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Spatially resolved generation profiles for building, land and water-bound PV: a case study of four Dutch energy transition scenarios 建筑、土地和水基光伏的空间分辨发电概况:荷兰能源转型情景的案例研究
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-199-2023
N. Nortier, Michel Paardekooper, Chris Lucas, Anne Blankert, A. van der Neut, Stefan Luxembourg, Agnes Mewe, W. V. van Sark
Abstract. Alongside a transition from steerable and centralized traditional electricity generation to intermittent and more decentralized renewable electricity generation from solar panels and wind turbines, Dutch energy transition scenarios project a widespread deployment of heat pumps and electric vehicles towards 2050. While clearly contributing to the decarbonization of the Dutch energy system, these developments impose challenges regarding electricity supply-demand mismatch and grid congestion. Spatially resolved electricity demand and supply profiles are required to gain a better insight into where and when such problems are likely to occur within the different scenarios. The present paper focuses on Dutch solar energy supply and features the construction of geodatabases of scenario-specific, spatially resolved electricity generation profiles for building, land and water-bound PV. Country-level PV capacities are geographically distributed based on spatial variance in roof PV potential and availability of suitable land and water use areas. Corresponding electricity generation profiles are constructed using historical meteorological measurements, a diffuse fraction model and a anisotropic transposition model. Empirically found performance ratio profiles are applied to account for a multitude of performance loss factors, including shading, dust and inverter efficiency. In 2050, building-bound capacity is projected to show only limited overlap with both land-bound and water-bound PV capacity. On the other hand, regions with considerable water-bound PV capacity also tend to show considerable land-bound PV capacity. Compared to the present-day situation, yearly country-level PV electricity generation is projected to be a factor 18.5, 15.7, or 7.7 higher in 2050 when respectively following the Regional, National or International Steering scenarios.
摘要除了从可操纵的集中式传统发电向太阳能电池板和风力涡轮机的间歇性和更分散的可再生发电过渡之外,荷兰的能源转型方案预计到2050年将广泛部署热泵和电动汽车。虽然这些发展明显有助于荷兰能源系统的脱碳,但也带来了电力供需不匹配和电网拥堵方面的挑战。需要空间解决电力需求和供应概况,以便更好地了解在不同情况下可能发生此类问题的地点和时间。本论文的重点是荷兰的太阳能供应,并以建设特定场景的地理数据库为特色,为建筑、土地和水系光伏提供空间解决的发电剖面。国家一级的光伏发电能力是根据屋顶光伏潜力的空间差异和适当土地和水利用区域的可用性进行地理分布的。利用历史气象测量、扩散分数模型和各向异性转位模型构建了相应的发电剖面。经验发现的性能比配置文件适用于考虑多种性能损失因素,包括阴影,灰尘和逆变器效率。预计到2050年,受建筑约束的容量与受陆地约束和受水约束的光伏容量的重叠部分有限。另一方面,具有相当大水界光伏容量的地区也往往显示出相当大的陆界光伏容量。与目前的情况相比,按照区域、国家或国际的指导设想,预计2050年国家一级每年的光伏发电量将分别高出18.5、15.7或7.7倍。
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引用次数: 0
A conceptual model for the estimation of flood damage to power grids 洪水对电网损害估计的概念模型
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-07 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-61-1-2023
Panagiotis Asaridis, Daniela Molinari
Abstract. Flood damage assessment is a critical aspect in any decision-making process on flood risk management. For this reason, reliable tools for flood damage estimation are required for all the categories of exposed elements. Despite infrastructures can suffer high economic losses in case of flood, compared to other exposed sectors, their flood damage modelling is still a challenging task. This is due, on the one hand, to the structural and dynamic complexity of infrastructure networks, and, on the other hand, to the lack of knowledge and data to investigate damage mechanisms and to calibrate and validate damage models. Grounding on the investigation of the state-of-the-art, this paper presents a conceptualization of flood damage to power grids and reviews the methodologies in the field for an in-depth understanding of the existing modelling approaches, challenges, and limitations. The conceptual model highlights: (i) the different kinds of damage (i.e., direct, indirect, and systemic) the network can suffer, (ii) the hazard, exposure, and vulnerability parameters on which they depend, (iii) the spatial and temporal scales required for their assessment, (iv) the interconnections among power grids and economic activities, and (v) the different recipients of economic losses. The development of the model stresses the importance of dividing the damage assessment into two steps: the estimation of damage in physical units and the consequent economic losses in monetary terms. The variety of damage mechanisms and cascading effects shaping the final damage figure arises, asking for an interdisciplinary and multi-scale evaluation approach. The ultimate objective of the conceptual model is to be an operative tool in support of more comprehensive and reliable flood damage assessments to power grids.
