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Exploring plant diversity and aesthetic service of mountain and plain landscapes in semiarid ecosystems 探索半干旱生态系统中山地和平原景观的植物多样性和美学功能
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126740
Azam Khosravi Mashizi , Mohsen Sharafatmandrad , Reza Alizadeh

Aesthetic services convey express people’s opinion about natural word and are crucial to the planning of biodiversity-related environmental protection. This study presents a comprehensive approach for quantifying the aesthetic services provided by landscapes using integrated plant traits in Iran’s semiarid Iranian ecosystems. Using the opinion of expert, the significance of each plant trait for aesthetic services was examined. According to the structure equation model, the most important traits for a species’ ability to provide aesthetic services were flower, leaf, fruit, crown, and stem respectively (p < 0.01). The weighted traits and the frequency of observed species in field data were integrated to quantify aesthetic services provided by plant communities A strong synergy relationship existed between aesthetic services and forbs diversity in semiarid ecosystems (p < 0.001). The findings showed that the plain had less potential to supply aesthetic services than the mountain landscape which is a hotspot plant diversity with twice as much potential (p < 0.05). The approach described in this study, which is based on the quantification of aesthetic services and combined with biodiversity, helps to alter the way that nature is used and to advance conservation efforts, taking into account the crucial requirement for human participation in conservation plans.

美学服务表达了人们对自然的看法,对规划与生物多样性相关的环境保护至关重要。本研究提出了一种综合方法,利用伊朗半干旱生态系统中的综合植物性状量化景观提供的美学服务。通过专家意见,研究了每种植物性状对美学服务的重要性。根据结构方程模型,对物种提供美学服务能力最重要的性状分别是花、叶、果实、冠和茎(p < 0.01)。在半干旱生态系统中,美学服务与牧草多样性之间存在很强的协同关系(p <0.001)。研究结果表明,平原地区提供美学服务的潜力低于山区地貌,而山区地貌是植物多样性的热点地区,其提供美学服务的潜力是平原地区的两倍(p < 0.05)。本研究描述的方法以美学服务量化为基础,并与生物多样性相结合,有助于改变利用自然的方式,推进保护工作,同时考虑到人类参与保护计划的关键要求。
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引用次数: 0
Low altitude Vaccinium myrtillus L. populations in the Eșelnița Valley (Danube Gorge, Carpathian Mountains, Romania) Eșelnița 山谷(多瑙河峡谷,喀尔巴阡山脉,罗马尼亚)的低海拔越橘种群
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126730
Adriana Petruș-Vancea , Diana Cupșa , Sára Ferenți , Amalia-Raluca Dumbravă , Severus-Daniel Covaciu-Marcov
The presence of certain species in habitats and at altitudes different from their usual ecological requirements has great biogeographic importance. Such a situation was identified in 2023 on the middle and lower course of Eșelnița Valley, a Danube tributary in the Carpathian Mountains in southwestern Romania. Thus, in Eșelnița Valley, we identified Vaccinium myrtillus and Calluna vulgaris species in beech forests at low altitudes. The lowest altitude with V. myrtillus in Eșelnița Valley was 198 m (approximately 5 km upstream from the Danube). On Eșelnița Valley, other species related to mountain areas are also present at low altitudes, favored by the narrow shape and the cooler microclimate of the valley.
