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A Diagnostic Approach towards the Causes of Energy Balance Closure Problem 能量平衡关闭问题原因的诊断方法
Pub Date : 2016-04-06 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.62009
A. Varmaghani, W. Eichinger, J. Prueger
Hydrometeorological models are often evaluated and optimized on the basis of micrometeorological measurements. However, it has been known for more than three decades that surface measurements of sensible and latent heat energy (LE) are systematically underestimated. We studied this problem using six years of eddy-correlation measurements for four fields (corn, soybean, and prairie) in central Iowa, USA. We recorded major components of the energy equation (i.e. net radiation, sensible heat flux, LE, and soil heat flux, photosynthesis), and indirectly estimated most of the minor components of energy balance (namely storage in the soil, canopy and air). Storage in the canopy was related to leaf area index (LAI) acquired from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS). In this paper, a diagnostic approach is investigated where systematic error is identified first. Three dimensional (3D) plots of the residual of energy equation vs. potential variables indicated the imbalance was largest mainly during the cold non-growing season when the soil was dry. Correlations between energy balance residual (EBR) and energy components showed that soil storage was not precisely estimated. Finally, an a-posteriori analysis (constrained linear multiple regression (CMLR)) was conducted to quantify the contribution of major/minor components of the energy equation towards EBR. The result highlights that the contribution of pertinent components of energy to EBR is mainly controlled by prevailing monthly hydrometeorological conditions; however, precise quantification of causes of imbalance is site-specific. A comparison between the a-posteriori analysis technique and the Bowen-ratio method demonstrates that the Bowen-ratio basically presumes a higher level of underestimation in LE. The results obtained in this study suggest that a-posteriori analysis may offer a superior methodology to correct measured eddy-correlation measurements. Furthermore, the overall trends in the correction of LE measurements suggest that there is a potential for rough monthly corrections of LE, irrespective of the type of crop.
水文气象模式往往是在微气象测量的基础上评估和优化的。然而,30多年来,人们已经知道地表感热和潜热(LE)的测量值被系统地低估了。我们对美国爱荷华州中部的四个田地(玉米、大豆和草原)进行了六年的涡流相关测量,研究了这个问题。我们记录了能量方程的主要分量(即净辐射、感热通量、LE和土壤热通量、光合作用),并间接估算了能量平衡的大部分次要分量(即土壤、冠层和空气中的储量)。中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)测量的叶面积指数(LAI)与冠层储量有关。本文研究了首先识别系统误差的诊断方法。能量方程与势变量的残差三维图表明,这种不平衡主要在土壤干燥的寒冷非生长期最大。能量平衡剩余量(EBR)与能量组分之间的相关性表明,土壤储量没有得到准确的估计。最后,进行了后验分析(约束线性多元回归(CMLR)),以量化能量方程的主要/次要成分对EBR的贡献。结果表明,能量相关分量对EBR的贡献主要受月水文气象条件控制;然而,对失衡原因的精确量化是根据具体地点而定的。后验分析技术与鲍恩比方法的比较表明,鲍恩比基本上假定LE的低估程度较高。本研究的结果表明,后验分析可以提供一种更好的方法来校正测量的涡流相关测量。此外,LE测量值修正的总体趋势表明,无论作物类型如何,都有可能对LE进行粗略的月度修正。
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引用次数: 7
Assessment of the Sensitivity of Streamflow Simulations to Changes in Patch Resolution Using GIS Based Hydro-Ecologic Model 基于GIS水文生态模型的河流模拟对斑块分辨率变化的敏感性评估
Pub Date : 2016-04-06 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.62007
S. Mengistu, Melkamu Ali, Fuad Yassin
Eight different patch configurations were investigated to analyze the effect of patch characterization/formation in streamflow simulation, using the Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation Systems (RHESSys) model. It is investigated for eight different patch configurations of a subcatchment of the Turkey Lakes Watershed, Ontario. The model’s hydrological parameters are calibrated for each of these patch configurations and the performance of the simulations is evaluated. Results indicate that both the nature of the flow simulation and the calibrated parameter values are sensitive to patch configuration. The best simulation results were obtained for the patch configuration with the highest spatial variation of climate, stream network and hillslope conditions across the subcatchment. Different patch configurations also lead to markedly different calibrations of the model’s hydrological parameters (54.26 < k < 119.13; and 1.02 < m < 2.28), which has implications for the physical interpretation and transferability of the calibrated parameter values.
