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Spatial variation of suspended sediment properties in the Sutlej river basin of Indian Himalayas 印度喜马拉雅山脉苏特莱杰河流域悬浮沉积物特性的空间变化
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01322-6
Naman Arora, Arun Kumar, Sunil Kumar Singal

The present study deals with investigating the spatial variation of suspended sediment properties in the Sutlej river basin (SRB). Twenty sampling locations were selected in the Sutlej river and its tributaries, and sediment sampling was carried out during monsoon season. The suspended sediment properties, namely suspended sediment concentration (SSC), particle size distribution (PSD), shape, and mineralogy, were measured through dynamic imaging, laser diffraction, and x-ray diffraction techniques. It was found that there is a wide variation of SSC, whereas there is an insignificant variation of PSD, shape, and mineralogy in the SRB. The highest SSC (2841 mg/l) was observed in the Kiran tributary, whereas the lowest (131 mg/l) was in the Titang tributary. The highest SSC (1749 mg/l) in the Sutlej main stem was observed at Khab, the topmost sampling location. The mean particle size varies from 6.00 to 25.36 µm (5.53–7.53 Φ). Shape analysis showed high degree of sphericity varying from 0.81 to 0.88 and slight elongation varying from 0.70 to 0.8. Mineralogical analysis depicts the dominance of quartz (66.73–82.25%) in the SRB. International Electrotechnical Commission IEC 62364 (IEC 62364 (2019) Hydraulic machines—Guidelines for dealing with hydro-abrasive erosion in Kaplan, Francis, and Pelton turbines, 2nd edn. Geneva, Switzerland) based average shape and hardness factors for SRB were estimated as 1.36 and 0.85, respectively. The maximum particle load for SRB was estimated as 0.014 kg/m3.

本研究旨在调查苏特雷杰河流域(SRB)悬浮沉积物特性的空间变化。在苏特雷杰河及其支流选择了 20 个采样点,并在季风季节进行了沉积物采样。通过动态成像、激光衍射和 X 射线衍射技术测量了悬浮沉积物的特性,即悬浮沉积物浓度 (SSC)、粒度分布 (PSD)、形状和矿物学。结果发现,SRB 中的 SSC 变化很大,而 PSD、形状和矿物学变化不明显。基兰支流的 SSC 值最高(2841 毫克/升),而 Titang 支流的 SSC 值最低(131 毫克/升)。苏特莱杰河干流最高的 SSC 值(1749 毫克/升)出现在最顶端的采样点 Khab。平均粒径在 6.00 至 25.36 微米(5.53-7.53 Φ)之间。形状分析表明,球度在 0.81 至 0.88 之间,伸长率在 0.70 至 0.8 之间。矿物分析表明,石英(66.73%-82.25%)在 SRB 中占主导地位。国际电工委员会 IEC 62364(IEC 62364 (2019)《水力机械--处理卡普兰式、混流式和佩尔顿式水轮机中的水磨侵蚀指南》,第 2 版,瑞士日内瓦)基于平均形状和硬度对 SRB 进行了分析。SRB 的平均形状系数和硬度系数分别为 1.36 和 0.85。据估算,SRB 的最大颗粒载荷为 0.014 kg/m3。
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引用次数: 0
A strike slip fault dynamic and seismic hazard implications on the future big event: insights from the Mw 5.5 Rukwa earthquake of 21 March 2019 走向滑动断层动态及对未来大事件的地震危害影响:2019 年 3 月 21 日鲁夸 5.5 级地震的启示
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01316-4
Gabriel Daudi Mulibo