某些物种的栖息地和海拔高度与其通常的生态要求不同,这在生物地理学上具有重要意义。2023 年,我们在罗马尼亚西南部喀尔巴阡山脉的多瑙河支流埃塞尔尼ța 谷的中下游发现了这种情况。因此,在埃尔尼河谷,我们在低海拔地区的山毛榉林中发现了欧洲越橘(Vaccinium myrtillus)和鹅掌楸(Calluna vulgaris)物种。在 Eșelnița 山谷,越橘的最低海拔为 198 米(距多瑙河上游约 5 公里)。在埃希尔尼ța 谷地,其他与山区有关的物种也出现在低海拔地区,这得益于谷地狭窄的形状和凉爽的小气候。
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引用次数: 0
Cave-roosting specialisation of an oceanic island endemic microbat elevates extinction risks as caves face multiple threats 海洋岛屿特有微型蝙蝠的洞穴栖息特化提高了洞穴面临多重威胁时的灭绝风险
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126735
Y. Bunsy , R.Z. Oleksy , P. Bissessur , M.L.F. Monty , T. Gujudhur , M.O.D. Dupré , F.B.V. Florens
Bats (Chiroptera) constitute one-fifth of the global mammalian diversity, with over 1,450 species. Yet, 16.5 % of them are threatened with extinction, a situation exacerbated on islands, underscoring an urgent need for conservation efforts there. However, effective conservation action can only be as sound as the understanding of the basic ecology of such insular species. Mauritius harbours one endemic Endangered cave-roosting insectivorous bat, in recent decline, whose ecology is poorly known, hampering its conservation. We used Mormopterus acetabulosus as a model species to inform insectivorous island bat conservation in highly transformed habitats. We compared the species’ historical and current known roost distribution and sizes and estimated any change in its Area of Occupancy (AOO) and Extent of Occurrence (EOO) using GeoCAT. We also compiled the physical characteristics, environmental and anthropogenic variables of caves that are occupied and unoccupied by the bats to identify potential factors influencing roost occupancy. We found roosts in 17 of the recorded 130 lava cave tunnels, up from the nine previously recorded, including 11 permanent and six seasonal roosts, mostly (∼71 %) on privately owned land. Compared to the last surveys in 2017, the EOO remained stable at 818.9 km2, while the AOO increased by 33.3 %. This expansion may reflect previously undetected roosts or recent colonisation events or both. Cave dimensions in terms of entrance size and height as well as the number of chambers, relative humidity and distance to water best explained roost occupancy by M. acetabulosus. Caves with larger entrances may be preferred for roosting as this characteristic eases manoeuvrability and predator avoidance, and larger caves may be preferred for enhanced microclimatic stability. Occupied and unoccupied caves were found to differ in terms of physical characteristics, although cave microclimate did not vary notably. Based on their characteristics and their potential contributions to increasing the species’ EOO and AOO, six currently unoccupied caves were identified as priority sites for future conservation efforts. Legal protection of all caves, regardless of current bat occupancy is necessary to mitigate extinction risks and preserve their associated ecological functions.
蝙蝠(Chiroptera)占全球哺乳动物多样性的五分之一,有 1450 多个物种。然而,16.5%的蝙蝠濒临灭绝,这种情况在岛屿上更加严重,突出表明迫切需要在那里开展保护工作。然而,只有了解这些岛屿物种的基本生态,才能采取有效的保护行动。毛里求斯有一种特有的濒危洞栖食虫蝙蝠,近年来数量不断减少,但对其生态学却知之甚少,这阻碍了对其的保护。我们将醋栗蝠(Mormopterus acetabulosus)作为样板物种,为在高度变化的栖息地中保护食虫岛屿蝙蝠提供信息。我们比较了该物种历史上和目前已知的栖息地分布和规模,并使用 GeoCAT 估算了其栖息地面积(AOO)和出现范围(EOO)的变化。我们还汇编了蝙蝠栖息和未栖息洞穴的物理特征、环境和人为变量,以确定影响蝙蝠栖息的潜在因素。我们在记录的 130 个熔岩洞穴隧道中的 17 个发现了蝙蝠栖息地,比之前记录的 9 个有所增加,其中包括 11 个永久性栖息地和 6 个季节性栖息地,大部分(∼71 %)位于私有土地上。与2017年的上次调查相比,EOO稳定在818.9平方公里,而AOO增加了33.3%。这种扩大可能反映了以前未被发现的栖息地或最近的殖民事件,或两者兼而有之。洞穴尺寸(入口大小和高度)、洞穴数量、相对湿度和与水的距离最能解释醋栗蝠的栖息地占用情况。入口较大的洞穴可能更适于栖息,因为这一特点便于移动和躲避捕食者,而较大的洞穴可能更适于提高微气候的稳定性。尽管洞穴的微气候没有明显的差异,但发现有人居住的洞穴和无人居住的洞穴在物理特征方面存在差异。根据这些洞穴的特征及其对增加该物种的EOO和AOO的潜在贡献,目前无人居住的六个洞穴被确定为未来保护工作的优先地点。为了降低濒临灭绝的风险并保护其相关的生态功能,有必要对所有洞穴进行法律保护,无论这些洞穴目前是否有蝙蝠栖息。
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引用次数: 0
The role of protected areas in the Balkan freshwater biodiversity conservation: The case of Blidinje Nature Park (Southwestern Bosnia-Herzegovina) 保护区在巴尔干淡水生物多样性保护中的作用:布利丁耶自然公园(波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那西南部)案例
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126739
