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Simulation-Based Power Analysis for Factorial Analysis of Variance Designs 基于模拟的方差设计析因分析的功效分析
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920951503
D. Lakens, Aaron R. Caldwell
Researchers often rely on analysis of variance (ANOVA) when they report results of experiments. To ensure that a study is adequately powered to yield informative results with an ANOVA, researchers can perform an a priori power analysis. However, power analysis for factorial ANOVA designs is often a challenge. Current software solutions do not allow power analyses for complex designs with several within-participants factors. Moreover, power analyses often need η p 2 or Cohen’s f as input, but these effect sizes are not intuitive and do not generalize to different experimental designs. We have created the R package Superpower and online Shiny apps to enable researchers without extensive programming experience to perform simulation-based power analysis for ANOVA designs of up to three within- or between-participants factors. Predicted effects are entered by specifying means, standard deviations, and, for within-participants factors, the correlations. The simulation provides the statistical power for all ANOVA main effects, interactions, and individual comparisons. The software can plot power across a range of sample sizes, can control for multiple comparisons, and can compute power when the homogeneity or sphericity assumption is violated. This Tutorial demonstrates how to perform a priori power analysis to design informative studies for main effects, interactions, and individual comparisons and highlights important factors that determine the statistical power for factorial ANOVA designs.
研究人员在报告实验结果时经常依靠方差分析(ANOVA)。为了确保一项研究有足够的动力来产生信息丰富的方差分析结果,研究人员可以进行先验的功率分析。然而,因子方差分析设计的功率分析往往是一个挑战。当前的软件解决方案不允许对具有多个内部参与者因素的复杂设计进行功率分析。此外,功率分析通常需要η p 2或Cohen’s f作为输入,但这些效应量并不直观,也不能推广到不同的实验设计中。我们已经创建了R包Superpower和在线Shiny应用程序,使没有丰富编程经验的研究人员能够对多达三个参与者内部或参与者之间因素的ANOVA设计进行基于模拟的功率分析。预测的效果是通过指定平均值、标准偏差和参与者内部因素的相关性来输入的。模拟为所有ANOVA主效应、相互作用和个体比较提供了统计能力。该软件可以绘制各种样本量范围内的功率,可以控制多重比较,并且可以在违反均匀性或球形假设时计算功率。本教程演示了如何执行先验功率分析来设计主要效应、相互作用和个体比较的信息研究,并强调了决定因子方差分析设计的统计功率的重要因素。
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引用次数: 147
Experiment-Wise Type I Error Control: A Focus on 2 × 2 Designs 实验明智的I型误差控制:关注2×2设计
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920985137
Andrew V. Frane
Factorial designs are common in psychology research. But they are nearly always used without control of the experiment-wise Type I error rate (EWER), perhaps because of a lack of awareness about viable procedures for that purpose and perhaps also because of a lack of appreciation for the problem of Type I error inflation. In this article, key concepts relating to Type I error inflation are discussed, with emphasis on the 2 × 2 factorial design. Simulations are used to evaluate various approaches in that context. I show that conventional approaches often do not control the EWER. Alternative approaches are recommended that reliably control the EWER and are simple to implement.
析因设计在心理学研究中很常见。但是,它们几乎总是在不控制实验方面的I型错误率(EWER)的情况下使用,这可能是因为缺乏对这一目的的可行程序的认识,也可能是因为缺乏对I型错误膨胀问题的认识。在本文中,讨论了与I型误差膨胀相关的关键概念,重点是2 × 2因子设计。在这种情况下,模拟用于评估各种方法。我表明,传统的方法往往不能控制EWER。建议采用其他方法可靠地控制EWER并易于实现。
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引用次数: 4
Making the Black Box Transparent: A Template and Tutorial for Registration of Studies Using Experience-Sampling Methods 使黑盒透明:使用经验抽样方法注册研究的模板和教程
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920924686
O. Kirtley, G. Lafit, R. Achterhof, Anu P. Hiekkaranta, I. Myin-Germeys
A growing interest in understanding complex and dynamic psychological processes as they occur in everyday life has led to an increase in studies using ambulatory assessment techniques, including the experience-sampling method (ESM) and ecological momentary assessment. These methods, however, tend to involve numerous forking paths and researcher degrees of freedom, even beyond those typically encountered with other research methodologies. Although a number of researchers working with ESM techniques are actively engaged in efforts to increase the methodological rigor and transparency of research that uses them, currently there is little routine implementation of open-science practices in ESM research. In this article, we discuss the ways in which ESM research is especially vulnerable to threats to transparency, reproducibility, and replicability. We propose that greater use of study registration, a cornerstone of open science, may address some of these threats to the transparency of ESM research. Registration of ESM research is not without challenges, including model selection, accounting for potential model-convergence issues, and the use of preexisting data sets. As these may prove to be significant barriers for ESM researchers, we also discuss ways of overcoming these challenges and of documenting them in a registration. A further challenge is that current general preregistration templates do not adequately capture the unique features of ESM. We present a registration template for ESM research and also discuss registration of studies using preexisting data.
