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Assessing intensity-duration-frequency equations and spatialization techniques across the Grande River Basin in the state of Bahia, Brazil 评估巴西巴伊亚州格兰德河流域的强度-持续时间-频率方程和空间化技术
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220083
A. Barbosa, Izaias Rodrigues de Souza Neto, V. Costa, Ludmilson Abritta Mendes
ABSTRACT Understanding the probabilistic behavior of extreme rainfall on a fine temporal and spatial scales is crucial for design and risk assessment of hydraulic structures. However, information at appropriate resolutions is frequently limited or unavailable at the locations of interest, thereby requiring the estimation of Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves at the regional scale. In this paper, we resort to simplified approaches for rainfall disaggregation and spatialization for deriving a regional IDF equation for the Grande River catchment, in the Brazilian state of Bahia. Our results suggest that, at the daily time scale, the maximum rainfall amounts can be reasonably described by the light-tailed Gumbel distribution in the study region. The spatialization procedures indicated that, whereas both the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) and the ordinary kriging techniques could capture the spatial variability of rainfall quantiles, for several durations of practical interest, only the former was able to model the spatial variability of the IDF parameters. Finally, despite the simplifying assumptions, we were able to derive smooth spatial surfaces for the aforementioned quantities, which might be useful for the design of hydraulic structures at ungauged sites.
在精细的时间和空间尺度上理解极端降雨的概率行为对于水工建筑的设计和风险评估至关重要。然而,在感兴趣的地点,适当分辨率的信息往往有限或无法获得,因此需要在区域尺度上估计强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)曲线。在本文中,我们采用降雨分解和空间化的简化方法来推导巴西巴伊亚州格兰德河流域的区域IDF方程。结果表明,在日时间尺度上,研究区域的最大降雨量可以用轻尾甘贝尔分布来合理描述。空间化过程表明,虽然逆距离加权(IDW)和普通克里格技术都可以捕获降雨分位数的空间变异,但在实际关注的几个持续时间内,只有前者能够模拟IDF参数的空间变异。最后,尽管简化了假设,但我们能够为上述数量推导出光滑的空间表面,这可能对未测量地点的水工结构设计有用。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges of defining the floodplain through the “mean ordinary flood line” approach using remote sensing in Brazil: a case study of the São Francisco River 巴西利用遥感通过“平均洪泛线”方法确定洪泛区的挑战:以<s:1>奥弗朗西斯科河为例研究
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220210110
P. Maillard, M. F. Gomes, É. M. Pôssa, Ramille Soares de Paula
Abstract The “Mean Ordinary Flood Line” (MOFL) is a conceptual line adopted by Brazil’s Federal Government to delineate land within the floodplain under its ownership and jurisdiction having major social implications. Past attempts at the cartography of this line have encountered strong difficulties brought either by a low precision or an excessive cost. In this article, we propose a method based on historical water gauge data to determine the water level corresponding to the MOFL. Satellite images coincident with past dates when the MOFL was reached are selected and processed to extract the water surface from which the MOFL can then be produced. The approach was implemented in a 600 km reach of the São Francisco River in Minas Gerais as a pilot project. A field survey served to validate the results. The positional accuracy of the MOFL was estimated at 24 m which was considered excellent since mostly Landsat images with a spatial resolution of 30 m were used.
