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Mechanisms of online radicalisation: how the internet affects the radicalisation of extreme-right lone actor terrorists 网络激进化机制:互联网如何影响极右翼独行侠恐怖分子的激进化
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-30 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1993302
Guri Nordtorp Mølmen, Jacob Aasland Ravndal
ABSTRACT How does the internet affect the radicalisation of extreme-right lone actor terrorists? In the absence of an established theoretical model, this article identifies six mechanisms seen as particularly relevant for explaining online radicalisation. Having first reviewed a larger set of relevant lone actor terrorists, the study traces these mechanisms in three selected cases where the internet was reportedly used extensively during radicalisation. The findings show that the internet primarily facilitated radicalisation through information provision, as well as amplifying group polarisation and legitimising extreme ideology and violence through echoing. In all three cases, radicalisation was also affected considerably by offline push-factors that through their presence made extreme online messages more impactful. The results challenge the view that offline interaction is necessary for radicalisation to occur but also the view that online influence itself is sufficient.
摘要:互联网如何影响极右翼独行侠恐怖分子的激进化?在缺乏既定理论模型的情况下,本文确定了六种被认为与解释网络激进化特别相关的机制。该研究首先审查了一大批相关的独当一面的恐怖分子,在三个选定的案例中追踪了这些机制,据报道,在这些案例中,互联网在激进化过程中被广泛使用。研究结果表明,互联网主要通过提供信息来促进激进化,以及通过回声放大群体两极分化和使极端意识形态和暴力合法化。在这三种情况下,激进化也在很大程度上受到了线下推送因素的影响,这些因素的存在使极端的在线信息更具影响力。研究结果挑战了离线互动是激进化发生所必需的观点,也挑战了在线影响力本身就足够的观点。
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引用次数: 11
Terrorism and economic growth in Africa: understanding the role of military expenditure 恐怖主义与非洲经济增长:了解军费开支的作用
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1987967
Chimere O. Iheonu, H. Ichoku
ABSTRACT Across African countries, terrorism has become a major challenge to socioeconomic development. While there are studies that have examined the influence of terrorism on economic growth, this study adds to the existing literature by investigating the role of military expenditure on the relationship between terrorism and economic growth in Africa. The study utilised a dataset comprising 24 African countries for which terrorism activities have increased substantially in the last decades. Utilising an instrumental variable Fixed Effects model with standard errors that account for cross-sectional dependence, serial correlation and group-wise heteroskedasticity, the study revealed that, (1) terrorism has a detrimental effect on economic growth in the selected African countries, (2) the interactive effect of military expenditure and terrorism on economic growth is significantly positive, (3) the net effect of military expenditure on the relationship between terrorism and economic growth is positive when the number of terrorism incidents act as a proxy for terrorism but negative when the number of terrorism fatalities acts as a proxy for terrorism. However, this negative effect is substantially lower when compared to the unconditional effect of terrorism on economic growth in Africa. Policy recommendations based on these findings are discussed.
摘要在非洲各国,恐怖主义已成为社会经济发展面临的重大挑战。虽然有研究考察了恐怖主义对经济增长的影响,但这项研究通过调查军事支出在恐怖主义与非洲经济增长之间关系中的作用,补充了现有文献。该研究使用了一个由24个非洲国家组成的数据集,这些国家的恐怖主义活动在过去几十年中大幅增加。利用一个具有标准误差的工具变量固定效应模型,该模型考虑了横截面依赖性、序列相关性和群体异方差,研究表明,(1)恐怖主义对选定非洲国家的经济增长有不利影响,(2)军费开支和恐怖主义对经济增长的交互作用显著为正,(3)当恐怖主义事件数量代表恐怖主义时,军费开支对恐怖主义与经济增长之间关系的净影响为正,而当恐怖主义死亡人数代表恐怖主义时则为负。然而,与恐怖主义对非洲经济增长的无条件影响相比,这种负面影响要低得多。讨论了基于这些调查结果的政策建议。
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引用次数: 8
Becoming a violent extremist: a General Need and Affect model of psychological variables 成为暴力极端分子:心理变量的一般需要和影响模型
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1986110
Helma van den Berg, D. A. van Hemert
ABSTRACT Violent extremism is associated with an intricately linked network of variables. Existing psychological models and research tend to either focus on specific forms of violent extremism or take a broad perspective. We propose an abstract model for the path towards violent extremism that allows for specification when needed; the General Needs and Affect (GNA) process model. This model can be used by researchers to align research outcomes focusing on various forms of violent extremism but can also show practitioners which variables are more relevant for specific cases of violent extremism. We demonstrate how the GNA model can be used as a starting point for applications such as decision-making tools and data-collection methods and for hypothesis generation, intervention development, and simulation.