The moderate-sized Mw 5.5 Rukwa earthquake of 21 March 2019 in southwestern Tanzania caused strong shaking in the vicinity of towns. Results from the relocation suggest the earthquake is associated with the Chisi shear zone and the fault plane solution reveals dextral strike-slip motion. The association of the event with shear zone and dextral strike-slip faulting likely represents reactivation of the Paleoproterozoic dextral shear faults caused by transfer of strain energy accommodated in the previously north-eastern active Lupa border fault into the previously less-active south-western Ufipa border fault. The orientations of lineaments around the epicenter and the macroseismic intensity distribution indicate the ruptured plane of the event propagated along SE direction. The intensity map shows significant ground shaking extending further southwest, up to ~ 450 km, affecting buildings in towns along the Western Rift. The notable strong vibration is associated with the amplification of the ground movement caused by soil effects. Most of the buildings in towns along the Western Rift cannot withstand strong shaking when a big event occurs. This implies that a future, bigger event in the Western Rift would result in large casualties and destruction of properties. The occurrence of a big event can also result in major volcanic hazards by triggering an eruption within the Rungwe Volcanic Province. The event provides the most useful first-hand input data for the estimation of hazards and also assists in better planning against earthquake hazards in near-field cities and towns along the Western rift.

摘要 2019 年 3 月 21 日在坦桑尼亚西南部发生的中等规模 Mw 5.5 Rukwa 地震在城镇附近引起强烈震动。重新定位的结果表明,此次地震与奇西剪切带有关,断层平面解显示了右旋走向滑动运动。该事件与剪切带和右旋走向滑动断层的关联可能代表了古新生代右旋剪切断层的重新激活,这是由之前东北部活跃的 Lupa 边界断层所容纳的应变能量转移到之前不太活跃的西南部 Ufipa 边界断层所造成的。震中周围的线型走向和宏观地震烈度分布表明,事件的破裂面沿东南方向传播。地震烈度图显示,明显的地面震动向西南方向延伸了约 450 公里,影响到西部裂谷沿线城镇的建筑物。明显的强烈振动与土壤效应引起的地面运动放大有关。西部裂谷沿线城镇的大多数建筑物无法承受大地震发生时的强烈震动。这意味着未来在西部裂谷发生更大的事件时,将造成大量人员伤亡和财产损失。大事件的发生还可能引发隆圭火山省内的火山爆发,从而造成重大火山灾害。该事件为灾害估计提供了最有用的第一手输入数据,也有助于更好地规划西部裂谷沿线近场城镇的地震灾害。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of crop yield in India using machine learning and hybrid deep learning models 利用机器学习和混合深度学习模型预测印度作物产量
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01312-8
Krithikha Sanju Saravanan, Velammal Bhagavathiappan

Crop yield prediction is one of the burgeoning research areas in the agriculture domain. The crop yield forecasting models are developed to enhance productivity with improved decision-making strategies. The highly efficient crop yield forecasting model assists farmers in determining when, what and how much to plant on their cultivable land. The main objective of the proposed research work is to build a high efficacious crop yield prediction model based on the data available for the period of 21 years from 1997 to 2017 using machine learning and hybrid deep learning approaches. Two prediction models have been proposed in this research work to predict the crop yield accurately. The first model is a machine learning-based model which uses the CatBoost regression model and its hyperparameters are tuned which improves the performance of the yield prediction using the Optuna framework. The second model is the hybrid deep learning model which uses spatio-temporal attention-based convolutional neural network (STACNN) for extracting the features and the bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) model for predicting the crop yield effectively. The proposed models are evaluated using the error metrics and compared with the latest contemporary models. From the evaluation results, it is shown that the proposed models significantly outperform all other existing models and CatBoost regression model slightly performs better than the STACNN-BiLSTM model, with the R-squared value of 0.99.

