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Laboratories of Harm Reduction and Treatment: Determinants of States' Policy Adoptions to Address the Opioid Epidemic. 减少伤害和治疗实验室:国家采取政策应对阿片类药物流行的决定因素。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12513804
Haruka Nagao, Rittika Shamsuddin, Emma Flournoy, Ashlyn Goad, William Hatungimana, Joshua M Jansa

Context: In the U.S. federal system, states have adopted a wide array of opioid-related policies over the past thirty years to address the ongoing overdose crisis. The underlying factors driving this variation remain unclear. Understanding what influences states to adopt more comprehensive policies-and whether they prioritize harm reduction or opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment-has important implications for public health strategy and policymaking.

Methods: This study develops state-level indexes using dozens of policy indicators to measure the comprehensiveness of opioid-related policies across two dimensions: harm reduction and treatment. Feature rank analysis and multilevel mixed effects regression are employed to assess the influence of various political, epidemiological, and socioeconomic factors.

Findings: We find that decreases in conservative citizen ideology, increases in the severity of the overdose crisis, and increases in states' economic resources are the most consistent factors influencing adoptions of more comprehensive policies. These factors shaped not only the overall robustness of state responses but also the emphasis on specific policy dimensions.

Conclusions: The study highlights key drivers behind the variation in state-level opioid policy comprehensiveness, offering a clearer picture of how political and contextual factors influence public health policymaking. These insights can guide future research on state-level health policy adoption.

背景:在美国联邦系统中,各州在过去三十年中采取了一系列与阿片类药物相关的政策来解决持续的过量危机。导致这种差异的潜在因素尚不清楚。了解是什么影响国家采取更全面的政策-以及他们是否优先考虑减少危害或阿片类药物使用障碍(OUD)治疗-对公共卫生战略和政策制定具有重要意义。方法:本研究利用数十项政策指标制定国家级指标,从减少危害和治疗两个维度衡量阿片类药物相关政策的全面性。采用特征秩分析和多水平混合效应回归来评估各种政治、流行病学和社会经济因素的影响。研究结果:我们发现,保守公民意识形态的减少、药物过量危机严重程度的增加以及国家经济资源的增加是影响采取更全面政策的最一致因素。这些因素不仅塑造了国家应对措施的总体稳健性,也塑造了对具体政策维度的重视。结论:该研究强调了州级阿片类药物政策全面性差异背后的关键驱动因素,为政治和背景因素如何影响公共卫生政策制定提供了更清晰的图景。这些见解可以指导未来关于州一级卫生政策采用的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Patent Litigation and the Timing of Entry by Biologic Biosimilars Compared to Small Molecule Generics in the U.S., 2015-2015. 2015-2015年美国生物仿制药与小分子仿制药的专利诉讼与上市时间。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12513812
Keith Drake, Rena Conti

Context: In the US, the tradeoff between incentivizing innovation and providing affordable medicines is managed by government regulation. New medicines are provided a lucrative period of exclusivity that is followed by competitive entry and lower prices. For small molecule drugs, generic competition is now common, whereas for most biologics, biosimilars are unavailable and the regulations governing competition are relatively new.

Methods: We compared the nominal patent term (time between originator/brand entry and the latest patent expiration date) and effective market life (time between originator/brand entry and biosimilar/generic entry) of the 15 biologics and 141 small molecules experiencing competitive entry during 2015-2025. We also examined how litigation outcomes affected these periods.

Findings: Despite having a much longer nominal patent term, the effective market life of biologics was similar to small molecule drugs in recent years. Biosimilars were more likely to be launched during active patent litigation whereas generics were more likely to be launched after settlements.

Conclusions: Although biosimilars are still relatively rare, the patent litigation structure does not appear to be slowing competitive entry for biologics relative to small molecule drugs. Biosimilar competition may become more common as biologics advance in their life cycle and the regulations are brought to bear.