Antonella Carosi , Francesca Lorenzoni , Fabrizio Oneto , Matteo Capurro , Jasmina Ovcina , Deborah Rezzoagli , Chiara Petroselli , Roberta Selvaggi , David Cappelletti , Nuria Sanz , Massimo Lorenzoni
Freshwaters of the Balkan Peninsula show high levels of endemism and relict species, which are still little studied and are threatened by numerous anthropogenic stressors. Protected areas could give special opportunities to improve knowledge of their biodiversity and develop proper conservation measures for the most at-extinction risk species. The aims of this research were to: i) fill the knowledge gap regarding fish and crustaceans occurring in the main water bodies of the Blidinje Nature Park (Southwestern Bosnia-Herzegovina); ii) assess the population abundance and growth, for the species of conservational interest; iii) identify fish biodiversity hotspots in Bosnia-Herzegovina; iv) identify anthropogenic pressures and suggest proper conservation measures. Fish and crayfish data were collected in four sampling sites located on the main water bodies, using electrofishing and gillnets, in three sampling phases over the period July 2022-August 2023. The presence of three species at high extinction risk has been detected: Squalius tenellus, Aulopyge huegelii and Astacus astacus. Their populations were abundant, with balanced age structure and good growth performance. A spatial analysis allowed to quantify the fractions of the endemic species range covered by the Blidinje Nature Park, which were 6.1% and 2.3% for S. tenellus and A. huegelii, respectively. The presence of invasive Atlantic trout and overharvesting of crayfish seem to represent the main anthropogenic pressures on freshwater biota. The obtained information allowed to expand the knowledge on the distribution and population status of threatened species and to highlight diversity hotspots as valuable tools for their conservation and management.
巴尔干半岛的淡水中存在大量的特有物种和孑遗物种,但对这些物种的研究仍然很少,并受到许多人为因素的威胁。保护区可以提供特殊的机会,增进对其生物多样性的了解,并为面临灭绝风险最大的物种制定适当的保护措施。这项研究的目的是:i) 填补有关出现在 Blidinje 自然公园(波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那西南部)主要水体中的鱼类和甲壳类动物的知识空白;ii) 评估具有保护意义的物种的种群数量和增长情况;iii) 确定波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那鱼类生物多样性热点地区;iv) 确定人为压力并提出适当的保护措施。在 2022 年 7 月至 2023 年 8 月期间,使用电鱼和刺网在主要水体的四个取样点分三个取样阶段收集了鱼类和小龙虾的数据。发现了三种濒临灭绝的高危物种:Squalius tenellus、Aulopyge huegelii 和 Astacus astacus。它们的种群数量丰富,年龄结构均衡,生长性能良好。通过空间分析,可以量化 Blidinje 自然公园所覆盖的特有物种范围的比例,S. tenellus 和 A. huegelii 的比例分别为 6.1%和 2.3%。入侵大西洋鳟鱼和过度捕捞小龙虾似乎是淡水生物群面临的主要人为压力。所获得的信息有助于扩大对受威胁物种的分布和种群状况的了解,并突出多样性热点,作为保护和管理这些物种的宝贵工具。
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引用次数: 0
Is the general threatened status of four mammal groups affected by taxonomic changes over time? 四个哺乳动物类群的总体濒危状况是否受到分类学随时间变化的影响?
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126736
Giovanni Amori , Luca Luiselli

The geographic range is a critical factor in assessing species’ threatened status on the IUCN Red List. A smaller geographic range increases the likelihood of a species being classified as threatened. Taxonomic revisions, which can split a widely distributed taxon into multiple smaller-range species, may elevate the threatened status for these newly recognized species. While taxonomic splitting is thought to increase the perceived threatened status of species, data on birds suggest the opposite, with newly recognized species being less threatened. No similar analysis has been conducted for mammals until now. This study compares the relationship between the number of recognized and threatened species in four mammalian orders (Carnivora, Cetartiodactyla, Chiroptera, and Rodentia) between 2005 and 2022. It was found that increases in species numbers due to taxonomic revisions correlated with increases in threatened species, particularly in Primates and Cetartiodactyla. The overall threatened status of these groups changed over time, with Primates and Cetartiodactyla becoming more threatened, while Rodentia became less threatened. We emphasize the need for consistent criteria in IUCN assessments to avoid biases, and we recommend that changes in the threatened status should only occur with robust evidence.

