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Structural racism, air pollution and the association with adverse birth outcomes in the United States: the value of examining intergenerational associations. 结构性种族主义、空气污染与美国不良出生结果的关联:研究代际关联的价值
Pub Date : 2023-06-22 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1190407
Miatta A Buxton, Nancy L Fleischer, Annie Ro, Marie S O'Neill

Structurally racist policies and practices of the past are likely to be a driving factor in current day differences in exposure to air pollution and may contribute to observed racial and ethnic disparities in adverse birth outcomes in the United States (U.S.). Non-Hispanic Black women in the U.S. experience poorer health outcomes during pregnancy and throughout the life course compared to non-Hispanic White women. This disparity holds even among non-Hispanic Black women with higher socioeconomic status. Reasons for this finding remain unclear, but long-term environmental exposure, either historical exposure or both historical and ongoing exposure, may contribute. Structural racism likely contributes to differences in social and environmental exposures by race in the U.S. context, and these differences can affect health and wellbeing across multiple generations. In this paper, we briefly review current knowledge and recommendations on the study of race and structural racism in environmental epidemiology, specifically focused on air pollution. We describe a conceptual framework and opportunities to use existing historical data from multiple sources to evaluate multi-generational influences of air pollution and structurally racist policies on birth and other relevant health outcomes. Increased analysis of this kind of data is critical for our understanding of structural racism's impact on multiple factors, including environmental exposures and adverse health outcomes, and identifying how past policies can have enduring legacies in shaping health and well-being in the present day. The intended purpose of this manuscript is to provide an overview of the widespread reach of structural racism, its potential association with health disparities and a comprehensive approach in environmental health research that may be required to study and address these problems in the U.S. The collaborative and methodological approaches we highlight have the potential to identify modifiable factors that can lead to effective interventions for health equity.

过去的结构性种族主义政策和做法可能是当今空气污染暴露差异的驱动因素,并可能导致在美国观察到的不良出生结果的种族和族裔差异。与非西班牙裔白人女性。这种差异甚至在社会经济地位较高的非西班牙裔黑人女性中也存在。这一发现的原因尚不清楚,但长期环境暴露,无论是历史暴露还是历史和持续暴露,都可能是原因之一。结构性种族主义可能会导致美国种族在社会和环境暴露方面的差异,这些差异可能会影响几代人的健康和福祉。在本文中,我们简要回顾了环境流行病学中种族和结构性种族主义研究的最新知识和建议,特别是空气污染。我们描述了一个概念框架和机会,可以利用来自多个来源的现有历史数据来评估空气污染和结构性种族主义政策对出生和其他相关健康结果的多代影响。加强对这类数据的分析,对于我们理解结构性种族主义对多种因素的影响至关重要,这些因素包括环境暴露和不良健康后果,并确定过去的政策如何在塑造当今健康和福祉方面留下持久的遗产。这份手稿的目的是概述结构性种族主义的广泛影响,它与健康差距的潜在联系,以及在美国研究和解决这些问题可能需要的环境健康研究的综合方法。我们强调的合作和方法论方法有可能确定可改变的因素,从而导致对健康公平的有效干预。
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引用次数: 0
Prenatal exposure to polybrominated diphenyl ethers and inattention/hyperactivity symptoms in mid to late adolescents. 产前多溴联苯醚暴露与青少年中后期注意力不集中/多动症状
Pub Date : 2023-06-21 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1061234
Seonyoung Park, Whitney Cowell, Amy E Margolis, Andreas Sjodin, Richard Jones, Virginia Rauh, Shuang Wang, Julie B Herbstman

Introduction: Prenatal exposure to polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) has been associated with increased symptoms of attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in early to middle childhood, as well as early adolescence. However, data are limited for the long-lasting impact of exposure on outcomes assessed across the entire adolescent period and the sex-specificity of such associations.

Methods: We investigated the association between continuous natural-log-transformed cord plasma PBDE concentrations and ADHD rating scale 4th edition (ADHD-RS-IV) score from mid adolescence (approximately 11 years old) to late adolescence (approximately 17 years old). The study sample includes a subset (n = 219) of the African American and Dominican children enrolled in the Columbia Center for Children's Environmental Health Mothers and Newborns birth cohort. We used generalized estimating equations to account for the repeated measure of ADHD-RS scores. We examined interactions between exposure to PBDE and sex using cross-product terms and sex-stratified models. In addition, we used linear regression using an age-stratified sample as a sensitivity analysis.

