
Archana Tikayat Ray, B. Cole, Olivia Fischer, Anirudh Prabhakara Bhat, Ryan T. White, D. Mavris
The increased complexity of modern systems is calling for an integrated and comprehensive approach to system design and development and, in particular, a shift toward Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) approaches for system design. The requirements that serve as the foundation for these intricate systems are still primarily expressed in Natural Language (NL), which can contain ambiguities and inconsistencies and suffer from a lack of structure that hinders their direct translation into models. The colossal developments in the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP), in general, and Large Language Models (LLMs), in particular, can serve as an enabler for the conversion of NL requirements into machine-readable requirements. Doing so is expected to facilitate their standardization and use in a model-based environment. This paper discusses a two-fold strategy for converting NL requirements into machine-readable requirements using language models. The first approach involves creating a requirements table by extracting information from free-form NL requirements. The second approach consists of an agile methodology that facilitates the identification of boilerplate templates for different types of requirements based on observed linguistic patterns. For this study, three different LLMs are utilized. Two of these models are fine-tuned versions of Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERTs), specifically, aeroBERT-NER and aeroBERT-Classifier, which are trained on annotated aerospace corpora. Another LLM, called flair/chunk-english, is utilized to identify sentence chunks present in NL requirements. All three language models are utilized together to achieve the standardization of requirements. The effectiveness of the methodologies is demonstrated through the semi-automated creation of boilerplates for requirements from Parts 23 and 25 of Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations (CFRs).
现代系统日益增加的复杂性要求对系统设计和开发采用集成的和综合的方法,特别是对系统设计转向基于模型的系统工程(MBSE)方法。作为这些复杂系统基础的需求仍然主要以自然语言(NL)表达,自然语言可能包含歧义和不一致,并且缺乏结构,这阻碍了它们直接转换为模型。一般来说,自然语言处理(NLP)领域的巨大发展,特别是大型语言模型(llm),可以作为将自然语言处理需求转换为机器可读需求的推动者。这样做有望促进它们的标准化和在基于模型的环境中的使用。本文讨论了使用语言模型将自然语言需求转换为机器可读需求的双重策略。第一种方法包括通过从自由形式的NL需求中提取信息来创建需求表。第二种方法包括一种敏捷方法,它可以根据观察到的语言模式,方便地为不同类型的需求识别样板模板。在本研究中,使用了三种不同的llm。其中两个模型是来自变形变压器(bert)的双向编码器表示的微调版本,具体来说,是在带注释的航空航天语料库上训练的aerbert - ner和aerbert - classifier。另一种LLM称为flair/chunk-english,用于识别NL要求中出现的句子块。所有三种语言模型一起使用,以实现需求的标准化。该方法的有效性通过半自动创建联邦法规(cfr)第14章第23部分和第25部分要求的样板来证明。
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引用次数: 1
Automatically Detecting Incoherent Written Math Answers of Fourth-Graders 自动检测四年级学生不连贯的书面数学答案
Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070353
Felipe Urrutia, R. Araya
Arguing and communicating are basic skills in the mathematics curriculum. Making arguments in written form facilitates rigorous reasoning. It allows peers to review arguments, and to receive feedback about them. Even though it requires additional cognitive effort in the calculation process, it enhances long-term retention and facilitates deeper understanding. However, developing these competencies in elementary school classrooms is a great challenge. It requires at least two conditions: all students write and all receive immediate feedback. One solution is to use online platforms. However, this is very demanding for the teacher. The teacher must review 30 answers in real time. To facilitate the revision, it is necessary to automatize the detection of incoherent responses. Thus, the teacher can immediately seek to correct them. In this work, we analyzed 14,457 responses to open-ended questions written by 974 fourth graders on the ConectaIdeas online platform. A total of 13% of the answers were incoherent. Using natural language processing and machine learning algorithms, we built an automatic classifier. Then, we tested the classifier on an independent set of written responses to different open-ended questions. We found that the classifier achieved an F1-score = 79.15% for incoherent detection, which is better than baselines using different heuristics.