利用区域水文生态模拟系统(RHESSys)模型,研究了8种不同的斑块构型,分析了斑块表征/形成对河流模拟的影响。它是调查了土耳其湖流域,安大略省的一个子集水区的八个不同的补丁配置。模型的水文参数针对每一种斑块配置进行了校准,并评估了模拟的性能。结果表明,流动模拟的性质和标定的参数值都对贴片结构敏感。气候、水系和坡面条件空间变化最大的斑块构型模拟结果最好。不同的斑块配置也导致模型水文参数的标定差异显著(54.26 < k < 119.13;和1.02 < m < 2.28),这对校准参数值的物理解释和可转移性有影响。
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引用次数: 3
The Impact of EL-NINO/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Fishery and Water Quality in Lake Kinneret (Israel) EL-NINO/南方涛动(ENSO)对以色列Kinneret湖渔业和水质的影响
Pub Date : 2016-04-06 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.62005
M. Gophen
A correlation between fishery and extreme winter conditions in Lake Kinneret was indicated: po pulations of Bleak fishes were enhanced and those of Sarotherodon galilaeus (SG) declined. The aim of the present study is to confirm the relation of those correlations to EL-NINO/Southern Oscillation and its impact on Kinneret fishery. The study is based on long-term data records of the Kinneret Epilimnetic temperatures, water level increase, precipitation and air temperatures in the drainage basin, together with a record of EL NINO/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Results suggest a confirmation of the impact of ENSO events on lake population size of Bleaks and SG. It is likely that the influence of ENSO on the two key fish species in the Lake is contradictory: enhancement of reproduction of the winter spawner Bleaks and reduction of population recruitment of the early summer spawner, Sarotherodon galilaeus. It is likely that winter extreme in Kinneret region is a consequence of ENSO event and therefore negatively affecting Kinneret water quality.
结果表明,金纳雷特湖的渔业与极端冬季条件有一定的相关性:冬鱼种群数量增加,沙罗瑟齿鱼种群数量减少。本研究的目的是确认这些相关性与厄尔尼诺/南方涛动的关系及其对Kinneret渔业的影响。这项研究是基于Kinneret赤道温度、水位上升、降水和流域气温的长期数据记录,以及厄尔尼诺/南方涛动(ENSO)事件的记录。结果证实了ENSO事件对Bleaks和SG湖泊种群规模的影响。ENSO对两种主要鱼类的影响可能是相互矛盾的:增加了冬季产卵鱼blaks的繁殖,减少了初夏产卵鱼Sarotherodon galilaeus的种群补充。Kinneret地区的冬季极端可能是ENSO事件的结果,因此对Kinneret水质产生了负面影响。
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引用次数: 7
Flash Flood Risk Estimation of Wadi Yutum (Southern Jordan) Watershed Using GIS Based Morphometric Analysis and Remote Sensing Techniques 基于GIS形态计量分析和遥感技术的Wadi Yutum(约旦南部)流域山洪风险评估
Pub Date : 2016-04-06 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.62008
Y. Farhan, Omar Anaba
Flash flood disasters associated with heavy rainstorms are common in dry lands of Jordan. This causes inestimable damage to life and infrastructure. In the present investigation, flash floods were assessed in Wadi Yutum watershed, southern Jordan. Assessment was conducted using remote sensing and GIS techniques, combined with geological and geomorphic field data to evaluate the probability of flooding risk spatially. Two methods were used to assess the flooding risk for seventeen sub-basins of W. Yutum: the morphometric ranking method; and El-Shamy’s approach. Both methods utilized twenty morphometric parameters of paramount interest for flash flood risk estimation. The results achieved based on the two methods enabled identification of sub-basins with a high potential of flash flooding, and served to reveal the common sub-basins falling under each category of flooding risk. Morphometric analysis and GIS were employed to produce flood hazard maps which displayed sub-basins exposed to harmful flooding in Wadi Yutum. The adopted methodology can be applied to estimate flooding risk in other comparable watersheds and region in Jordan. Further, preparedness measures can be proposed in a timely manner in order to minimize destructive flood effects.
