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Statistical-based models for the production of landslide susceptibility maps and general risk analyses: a case study in Maçka, Turkey 基于统计的滑坡易发性地图绘制和一般风险分析模型:土耳其马奇卡的案例研究
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01380-w
Fatih Kadi

The district of Maçka in Trabzon, in the Eastern Black Sea Region of Turkey, frequently experiences landslides, resulting in the highest number of disaster victims. In this study, Landslide Susceptibility Maps (LSMs) were generated via the Statistical-based Frequency Ratio (FR) and Modified Information Value (MIV) models using 10 factors. Out of the 150 landslides in the region, 105 (70%) were utilized in creating the maps, and the remaining 45 (30%) were reserved for validation. The models demonstrated success rates of 87.5% and 84.9%, along with prediction rates of 84.8% and 83.1%, respectively, as determined by the receiver operating characteristics curve and area under the curve values. While both models achieved acceptable levels of accuracy, MIV outperformed FR. Additionally, the risk status of 5413 buildings and forested areas was examined. The results showed that 78.64% (FR) and 80.79% (MIV) of the buildings were situated in high landslide risk areas. Regarding forest areas, 39.30% (FR) and 41.35% (MIV) were observed in high-risk landslide areas. In the next step, neighborhood landslide risk statuses were examined, revealing risks ranging from 90 to 100% in some areas. The final step concentrated on risk analyses for construction plans in a chosen pilot neighborhood using two criteria. 88.75% of all parcels were observed in high-risk areas, with hazelnut groves at 79.67% in high-risk zones. Conversely, 71.89% of fruit trees were in low-risk areas. The results align with the literature, indicating that LSMs can serve as a versatile base map.

土耳其东部黑海地区特拉布宗的马奇卡区经常发生山体滑坡,是受灾人数最多的地区。在这项研究中,通过基于统计的频率比 (FR) 和修正信息值 (MIV) 模型,使用 10 个因子生成了滑坡易感性地图 (LSM)。在该地区的 150 个滑坡体中,有 105 个(70%)用于绘制地图,其余 45 个(30%)用于验证。根据接收器工作特性曲线和曲线下面积值,模型的成功率分别为 87.5%和 84.9%,预测率分别为 84.8%和 83.1%。虽然两种模型都达到了可接受的准确度水平,但 MIV 的表现优于 FR。此外,还对 5413 栋建筑物和林区的风险状况进行了研究。结果显示,78.64%(FR)和 80.79%(MIV)的建筑物位于高滑坡风险区域。林区方面,39.30%(前线)和 41.35%(后线)的建筑物位于滑坡高风险区。下一步,对邻近地区的滑坡风险状况进行了检查,发现某些地区的风险从 90%到 100%不等。最后一步主要是根据两个标准对所选试点街区的施工计划进行风险分析。88.75%的地块位于高风险区域,其中 79.67%的榛子园位于高风险区域。相反,71.89% 的果树位于低风险区域。结果与文献一致,表明 LSM 可以作为通用的基础地图。
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引用次数: 0
Variation of Poisson’s ratio of hard rocks during compression and an innovative determination method based on axial loading–unloading test 硬岩压缩过程中泊松比的变化以及基于轴向加载-卸载试验的创新测定方法
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01379-3
Jianan Yang, Pengxian Fan, Hui Gao, Lu Dong

The Poisson’s ratio of hard rock exhibits a marked stress dependence, which is contrary to its mechanical definition as an elastic constant. Thus, it is of great importance to determine the Poisson’s ratio through a reasonable method. To investigate the Poisson effect of multiple types of hard rocks (sandstone, basalt, granite, and marble), the uniaxial loading–unloading tests are carried out. The test results indicate that whether the tangent Poisson’s ratio or the average Poisson’s ratio, all gradually increases with the stress level. And the stress dependence of the average Poisson’s ratio under the unloading path is reduced, which is significant in the low and medium stress intervals. Appropriately increasing the number of loading–unloading cycles can also improve the stability of the average Poisson’s ratio to some extent. Based on this, a new method for testing the average Poisson’s ratio is proposed, which can effectively exclude the effect of irreversible displacement of rocks and improve the stability of the average Poisson’s ratio. The test procedure is simple and has good application prospects.