Results and discussion: Associations between prenatal exposure and parents' reports of ADHD symptoms varied by sex (p-interaction <0.20), with positive relationships observed among girls but not boys from sex-stratified models. Our finding suggests prenatal exposure to PBDE may affect ADHD symptoms assessed during middle to late adolescence and the sex-specificity of such impact. Our results can be confirmed by future studies with larger and more diverse samples.

产前暴露于多溴联苯醚(PBDEs)与儿童早期至中期以及青春期早期注意力缺陷/多动障碍(ADHD)症状增加有关。然而,关于暴露对整个青少年时期评估结果的长期影响以及这种关联的性别特异性的数据有限。方法研究了从青春期中期(约11岁)到青春期晚期(约17岁)连续自然对数转化脐带血浆PBDE浓度与ADHD评定量表第4版(ADHD- rs - iv)评分之间的关系。研究样本包括哥伦比亚儿童环境健康中心母亲和新生儿出生队列登记的非裔美国人和多米尼加儿童的一个子集(n = 219)。我们使用广义估计方程来解释ADHD-RS分数的重复测量。我们使用跨产品术语和性别分层模型研究了多溴二苯醚暴露与性别之间的相互作用。此外,我们使用线性回归使用年龄分层样本作为敏感性分析。产前暴露与父母ADHD症状报告之间的关联因性别而异(p交互作用<0.20),在性别分层模型中,在女孩中观察到正相关,而在男孩中没有。我们的发现表明,产前暴露于多溴二苯醚可能会影响青春期中后期评估的ADHD症状,以及这种影响的性别特异性。我们的结果可以通过未来更大、更多样化的研究来证实。
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引用次数: 0
Cancer mortality distribution in South Africa, 1997-2016. 1997年至2016年南非癌症死亡率分布
Pub Date : 2023-06-19 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1094271
Mandlakayise Lucky Nhleko, Ijeoma Edoka, Eustasius Musenge

Introduction: The mortality data in South Africa (SA) have not been widely used to estimate the patterns of deaths attributed to cancer over a spectrum of relevant subgroups. There is no research in SA providing patterns and atlases of cancer deaths in age and sex groups per district per year. This study presents age-sex-specific geographical patterns of cancer mortality at the district level in SA and their temporal evolutions from 1997 to 2016.

Methods: Individual mortality level data provided by Statistics South Africa were grouped by three age groups (0-14, 15-64, and 65+), sex (male and female), and aggregated at each of the 52 districts. The proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs) for cancer were calculated per 100 residents. The atlases showing the distribution of cancer mortality were plotted using ArcGIS. Spatial analyses were conducted through Moran's I test.

Results: There was an increase in PMRs for cancer in the age groups 15-64 and 65+ years from 2006 to 2016. Ranges were 2.83 (95% CI: 2.77-2.89) -4.16 (95% CI: 4.08-4.24) among men aged 15-64 years and 2.99 (95% CI: 2.93-3.06) -5.19 (95% CI: 5.09-5.28) among women in this age group. The PMRs in men and women aged 65+ years were 2.47 (95% CI: 2.42-2.53) -4.06 (95% CI: 3.98-4.14), and 2.33 (95% CI: 2.27-2.38) -4.19 (95% CI: 4.11-4.28). There were considerable geographical variations and similarities in the patterns of cancer mortality. For the age group 15-64 years, the ranges were 1.18 (95% CI: 0.78-1.71) -8.71 (95% CI: 7.18-10.47), p < 0.0001 in men and 1.35 (95% CI: 0.92-1.92) -10.83 (95% CI: 8.84-13.14), p < 0.0001 in women in 2016. There were higher PMRs among women in the Western Cape, Northern Cape, North West, and Gauteng compared to other areas. Similar patterns were also observed among men in these provinces, except in North West and Gauteng.

Conclusion: The identification of geographical and temporal distributions of cancer mortality provided evidence of periods and districts with similar and divergent patterns. This will contribute to understanding the past, present, future trends and formulating interventions at a local level.