与暴雨有关的山洪灾害在约旦干旱地区很常见。这对生命和基础设施造成了不可估量的损失。在本次调查中,对约旦南部的Wadi Yutum流域的山洪进行了评估。利用遥感和地理信息系统技术,结合地质和地貌实地数据,对洪涝风险概率进行了空间评估。采用两种方法对禹桐河17个子流域进行洪水风险评价:形态计量分级法;和El-Shamy的方法。这两种方法都使用了20个形态学参数,这些参数对山洪风险估计至关重要。基于这两种方法获得的结果能够识别出山洪暴发的高潜力子流域,并有助于揭示不同洪水风险类别下的常见子流域。利用形态计量学分析和地理信息系统(GIS)制作了洪水灾害图,显示了黄河流域遭受有害洪水的子流域。所采用的方法可用于估计约旦其他可比流域和地区的洪水风险。此外,可以及时提出准备措施,以尽量减少破坏性洪水的影响。
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引用次数: 27
Using the Markov Chain for the Generation of Monthly Rainfall Series in a Semi-Arid Zone 利用马尔可夫链生成半干旱区月降水序列
Pub Date : 2016-04-06 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.62006
Mouelhi Safouane, Nemri Saida, Jebari Sihem, Slimani Mohamed
Numerous methodologies have been developed in the literature for the generation of rain. However, in semi-arid areas where the irregularity of rain is contrasted, the question of the applicability of these models is still relevant. The objective of this article is to propose a development method of stochastic generator of monthly rainfall series. The present work is based on the modeling of the occurrence and the quantity of rain in a separate way. The occurrence is treated in two stages. The first step considers the Markov chain according to the occurrence of annual statements (dry, average and wet). The second step uses the monthly rankings. The amount of rain is calculated based on historical series according to the monthly rank and the annual statement noted. This method is applied to rainfall data recorded at five rainfall stations in semi-arid region of Central Tunisia. The usual and conventional statistical tests of the generated series have shown the validity of this method.
文献中已经发展了许多方法来研究雨的产生。然而,在降雨不均匀的半干旱地区,这些模式的适用性问题仍然是相关的。本文的目的是提出一种月降水序列随机生成器的开发方法。目前的工作是建立在对降雨的发生和数量分别进行建模的基础上的。这种情况分两个阶段处理。第一步根据年度报表(干、平均和湿)的出现情况考虑马尔可夫链。第二步使用每月排名。雨量是根据历史序列,根据每月的排名和每年的报表计算的。该方法应用于突尼斯中部半干旱地区5个雨量站的降雨数据。所生成序列的常规和常规统计检验表明了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 3
Spatio-Temporal Variation Analysis of Precipitation during 1960-2008 in the Poyang Lake Basin, China 1960—2008年鄱阳湖流域降水时空变化分析
Pub Date : 2016-04-06 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.62010
Lifeng Yuan, Guishan Yang, Hengpeng Li, Zeng-xin Zhang
Long-term monthly precipitation data from 1960 to 2008 at 17 rain stations are analyzed to explore spatio-temporal variation of the seasonal and annual precipitation in the Poyang Lake basin, China, using anomaly analysis, simple linear regressive technique, Mann-Kendall trend test and Continuous Wavelet Transform. The results indicate that: (1) increasing precipitation trend is observed in summer and winter, while decreasing precipitation trend is identified in spring and autumn, and the above mentioned precipitation trends are not statistically significant; (2) changing trend of the areal average annual precipitation is non-significantly increasing, and increasing trend happens in almost the whole basin except in western and south-eastern small parts; (3) the spatial distribution of the seasonal and annual precipitation anomalies between 1991-2008 and 1960-2008 is similar to that of seasonal and annual precipitation trend during 1960-2008; (4) three main time-frequency distributions are observed in annual precipitation series during 1960- 2008, and they are 18 - 26 years, 8 - 14 years and 2 - 8 years, respectively; accordingly, there are three main periods in annual precipitation series, and they are 11-year, 22-year and 5-year respectively. This result will be helpful for further research on availability, scientific management and assessment of the water resources of the Poyang Lake basin.
