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Exploring the impact of Social Media Platforms on Instigating Tourist’s Emotions and Behavioral Intentions to Co-Create and Visit Tourist Spots- Bangladesh Perspective 探究社交媒体平台对激发游客共同创造和游览旅游景点的情绪和行为意愿的影响——孟加拉国视角
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.13
M. Hossain, Md. Soleman Mollik
Purpose: The study aims to investigate how social media platforms (SMPs) affect the tourist community to evoke emotions and behavioral intention to create tourism value and visit well-known tourist spots in Bangladesh. Methodology: Using 5 points Likert Scale, the survey data of 550 respondents have been collected and analyzed finally and 84 responses have been discarded due to being incomplete in nature. SPSS 23.0 version has been adopted to analyze the variables. Findings: The results show that SMPs significantly affect the emotions of tourists in terms of joy, love, positive surprise, and subsequently drive the behavioral intention of co-creation and visit the preferable tourist spots. In some prior studies, the effect of joy was revealed as insignificant in this regard. However, in this study, the effect of joy is a very significant one to instigate the tourist’s emotions and behavior. Practical Implications: The contribution of this study is mainly two-fold. Firstly, from the theoretical perspective, it has been found that SMPs and destination brand preferences have an insightful relationship. Secondly, the authorities in charge of the destination can concentrate on setting up efficient social media platforms to generate more insightful information about destination brands, leading to the development of feelings and intentions to co-create and visit the spots. Originality: This study has been conducted as our own and not copied from any source. This would add new knowledge to the tourism sectors of Bangladesh focusing on SMPs. Limitations: This study focuses mostly on the people using SMPs to co-create and visit the destinations. The results may not be alike for the people who don’t use SMPs for tourism purposes. The bigger sample size could generate more specific results in this regard. Future research can be conducted focusing on other emotional variables like anxiety, boredom, and well-being.
目的:研究社交媒体平台(social media platforms, SMPs)如何影响旅游群体,激发情感和行为意愿,从而创造旅游价值,并游览孟加拉国知名旅游景点。方法:采用5点李克特量表,最终收集和分析了550名受访者的调查数据,其中84份因性质不完整而被丢弃。采用SPSS 23.0版本对变量进行分析。结果表明:SMPs显著影响游客的喜悦、爱、积极惊喜情绪,进而驱动游客的共同创造行为意愿,进而推动游客优选旅游景点。在之前的一些研究中,快乐的影响在这方面是微不足道的。然而,在本研究中,快乐对游客的情绪和行为的影响是非常显著的。实际意义:本研究的贡献主要有两个方面。首先,从理论角度出发,我们发现smp与目的地品牌偏好之间存在着深刻的关系。其次,目的地主管部门可以专注于建立高效的社交媒体平台,以产生更多关于目的地品牌的有洞察力的信息,从而产生共同创造和参观景点的感觉和意图。原创性:本研究是我们自己进行的,没有从任何来源复制。这将为侧重于中小型企业的孟加拉国旅游部门增加新的知识。局限性:本研究主要关注使用smp共同创建和访问目的地的人群。对于那些不以旅游为目的使用smp的人来说,结果可能不一样。更大的样本量可以在这方面产生更具体的结果。未来的研究可以集中在其他情绪变量上,比如焦虑、无聊和幸福感。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Assistance and Adaptation of Fresh Graduates Facing Employment Crisis and Poverty 高校毕业生就业危机与贫困的制度援助与适应
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.8
Md. Hasebur Rahman, Md. Merajul Islam, Momtaj Parvin, Niger Sultana, Md. Asfaqur Rahman
Purposes – The purposes of the study are to investigate the likelihood of poverty as a result of the employment crisis, specify the coping mechanisms available for dealing with the employment crisis, and evaluate the institutional support available for reducing the employment crisis. Design/ methodology/ approach – This study’s data collection and analysis employed an exploratory research design. The investigation included both a literature review and an empirical investigation. This survey's empirical data were gathered through the use of a structured questionnaire pertaining to the study's factors involved. Findings – The total average of "agree" and "strongly agree" answers about the perceived employment crisis is 79.83%. The possible risk of poverty is 80%, getting help from institutions is 69.46%, and the ability to find a job during and after graduation is 84.36% according to the results of the study. Practical implications – Fresh graduates are facing a desperate employment situation. It's evident that this empirical study was initiated to detect what particular circumstances are responsible for the employment crisis and poverty risk of graduates and look for adaptation mechanisms and institutional assistance to reduce this crisis. Research limitation – Due to the voluntary nature of the responses and the majority of respondents' lack of interest, data collection was extremely challenging. One hundred and fifty participants limited the scope of the study. Orginality/ value – According to the study, mechanisms and institutional assistance are needed to consolidate the employment crisis and address graduate unemployment, but they are unsustainable in the context of Bangladesh. However, based on the results of this study, recommendations have been provided to overcome this consequential problem.