南非(SA)的死亡率数据尚未被广泛用于估计相关亚组中因癌症导致的死亡模式。在南澳大利亚没有研究提供每年每个地区年龄和性别群体的癌症死亡模式和地图集。研究了1997 - 2016年南澳地区癌症死亡率的年龄性别地理分布格局及其时间演变。方法南非统计局提供的个人死亡率数据按年龄(0-14岁、15-64岁和65岁以上)、性别(男性和女性)进行分组,并在52个区进行汇总。计算每100名居民的癌症比例死亡率(PMRs)。显示癌症死亡率分布的地图集是使用ArcGIS绘制的。通过Moran’s I检验进行空间分析。结果2006 - 2016年,15-64岁和65岁以上年龄组的癌症pmr呈上升趋势。15-64岁男性的范围为2.83 (95% CI: 2.77-2.89) ~ 4.16 (95% CI: 4.08-4.24),该年龄组女性的范围为2.99 (95% CI: 2.93-3.06) ~ 5.19 (95% CI: 5.09-5.28)。65岁以上男性和女性的pmr分别为2.47 (95% CI: 2.42-2.53) ~ 4.06 (95% CI: 3.98-4.14)和2.33 (95% CI: 2.27-2.38) ~ 4.19 (95% CI: 4.11-4.28)。癌症死亡率的模式有相当大的地域差异和相似之处。对于15-64岁年龄组,2016年男性的范围为1.18 (95% CI: 0.78-1.71) - 8.71 (95% CI: 7.18-10.47), p < 0.0001;女性的范围为1.35 (95% CI: 0.92-1.92) - 10.83 (95% CI: 8.84-13.14), p < 0.0001。与其他地区相比,西开普省、北开普省、西北部和豪登省的妇女pmr更高。除西北和豪登省外,这些省份的男性也观察到类似的模式。结论癌症死亡率的地理和时间分布的确定提供了相似和不同模式的时期和地区的证据。这将有助于了解过去、现在和未来的趋势,并在地方一级制定干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple imputation of missing data under missing at random: including a collider as an auxiliary variable in the imputation model can induce bias 随机缺失下缺失数据的多重插补:在插补模型中包含对撞机作为辅助变量会导致偏差
Pub Date : 2023-06-18 DOI: 10.1101/2023.06.16.23291497
E. Curnow, K. Tilling, J. Heron, R. Cornish, J. Carpenter
Epidemiological studies often have missing data, which are commonly handled by multiple imputation (MI). In MI, in addition to those required for the substantive analysis, imputation models often include other variables ("auxiliary variables"). Auxiliary variables that predict the partially observed variables can reduce the standard error (SE) of the MI estimator and, if they also predict the probability that data are missing, reduce bias due to data being missing not at random. However, guidance for choosing auxiliary variables is lacking. We examine the consequences of a poorly-chosen auxiliary variable: if it shares a common cause with the partially observed variable and the probability that it is missing (i.e. it is a "collider"), its inclusion can induce bias in the MI estimator and may increase SE. We quantify, both algebraically and by simulation, the magnitude of bias and SE when either the exposure or outcome are incomplete. When the substantive analysis outcome is partially observed, the bias can be substantial, relative to the magnitude of the exposure coefficient. In settings in which complete records analysis is valid, the bias is smaller when the exposure is partially observed. However, bias can be larger if the outcome also causes missingness in the exposure. When using MI, it is important to examine, through a combination of data exploration and considering plausible casual diagrams and missingness mechanisms, whether potential auxiliary variables are colliders.
流行病学研究经常有缺失的数据,通常通过多重插补(MI)处理。在MI中,除了实质性分析所需的变量外,插补模型通常还包括其他变量(“辅助变量”)。预测部分观察到的变量的辅助变量可以减少MI估计器的标准误差(SE),并且如果它们还预测数据丢失的概率,则可以减少由于数据不是随机丢失而引起的偏差。然而,缺乏关于选择辅助变量的指导。我们研究了一个选择不当的辅助变量的后果:如果它与部分观察到的变量有共同的原因,以及它缺失的概率(即它是一个“对撞机”),那么它的包含可能会在MI估计量中引起偏差,并可能增加SE,当暴露或结果不完整时,偏差和SE的大小。当部分观察到实质性分析结果时,相对于暴露系数的大小,偏差可能是实质性的。在完整记录分析有效的设置中,当部分观察到暴露时,偏差较小。然而,如果结果也导致暴露缺失,则偏差可能会更大。在使用MI时,重要的是要通过数据探索和考虑看似合理的随机图和缺失机制来检查潜在的辅助变量是否是对撞机。
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引用次数: 1
The rising death burden of atrial fibrillation and flutter in low-income regions and younger populations. 低收入地区和年轻人群心房颤动和扑动的死亡负担增加
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1122790
Ye-Mao Liu, Wenxin Wang, Xingyuan Zhang, Fang Lei, Juan-Juan Qin, Xuewei Huang, Ruyan Li, Lijin Lin, Mingming Chen, Yan-Xiao Ji, Peng Zhang, Xiao-Jing Zhang, Zhi-Gang She, Jingjing Cai, Chengsheng Xu, Zhengjun Shen, Hongliang Li

