Dana T. Musto, Kathryn A. Schoenecker, Alan K. Knapp, Joseph C. von Fischer, Cameron L. Aldridge
The American Plains Bison (Bison bison) is recognized as a grassland keystone species; however, their effect on grassland ecosystem function can vary widely among different plant communities, ranging from degradation to enhancement. Grazing dynamics, environmental conditions, and the capacity for plants to compensate for losses due to herbivory largely govern the degree and magnitude of herbivory-induced ecosystem change, making it challenging to manage grazing ecosystems. Here, we examine how different grazing intensities and environmental conditions affect aboveground herbaceous production and herbaceous nitrogen yield within high-elevation, semi-arid grasslands of the Grand Canyon ecosystem in northern Arizona, United States. We conducted a replicate herbivore exclusion experiment in grassland meadows using both long-term exclosures (0.40 ha) and temporary grazing exclusion cages (1 m2) to quantify herbaceous production and nitrogen yield in sites with high bison density (Grand Canyon National Park) and low bison density (Kaibab National Forest). Our goal was to assess the influence of bison grazing on aboveground herbaceous production, the relationship between herbaceous consumption (offtake) and production, and evaluate potential differences in herbaceous nitrogen yield. We found that bison grazing enhanced herbaceous production 1.32-fold and nitrogen yield 1.61-fold, regardless of grazing intensity, availability of soil nutrients, or spatiotemporal variation in climate during our study. Although we expected herbaceous production to decline at the highest levels of herbaceous offtake, we observed a linear positive relationship between offtake and production in Grand Canyon. Over the 2-year study, bison grazing was the primary influential factor explaining variation in grassland production compared to other environmental variables (i.e., temperature, precipitation, and soil nutrients). Our results show no evidence of degradation in aboveground plant productivity, which is an important metric of ecosystem function, from the current dynamics of bison herbivory in the grasslands of the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park.
{"title":"The role of bison (Bison bison) herbivory in the function of semi-arid grasslands of Arizona","authors":"Dana T. Musto, Kathryn A. Schoenecker, Alan K. Knapp, Joseph C. von Fischer, Cameron L. Aldridge","doi":"10.1002/eap.70143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.70143","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The American Plains Bison (<i>Bison bison</i>) is recognized as a grassland keystone species; however, their effect on grassland ecosystem function can vary widely among different plant communities, ranging from degradation to enhancement. Grazing dynamics, environmental conditions, and the capacity for plants to compensate for losses due to herbivory largely govern the degree and magnitude of herbivory-induced ecosystem change, making it challenging to manage grazing ecosystems. Here, we examine how different grazing intensities and environmental conditions affect aboveground herbaceous production and herbaceous nitrogen yield within high-elevation, semi-arid grasslands of the Grand Canyon ecosystem in northern Arizona, United States. We conducted a replicate herbivore exclusion experiment in grassland meadows using both long-term exclosures (0.40 ha) and temporary grazing exclusion cages (1 m<sup>2</sup>) to quantify herbaceous production and nitrogen yield in sites with high bison density (Grand Canyon National Park) and low bison density (Kaibab National Forest). Our goal was to assess the influence of bison grazing on aboveground herbaceous production, the relationship between herbaceous consumption (offtake) and production, and evaluate potential differences in herbaceous nitrogen yield. We found that bison grazing enhanced herbaceous production 1.32-fold and nitrogen yield 1.61-fold, regardless of grazing intensity, availability of soil nutrients, or spatiotemporal variation in climate during our study. Although we expected herbaceous production to decline at the highest levels of herbaceous offtake, we observed a linear positive relationship between offtake and production in Grand Canyon. Over the 2-year study, bison grazing was the primary influential factor explaining variation in grassland production compared to other environmental variables (i.e., temperature, precipitation, and soil nutrients). Our results show no evidence of degradation in aboveground plant productivity, which is an important metric of ecosystem function, from the current dynamics of bison herbivory in the grasslands of the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70143","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ariel Greiner, Marco Andrello, Martin Krkošek, Marie-Josée Fortin, Yashika Nand, Stacy D. Jupiter, Sangeeta Mangubhai, Amelia Wenger, Emily S. Darling
The combined effects of coral and macroalgal propagule dispersal, local bistability dynamics and pressures that span the land-sea interface are not well understood, and consequently, are not well accounted for in coral reef management planning. In particular, fishing and sedimentation from nearby watersheds can tip reefs from coral-dominated stable states to macroalgal-dominated stable states. To address these knowledge gaps, we developed a mathematical model of the benthic cover dynamics of a 75-Reef network in Fiji to compare the effectiveness of three different management intervention types: extending the area of periodic fishery closures to encompass more reefs (modeled by increasing herbivore grazing rates; managing a sea-based pressure), improving water quality across Fiji (modeled by decreasing coral mortality rates; managing a land-based pressure) and the two interventions combined (managing land and sea-based pressures simultaneously). We ran the model with three grazing scenarios (low, medium, high) to account for uncertainty in actual herbivore grazing rates among reefs, as well as to represent regimes of macroalgal-dominated, bistable and coral-dominated dynamics in isolated reefs. Our results indicate that the presence of connectivity in the model stabilized the dynamics, with the final benthic cover and management effects exhibiting almost no sensitivity to initial conditions under the medium grazing scenario. The model predicts that the integrated land-sea management is the most effective management intervention for ensuring high coral cover (>30%). We also find that fishery closure management that improves the grazing rate in less than half of the reef network can lead to increases in coral cover across the entire reef network. This result suggests that, as long as a few reefs in the network have high grazing, reefs across the network may trend to high coral cover as long as environmental conditions do not change. Based on an expected value of perfect information analysis, we find that the effectiveness of the integrated land-sea management intervention is robust to the three grazing scenarios and suggests that this model can inform management decisions even with uncertainty. These findings advance our understanding of how a network of ecosystem patches with local bistability could behave and informs their management.
