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2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition (T&D)最新文献

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Univariate time series prediction of solar power using a hybrid wavelet-ARMA-NARX prediction method 基于混合小波- arma - narx预测方法的单变量时间序列太阳能发电预测
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519959
H. Nazaripouya, B. Wang, Y. Wang, P. Chu, H. Pota, R. Gadh
This paper proposes a new hybrid method for super short-term solar power prediction. Solar output power usually has a complex, nonstationary, and nonlinear characteristic due to intermittent and time varying behavior of solar radiance. In addition, solar power dynamics is fast and is inertia less. An accurate super short-time prediction is required to compensate for the fluctuations and reduce the impact of solar power penetration on the power system. The objective is to predict one step-ahead solar power generation based only on historical solar power time series data. The proposed method incorporates discrete wavelet transform (DWT), Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) models, and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), while the RNN architecture is based on Nonlinear Auto-Regressive models with eXogenous inputs (NARX). The wavelet transform is utilized to decompose the solar power time series into a set of richer-behaved forming series for prediction. ARMA model is employed as a linear predictor while NARX is used as a nonlinear pattern recognition tool to estimate and compensate the error of wavelet-ARMA prediction. The proposed method is applied to the data captured from UCLA solar PV panels and the results are compared with some of the common and most recent solar power prediction methods. The results validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach and show a considerable improvement in the prediction precision.
本文提出了一种新的超短期太阳能发电预测混合方法。由于太阳辐射的间歇性和时变特性,太阳输出功率通常具有复杂的、非平稳的和非线性的特性。此外,太阳能动力快,惯性小。为了补偿波动,减小太阳能渗透对电力系统的影响,需要进行精确的超短时预测。目标是仅根据历史太阳能发电时间序列数据预测一步太阳能发电。该方法结合了离散小波变换(DWT)、自回归移动平均(ARMA)模型和递归神经网络(RNN),而RNN架构基于外源输入的非线性自回归模型(NARX)。利用小波变换将太阳能时间序列分解为一组行为更丰富的形成序列进行预测。采用ARMA模型作为线性预测器,NARX作为非线性模式识别工具对小波-ARMA预测误差进行估计和补偿。将所提出的方法应用于UCLA太阳能光伏板采集的数据,并将结果与一些常见的和最新的太阳能发电预测方法进行了比较。结果验证了该方法的有效性,并显示了预测精度的显著提高。
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引用次数: 60
Integrating customer interruption costs into outage management systems 将客户中断成本整合到中断管理系统中
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519888
Josh A. Schellenberg, Barney Speckman, J. Eto
Utilities have increasingly been applying customer interruption costs to reliability and resiliency planning, using tools such as the Interruption Cost Estimate (ICE) Calculator. Furthermore, applications of value-based reliability planning can be found in the industry and academic literature for generation, transmission and distribution planning and at the federal policy-making level. With the wealth of guidance documentation and planning examples that is now available, the utility industry is positioned to further expand upon the application of value-based reliability planning by integrating customer interruption costs into outage management systems (OMS) and their associated business processes. This paper summarizes how (and why) to integrate customer interruption costs into OMS and discusses how utilities can act on customer interruption cost information to provide more value to customers.
公用事业公司越来越多地使用中断成本估算(ICE)计算器等工具,将客户中断成本应用到可靠性和弹性规划中。此外,基于价值的可靠性规划的应用可以在工业和学术文献中找到,用于发电,输电和配电规划以及联邦政策制定层面。现在有了丰富的指导文档和规划示例,公用事业行业可以通过将客户中断成本集成到中断管理系统(OMS)及其相关业务流程中,进一步扩展基于价值的可靠性规划的应用。本文总结了如何(以及为什么)将客户中断成本集成到OMS中,并讨论了公用事业如何根据客户中断成本信息采取行动,为客户提供更多价值。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the lightning effect on compact transmission lines by employing Monte Carlo method 用蒙特卡罗方法研究了雷电对紧凑输电线路的影响
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519980
Saeed Mohajeryami, M. Doostan
This paper examines the outage rate caused by lightning strokes on compact transmission lines (TL). Compact and conventional transmission lines are different in terms of design and structure. Due to such differences, the previous lightning performance studies on conventional TL are useless in understanding the lightning performance of compact TL; hence, such studies have to be updated. In this paper, the aforementioned differences have been taken into the consideration. The lightning performance of compact TL has been studied by application of Monte Carlo method. Moment method is used to determine tower surge impedance by SuperNEC software and an approximate model has been introduced for tower modeling in EMTP-RV. After the accurate modeling of all components, backflashover analysis has been performed and at the end, the number of outages in the simulated sample size has been presented.