作物产量预测是农业领域新兴的研究领域之一。开发作物产量预测模型是为了通过改进决策策略来提高生产力。高效的作物产量预测模型可以帮助农民确定何时、种植什么以及在耕地上种植多少作物。拟议研究工作的主要目标是利用机器学习和混合深度学习方法,基于 1997 年至 2017 年 21 年间的可用数据,建立一个高效的作物产量预测模型。本研究工作提出了两个预测模型来准确预测作物产量。第一个模型是基于机器学习的模型,它使用 CatBoost 回归模型,并对其超参数进行了调整,从而利用 Optuna 框架提高了产量预测的性能。第二个模型是混合深度学习模型,使用基于时空注意力的卷积神经网络(STACNN)提取特征,并使用双向长短期记忆(BiLSTM)模型有效预测作物产量。利用误差指标对所提出的模型进行了评估,并与最新的当代模型进行了比较。评估结果表明,所提出的模型明显优于所有其他现有模型,CatBoost 回归模型的性能略优于 STACNN-BiLSTM 模型,R 平方值为 0.99。
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引用次数: 0
Block motion, slip rates, and earthquake hazard assessment of boundary faults in the Sichuan–Yunnan region, China 中国四川-云南地区边界断层的块体运动、滑移率和地震灾害评估
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01319-1
Changyun Chen, Wei Zhan, Xuechuan Li, Shuang Zhu, Qingyun Zhang, Jingwei Li, Nannan Guo, Yi Tang

Quantitative analysis of the slip rate of active faults and their seismic parameters is important for seismic hazard analysis. In this study, we first construct an elastic block model to obtain the slip rate of boundary faults based on the distribution characteristics of active faults, seismicity, and global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observations in Sichuan–Yunnan, China. Then, the long-term seismic risks of the boundary faults are quantitatively evaluated based on the principle of seismic moment balance. The Sichuan–Yunnan region can be divided into 17 relatively independent and stable subblocks. There is clear zoning in the distribution and mechanisms of boundary fault movement and deformation. The boundary faults exhibit an alternating dextral–sinistral–dextral–sinistral strike-slip pattern from northeast to southwest. Among these boundary faults, the Xianshuihe–Xiaojiang fault zone has a high sinistral strike-slip rate, and the Jinshajiang fault plays an important role in accommodating the movement and deformation of the subblocks in the Chuandian block. The dextral strike-slip rate is approximately 10 mm/yr, which is diffusely transferred to the secondary boundary faults in the Chuandian block. Comparison of the rates of moment accumulation and release reveals that the southern segment of the Xiaojiang fault, the Longriba fault, the Daliangshan fault, and the Yuanmou fault exhibit significant moment deficits, with corresponding moment magnitudes exceeding Mw 7.5. More attention should be given to the strong earthquake risks of these faults. The Xianshuihe–Xiaojiang, Jiali–Lancangjiang, and Red River faults, which are arc shaped, dominate the regional deformation and determine the motion and deformation model of the subblocks and secondary boundary faults within the Chuandian block and the area southwest of the Red River fault.

摘要 活断层滑移率及其地震参数的定量分析对地震灾害分析具有重要意义。本研究首先根据中国四川-云南活动断层分布特征、地震活动性和全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)观测资料,构建弹性块体模型,得到边界断层的滑移率。然后,根据地震力矩平衡原理对边界断层的长期地震风险进行定量评估。川滇地区可划分为 17 个相对独立和稳定的子区块。边界断层运动和变形的分布和机制有明显的分区。边界断层自东北向西南呈 "右旋-中轴-右旋-中轴 "交替走向滑动格局。在这些边界断层中,咸水河-小江断裂带的正弦走向滑动速率较高,金沙江断层在川滇地块中对各亚块的运动和变形起着重要的调控作用。右旋走向滑动速率约为 10 毫米/年,并向川滇地块的次级边界断层扩散。通过比较力矩的积累和释放速率,可以发现小江断层南段、龙里坝断层、大凉山断层和元谋断层表现出明显的力矩亏损,相应的力矩幅值超过 7.5 兆瓦。对这些断层的强震风险应给予更多关注。仙水河-小江断层、嘉黎-澜沧江断层和红河断层呈弧形,在区域变形中占主导地位,决定了川滇地块内部和红河断层西南部地区子地块和次级边界断层的运动和变形模式。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping subsurface structural lineaments using the tilt angle map from gravity gradient data and Euler deconvolution, Lakouat–Aksab region, Northwestern Tunisia 利用重力梯度数据倾斜角图和欧拉解卷积法绘制突尼斯西北部拉库阿特-阿克萨布地区地下结构线形图
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01323-5
Imen Hamdi Nasr, Benen Sarsar Nawali, Adnen Amiri, Wissal Issaoui, Oussama Abidi, Adama youssouf Kone, Mohamed Ben Chalbi, Mohamed Hedi Inoubli

To gain insight into the organization of the underlying structures in the northern Tunisia region, detailed gravity data in combination with geological information have been investigated.