背景:在美国,激励创新和提供负担得起的药品之间的权衡是由政府监管来管理的。新药获得了一段利润丰厚的专卖期,随后是有竞争力的进入和较低的价格。对于小分子药物,仿制药竞争现在很普遍,而对于大多数生物制剂,生物仿制药是不可用的,管理竞争的法规也是相对较新的。方法:比较2015-2025年间15种生物制剂和141种小分子竞争性进入制剂的名义专利期限(发起人/品牌申请到最新专利到期日之间的时间)和有效市场寿命(发起人/品牌申请到生物仿制药/仿制药申请之间的时间)。我们还研究了诉讼结果如何影响这些时期。研究发现:尽管生物制剂的名义专利期限较长,但近年来生物制剂的有效市场寿命与小分子药物相似。生物仿制药更有可能在积极的专利诉讼期间推出,而仿制药更有可能在和解后推出。结论:尽管生物仿制药仍然相对罕见,但相对于小分子药物,专利诉讼结构似乎并没有减缓生物仿制药的竞争进入。随着生物制剂进入其生命周期以及相关法规的实施,生物仿制药竞争可能会变得更加普遍。
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引用次数: 0
Emergence and Potential of State Healthcare Cost Growth Benchmark Programs. 国家医疗保健成本增长基准计划的出现和潜力。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12513836
Joel C Cantor

Healthcare cost benchmark programs have emerged as states seek to curb healthcare cost growth. States feel the adverse effects of rising healthcare expenditures acutely through Medicaid, employee health benefit programs, and the growing burden of benefit costs on private sector employers. Beginning with Massachusetts in 2013, eight states have established benchmarks through executive action or legislation. These programs set cost-growth benchmarks and collect data to compare spending trends to the benchmarks at multiple levels, from statewide performance to individual providers and insurers. Many states employ a graduated strategy to promote compliance with benchmarks, ranging from public reporting of provider and insurer performance to imposing sanctions for persistent growth above targets. The effectiveness of these initiatives is not yet clear, in part because most programs are relatively new and early trends were obscured by the pandemic. Several factors suggest that benchmark programs may ultimately achieve meaningful, sustainable impact, including mounting cost pressures, broad support for transparency, and phased enforcement approaches. However, entrenched interests, the need for ongoing investment in program infrastructure, and the inherent complexity of healthcare cost containment present significant challenges.

随着各州试图遏制医疗成本增长,医疗成本基准计划已经出现。通过医疗补助计划、雇员健康福利计划和私营部门雇主日益增加的福利成本负担,各州强烈地感受到医疗保健支出上升的不利影响。从2013年的马萨诸塞州开始,已有八个州通过行政命令或立法确立了基准。这些项目设定了成本增长基准,并收集数据,将支出趋势与多个层面的基准进行比较,从全州范围的表现到个人供应商和保险公司。许多州采用渐进式策略来促进对基准的遵守,从公开报告供应商和保险公司的业绩,到对持续高于目标的增长实施制裁。这些举措的有效性尚不清楚,部分原因是大多数规划相对较新,早期趋势被大流行所掩盖。有几个因素表明,基准项目最终可能会产生有意义的、可持续的影响,包括不断增加的成本压力、对透明度的广泛支持和分阶段执行方法。然而,根深蒂固的利益、对项目基础设施持续投资的需求以及医疗保健成本控制的固有复杂性,都带来了重大挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Between Knowing and Doing: The Role of Political Salience in the Adoption of Health in All Policies in the Netherlands and Beyond. 在认识和行动之间:荷兰及其他国家在所有健康政策中发挥政治突出作用。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12513796
Janna Goijaerts, Natascha van der Zwan, Jet Bussemaker

Context: Scholars have long shown that policies outside healthcare-like labor market, housing, and social assistance-affect health. Health in All Policies (HiAP) is a collaborative policy approach that integrates health into these sectors. Most research on HiAP adoption focuses on a few well-known cases, highlighting the importance of policy learning and political dynamics. This article updates this knowledge by analyzing the Netherlands alongside Finland and England, asking: How can we understand HiAP adoption in the Netherlands?

Methods: We studied the Dutch case using primary and secondary sources and compared it to Finland and England as shadow cases based on existing analyses in secondary sources.