本文研究了雷击对紧凑型输电线路造成的停电率。紧凑型输电线路与常规输电线路在设计和结构上有所不同。由于这些差异,以往对传统TL的雷电性能研究对于理解紧凑型TL的雷电性能是无用的;因此,这些研究必须更新。本文考虑了上述差异。应用蒙特卡罗方法研究了紧凑型TL的雷电性能。利用SuperNEC软件采用矩量法确定塔架浪涌阻抗,并介绍了EMTP-RV塔架建模的近似模型。在对所有组件进行精确建模后,进行了反闪络分析,最后给出了模拟样本量中的中断次数。
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引用次数: 1
A robust load shedding strategy for microgrid islanding transition 微电网孤岛化转型的鲁棒减载策略
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7520055
Guodong Liu, B. Xiao, M. Starke, O. Ceylan, K. Tomsovic
A microgrid is a group of interconnected loads and distributed energy resources. It can operate in either gridconnected mode to exchange energy with the main grid or run autonomously as an island in emergency mode. However, the transition of microgrid from grid-connected mode to islanded mode is usually associated with excessive load (or generation), which should be shed (or spilled). Under this condition, this paper proposes an robust load shedding strategy for microgrid islanding transition, which takes into account the uncertainties of renewable generation in the microgrid and guarantees the balance between load and generation after islanding. A robust optimization model is formulated to minimize the total operation cost, including fuel cost and penalty for load shedding. The proposed robust load shedding strategy works as a backup plan and updates at a prescribed interval. It assures a feasible operating point after islanding given the uncertainty of renewable generation. The proposed algorithm is demonstrated on a simulated microgrid consisting of a wind turbine, a PV panel, a battery, two distributed generators (DGs), a critical load and a interruptible load. Numerical simulation results validate the proposed algorithm.
微电网是一组相互连接的负荷和分布式能源。它既可以在并网模式下与主电网交换能量,也可以在应急模式下作为孤岛自主运行。然而,微电网从并网模式向孤岛模式的过渡,往往伴随着负荷过大(或发电量过大),需要进行分流(或溢出)。在此情况下,本文提出了一种考虑微网可再生能源发电不确定性,保证孤岛后负荷与发电量平衡的微网孤岛转型鲁棒减载策略。建立了一个鲁棒优化模型,使总运行成本最小,包括燃料成本和减载惩罚。提出的鲁棒减载策略作为备份计划,并按规定的时间间隔更新。考虑可再生能源发电的不确定性,保证了孤岛后的可行工作点。该算法在一个由风力涡轮机、光伏板、电池、两台分布式发电机(dg)、临界负载和可中断负载组成的模拟微电网上进行了验证。数值仿真结果验证了该算法的有效性。
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引用次数: 13
An Arbitrary-Resampling-based synchrophasor measurement algorithm in compliance with IEEE Std C37.118.1a-2014: Design, implementation, and validation 一种符合IEEE标准C37.118.1a-2014的基于任意重采样的同步相量测量算法:设计、实现和验证
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519915
Q. Guo, Rui Gan
Synchrophasor technology is undergoing rapid changes due to the release of a new standard IEEE Std C37.118.1-2011 and its corresponding amendment IEEE Std C37.118.1a-2014. At present, few Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) in the market can satisfy all requirements specified in IEEE Std C37.118.1a-2014. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a novel Arbitrary-Resampling-based algorithm for synchrophasor measurement. The proposed algorithm resamples even-time input signals to even-angle signals by measuring the instantaneous signal frequency, which ensures that sample number is the same in each cycle. Further processing can be performed on the resampled signals to precisely measure the magnitude and phase values of the fundamental components. The proposed algorithm is successfully implemented on a Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA)-based target. Besides, this paper also provides the test results for the compliance tests specified in IEEE Std C37.118.1a-2014, which show that the proposed algorithm is compliant with the standard.