{"title":"Dispersal can spread management benefits: Insights from a modeled Fijian coral reef network","authors":"Ariel Greiner, Marco Andrello, Martin Krkošek, Marie-Josée Fortin, Yashika Nand, Stacy D. Jupiter, Sangeeta Mangubhai, Amelia Wenger, Emily S. Darling","doi":"10.1002/eap.70156","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.70156","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The combined effects of coral and macroalgal propagule dispersal, local bistability dynamics and pressures that span the land-sea interface are not well understood, and consequently, are not well accounted for in coral reef management planning. In particular, fishing and sedimentation from nearby watersheds can tip reefs from coral-dominated stable states to macroalgal-dominated stable states. To address these knowledge gaps, we developed a mathematical model of the benthic cover dynamics of a 75-Reef network in Fiji to compare the effectiveness of three different management intervention types: extending the area of periodic fishery closures to encompass more reefs (modeled by increasing herbivore grazing rates; managing a sea-based pressure), improving water quality across Fiji (modeled by decreasing coral mortality rates; managing a land-based pressure) and the two interventions combined (managing land and sea-based pressures simultaneously). We ran the model with three grazing scenarios (low, medium, high) to account for uncertainty in actual herbivore grazing rates among reefs, as well as to represent regimes of macroalgal-dominated, bistable and coral-dominated dynamics in isolated reefs. Our results indicate that the presence of connectivity in the model stabilized the dynamics, with the final benthic cover and management effects exhibiting almost no sensitivity to initial conditions under the medium grazing scenario. The model predicts that the integrated land-sea management is the most effective management intervention for ensuring high coral cover (>30%). We also find that fishery closure management that improves the grazing rate in less than half of the reef network can lead to increases in coral cover across the entire reef network. This result suggests that, as long as a few reefs in the network have high grazing, reefs across the network may trend to high coral cover as long as environmental conditions do not change. Based on an expected value of perfect information analysis, we find that the effectiveness of the integrated land-sea management intervention is robust to the three grazing scenarios and suggests that this model can inform management decisions even with uncertainty. These findings advance our understanding of how a network of ecosystem patches with local bistability could behave and informs their management.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70156","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Camila Batista Vieira, Gedimar Pereira Barbosa, Ana Carolina dos Santos, Neliton Lara, Erick Mateus-Barros, Jorge Laço Portinho, Hugo Sarmento, Gilmar Perbiche-Neves, Cassiana C. Montagner, Luis Schiesari, Victor S. Saito, Tadeu Siqueira
Pesticide contamination in freshwater habitats is a major global issue, affecting water quality, biodiversity, and ecosystem services. Uncontaminated habitats embedded in agricultural landscapes might act as keystone communities, with the ability to restore diversity and ecological processes in contaminated sites through dispersal. Despite their potential relevance, the role of keystone communities in mitigating agrochemical contamination remains untested. We asked if pristine habitats embedded in agricultural landscapes can act as keystone communities and drive the recovery of contaminated habitats. To answer this question, we conducted a mesocosm experiment to simulate zooplankton metacommunity dynamics under three treatments: uncontaminated, fully contaminated, and partially contaminated metacommunities. We examined communities over time following dispersal and pesticide contamination to analyze their trajectories, diversity, and recovery capacity. Analyses were conducted for all species, as well as for Cladocera and Copepoda separately, at both local (individual communities) and regional scales (three communities linked by dispersal—i.e., metacommunities). Taxon-specific population trajectories indicated that cladoceran densities increased across treatments irrespective of contamination, whereas copepods exhibited species-level declines or increases under local pesticide exposure. These taxon-specific population responses to contamination altered community trajectories, resulting in a greater loss of species in completely contaminated metacommunities. Metacommunities with uncontaminated habitats partially recovered from contamination and showed compositional and gamma diversity patterns comparable to uncontaminated metacommunities. Recovery patterns differed across Cladocera and Copepoda, with recovery being more evident at the regional scales. Keystone communities had a greater influence on the recovery of Cladocera community composition and on Copepoda gamma diversity. Our results supported the prediction that keystone communities play a fundamental role in local and regional dynamics of aquatic metacommunities inserted in landscapes with a heterogeneous structure of contamination. Positioning preserved habitats well connected to impacted sites could allow a quick colonization after pesticide contamination, recovering the system until the next crop management cycle. However, taxon-specific trajectories underscore the need to consider functional and dispersal traits when designing mitigation strategies. We thus suggest a metacommunity perspective for better predictions of risks associated with pesticide use in nature and ways of mitigating them.
