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Predicting chronic kidney disease progression using small pathology datasets and explainable machine learning models 利用小型病理数据集和可解释的机器学习模型预测慢性肾病进展
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100160
Sandeep Reddy , Supriya Roy , Kay Weng Choy , Sourav Sharma , Karen M Dwyer , Chaitanya Manapragada , Zane Miller , Joy Cheon , Bahareh Nakisa

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) poses a major global public health burden, with over 700 million affected. Early identification of those in whom the disease is likely to progress enables timely therapeutic interventions to delay advancement to kidney failure.

Methods

This study developed explainable machine learning models leveraging pathology data to accurately predict CKD trajectory, targeting improved prognostic capability even in early stages using limited datasets. Key variables used in this study include age, gender, most recent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), mean eGFR, and eGFR slope over time prior to the incidence of kidney failure. Supervised classification modelling techniques included decision tree and random forest algorithms selected for interpretability. Internal validation on an Australian tertiary centre cohort (n = 706; 353 with kidney failure and 353 without) achieved exceptional predictive accuracy. To address the inherent class imbalance, centroid-cluster-based under-sampling was applied to the Australian dataset. For external validation, the model was applied to a dataset (n = 597 adults) sourced from a Japanese CKD registry. Transfer learning was subsequently employed by fine-tuning machine learning models on 15 % of the external dataset (n = 89) before evaluating the remaining 508 patients.

Results

Internal validation achieved exceptional predictive accuracy, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) reaching 0.94 and 0.98 on the binary task of predicting kidney failure for decision tree and random forest, respectively. External validation demonstrated performant results with an ROC-AUC of 0.88 for the decision tree and 0.93 for the random forest model. Decision tree model analysis revealed the most recent eGFR and eGFR slope as the most informative variables for prediction in the Japanese cohort.

Conclusion

The research highlights the utility of deploying explainable machine learning techniques to forecast CKD trajectory even in the early stages utilising limited real-world datasets.

背景慢性肾脏病(CKD)是全球主要的公共卫生负担,有超过 7 亿人受到影响。本研究开发了可解释的机器学习模型,利用病理数据准确预测 CKD 的发展轨迹,目的是利用有限的数据集提高早期阶段的预后能力。本研究使用的关键变量包括年龄、性别、最近估计的肾小球滤过率(eGFR)、平均eGFR和肾衰竭发生前一段时间的eGFR斜率。有监督的分类建模技术包括决策树和随机森林算法,这些算法是为了提高可解释性而选择的。在澳大利亚三级中心队列(n = 706;353 例肾衰竭患者和 353 例非肾衰竭患者)中进行的内部验证获得了极高的预测准确性。为了解决固有的类别不平衡问题,对澳大利亚数据集采用了基于中心簇的低采样。为了进行外部验证,该模型被应用于来自日本慢性肾功能衰竭登记处的数据集(n = 597 名成人)。结果内部验证取得了优异的预测准确性,在预测肾衰竭的二元任务上,决策树和随机森林的接收者操作特征曲线下面积(ROC-AUC)分别达到了0.94和0.98。外部验证结果表明,决策树的 ROC-AUC 为 0.88,随机森林模型的 ROC-AUC 为 0.93。决策树模型分析表明,在日本队列中,最近的 eGFR 和 eGFR 斜率是最有参考价值的预测变量。
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引用次数: 0
DiGAN Breakthrough: Advancing diabetic data analysis with innovative GAN-based imbalance correction techniques DiGAN 突破:利用基于 GAN 的创新不平衡校正技术推进糖尿病数据分析
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100152
Puyang Zhao , Xinhui Liu , Zhiyi Yue , Qianyu Zhao , Xinzhi Liu , Yuhui Deng , Jingjin Wu

In the rapidly evolving field of medical diagnostics, the challenge of imbalanced datasets, particularly in diabetes classification, calls for innovative solutions. The study introduces DiGAN, a groundbreaking approach that leverages the power of Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) to revolutionize diabetes data analysis. Marking a significant departure from traditional methods, DiGAN applies GANs, typically seen in image processing, to the realm of diabetes data. This novel application is complemented by integrating the unsupervised Laplacian Score for sophisticated feature selection. The pioneering approach not only surpasses the limitations of existing techniques but also sets a new benchmark in classification accuracy with a 90% weighted F1-score, achieving a remarkable improvement of over 20% compared to conventional methods. Additionally, DiGAN demonstrates superior performance over popular SMOTE-based methods in handling extremely imbalanced datasets. This research, focusing on the integrated use of Laplacian Score, GAN, and Random Forest, stands at the forefront of diabetic classification, offering a uniquely effective and innovative solution to the long-standing data imbalance issue in medical diagnostics.

