At least since the publication of Amitav Ghosh's The Great Derangement (2016), it has become commonplace to say that the climate crisis is also a crisis of the imagination. Policymakers and their publics find it difficult to imagine how things could be otherwise. For scholars dedicated to the study of German culture and works of imagination, this would seem to be our moment. But many of us are not quite sure how to seize it. We understand the urgency, but deeply ingrained habits of mind and discipline stand in our way. As Caroline Levine emphasizes, our commitment to critique has taught us to be wary of “instrumentality” in any form. But I would argue, it's precisely the instruments of our discipline that are needed now. For the past two years, I've been experimenting with ways to put my skillset to work for climate adaptation in the Netherlands and Germany. I can readily imagine that there are policy contexts where you could do the same with yours.
People in the Netherlands don't like to talk about managed retreat. Moving to higher terrain is one of the ways low-lying communities, even whole cities and regions, can and will adapt to sea level rise. That's important because the 2022 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says that scientists cannot rule out two meters of sea level rise by 2100 and five meters by 2150. Other climate scientists such as James Hansen and Michael Mann think it could be much more and much sooner. For a country that regards itself as “the safest delta in the world,” even though 26% of its densely populated terrain already lies below sea level—in some places as low as seven meters—the idea of managed retreat is at odds with its national narrative of an eternal and ongoing battle with the sea. Dutch engineers boast that they can take on another ten meters of sea level rise. Retreat, they say, is for losers.
There are some Dutch climate scientists and ecologically-oriented water management experts who worry that the Netherlands is locking itself into maintaining an inflexible technocratic system that can't keep up with accelerated sea level rise. Since 2016, they've tried various strategies to keep retreat on the table, with moderate success. Landscape architects and designers have helped by offering visions of what an adaptive, inundated Netherlands might look like. The engineering lobby wants none of it. Recent opinion pieces in prominent newspapers suggest that those who advocate for retreat and cast doubt on Dutch engineering prowess are committing landverraad (treason).
I've been tracking the conversation on managed retreat in the Netherlands for the past six years. I was intrigued by a phenomenon that manifests in many other regions as well: low-level awareness of the urgency of climate change, coupled with a supreme confidence in technical solutions, bolstered by political inertia. As I spoke with climate and water professionals in the Netherlands, I realized that
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