{"title":"Keystone communities can rescue aquatic metacommunities influenced by pesticide contamination","authors":"Camila Batista Vieira, Gedimar Pereira Barbosa, Ana Carolina dos Santos, Neliton Lara, Erick Mateus-Barros, Jorge Laço Portinho, Hugo Sarmento, Gilmar Perbiche-Neves, Cassiana C. Montagner, Luis Schiesari, Victor S. Saito, Tadeu Siqueira","doi":"10.1002/eap.70145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.70145","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Pesticide contamination in freshwater habitats is a major global issue, affecting water quality, biodiversity, and ecosystem services. Uncontaminated habitats embedded in agricultural landscapes might act as keystone communities, with the ability to restore diversity and ecological processes in contaminated sites through dispersal. Despite their potential relevance, the role of keystone communities in mitigating agrochemical contamination remains untested. We asked if pristine habitats embedded in agricultural landscapes can act as keystone communities and drive the recovery of contaminated habitats. To answer this question, we conducted a mesocosm experiment to simulate zooplankton metacommunity dynamics under three treatments: uncontaminated, fully contaminated, and partially contaminated metacommunities. We examined communities over time following dispersal and pesticide contamination to analyze their trajectories, diversity, and recovery capacity. Analyses were conducted for all species, as well as for Cladocera and Copepoda separately, at both local (individual communities) and regional scales (three communities linked by dispersal—i.e., metacommunities). Taxon-specific population trajectories indicated that cladoceran densities increased across treatments irrespective of contamination, whereas copepods exhibited species-level declines or increases under local pesticide exposure. These taxon-specific population responses to contamination altered community trajectories, resulting in a greater loss of species in completely contaminated metacommunities. Metacommunities with uncontaminated habitats partially recovered from contamination and showed compositional and gamma diversity patterns comparable to uncontaminated metacommunities. Recovery patterns differed across Cladocera and Copepoda, with recovery being more evident at the regional scales. Keystone communities had a greater influence on the recovery of Cladocera community composition and on Copepoda gamma diversity. Our results supported the prediction that keystone communities play a fundamental role in local and regional dynamics of aquatic metacommunities inserted in landscapes with a heterogeneous structure of contamination. Positioning preserved habitats well connected to impacted sites could allow a quick colonization after pesticide contamination, recovering the system until the next crop management cycle. However, taxon-specific trajectories underscore the need to consider functional and dispersal traits when designing mitigation strategies. We thus suggest a metacommunity perspective for better predictions of risks associated with pesticide use in nature and ways of mitigating them.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70145","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Brock Geary, W. Ryan James, Jordan Karubian, James A. Nelson, Paul L. Leberg
As coastal restoration projects around the world continue to grow in scale and frequency, it is critical to consider how modified landscapes support wildlife species of concern and broader ecosystem function. In the northern Gulf of Mexico, particularly coastal Louisiana, maintenance of barrier islands serves to protect inland human settlements, and provide critical breeding habitat for many waterbird populations. To remain productive, colonies must also be linked to high-quality marine foraging areas, though these relationships are rarely evaluated in active restoration areas. To demonstrate how this linkage can be evaluated in dynamic environments at a regional scale, we coupled remote sensing and stable isotope data to generate maps of energetic importance for Gulf menhaden (Brevoortia patronus), one of the most ecologically and economically important fish species in the northern Gulf. We then overlaid these maps with foraging movement data from brown pelicans (Pelecanus occidentalis) nesting at three of the largest remaining colonies in the state to assess how a novel characterization of their prey distribution matched individual bird movements. We found that the quality of foraging habitat (i.e., menhaden resource quality) had a significant influence on space use decisions of pelicans over space, time, and multiple scales of movement, as well as strong spatial segregation between colonies, highlighting the importance of island placement when considering restoration priorities and wildlife response. Our results show the considerable potential that “E-scapes” hold as a valuable tool for future restoration planning, with utility in assessment of coastal ecosystem function from a spatially explicit, multi-trophic perspective.
{"title":"Remote sensing and foraging data illustrate landscape-scale considerations for coastal restoration and avian management","authors":"Brock Geary, W. Ryan James, Jordan Karubian, James A. Nelson, Paul L. Leberg","doi":"10.1002/eap.70152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.70152","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As coastal restoration projects around the world continue to grow in scale and frequency, it is critical to consider how modified landscapes support wildlife species of concern and broader ecosystem function. In the northern Gulf of Mexico, particularly coastal Louisiana, maintenance of barrier islands serves to protect inland human settlements, and provide critical breeding habitat for many waterbird populations. To remain productive, colonies must also be linked to high-quality marine foraging areas, though these relationships are rarely evaluated in active restoration areas. To demonstrate how this linkage can be evaluated in dynamic environments at a regional scale, we coupled remote sensing and stable isotope data to generate maps of energetic importance for Gulf menhaden (<i>Brevoortia patronus</i>), one of the most ecologically and economically important fish species in the northern Gulf. We then overlaid these maps with foraging movement data from brown pelicans (<i>Pelecanus occidentalis</i>) nesting at three of the largest remaining colonies in the state to assess how a novel characterization of their prey distribution matched individual bird movements. We found that the quality of foraging habitat (i.e., menhaden resource quality) had a significant influence on space use decisions of pelicans over space, time, and multiple scales of movement, as well as strong spatial segregation between colonies, highlighting the importance of island placement when considering restoration priorities and wildlife response. Our results show the considerable potential that “<i>E</i>-scapes” hold as a valuable tool for future restoration planning, with utility in assessment of coastal ecosystem function from a spatially explicit, multi-trophic perspective.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70152","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145695453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
David M. Delaney, Tyler M. Harms, Stephen J. Dinsmore
Techniques to estimate the density of unmarked animals are widely used by ecologists, but accurate estimates from these methods rely on assumptions about the study system. We conducted thermal-imaging drone surveys to test the validity of three assumptions for conducting distance sampling on white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) via nocturnal spotlight surveys in Iowa, USA. We found that the proportion of the population that occurred within forests that are unsamplable (i.e., availability bias) was negligible when vegetative green-up was sparse but increased to more than 50% as spring green-up progressed. The proportion of deer that were bedded, which are less detectable than standing or walking deer, depended on the day of year and time of night, suggesting these variables should be modeled on detection probability to reduce bias in parameter estimates. Lastly, we found evidence of road avoidance which influences how we analyze distance sampling data from road-based survey designs. Each of these deviations from the assumptions of conventional distance sampling informs future sampling design and analysis and will improve the accuracy of density estimates in our system. More generally, our study provides an example of how drone surveys can be conducted to improve density estimation techniques for a range of animal systems.