Many techniques have been used, including residual, upward continuations and derivative. Results from the edge detection technique based on the tilt angle map generated from the first vertical gradient were discussed and compared with results obtained by Euler deconvolution. The compilation and comparison of gravity maps and geology maps enable the determination of major structural trends. It validates specific structural elements acquired from outcrops and specifies new ones. According to the gravity data interpretation, the area of study is impacted by several underlying structural trends. The main trend direction is NE–SW, which is closely linked to the J Chehid and Bled Tejra Akseb trends. NW–SE direction is the second significant trend that borders Bled El Ghorfa to the north. Additional determined trends include: the N–S direction, which is associated with the Lakouat fault. A strong correlation was noted between results from tilt angle method and Euler deconvolution, showing that they may both be used to delineate the main structural framework of the region.

为了深入了解突尼斯北部地区地下结构的组织情况,结合地质信息对详细的重力数据进行了调查。讨论了基于第一垂直梯度生成的倾斜角图的边缘检测技术的结果,并将其与欧拉解卷积技术获得的结果进行了比较。通过对重力图和地质图进行汇编和比较,可以确定主要的构造趋势。它验证了从露头获取的特定构造元素,并明确了新的构造元素。根据重力数据解释,研究区域受到几种潜在构造趋势的影响。主要走向是东北-西南,与 J Chehid 和 Bled Tejra Akseb 走向密切相关。西北-东南走向是第二个重要走向,与北部的 Bled El Ghorfa 相邻。其他已确定的趋势包括:与 Lakouat 断层相关的 N-S 方向。倾斜角法和欧拉解卷积法得出的结果之间存在很强的相关性,表明这两种方法都可用于划定该地区的主要结构框架。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the Special Issue: Geophysics and remote sensing for resources and ecosystem sustainability in an environmentally constrained world 特刊简介:地球物理学和遥感技术促进环境受限世界的资源和生态系统可持续性
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01321-7
Abir Jrad, Mohamed Dhaoui, Apostolos Sarris, Hakim Gabtni, Nikos Papadopoulos

The 4th Atlas Georesources International Congress (AGIC), convened in Hammamet, Tunisia in March 2023, provided a significant forum for scholars, scientists, and practitioners to converge and deliberate on the intricate challenges surrounding resource management. Themed “Geoscience Innovations For Resource Management: Socio-Economic Challenges In An Environmentally Constrained World,” the congress spotlighted five pivotal domains: hydrology and water resource management, applied geophysics in geological exploration and structural analysis, environmental pollution, climate and atmospheric studies, and renewable energy and climate modeling. These thematic areas serve as focal points for grappling with the multifaceted challenges posed by contemporary resource management paradigms.

2023 年 3 月在突尼斯哈马马特召开的第四届阿特拉斯地球资源国际大会(AGIC)为学者、科学家和从业人员提供了一个重要的论坛,使他们能够汇聚一堂,共同探讨资源管理方面的复杂挑战。会议主题为 "资源管理的地球科学创新":大会聚焦五个关键领域:水文学和水资源管理、地质勘探和结构分析中的应用地球物理学、环境污染、气候和大气研究以及可再生能源和气候建模。这些专题领域是应对当代资源管理模式带来的多方面挑战的焦点。
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引用次数: 0
Geophysical estimation of 2D hydraulic conductivity for groundwater assessment in hard rock 用于硬岩地下水评估的二维水力传导性地球物理估算
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01310-w
Qiang Gao, Muhammad Hasan, Yanjun Shang, Shengwen Qi