目的-本研究的目的是调查就业危机导致贫困的可能性,具体说明应对就业危机的应对机制,并评估可用于减少就业危机的机构支持。设计/方法/方法-本研究的数据收集和分析采用了探索性研究设计。调查包括文献综述和实证调查。本调查的经验数据是通过使用结构化问卷调查有关的研究的因素所收集的。调查结果-“同意”和“非常同意”的总平均回答是79.83%的感知就业危机。根据研究结果,可能的贫困风险为80%,获得机构帮助的可能性为69.46%,毕业期间和毕业后找到工作的能力为84.36%。现实意义——应届毕业生面临着严峻的就业形势。可以看出,本实证研究的目的是发现哪些特定情况导致了大学生的就业危机和贫困风险,并寻找缓解这一危机的适应机制和制度援助。研究局限-由于回复的自愿性质和大多数受访者缺乏兴趣,数据收集极具挑战性。150名参与者限制了研究的范围。原创性/价值-根据这项研究,需要机制和机构援助来巩固就业危机和解决毕业生失业问题,但在孟加拉国的背景下,它们是不可持续的。然而,根据这项研究的结果,提出了克服这一后果性问题的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring Clients’ Satisfaction towards the Mobile Banking Services in the Northern Area of Bangladesh 衡量客户对孟加拉国北部地区移动银行服务的满意度
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.16
Sheikh Majedul Huq
Purpose: The aim of the present study was to investigate the elements that influence Bangladeshi banking customers’ satisfaction. Quality of Service (QoS) refers to how well it meets the needs of its present and potential customers. As a result, estimating service quality is extremely important for banking organizations. Methodology: A survey research method has been used involving 255 mobile banking holders in the northern area of Bangladesh. A self-administrated survey has been given to the customers of Dutch Bangla Bank Limited (DBBL) and BRAC Bank Limited two full-fledged, early M banking service providers in Bangladesh. Findings: According to the test results, client satisfaction is positively correlated with the four SERVQUAL criteria of reliability, assurance, empathy, and responsiveness (apart from tangible). Practical Implication: The investigation results can be interpreted theoretically and practically. Research Limitations: The number of respondents who participated in the study could have been higher.