人们对理解日常生活中发生的复杂而动态的心理过程越来越感兴趣,这导致越来越多的研究使用动态评估技术,包括经验抽样法(ESM)和生态瞬时评估。然而,这些方法往往涉及许多分叉路径和研究人员的自由度,甚至超出了其他研究方法通常遇到的自由度。尽管许多研究ESM技术的研究人员正在积极努力提高使用ESM技术研究的方法学严谨性和透明度,但目前在ESM研究中很少常规实施开放科学实践。在这篇文章中,我们讨论了ESM研究特别容易受到透明度、可复制性和可复制性威胁的方式。我们建议,更多地使用研究注册这一开放科学的基石,可能会解决ESM研究透明度面临的一些威胁。ESM研究的注册并非没有挑战,包括模型选择、解释潜在的模型收敛问题以及使用预先存在的数据集。由于这些可能被证明是ESM研究人员的重大障碍,我们还讨论了克服这些挑战并在注册中记录这些挑战的方法。另一个挑战是,目前的通用预注册模板没有充分捕捉ESM的独特功能。我们提出了ESM研究的注册模板,并讨论了使用预先存在的数据进行研究的注册。
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引用次数: 43
Assessing Ego-Centered Social Networks in formr: A Tutorial 以形式评估以自我为中心的社交网络:教程
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920985467
Louisa M. Reins, Ruben C. Arslan, Tanja M. Gerlach
In psychological science, ego-centered social networks are assessed to investigate the patterning and development of social relationships. In this approach, a focal individual is typically asked to report the people they interact with in specific contexts and to provide additional information on those interaction partners and the relationships with them. Although ego-centered social networks hold considerable promise for investigating various interesting questions from psychology and beyond, their implementation can be challenging. This tutorial provides researchers with detailed instructions on how to set up a study involving ego-centered social networks online using the open-source software formr. By including a fully functional study template for the assessment of social networks and extensions to this design, we hope to equip researchers from different backgrounds with the tools necessary to collect social-network data tailored to their research needs.
在心理科学中,以自我为中心的社会网络被用来研究社会关系的模式和发展。在这种方法中,通常要求焦点个人报告他们在特定环境中与之互动的人,并提供有关这些互动伙伴及其关系的额外信息。尽管以自我为中心的社交网络在调查心理学和其他领域的各种有趣问题方面有着相当大的前景,但它们的实施可能具有挑战性。本教程为研究人员提供了详细的说明,说明如何使用开源软件形式建立一个涉及以自我为中心的在线社交网络的研究。通过包括一个全功能的研究模板来评估社会网络和扩展这个设计,我们希望为来自不同背景的研究人员提供必要的工具来收集适合他们研究需求的社会网络数据。
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引用次数: 0
Selection of the Number of Participants in Intensive Longitudinal Studies: A User-Friendly Shiny App and Tutorial for Performing Power Analysis in Multilevel Regression Models That Account for Temporal Dependencies 密集纵向研究中参与者数量的选择:一个用户友好的闪亮应用程序和在考虑时间依赖性的多水平回归模型中执行功率分析的教程
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920978738
G. Lafit, J. Adolf, Egon Dejonckheere, I. Myin-Germeys, W. Viechtbauer, E. Ceulemans
In recent years, the popularity of procedures for collecting intensive longitudinal data, such as the experience-sampling method, has increased greatly. The data collected using such designs allow researchers to study the dynamics of psychological functioning and how these dynamics differ across individuals. To this end, the data are often modeled with multilevel regression models. An important question that arises when researchers design intensive longitudinal studies is how to determine the number of participants needed to test specific hypotheses regarding the parameters of these models with sufficient power. Power calculations for intensive longitudinal studies are challenging because of the hierarchical data structure in which repeated observations are nested within the individuals and because of the serial dependence that is typically present in these data. We therefore present a user-friendly application and step-by-step tutorial for performing simulation-based power analyses for a set of models that are popular in intensive longitudinal research. Because many studies use the same sampling protocol (i.e., a fixed number of at least approximately equidistant observations) within individuals, we assume that this protocol is fixed and focus on the number of participants. All included models explicitly account for the temporal dependencies in the data by assuming serially correlated errors or including autoregressive effects.