利用距平分析、简单线性回归、Mann-Kendall趋势检验和连续小波变换等方法,对1960—2008年鄱阳湖流域17个雨站的长期逐月降水资料进行分析,探讨了鄱阳湖流域年、季降水的时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)夏季和冬季降水呈增加趋势,春季和秋季降水呈减少趋势,且上述趋势不具有统计学意义;(2)年平均面降水量变化趋势不显著增加,除西部和东南部少部分地区外,几乎全流域均有增加趋势;(3) 1991—2008年和1960—2008年的季节和年降水距平空间分布与1960—2008年的季节和年降水趋势相似;(4) 1960—2008年降水序列有3个主要时频分布,分别为18—26 a、8—14 a和2—8 a;因此,年降水序列存在3个主要周期,分别为11年、22年和5年。研究结果将为进一步研究鄱阳湖流域水资源的可利用性、科学管理和评价提供依据。
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引用次数: 6
Impact of Global Warming on Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Relationship of Precipitation: A Case Study of Toronto, Canada 全球变暖对降水强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)关系的影响——以加拿大多伦多为例
Pub Date : 2016-01-12 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.61001
E. Carlier, J. E. Khattabi
Annual maximum rainfall intensity for several duration and return periods has been analyzed according to the Gumbel distribution. The Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves before and after 1980 have been computed and compared. For the city of Toronto, it is shown that the rainfall intensities after 1980 are lower than those from before this date. This is especially clear for those of short duration. Comparing our results with those of other authors, it appears that, for the moment, no general law on the impact of global warming on the curves intensity duration frequency cannot be made. It appears that the impact of global warming on rainfall varies with geographic location and that it is not possible to draw some general conclusions across the planet.
根据甘贝尔分布分析了几个持续期和回复期的年最大降水强度。计算并比较了1980年前后的强度-持续时间-频率曲线。对于多伦多市而言,1980年之后的降雨强度低于此日期之前的降雨强度。对于那些持续时间较短的人来说,这一点尤其明显。将我们的结果与其他作者的结果进行比较,似乎目前还不能得出全球变暖对曲线强度、持续时间和频率影响的一般规律。全球变暖对降雨的影响似乎因地理位置而异,而且不可能在全球范围内得出一般性结论。
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引用次数: 4
Floodplain Delineation Using HECRAS Model—A Case Study of Surat City 利用HECRAS模型圈定河漫滩——以苏拉特市为例
Pub Date : 2016-01-12 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.61004
Chandresh G. Patel, P. Gundaliya
Surat city, the commercial capital of Gujarat state, India is situated at latitude 21°06’ to 21°15’ N and longitude 72°45' to 72°54'E on the bank of river Tapi and is affected by flood once in every five years since last hundred years. Present study describes the application of HEC-RAS model with integration of GIS for delineation of flood plain. Digital Elevation Model (DEM) of Surat city is used as main input for flood inundation mapping. River section near Nehru Bridge is used as sample case to simulate flood flow. Discharges equal to food return period for 25 and 32 (worst flood year) have been used for investigation of flood scenario. Outcome of the research clearly indicates that most of the area of the Surat city is submerged for a depth of 2.5 to 4.0 m when the discharge released from Ukai dam equals to return period of 32 years (25768.09 Cumecs).
苏拉特市是印度古吉拉特邦的商业首府,位于北纬21°06′至21°15′,东经72°45′至72°54′,位于塔皮河畔,近百年来每5年遭受一次洪灾。本文介绍了集成GIS的HEC-RAS模型在河漫滩圈定中的应用。利用苏拉特市数字高程模型(DEM)作为洪水淹没制图的主要输入。以Nehru大桥附近河段为例,进行了洪水流量模拟。利用25年和32年(最严重洪涝年)的回粮期流量对洪涝情景进行了研究。研究结果清楚地表明,当乌凯大坝的流量达到32年(25768.09 Cumecs)的回收期时,苏拉特市大部分地区被淹没深度为2.5 ~ 4.0 m。
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引用次数: 19
Chemical, Hydrological and Climatological Properties of Lake Agmon, Hula Valley (Israel), (1994-2006) 以色列呼拉谷阿格蒙湖化学、水文和气候特征(1994-2006)
Pub Date : 2016-01-12 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.61002
M. Gophen, M. Meron, Y. Tsipris, Valerie Orlov-Levin, Mordechay Peres
The first decade of monitoring program in Lake Agmon (Hula Valley, Northern Israel) is summarized. The presented part of the program include: water discharges, physico-chemical (pH, EC, Temperature) and chemical parameters (TP, TN, TDN, TDP, NO3, NH4, SO4, TDS, TSS,). It was found that Nitrogen concentrations decline from north to south and the opposite for Phosphorus. Resulting of re-suspension by wind direction of western-southern-eastern and averaged maximal velocities of 9 - 10 m/s is suggested. De-nitrification and particles sedimentation emphasize Lake Agmon as a sink for Nitrogen. Sulfate-Carbonates association and the production of precipitated Gypsum (CaSO4) highlight the sink property of Lake Agmon. Nevertheless Sulfate removal by the Lake Agmon hydrological system is significant.