Objective: The aim of the study was to depict the global death burden of atrial fibrillation and/or flutter (AFF) between 1990 and 2019 and predict this burden in the next decade.

Methods: We retrieved annual death data on cases and rates of AFF between 1990 and 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 and projected the trends for 2020-2029 by developing the Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

Results: The global number of deaths from AFF increased from 117,038.00 in 1990 to 315,336.80 in 2019. This number is projected to reach 404,593.40 by 2029. The age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of AFF have increased significantly in low- to middle-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, which will surpass that in high SDI regions and reach above 4.60 per 100,000 by 2029. Globally, women have a higher ASMR than men, which is largely attributed to disproportionately higher mortality in women than men in lower SDI regions. Notably, AFF-related premature mortality continues to worsen worldwide. A pandemic of high systolic blood pressure and high body mass index (BMI) largely contributes to AFF-associated death. In particular, low- to middle-SDI regions and younger populations are increasingly affected by the rapidly growing current and future risk of high BMI.

Conclusion: The global death burden of AFF in low-income countries and younger generations have not been sufficiently controlled in the past and will continue growing in the future, which is largely attributed to metabolic risks, particularly for high BMI. There is an urgent need to implement effective measures to control AFF-related mortality.

本研究的目的是描述1990年至2019年间房颤和/或扑动(AFF)的全球死亡负担,并预测未来十年的这一负担。方法从2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究中检索1990年至2019年AFF病例和发病率的年度死亡数据,并通过建立贝叶斯年龄-时期队列模型预测2020-2029年的趋势。结果全球AFF死亡人数从1990年的117,038.00人增加到2019年的315,336.80人。预计到2029年,这一数字将达到404593.40人。在中低社会人口指数(SDI)地区,AFF的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMRs)显著上升,到2029年将超过SDI高地区,达到每10万人4.60以上。在全球范围内,女性的ASMR高于男性,这在很大程度上是由于低SDI地区女性的死亡率高于男性。值得注意的是,af相关的过早死亡率在世界范围内继续恶化。大流行的高收缩压和高体重指数(BMI)是af相关死亡的主要原因。特别是,低至中等sdi地区和年轻人群越来越多地受到当前和未来快速增长的高BMI风险的影响。结论全球低收入国家和年轻一代的AFF死亡负担过去未得到充分控制,未来将继续增长,这在很大程度上归因于代谢风险,特别是高BMI。迫切需要采取有效措施,控制艾滋病相关死亡率。
{"title":"The rising death burden of atrial fibrillation and flutter in low-income regions and younger populations.","authors":"Ye-Mao Liu, Wenxin Wang, Xingyuan Zhang, Fang Lei, Juan-Juan Qin, Xuewei Huang, Ruyan Li, Lijin Lin, Mingming Chen, Yan-Xiao Ji, Peng Zhang, Xiao-Jing Zhang, Zhi-Gang She, Jingjing Cai, Chengsheng Xu, Zhengjun Shen, Hongliang Li","doi":"10.3389/fepid.2023.1122790","DOIUrl":"10.3389/fepid.2023.1122790","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>The aim of the study was to depict the global death burden of atrial fibrillation and/or flutter (AFF) between 1990 and 2019 and predict this burden in the next decade.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We retrieved annual death data on cases and rates of AFF between 1990 and 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 and projected the trends for 2020-2029 by developing the Bayesian age-period-cohort model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The global number of deaths from AFF increased from 117,038.00 in 1990 to 315,336.80 in 2019. This number is projected to reach 404,593.40 by 2029. The age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of AFF have increased significantly in low- to middle-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, which will surpass that in high SDI regions and reach above 4.60 per 100,000 by 2029. Globally, women have a higher ASMR than men, which is largely attributed to disproportionately higher mortality in women than men in lower SDI regions. Notably, AFF-related premature mortality continues to worsen worldwide. A pandemic of high systolic blood pressure and high body mass index (BMI) largely contributes to AFF-associated death. In particular, low- to middle-SDI regions and younger populations are increasingly affected by the rapidly growing current and future risk of high BMI.