坚硬岩石的泊松比表现出明显的应力依赖性,这与其作为弹性常数的力学定义背道而驰。因此,通过合理的方法确定泊松比具有重要意义。为了研究多种类型硬岩(砂岩、玄武岩、花岗岩和大理石)的泊松效应,我们进行了单轴加载-卸载试验。试验结果表明,无论是切线泊松比还是平均泊松比,都随着应力水平的增加而逐渐增大。而平均泊松比在卸载路径下的应力依赖性降低,这在中低应力区间表现明显。适当增加加载-卸载循环次数也能在一定程度上提高平均泊松比的稳定性。在此基础上,提出了一种测试平均泊松比的新方法,它能有效排除岩石不可逆位移的影响,提高平均泊松比的稳定性。该测试程序简单,具有良好的应用前景。
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引用次数: 0
Accurate and generalizable soil liquefaction prediction model based on the CatBoost algorithm 基于 CatBoost 算法的精确且可推广的土壤液化预测模型
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01381-9
Xianda Feng, Jiazhi He, Bin Lu

Accurate prediction of soil liquefaction is important for preventing geological disasters. Soil liquefaction prediction models based on machine learning algorithms are efficient and accurate; however, some models fail to achieve highly precise soil liquefaction predictions in certain areas because of poor generalizability, which limits their applicability. Thus, a soil liquefaction prediction model was constructed using the CatBoost (CB) algorithm to support categorical features. The model was trained using standard liquefaction datasets from domestic and foreign sources and was optimized with Optuna hyperparameters. Additionally, the model was evaluated using five evaluation metrics and its performance was compared to that of other models that use multi-layer perceptron, support vector machine, random forest, and XGBoost algorithms. Finally, the prediction capability of the model was verified using three case studies. Experimental results demonstrated that the CB-based model generated more accurate soil liquefaction predictions than other comparison models and maintained their performance. Hence, the proposed model accurately predicts soil liquefaction and offers strong generalizability, demonstrating the potential to contribute toward the prevention and control of soil liquefaction in engineering projects, and toward ensuring the safety and stability of structures built on or near liquefiable soils.

准确预测土壤液化对预防地质灾害非常重要。基于机器学习算法的土壤液化预测模型高效、准确,但有些模型由于泛化能力差,在某些地区无法实现高精度的土壤液化预测,限制了其适用性。因此,我们使用 CatBoost(CB)算法构建了一个土壤液化预测模型,以支持分类特征。该模型使用国内外标准液化数据集进行训练,并使用 Optuna 超参数进行优化。此外,还使用五个评价指标对模型进行了评估,并将其性能与使用多层感知器、支持向量机、随机森林和 XGBoost 算法的其他模型进行了比较。最后,通过三个案例研究验证了该模型的预测能力。实验结果表明,与其他对比模型相比,基于 CB 的模型能生成更准确的土壤液化预测结果,并能保持其性能。因此,所提出的模型能准确预测土壤液化,并具有很强的普适性,有望为工程项目中土壤液化的预防和控制做出贡献,并确保在可液化土壤上或其附近建造的建筑物的安全性和稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Countermeasures for local scour around the bridge pier: a review 桥墩周围局部冲刷的应对措施:综述
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01361-z
Mangu Rahul Bharadwaj, Lav Kumar Gupta, Manish Pandey, Manousos Valyrakis

This paper aims to present the mechanism of scour and empirical equations for evaluating local scour with and without a countermeasure around the bridge pier. A critical review of scour countermeasures, mainly hydraulic, structural, and biotechnical, extending to the present time is done. Hydraulic countermeasures consist of river training structures and bed armoring. Structures placed parallel, perpendicular, or at an angle to the flow aiming to modify it is the purpose of river training works. Armoring is done through the use of riprap, partially grouted riprap, cable-tied blocks, grout-filled containers, and gabions. Structural countermeasures include foundation strengthening and pier geometry modifications. Extending footings, underpinning, and pile- underpinning are related to foundation strengthening, while pier geometry modifications include different pier features such as shapes, textures, slots, and collars. Biotechnical countermeasures include using vegetation riprap, geosynthetic polymer, live staking, and bio-stabilization using extracellular polymeric substances. Different combinations of countermeasures are also discussed. In hydraulic and structural countermeasures, riprap and collars are most commonly used due to their efficiency in scour reduction and economic feasibility. Bio-stabilization using extracellular polymeric substances is a novel measure for scour prevention. From the literature, it is concluded that pier modifications are the most effective and active area of research in which lenticular pier shape, lenticular hooked, and airfoil-shaped collar are best suited for reducing the local scour around the pier. Finally, the limitations of the countermeasures mentioned above are presented.