Findings: Policy learning is necessary but not sufficient for HiAP adoption. In the Netherlands, adoption was not partisan, yet still political. The political salience of health inequality was the key factor driving HiAP adoption in the Netherlands and played this decisive yet less visible role in the shadow cases as well.

Conclusions: The Dutch case shows that HiAP can be a product of coalitional strategies outside legislative politics and respond to those coalitions' formulations of problems. Both policy learning and political salience are important, but it is their interaction that best explains whether HiAP is adopted.

背景:学者们长期以来一直表明,医疗保健之外的政策——如劳动力市场、住房和社会援助——会影响健康。将卫生纳入所有政策(HiAP)是一项将卫生纳入这些部门的协作性政策办法。大多数关于HiAP采用的研究都集中在一些众所周知的案例上,强调了政策学习和政治动态的重要性。本文通过分析荷兰、芬兰和英国来更新这一知识,提出以下问题:我们如何理解荷兰采用HiAP ?方法:利用一手资料和第二手资料对荷兰病例进行研究,并根据第二手资料的现有分析,将其与芬兰和英国作为影子病例进行比较。研究结果:政策学习对于HiAP的采用是必要的,但还不够。在荷兰,收养与党派无关,但仍带有政治色彩。卫生不平等的政治显著性是推动荷兰采用HiAP的关键因素,并且在影子案例中也发挥了决定性但不太明显的作用。结论:荷兰的案例表明,HiAP可以是立法政治之外的联盟战略的产物,并对这些联盟提出的问题作出反应。政策学习和政治突出都很重要,但最能解释HiAP是否被采用的是它们之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Work Requirements and Medicaid Enrollments: Will States Stanch Erosion? 工作要求和医疗补助登记:各州会阻止侵蚀吗?
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12513828
Michael K Gusmano, Frank Thompson

The enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) in July 2025 has introduced rigorous Medicaid work requirements, sparking projections of significant coverage losses for millions of low-income Americans. This essay examines the administrative and political dynamics that will determine whether states can mitigate this enrollment erosion. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that eligibility provisions, particularly work mandates for the Affordable Care Act's expansion population, will account for the majority of projected federal savings. We identify five primary "coping strategies" states may utilize to stanch declines, including expanding ex parte (automatic) determinations, limiting "look-back" periods for work history, and aggressively documenting "medically frail" exemptions. Implementation is expected to follow a pattern of partisan federalism, where Democratic-led states prioritize take-up practices to maintain coverage, while Republican jurisdictions may adopt policies-such as frequent eligibility reviews and monthly premiums-that exacerbate declines. Ultimately, the Trump administration's approach to federal compliance, financial support for systems development, and the approval of restrictive waivers will be pivotal in shaping the law's long-term impact on the Medicaid safety net.

2025年7月颁布的《一个美丽的大法案》(OBBBA)引入了严格的医疗补助工作要求,引发了对数百万低收入美国人的重大保险损失的预测。本文考察了行政和政治动态,这些动态将决定各州是否能够缓解这种招生侵蚀。国会预算办公室(Congressional Budget Office)估计,资格条款,特别是针对《合理医疗费用法案》(Affordable Care Act)扩大人口的工作要求,将占预计联邦储蓄的大部分。我们确定了各州可以用来遏制衰退的五种主要“应对策略”,包括扩大单方面(自动)决定,限制“回顾”工作经历的时间,以及积极记录“身体虚弱”的豁免。预计实施将遵循党派联邦制的模式,即民主党领导的州优先采取措施来维持保险覆盖,而共和党管辖范围可能会采取政策,如频繁的资格审查和每月的保费,这将加剧下降。最终,特朗普政府在遵守联邦法规、为系统开发提供财政支持以及批准限制性豁免方面的做法,将对塑造该法对医疗补助安全网的长期影响至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Health Security for All? Racial Discourse in Presidential Health Speeches from Roosevelt to Biden. 全民健康保障?从罗斯福到拜登总统健康演讲中的种族话语。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12513788
Drew Halfmann

Context: Racial inequality remains a central, entrenched characteristic of American health and health care, and racial discourse strongly shapes health politics and policy. Despite this, discussions of race and health are rare in a core site of health policymaking-the presidency-though this varies across historical periods and political parties. This study examines the prevalence and nature of racial discourse in 90 years of presidential health speeches, from Roosevelt to Biden, addressing, in particular, a debate about whether racial discourse rose or fell after the Civil Rights Era.