目的:本研究的目的是探讨影响孟加拉银行客户满意度的因素。服务质量(QoS)是指它满足现有和潜在客户需求的程度。因此,评估服务质量对银行组织来说是极其重要的。方法:采用调查研究方法,涉及孟加拉国北部地区的255名移动银行持有人。荷兰孟加拉银行有限公司(DBBL)和BRAC银行有限公司两个成熟的,早期M银行服务提供商在孟加拉国的客户进行了自我管理的调查。结果:根据测试结果,客户满意度与SERVQUAL四项标准的可靠性、保证性、移情性和响应性呈正相关(除有形外)。实践意义:研究结果具有理论和实践意义。研究局限性:参与研究的受访者数量可能会更高。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Credit Risk Management Indicators on Profitability Attributes: Empirical evidence from the State-Owned Commercial Banks in Bangladesh 信用风险管理指标对盈利能力属性的影响:来自孟加拉国国有商业银行的经验证据
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.3
M. Islam, M. Rana
Purpose: The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of credit risk management indicators on the performance of Bangladesh’s state-owned commercial banks. Six state-owned commercial banks’ perspectives and board information are used in the examination. Methodology: In order to conduct the examination, Stata 14.2 programming was used. It is used to determine how rational it is to distribute an arbitrary variable that is fundamental to the informative index. Then, the Leven Lin Chu unit root test and Hadri LM unit root test were used to determine if the variables used were stationary. Findings: I looked at correlation coefficients and variance-inflating factors to see if there were any difficulties with multicollinearity among free factors. The focus also employs illuminating factual examination to outline the impact of credit risk and board factors on productivity, as well as relationship lattice to assess the degree of connections between the autonomous factors and the benefit of state-owned commercial banks. Using a fixed impact and pooled OLS relapses, I can see that credit hazard significantly affects benefits. According to the law, banks are obligated to enhance their credit hazard. It is important to keep an eye on non-performing advances, functional gambles, and financing cost hazard in addition to the subjective resource portfolio that was considered to have a significant impact on productivity. Practical Implications: The findings of this analysis have some managerial implications. This study gives managers actual evidence on the impact of credit risk management indicators on bank performance, allowing them to discover ways to improve bank performance. Policymakers, regulators, and bank management should pay more attention to credit risk management indicators. Regulators should guarantee banks implement credit risk management rules to build a robust banking industry and achieve sustainable development goals. Originality: This paper is, as far as we know, the first detailed empirical analysis using the most recent data to look at how credit risk management indicators affect the performance of Bangladesh’s state-owned commercial banks.
目的:本研究的目的是研究信贷风险管理指标对孟加拉国国有商业银行绩效的影响。调查采用了六家国有商业银行的视角和董事会信息。方法学:采用Stata 14.2编程进行检查。它用于确定对信息索引至关重要的任意变量的分布是否合理。然后,采用Leven Lin Chu单位根检验和Hadri LM单位根检验来确定所使用的变量是否平稳。发现:我查看了相关系数和方差膨胀因子,看看自由因子之间的多重共线性是否有任何困难。本文还采用启发性的事实检验来概述信贷风险和董事会因素对生产率的影响,以及关系格来评估自主因素与国有商业银行效益之间的联系程度。使用固定影响和汇总OLS复发,我可以看到信用风险显著影响收益。根据法律规定,银行有义务提高信用风险。除了被认为对生产率有重大影响的主观资源组合之外,还需要关注不良预付款、功能赌博和融资成本风险。实际意义:本分析的结果具有一定的管理意义。本研究为管理者提供了信用风险管理指标对银行绩效影响的实际证据,使他们能够发现提高银行绩效的方法。政策制定者、监管者和银行管理层应更加重视信用风险管理指标。监管机构应保证银行执行信用风险管理规则,以建设稳健的银行业,实现可持续发展目标。原创性:据我们所知,本文是第一次使用最新数据对信贷风险管理指标如何影响孟加拉国国有商业银行绩效进行详细的实证分析。
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引用次数: 1
Tourism and Hospitality Management Education in Bangladesh: Problems and Prospects 孟加拉国的旅游和酒店管理教育:问题和前景
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.9
S. Alam
Purpose: The main objective of this study is to identify the problems and prospects of tourism and hospitality higher education in Bangladesh. Methodology: The study conducted an in-depth interview with 40 stakeholders including general education specialists, subject educators, alumni students, practitioners, and policymakers. It also conducted a focus group discussion (FGD) with eight experts in this field. Respondents for in-depth interviews and the FGD were selected from the stakeholders by using convenient and judgmental sampling techniques. Narrative analysis method is used to analyze the interview data of individual respondents. Findings: The study found that seven public universities, nine private universities, and nine colleges under the National University offered degrees in tourism and hospitality management in this country. About eighty-five faculty members teach in this sector, yet less than 20 percent possess graduate and post-graduate degrees in tourism and hotel management. The analysis of the study revealed some significant problems including: less industry focused curricula and teaching-learning methods, no uniform national guidelines, poor infrastructure, and teaching staff with a predominantly non-tourism background. In addition, lack of foreign-trained faculty, entry of reluctant students, and a negative social perception of tourism occupations all pose difficulties for the industry. Practical Implications: This study helps the stakeholders to understand the problems and prospects of tourism and hospitality education in Bangladesh and empower themselves to overcome these problems. Originality: This study reveals the underlying problems and some strategic solutions for tourism and hospitality education in Bangladesh. Research Limitations: If the study can use different quantitative measures then it will be more specific.