本文旨在介绍冲刷的机理和经验公式,用于评估桥墩周围有无采取应对措施的局部冲刷。本文对迄今为止的冲刷应对措施(主要是水力、结构和生物技术)进行了严格审查。水力对策包括河道整治结构和河床护岸。河道整治工程的目的是修建与水流平行、垂直或成一定角度的结构,以改变水流。河床加固可通过使用护坡、部分灌浆护坡、缆索绑块、灌浆容器和石笼来实现。结构性对策包括加固地基和修改码头几何形状。地基加固包括扩建基脚、夯实基底和桩基夯实,而码头几何形状改造则包括不同的码头特征,如形状、纹理、槽和轴环。生物技术对策包括使用植被护坡、土工合成聚合物、活桩以及使用细胞外聚合物物质进行生物加固。此外,还讨论了各种对策的不同组合。在水力和结构对策中,最常用的是护坡和护领,因为它们能有效减少冲刷,而且经济可行。使用细胞外聚合物物质进行生物加固是一种新型的冲刷预防措施。从文献中得出的结论是,码头改造是最有效和最活跃的研究领域,其中透镜状码头形状、透镜状钩形和翼形领圈最适合用于减少码头周围的局部冲刷。最后,介绍了上述对策的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Reservoir production capacity prediction of Zananor field based on LSTM neural network 基于 LSTM 神经网络的 Zananor 油田储层产能预测
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01388-2
JiYuan Liu, Fei Wang, ChengEn Zhang, Yong Zhang, Tao Li

This paper aims to explore the application of artificial intelligence in the petroleum industry, with a specific focus on oil well production forecasting. The study utilizes the Zananor field as a case study, systematically organizing raw data, categorizing different well instances and production stages in detail, and normalizing the data. An individual long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model is constructed with monthly oil production data as input to predict the monthly oil production of the experimental oilfield. Furthermore, a multivariate LSTM neural network model is introduced, incorporating different production data as input sets to enhance the accuracy of monthly oil production predictions. A comparative analysis is conducted with particle swarm optimization optimized recurrent neural network results. Finally, gray relational analysis and principal component analysis methods are compared in feature selection. Experimental results demonstrate that the LSTM model is more suitable for the study area, and the multivariate model outperforms the univariate model in terms of prediction accuracy, especially for monthly oil production. Additionally, gray relational analysis exhibits higher accuracy and greater applicability in feature selection compared to principal component analysis. These research findings provide valuable guidance for production forecasting and operational optimization in the petroleum industry.

本文旨在探索人工智能在石油工业中的应用,重点关注油井产量预测。研究以扎纳诺油田为案例,系统地整理了原始数据,对不同的油井实例和生产阶段进行了详细分类,并对数据进行了归一化处理。以月度石油产量数据为输入,构建了一个单独的长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络模型,用于预测实验油田的月度石油产量。此外,还引入了一个多变量 LSTM 神经网络模型,将不同的生产数据作为输入集,以提高月度石油产量预测的准确性。与粒子群优化优化的循环神经网络结果进行了对比分析。最后,在特征选择方面对灰色关系分析和主成分分析方法进行了比较。实验结果表明,LSTM 模型更适合研究区域,多元模型在预测精度方面优于单变量模型,尤其是在月度石油产量方面。此外,与主成分分析相比,灰色关系分析在特征选择方面表现出更高的准确性和更大的适用性。这些研究成果为石油行业的产量预测和运营优化提供了宝贵的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Implementing 4D seismic inversion based on Linear Programming techniques for CO2 monitoring at the Sleipner field CCS site in the North Sea, Norway 基于线性规划技术的四维地震反演,用于挪威北海斯莱普纳油田二氧化碳捕获和封存地点的二氧化碳监测
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01376-6
Ajay Pratap Singh, Satya Prakash Maurya, Ravi Kant, Kumar Hemant Singh, Raghav Singh, Manoj Kumar Srivastava, Gopal Hema, Nitin Verma