Methods: Quantitative content analysis and qualitative analysis of 1,359 presidential health speeches from Roosevelt to Biden.

Findings: Attention to race was higher among Democrats than Republicans. It rose sharply during the Civil Rights Era and the COVID-19 pandemic but fell during the intervening period, with most presidents discussing race and health less than same-party Civil Rights Era benchmarks, Johnson and Nixon. The qualitative analysis shows that presidents of both parties mainly engaged in positive (though sometimes paternalistic) racial discourse, but often combined it with universalist or technical language, perhaps meant to reduce White backlash.

Conclusions: The study speaks to debates about the prominence, nature and causes of racial discourse in policy-making and shows how presidents balance racial particularism and universalism.

背景:种族不平等仍然是美国健康和医疗保健的一个根深蒂固的核心特征,种族话语强烈地影响着健康政治和政策。尽管如此,在医疗政策制定的核心场所——总统职位上,关于种族和健康的讨论还是很少见的,尽管这在不同的历史时期和政党中有所不同。本研究考察了90年来总统健康演讲中种族话语的普遍性和性质,从罗斯福到拜登,特别是关于种族话语在民权时代之后是上升还是下降的辩论。方法:对从罗斯福到拜登的1359篇总统健康演讲进行定量内容分析和定性分析。调查结果:民主党人比共和党人更关注种族问题。在民权运动时代和COVID-19大流行期间,这一比例急剧上升,但在此期间下降,大多数总统讨论种族和健康的次数低于同党民权运动时代的基准,即约翰逊和尼克松。定性分析表明,两党总统主要进行积极的(尽管有时家长式的)种族话语,但往往将其与普遍主义或技术语言结合起来,可能是为了减少白人的反弹。结论:这项研究讨论了关于政策制定中种族话语的重要性、性质和原因的辩论,并展示了总统如何平衡种族特殊主义和普遍主义。
{"title":"Health Security for All? Racial Discourse in Presidential Health Speeches from Roosevelt to Biden.","authors":"Drew Halfmann","doi":"10.1215/03616878-12513788","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-12513788","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Context: </strong>Racial inequality remains a central, entrenched characteristic of American health and health care, and racial discourse strongly shapes health politics and policy. Despite this, discussions of race and health are rare in a core site of health policymaking-the presidency-though this varies across historical periods and political parties. This study examines the prevalence and nature of racial discourse in 90 years of presidential health speeches, from Roosevelt to Biden, addressing, in particular, a debate about whether racial discourse rose or fell after the Civil Rights Era.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Quantitative content analysis and qualitative analysis of 1,359 presidential health speeches from Roosevelt to Biden.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Attention to race was higher among Democrats than Republicans. It rose sharply during the Civil Rights Era and the COVID-19 pandemic but fell during the intervening period, with most presidents discussing race and health less than same-party Civil Rights Era benchmarks, Johnson and Nixon. The qualitative analysis shows that presidents of both parties mainly engaged in positive (though sometimes paternalistic) racial discourse, but often combined it with universalist or technical language, perhaps meant to reduce White backlash.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The study speaks to debates about the prominence, nature and causes of racial discourse in policy-making and shows how presidents balance racial particularism and universalism.</p>","PeriodicalId":54812,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Health Politics Policy and Law","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147488475","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mental Health in Times of Democratic Backsliding: Insights from Trump's Second Term. 民主党倒退时期的心理健康:来自特朗普第二任期的见解。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12461779
Christopher Ojeda

The United States is currently experiencing democratic backsliding. In this commentary, I consider how this backsliding impairs the mental health of Americans. Surprisingly, the literature on democratic backsliding has little to say about its impact on mental health, and the literature on mental health has little to say about the role of democratic backsliding. I draw on anecdotes, news stories, polls, and real-world events from Trump's second term to theorize about a potential connection. I highlight three ways that democratic backsliding might give rise to feelings of depression, anxiety, and to a lesser extent post-traumatic stress disorder. I then discuss how this mental toll may be felt unequally across citizens and may create a feedback loop that gives rise to more democratic backsliding. I conclude by urging scholars to build on these ideas as we collectively seek to develop and refine our understanding of this important topic.