“平均普通洪泛线”(MOFL)是巴西联邦政府用来划定其拥有和管辖的洪泛区内土地的一条概念性界线,具有重大的社会意义。过去对这条线进行制图的尝试由于精度低或费用过高而遇到了很大的困难。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于历史水位计数据的方法来确定MOFL对应的水位。选择并处理与过去达到MOFL的日期一致的卫星图像,以提取水体表面,然后从中产生MOFL。作为一个试点项目,在米纳斯吉拉斯州奥弗朗西斯科河600公里河段内实施了这一办法。实地调查证实了这些结果。MOFL的定位精度估计在24 m,这被认为是很好的,因为大多数使用的是空间分辨率为30 m的Landsat图像。
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引用次数: 1
Remote sensing and global databases for soil moisture estimation at different depths in the Pernambuco state, Northeast Brazil 巴西东北部伯南布哥州不同深度土壤水分估算的遥感和全球数据库
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220016
Marcella Vasconcelos Quintella Jucá, Alfredo Ribeiro Neto
ABSTRACT The present study aimed to apply and assess an exponential filter that calculates the root-zone soil moisture using surface data from the soil moisture and ocean salinity (SMOS) satellite, as well as to assess soil moisture simulated in land-surface models from global databases. The soil water index (obtained after application of the exponential filter) and soil moisture simulated using land surface models (GLDAS-CLSM, GLDAS-Noah, and ERA5-Land) from global databases were compared with in situ data to evaluate their efficiency in estimating soil water content at different depths. Surface measurements from the SMOS satellite allowed the estimation of soil moisture at depths of 20 and 40 cm by applying the exponential filter. At both depths, the application of the exponential filter significantly improved the estimation of soil moisture measured by the SMOS satellite. The GLDAS-Noah model had the best root mean square error values, whilst the GLDAS-CLSM and ERA5-Land models overestimated the soil moisture. Nevertheless, the seasonal variation was well represented by all land surface models.
本研究旨在应用和评估一种指数滤波器,该滤波器利用土壤湿度和海洋盐度(SMOS)卫星的地表数据计算根区土壤湿度,并评估来自全球数据库的陆地表面模型模拟的土壤湿度。利用GLDAS-CLSM、GLDAS-Noah和ERA5-Land陆面模型模拟的全球数据库土壤水分指数(应用指数滤波后获得)和土壤水分与现场数据进行比较,以评估它们在估算不同深度土壤含水量方面的效率。SMOS卫星的地表测量可以通过应用指数滤波来估计深度为20和40厘米的土壤湿度。在这两个深度,指数滤波的应用显著改善了SMOS卫星测量土壤湿度的估计。GLDAS-Noah模型具有最佳的均方根误差值,而GLDAS-CLSM和ERA5-Land模型高估了土壤湿度。然而,所有陆地表面模式都很好地反映了季节变化。
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引用次数: 0
Geochemical modeling of the evaporation process in salinized reservoirs in the semi-arid region of Northeastern Brazil 巴西东北部半干旱区盐渍化水库蒸发过程的地球化学模拟
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220018
A. Monteiro, Eveline Leal da Silva, Nívia Raquel Oliveira Alencar, Crislaine Melo Cardoso, Igor Santos Silva, Roseane dos Santos Nascimento, J. Alves
ABSTRACT The geochemical characterization of saline water in reservoirs located in semi-arid regions is an important issue to be addressed, as it allows us to understand the deterioration of water quality caused by evaporation. In this study, the Gibbs diagram, ionic ratios and geochemical modeling were employed to decipher the geochemical processes that affect the chemical water evolution of three saline reservoirs located in the semi-arid region of Sergipe state, Northeastern Brazil. The reservoirs geochemical processes mainly include sea salt dissolution, silicate weathering, ion exchange, with a limited contribution from the dissolution of carbonates. Geochemical modeling confirmed that evaporation-crystallization is the main mechanism that controls the chemical composition of water, leading to increased concentrations of Na+, Mg2+, Ca2+ and Cl-, and reduction of HCO3- by precipitation of calcite and dolomite. Furthermore, the simulated models reproduced the trend observed in the real hydrochemical data and indicated excellent agreement between the simulated ion concentrations and the real ion concentrations for most of the larger ions. The highest deviation was observed for HCO3 whose actual concentrations were much higher than those predicted by the modeling, attributed to kinetic restrictions concerning calcite precipitation.