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The global death burden of AFF in low-income countries and younger generations have not been sufficiently controlled in the past and will continue growing in the future, which is largely attributed to metabolic risks, particularly for high BMI. There is an urgent need to implement effective measures to control AFF-related mortality.</p>","PeriodicalId":73083,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"1122790"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10910937/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42993102","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Transmission prevention behaviors in US households with SARS-CoV-2 cases in 2020 2020年美国SARS-CoV-2病例家庭的传播预防行为
Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1160214
Rebecca J. Rubinstein, Wenwen Mei, Caitlin A. Cassidy, Gabrielle Streeter, Christopher Basham, Carla Cerami, Feng-Chang Lin, Jessica T. Lin, Katie R. Mollan
Introduction Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission frequently occurs within households, yet few studies describe which household contacts and household units are most likely to engage in transmission-interrupting behaviors. Methods We analyzed a COVID-19 prospective household transmission cohort in North Carolina (April to October 2020) to quantify changes in physical distancing behaviors among household contacts over 14 days. We evaluated which household contacts were most likely to ever mask at home and to ever share a bedroom with the index case between days 7–14. Results In the presence of a household COVID-19 infection, 24% of household contacts reported ever masking at home during the week before study entry. Masking in the home between days 7–14 was reported by 26% of household contacts and was more likely for participants who observed their household index case wearing a mask. Participants of color and participants in high-density households were more likely to mask at home. After adjusting for race/ethnicity, living density was not as clearly associated with masking. Symptomatic household contacts were more likely to share a bedroom with the index case. Working individuals and those with comorbidities avoided sharing a bedroom with the index case. Discussion In-home masking during household exposure to COVID-19 was infrequent in 2020. In light of the ongoing transmission of SARS-CoV-2, these findings underscore a need for health campaigns to increase the feasibility and social desirability of in-home masking among exposed household members. Joint messaging on social responsibility and prevention of breakthrough infections, reinfections, and long COVID-19 may help motivate transmission-interruption behaviors.
严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒-2 (SARS-CoV-2)的传播经常发生在家庭内部,但很少有研究描述哪些家庭接触者和家庭单位最有可能参与阻断传播的行为。方法分析2020年4月至10月在北卡罗来纳州进行的COVID-19前瞻性家庭传播队列,量化14天内家庭接触者之间身体距离行为的变化。我们评估了哪些家庭接触者最有可能在家中戴口罩,并在第7-14天期间与指示病例共用一间卧室。结果在存在家庭COVID-19感染的情况下,24%的家庭接触者报告在进入研究前一周曾在家中戴口罩。26%的家庭接触者报告在7-14天期间在家中戴口罩,而观察到其家庭指数病例的参与者更有可能戴口罩。有色人种和人口密集家庭的参与者更有可能在家里戴口罩。在对种族/民族进行调整后,居住密度与掩蔽的关系并不明显。有症状的家庭接触者更有可能与指示病例共用一间卧室。工作人员和那些有合并症的人避免与指示病例共用一间卧室。2020年,家庭暴露于COVID-19期间的家庭口罩并不常见。鉴于SARS-CoV-2的持续传播,这些发现强调需要开展卫生运动,以提高暴露家庭成员在家中戴口罩的可行性和社会可取性。关于社会责任和预防突破性感染、再感染和长期COVID-19的联合信息可能有助于激励传播中断行为。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 pandemic and the social determinants of health. 新冠肺炎大流行与健康的社会决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-05-31 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1139371
John E Meador, Wesley James, Joseph Branson, Jonathan Bennett, Karen Matthews