{"title":"Method matters: Use of thermal-imaging drones to assess the assumptions of density estimation techniques","authors":"David M. Delaney, Tyler M. Harms, Stephen J. Dinsmore","doi":"10.1002/eap.70164","DOIUrl":"10.1002/eap.70164","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Techniques to estimate the density of unmarked animals are widely used by ecologists, but accurate estimates from these methods rely on assumptions about the study system. We conducted thermal-imaging drone surveys to test the validity of three assumptions for conducting distance sampling on white-tailed deer (<i>Odocoileus virginianus</i>) via nocturnal spotlight surveys in Iowa, USA. We found that the proportion of the population that occurred within forests that are unsamplable (i.e., availability bias) was negligible when vegetative green-up was sparse but increased to more than 50% as spring green-up progressed. The proportion of deer that were bedded, which are less detectable than standing or walking deer, depended on the day of year and time of night, suggesting these variables should be modeled on detection probability to reduce bias in parameter estimates. Lastly, we found evidence of road avoidance which influences how we analyze distance sampling data from road-based survey designs. Each of these deviations from the assumptions of conventional distance sampling informs future sampling design and analysis and will improve the accuracy of density estimates in our system. More generally, our study provides an example of how drone surveys can be conducted to improve density estimation techniques for a range of animal systems.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70164","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145704278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Oliver P. Pratt, Leah S. Beesley, Daniel C. Gwinn, Thiaggo C. Tayer, Bradley J. Pusey, Chris S. Keogh, Samantha A. Setterfield, Michael M. Douglas
While it is widely recognized that reduced river-floodplain connectivity has contributed to the decline of biodiversity in floodplain rivers, surprisingly few studies have quantified the relationship between connectivity, pool persistence, and fish assemblage structure to the level required to generate measurable targets for management. The task is further complicated by the inherent complexity of accurately describing fish assemblages. We maximized our capacity to describe unbiased hydrology–fish relationships by sampling fish assemblages in floodplain pools with a variety of connection histories (60 sampling events), and by using a hierarchical multispecies occupancy model that accounts for changes in sampling design and species detection. Our study was conducted in a tropical wet-dry river threatened by water resource development and elevated temperatures associated with climate change, the Fitzroy River (Western Australia). Our results revealed that wet season (river-floodplain connectivity) and dry season (pool persistence) components of the hydrological cycle influenced fish occurrence in floodplain pools. Pools that were connected to the river by short distances were substantially more species rich than distal pools. This effect was strong at distances <2000 m but negligible at distances greater than 3000 m. Species richness in floodplain pools increased when wet season connection to the river lasted more than 25 days, and when river stage height exceeded 6 m. Prolonged connection to the river (up to 90 days) during overbank flooding (river stage height >11 m) maximized fish species richness in floodplain pools. Dry season components of the hydrological cycle also influenced fish assemblage structure, with pools that persisted during the preceding dry season twice as species rich as those that dried. Our model revealed that sampling gear influenced species detectability, indicating that accounting for variable detection is critical when assessing fish assemblage structure. Given that large flood events are less likely to be impacted by water take, we recommend that managers seeking to maintain floodplain fish diversity ensure that water resource development does not negatively impact pool persistence during the dry season.
{"title":"Large, prolonged flooding and pool persistence promote floodplain fish diversity in a threatened river","authors":"Oliver P. Pratt, Leah S. Beesley, Daniel C. Gwinn, Thiaggo C. Tayer, Bradley J. Pusey, Chris S. Keogh, Samantha A. Setterfield, Michael M. Douglas","doi":"10.1002/eap.70155","DOIUrl":"10.1002/eap.70155","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While it is widely recognized that reduced river-floodplain connectivity has contributed to the decline of biodiversity in floodplain rivers, surprisingly few studies have quantified the relationship between connectivity, pool persistence, and fish assemblage structure to the level required to generate measurable targets for management. The task is further complicated by the inherent complexity of accurately describing fish assemblages. We maximized our capacity to describe unbiased hydrology–fish relationships by sampling fish assemblages in floodplain pools with a variety of connection histories (60 sampling events), and by using a hierarchical multispecies occupancy model that accounts for changes in sampling design and species detection. Our study was conducted in a tropical wet-dry river threatened by water resource development and elevated temperatures associated with climate change, the Fitzroy River (Western Australia). Our results revealed that wet season (river-floodplain connectivity) and dry season (pool persistence) components of the hydrological cycle influenced fish occurrence in floodplain pools. Pools that were connected to the river by short distances were substantially more species rich than distal pools. This effect was strong at distances <2000 m but negligible at distances greater than 3000 m. Species richness in floodplain