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of CO2 injection monitoring in the Sleipner Field. Ensuring the safe storage and containment of CO2 in geological formations or assigned storage sites, especially in the carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects. In this study, a seismic inversion method incorporating linear programming sparse spike inversion was employed to observe and analyze the CO2 plume in the Sleipner field, Norway. This approach enhances the understanding of the dynamics and behavior of the CO2 injection, providing valuable insights into the monitoring and assessment of CCS operations in the Sleipner field. The foundational dataset includes 3D post-stack seismic data from the year 1994, with special emphasis on the monitoring data collected in 1999, following four years of CO2 sequestration. The analysis utilized synthetic data to investigate alterations in seismic amplitude, highlighting that amplitude variations were more prominent compared to variations in velocity and density. The findings highlight noticeable shifts in P-wave velocity, signifying a significant 29% reduction, with the most substantial decrease occurring within the 0 to 30% CO2 saturation range. Correspondingly, density changes align with trace variations, demonstrating only a 2–3% reduction in density as gas saturation increases from 0 to 30%. Beyond 30% saturation, density exhibits a further decrease of 30%. The traces collectively reveal a consistent trend, showcasing a 32% reduction in impedance as CO2 saturation levels rise. Through the cross-equalization process, it was observed that the initial data repeatability was low, indicated by a normalized root mean square (NRMS) value of 0.6508. However, significant improvement was achieved, bringing the NRMS value to a more satisfactory level of 0.5581. This improvement underscored the alignment of features both above and below the reservoir, underscoring the efficacy of the cross-equalization technique. The outcomes of the 4D inversion provided insights into the distribution of CO2 within the reservoir, revealing upward migration. Importantly, the results confirmed the secure storage of CO2 within the reservoir, affirming the integrity of the overlying cap layer.

本文全面分析了斯莱普纳油田的二氧化碳注入监测情况。确保二氧化碳在地质构造或指定封存地点的安全封存,尤其是在碳捕集与封存(CCS)项目中。本研究采用了线性编程稀疏尖峰反演的地震反演方法来观测和分析挪威斯莱普纳油田的二氧化碳羽流。这种方法增强了对二氧化碳注入动态和行为的理解,为监测和评估斯莱普纳油田的二氧化碳捕获和封存作业提供了宝贵的见解。基础数据集包括 1994 年的三维叠后地震数据,重点是 1999 年二氧化碳封存四年后收集的监测数据。分析利用合成数据来研究地震振幅的变化,结果表明,与速度和密度的变化相比,振幅的变化更为突出。研究结果表明,P 波速度发生了明显变化,显著降低了 29%,在二氧化碳饱和度为 0% 至 30% 的范围内降低幅度最大。相应地,密度变化与痕量变化一致,气体饱和度从 0% 增加到 30% 时,密度仅降低 2-3%。超过 30% 的饱和度后,密度会进一步降低 30%。痕量总体上呈现出一致的趋势,随着二氧化碳饱和度的提高,阻抗降低了 32%。通过交叉均衡过程观察到,最初的数据重复性较低,归一化均方根 (NRMS) 值为 0.6508。然而,数据的重复性有了明显改善,归一化均方根值达到了 0.5581 这一更令人满意的水平。这一改进凸显了储层上方和下方特征的一致性,强调了交叉均衡技术的有效性。四维反演的结果揭示了储层内二氧化碳的分布情况,揭示了向上迁移的情况。重要的是,结果证实了储层内二氧化碳的安全储存,确认了上覆盖层的完整性。
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引用次数: 0
Impact assessment of climate change on water resources in the upstream of a Tunisian RAMSAR heritage site (Ichkeul Lake) using HEC-HMS model 利用 HEC-HMS 模型评估气候变化对突尼斯 RAMSAR 遗产地(Ichkeul 湖)上游水资源的影响
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01377-5
Manel Mosbahi, Soumya Nasraoui, Walid Ben Khélifa

Climate change is one of the most important global challenges of this century, with significant impacts on water resources, economic development and ecological health. This study aimed to investigate the effect of climate change on streamflow in Joumine watershed, upstream the Ichkeul Lake, a RAMSAR wetland and the most productive ecosystems in Tunisia and the Mediterranean. The hydrologic response of the basin was simulated based on Hydrologic Modelling System HEC-HMS. Climate data were generated from the emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from the Irish Regional Climate Model (RCM) for the periods 2030–2060 and 2061–2100. The statistical analysis showed that model performance is satisfactory, with Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.7 and 0.64 for calibration and validation, respectively. The climate projections exhibited a declining trend in precipitation during the two future periods with more frequent extreme rainfall events in dry season and a rise in temperature which is more accentuated during the period 2061–2100. Climate change is expected to have profound impacts on water resources and resilience of ecosystems. Results showed that Joumine basin is projected to experience reduction in streamflow which is more pronounced under RCP8.5. The frequency and magnitude of hydrological extremes are expected to be intensified, notably during the far future period, leading to pressure on water availability in the end of the twenty-first century. Hence, sustainable water resources management is needed to close the water demand and supply gap in the Joumine river basin.