由于新标准IEEE Std C37.118.1-2011及其相应的修订IEEE Std c37.118.1 -2014的发布,同步相子技术正在经历快速的变化。目前,市场上很少有相量测量单元(pmu)能够满足IEEE标准c37.118 .1 -2014中规定的所有要求。为了填补这一空白,本文提出了一种新的基于任意重采样的同步相量测量算法。该算法通过测量信号的瞬时频率,将偶时间输入信号重采样为偶角度信号,保证了每个周期的采样数相同。可以对重采样信号进行进一步处理,以精确测量基本分量的幅度和相位值。该算法在基于现场可编程门阵列(FPGA)的目标上成功实现。此外,本文还提供了IEEE Std C37.118.1a-2014中规定的符合性测试的测试结果,表明所提出的算法符合标准。
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引用次数: 3
A probabilistic-based PV and energy storage sizing tool for residential loads 基于概率的住宅负荷光伏和储能分级工具
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519940
Xiangqi Zhu, Jiahong Yan, N. Lu
This paper presents a probabilistic-based sizing tool for residential home owners, load serving entities, and utilities to select energy storage (ES) and photovoltaic (PV) based on historical load characteristics and load management options. The inputs of the tool include historical residential load profiles and solar radiation data. The outputs of the tool include ensembles of the net load profiles (load minus solar), with and without applying load energy management for different PV and ES installation capacities. The operation statistics of the ES is used to determine the confidence levels of meeting selected performance criterion. In the simulation, a set of 1-year, 15-minute data collected from 50 actual residential homes is used as the load inputs. A set of 1-year, 5-minute actual solar radiation data is used as the solar inputs. Managing load consumptions for reducing the size of ES is investigated by controlling air conditioning loads. Simulation results show that the probabilistic-based sizing method can give the users a clear comparison of the tradeoffs among different options and assist them make more informed decisions.
本文提出了一种基于概率的分级工具,供住宅业主、负荷服务实体和公用事业公司根据历史负荷特征和负荷管理选项选择储能(ES)和光伏(PV)。该工具的输入包括历史住宅负荷曲线和太阳辐射数据。该工具的输出包括净负荷概况(负荷减去太阳能)的整体,针对不同的光伏和ES安装容量,有或没有应用负荷能源管理。ES的运行统计量用于确定满足选定性能标准的置信水平。在模拟中,从50个实际住宅中收集的一组1年15分钟的数据被用作负载输入。使用一组1年5分钟的实际太阳辐射数据作为太阳输入。通过控制空调负荷,研究了控制负荷消耗以减小ES尺寸的方法。仿真结果表明,基于概率的分级方法可以让用户清楚地比较不同选项之间的权衡,帮助他们做出更明智的决策。
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引用次数: 16
Coordinated planning of Distributed Energy Resources and microgrid network 分布式能源与微电网协同规划
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519955
Xian-Chang Guo, He Guo, Haozhong Cheng
Current planning in microgrid includes two decoupled processes: the Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) planning and network topology planning. Each planning process is implemented assuming the other is given, i.e., the DERs planning is implemented assuming the network topology is fixed and vice versa. The decoupled planning processes may result in suboptimal solutions and deteriorate the microgrid reliability under the high penetration of DERs. The coordinated generation and network planning is necessary to maximize the social surplus and improve the system reliability. In this paper, a novel framework to coordinate the planning of DERs capacity and microgrid network topology is proposed. To improve the computational efficiency, the problem is further decomposed into DERs capacity planning sub-problem and microgrid network planning sub-problem. The Adaptive Discrete Particle Swarm Optimization (DPSO) algorithm is applied to solve the capacity planning sub-problem, and improved Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used to solve the network topology planning sub-problem. Case studies on a 29- bus microgrid system in Shanghai is tested to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model.