半干旱区水库含盐水的地球化学特征是一个重要的研究问题,因为它可以让我们了解蒸发引起的水质恶化。本文采用Gibbs图、离子比和地球化学模型对巴西东北部Sergipe州半干旱区3个含盐储层化学水演化的地球化学过程进行了解析。储层地球化学过程主要包括海盐溶蚀、硅酸盐风化、离子交换等,碳酸盐溶蚀作用贡献有限。地球化学模拟证实,蒸发结晶是控制水化学成分的主要机制,导致Na+、Mg2+、Ca2+和Cl-浓度增加,并通过方解石和白云石的沉淀减少HCO3-。此外,模拟模型再现了实际水化学数据中观察到的趋势,并表明大多数大离子的模拟离子浓度与实际离子浓度非常吻合。由于方解石沉淀的动力学限制,观测到的HCO3的实际浓度比模型预测的高得多,偏差最大。
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引用次数: 0
Protected springs water resilience in watershed of south of Brazil 巴西南部流域受保护泉水恢复力研究
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220019
Raul Todeschini, A. Swarowsky, André Gonçalves Panziera, Guilherme Lemes Erthal, João Francisco Carlexo Horn, J. C. Cruz
ABSTRACT Springs of the Vacacaí-Mirim river basin, in the Atlantic Forest biome, are protected by law because they provide an environmental service through water supply. No study provided identification, estimates and information about the seasonality of water resilience and environmental conditions of these springs, which supply the central region of the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. This study monitored headwater flow volume and interpreted the results through seasonality and use of the flow duration curve, characterizing the springs and showing the water production capacity. As a result, the springs presented higher flow duration curve contrasts. Considering consistent monitoring time, differences in flow characteristics occurred in the analyzed springs allowed to qualify based on their persistence, temporary or ephemeral flow, showing which springs are more resilient. The shape of the flow permanence curve was different for each spring in the basin. The study was able to determine the flow duration curve and confirm the resilience and reality of a headwater of the Vacacaí-Mirim river basin, being more accurate and necessary than estimates of flow from springs.
大西洋森林生物群系中Vacacaí-Mirim河流域的泉水受到法律保护,因为它们通过供水提供环境服务。没有研究提供有关这些泉水的水恢复力和环境条件的季节性的识别、估计和信息,这些泉水供应巴西南里奥格兰德州的中部地区。本研究对水源流量进行了监测,并通过季节性和流量持续时间曲线对结果进行了解释,表征了泉水的特征,并显示了水的生产能力。结果表明,弹簧呈现出更高的流动持续时间曲线对比。考虑到持续的监测时间,所分析的弹簧中流动特性的差异可以根据其持续性、临时或短暂流动来确定,从而显示出哪种弹簧更具弹性。盆地内各泉水的流动持久曲线形状不同。该研究能够确定流量持续时间曲线,并确认Vacacaí-Mirim河流域源头的弹性和真实性,比估算泉水流量更准确和必要。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal variation of aquatic macrophyte cover in a reservoir using Landsat images and Google Earth Engine 基于Landsat图像和Google Earth Engine的水库水生植物覆盖时空变化研究
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220074
Aline Guidolin da Luz, T. Bleninger, Bruna Arcie Polli, Bernardo Lipski
ABSTRACT The presence of large amounts of aquatic macrophytes in reservoirs can trigger several impacts on the local ecosystem and conventional methodologies used for their monitoring only returns information from the present moment. With that in mind, this study aimed to map spatio-temporal variation of macrophyte cover using Landsat 5, 7 and 8 images between 1984-2021 at Jupiá reservoir, in south east of Brazil, besides determining curves and maps of macrophyte cover permanence. The identification of these organisms in the images, and their distinction from other vegetations, was made through spectral indices (NDVI, GNDVI and GSAVI) and the determination of the characteristic range of each of these classes, which was given by probability distributions. Interannual variations were observed in the spatial arrangement of macrophytes and the area's growth trend, possibly being caused by the implantation of an upstream reservoir. Although the number of images without interference was a limitation, the construction of a historical series of macrophytes occupation and the determination of permanence curves and maps proved to be satisfactory and could help on the decision-making processes for the management of these organisms.