气候变化是本世纪最重要的全球性挑战之一,对水资源、经济发展和生态健康具有重大影响。本研究旨在调查气候变化对伊奇库尔湖上游 Joumine 流域水流的影响,伊奇库尔湖是 RAMSAR 湿地,也是突尼斯和地中海地区最富饶的生态系统。流域的水文响应是基于水文模拟系统 HEC-HMS 模拟的。气候数据来自爱尔兰区域气候模型 (RCM) 中的 RCP4.5 和 RCP8.5 排放情景,时间分别为 2030-2060 年和 2061-2100 年。统计分析显示,模型性能令人满意,校准和验证的纳什-苏特克利夫效率分别为 0.7 和 0.64。气候预测结果表明,未来两个时期降水量呈下降趋势,旱季极端降雨事件更加频繁,气温上升在 2061-2100 年期间更为明显。气候变化预计将对水资源和生态系统的恢复能力产生深远影响。研究结果表明,预计朱明河流域的河水流量将减少,在 RCP8.5 条件下更为明显。极端水文现象的频率和规模预计将加剧,特别是在遥远的未来时期,这将导致 21 世纪末的水资源供应压力。因此,需要对水资源进行可持续管理,以缩小朱明河流域的水资源供需缺口。
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引用次数: 0
Random noise attenuation in seismic data using an adaptive thresholding and the second-order variant time-reassigned synchrosqueezing transform 利用自适应阈值和二阶变体时间重分配同步阙值变换减弱地震数据中的随机噪声
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01355-x
Rasoul Anvari, Amin Roshandel Kahoo, Mehrdad Soleimani Monfared, Mokhtar Mohammadi

Seismic data analysis often faces the challenge of random noise contamination from various sources. To overcome this, innovative noise attenuation methods utilizing seismic signal properties are needed. This study focuses on efficiently suppressing random noise in the domain of time and frequency by accurately estimating instantaneous frequency using the single-valued group delay characteristic of seismic signals. The time-reassigned synchrosqueezing transform (TSST) and its second-order variant (TSST2) offer high-resolution time-frequency representations (TFRs) for noise suppression. Expanding on these advancements, we propose an efficient noise suppression method that integrates the adaptive thresholding model into the TSST2 framework and employs sparse representation of the TFR through low-rank estimation. This method effectively attenuates noise while preserving essential signal information. The proposed approach operates trace by trace on recorded data, initially transforming it into a sparse subspace using TSST2. The adaptive thresholding model then decomposes the resulting TFR into sparse and semi-low-rank components, achieving a high-resolution and sparse TFR for efficient separation of noise and signal. After noise suppression, the seismic data can be fully reconstructed by inversely transforming the semi-low-rank component data into the time domain. This method addresses previous limitations in noise attenuation techniques and provides a practical solution for enhancing seismic data quality.

地震数据分析经常面临来自各种来源的随机噪声污染的挑战。为克服这一问题,需要利用地震信号特性的创新噪声衰减方法。本研究的重点是利用地震信号的单值群延迟特性准确估计瞬时频率,从而有效抑制时间和频率域的随机噪声。时间重新分配同步queezing变换(TSST)及其二阶变体(TSST2)提供了用于噪声抑制的高分辨率时频表示(TFR)。在这些进步的基础上,我们提出了一种高效的噪声抑制方法,它将自适应阈值模型集成到 TSST2 框架中,并通过低秩估计采用稀疏表示 TFR。这种方法在保留基本信号信息的同时有效地抑制了噪声。所提出的方法对记录的数据进行逐一跟踪,首先使用 TSST2 将其转换为稀疏子空间。然后,自适应阈值模型将得到的 TFR 分解为稀疏和半低阶分量,从而得到高分辨率的稀疏 TFR,实现噪声和信号的有效分离。噪声抑制后,通过将半低秩分量数据反向转换到时域,可以完全重建地震数据。该方法解决了以往噪声衰减技术的局限性,为提高地震数据质量提供了切实可行的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of spatiotemporal variations in b-values before the 6.8-magnitude earthquake in Luding, Sichuan, China, on September 5, 2022 2022 年 9 月 5 日中国四川泸定 6.8 级地震前 b 值的时空变化分析
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01369-5
Qidong Li, Zhuojuan Xie