Hesitancy to receive a COVID-19 vaccination across sub-groups within the US population contributed to higher illness rates and deaths. Specifically, minority groups and those living in rural and remote areas are more vaccine-hesitant populations known to suffer from higher disparities in health. Identifying successful and replicable approaches to promoting vaccination within these subpopulations is critical to ensuring vaccination rates can be maximized in these vulnerable groups. In this paper, we present findings from the Mississippi Recognizing Important Vaccine & Education Resources (RIVERs) project, a multi-state effort to spread accurate information related to COVID-19 vaccinations using a variety of community and media-based methods as well as provide vaccinations. Vaccination rates for Black people in Mississippi exceeded those of White people, likely due to the concerted effort of regional health and community organizations. Propensity score matching is performed to test intervention styles using spatial and temporal data related to approximately 7,000 events across Mississippi and parts of Tennessee and publicly available data on vaccination rates and socio-economic data. We demonstrate that vaccination rates within the vulnerable groups may be closely related to misinformation being spread through local social networks and that interventions carried out by local leaders with high levels of local social capital are best at quashing misinformation at the local level. We recommend that policymakers consider the importance of local efforts as an effective tool in increasing vaccination rates in future pandemics.

美国人口中各亚群对接种新冠肺炎疫苗的犹豫导致了更高的患病率和死亡率。具体而言,少数群体以及生活在农村和偏远地区的人是更不愿接种疫苗的人群,他们的健康差距更大。确定在这些亚群中推广疫苗接种的成功和可复制的方法对于确保这些弱势群体的疫苗接种率能够最大化至关重要。在这篇论文中,我们介绍了密西西比州认识重要疫苗和教育资源(RIVERs)项目的研究结果,该项目是一项多州努力,旨在使用各种基于社区和媒体的方法传播与新冠肺炎疫苗接种相关的准确信息,并提供疫苗接种。密西西比州黑人的疫苗接种率超过了白人,这可能是由于地区卫生和社区组织的共同努力。使用密西西比州和田纳西州部分地区约7000起事件的空间和时间数据,以及疫苗接种率和社会经济数据的公开数据,进行倾向性得分匹配,以测试干预风格。我们证明,弱势群体的疫苗接种率可能与通过当地社交网络传播的错误信息密切相关,拥有高水平当地社会资本的地方领导人进行的干预最能在地方层面消除错误信息。我们建议政策制定者考虑地方努力的重要性,将其作为在未来流行病中提高疫苗接种率的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
The burden of cardiovascular diseases attributable to metabolic risk factors and its change from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis and prediction. 1990 - 2019年代谢危险因素导致的心血管疾病负担及其变化:系统分析与预测
Pub Date : 2023-05-25 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1048515
Huaigen Wang, Jing Liu, Yunfei Feng, Aiqun Ma, Tingzhong Wang

Background: Metabolic disorders are the most important risk factors for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The purpose of this study was to systematically analyze and summarize the most recent data by age, sex, region, and time, and to forecast the future burden of diseases.

Methods: Data on the burden of CVDs associated with metabolic risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019; and then the burden of disease was assessed using the numbers and age-standardized rates (ASR) of deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years of life lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and analyzed for temporal changes, differences in age, region, sex, and socioeconomic aspects; finally, the burden of disease was predicted using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.

Results: From 1990 to 2019, the numbers of deaths, DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs attributed to metabolic risk factors increased by 59.3%, 51.0%, 104.6%, and 47.8%, respectively. The ASR decreased significantly. The burden of metabolic risk factor-associated CVDs was closely related to socioeconomic position and there were major geographical variations; additionally, men had a significantly greater disease burden than women, and the peak shifted later based on the age group. We predicted that the numbers of deaths and DALYs would reach 16.5 million and 324.8 million, respectively, by 2029.

Conclusions: The global burden of CVDs associated with metabolic risk factors is considerable and still rising, and more effort is needed to intervene in metabolic disorders.