pools increased when wet season connection to the river lasted more than 25 days, and when river stage height exceeded 6 m. Prolonged connection to the river (up to 90 days) during overbank flooding (river stage height >11 m) maximized fish species richness in floodplain pools. Dry season components of the hydrological cycle also influenced fish assemblage structure, with pools that persisted during the preceding dry season twice as species rich as those that dried. Our model revealed that sampling gear influenced species detectability, indicating that accounting for variable detection is critical when assessing fish assemblage structure. Given that large flood events are less likely to be impacted by water take, we recommend that managers seeking to maintain floodplain fish diversity ensure that water resource development does not negatively impact pool persistence during the dry season.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70155","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145598958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>The “Long-term ecological effects of forest fuel and restoration treatments” Special Feature focuses on the status of the national Fire and Fire Surrogates study (FFS) after twenty years of research. The FFS study was initially proposed in response to an important finding of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project (SNEP, <span>1996</span>) which stated, “Although silvicultural treatments can mimic the effects of fire on structural patterns of woody vegetation, virtually no data exist on the ability to mimic ecological functions of natural fire.” Thus, the FFS was designed as a multisite, multidisciplinary study to evaluate the long-term ecological consequences of prescribed fire and its mechanical surrogates. All treatments were intended to reduce the risk of high-intensity, severe fires while restoring resiliency in widespread seasonally dry forests originally characterized by frequent, low-moderate-intensity fire regimes. It is recognized that the structure and composition of such forests have been altered by fire suppression and exclusion, livestock grazing, invasive species, and preferential harvest of large-diameter trees (Arthur et al., <span>2021</span>; Hagmann et al., <span>2021</span>). These changes have created conditions of increased tree density and altered species composition with generally smaller tree sizes, and increased fuel loads in the western United States (US) that help to support increasingly larger and more severe fires as seen over the last few decades (Hagmann et al., <span>2021</span>). It also appears that where such forests burn severely, they are tending to burn severely in subsequent fires inhibiting recovery to forest and potentially contributing to conversion to non-forest vegetation types (Coop et al., <span>2020</span>). It is widely thought that forests with these elevated hazard conditions would benefit from some form of active management such as prescribed fire, mechanical treatments, or both. In contrast, fire exclusion in many eastern US oak ecosystems reduces flammability by facilitating the increased abundance of mesophytic species, thus limiting the capacity for restoration with prescribed fire (Alexander et al., <span>2021</span>).</p><p>The primary goal of the FFS study was to measure and compare the long-term effectiveness and ecological consequences of using common, locally derived, fuel reduction and forest restoration treatments. The intent of the FFS fuel reduction treatments was to reduce the potential risk of high-severity fire while creating forest structures more resilient to disturbance. Each study site was to use the following three treatments—prescribed fire alone (FIRE), mechanical treatment alone (MECH), mechanical treatment followed by prescribed fire (MECH+FIRE), and untreated controls (Cont). Each treatment would be designed to achieve stand conditions where 80% of the dominant and co-dominant trees would survive a wildfire under 80th percentile fire weather conditions (McIver et al.,
“森林燃料的长期生态效应和恢复处理”专题介绍了经过二十年的研究,全国火与火替代品研究(FFS)的现状。FFS研究最初是根据内华达山脉生态系统项目(Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project, SNEP, 1996)的一项重要发现提出的,该发现指出,“虽然造林处理可以模拟火灾对木本植被结构模式的影响,但实际上没有数据表明模拟自然火灾的生态功能的能力。”因此,FFS被设计为一项多地点、多学科的研究,以评估规定火灾及其机械替代品的长期生态后果。所有的处理措施都旨在降低高强度、严重火灾的风险,同时恢复广泛的季节性干旱森林的恢复能力,这些森林最初以频繁、低强度、中等强度的火灾为特征。人们认识到,这些森林的结构和组成已经被灭火和排斥、放牧、入侵物种和优先采伐大直径树木所改变(Arthur et al., 2021; Hagmann et al., 2021)。这些变化创造了树木密度增加和物种组成改变的条件,树木大小普遍较小,并且增加了美国西部(US)的燃料负荷,这有助于支持过去几十年来越来越大和更严重的火灾(Hagmann等人,2021)。此外,在这些森林严重燃烧的地方,它们往往在随后的火灾中严重燃烧,抑制了森林的恢复,并可能导致向非森林植被类型的转变(Coop等人,2020)。人们普遍认为,具有这些高危险条件的森林将受益于某种形式的积极管理,如规定的火灾,机械处理,或两者兼而有之。相比之下,在许多美国东部的橡树生态系统中,通过促进叶生植物物种丰富度的增加,防火降低了可燃性,从而限制了使用规定火灾进行恢复的能力(Alexander et al., 2021)。FFS研究的主要目标是衡量和比较使用共同的、当地产生的燃料减少和森林恢复处理的长期有效性和生态后果。FFS燃料减少处理的目的是减少严重火灾的潜在风险,同时使森林结构更能适应干扰。每个研究地点采用以下三种治疗方法:单独处方火(fire)、单独机械处理(MECH)、机械处理后处方火(MECH+ fire)和未经处理的对照组(Cont)。每一种处理都将被设计为达到80%的优势树和共优势树在80%的火灾天气条件下存活的林分条件(McIver等,2009)。在最初的12个站点中(参见Bernal等人,2025年的站点位置图1),有4个站点仍然积极参与定期维护处理和数据收集,其中两个在美国西部,两个在美国东部(野火烧毁了另外两个西部FFS站点- goosenest和Mission creek -它们将在下面讨论)。由于缺乏持续的长期资金支持,导致许多原始站点暂停或间歇性活动,因此FFS网络无法维持。有趣的是,所有四个活跃的网站都是大学管理的网站,然而,许多其他网站是由联邦机构管理的;然而,联邦研究人员一直是所有四个活跃的田间FFS站点的关键组成部分。本文提出的论文旨在从剩余的四个活动地点收集迄今为止FFS研究的结果。Stephens等人(2024)在加州大学Blodgett森林研究站工作时发现,所有三种有效处理(FIRE, MECH, MECH+FIRE)产生的森林条件比未经处理的控制更能抵抗野火。在初始处理7年后,由于咀嚼过的燃料床分解,MECH+ fire产生了较低的火灾危险,并且MECH+ fire的树木生长低于对照。虽然FIRE减少了模拟野火的危险,并重新引入了一个基本的生态系统过程,但这对土地所有者来说是一种净成本。使用包括咀嚼和恢复疏林在内的MECH产生了正收益(参见Hartsough, 2003),并且作为减少模拟野火危害的投资也相对强劲。MECH+FIRE的处理方式是维持财政可行性的愿望与重新引入火力的愿望之间的妥协。作者进一步发现,这些处理还使森林对气候变化和干旱的影响更具弹性,尽管不同处理类型的效果不同,其中MECH+FIRE对提高恢复力的影响最大。 在北落基山脉研究地点,蒙大拿大学Lubrecht实验森林,Hood等人(2024)发现广泛支持MECH和MECH+FIRE可以用于减少火灾危险,但MECH+FIRE仍然有效更长时间。MECH+FIRE处理的20多年有效性还有一个额外的好处,即在发生野火时增加稳定的地上碳储量。FIRE处理在减少危害方面效果有限,可能是因为许多道格拉斯冷杉(孟氏假杉)已经建立并生长到耐火的大小,而没有频繁的低强度火灾,通常会杀死许多较小的树木。