Using the earthquake catalog provided by the Sichuan Earthquake Network Center, spatial and temporal b-value variations were calculated for in regional and local scales based on assessing the completeness of the earthquake catalog and declustering. The results show that (1) b-value temporal variations in regional scale ranged from 0.689 to 1.169, with a mean value of 0.928; while, the local-scale temporal variations ranged from 0.694 to 1.223, with a mean value of 0.925. The b-values in the study area were below the mean value before the moderate and large earthquakes occurrence, and all b-values exhibited the anomalous feature of a sudden decrease before the earthquake low peak rise after the earthquake. (2) The seismotectonic characteristic of the area is the higher value of slip rate of the NW section of Xianshui River Fault Zone; therefore, a large amount of stress was accumulated in the Moxi section of the SE section, leading to a M = 6.8 earthquake in Luding. Before the earthquake, the study area has a low b-value area. The b-value decreased within a short period after the earthquake, dividing the area into asperity. This area still has a future risk of moderate to strong earthquakes. (3) The error in the b-values for most of the earthquakes in the regional and local scales regions is between 0.05 and 0.15, and only individual grid points have larger b-value errors (> 0.2), indicating high confidence in the information. In addition, when conducting a b-value study, choosing a suitable study area is important to avoid missing the b-value anomaly area.

Graphical abstract

利用四川省地震台网中心提供的地震目录,在评估地震目录完整性和解簇的基础上,计算了区域和地方尺度的b值时空变化。结果表明:(1)区域尺度的 b 值时空变化范围为 0.689 至 1.169,平均值为 0.928;地方尺度的 b 值时空变化范围为 0.694 至 1.223,平均值为 0.925。研究区的 b 值在中震和大震发生前均低于平均值,且所有 b 值均表现出震前骤降、震后低峰上升的异常特征。(2)该地区的地震构造特点是咸水江断裂带西北段的滑动速率值较高,因此东南段墨溪段积累了大量应力,导致了泸定 M=6.8 地震的发生。地震前,研究区为低 b 值区。地震发生后,b 值在短时间内下降,将该区域划分为浅表区。该地区未来仍有发生中强地震的危险。(3)区域和局部尺度区域内大部分地震的 b 值误差在 0.05 至 0.15 之间,只有个别网格点的 b 值误差较大(> 0.2),说明信息的可信度较高。此外,在进行 b 值研究时,选择合适的研究区域对避免遗漏 b 值异常区非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
A method for tight gas reservoir evaluation based on nuclear logging 基于核测井的致密气藏评估方法
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01373-9
Xinyue Fu, Wensheng Wu, Bowen Sun, Mingsong Wu, Hu Wang, Yunlong Ge

Tight gas reservoirs with low porosity and low permeability can encounter problems such as small dynamic range of measurement information and low log-response sensitivity, which make it difficult to accurately identify gas reservoirs and evaluate gas saturation. The purpose of this paper is to improve the accuracy of tight gas reservoirs evaluation by combining different nuclear logging methods. Slope, a parameter based on thermal neutron cross section and density, is proposed to improve the accuracy of tight gas reservoirs evaluation. The Monte Carlo method is used to analyze the sensitivity of different nuclear logging parameters to gas-bearing formations. The effects of various environmental factors on slope calculation results are analyzed. The applicability of the proposed method in synthetic models and field data is analyzed to verify its effectiveness. The results show that the sensitivity of the slope-based method to gas in low-porosity formations is much higher than that of other methods. Shale content has a minor impact on slope. Lithology and gas density affect slope calculation results. Salinity has little effect on slope in low-porosity formations. The data interpretation results from the field well show that the accuracy of gas saturation calculation of the slope-based method is much higher than that of the Archie formula-based method. The proposed method can provide strong support for the effective exploration and development of tight gas reservoirs.

低孔隙度和低渗透率致密气藏会遇到测量信息动态范围小、测井响应灵敏度低等问题,难以准确识别气藏和评价气体饱和度。本文旨在结合不同的核测井方法,提高致密气藏评价的准确性。提出了基于热中子截面和密度的参数--斜率,以提高致密气藏评价的准确性。采用蒙特卡罗方法分析了不同核测井参数对含气地层的敏感性。分析了各种环境因素对斜率计算结果的影响。分析了所提方法在合成模型和现场数据中的适用性,以验证其有效性。结果表明,基于斜率的方法对低孔隙度地层中气体的敏感性远高于其他方法。页岩含量对斜率的影响较小。岩性和气体密度会影响斜率计算结果。盐度对低孔隙度地层的斜率影响很小。现场井的数据解释结果表明,基于斜率方法的气体饱和度计算精度远高于基于阿奇公式的方法。所提出的方法可为致密气藏的有效勘探和开发提供有力支持。
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Acta Geophysica
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