在快速发展的医疗诊断领域,不平衡数据集的挑战,尤其是在糖尿病分类方面,需要创新的解决方案。这项研究介绍了 DiGAN,这是一种开创性的方法,利用生成对抗网络(GAN)的力量彻底改变糖尿病数据分析。DiGAN 与传统方法大相径庭,它将通常用于图像处理的 GAN 应用于糖尿病数据领域。这种新颖的应用还结合了无监督拉普拉斯分数(Laplacian Score),用于复杂的特征选择。这种开创性的方法不仅超越了现有技术的局限性,还在分类准确率方面树立了新的标杆,加权 F1 分数高达 90%,与传统方法相比显著提高了 20% 以上。此外,在处理极度不平衡的数据集时,DiGAN 的表现优于基于 SMOTE 的流行方法。这项研究的重点是拉普拉斯分数、GAN 和随机森林的综合使用,它站在了糖尿病分类的前沿,为医疗诊断中长期存在的数据不平衡问题提供了一种独特有效的创新解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Role-playing recovery in social virtual worlds: Adult use of child avatars as PTSD therapy 社交虚拟世界中的角色扮演康复:成人使用儿童化身治疗创伤后应激障碍
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2023.100129
Donna Davis , Stephen Alexanian

A study of a community of people with disabilities in a virtual world sheds new light on an important issue of health literacy that has to date remained underreported in the current body of research. Participants revealed a community of individuals who are adults role-playing via child avatars as a coping and recovery mechanism for childhood trauma. One case follows the experience of a woman who role plays an adopted child of a caring adult while another attempts to recreate different ages of herself to unpack past trauma and find therapeutic healing. This phenomenon, as well as both its risks and opportunities, are examined with important considerations for the future of digital mental health support for people who have experienced abuse as children. Researchers, policy makers, and mental health professionals are encouraged to consider the role of social virtual worlds in the future of telemedicine for PTSD therapy.

一项关于虚拟世界中残疾人社区的研究为健康素养这一重要问题提供了新的视角,而这一问题在目前的研究中仍未得到充分报道。参与者揭示了一个由成年人组成的社区,他们通过儿童化身进行角色扮演,以此作为一种应对和恢复童年创伤的机制。其中一个案例讲述了一位妇女扮演一个被关爱她的成年人收养的孩子的经历,而另一个案例则试图再现不同年龄段的自己,以解开过去的创伤并找到治疗方法。我们对这一现象及其风险和机遇进行了研究,并对未来为童年遭受虐待的人提供数字心理健康支持提出了重要的思考。我们鼓励研究人员、政策制定者和心理健康专业人员考虑社交虚拟世界在创伤后应激障碍治疗远程医疗未来中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Insight into the treatment strategy on pneumonia transmission with asymptotic carrier stage using fractional order modeling approach 利用分数阶建模方法洞察渐进载体阶段肺炎传播的治疗策略
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100134
Shewafera Wondimagegnhu Teklu , Belela Samuel Kotola

Pneumonia remains a significant global health concern, claiming millions of lives annually. This study introduces a novel approach by developing and analyzing a Caputo fractional order pneumonia infection model that incorporates pneumonia asymptomatic carriers. Through a qualitative lens, we establish the existence and uniqueness of model solutions by applying the well-known Picard–Lindelöf criteria. Employing a next-generation approach, we compute the model's basic reproduction number, determine equilibrium points, and probe their stabilities. The main objective of this study is to investigate the transmission dynamics of pneumonia infection with a focus on asymptomatic carriers using fractional order modeling. Our findings reveal innovative outcomes as we showcase numerical simulations, providing a practical verification of the qualitative results. Notably, we explore the fractional order model solutions in-depth, examining the influence of specific model parameters and fractional orders on the dynamics of pneumonia disease transmission. The significant contributions of this study lie in advancing the theoretical foundation of infectious disease modeling, particularly in the context of pneumonia. Through rigorous analysis and numerical simulations, we provide valuable insights into the behavior of the proposed fractional order model. These findings hold practical implications for understanding and managing pneumonia transmission in real-world scenarios. Our study serves as a vital resource for researchers, policymakers, and healthcare practitioners involved in combating and preventing the spread of pneumonia, ultimately contributing to global efforts in public health.