水库中大量水生植物的存在会对当地生态系统产生一些影响,而用于监测它们的传统方法只能返回当前的信息。基于此,本研究利用巴西东南部jupi水库的Landsat 5、7和8影像,绘制了1984-2021年期间大植物覆盖的时空变化,并绘制了大植物覆盖持久性曲线和图。通过光谱指数(NDVI、GNDVI和GSAVI)和概率分布确定每一类生物的特征范围,在图像中对这些生物进行识别,并与其他植被进行区分。大型植物的空间分布和生长趋势呈年际变化,可能与上游水库的注入有关。虽然无干扰图像的数量有限,但大型植物占领历史序列的构建和永久曲线和地图的确定证明是令人满意的,可以帮助这些生物管理的决策过程。
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引用次数: 3
A Python implementation for the simplified dam-break flood modeling 用于简化溃坝洪水建模的Python实现
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220013
Roberto Mentzingen Rolo, Francisco Antonello Marodin, Giulia Pacheco Carrard, Luciano Brasileiro Cardone, Carlos José Sobrinho da Silveira
ABSTRACT Since 2010, the Brazilian government has required that dams that fall within the national dam policy must present a safety plan, which, among other topics, must address the definition of the hypotheses and possible disaster scenarios. To achieve it, the flood zone due to an eventual failure must be modeled for the Hazard Potential (Dano Potencial Associado – DPA) classification. The flood zone is the result of complex hydraulic phenomena that are difficult to characterize. Given the demand for DPA analysis and the data unavailability, the National Water Agency (Agência Nacional de Águas - ANA) proposed a simplified methodology for generating the flood zone., This paper proposes a Python implementation for this methodology with a user-friendly Graphical User Interface. Our implementation relies on free and open-source software. The results are similar to those produced by the original implementation and can be generated considerably in less time and with less user interaction.
自2010年以来,巴西政府要求符合国家水坝政策的水坝必须提出安全计划,其中包括必须解决假设和可能的灾难情景的定义。为了实现这一目标,由于最终失败的洪水区必须为潜在危害(Dano Potential Associado - DPA)分类建模。洪泛区是复杂水力现象的结果,难以表征。考虑到对DPA分析的需求和数据的不可获得性,国家水务局(Agência Nacional de Águas - ANA)提出了一种简化的方法来生成洪水区。本文提出了该方法的Python实现,具有用户友好的图形用户界面。我们的实现依赖于免费和开源软件。结果与原始实现产生的结果相似,可以在更短的时间内生成,并且用户交互更少。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the effects of rating curve uncertainty in flood frequency analysis 评估评级曲线不确定性对洪水频率分析的影响
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.272220220012
Luan Marcos da Silva Vieira, J. Sampaio, V. Costa, J. Eleutério
ABSTRACT Maximum flows are often estimated from flood frequency analysis, by means of the statistical fitting of a theoretical probability distribution to maximum annual flow data. However, because of the limitations imposed by the practice of at-site flow measurement, empirical models are applied as the rating curve for estimating streamflow. These curves are approximations of the actual flows and incorporate different sources of uncertainty, especially in the extrapolation portions. These uncertainties are propagated in the frequency analysis and influence the estimated quantiles. For better understanding and describing the influence of the stage-discharge uncertainty in this process, the results of Bayesian rating curve modeling, which considers the physical knowledge of the gauging station as prior information, were combined with Bayesian flood frequency analysis under asymptotic extreme value theory. The method was applied to the Acorizal stream gauging station, located in the interior of the state of Mato Grosso - BR. The main results suggested that, although the uncertainties of the rating curve can be relevant in the estimation of maximum flow quantiles, the uncertainties arising from finite-sample inference might exert greater impacts on the flow credibility intervals even for moderate sample sizes.
最大流量通常是通过洪水频率分析,通过理论概率分布对年最大流量数据的统计拟合来估计的。然而,由于现场流量测量的限制,经验模型被用作估计流量的评级曲线。这些曲线是实际流动的近似值,并包含了不同的不确定性来源,特别是在外推部分。这些不确定性在频率分析中传播并影响估计的分位数。为了更好地理解和描述阶段-流量不确定性在这一过程中的影响,将考虑测量站物理知识作为先验信息的贝叶斯评级曲线建模结果与渐近极值理论下的贝叶斯洪水频率分析结果相结合。将该方法应用于位于马托格罗索州内陆的光学测量站。主要结果表明,虽然评级曲线的不确定性可能与最大流量分位数的估计有关,但有限样本推断产生的不确定性可能对流量可信区间产生更大的影响,即使是中等样本量。
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引用次数: 2
Soil water infiltration under different land use conditions: in situ tests and modeling 不同土地利用条件下的土壤水分入渗:原位试验与模拟
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-27 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.262120210063
M. Failache, Lázaro Valentin Zuquette
ABSTRACT The efficiency and suitability of different models to estimate infiltration rates in Ferralic Arenosols and Rhodic Ferralsols in southern Brazil are evaluated in this paper. The influence of nine types of land use and soil management practices on infiltration modeling is also assessed. Model parameterization was performed fitting 42 experimental infiltration curves obtained by in situ tests with a double-ring infiltrometer. Soil characterization was also performed in laboratory. The results were assessed using basic statistical descriptors and model accuracy indicators (Nash and Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient and root mean square error). The investigated models satisfactorily simulated the infiltration rates and the most accurate model was modified Kostiakov, followed by the Horton; Singh and Yu; modified Holtan; Holtan; Philip; Green and Ampt/Mein and Larson and Kostiakov. Different types of land uses and soil management practices significantly affect the infiltration rates, mainly those combination with great presence of macroporosity that resulted in an erratic infiltration behavior and affected the infiltration model accuracy.