摘要暴力极端主义与一个错综复杂的变量网络有关。现有的心理学模型和研究往往要么侧重于特定形式的暴力极端主义,要么着眼于广泛的视角。我们为走向暴力极端主义的道路提出了一个抽象模型,允许在需要时进行具体说明;一般需求和影响(GNA)过程模型。研究人员可以使用该模型来调整关注各种形式暴力极端主义的研究结果,但也可以向从业者展示哪些变量与暴力极端主义的具体案例更相关。我们展示了如何将GNA模型用作决策工具和数据收集方法等应用程序以及假设生成、干预开发和模拟的起点。
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引用次数: 1
Like a chess game: radical right-wing activists explain their part in violent clashes with the state 就像下棋:激进右翼活动人士解释他们在与国家的暴力冲突中所扮演的角色
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1983633
Yair Yassan
ABSTRACT Many members of minority groups clash violently with state agents. The case of the Israeli West-Bank Settlers’ Right-Wing Activists is particularly paradoxical. Unlike disempowered groups whose ability to bring about change is limited – the Settlers constitute a powerful sociopolitical force, and the security forces with which Settler Right-Wing Activists clash, also protect them in territories to which they claim sovereignty. Based on 20 semi-structured interviews, this article provides explanations Settler Right-Wing Activists give to violent clashes in which they were involved. The findings present two non-mutually exclusive possibilities: (1) violence is perceived as an acceptable sociopolitical change strategy. Interviewees agree to risk themselves as individuals (but not to risk their group) in exchange for potential benefits such as preventing settlement evacuation; (2) Violence indicates declining mainly four out of six different components of perceived state legitimacy: trust, distributive justice, procedural justice, and legality, but primarily not identification and effectiveness.
少数民族的许多成员与政府官员发生了激烈的冲突。以色列西岸定居者的右翼激进分子的情况尤其自相矛盾。不同于那些被剥夺权力、带来变革的能力有限的群体,定居者构成了一支强大的社会政治力量,与定居者右翼激进分子发生冲突的安全部队也在他们声称拥有主权的领土上保护他们。基于20个半结构化访谈,本文提供了定居者右翼积极分子对他们参与的暴力冲突的解释。研究结果提出了两种不相互排斥的可能性:(1)暴力被认为是一种可接受的社会政治变革策略。受访者同意以个人的身份冒风险(但不让他们的群体冒风险)来换取潜在的利益,例如防止定居点撤离;(2)在国家合法性感知的六个不同组成部分中,暴力主要表明信任、分配正义、程序正义和合法性中的四个部分下降,但主要不是认同和有效性下降。
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引用次数: 0
Crouching shahid, hidden jihad: mapping the online propaganda campaign of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham-affiliated Ebaa News Agency 卧床不起的沙希德,隐藏的圣战:绘制埃巴通讯社下属的哈亚特·塔利尔·沙姆的在线宣传活动
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1977372
M. Lakomy
ABSTRACT The primary objective of this paper is to map the online presence of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s (HTS) media branch – Ebaa News Agency (ENA) – on the surface web. It also measures three years of propaganda output of the group and its viewership, as well as outlines the thematic landscape of its productions based on the content analysis of a sample. It argues that Ebaa’s messaging pattern constitutes a peculiar mixture of opposing priorities. It paid a great deal of attention to portraying itself as an independent news agency that has nothing to do with violent terrorist organizations (VEOs). In effect, its productions are easily available on the surface web. A closer look, however, proves that since 2017 ENA has been dedicated to supporting HTS’s radical Islamist agenda. This paper provides evidence of this. Moreover, Ebaa adopted a two-vector distribution strategy of its productions, composed of standalone websites and Telegram channels. In this context, the output of this media cell appears to be quite impressive. Between 2017 and 2020, it was capable of releasing more than 13,000 pieces of propaganda on its websites. At the same time, however, their viewership was lower than initially expected.
