This study presents a comprehensive numerical investigation of transient seepage behavior and slope stability in the Mahabad earth-fill dam under four reservoir drawdown rates (0.15, 0.3, 0.6, and 1.2 m/day), utilizing site-specific geotechnical and hydraulic properties. Simulations were performed in the SEEP/W and SLOPE/W modules of GeoStudio 2018R2, which employ mesh-independent finite element modeling for transient unsaturated flow and limit equilibrium stability analyses. The analysis revealed that rapid drawdown initially induces elevated seepage discharges and hydraulic gradients; however, as the upstream shell transitions to unsaturated conditions, both seepage rates and exit gradients decline sharply, remaining well below critical safety thresholds in all cases. Quantitatively, the minimum recorded seepage rate following drawdown decreased from 5.74 × 10−5 to 2.17 × 10−6 m3/s/m (at 0.15 m/day over 400 days), and corresponding exit gradients dropped from 0.731 to 0.063, illustrating effective dissipation of hydraulic forces. Stability analysis showed that the upstream slope experiences a transient decline in factor of safety (FoS) after drawdown initiation, reaching a minimum of 1.662 (for 0.15 m/day) and as low as 1.62 for the fastest scenario, but recovery follows as pore pressures dissipate. The downstream slope exhibited minimal FoS fluctuation, consistently maintaining values above 1.69 across all drawdown rates, underscoring the effectiveness of the dam’s material zoning and drainage systems. Despite model simplifications, the findings confirm Mahabad Dam’s resilience under varying drawdown scenarios and offer a solid basis for safety evaluation and future advanced analyses.
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