当前的微电网规划包括分布式能源规划和网络拓扑规划两个解耦过程。每个规划过程都假设另一个规划过程是给定的,即假设网络拓扑是固定的,反之亦然。在分布式电网高渗透情况下,解耦规划过程可能导致次优解的产生,从而降低微电网的可靠性。为了实现社会剩余最大化和提高系统可靠性,需要协调发电和电网规划。本文提出了一种协调分布式电网容量规划和微电网拓扑结构的新框架。为提高计算效率,将该问题进一步分解为分布式电网容量规划子问题和微电网规划子问题。采用自适应离散粒子群优化(DPSO)算法求解容量规划子问题,采用改进遗传算法求解网络拓扑规划子问题。以上海某29总线微电网系统为例,验证了该模型的有效性。
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引用次数: 5
Economic dispatch of wind-thermal power system with MW and ramp rate dependent generator costs 基于兆瓦和斜坡率的风电系统经济调度
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7519856
Mingyang Li, X. Zou, Wei Wang, Yuguang Niu, Ji-zhen Liu
Making use of the steam heat storage in thermal generators enables them to operate in a “fast mode” to ramp up or down faster than regular, so as to better catch up with the fluctuations of wind power to improve system wind utilization. In such fast mode, generators have MW-dependent ramp rates and, distinguished from regular units, MW and ramp rate dependent coal consumption costs. Existing economic dispatch models usually use MW-dependent generator cost functions and constant ramp rate limits, and are thus not applicable to systems containing fast mode generators. This paper presents a new formulation of dynamic economic dispatch for wind-thermal power systems, to take into account ramping capabilities and costs of generators in their fast mode. In our model, the objective is to minimize a two-variable quadratic generator cost function depending on both output levels and ramp rates, and generator ramp rate limits are MW-dependent piece-wise linear functions. The formulation can be solved by using existing quadratic programming methods. In numerical examples implemented by using CPLEX, our model is demonstrated on the IEEE 30-bus system containing two 600MW thermal units with real data. Results show that by using our model, unit ramping capabilities are better utilized in system dispatch to substantially save curtailed wind energy, and total generator costs are reduced.
利用火力发电机组的蒸汽蓄热特性,使火力发电机组处于“快速模式”运行,比常规模式更快地上升或下降,从而更好地赶上风电的波动,提高系统的风利用率。在这种快速模式下,发电机具有兆瓦依赖斜坡速率,并且与常规机组不同,兆瓦依赖斜坡速率的煤炭消耗成本。现有的经济调度模型通常使用依赖于兆瓦的发电机成本函数和恒定的斜坡率限制,因此不适用于包含快速模式发电机的系统。本文提出了一种考虑快速模式下发电机组爬坡能力和成本的风热发电系统动态经济调度新公式。在我们的模型中,目标是最小化依赖于输出水平和斜坡率的双变量二次发电机成本函数,而发电机斜坡率限制是与mw相关的分段线性函数。该公式可以用现有的二次规划方法求解。在CPLEX实现的数值算例中,我们的模型在包含两个600MW热电机组的IEEE 30总线系统上得到了实际数据的验证。结果表明,通过使用该模型,机组斜坡能力在系统调度中得到了更好的利用,从而大大节省了减少的风能,降低了发电机的总成本。
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引用次数: 5
345–138 kV substation upgrade project 345-138千伏变电站改造工程
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7520013
E. Crockett, James T. Kerkhoven, D. Eakins, Brian J. Smith, Carl M. Formento
A primary goal of electric utilities is to maintain reliable and stable service. Therefore utilities forecast and evaluate future power system scenarios and implement the necessary improvements to mitigate adverse impacts. The reliability and age of the existing substation in their northeastern service territory prompted Commonwealth Edison Company (ComEd) to initiate a major substation project. To support reliability and reinforcement improvements to their 138 kV system, a plan was developed to provide an additional source of power into the 138 kV system from the 345 kV system. This involved bisecting an existing 345 kV transmission line and constructing a new 345 kV to 138 kV substation. This paper summarizes engineering solutions to the many challenges involved in a complex transition from old to new facilities. The project was completed with no adverse events and met the stated project objectives.