摘要本文的主要目的是绘制Hayat Tahrir al-Sham(HTS)媒体分支机构Ebaa新闻社(ENA)在surface web上的在线存在图。它还衡量了该团体三年的宣传产出及其收视率,并根据样本的内容分析概述了其作品的主题景观。它认为,Ebaa的信息传递模式构成了对立优先事项的特殊混合。它非常注意将自己描绘成一家与暴力恐怖组织无关的独立新闻机构。实际上,它的产品很容易在表面网上获得。然而,仔细观察就会发现,自2017年以来,ENA一直致力于支持HTS的激进伊斯兰议程。本文提供了这方面的证据。此外,Ebaa采用了由独立网站和Telegram频道组成的两个矢量分发策略。在这种情况下,这个媒体单元的输出似乎相当令人印象深刻。2017年至2020年间,该公司在其网站上发布了13000多条宣传信息。然而,与此同时,他们的收视率低于最初的预期。
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引用次数: 0
Dilemmas of the terrorist underworld: the management of internal secrecy in terrorist organisations 恐怖主义黑社会的困境:恐怖组织内部保密的管理
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-16 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1947867
Francesco Marone
ABSTRACT The secret and its social organisation are of course vital for terrorists. In particular, members of terrorist organisations usually have to deal with complex processes to conceal information from outside actors (external security) but also from other members (internal security). However, scholars have paid relatively little attention to this dark side from an analytical and theoretical standpoint. The practice of secrecy in terrorism deserves particular attention at the ‘meso’ level of analysis, related to organisations; unlike most ordinary organisations, terrorist organisations have to manage particularly demanding trade-offs due to their clandestine nature. This analytical contribution aims to explore how internal secrecy within terrorist organisations affects two crucial organisational dimensions – internal communication, and coordination and control. In doing so, it also critically assesses two well-developed asymmetric information approaches, signalling theory and agency theory, showing that these analytical frameworks could shed new light on the study of secrecy management in terrorist organisations, provided that they are disconnected from a reductionist assumption of individual behaviour as invariably utilitarian and atomistic. In addition, drawing upon Simmel’s classic interpretation of ‘secret societies’, the article argues that a fruitful interpretation of internal secrecy in terrorist organisations should include the critical role played by social trust.
摘要秘密及其社会组织对恐怖分子来说当然至关重要。特别是,恐怖组织成员通常必须处理复杂的过程,向外部行为者隐瞒信息(外部安全),也向其他成员隐瞒信息(内部安全)。然而,从分析和理论的角度来看,学者们对这一黑暗面的关注相对较少。恐怖主义中的保密做法值得在与组织有关的“中间”分析层面给予特别关注;与大多数普通组织不同,恐怖组织由于其秘密性质,不得不进行特别苛刻的权衡。这一分析贡献旨在探索恐怖组织内部保密如何影响两个关键的组织层面——内部沟通、协调和控制。在这样做的过程中,它还批判性地评估了两种成熟的不对称信息方法,即信号理论和代理理论,表明这些分析框架可以为恐怖组织的保密管理研究提供新的视角,前提是它们与个人行为的简化论假设断开了联系,即个人行为总是功利的和原子的。此外,文章借鉴了Simmel对“秘密社会”的经典解释,认为对恐怖组织内部秘密的富有成效的解释应该包括社会信任所发挥的关键作用。
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引用次数: 1
Correction 校正
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2020.1733286
Anonymous
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引用次数: 0
From letters to bombs. Transnational ties of West German right-wing extremists, 1972–1978 从信件到炸弹。西德右翼极端分子的跨国关系,1972-1978
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1942133
Annelotte Janse
ABSTRACT Extremists cooperate internationally to ‘influence and succeed’ or ‘survive and thrive’ [Moghadam, A. (2017). Nexus of Global Jihad: Understanding cooperation among terrorist actors. Columbia University Press (p. 21)]. Yet, the question of how such cooperation materializes and develops has been understudied, especially for right-wing extremism in the post-war era. Therefore, this paper studies a phase of heightened transnational activity of West German right-wing extremists between 1972 and 1978. It zooms in on the Nationalsozialistische Kampfgruppe Großdeutschland and the Gruppe Otte, which were spatially and temporally connected by the American neo-Nazi Gary Lauck, who led the Nationalsozialistische Deutsche Arbeiterpartei – Auslandsorganisation. To study and qualify the impact of transnational engagement on the West German extreme right, the paper introduces a new analytical framework that integrates the historical transnational approach with insights from terrorism studies. Pairing known case studies to previously unused primary source material, the paper argues that the transnational connections between the three groups transformed from indirect to direct cooperation, while evolving across ideological, logistical, and operational domains, and resulted in political violence. It concludes that the extremist cooperation marked the professionalization and multi-lateralization of the West German extreme right in the 1970s.