争论和交流是数学课程的基本技能。以书面形式提出论点有助于严谨的推理。它允许同行审查论点,并收到关于它们的反馈。尽管它在计算过程中需要额外的认知努力,但它可以增强长期记忆并促进更深层次的理解。然而,在小学课堂上培养这些能力是一个巨大的挑战。它至少需要两个条件:所有学生都写,所有学生都能得到即时反馈。一个解决方案是使用在线平台。然而,这对老师的要求很高。老师必须实时复习30个答案。为了便于修改,有必要自动检测不连贯的响应。因此,老师可以立即设法纠正他们。在这项工作中,我们分析了974名四年级学生在conectaiideas在线平台上对14,457个开放式问题的回答。总共有13%的答案是不连贯的。使用自然语言处理和机器学习算法,我们构建了一个自动分类器。然后,我们对不同开放式问题的一组独立的书面回答测试了分类器。我们发现分类器在不连贯检测方面达到了f1得分= 79.15%,这比使用不同启发式的基线要好。
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引用次数: 2
Harnessing the Power of ChatGPT for Automating Systematic Review Process: Methodology, Case Study, Limitations, and Future Directions 利用ChatGPT的力量自动化系统审查过程:方法论,案例研究,限制和未来方向
Pub Date : 2023-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070351
Ahmad Alshami, Moustafa Elsayed, Eslam Ali, A. E. Eltoukhy, T. Zayed
Systematic reviews (SR) are crucial in synthesizing and analyzing existing scientific literature to inform evidence-based decision-making. However, traditional SR methods often have limitations, including a lack of automation and decision support, resulting in time-consuming and error-prone reviews. To address these limitations and drive the field forward, we harness the power of the revolutionary language model, ChatGPT, which has demonstrated remarkable capabilities in various scientific writing tasks. By utilizing ChatGPT’s natural language processing abilities, our objective is to automate and streamline the steps involved in traditional SR, explicitly focusing on literature search, screening, data extraction, and content analysis. Therefore, our methodology comprises four modules: (1) Preparation of Boolean research terms and article collection, (2) Abstract screening and articles categorization, (3) Full-text filtering and information extraction, and (4) Content analysis to identify trends, challenges, gaps, and proposed solutions. Throughout each step, our focus has been on providing quantitative analyses to strengthen the robustness of the review process. To illustrate the practical application of our method, we have chosen the topic of IoT applications in water and wastewater management and quality monitoring due to its critical importance and the dearth of comprehensive reviews in this field. The findings demonstrate the potential of ChatGPT in bridging the gap between traditional SR methods and AI language models, resulting in enhanced efficiency and reliability of SR processes. Notably, ChatGPT exhibits exceptional performance in filtering and categorizing relevant articles, leading to significant time and effort savings. Our quantitative assessment reveals the following: (1) the overall accuracy of ChatGPT for article discarding and classification is 88%, and (2) the F-1 scores of ChatGPT for article discarding and classification are 91% and 88%, respectively, compared to expert assessments. However, we identify limitations in its suitability for article extraction. Overall, this research contributes valuable insights to the field of SR, empowering researchers to conduct more comprehensive and reliable reviews while advancing knowledge and decision-making across various domains.
系统评价(SR)在综合和分析现有科学文献为循证决策提供信息方面至关重要。然而,传统的SR方法通常有局限性,包括缺乏自动化和决策支持,导致耗时和容易出错的审查。为了解决这些限制并推动该领域向前发展,我们利用了革命性的语言模型ChatGPT的力量,它在各种科学写作任务中表现出了卓越的能力。通过利用ChatGPT的自然语言处理能力,我们的目标是自动化和简化传统SR中涉及的步骤,明确地关注文献搜索、筛选、数据提取和内容分析。因此,我们的方法包括四个模块:(1)布尔研究术语的准备和文章收集;(2)摘要筛选和文章分类;(3)全文过滤和信息提取;(4)内容分析,以识别趋势、挑战、差距和提出解决方案。在每个步骤中,我们的重点是提供定量分析,以加强审查过程的稳健性。为了说明我们方法的实际应用,我们选择了物联网在水和废水管理和质量监测中的应用这一主题,因为它至关重要,而且在这一领域缺乏全面的综述。研究结果表明,ChatGPT在弥合传统SR方法和人工智能语言模型之间的差距方面具有潜力,从而提高SR过程的效率和可靠性。值得注意的是,ChatGPT在过滤和分类相关文章方面表现出卓越的性能,从而节省了大量的时间和精力。我们的定量评估结果显示:(1)ChatGPT对物品丢弃和分类的总体准确率为88%,(2)ChatGPT对物品丢弃和分类的F-1分数与专家评估相比分别为91%和88%。然而,我们发现了它在文章提取适用性方面的局限性。总体而言,本研究为SR领域提供了有价值的见解,使研究人员能够进行更全面、更可靠的评估,同时推进各个领域的知识和决策。
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引用次数: 6
The Effects of Autonomous Vehicles on Traffic Efficiency and Energy Consumption 自动驾驶汽车对交通效率和能源消耗的影响
Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.3390/systems11070347
Bokui Chen, Yaohui Chen, Yao Wu, Yuxuan Xiu, Xiao-Rong Fu, Kai Zhang
This paper studies how autonomous vehicles (AVs) influence future traffic and energy consumption when adopting various route guidance strategies, which can be divided into global information strategies and local information strategies according to the scope of information collection. A mixed traffic flow model is established. Then, an autonomous vehicle model is improved to investigate the impact of six route guidance strategies. The selected strategies are specifically evaluated in a double-route scenario, considering both single-exit and dual-exit configurations. Three indicators are chosen to evaluate traffic efficiency, including traffic flow, average speed and quantity of vehicles. Consumption per unit flux is the indicator of energy consumption level. Simulation results show that autonomous vehicles can improve traffic efficiency and reduce energy consumption.
本文研究了自动驾驶汽车在采用各种路线引导策略时对未来交通和能源消耗的影响,根据信息收集的范围,自动驾驶汽车可分为全局信息策略和局部信息策略。建立了混合交通流模型。然后,对自动驾驶车辆模型进行了改进,研究了六种路径引导策略的影响。在考虑单出口和双出口配置的双路由场景下,对所选择的策略进行了具体评估。选取交通流量、平均速度和车辆数量三个指标来评价交通效率。单位通量消耗是能源消耗水平的指标。仿真结果表明,自动驾驶汽车可以提高交通效率,降低能耗。
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引用次数: 1
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