Accurate evaluation of aquifer potential is essential for groundwater assessments. Aquifer potential is mainly evaluated by aquifer parameters. Hydraulic conductivity (K) is the main aquifer parameter extensively measured in groundwater studies. Traditionally, boreholes are used to determine K. However, the conventional approaches have several limitations, can only provide point-scale K measurements, and cannot be performed in the high topography areas. On the other hand, geophysical approaches are less time-consuming and non-invasive, more cost-effective, faster, and can assess the subsurface hydrogeological conditions over large areas. In the past, several empirical-based geophysical studies were carried out to estimate K. However, in such studies, VES (vertical electrical sounding) method was used to estimate 1D K mostly in the homogeneous setting. Given the natural heterogeneity of hard rock terrains, the borehole/VES-based K causes uncertainty in accurate assessment of aquifer potential related to the weathered layers and fractures/faults. To this end, this contribution uses ERT (electrical resistivity tomography) method to predict 2D K for more reliable and thorough evaluation of groundwater potential in the heterogeneous sites. The proposed approach assesses the water-bearing ability of geological layers via definite ranges of K and resistivity, i.e., high potential aquifer enclosed by completely weathered/fractured rock via resistivity below 400 Ωm and K between 1.0 × 10–1–9.5 × 10 m/d, medium potential aquifer of partly weathered/fractured rock with resistivity from 400 to 1000 Ωm and K from 3.5 × 10–5 to 1.0 × 10–1 m/d, negligible-potential aquifer of integral rock having resistivity variations between 1000 and 3000 Ωm and K between 6.5 × 10–8 and 3.5 × 10–5 m/d, and no potential aquifer of fresh rock with resistivity above 3000 Ωm and K from 1.5 × 10–10 to 6.5 × 10–8 m/d. Two deeper zones of weathered rocks were evaluated by the localized fractures/faults namely F1 and F2. This is the rare study, which estimates 2D K using ERT or any geophysical method. The obtained results, compared with the traditional approaches, offer much better evaluation of aquifer potential for groundwater assessment in the complex geological settings of hard rock.

准确评估含水层潜力对地下水评估至关重要。含水层潜力主要通过含水层参数来评估。水文传导性(K)是地下水研究中广泛测量的主要含水层参数。然而,传统方法存在一些局限性,只能提供点尺度的 K 测量值,而且无法在高地形地区进行测量。另一方面,地球物理方法耗时少、无损伤、成本效益高、速度快,而且可以评估大面积的地下水地质条件。然而,在这些研究中,VES(垂直电探测)方法主要用于在均质环境中估算一维 K。鉴于硬岩地形的天然异质性,基于钻孔/VES 的 K 值在准确评估与风化层和断裂/断层有关的含水层潜力方面具有不确定性。为此,本文采用 ERT(电阻率层析成像)方法预测二维 K 值,以便更可靠、更全面地评估异质场地的地下水潜力。所提出的方法通过 K 值和电阻率的确定范围来评估地质层的含水能力,即电阻率低于 400 Ωm,K 值介于 1.0 × 10-1-9.5 × 10 m/d 之间的完全风化/断裂岩石所围成的高势能含水层;电阻率介于 400 至 1000 Ωm,K 值介于 3.5 × 10-5 至 1.0 × 10-1 m/d,电阻率变化在 1000 至 3000 Ωm 之间、K 值在 6.5 × 10-8 至 3.5 × 10-5 m/d 之间的整块岩石含水层潜力可忽略不计,电阻率在 3000 Ωm 以上、K 值在 1.5 × 10-10 至 6.5 × 10-8 m/d 之间的新鲜岩石无含水层潜力。通过局部断裂/断层(即 F1 和 F2)对两个较深的风化岩区进行了评估。这是利用 ERT 或任何地球物理方法估算二维 K 的罕见研究。与传统方法相比,所获得的结果能更好地评估含水层的潜力,从而评估硬岩复杂地质环境中的地下水。
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引用次数: 0
Aquifer characterization of Rajgir thermal spring field, Bihar, Eastern India, in the face of climate change and rapid urbanization 面对气候变化和快速城市化,印度东部比哈尔邦 Rajgir 温泉区含水层的特征描述
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01311-9
Indranil Roy, Shailendra Nath Dwivedi, Basant Kumar Oraon, Pasupunoori Raghavender, Sashi Kant Singh, Somaru Ram, Fakhre Alam, Suresh Kumar