在世界自然保护联盟红色名录中,地理范围是评估物种受威胁状况的关键因素。地理范围越小,物种被列为濒危物种的可能性就越大。分类学修订可将一个分布广泛的类群拆分为多个分布范围较小的物种,这可能会提高这些新确认物种的受威胁地位。虽然分类学拆分被认为会提高物种的受威胁程度,但鸟类的数据却表明情况恰恰相反,新确认的物种受威胁程度较低。到目前为止,还没有对哺乳动物进行过类似的分析。本研究比较了 2005 年至 2022 年间四个哺乳纲(食肉目、食肉目、脊兽目和啮齿目)中公认物种数量与受威胁物种数量之间的关系。研究发现,分类学修订导致的物种数量增加与受威胁物种的增加相关,尤其是在灵长目和鲸目。随着时间的推移,这些类群的整体濒危状况也发生了变化,灵长类和鲸目动物的濒危程度有所提高,而啮齿类动物的濒危程度有所降低。我们强调,世界自然保护联盟的评估标准必须保持一致,以避免出现偏差,并建议只有在证据确凿的情况下才能改变濒危状况。
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引用次数: 0
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126729
Laura Prosdocimi
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal human snow leopard (Panthera uncia) conflicts and mitigation measures in Baltistan - free-livestock grazing pastoral areas 巴尔蒂斯坦自由放牧区人与雪豹(Panthera uncia)的时空冲突及缓解措施
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126724
Muhammad Zaman , Rodney Jackson , Shafqat Hussain
Apex predators are essential for maintaining ecosystem balance by controlling biotic communities. The spatio-temporal grazing of livestock in pastoral areas can pose threats to endangered carnivores and their prey resulting in resource competition, conflicts and increased disease transmission. Our research aimed to assess the spatio-temporal distribution of snow leopards and livestock determine factors causing snow leopard-livestock conflicts identify seasonal conflict zones through public claims and interviews and evaluate conservation benefits and challenges. In this study, camera traps were used in 20 villages of Baltistan from November to April resulting in 720 snow leopard sightings and 8277 livestock events. Snow leopards preyed on 195 livestock in the 2022–2023 period resulting in an estimated loss of $225,004.51 USD including sheeps, goats, cows and yaks.We utilized the Generalized Linear Regression Model to examine snow leopard attacks finding that the timing of attacks was not significant. Proximity to predator-proofed corrals, traditional corrals, bite marks and distance to the nearest village or shepherd huts were positively correlated with attacks, while small stock body size was not significant. Through 110 public interviews we discovered that awareness campaigns and avoidance strategies successfully mitigated human-snow leopard conflicts. In conclusion, our results found that livestock attacks occur in pastures during both day and night with the size and sex of the livestock affecting the likelihood of attacks. Snow leopard attacks were linked to increased grazing and poorly constructed corrals. Snow leopards targeted vulnerable areas of their prey including the neck, mouth, ears and anal region. Compensation claims and field visits were used to identify conflict areas and public perception. In the future research should prioritize the use of camera traps to study prey and snow leopard density, grazing effects, food habits using genetic tools and sex determination.
顶级食肉动物通过控制生物群落来维持生态系统平衡。牧区牲畜的时空放牧会对濒危食肉动物及其猎物造成威胁,导致资源竞争、冲突和疾病传播的增加。我们的研究旨在评估雪豹和牲畜的时空分布情况,确定造成雪豹与牲畜冲突的因素,通过公众索赔和访谈确定季节性冲突区,并评估保护效益和挑战。在这项研究中,从 11 月到次年 4 月在巴尔蒂斯坦的 20 个村庄使用了相机陷阱,结果发现了 720 次雪豹目击事件和 8277 次牲畜事件。在 2022-2023 年期间,雪豹捕食了 195 头牲畜,造成的损失估计为 225,004.51 美元,包括绵羊、山羊、奶牛和牦牛。距离防捕食者畜栏、传统畜栏、咬痕以及距离最近的村庄或牧民小屋的距离与袭击事件呈正相关,而小型牲畜的体型与袭击事件无显著关系。通过 110 次公众访谈,我们发现宣传活动和避免策略成功地缓解了人与雪豹之间的冲突。总之,我们的研究结果发现,牲畜攻击事件在白天和夜晚都会在牧场发生,牲畜的大小和性别会影响攻击的可能性。雪豹的袭击与放牧的增加和畜栏的简陋有关。雪豹的攻击目标是猎物的脆弱部位,包括颈部、嘴、耳朵和肛门。赔偿要求和实地考察被用来确定冲突地区和公众看法。未来的研究应优先使用相机陷阱来研究猎物和雪豹的密度、放牧影响、使用基因工具的食物习性以及性别鉴定。
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引用次数: 0
Combining predictive distribution methods and life history to reduce geographic distribution shortfalls for two rocky Cerrado endemic leaf frogs 结合预测分布方法和生活史,减少两种塞拉多岩石特有叶蛙的地理分布缺口
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126731