摘要洪水灾害评估是洪水风险管理决策过程中的一个重要环节。因此,需要可靠的工具来估计所有类别的暴露元素的洪水损害。尽管基础设施在洪水的情况下可能遭受巨大的经济损失,但与其他暴露的部门相比,它们的洪水破坏建模仍然是一项具有挑战性的任务。这一方面是由于基础设施网络的结构和动态复杂性,另一方面是由于缺乏调查损伤机制以及校准和验证损伤模型的知识和数据。在研究最新技术的基础上,本文提出了洪水对电网损害的概念化,并回顾了该领域的方法,以深入了解现有的建模方法、挑战和局限性。概念模型强调:(i)网络可能遭受的不同类型的损害(即直接的、间接的和系统的),(ii)它们所依赖的危害、暴露和脆弱性参数,(iii)评估所需的时空尺度,(iv)电网和经济活动之间的相互联系,(v)经济损失的不同接受者。该模型的发展强调了将损害评估分为两个步骤的重要性:以实物单位估计损害和以货币单位估计随之而来的经济损失。形成最终损伤数字的各种损伤机制和级联效应要求跨学科和多尺度的评估方法。概念模型的最终目标是成为一种可操作的工具,以支持对电网进行更全面和可靠的洪水损害评估。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting changes of the flow regime at deep geothermal wells based on high resolution sensor data and low resolution chemical analyses 基于高分辨率传感器数据和低分辨率化学分析的深地热井流态变化预测
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-189-2023
A. Dietmaier, T. Baumann
Abstract. Geothermal waters provide a great resource to generate clean energy,however, there is a notorious lack of high quality data on thesewaters. The scarcity of deep geothermal aquifer information islargely due to inaccessibility and high analysis costs.However, multiple operators use geothermal wells in Lower Bavaria and UpperAustria for balneological (medical and wellness) applications as wellas for heat mining purposes.The state of the art sampling strategy budgets for a sampling frequencyof 1 year. Previous studies have shown that robust groundwater datarequires sampling intervals of 1–3 months, however, thesestudies are based on shallow aquifers which are more likely to beinfluenced by seasonal changes in meteorological conditions.This study set out to assess whether yearly sampling adequatelyrepresents sub-yearly hydrochemical fluctuations in the aquifer bycomparing yearly with quasi-continuous hydrochemical dataat two wells in southeast Germany by assessing mean, trend andseasonality detection among the high and low temporal resolutiondata sets. Furthermore, the ability to produce reliable forecastsbased on yearly data was examined. In order to test the applicabilityof virtual sensors to elevate the information content of yearly data,correlations between the individual parameters were assessed.The results of this study show that seasonal hydrochemicalvariations take place in deep aquifers, and are not adequatelyrepresented by yearly data points, as they are typically gatheredat similar production states of the well and do not show varyingstates throughout the year. Forecasting on the basis ofyearly data does not represent the data range of currentlymeasured continuous data. The limited data availability did notallow for strong correlations to be determined.We found that annual measurements, if taken at regular intervals androughly the same production rates, represent only a snapshot of thepossible hydrochemical compositions. Neither mean values, trends norseasonality was accurately captured by yearly data. This could lead to a violation of stability criteria for mineral water, or to problems in the geothermal operation (scalings, degassing). We thus recommenda new testing regime of at least 3 samples a year. While not a replacement for the detailed analyses, under the right circumstances, and when trained with more substantial data sets, viertual sensors provide a robust method in this setting to trigger further actions.