Rajgir thermal spring field in Bihar, Eastern India, holds international significance due to its historical and multi-religio-cultural importance. Present study attempted to understand the aquifer system to arrest its diminishing discharge in the backdrop of climate change and urbanization. The study identified three aquifer systems, namely fractured quartzite, basement granite, and overlying alluvium, that are working in tandem toward the delicate balance in recharge and discharge in the thermal spring field controlled by the regional fault system. Geological study along with geophysical surveys through gradient resistivity profiling, vertical electrical sounding, and electrical resistivity tomography is carried out to identify local distribution of the fault system. Based on the study, a geological map of the area is prepared followed by preparation of water table contour map. Study of exploratory borehole tapping the fracture zone reveals that the fracture system is under thermo-artesian condition capable of 5 m3/h yield with 40 m drawdown. This translates into transmissivity of about 1 m2/day. Historical rainfall, spring discharge, and groundwater hydrograph of the area are correlated and show that an average time lag of about 20–30 days exists between peak rainfall and peak groundwater level and about 30 days between peak rainfall and peak discharge. It highlights the importance of local recharge for survival of the thermal spring field. Rainfall and potential evapotranspiration data analysis shows that recharge occurs only when annual rainfall exceeds 850 mm, making the variability in rainfall due to climate change a potential threat to adequate recharge. The area is also witnessing growing urbanization which is altering the local groundwater regime. Analysis of historical water level shows that groundwater table declined by about 2 m in the last decade. Comparison with earlier studies is used to identify the changes in groundwater flow pattern in the area. Spatial variation in groundwater temperature is mapped and statistically analyzed. Results show that temperature above 30.8 °C may be considered as samples having signature of thermal water component. It is also observed that thermal water is restricted in some fixed pathways. Discharge measurements are carried out to study diurnal variation and effect of pumping. A set of private borewells, where thermal water is reported, is also studied. Typically, these wells are limited to the weathered part of the rock formation and do not tap fractures. Based on hydrogeological scenario, a local hydrodynamic model is conceived. Further, a management plan is suggested for sustenance of the thermal spring field with potential solution involving establishment of a carefully regulated zone with prohibition of energized pumping. Based on the present study, Government of Bihar has accepted the recommendation and is in the process of implementation.