Ana Cecília Holler Del Prette , Rafael Félix de Magalhães , Priscila Lemes , Tiago Leite Pezzuti , Christine Strüssmann , Caroline Batistim Oswald , Jean Carlo Pedroso de Oliveira , Fabrício Rodrigues dos Santos , Reuber Albuquerque Brandão
Species-focused conservation requires accurate knowledge of geographic distribution to effectively categorize species in red lists, assess threats, and plan conservation initiatives. In this study, we describe a protocol used to identify potential occurrence locations for two habitat-specialist leaf frogs, Pithecopus ayeaye and P. oreades, by (1) creating species distribution models (SDMs) using climate data, and (2) utilizing natural history information to select potential occurrence points in high-resolution satellite images within high-suitable climate conditions determined in the previous step. Field validation of the protocol yielded a high success rate in discovering new populations for both species. As these species show morphological and reproductive similarities, we used molecular tools for taxonomic resolution. We documented 36 new records (22 for P. ayeaye and 14 for P. oreades). The commission error in the P. oreades SDM led to new records for P. ayeaye, indicating niche conservatism and suggesting a higher climatic tolerance than predicted by the P. ayeaye SDM. Furthermore, we identified a sympatric zone that may facilitate interspecific gene flow. Our protocol effectively addressed the Wallacean shortfall for these two species, and we propose similar approaches for predicting the potential distribution of rare species with mappable specific habitat preferences.
物种保护需要准确的地理分布知识,以便有效地对红色名录中的物种进行分类、评估威胁和规划保护措施。在本研究中,我们介绍了一种用于确定两种栖息地特化叶蛙(Pithecopus ayeaye 和 P. oreades)潜在出现地点的方案,具体方法是:(1)利用气候数据创建物种分布模型(SDM);(2)利用自然历史信息在高分辨率卫星图像中选择前一步确定的高适宜气候条件下的潜在出现点。该方案的实地验证在发现这两个物种的新种群方面取得了很高的成功率。由于这两个物种在形态和繁殖方面具有相似性,我们使用了分子工具来解决分类问题。我们记录了 36 项新记录(22 项为 P. ayeaye,14 项为 P. oreades)。oreades SDM 中的错误导致了 P. ayeaye 的新记录,这表明了生态位的保守性,也表明了 P. ayeaye 比 P. oreades SDM 预测的更高的气候耐受性。此外,我们还发现了一个可能促进种间基因流动的同域。我们的方案有效地解决了这两个物种的华莱士短缺问题,我们建议采用类似的方法来预测具有可映射的特定栖息地偏好的稀有物种的潜在分布。
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引用次数: 0
A case study on the impact of coppicing on small mammal diversity: First evidence from the high Agri Valley in the Basilicata Region, Italy 关于灌木丛对小型哺乳动物多样性影响的案例研究:意大利巴西利卡塔大区阿格里山谷的初步证据
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126732
Matilde Martini , Sara Patelli , Francesca Maura Cassola , Jacopo Iaria , Martina Livornese , Sofia Prandelli , Francesco Santi , Duccio Rocchini , Martina Muraro , Pierangela Angelini , Gaetano Caricato , Achille Palma , Emanuela Carli , Laura Casella , Giuseppe Miraglia , Francesca Pretto , Roberto Cazzolla Gatti
Forestry seems to have a significant impact on the diversity and composition of forest small mammal communities. Coppicing is one of the most widely adopted silvicultural systems in Europe and its effect on the entire small mammals community remains unclear. Thus, our study aimed to preliminary assess the stand-level effect of different coppice woodland elements on community richness, focusing on forest small mammal species. Furthermore, a second aim was to assess the effect of these woodland stand elements on different small mammal taxonomic groups to evaluate possible differential responses within the community. We identified three different coppice age classes, and selected a total of 15 coppice-with-standards forest stands. Additionally, we collected data about understory shrub structure and composition. Fur samples were collected using the hair tube sampling method. We found a significant effect of the coppice age on the number of species detected in communities. Furthermore, we found a differential response between glirid and murid families, with glirid being positively affected by a higher shrub abundance, which is instead severely reduced by coppicing.