摘要地热水是产生清洁能源的重要资源,然而,关于地热水的高质量数据的缺乏是众所周知的。深层地热含水层信息的缺乏主要是由于难以获取和分析成本高。然而,下巴伐利亚州和上奥地利州的多家运营商将地热井用于医学(医疗和健康)应用以及热开采目的。最先进的抽样策略预算的抽样频率为1年。以前的研究表明,可靠的地下水数据需要1-3个月的采样间隔,然而,这些研究是基于更容易受到气象条件季节性变化影响的浅层含水层。本研究通过比较德国东南部两口井的年度水化学数据与准连续水化学数据,通过评估高、低时间分辨率数据集的平均值、趋势和季节性检测,评估年度采样是否充分代表了含水层的次年水化学波动。此外,还审查了根据年度数据进行可靠预测的能力。为了检验虚拟传感器在提高年度数据信息含量方面的适用性,对各参数之间的相关性进行了评估。本研究的结果表明,季节性的水化学变化发生在深层含水层,并且不能充分地用年度数据点来表示,因为它们通常是在井的类似生产状态下收集的,并且不能显示全年的变化状态。基于年度数据的预测不能代表当前连续测量数据的数据范围。有限的数据可用性不允许确定强相关性。我们发现,如果以固定的间隔和大致相同的生产速率进行年度测量,则只能代表可能的水化学成分的快照。无论是平均值、趋势还是季节性都不能通过年度数据准确地捕捉到。这可能会导致违反矿泉水的稳定性标准,或者导致地热操作中的问题(结垢、脱气)。因此,我们建议每年至少进行3个样品的新检测。虽然不能替代详细分析,但在适当的情况下,当使用更大量的数据集进行训练时,虚拟传感器在这种情况下提供了一种强大的方法来触发进一步的行动。
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引用次数: 0
Contaminants in Urban Stormwater: Barcelona case study 城市雨水中的污染物:巴塞罗那案例研究
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-59-69-2023
M. Teixidó, Diego Schmidlin, Jiaqi Xu, L. Scheiber, Maria José Chesa, E. Vázquez-Suñé
Abstract. Today's cities face simultaneous challenges due to rapidly growingpopulations, urban sprawl, climate change, and environmental pollution whichpose a pressure on our traditional urban drinking water supplies. In thiscontext, stormwater could augment our over-drafted urban groundwaterresources. However, urban stormwater runoff carries a myriad of dissolvedcontaminants (e.g., organics, metals, nutrients), which pose a serious riskto the environmental and public health. Moreover, dissolved contaminants ofurban origin – such as trace metals and organic compounds of emergingconcern – may not be adequately removed by conventional stormwatertreatments. Therefore, it is of the utmost importance to fully understandstormwater contaminant presence, transport, and fate in the builtenvironment to design novel or improve conventional treatment systems. Toaddress this knowledge gap, we have conducted 7 field sampling campaignsduring storm events at different Barcelona locations (within 3 districts) toinvestigate contaminant presence in different urban compartments (e.g.,roofs, conventional streets with automobile traffic, pedestrian streets, andgreen infrastructure outlets). Preliminary results have confirmed presenceof toxic metals in Barcelona urban rain and stormwater runoff along withsignificant differences depending on the catchment areas. After a stormevent, trace metal concentrations followed the order: roof rain <pedestrian street runoff < conventional street runoff. Additionally,blue-green infrastructures (bioretention systems) had lower mean metalconcentrations at the effluent (outlet) than the influents (inlet). Ourinitial results on metal occurrence in stormwater collected in the city ofBarcelona will provide stormwater quality foundation for water agencies,municipalities, and companies in other water-stressed regions withMediterranean climate.