印度东部比哈尔邦的拉吉尔温泉地因其历史和多元宗教文化的重要性而具有国际意义。本研究试图了解含水层系统,以遏制其在气候变化和城市化背景下不断减少的排放量。研究确定了三个含水层系统,即断裂石英岩、基底花岗岩和上覆冲积层,它们相互配合,在区域断层系统的控制下,实现热泉领域补给和排泄的微妙平衡。在进行地质研究的同时,还通过梯度电阻率剖面测量、垂直电法探测和电阻率层析成像进行了地球物理勘测,以确定断层系统在当地的分布情况。根据研究结果,绘制了该地区的地质图,随后绘制了地下水位等高线图。对挖掘断裂带的勘探钻孔进行的研究表明,断裂系统处于热静力学条件下,能够以每小时 5 立方米的速度出水,降水量为 40 米。这意味着渗透率约为 1 平方米/天。该地区的历史降雨量、春季排水量和地下水水文图相互关联,显示降雨量峰值与地下水位峰值之间存在平均约 20-30 天的时间差,降雨量峰值与排水量峰值之间存在平均约 30 天的时间差。这凸显了当地补给对温泉区生存的重要性。降雨量和潜在蒸散量数据分析显示,只有当年降雨量超过 850 毫米时才会出现补给,因此气候变化导致的降雨量变化对充分补给构成了潜在威胁。该地区的城市化进程也在不断加快,从而改变了当地的地下水系统。对历史水位的分析表明,地下水位在过去十年中下降了约 2 米。通过与早期研究的比较,可以确定该地区地下水流模式的变化。绘制了地下水温度的空间变化图,并进行了统计分析。结果表明,温度高于 30.8 ° C 的样本可视为具有热敏水成分特征的样本。此外,还观察到热敏水在某些固定路径中受到限制。对排水量进行了测量,以研究昼夜变化和抽水的影响。此外,还对一组私人井眼进行了研究,据报告,这些井眼含有热敏水。通常情况下,这些水井仅限于岩层的风化部分,不会挖掘裂缝。根据水文地质情况,设想了一个当地水动力模型。此外,还提出了维持温泉区的管理计划,其中可能的解决方案包括建立一个严密监管区,禁止通电抽水。根据本研究,比哈尔邦政府已接受建议,并正在实施过程中。
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引用次数: 0
Research on pore structure and classification evaluation of tight oil reservoirs based on fractal theory 基于分形理论的致密油藏孔隙结构与分类评价研究
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01299-2
ShiJie Li, HuiYuan Bian, Di Zhang, YanXin Liu, GuoLiang Liu, Fei Wang

The Chang 8 formation of the Yanchang Group, located in Yuancheng area of the Ordos Basin, is a typical tight oil reservoir in China. This reservoir is characterized by low porosity, low permeability, strong non-homogeneity, and significant difficulty in evaluating the reservoir parameters. To examine and investigate the microscopic pore structure characteristics of the Chang 8 formation, cast thin section and scanning electron microscopy techniques were utilized in this study, Moreover, tests on the core physical properties were conducted and the data from these tests were integrated into the analysis of basic characteristics of the reservoir rock mineralogy, pore permeability, and other fundamental characteristics. The shapes of piezomercury curves were systematically examined to study the characteristics and features of pore structures for the 17 samples. In accordance with the fractal dimension of the NMR T2 spectrum, the reservoir was classified into four categories, and a conversion model delineating the correlation between the NMR T2 spectrum and the capillary pressure curve was formulated through the application of the segmented power function method. This model was then implemented in the interpretation of NMR logging, facilitating the acquisition of a seamless pseudo-capillary pressure curve spanning the entire well section. Three essential parameters reflecting the microscopic pore structure, namely the expulsion pressure, median pressure, and sorting coefficient of the core samples, were extracted. The association between reservoir parameters and reservoir categorization was then determined through the application of a generalized regression neural network. The pseudo-capillary pressure curve reservoir parameters of the whole well section were processed to derive the classification profile of the reservoir, and the classification results demonstrated a strong alignment with those of the mercury injection experiments. This study highlights that the proposed method can provide crucial foundation for the investigations on pore structures in tight oil reservoirs and the evaluation of reservoir classification.