肺炎仍然是全球关注的重大健康问题,每年夺走数百万人的生命。本研究通过开发和分析包含肺炎无症状携带者的卡普托分数阶肺炎感染模型,引入了一种新方法。通过定性视角,我们应用著名的 Picard-Lindelöf 准则确定了模型解的存在性和唯一性。采用新一代方法,我们计算了模型的基本繁殖数,确定了平衡点,并探究了其稳定性。本研究的主要目的是利用分数阶模型研究肺炎感染的传播动态,重点是无症状带菌者。通过展示数值模拟,我们的研究结果揭示了创新成果,为定性结果提供了实际验证。值得注意的是,我们深入探讨了分数阶模型解,研究了特定模型参数和分数阶对肺炎疾病传播动态的影响。本研究的重大贡献在于推进了传染病建模的理论基础,特别是在肺炎的背景下。通过严格的分析和数值模拟,我们对所提出的分数阶模型的行为提供了有价值的见解。这些发现对于理解和管理现实世界中的肺炎传播具有实际意义。我们的研究为研究人员、政策制定者以及参与抗击和预防肺炎传播的医疗从业人员提供了重要资源,最终将为全球公共卫生事业做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Why do youths initiate to smoke? A data mining analysis on tobacco advertising, peer, and family factors for Indonesian youths 青少年为何开始吸烟?印度尼西亚青少年烟草广告、同伴和家庭因素的数据挖掘分析
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100168
Enny Rachmani , Sri Handayani , Kriswiharsi Kun Saptorini , Nurjanah , Dian Kusuma , Abdillah Ahsan , Edi Jaya Kusuma , Suleman Atique , Jumanto Jumanto
Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS), Indonesia showed that 60,9 % of students noticed cigarette advertisements or promotions in outdoor media. Our study aimed to understand the impact of outdoor tobacco advertising and peer and family association with Youth's smoking behavior.
This study deployed a cross-sectional approach to explore factors related to youth smoking behavior, such as peers, family, and tobacco advertising. The GYTS questionnaire was adapted as the instrument and distributed to 400 students from 20 high schools to observe smoking behavior. The chosen schools based on the previous study whose classify school in hot-spot and non hot-spot area. This study applied a data mining approach with a decision tree to generate the models.
This study generates a decision tree model that describes the peer factor as the key to introducing Youth to smoking. The model also reveals that youth in the non-hotspot advertising area are not likely to develop Youth to smoke. The model has a performance classification of 77.5 % This study found that youth with smoking fathers are more likely to start smoking earlier, youth whose both parents are smokers, and mothers who are smokers have a confidence level of 100 % to smoke. Further research is warranted to investigate rural districts to explore any regional and socioeconomic variations.
印度尼西亚的全球青少年烟草调查(GYTS)显示,60.9%的学生注意到户外媒体上的香烟广告或促销活动。我们的研究旨在了解户外烟草广告以及同伴和家庭对青少年吸烟行为的影响。本研究采用横断面方法探讨与青少年吸烟行为相关的因素,如同伴、家庭和烟草广告。本研究以 GYTS 问卷为工具,向来自 20 所高中的 400 名学生发放了问卷,以观察他们的吸烟行为。所选学校以先前的研究为基础,将学校分为热点地区和非热点地区。本研究采用决策树数据挖掘方法来生成模型。本研究生成的决策树模型将同伴因素描述为导致青少年吸烟的关键因素。该模型还显示,非热点广告区域的青少年不太可能发展成吸烟青少年。该模型的性能分级为 77.5 %。这项研究发现,父亲吸烟的青少年更有可能更早地开始吸烟,父母双方都是烟民的青少年以及母亲是烟民的青少年吸烟的置信度为 100 %。有必要对农村地区进行进一步研究,以探索地区和社会经济方面的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Precision medicine: Beyond AI 精准医疗:超越人工智能
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100157
Marco Filetti , Manuela Petti , Lorenzo Farina
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引用次数: 0
Erratum regarding missing declaration of competing interest statements in previously published articles 关于以前发表的文章中缺少竞争利益声明的勘误
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2023.100128
Authors

Abstract

摘要
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引用次数: 0
Isolation and abuse: The intersection of Covid19 and domestic violence 隔离与虐待:COVID-19 与家庭暴力的交集
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100149
Sidra Waseem Khan , Hafsah Arshed Ali Khan , Dawn Clarke

Amid the global lockdowns, the surge in domestic violence cases has been one of the distressing consequences of the Covid19 pandemic [1]. Isolation, stress, and economic distress amongst other factors have all contributed to an increase in this form of abuse. Women have been subjected to discrimination and abuse for around 2700 years, and a clear example of such discrimination can be seen in the form of laws operating in 753 BCE that allowed the disciplining of wives [2]. The matter of domestic abuse started receiving recognition in the 1970s when it became a compulsion on all the certified hospitals by the Joint Commission on Accreditation of Health Care Organizations to refer patients of domestic abuse to authorities after treating them [3].

