C. Tozer, J. Risbey, D. Monselesan, M. Pook, Damien B. Irving, N. Ramesh, Jyoteeshkumar Reddy, D. Squire
{"title":"Impacts of ENSO on Australian rainfall: what not to expect","authors":"C. Tozer, J. Risbey, D. Monselesan, M. Pook, Damien B. Irving, N. Ramesh, Jyoteeshkumar Reddy, D. Squire","doi":"10.1071/es22034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22034","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90647146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Channelling flows in the Hunter Valley","authors":"Christopher Webb, Jiwon Park","doi":"10.1071/es22021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22021","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87913010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of water currents on wind drag – a case study of tidal currents and sea breeze in a semi-enclosed embayment","authors":"S. Thurgate","doi":"10.1071/es22012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22012","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75516197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A historical monthly upper-air humidity dataset for Australia","authors":"Branislava Jovanovic, R. Smalley, S. Siems","doi":"10.1071/es22022","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22022","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"191 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75530786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"ACCESS-CM2-Chem: evaluation of southern hemisphere ozone and its effect on the Southern Annular Mode","authors":"Fraser Dennison, M. Woodhouse","doi":"10.1071/es22015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22015","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85570117","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chen Li, Debra Hudson, Xiaobing Zhou, Hongyan Zhu, Matthew C. Wheeler, Griffith Young, Charline Marzin, Luke Roberts
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (The Bureau) has been involved in the package testing and assessment process of the UK Met Office Global Coupled Model Version 5.0 (GC5) configuration. GC5 will underpin the Met Office’s next seasonal prediction system, global coupled numerical weather prediction (NWP) system and Earth System Model. It will also likely be the next version of The Bureau’s seasonal prediction system, and the version to replace the global atmosphere-only NWP system to be the first global coupled NWP system at The Bureau. The GC5 configuration includes a new sea-ice model and substantial updates to almost all areas of model physics. We have evaluated the present-day climate simulation, and compared it to observations and with previous versions GC4 and GC2. Our assessment focuses on the climate mean state and variabilities relevant to Australian seasonal prediction, including the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode and the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Notably, in comparison to its predecessor (GC4), GC5 shows significant improvements in the eastern Pacific mean state but a slight degradation in the Indian Ocean in terms of the mean state and variability. These and other results provide us with early insights of the potential performance of the next sub-seasonal or seasonal forecast system. Longstanding issues in the seasonal prediction system associated with the equatorial eastern Indian Ocean biases and an overactive ENSO and IOD will likely remain; however, improvements over the eastern equatorial Pacific in GC5 hold promise of improved prediction skill of ENSO and its teleconnections.
澳大利亚气象局(The Bureau of Meteorology)已经参与了英国气象局全球耦合模型5.0版(GC5)配置的测试和评估过程。GC5将支持英国气象局的下一个季节预报系统，全球耦合数值天气预报(NWP)系统和地球系统模型。它也很可能是美国气象局的下一个季节预报系统，并将取代仅用于全球大气的NWP系统，成为该局的第一个全球耦合NWP系统。GC5配置包括一个新的海冰模型和对模型物理几乎所有领域的实质性更新。我们已经评估了当前的气候模拟，并将其与观测结果以及以前的版本GC4和GC2进行了比较。我们的评估重点是与澳大利亚季节预测相关的气候平均状态和变率，包括厄尔Niño-Southern涛动(ENSO)、印度洋偶极子(IOD)、南环模和马登-朱利安涛动。值得注意的是，与它的前身(GC4)相比，GC5在东太平洋的平均状态有显著改善，但在印度洋的平均状态和变率方面略有下降。这些和其他结果为我们提供了下一个分季节或季节预报系统潜在性能的早期见解。与赤道东印度洋偏倚和过度活跃的ENSO和IOD有关的季节预测系统中长期存在的问题可能会继续存在;然而，GC5期间赤道东太平洋的改善有望提高ENSO及其遥相关的预测技能。
{"title":"Biases and teleconnections in the Met Office Global Coupled Model version 5.0 (GC5) – insights for seasonal prediction and Australia","authors":"Chen Li, Debra Hudson, Xiaobing Zhou, Hongyan Zhu, Matthew C. Wheeler, Griffith Young, Charline Marzin, Luke Roberts","doi":"10.1071/es23010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es23010","url":null,"abstract":"The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (The Bureau) has been involved in the package testing and assessment process of the UK Met Office Global Coupled Model Version 5.0 (GC5) configuration. GC5 will underpin the Met Office’s next seasonal prediction system, global coupled numerical weather prediction (NWP) system and Earth System Model. It will also likely be the next version of The Bureau’s seasonal prediction system, and the version to replace the global atmosphere-only NWP system to be the first global coupled NWP system at The Bureau. The GC5 configuration includes a new sea-ice model and substantial updates to almost all areas of model physics. We have evaluated the present-day climate simulation, and compared it to observations and with previous versions GC4 and GC2. Our assessment focuses on the climate mean state and variabilities relevant to Australian seasonal prediction, including the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode and the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Notably, in comparison to its predecessor (GC4), GC5 shows significant improvements in the eastern Pacific mean state but a slight degradation in the Indian Ocean in terms of the mean state and variability. These and other results provide us with early insights of the potential performance of the next sub-seasonal or seasonal forecast system. Longstanding issues in the seasonal prediction system associated with the equatorial eastern Indian Ocean biases and an overactive ENSO and IOD will likely remain; however, improvements over the eastern equatorial Pacific in GC5 hold promise of improved prediction skill of ENSO and its teleconnections.","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135559712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
B. Hague, R. Grayson, S. Talke, M. Black, D. Jakob
{"title":"The effect of tidal range and mean sea-level changes on coastal flood hazards at Lakes Entrance, south-east Australia","authors":"B. Hague, R. Grayson, S. Talke, M. Black, D. Jakob","doi":"10.1071/es22036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22036","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76414066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Seasonal climate summary for the southern hemisphere (summer 2019–20): a summer of extremes","authors":"Naomi Benger, Bernard Chapman","doi":"10.1071/es22029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22029","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"6 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72476791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
C. Chung, Ghyslaine Boschat, A. Taschetto, S. Narsey, S. McGregor, A. Santoso, F. Delage
{"title":"Evaluation of seasonal teleconnections to remote drivers of Australian rainfall in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models","authors":"C. Chung, Ghyslaine Boschat, A. Taschetto, S. Narsey, S. McGregor, A. Santoso, F. Delage","doi":"10.1071/es23002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es23002","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"34 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84300085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Stephanie Beaupark, Élise-Andrée Guérette, C. Paton‐Walsh, L. Bursill, S. Chambers, Lexodius Dadd, Maddison Miller, Christopher Tobin, Marcus Hughes, E. Woodward
{"title":"Indigenous Knowledge of seasons delivers a new way of considering annual cycles in atmospheric dispersion of pollutants","authors":"Stephanie Beaupark, Élise-Andrée Guérette, C. Paton‐Walsh, L. Bursill, S. Chambers, Lexodius Dadd, Maddison Miller, Christopher Tobin, Marcus Hughes, E. Woodward","doi":"10.1071/es22027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/es22027","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55419,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science","volume":"18 4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83929200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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