Lubrecht FFS研究在其他长期研究中是独一无二的,因为它不仅证明了森林燃料和恢复处理对生态系统的影响,而且还证明了山松甲虫(Dendroctonus ponderosae)爆发的生态系统影响,MECH和MECH+FIRE处理再次促进了高复原力。然而,这些一次性治疗的效果正在减弱,需要后续治疗来维持对多种干扰剂的恢复力。在俄亥俄山混合橡树场地,Hutchinson等人(2024)表明,中度和偶尔高强度的重复火灾导致FIRE和MECH+FIRE处理之间的响应相似:降低中层中生植物的优势,提高橡树和山核桃的更新,增加地面植物物种丰富度。在能量和水分的地形梯度上,火灾强度和生态响应存在显著差异。在没有火的情况下,仅用mech处理并不是一个可行的火替代品,因为中间分化过程(橡树向枫木的过渡)实际上是加速的。该论文总结了北卡罗来纳州西部绿河狩猎地的工作(Taylor等人,2025年),重点关注了促进橡树进入树龄阶段的田间FFS处理效果,着眼于阻止(甚至逆转)阿巴拉契亚南部森林正在进行的中间发育过程(Nowacki & Abrams, 2008年)。重复FIRE处理能有效降低有机层(duff)厚度。野火中的达夫消耗与该地区的林下植被死亡率有关(Carpenter et al., 2021),但在FIRE样地观察到的减少与绿河的此类死亡率无关。因此,单独的FIRE可能足以通过减少落叶来减轻对现有的上层树木的风险,但显然不能使幼苗/幼树层的橡树与叶生植物物种竞争。唯一使林下栎树幼树丰度增加的田间FFS处理是MECH+FIRE处理,这与这些样地林下栎树死亡导致的基底面积(BA)减少有关。在MECH+FIRE小区中,BA的减少伴随着秸秆深度的显著减少,秸秆深度的最大减少与最大的死亡率相关。Bernal等人(2025)在一篇论文中同时考察了四个活跃的FFS站点的结果,发现在FFS启动20年后,所有研究站点的一个新主题是燃料处理有效。然而,从长远来看,能否取得预期的结果取决于所使用的治疗方法的类型和实施治疗的地区。在西部,加利福尼亚和蒙大拿州的干燥混合针叶林,MECH+FIRE的组合通过创造树木更大、地表燃料更低、适应火灾的物种组成更高的林分,促进了最大的恢复能力。在俄亥俄州和北卡罗来纳州的东部阔叶林中,火对促进现有的上层树木的恢复力最有效,特别是在频繁的间隔反复使用火的情况下。不同地区、地点和处理方法之间的不同相互作用证明了在频繁火灾的生态系统中存在的燃料和植被的多样性。认识到频繁火灾的生态系统不是一个整体是Bernal等人(2025)的一个重要发现。随着时间的推移,我们对如何使用或模拟使用火力来有效地实现目标的需求正在发生变化。尽管每个站点的目标和管理方法不同,但我们一致发现,原始的处方受到我们预测新出现的干扰的能力的限制。无论是干旱、昆虫还是非本地物种,
{"title":"The national Fire and Fire Surrogates study at twenty years","authors":"Carl N. Skinner, Scott L. Stephens","doi":"10.1002/eap.70154","DOIUrl":"10.1002/eap.70154","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The “Long-term ecological effects of forest fuel and restoration treatments” Special Feature focuses on the status of the national Fire and Fire Surrogates study (FFS) after twenty years of research. The FFS study was initially proposed in response to an important finding of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project (SNEP, <span>1996</span>) which stated, “Although silvicultural treatments can mimic the effects of fire on structural patterns of woody vegetation, virtually no data exist on the ability to mimic ecological functions of natural fire.” Thus, the FFS was designed as a multisite, multidisciplinary study to evaluate the long-term ecological consequences of prescribed fire and its mechanical surrogates. All treatments were intended to reduce the risk of high-intensity, severe fires while restoring resiliency in widespread seasonally dry forests originally characterized by frequent, low-moderate-intensity fire regimes. It is recognized that the structure and composition of such forests have been altered by fire suppression and exclusion, livestock grazing, invasive species, and preferential harvest of large-diameter trees (Arthur et al., <span>2021</span>; Hagmann et al., <span>2021</span>). These changes have created conditions of increased tree density and altered species composition with generally smaller tree sizes, and increased fuel loads in the western United States (US) that help to support increasingly larger and more severe fires as seen over the last few decades (Hagmann et al., <span>2021</span>). It also appears that where such forests burn severely, they are tending to burn severely in subsequent fires inhibiting recovery to forest and potentially contributing to conversion to non-forest vegetation types (Coop et al., <span>2020</span>). It is widely thought that forests with these elevated hazard conditions would benefit from some form of active management such as prescribed fire, mechanical treatments, or both. In contrast, fire exclusion in many eastern US oak ecosystems reduces flammability by facilitating the increased abundance of mesophytic species, thus limiting the capacity for restoration with prescribed fire (Alexander et al., <span>2021</span>).</p><p>The primary goal of the FFS study was to measure and compare the long-term effectiveness and ecological consequences of using common, locally derived, fuel reduction and forest restoration treatments. The intent of the FFS fuel reduction treatments was to reduce the potential risk of high-severity fire while creating forest structures more resilient to disturbance. Each study site was to use the following three treatments—prescribed fire alone (FIRE), mechanical treatment alone (MECH), mechanical treatment followed by prescribed fire (MECH+FIRE), and untreated controls (Cont). Each treatment would be designed to achieve stand conditions where 80% of the dominant and co-dominant trees would survive a wildfire under 80th percentile fire weather conditions (McIver et al., ","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70154","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145583716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Naoki Saito, Hiroki Kise, Travis W. Washburn, Eri Ikeuchi, Akira Iguchi, Hiroko Kamoshida, Atsushi Suzuki
Seamounts are unique habitats in the deep sea facing anthropogenic stressors, including future deep-sea mining. To conserve patchy marine habitats such as seamounts, it is critical to design conservation area networks that maintain connectivity by larval dispersal. This study conducted biophysical modeling to quantify larval dispersal among 18 seamounts in the Northwest Pacific, within the scope of a regional environmental management plan for mining under development by the International Seabed Authority. Seamounts formed a single dispersal network, but excluding seamounts with mining potential showed the network could become fragmented. Two seamounts whose mining potential was relinquished in 2024 were identified as key stepping stones, suggesting that environmental conservation at these two seamounts can contribute to maintaining a single dispersal network. Predominant eastward or westward currents, likely related to the North Equatorial Intermediate Current, made the upstream, distant seamounts vital larval sources. Trajectories of Argo floats and gene flows of amphipods provided physical and biological support for the modeled dispersal. This study highlights the potential for effective conservation area placement based on a seamount network connected by upstream-based larval dispersal.