近年来,收集密集纵向数据的程序,如经验抽样法,越来越受欢迎。使用这种设计收集的数据使研究人员能够研究心理功能的动力学,以及这些动力学在个体之间的差异。为此,数据通常采用多级回归模型进行建模。当研究人员设计密集的纵向研究时,出现的一个重要问题是如何确定所需的参与者人数,以足够的力量测试关于这些模型参数的特定假设。密集纵向研究的功率计算具有挑战性,因为重复观察嵌套在个体内的分层数据结构,以及这些数据中通常存在的序列依赖性。因此,我们提供了一个用户友好的应用程序和分步教程,用于为一组在深入纵向研究中流行的模型执行基于模拟的功率分析。由于许多研究在个体内使用相同的采样方案(即固定数量的至少近似等距的观察),我们假设该方案是固定的,并关注参与者的数量。所有包含的模型都通过假设序列相关误差或包括自回归效应来明确说明数据中的时间依赖性。
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引用次数: 46
Understanding Mixed-Effects Models Through Data Simulation 通过数据模拟理解混合效应模型
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920965119
L. DeBruine, D. Barr
Experimental designs that sample both subjects and stimuli from a larger population need to account for random effects of both subjects and stimuli using mixed-effects models. However, much of this research is analyzed using analysis of variance on aggregated responses because researchers are not confident specifying and interpreting mixed-effects models. This Tutorial explains how to simulate data with random-effects structure and analyze the data using linear mixed-effects regression (with the lme4 R package), with a focus on interpreting the output in light of the simulated parameters. Data simulation not only can enhance understanding of how these models work, but also enables researchers to perform power calculations for complex designs. All materials associated with this article can be accessed at https://osf.io/3cz2e/.
从更大的人群中同时取样受试者和刺激的实验设计需要使用混合效应模型来解释受试者和刺激的随机效应。然而,由于研究人员对混合效应模型的说明和解释缺乏信心,因此大部分研究都是通过对汇总反应的方差分析来进行分析的。本教程解释了如何使用随机效应结构模拟数据,并使用线性混合效应回归(使用lme4 R包)分析数据,重点是根据模拟参数解释输出。数据模拟不仅可以增强对这些模型如何工作的理解,还可以使研究人员能够对复杂的设计进行功率计算。与本文相关的所有材料都可以在https://osf.io/3cz2e/上访问。
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引用次数: 29
Making Sense of Model Generalizability: A Tutorial on Cross-Validation in R and Shiny 理解模型的可泛化性:R和Shiny中的交叉验证教程
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920947067
Q. Song, Chen Tang, Serena Wee
Model generalizability describes how well the findings from a sample are applicable to other samples in the population. In this Tutorial, we explain model generalizability through the statistical concept of model overfitting and its outcome (i.e., validity shrinkage in new samples), and we use a Shiny app to simulate and visualize how model generalizability is influenced by three factors: model complexity, sample size, and effect size. We then discuss cross-validation as an approach for evaluating model generalizability and provide guidelines for implementing this approach. To help researchers understand how to apply cross-validation to their own research, we walk through an example, accompanied by step-by-step illustrations in R. This Tutorial is expected to help readers develop the basic knowledge and skills to use cross-validation to evaluate model generalizability in their research and practice.