位于鄂尔多斯盆地元城地区的延长组长八油层是中国典型的致密油藏。该储层具有孔隙度低、渗透率低、非均质性强等特点,储层参数评价难度大。为了考察和研究长 8 地层的微观孔隙结构特征,本研究采用了铸造薄片和扫描电镜技术,并对岩心物性进行了测试,将测试数据纳入储层岩石矿物学基本特征、孔隙渗透率和其他基本特征的分析中。系统研究了压汞曲线的形状,以研究 17 个样本的孔隙结构特征和特点。根据核磁共振 T2 波谱的分形维度,将储层分为四类,并通过应用分段幂函数方法,建立了核磁共振 T2 波谱与毛细管压力曲线之间相关性的转换模型。该模型在核磁共振测井解释中得到了应用,有助于获得横跨整个井段的无缝伪毛细管压力曲线。提取了反映微观孔隙结构的三个基本参数,即岩心样品的排出压力、中值压力和分选系数。然后通过应用广义回归神经网络确定储层参数与储层分类之间的关联。通过对整个井段的伪毛细管压力曲线储层参数进行处理,得出储层的分类轮廓,分类结果与注汞实验结果非常吻合。这项研究表明,所提出的方法可为致密油藏孔隙结构研究和储层分类评价提供重要依据。
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引用次数: 0
Ranking of CMIP 6 climate models in simulating precipitation over India CMIP 6 气候模式在模拟印度降水方面的排名
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01313-7
Degavath Vinod, V. Agilan

Understanding how precipitation fluctuates geographically and temporally over a specific place due to climate change is critical. Generally, simulations of general circulation models (GCM) under different scenarios are downscaled to the local scale to study the impact of climate change on precipitation. However, selecting suitable GCMs for the given study area is one of the most hectic tasks, as the performance of GCMs may vary with respect to space and timescale. Therefore, the current study ranks twenty-seven CMIP 6 (Coupled Modelled Intercomparison Project Phase 6) GCMs in simulating precipitation over India for nine times series, including daily, monthly, yearly, and six extreme series extracted with annual maximum and peak over threshold methods. The gridded daily rainfall data provided by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) are used as the observed data. The GCMs' outputs are corrected for the systematic bias using the linear scaling method. The performance of a GCM is assessed with three statistical performance metrics, namely NSE, RMSE, and R2. The GCMs' ranks are determined using a multi-criterion decision-making technique named the modified technique of order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (mTOPSIS) for every grid point and nine timescales (i.e., daily, monthly, yearly, and six extreme series). From the results, for the entire India, the top ten recommended CMIP 6 GCMs are FGOALS-g3, HadGEM3-GC31-MM, EC-Earth3, BCC-CSM2-MR, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, CanESM5, AWI-ESM-1-1-LR, MPI-ESM-1-2-HR, IITM-ESM, and INM-CM5-0. The identified best-performing models provide insightful information for better regional climate projections and underscore the necessity of considering multiple model outputs for reliable climate change impact assessments and adaptation strategies in the region.

摘要 了解气候变化对特定地区降水量在地理和时间上的影响至关重要。一般来说,不同情景下的大气环流模式(GCM)模拟结果会缩小到当地尺度,以研究气候变化对降水的影响。然而,由于 GCM 的性能可能因空间和时间尺度而异,为特定研究区域选择合适的 GCM 是最困难的任务之一。因此,本研究对 27 个 CMIP 6(耦合模式相互比较项目第 6 阶段)GCM 进行了排名,以模拟印度降水量的 9 个时间序列,包括日、月、年以及用年度最大值和峰值超过阈值方法提取的 6 个极端序列。观测数据采用印度气象局 (IMD) 提供的网格化日降雨量数据。使用线性缩放法对 GCM 的输出进行系统偏差校正。用三个统计性能指标评估 GCM 的性能,即 NSE、RMSE 和 R2。对于每个网格点和九个时间尺度(即每日、每月、每年和六个极端序列),使用一种名为 "与理想解相似性排序偏好修正技术(mTOPSIS)"的多标准决策技术确定 GCM 的等级。从结果来看,对于整个印度,推荐的前十个 CMIP 6 GCM 分别是 FGOALS-g3、HadGEM3-GC31-MM、EC-Earth3、BCC-CSM2-MR、CNRM-CM6-1-HR、CanESM5、AWI-ESM-1-1-LR、MPI-ESM-1-2-HR、IITM-ESM 和 INM-CM5-0。已确定的最佳模型为更好地进行区域气候预测提供了有洞察力的信息,并强调了考虑多种模型输出结果以在该地区进行可靠的气候变化影响评估和制定适应战略的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
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Acta Geophysica
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