{"title":"Seamount larval dispersal networks: A potential strategy for conserving ecological connectivity from deep-sea mining","authors":"Naoki Saito, Hiroki Kise, Travis W. Washburn, Eri Ikeuchi, Akira Iguchi, Hiroko Kamoshida, Atsushi Suzuki","doi":"10.1002/eap.70086","DOIUrl":"10.1002/eap.70086","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Seamounts are unique habitats in the deep sea facing anthropogenic stressors, including future deep-sea mining. To conserve patchy marine habitats such as seamounts, it is critical to design conservation area networks that maintain connectivity by larval dispersal. This study conducted biophysical modeling to quantify larval dispersal among 18 seamounts in the Northwest Pacific, within the scope of a regional environmental management plan for mining under development by the International Seabed Authority. Seamounts formed a single dispersal network, but excluding seamounts with mining potential showed the network could become fragmented. Two seamounts whose mining potential was relinquished in 2024 were identified as key stepping stones, suggesting that environmental conservation at these two seamounts can contribute to maintaining a single dispersal network. Predominant eastward or westward currents, likely related to the North Equatorial Intermediate Current, made the upstream, distant seamounts vital larval sources. Trajectories of Argo floats and gene flows of amphipods provided physical and biological support for the modeled dispersal. This study highlights the potential for effective conservation area placement based on a seamount network connected by upstream-based larval dispersal.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70086","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145582960","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Shruti Khanna, Catarina Pien, Pascale Goertler, Lauren Yamane, Elizabeth Stumpner, Jereme William Gaeta, Dylan Chapple, Mattea Berglund, Ryan Peek
River-floodplain ecosystems near urban centers are heavily engineered for flood protection and water delivery, which has led to a loss of lateral hydrologic connectivity between rivers and their floodplains. This study has two objectives: (1) Does increased lateral connectivity resulting from floodplain inundation increase chlorophyll a biomass? (2) Does that bump in chlorophyll a get transported downstream? The San Francisco Estuary in California, USA, has a robust and long-term monitoring network for water quality. We integrated water temperature, chlorophyll a, flow, and floodplain inundation data from multiple sources creating a continuous dataset with fine temporal resolution spanning two decades. We used a consistent generalized additive mixed model structure across three regions: the floodplain, the mainstem of the river adjacent to the floodplain, and the section of the river downstream from both the floodplain and mainstem. We found that when the floodplain is not inundated, chlorophyll a biomass is mainly influenced by water temperature. However, when the floodplain is laterally connected during periods of inundation, water spreads over a larger surface area in the floodplain, flows decrease and water temperatures increase creating favorable conditions for chlorophyll a production. High flows during the flood pulse quickly transport chlorophyll a downstream, flushing the estuary with food. Under optimal conditions, tidal mixing in the downstream portion of the estuary can continue to boost chlorophyll a biomass in the system even after the flood waters have retreated. This study can guide the design, enhancement, and management of water conveyance structures to meet environmental flow regulations and to benefit the estuarine food web.