目的:本研究的主要目的是确定孟加拉国旅游和酒店高等教育的问题和前景。研究方法:该研究对40名利益相关者进行了深入访谈,包括通识教育专家、学科教育者、校友、从业者和政策制定者。它还与该领域的八名专家进行了焦点小组讨论。通过使用方便和判断的抽样技术,从利益相关者中选择深入访谈和FGD的受访者。采用叙事分析法对个别受访者的访谈数据进行分析。调查结果:该研究发现,该国有7所公立大学、9所私立大学和国立大学下属的9所学院提供旅游和酒店管理学位。大约85名教师在这一领域任教,但只有不到20%的人拥有旅游和酒店管理的研究生和研究生学位。对该研究的分析揭示了一些重大问题,包括:行业重点课程和教学方法较少,没有统一的国家指导方针,基础设施差,教师主要是非旅游业背景。此外,缺乏受过外国培训的教师,不情愿的学生进入,以及社会对旅游业职业的负面看法,都给该行业带来了困难。实际意义:本研究有助于利益相关者了解孟加拉国旅游和酒店教育的问题和前景,并赋予自己克服这些问题的能力。独创性:本研究揭示了孟加拉国旅游和酒店教育的潜在问题和一些战略解决方案。研究局限性:如果研究可以使用不同的定量测量,那么它将更加具体。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of COVID-19 on the Profitability of Commercial Banks in Bangladesh COVID-19对孟加拉国商业银行盈利能力的影响
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.12
R. Rekha, Md. Ikbal Hossain
Purpose: Every component of the global financial system has suffered serious harm due to the present COVID-19 pandemic, and Bangladesh is not an exception. The banking sector’s performance and profitability have been impacted as a result. In this paper, we analyze the effect of COVID-19 pandemic on the financial performance of banking sector in Bangladesh before and throughout the present era of COVID-19. Methodology: In this regard, the study considered the 14 banks over the period of 2014-2021. The random-effects regression model is utilized to identify the profitability drivers. The random effect model investigates the influence of bank-specific variables and macroeconomic variables on the profitability of banks. Findings: During the pandemic era of COVID-19, our article found that a high degree of nonperforming loans, retaining more liquid assets, and a significant amount of hedging funds reduced banks' profitability. In contrast, a suitable bank size, non-interest revenue, inflation rate, and population growth increased the bank's performance indicators throughout this time. Practical Implications: This study's findings will aid financial policymakers in identifying profit-enhancing loopholes and implementing preventative actions during crisis periods such as COVID-19. Originality: The profit influencing factor include both bank and economic oriented, some of which were not previously considered in Bangladesh-specific studies. Incorporating these additional criteria and the independent examination of the pandemic era helps us to get new perspectives on the elements that influence commercial banks’ profitability.
目的:由于当前的COVID-19大流行,全球金融体系的每个组成部分都遭受了严重损害,孟加拉国也不例外。银行业的业绩和盈利能力因此受到影响。在本文中,我们分析了COVID-19大流行在COVID-19之前和整个当前时代对孟加拉国银行业财务绩效的影响。方法:在这方面,该研究考虑了2014-2021年期间的14家银行。利用随机效应回归模型识别盈利驱动因素。随机效应模型考察了银行特定变量和宏观经济变量对银行盈利能力的影响。研究发现:在2019冠状病毒病大流行时期,我们的文章发现,高水平的不良贷款、保留更多的流动性资产和大量对冲基金降低了银行的盈利能力。相反,适当的银行规模、非利息收入、通货膨胀率和人口增长在这段时间内提高了银行的绩效指标。实际意义:本研究的发现将有助于金融政策制定者在COVID-19等危机时期发现增加利润的漏洞并实施预防措施。独创性:影响利润的因素包括银行和经济两方面,其中一些因素以前在孟加拉国的具体研究中没有考虑到。将这些附加标准和对大流行时期的独立审查结合起来,有助于我们对影响商业银行盈利能力的因素获得新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Corporate Governance on Stock Performance: Evidence from Bangladesh 公司治理对股票绩效的影响:来自孟加拉国的证据
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.14
M. Sufian
Purpose: This explanatory study aims to examine the compliance status of corporate governance mechanisms and their effect on stock performance of textile industry in Bangladesh. Methodology: Fifty annual reports of listed textile companies for the year 2019 have been taken as the sample to find the empirical result of this study. The statistics for description and interpretation of cross-sectional data have been used to explore and examine the causal relationship among variables under study. Findings: From the statistical analysis of governance variables, it is seen that 30% of the sample company have a minimum (5) member in the Board, whereas only 2% companies have more than 10 directors. Moreover, five companies having negative and low return on asset (ROA) do not comply with the governance code