模型概括性描述了一个样本的发现在多大程度上适用于总体中的其他样本。在本教程中,我们通过模型过拟合的统计概念及其结果(即新样本的有效性收缩)来解释模型的泛化性,并且我们使用Shiny应用程序来模拟和可视化模型泛化性如何受到三个因素的影响:模型复杂性,样本量和效应大小。然后,我们讨论交叉验证作为评估模型泛化性的方法,并提供实现该方法的指导方针。为了帮助研究人员了解如何将交叉验证应用到他们自己的研究中,我们通过一个示例,并附带r中的逐步插图。本教程旨在帮助读者发展基本知识和技能,以使用交叉验证来评估他们的研究和实践中的模型泛化性。
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引用次数: 16
Precise Answers to Vague Questions: Issues With Interactions 对模糊问题的精确回答:互动问题
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-12-04 DOI: 10.1177/25152459211007368
J. Rohrer, Ruben C. Arslan
Psychological theories often invoke interactions but remain vague regarding the details. As a consequence, researchers may not know how to properly test them and may potentially run analyses that reliably return the wrong answer to their research question. We discuss three major issues regarding the prediction and interpretation of interactions. First, interactions can be removable in the sense that they appear or disappear depending on scaling decisions, with consequences for a variety of situations (e.g., binary or categorical outcomes, bounded scales with floor and ceiling effects). Second, interactions may be conceptualized as changes in slope or changes in correlations, and because these two phenomena do not necessarily coincide, researchers might draw wrong conclusions. Third, interactions may or may not be causally identified, and this determines which interpretations are valid. Researchers who remain unaware of these distinctions might accidentally analyze their data in a manner that returns the technically correct answer to the wrong question. We illustrate all issues with examples from psychology and issue recommendations for how to best address them in a productive manner.
心理学理论经常援引互动,但对细节仍含糊其辞。因此,研究人员可能不知道如何正确地测试它们,并且可能会进行可靠地返回错误答案的分析。我们讨论了关于相互作用的预测和解释的三个主要问题。首先,互动可以是可移除的,因为它们的出现或消失取决于规模决策,并对各种情况产生后果(例如,二元或分类结果,具有下限和上限效应的有界规模)。其次,相互作用可能被概念化为斜率的变化或相关性的变化,因为这两种现象不一定一致,研究人员可能会得出错误的结论。第三,互动可能是也可能不是因果识别的,这决定了哪些解释是有效的。没有意识到这些区别的研究人员可能会意外地分析他们的数据,从而为错误的问题返回技术上正确的答案。我们用心理学的例子来说明所有问题,并就如何以富有成效的方式最好地解决这些问题提出建议。
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引用次数: 22
Corrigendum: Evaluating Effect Size in Psychological Research: Sense and Nonsense 勘误:评估心理学研究中的效应大小:有意义和无意义
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920979282
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引用次数: 17
Measurement Schmeasurement: Questionable Measurement Practices and How to Avoid Them 测量Schmeasurement:有问题的测量实践和如何避免它们
IF 13.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/2515245920952393
J. Flake, E. Fried
In this article, we define questionable measurement practices (QMPs) as decisions researchers make that raise doubts about the validity of the measures, and ultimately the validity of study conclusions. Doubts arise for a host of reasons, including a lack of transparency, ignorance, negligence, or misrepresentation of the evidence. We describe the scope of the problem and focus on how transparency is a part of the solution. A lack of measurement transparency makes it impossible to evaluate potential threats to internal, external, statistical-conclusion, and construct validity. We demonstrate that psychology is plagued by a measurement schmeasurement attitude: QMPs are common, hide a stunning source of researcher degrees of freedom, and pose a serious threat to cumulative psychological science, but are largely ignored. We address these challenges by providing a set of questions that researchers and consumers of scientific research can consider to identify and avoid QMPs. Transparent answers to these measurement questions promote rigorous research, allow for thorough evaluations of a study’s inferences, and are necessary for meaningful replication studies.
在这篇文章中,我们将有问题的测量实践(QMP)定义为研究人员做出的对测量的有效性以及最终对研究结论的有效性提出质疑的决定。怀疑产生的原因有很多,包括缺乏透明度、无知、疏忽或对证据的歪曲。我们描述了问题的范围,并重点介绍了透明度如何成为解决方案的一部分。由于缺乏测量透明度,无法评估对内部、外部、统计结论和结构有效性的潜在威胁。我们证明,心理学受到测量和测量态度的困扰:QMP很常见,隐藏了研究人员自由度的惊人来源,并对累积的心理科学构成了严重威胁,但在很大程度上被忽视了。我们通过提供一系列问题来应对这些挑战,科学研究的研究人员和消费者可以考虑这些问题来识别和避免QMP。对这些测量问题的透明回答促进了严格的研究,允许对研究的推论进行彻底的评估,并且对于有意义的复制研究是必要的。
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引用次数: 314
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Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science
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