总结了以色列北部呼拉谷阿格蒙湖监测项目的第一个十年。该方案的介绍部分包括:水排放、理化参数(pH、EC、温度)和化学参数(TP、TN、TDN、TDP、NO3、NH4、SO4、TDS、TSS、)。结果表明,氮浓度由北向南递减,磷浓度由北向南递减。提出了西南风、东南风、平均最大风速为9 ~ 10 m/s的再悬浮效应。脱氮作用和颗粒沉降作用强调了阿格蒙湖作为氮汇的作用。亚硫酸盐-碳酸盐结合和沉淀石膏(CaSO4)的产生突出了阿格蒙湖的汇性。然而,阿格蒙湖水文系统对硫酸盐的去除作用是显著的。
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引用次数: 9
Climate Change Impact on Aquifer System of Essaouira Basin during the Past 4 Decades (Morocco) 近40年气候变化对索维拉盆地含水层系统的影响(摩洛哥)
Pub Date : 2016-01-12 DOI: 10.4236/OJMH.2016.61003
S. Ouhamdouch, M. Bahir, P. Carreira, N. Chkir, A. Goumih, H. Chamchati
Since the 50s, many changes are observed in the climate of the globe, the warming of the atmosphere and the ocean, the decrease in the extent of snow and ice, and rising sea levels. In addition to the demographic pressure, the Maghreb countries are suffering from the drought, which accentuates the phenomenon of desertification and soil erosion, as well as their salinity, which leads to the salinization and depletion of water resources. In Morocco, the climate change leads to the erosion of the soil under the effect of desertification resulting in siltation of reservoirs and the increased salinization of soil and water resources. The Essaouira basin, which is the subject of this study, is located at the Western extremity of the High Atlas to the Southeast of the Essaouira city; between 31°20' to 31°30'N and between 9°00' to 9°46'W. The basin is characterized by a semi-arid climate with average annual rainfall of around 300 mm·year-1 and an average temperature of 20°C. Considering the importance of the aquifer in Essaouira in the supply of the region's groundwater, a study was conducted to assess quantitatively and qualitatively the impact of climate change on water resources in this area. The aquifers present in this region are one of cenomano-turonian upstream and plio-quaternary downstream, separated by the diaper of Tidzi. A piezometric map of the basin was made (1990-2009) and the hydrochemical method of the waters shows that they present a facies Na-Cl with an electrical conductivity ranging from 700 to 7000 μs/cm. The isotopic tracers like 18O, 2H, 3H and 14C were analyzed to determine the age of groundwater, and a right local meteoric close to the right meteoric world characterizing the precipitation of oceanic origin has been determined. The Essaouira basin turns out to be very vulnerable and sensitive to climate change because its recharge is entirely dependent on the rainwater. These results should be taken in consideration for the future water management in the region.
自20世纪50年代以来,全球气候发生了许多变化,大气和海洋变暖,冰雪面积减少,海平面上升。除了人口压力之外,马格里布国家还遭受干旱之苦,这加剧了沙漠化和土壤侵蚀的现象,以及导致水资源盐碱化和枯竭的盐碱化现象。在摩洛哥,气候变化在沙漠化的作用下导致土壤侵蚀,导致水库淤积,土壤和水资源盐碱化加剧。索维拉盆地是本次研究的主题,它位于高阿特拉斯的西端,位于索维拉市的东南部;在北纬31°20′至31°30′和西经9°00′至9°46′之间。流域属半干旱气候,年平均降雨量约300 mm·年-1,平均气温20℃。考虑到索维拉含水层在该地区地下水供应中的重要性,开展了一项定量和定性评估气候变化对该地区水资源影响的研究。该区的含水层为上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪-上第四纪。对该盆地进行了1990-2009年的测压图和水化学分析,结果表明该盆地为Na-Cl相,电导率在700 ~ 7000 μs/cm之间。通过对18O、2H、3H和14C等同位素示踪剂的分析,确定了地下水的年龄,并确定了一个与正确的大气世界接近的正确的局地大气,表征了海洋起源的降水。索维拉盆地对气候变化非常脆弱和敏感,因为它的补给完全依赖于雨水。这些结果应在该地区未来的水管理中加以考虑。
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引用次数: 4
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现代水文学期刊(英文)
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