电力公司的主要目标是保持可靠和稳定的服务。因此,公用事业公司预测和评估未来电力系统的情况,并实施必要的改进以减轻不利影响。鉴于其东北服务区域现有变电站的可靠性和使用年限,联邦爱迪生公司(ComEd)启动了一个大型变电站项目。为了支持他们的138千伏系统的可靠性和加强改进,他们制定了一项计划,从345千伏系统向138千伏系统提供额外的电源。这包括将现有的345千伏输电线路一分为二,并建造一个新的345千伏至138千伏变电站。本文总结了从旧设施到新设施的复杂过渡所涉及的许多挑战的工程解决方案。项目顺利完成,无不良事件发生,达到了既定的项目目标。
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引用次数: 0
Determination of switching sequence of Service Restoration in Distribution Systems: Application and analysis on a real and large-scale radial system 配电系统业务恢复切换顺序的确定:在实际大型径向系统中的应用与分析
Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1109/TDC.2016.7520034
Marcos H. M. Camillo, R. Fanucchi, Marcel E. V. Romero, T. W. de Lima, L. T. Marques, J. Massignan, Carlos Dias Maciel, A. Soares, A. Delbem, M. Bessani, J. London
It is computationally hard to solve the Service Restoration (SR) problem for large-scale Distribution Systems (DSs) without any system simplification, since this problem is combinatorial and non-linear, involving several constraints and objectives. The methodology named MEAN-MH+ES has proved able to generate feasible solutions (radial configuration attending all the operational constraints) with relatively soft computing and without requiring any network simplification in several tests performed on the real and large-scale DS of Londrina city (Brazil). The MEAN-MH+ES combines Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithm with Node-Depth Encoding, Multiple-criteria tables, alarming Heuristic and an Exhaustive search. However, as the majority of the methodologies for solving the SR problem, the MEAN-MH+ES does not provide a feasible sequence of switching operations to reach the final configuration (the feasible solution) from the initial configuration (the configuration with the faulted areas identified and isolated). This paper proposes to incorporate a heuristic procedure into MEAN-MH+ES, which enable to provide a Feasible Sequence of Switching Operations (FSSO), that is, a switching operation sequence that generates only intermediate configurations that respect the operational constraints. The proposed heuristic procedure is confirmed on tests performed on the real and large-scale DS of Londrina city.
大型配电系统的服务恢复问题是一个组合的、非线性的、涉及多个约束条件和目标的问题,在不进行系统简化的情况下很难求解。在巴西Londrina市的真实和大规模DS上进行的多次测试证明,MEAN-MH+ES方法能够以相对软计算生成可行的解决方案(满足所有操作约束的径向配置),并且不需要任何网络简化。MEAN-MH+ES结合了节点深度编码的多目标进化算法、多准则表、报警启发式和穷举搜索。然而,作为解决SR问题的大多数方法,MEAN-MH+ES并没有提供一个可行的切换操作序列,以从初始配置(已识别并隔离故障区域的配置)达到最终配置(可行的解决方案)。本文提出在MEAN-MH+ES中加入一个启发式过程,使其能够提供一个可行的交换操作序列(FSSO),即一个只生成尊重操作约束的中间配置的交换操作序列。本文提出的启发式方法在伦敦市的实际和大规模DS上得到了验证。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition (T&D)
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