林业似乎对森林小型哺乳动物群落的多样性和组成有重大影响。矮林是欧洲最广泛采用的造林系统之一,但它对整个小型哺乳动物群落的影响仍不清楚。因此,我们的研究旨在初步评估不同矮林要素对群落丰富度的影响,重点是森林小型哺乳动物物种。此外,我们的第二个目的是评估这些林地要素对不同小型哺乳动物分类群的影响,以评估群落内可能存在的不同反应。我们确定了三个不同的灌木林龄级,共选择了 15 个标准灌木林林分。此外,我们还收集了关于林下灌木结构和组成的数据。毛皮样本采用毛管取样法采集。我们发现,灌木林龄对群落中检测到的物种数量有明显影响。此外,我们还发现鼯鼠科和鼬科之间存在不同的反应,鼯鼠科受到灌木丰度较高的积极影响,而灌木被砍伐后,鼯鼠科的灌木丰度反而会严重下降。
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引用次数: 0
Wet creatures in a warming world: How climate change will impact the future distribution of anuran amphibians from Brazilian semiarid region? 变暖世界中的潮湿生物:气候变化将如何影响巴西半干旱地区无尾两栖动物的未来分布?
IF 2.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2024.126710
Maria Letícia Silva-Santos , Paulo Cascon , Daniel C. Passos

The world has been going through a climate crisis that has led to a substantial increase in global temperatures. Consequently, amphibians, ectothermic animals that depend on water to survive/reproduce, are under increasing threat. In this research, we compared the influence of climate change on the geographic distribution between anuran species with occurrence restricted to the Brazilian semi-arid region (Caatinga domain) and widely distributed congeneric species, with occurrence in multiple biomes. We hypothesized that climate change would be more harmful for species of restricted distribution than for those widely distributed. For this purpose, using ecological niche modeling, we designed potential distribution models for current and four future climate scenarios, and compared two metrics (climatic suitability and index of extent of occurrence) between restricted and widely distributed species. The results revealed that the climatic suitability did not differ among current climatic conditions and those expected for 2050 and 2090, nor differed between species with distribution restricted to the Caatinga and widely distributed ones. On the other hand, contrary to our predictions, while species with wide distributions would tend to retract their extent of occurrence in future times, species with restricted distributions would expand their ranges. These results suggest that species with current distribution restricted to Caatinga biome might be relatively favored by the climate changes predicted for the next 80 years. However, we discuss that this result should be interpreted with very caution, because many ecological and conservation requirements need to be guaranteed so that these predictions can actually occur. Our findings contributed to the understanding of the effects of climate change on closely related taxa, with different distribution patterns, revealing particularities of the anuran amphibians that occur in semi-arid environments in response to climate changes predicted for this century.

世界正在经历一场气候危机,导致全球气温大幅上升。因此,两栖动物这种依赖水生存/繁殖的外温动物正面临着越来越大的威胁。在这项研究中,我们比较了气候变化对局限于巴西半干旱地区(卡廷加地区)的无尾两栖动物物种和广泛分布于多个生物群落的同属物种地理分布的影响。我们假设,气候变化对分布范围有限的物种造成的危害比对分布广泛的物种造成的危害更大。为此,我们利用生态位模型,设计了当前和未来四种气候情景下的潜在分布模型,并比较了限制分布物种和广泛分布物种的两个指标(气候适宜性和出现范围指数)。结果显示,气候适宜性在当前气候条件与 2050 年和 2090 年预期气候条件之间没有差异,在分布局限于卡廷加地区的物种与分布广泛的物种之间也没有差异。另一方面,与我们的预测相反,分布广泛的物种在未来的时间里会缩小其分布范围,而分布受限的物种则会扩大其分布范围。这些结果表明,目前仅限于分布在卡廷加生物群落的物种可能会相对受惠于未来 80 年的气候变化。然而,我们认为在解释这一结果时应非常谨慎,因为要使这些预测真正发生,还需要保证许多生态和保护方面的要求。我们的研究结果有助于了解气候变化对具有不同分布模式的密切相关类群的影响,揭示了半干旱环境中的无尾两栖动物在应对本世纪预测的气候变化方面的特殊性。
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Journal for Nature Conservation
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