provision regarding independent directors. In addition to these, 18% companies have no female director on the Board and are violating the Board diversity policy of corporate governance. This study shows a significant and positive association between the gender diversity and the stock performance, which supports the lens of stakeholder and resource dependency theories and proves that the presence of female directors is an effective mechanism to protect the interest of outside resource providers and. But it infers that the presence of the independent director negatively affects the dependent variable, stock performance that is also statistically significant. Originality: The main value of the study is that it is the first paper in Bangladesh, which has considered the stock price change as proxy for stock performance as per author best knowledge. Practical Implications: The outcome of the paper is most likely to benefit the top managements and directors in formulating a suitable Board dimension, and policy makers in regulating the capital market in Bangladesh for making more informative decisions towards improving their surveillance and monitory systems and ensuring the compliance level of issuer. Research Limitations: This is cross-sectional study, which is limited to textile companies and does not consider primary data.
目的:本解释性研究旨在考察孟加拉国纺织业公司治理机制的合规性状况及其对股票绩效的影响。方法:以2019年50家纺织上市公司年报为样本,寻找本研究的实证结果。描述和解释横断面数据的统计已被用于探索和检验所研究的变量之间的因果关系。研究发现:从治理变量的统计分析中可以看出,30%的样本公司的董事会成员至少为5人,只有2%的样本公司的董事会成员超过10人。此外,五家资产收益率为负或较低的公司不符合独立董事治理规范的规定。除此之外,18%的公司没有女性董事,违反了公司治理的董事会多元化政策。本研究表明,性别多样性与股票绩效之间存在显著的正相关关系,支持了利益相关者和资源依赖理论的视角,并证明女性董事的存在是保护外部资源提供者和股东利益的有效机制。但由此推断,独立董事的存在对因变量股票业绩产生负向影响,且具有统计学显著性。原创性:该研究的主要价值在于,它是孟加拉国的第一篇论文,根据作者的最佳知识,将股票价格变化作为股票表现的代理。实际意义:本文的结果最有可能有利于高层管理人员和董事制定合适的董事会维度,有利于政策制定者在监管孟加拉国资本市场方面做出更有信息的决定,以改善他们的监督和监督系统,并确保发行人的合规水平。研究局限:这是一项横断面研究,仅限于纺织公司,没有考虑原始数据。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Impact of Liquidity on Profitability: Specific to the Banking Industry of Bangladesh 评估流动性对盈利能力的影响:具体到孟加拉国银行业
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.15
Md Amirul Islam, Anowar Ullah, Md. Ashikur Rahman Avi, Md. Ashanuzzaman
Purpose: The present study investigates whether liquidity positively or negatively stimulates the profitability of commercial banks of Bangladesh. Methodology: The analysis has been performed on 5 randomly selected banks over a period of 10 years (2011-2020). The respective banks’ annual reports were the sources of secondary data based on which the study has been performed. For study purpose, dominant profitability ratios are studied along with the calculation of liquidity. ROA served profitability measures being considered as dependent variables whereas Loan-Deposit, Deposit-Assets, & Cash-Deposit ratios served liquidity measures being considered as independent variables. Ordinary Least Square Models have been made use of testing how liquidity affects the banking sector’s profitability. Findings: From the analysis, it is founded that a rise in the banks’ aforementioned liquidity ratio would escalate the Return on Assets i.e. profitability. Practical Implications: The study has evident that commercial banks of Bangladesh might have a better balance between the profitability and liquidity. Originality: The impact of liquidity on profitability has been stated in this paper which considered data from randomly selected 5 banks. The outcomes of the paper will demonstrate valuable addition to the existing research work in the related field. Research Limitations: Only 5 randomly selected commercial banks among 61 scheduled banks of Bangladesh were the study samples for which the overall financial scenario is difficult to know. It is also quite impossible to comment on the liquidity and profitability position as well as their relationship by considering only 5 banks.