摘要:本文评价了巴西南部Ferralic arnosols和Rhodic Ferralsols中不同模型估算入渗速率的效率和适用性。还评估了9种土地利用和土壤管理方式对入渗模拟的影响。用双环式渗滤仪对42条原位试验渗滤曲线进行了模型参数化拟合。并在实验室进行了土壤表征。使用基本统计描述符和模型精度指标(Nash和Sutcliffe效率系数和均方根误差)对结果进行评估。所研究的模型均能较好地模拟入渗速率,修正的Kostiakov模型最准确,其次是Horton模型;Singh和Yu;修改Holtan;Holtan;菲利普;格林,安普特,迈恩,拉尔森,科斯提亚科夫。不同的土地利用方式和土壤管理方式对入渗速率有显著影响,其中以大孔隙的存在导致入渗行为不稳定,影响入渗模型的准确性。
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引用次数: 1
Variability and spatial distribution of hydrodynamic properties in soil with preserved Caatinga 卡廷加保存土壤水动力特性的变异及空间分布
IF 0.8 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-09 DOI: 10.1590/2318-0331.262120210058
José Martins de França Neto, A. P. Coutinho, S. D. Prima, Saulo de Tarso Marques Bezerra, Severino Martins dos Santos Neto, Ana Emília Carvalho de Gusmão da Cunha Rabelo, A. Oliveira, A. Antonino
ABSTRACT The functions of soil water retention and hydraulic conductivity are indispensable for the characterization and modeling of the infiltration and water transfer processes in the vadose zone. In the case of the Brazilian semi-arid region, characterized by the scarcity of water resources, there is a lack of information on the hydrodynamic properties of the soil. Also, these properties have numerous factors of variability, requiring the characterization of their magnitude and distribution in space. This research presents an analysis of the infiltration process and the hydrodynamic properties of the soil under native Caatinga forest, observing its spatial distribution. This vegetation is typical of the Brazilian semi-arid region. One developed a 48-point grid in an area of approximately 875 m2, and applied on it the Beerkan methodology. The analyzes were performed based on the application of the BEST-Slope algorithm and statistical measures of the position, dispersion, and adherence tests. The results showed medium to high variability indices for the hydrodynamic properties, with random spatial distribution, despite the verification of a homogeneous texture in the area. Thus, it was found that the soil structure was predominant in the processes of water infiltration.
摘要:土壤保水和导水功能是表征和模拟渗透区渗透和水转移过程不可或缺的因素。就巴西半干旱地区而言,其特点是水资源匮乏,因此缺乏关于土壤水动力特性的资料。此外,这些特性有许多可变性因素,需要表征它们的大小和在空间中的分布。本研究分析了卡廷加天然林土壤的入渗过程和水动力特性,观察了其空间分布。这种植被是巴西半干旱地区的典型。其中一个在大约875平方米的面积上开发了一个48点网格,并在其上应用了Beerkan方法。分析是基于最佳斜率算法的应用和位置、分散和粘附试验的统计测量进行的。结果表明,尽管验证了该区域的均匀纹理,但水动力特性的中高变异性指数具有随机空间分布。因此,土壤结构在水分入渗过程中起主导作用。
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引用次数: 1
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