极端分子在国际上合作以“影响和成功”或“生存和繁荣”[Moghadam, A.(2017)]。全球圣战的联系:理解恐怖分子之间的合作。哥伦比亚大学出版社(第21页)。然而,这种合作如何实现和发展的问题一直没有得到充分的研究,特别是对战后时期的右翼极端主义而言。因此,本文研究了1972年至1978年间西德右翼极端分子跨国活动加剧的一个阶段。影片将镜头对准了大德意志国家党(Nationalsozialistische Kampfgruppe Großdeutschland)和奥特集团(Gruppe Otte),这两个组织在空间和时间上都是由美国新纳粹分子加里·劳克(Gary Lauck)领导的,他领导了德意志国家党(Nationalsozialistische Deutsche arbeiterparttei - Auslandsorganisation)联系在一起的。为了研究和限定跨国参与对西德极右翼的影响,本文引入了一个新的分析框架,该框架将历史跨国方法与恐怖主义研究的见解相结合。本文将已知的案例研究与以前未使用的原始资料相结合,认为这三个群体之间的跨国联系从间接合作转变为直接合作,同时在意识形态、后勤和行动领域不断发展,并导致了政治暴力。极端合作是20世纪70年代西德极右翼专业化和多边化的标志。
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引用次数: 0
Santri with attitude: support for terrorism and negative attitudes to non-Muslims among Indonesian observant Muslims 态度上的Santri:印尼虔诚的穆斯林对恐怖主义的支持和对非穆斯林的消极态度
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1944272
G. Barton, M. Vergani, Y. Wahid
ABSTRACT Scholars continue to wrestle with determining the extent and ways in which religiosity – and particularly more strict religious views and practices – provides fertile ground for the emergence and growth of terrorism. Using large samples of Muslim respondents from across the Indonesian archipelago, we find that: (1) higher levels of orthodox religiosity are associated with more negative attitudes to non-Muslims, and (2) higher levels of orthodox religiosity are associated with lower support for terrorist groups. We propose that this finding is consistent with the type of orthodox religiosity of Indonesian santri – that is, observant Muslims – which is usually characterised by collective religious practices, affiliation with religious mass organisations and religious education. In the Indonesian context, orthodox religiosity might provide vehicles but not motives of terrorist mobilisation, and – although it can foster negative views of out-groups – it can actually constitute a barrier to broader support for terrorism.
学者们继续努力确定宗教信仰——尤其是更严格的宗教观点和实践——为恐怖主义的出现和发展提供肥沃土壤的程度和方式。使用来自印尼群岛各地的穆斯林受访者的大量样本,我们发现:(1)正统宗教信仰水平越高,对非穆斯林的态度越消极;(2)正统宗教宗教信仰水平高,对恐怖组织的支持越低。我们认为,这一发现与印尼圣德里人(即善于观察的穆斯林)的正统宗教信仰类型一致,其特征通常是集体宗教实践、与宗教群众组织的关系和宗教教育。在印度尼西亚的背景下,正统的宗教信仰可能提供了动员恐怖分子的工具,但不是动机,尽管它可能会助长外部团体的负面看法,但它实际上可能构成更广泛支持恐怖主义的障碍。
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引用次数: 5
Rhetoric and hate crimes: examining the public response to the Trump narrative 修辞与仇恨犯罪:审视公众对特朗普叙事的反应
IF 2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/19434472.2021.1936121
Omi Hodwitz, Kelley Massingale
ABSTRACT The former Trump Administration introduced policies focused on tightening national borders and limiting migration. These policies were often prefaced with strong rhetoric designed to disparage or derogate international racial, ethnic, and spiritual communities seeking entrance to the United States. In response, the media and members of the general public suggested that Trump’s words and actions resulted in a backlash effect by significantly influencing domestic hate crimes; however, these sources are missing the empirical evidence to support such a claim. Using the UCR and multiple analytical techniques, this study aims to explore this relationship further by examining the influence of the former Trump Administration’s rhetoric on hate crimes in the United States. Results indicate that, in support of public assumptions, Trump’s narrative may promote violence targeting select communities.
前特朗普政府推出了以收紧国界和限制移民为重点的政策。这些政策通常以强烈的言辞开头,旨在贬低或贬低寻求进入美国的国际种族,民族和精神社区。对此,媒体和公众认为,特朗普的言行对国内仇恨犯罪产生了显著影响,产生了反冲效应;然而,这些来源缺乏支持这种说法的经验证据。利用UCR和多种分析技术,本研究旨在通过研究前特朗普政府对美国仇恨犯罪的言论的影响,进一步探索这种关系。结果表明,为了支持公众的假设,特朗普的叙述可能会促进针对特定社区的暴力。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression
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