目的:本研究考察流动性对孟加拉国商业银行盈利能力的刺激是积极的还是消极的。方法:在10年(2011-2020年)的时间里,随机选择了5家银行进行分析。各银行的年度报告是本研究所依据的二级数据的来源。为了研究目的,我们研究了主要的盈利能力比率以及流动性的计算。ROA服务于被视为因变量的盈利能力指标,而贷款-存款、存款-资产和现金-存款比率服务于被视为自变量的流动性指标。普通最小二乘模型已被用于测试流动性如何影响银行业的盈利能力。研究发现:通过分析发现,银行上述流动性比率的上升会导致资产收益率即盈利能力的上升。实践启示:研究表明,孟加拉国商业银行在盈利能力和流动性之间可能有更好的平衡。独创性:流动性对盈利能力的影响在本文中已经陈述,考虑了随机选择的5家银行的数据。本文的成果将对相关领域的现有研究工作进行有价值的补充。研究局限:在孟加拉国61家定期银行中,随机选择的商业银行只有5家作为研究样本,其整体金融情景难以得知。仅考虑5家银行,也不可能对流动性和盈利状况以及它们之间的关系发表评论。
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引用次数: 0
Affiliation between Capital Adequacy and Performance of Banks in Bangladesh 孟加拉银行资本充足率与绩效的关系
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.10
M. Mamun, Hasibul Islam, Nayan Kumar Sarker
Purpose: The aim of the research is to explore the affiliation between banks performance and capital adequacy in Bangladesh. Methodology: A total of 20 listed conventional banks are selected as a sample covering a period of 11 years from 2010-2020. The analysis of the study is conducted with help of correlation and multivariate fixed effect regression analysis to examine how the capital adequacy ratio (CAR), the credit deposit ratio (CDR), and the cost-income ratio (CIR) influence the performance of banks. Findings: With the use of correlation and regression analysis, the researchers have come to the conclusion that the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) has a negative association with return on assets (ROA) and the cost-income ratio (CIR) has a negative relationship with return on assets (ROA), while the credit deposit ratio (CDR) has no relationship with return on assets (ROA). On the other hand, the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) and cost-income ratio (CIR) have a negative association with return on equity (ROE), but the credit deposit ratio (CDR) has a positive relationship with return on equity (ROE). The study concluded that capital adequacy and return on assets (ROA), as well as capital adequacy and return on equity (ROE), have a significant association. Thus, capital adequacy and banks' performance are significantly related. Practical Implications: The performance and credit deposit ratio is positively related. An increase in credit deposit ratio will increase the profitability. The cost income ratio is negatively related with profitability. Banks should maintain cost income ratio low as possible. The capital adequacy ratio is negatively related with profitability. An increase in capital adequacy ratio will reduce the profitability. Originality: This is an original research of researchers. The researchers attempt to examine the data using a large sample and sophisticated statistical tools to conduct the research. Research Limitations: The research is based on only the secondary data.