背景代谢紊乱是心血管疾病最重要的危险因素。本研究的目的是按年龄、性别、地区和时间系统地分析和总结最新数据,并预测未来的疾病负担。方法从2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究中获得与代谢风险因素相关的心血管疾病负担数据;然后使用死亡人数和年龄标准化率(ASR)、生命损失年数(YLLs)、残疾生活年数(YLDs)和残疾调整后的生命年数(DALYs)来评估疾病负担,并分析时间变化、年龄、地区、性别和社会经济方面的差异;最后,使用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型预测疾病负担。结果从1990年到2019年,归因于代谢危险因素的死亡人数、DALYs、YLD和YLLs分别增加了59.3%、51.0%、104.6%和47.8%。ASR显著下降。代谢危险因素相关心血管疾病的负担与社会经济地位密切相关,存在较大的地理差异;此外,男性的疾病负担明显高于女性,并且峰值随年龄组的变化而推迟。我们预测,到2029年,死亡人数和DALY将分别达到1650万和3.248亿。结论与代谢危险因素相关的心血管疾病的全球负担相当大,并且仍在上升,需要更多的努力来干预代谢紊乱。
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引用次数: 0
The Coronavirus Calendar (CoronaCal): a simplified SARS-CoV-2 test system for sampling and retrospective analysis. 冠状病毒日历(CoronaCal):用于采样和回顾性分析的简化SARS-CoV-2检测系统
Pub Date : 2023-05-23 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1146006
Manija A Kazmi, David S Thaler, Karina C Åberg, Jordan M Mattheisen, Thomas Huber, Thomas P Sakmar

Objectives: To develop a biological diary (CoronaCal) that allows anyone in the community to collect and store serial saliva samples and chart symptoms on ordinary printer paper.

Methods: Diaries were analyzed for the presence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA using established polymerase chain reaction (PCR) procedures. CoronaCal diaries were distributed to volunteer subjects in the community during the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak in New York. Volunteers collected their own daily saliva samples and self-reported symptoms.

Results: SARS-CoV-2 RNA extracted from CoronaCals was measured using qPCR and RNA levels were correlated with reported symptoms. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in CoronaCals from nine of nine people with COVID-19 symptoms or exposure to someone with COVID-19, and not in one asymptomatic person. CoronaCals were stored for up to 70 days at room temperature during collection and then frozen for up to four months before analysis, suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 RNA is stable once dried onto paper.

Conclusions: Sampling saliva on simple paper provides a useful method to study the natural history and epidemiology of COVID-19. The CoronaCal collection and testing method is easy to implement, inexpensive, non-invasive and scalable. The approach can inform the historical and epidemiological understanding of infections in individuals and populations.

目的开发一种生物日记(CoronaCal),让社区中的任何人都可以收集和存储唾液序列样本,并在普通打印纸上绘制症状图。方法采用已建立的聚合酶链式反应(PCR)程序分析日记中是否存在严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型RNA。在纽约新冠肺炎疫情高峰期,冠状病毒日记被分发给社区的志愿者。志愿者们收集了自己的每日唾液样本和自我报告的症状。结果应用qPCR检测从冠状病毒中提取的严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型RNA,RNA水平与报告的症状相关。在9名有新冠肺炎症状或接触新冠肺炎患者的冠状病毒中检测到SARS-CoV-2 RNA,而不是在1名无症状患者中检测到。在收集过程中,冠状病毒在室温下储存长达70天,然后在分析前冷冻长达四个月,这表明严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型RNA在纸上干燥后是稳定的。结论简易纸片唾液采样为新冠肺炎的自然史和流行病学研究提供了一种有效的方法。CoronaCal采集和测试方法易于实施,价格低廉,无创且可扩展。这种方法可以为了解个人和人群感染的历史和流行病学提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
The interplay of family history of depression and early trauma: associations with lifetime and current depression in the German national cohort (NAKO). 抑郁症家族史与早期创伤的相互作用:德国国家队列(NAKO)与终生和当前抑郁症的关系
Pub Date : 2023-05-23 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1099235
Fabian Streit, Maja P Völker, Johanna Klinger-König, Lea Zillich, Josef Frank, Iris Reinhard, Jerome C Foo, Stephanie H Witt, Lea Sirignano, Heiko Becher, Nadia Obi, Oliver Riedel, Stefanie Do, Stefanie Castell, Max J Hassenstein, André Karch, Andreas Stang, Börge Schmidt, Tamara Schikowski, Anna Stahl-Pehe, Hermann Brenner, Laura Perna, Karin Halina Greiser, Rudolf Kaaks, Karin B Michels, Claus-Werner Franzke, Annette Peters, Beate Fischer, Julian Konzok, Rafael Mikolajczyk, Amand Führer, Thomas Keil, Julia Fricke, Stefan N Willich, Tobias Pischon, Henry Völzke, Claudia Meinke-Franze, Markus Loeffler, Kerstin Wirkner, Klaus Berger, Hans J Grabe, Marcella Rietschel