美国目前正在经历民主倒退。在这篇评论中,我考虑了这种倒退是如何损害美国人的心理健康的。令人惊讶的是,关于民主倒退的文献几乎没有提到它对心理健康的影响,而关于心理健康的文献也几乎没有提到民主倒退的作用。我从特朗普第二任期的轶事、新闻报道、民意调查和现实世界事件中归纳出这种潜在联系的理论。我强调民主倒退可能导致抑郁、焦虑和创伤后应激障碍的三种方式。然后,我讨论了这种精神上的损失如何在公民之间产生不平等的感受,并可能形成一个反馈循环,导致更多的民主倒退。最后,我敦促学者们在我们共同寻求发展和完善我们对这一重要主题的理解时,以这些观点为基础。
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引用次数: 0
From Relf v. Weinberger to Drive-Through Delivery: Unpacking Democratic Responsiveness and Administrative Levers in U.S. Sterilization Policy. 从救济诉温伯格案到免下车递送:解读美国绝育政策中的民主反应和行政杠杆。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12461787
Liana Woskie, Kimberly Turner

Female sterilization occupies a paradoxical place in reproductive policy. When chosen freely, it is a safe and effective contraceptive method, yet has also been deployed as a tool of coercion and state control. This dual legacy makes the United States, where sterilization remains more common than other high-income democracies, an important case for examining how public accountability and policy design shape permanent contraceptive use. From a theoretical perspective, highly visible, accountability-driven interventions such as the 1974 Relf v. Weinberger case might be expected to generate larger behavioral changes than less visible administrative reforms, though prior scholarship offers mixed expectations about the relative influence of legal visibility versus economic incentives. To test these competing expectations, we analyze a harmonized panel of contraceptive surveys from 190 nations (1965-2010) and apply the synthetic-control method. We examine the behavioral impact of Relf as a democratic accountability event and contrast it with a later unrelated administrative change in U.S. hospital reimbursement policy in the 1990s. We find that the public outrage and litigation following Relf produced formal consent safeguards but were associated with limited changes in the national sterilization rates. In contrast, the 1990s payment reforms, aimed at cost containment, were associated with a sustained national decline. Together, these contrasting impacts suggest that reforms driven by court decisions and financial architecture may influence entrenched policies through different, potentially complementary, channels. Taken together, the findings affirm the important role of administrative levers alongside legislative activism, levers often overlooked in reproductive rights debates despite their capacity to reshape clinical practice.

女性绝育在生殖政策中占有自相矛盾的地位。在自由选择的情况下,它是一种安全有效的避孕方法,但也被用作强制和国家控制的工具。这种双重遗产使得绝育比其他高收入民主国家更为普遍的美国成为研究公共问责制和政策设计如何影响永久避孕措施使用的重要案例。从理论的角度来看,高度可见的、问责驱动的干预措施,如1974年的Relf v. Weinberger案,可能会比不那么明显的行政改革产生更大的行为变化,尽管之前的学术研究对法律可见性与经济激励的相对影响提供了不同的预期。为了检验这些相互竞争的期望,我们分析了来自190个 国家(1965-2010)的统一避孕调查小组,并应用了合成控制方法。我们研究了作为民主问责事件的救助对行为的影响,并将其与后来在20世纪90年代美国医院报销政策中不相关的行政变革进行了对比。我们发现,Relf之后的公愤和诉讼产生了正式的同意保障措施,但与全国绝育率的有限变化有关。相比之下,上世纪90年代旨在控制成本的支付改革,却导致了全国经济的持续下滑。总之,这些截然不同的影响表明,由法院判决和金融架构推动的改革可能通过不同的、可能互补的渠道影响根深蒂固的政策。综上所述,这些发现肯定了行政手段和立法行动主义的重要作用,尽管它们有能力重塑临床实践,但在生殖权利辩论中经常被忽视。
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引用次数: 0
Don't Take Your Guns to Town? Rural Socialization and the Long-Term Politics of Firearms. 不要带枪进城?农村社会化与火器的长期政治。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12461771
Michael E Shepherd, Kristin Lunz Trujillo, Alee Lockman