目的:本研究的目的是探讨孟加拉国银行绩效与资本充足率之间的关系。方法:选取20家上市传统银行作为样本,时间跨度为2010-2020年11年。本研究通过相关分析和多变量固定效应回归分析来检验资本充足率(CAR)、信用存款比率(CDR)和成本收入比率(CIR)对银行绩效的影响。研究发现:通过相关分析和回归分析,研究者得出资本充足率(CAR)与资产收益率(ROA)呈负相关,成本收入比(CIR)与资产收益率(ROA)呈负相关,而信用存款比(CDR)与资产收益率(ROA)无相关。另一方面,资本充足率(CAR)和成本收入比(CIR)与净资产收益率(ROE)呈负相关,而信贷存款比(CDR)与净资产收益率(ROE)呈正相关。研究发现,资本充足率与资产收益率(ROA)、资本充足率与净资产收益率(ROE)之间存在显著相关性。因此,资本充足率与银行绩效显著相关。实践启示:绩效与信用存款比率呈正相关。提高信贷存款比率将提高盈利能力。成本收入比与盈利能力呈负相关。银行应尽可能保持较低的成本收入比。资本充足率与盈利能力呈负相关。资本充足率的提高会降低盈利能力。原创性:这是研究人员的原创性研究。研究人员试图使用大样本和复杂的统计工具来检查数据来进行研究。研究局限性:本研究仅基于二手数据。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting Index Return Volatility of The Chittagong Stock Exchange of Bangladesh using GARCH Models 利用GARCH模型预测孟加拉国吉大港证券交易所指数收益波动
IF 2.4 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.58753/jbspust.3.1.2022.11
M. Rahman, A. Haq
Purpose: The aim of this research is to identify the best-fitted model(s) for estimating and forecasting the return volatility of the Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) in Bangladesh. Methodology: The study analyzes the returns of the Chittagong Stock Exchange's (CSE) daily Selective Categories Index (CSCX) from February 4, 2013 to December 31, 2021 (as a full sample) and from July 1, 2021 to December 30, 2021 (for forecasting). The researcher used GARCH family approaches considering different error distributions, to find the well-suited model(s) for the CSCX index. The researchers used ARMA to develop the mean equation based on two popular model selection criteria: Schwarz's (1978) Bayesian information criterion (SBIC) and Akaike's (1974) information criterion (AIC). The data has been analyzed using the application software E-Views 10. Findings: The ARMA (0,1) has been adopted as the mean equation for GARCH specifications. Under all three types of error distributions, the ARCH and GARCH terms, along with the leverage terms of asymmetric models, were found to be statistically significant in all the accepted combinations of the model. The models GARCH (1,2), TGARCH (1,2), and PARCH (1,2) under generalized error distributions and EGARCH (2,1) under Student’s t error distributions have been selected as the best-fitted models for estimation. Whereas, based on root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percent error (MAPE), and theil inequality (TI), EGARCH (1, 2), TGARCH (1, 2), and PARCH (1, 2) under generalized error distributions, and GARCH (1, 2) under student’s t error distributions and normal error distributions are found to have superior out-of-sample forecasting abilities. Practical implications and originality: This is an original research work that will help the investors and other stakeholders of the Bangladeshi stock market to estimate and forecast market volatility more efficiently. Limitations: Due to its extensive features, this study was unable to incorporate a few additional ARCH and GARCH models.
目的:本研究的目的是确定估计和预测孟加拉国吉大港证券交易所(CSE)收益波动的最佳拟合模型。方法:本研究分析了吉大港证券交易所(CSE) 2013年2月4日至2021年12月31日(作为完整样本)和2021年7月1日至2021年12月30日(用于预测)的每日选择性类别指数(CSCX)的回报。研究人员使用GARCH族方法考虑不同的误差分布,以找到适合CSCX指数的模型。研究人员使用ARMA基于两种流行的模型选择标准:Schwarz(1978)的贝叶斯信息标准(SBIC)和赤池(1974)的信息标准(AIC)来开发平均方程。使用应用软件E-Views 10对数据进行分析。研究结果:GARCH规范的平均方程采用ARMA(0,1)。在所有三种类型的误差分布下,发现ARCH和GARCH项以及非对称模型的杠杆项在所有可接受的模型组合中都具有统计显著性。选择广义误差分布下的GARCH(1,2)、TGARCH(1,2)和PARCH(1,2)模型和Student 's t误差分布下的EGARCH(2,1)模型作为最优拟合模型进行估计。然而,基于均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)及其不等式(TI),发现广义误差分布下的EGARCH(1,2)、TGARCH(1,2)和PARCH(1,2),以及学生t误差分布和正态误差分布下的GARCH(1,2)具有较好的样本外预测能力。实际意义和原创性:这是一项原创性的研究工作,将有助于孟加拉国股票市场的投资者和其他利益相关者更有效地估计和预测市场波动。局限性:由于其广泛的特征,本研究无法纳入一些额外的ARCH和GARCH模型。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
South Asian Journal of Business Studies
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