Introduction: Family history of depression and childhood maltreatment are established risk factors for depression. However, how these factors are interrelated and jointly influence depression risk is not well understood. The present study investigated (i) if childhood maltreatment is associated with a family history of depression (ii) if family history and childhood maltreatment are associated with increased lifetime and current depression, and whether both factors interact beyond their main effects, and (iii) if family history affects lifetime and current depression via childhood maltreatment.

Methods: Analyses were based on a subgroup of the first 100,000 participants of the German National Cohort (NAKO), with complete information (58,703 participants, mean age = 51.2 years, 53% female). Parental family history of depression was assessed via self-report, childhood maltreatment with the Childhood Trauma Screener (CTS), lifetime depression with self-reported physician's diagnosis and the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview (MINI), and current depressive symptoms with the depression scale of the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9). Generalized linear models were used to test main and interaction effects. Mediation was tested using causal mediation analyses.

Results: Higher frequencies of the childhood maltreatment measures were found in subjects reporting a positive family history of depression. Family history and childhood maltreatment were independently associated with increased depression. No statistical interactions of family history and childhood maltreatment were found for the lifetime depression measures. For current depressive symptoms (PHQ-9 sum score), an interaction was found, with stronger associations of childhood maltreatment and depression in subjects with a positive family history. Childhood maltreatment was estimated to mediate 7%-12% of the effect of family history on depression, with higher mediated proportions in subjects whose parents had a depression onset below 40 years. Abuse showed stronger associations with family history and depression, and higher mediated proportions of family history effects on depression than neglect.

Discussion: The present study confirms the association of childhood maltreatment and family history with depression in a large population-based cohort. While analyses provide little evidence for the joint effects of both risk factors on depression beyond their individual effects, results are consistent with family history affecting depression via childhood maltreatment to a small extent.

引言抑郁症家族史和儿童期虐待是抑郁症的既定危险因素。然而,这些因素是如何相互关联并共同影响抑郁风险的,目前尚不清楚。本研究调查了(i)儿童期虐待是否与抑郁症家族史有关;(ii)家庭史和儿童期虐待与寿命增加和当前抑郁症有关,以及这两个因素是否在其主要影响之外相互作用;(iii)家庭史是否通过儿童期虐待影响寿命和当前抑郁症。方法分析基于德国国家队列(NAKO)的前100000名参与者的亚组,具有完整的信息(58703名参与者,平均年龄 = 51.2岁,53%为女性)。父母的抑郁家族史通过自我报告、儿童创伤筛查仪(CTS)的儿童虐待、自我报告的医生诊断和迷你国际神经精神访谈(Mini)的终身抑郁以及患者健康问卷(PHQ-9)的抑郁量表的当前抑郁症状进行评估。广义线性模型用于检验主效应和相互作用效应。使用因果中介分析对中介进行了测试。结果在报告有抑郁症家族史的受试者中,儿童期虐待措施的发生率较高。家族史和儿童期虐待与抑郁症的增加独立相关。在终生抑郁测量中,没有发现家族史和儿童虐待的统计交互作用。对于目前的抑郁症状(PHQ-9总分),发现了一种相互作用,在有积极家族史的受试者中,童年虐待和抑郁的关联更强。据估计,儿童期虐待在家族史对抑郁症的影响中起到了7%至12%的中介作用,在父母抑郁症发病年龄低于40岁的受试者中,这一比例更高。虐待与家族史和抑郁症的相关性更强,家族史对抑郁症的影响中介比例高于忽视。讨论本研究在一个大型人群队列中证实了儿童期虐待和家族史与抑郁症的相关性。虽然分析几乎没有证据表明这两种风险因素对抑郁症的联合影响超出了它们的个体影响,但结果与通过童年虐待影响抑郁症的家族史在一定程度上是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in epidemiology
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