{"title":"Floodplain inundation and lateral connectivity promote productivity in a managed river ecosystem","authors":"Shruti Khanna, Catarina Pien, Pascale Goertler, Lauren Yamane, Elizabeth Stumpner, Jereme William Gaeta, Dylan Chapple, Mattea Berglund, Ryan Peek","doi":"10.1002/eap.70146","DOIUrl":"10.1002/eap.70146","url":null,"abstract":"<p>River-floodplain ecosystems near urban centers are heavily engineered for flood protection and water delivery, which has led to a loss of lateral hydrologic connectivity between rivers and their floodplains. This study has two objectives: (1) Does increased lateral connectivity resulting from floodplain inundation increase chlorophyll <i>a</i> biomass? (2) Does that bump in chlorophyll <i>a</i> get transported downstream? The San Francisco Estuary in California, USA, has a robust and long-term monitoring network for water quality. We integrated water temperature, chlorophyll <i>a</i>, flow, and floodplain inundation data from multiple sources creating a continuous dataset with fine temporal resolution spanning two decades. We used a consistent generalized additive mixed model structure across three regions: the floodplain, the mainstem of the river adjacent to the floodplain, and the section of the river downstream from both the floodplain and mainstem. We found that when the floodplain is not inundated, chlorophyll <i>a</i> biomass is mainly influenced by water temperature. However, when the floodplain is laterally connected during periods of inundation, water spreads over a larger surface area in the floodplain, flows decrease and water temperatures increase creating favorable conditions for chlorophyll <i>a</i> production. High flows during the flood pulse quickly transport chlorophyll <i>a</i> downstream, flushing the estuary with food. Under optimal conditions, tidal mixing in the downstream portion of the estuary can continue to boost chlorophyll <i>a</i> biomass in the system even after the flood waters have retreated. This study can guide the design, enhancement, and management of water conveyance structures to meet environmental flow regulations and to benefit the estuarine food web.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70146","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145583034","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Max Lindmark, Christopher A. Griffiths, Valerio Bartolino, Viktor Thunell, Federico Maioli, Sean C. Anderson, Andrea Belgrano, Michele Casini, Katarzyna Nadolna-Ałtyn, Joanna Pawlak, Marzenna Pachur, Marcin Rakowski, Karolina Wikström, Murray S. A. Thompson, Mayya Gogina, Didzis Ustups, Nis S. Jacobsen
Quantifying the impact of lower trophic level species abundance on higher trophic level predators (and vice versa) is critical for understanding marine ecosystem dynamics and for implementing ecosystem-based management. Trophic ecosystem models generally predict a tight coupling between prey and fish predators, such that higher abundance of lower trophic species increases the abundance of higher trophic level predators. This assumes that predator feeding rates are limited by prey availability to some degree. Despite being a key component of predator–prey interactions and multispecies fisheries management, relatively few studies have assessed the impacts of prey availability on predation patterns of mobile, generalist fish predators using spatiotemporal models and local-scale stomach content, predator, and prey data. In this study, we explore the association between local density of key prey and predator stomach contents, and predator–prey spatiotemporal overlap and predation indices, using the Baltic Sea as a case study. We use three decades of spatially resolved biomass and stomach content data on Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), and biomass data on three of its key prey: herring (Clupea harengus), the isopod Saduria entomon, and sprat (Sprattus sprattus). Using geostatistical generalized linear mixed-effects models fitted to relative biomass density and prey-mass-per-predator-mass, we estimate spatiotemporal trends and annual indices of biomass- weighted and area-expanded per-capita and population-level predation, predator–prey overlap, and the correlation between these indices. Range shifts have resulted in reduced predator–prey overlap over time, which is now the lowest in three decades. For Saduria, we find an association between prey availability and stomach contents, but not for herring or sprat. Similarly, only in Saduria do we find a positive correlation between population-level predation indices and the spatiotemporal overlap. Although behavioral interactions with pelagic prey are challenging to infer from stomach content and acoustic data due to high mobility leading to fine-scale spatiotemporal mismatch, the weak connection with local-scale availability, and low correlation between population-level predation and spatial overlap, could imply weaker coupling between pelagic prey and cod than previously thought. These findings provide key information on the strength of species interactions, which is crucial for the continued development of multispecies models and ecosystem-based fisheries management.
{"title":"Weak effects of local prey density and spatial overlap on predation intensity in a temperate marine ecosystem","authors":"Max Lindmark, Christopher A. Griffiths, Valerio Bartolino, Viktor Thunell, Federico Maioli, Sean C. Anderson, Andrea Belgrano, Michele Casini, Katarzyna Nadolna-Ałtyn, Joanna Pawlak, Marzenna Pachur, Marcin Rakowski, Karolina Wikström, Murray S. A. Thompson, Mayya Gogina, Didzis Ustups, Nis S. Jacobsen","doi":"10.1002/eap.70136","DOIUrl":"10.1002/eap.70136","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Quantifying the impact of lower trophic level species abundance on higher trophic level predators (and vice versa) is critical for understanding marine ecosystem dynamics and for implementing ecosystem-based management. Trophic ecosystem models generally predict a tight coupling between prey and fish predators, such that higher abundance of lower trophic species increases the abundance of higher trophic level predators. This assumes that predator feeding rates are limited by prey availability to some degree. Despite being a key component of predator–prey interactions and multispecies fisheries management, relatively few studies have assessed the impacts of prey availability on predation patterns of mobile, generalist fish predators using spatiotemporal models and local-scale stomach content, predator, and prey data. In this study, we explore the association between local density of key prey and predator stomach contents, and predator–prey spatiotemporal overlap and predation indices, using the Baltic Sea as a case study. We use three decades of spatially resolved biomass and stomach content data on Atlantic cod (<i>Gadus morhua</i>), and biomass data on three of its key prey: herring (<i>Clupea harengus</i>), the isopod <i>Saduria entomon</i>, and sprat (<i>Sprattus sprattus</i>). Using geostatistical generalized linear mixed-effects models fitted to relative biomass density and prey-mass-per-predator-mass, we estimate spatiotemporal trends and annual indices of biomass- weighted and area-expanded per-capita and population-level predation, predator–prey overlap, and the correlation between these indices. Range shifts have resulted in reduced predator–prey overlap over time, which is now the lowest in three decades. For <i>Saduria</i>, we find an association between prey availability and stomach contents, but not for herring or sprat. Similarly, only in <i>Saduria</i> do we find a positive correlation between population-level predation indices and the spatiotemporal overlap. Although behavioral interactions with pelagic prey are challenging to infer from stomach content and acoustic data due to high mobility leading to fine-scale spatiotemporal mismatch, the weak connection with local-scale availability, and low correlation between population-level predation and spatial overlap, could imply weaker coupling between pelagic prey and cod than previously thought. These findings provide key information on the strength of species interactions, which is crucial for the continued development of multispecies models and ecosystem-based fisheries management.</p>","PeriodicalId":55168,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Applications","volume":"35 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/eap.70136","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145567201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}