Scholars have long associated rural residency with gun ownership and conservative gun attitudes in the U.S. However, less is known about the roots and long-term stability of this relationship. Are individuals who are raised in more rural communities more likely to own weapons even when they move away? Do individuals socialized in rural communities maintain a long-term cultural attachment to guns and distinctive firearms policy attitudes? Scholars disagree about whether current rural residency versus childhood rural cultural socialization are independently related to rural gun politics. Here, we explore for the first time the relative roles of rural childhood socialization, contemporary rural residency, and rural cultural attachments to patterns of gun ownership and firearms policy attitudes. We utilize original survey data as well as the American National Elections Study to explore these questions. We find that individuals socialized in rural communities maintain their attachment to firearms and hold relatively more conservative firearms policy attitudes over their lifespan, even after moving away from rural areas. Rural cultural childhood socialization has an independent influence on the long-run politics of guns.

长期以来,学者们一直将美国的农村居住与枪支所有权和保守的枪支态度联系在一起。然而,人们对这种关系的根源和长期稳定性知之甚少。在农村地区长大的人是否更有可能拥有武器,即使他们离开了?在农村社区社会化的个人是否对枪支保持长期的文化依恋和独特的枪支政策态度?当前农村居住与童年农村文化社会化是否与农村枪支政治独立相关,学者们存在分歧。在此,我们首次探讨了农村儿童社会化、当代农村居住和农村文化依恋对枪支持有模式和枪支政策态度的相对作用。我们利用原始调查数据以及美国全国选举研究来探索这些问题。我们发现,在农村社区生活的人,即使离开农村地区,也会在一生中保持对枪支的依恋,并持有相对保守的枪支政策态度。农村文化童年社会化对枪支政治的长期发展具有独立的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Policy Design and Democratic Accountability. 政策设计与民主问责。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1215/03616878-12461739
Andrea Louise Campbell

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 extends the 2017 federal tax cuts, with most benefits going to the top of the income spectrum while cutting social programs for lower- and middle-income households including Medicaid, Medicare, provisions of the Affordable Care Act, and SNAP. An open question is whether Republican candidates will suffer electoral punishment as a result, or whether the cuts are hidden enough for the GOP to escape electoral retribution. The OBBBA uses strategic policy design to cut social policy spending in submerged, invisible ways by taking advantage of delegation to states and to private insurers and by increasing administrative burden rather than making overt eligibility or benefit reductions. An examination of previous social policy retrenchment efforts suggests that the OBBBA has more in common with the 1996 welfare reform, which retrenched through heightened administrative burdens and real declines in funding, than it does with more overt and unsuccessful retrenchment attempts, such as cuts to Social Security in the 1980s and the 2017 ACA repeal and replace effort, whose visibility resulted in policymaker backtracking and electoral retribution. Hidden policy designs can defang opposition, diminishing democratic voice.

2025年的《一个大美丽法案》延长了2017年的联邦减税政策,其中大部分福利将惠及收入最高的人群,同时削减了针对中低收入家庭的社会项目,包括医疗补助、医疗保险、《平价医疗法案》条款和SNAP。一个悬而未决的问题是,共和党候选人是否会因此受到选举惩罚,或者削减是否足够隐蔽,让共和党逃脱选举惩罚。OBBBA采用战略政策设计,通过向各州和私营保险公司授权,增加行政负担,而不是公开减少资格或福利,以隐性的、看不见的方式削减社会政策支出。对以往社会政策紧缩努力的研究表明,OBBBA与1996年的福利改革有更多的共同之处,后者通过增加行政负担和实际资金下降来实现紧缩,而不是更公开和不成功的紧缩尝试,例如20世纪80年代削减社会保障和2017年废除和取代ACA的努力,其可见性导致政策制定者退缩和选举报复。隐藏的政策设计可以削弱反对,削弱民主的声音。
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引用次数: 0
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