在全球封锁的情况下,家庭暴力案件激增是 Covid19 大流行的令人痛心的后果之一[1]。与世隔绝、压力和经济窘迫等因素都导致了这种虐待形式的增加。妇女遭受歧视和虐待已有 2700 年左右的历史,公元前 753 年实施的允许惩罚妻子的法律就是这种歧视的一个明显例子[2]。家庭虐待问题在 20 世纪 70 年代开始得到承认,当时卫生保健组织认证联合委员会强制要求所有获得认证的医院在治疗家庭虐待患者后将其转诊至相关部门[3]。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing clinical decision support: The role of artificial intelligence across six domains 推进临床决策支持:人工智能在六个领域的作用
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100142
Mohamed Khalifa , Mona Albadawy , Usman Iqbal

Background

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a transformative force in clinical decision support (CDS) systems within healthcare. Its emergence, fuelled by the growing volume and diversity of healthcare data, offers significant potential in patient care, diagnosis, treatment, and health management. This study systematically reviews AI's role in enhancing CDS across six domains, underscoring its impact on patient outcomes and healthcare efficiency.

Methods

A four-step systematic review was conducted, involving a comprehensive literature search, application of inclusion and exclusion criteria, data extraction and synthesis, and analysis. Sources included PubMed, Embase, and Google Scholar, with papers published in English since 2019. Selected studies focused on AI's application in CDS, with 32 papers ultimately reviewed.

Results

The review identified six AI CDS domains: Data-Driven Insights and Analytics, Diagnostic and Predictive Modelling, Treatment Optimisation and Personalised Medicine, Patient Monitoring and Telehealth Integration, Workflow and Administrative Efficiency, and Knowledge Management and Decision Support. Each domain is crucial in improving various aspects of CDS, from enhancing diagnostic accuracy to optimising resource management. AI's capabilities in EHR analysis, predictive analytics, personalised treatment, and telehealth demonstrate its critical role in advancing healthcare.

Discussion

AI significantly enhances healthcare by improving diagnostic precision, predictive capabilities, and administrative efficiency. It facilitates personalised medicine, remote monitoring, and evidence-based decision-making. However, challenges such as data privacy, ethical considerations, and integration with existing systems persist. This requires collaboration among technologists, healthcare professionals, and policymakers.

Conclusion

AI is revolutionising healthcare by enhancing CDS in several domains, contributing to more efficient, effective, and patient-centric care. However, it should complement, not replace, human expertise. Future directions include ethical AI development, continuous professional development for healthcare personnel, and collaborative efforts to address challenges. This approach ensures AI's potential is fully harnessed, leading to a synergistic blend of technology and human care.

背景人工智能(AI)是医疗保健领域临床决策支持系统(CDS)的变革力量。随着医疗数据量和多样性的不断增长,人工智能的出现为患者护理、诊断、治疗和健康管理提供了巨大的潜力。本研究系统性地回顾了人工智能在六个领域加强CDS方面的作用,强调了其对患者预后和医疗效率的影响。研究方法进行了四步系统性回顾,包括全面的文献检索、纳入和排除标准的应用、数据提取和综合以及分析。文献来源包括 PubMed、Embase 和 Google Scholar,收录了自 2019 年以来发表的英文论文。所选研究侧重于人工智能在 CDS 中的应用,最终审查了 32 篇论文。结果审查确定了六个人工智能 CDS 领域:数据驱动的洞察和分析、诊断和预测建模、治疗优化和个性化医疗、患者监测和远程医疗整合、工作流程和管理效率以及知识管理和决策支持。从提高诊断准确性到优化资源管理,每个领域对于改善 CDS 的各个方面都至关重要。人工智能在电子病历分析、预测分析、个性化治疗和远程医疗方面的能力,证明了它在推进医疗保健方面的关键作用。它促进了个性化医疗、远程监控和循证决策。然而,数据隐私、伦理考虑以及与现有系统集成等挑战依然存在。结语人工智能正在通过增强多个领域的 CDS 来彻底改变医疗保健,从而促进更高效、有效和以患者为中心的医疗保健。然而,人工智能应该补充而不是取代人类的专业知识。未来的方向包括合乎道德的人工智能发展、医疗保健人员的持续专业发展以及应对挑战的合作努力。这种方法可确保充分发挥人工智能的潜力,实现技术与人类护理的协同融合。
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引用次数: 0
Fostering digital health literacy to enhance trust and improve health outcomes 培养数字卫生素养,增强信任并改善卫生成果
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpbup.2024.100140
Kristine Sørensen
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Computer methods and programs in biomedicine update
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