摘要由于人口的快速增长、城市扩张、气候变化和环境污染,今天的城市面临着同时面临的挑战,这些挑战对我们传统的城市饮用水供应构成了压力。在这种情况下,雨水可能会增加我们已经透支的城市地下水资源。然而,城市雨水径流携带着大量的溶解污染物(如有机物、金属、营养物质),对环境和公众健康构成严重威胁。此外,来自城市的溶解污染物——如新出现的微量金属和有机化合物——可能无法被传统的雨水处理充分去除。因此,充分了解雨水污染物在建筑环境中的存在、运输和命运对于设计新的或改进传统的处理系统至关重要。为了解决这一知识差距,我们在巴塞罗那不同地点(3个区)的风暴期间进行了7次实地采样活动,以调查不同城市空间(例如,屋顶、有汽车交通的传统街道、步行街和绿色基础设施插座)中的污染物存在情况。初步结果证实,巴塞罗那城市雨水和雨水径流中存在有毒金属,并且根据集水区的不同存在显著差异。暴雨后,痕量金属浓度的变化顺序为:屋顶雨水<步行街径流<常规街道径流。此外,蓝绿色基础设施(生物滞留系统)在流出(出口)的平均金属浓度低于流入(进口)。我们在巴塞罗那市收集的雨水中金属含量的初步结果将为其他地中海气候缺水地区的水务机构、市政当局和公司提供雨水质量基础。
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引用次数: 0
CHENILLE: Coupled Behavior Understanding of Faults: from the Laboratory to the Field 雪尼尔:故障的耦合行为理解:从实验室到现场
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-177-2023
Audrey Bonnelye, Pierre Dick, Marco Bohnhoff, Fabrice Cotton, Rüdiger Giese, Jan Henninges, Damien Jougnot, Grzegorz Kwiatek, Stefan Lüth
Abstract. The understanding of coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical behaviour of fault zones or in naturally fractured reservoirs is essential both for fundamental and applied sciences and in particular for the safety assessment of radioactive waste disposal facilities. The overall objective of the CHENILLE project is to better understand the physical processes resulting from thermal and hydraulic loading in a small fault zone in a highly consolidated shale formation. Consequently, a thermally controlled in-situ fluid injection experiment is intended to be performed on a strike-slip fault zone outcropping at the Tournemire/France Underground Research Laboratory (URL). A heating system has been installed around the injection area to enable a precise and controlled incremental increase of the thermal load. Different monitoring systems are designed to measure the seismic and aseismic deformation induced either by thermal and/or by hydraulic loading. The seismic monitoring system is composed of Acoustic Emission (AE) and broadband seismic sensors enabling monitoring of seismic fracturing processes down to sub-decimetre scale as well as slow deformation processes. Furthermore, we are about to install an injection chamber allowing to perform a controlled gaz injection test. The injection borehole will also be partly equipped with fiber optics in order to measure temperature in a distributed manner in the borehole. Time-lapse active seismic surveys are scheduled for before and after the experiment to image the structural network but also to detect the appearance of new structures triggered from the hydro-thermal pressurization of the fault as well as eventual changes in the velocity field.
摘要了解断层带或天然裂缝储层的热-水-力学耦合行为对基础科学和应用科学,特别是对放射性废物处理设施的安全评估都是必不可少的。CHENILLE项目的总体目标是更好地了解在高度固结的页岩地层的小断层带中,由热载荷和水力载荷引起的物理过程。因此,在Tournemire/France地下研究实验室(URL)的走滑断裂带露头上进行了一项热控原位流体注入实验。在注入区域周围安装了加热系统,以实现精确和可控的热负荷增量增加。设计了不同的监测系统来测量由热载荷和/或水力载荷引起的地震和地震变形。地震监测系统由声发射(AE)和宽带地震传感器组成,能够监测亚分米尺度的地震压裂过程以及缓慢的变形过程。此外,我们即将安装一个注射室,允许进行受控的气体注射测试。注入井眼还将部分配备光纤,以便在井眼内以分布式方式测量温度。在实验前后计划进行时移主动地震调查,以对构造网进行成像,并检测由断层的热液加压引发的新构造的外观以及速度场的最终变化。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of frost damage risk in a historic masonry wall due to climate change 气候变化对历史砖墙冻损风险的影响评估
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-157-2023
P. Choidis, Guilherme B. A. Coelho, D. Kraniotis
Abstract. Historic masonry buildings are an integral part of humancultural heritage, and they need to be preserved for future generations.Brick is susceptible to frost damage which is common in regions with coldand humid climates. The frost damage on the masonry walls is accumulatedover the years becoming more and more critical for the integrity of thehistoric buildings and it is also affected by climate change (CC). In the current research, the focus was placed on a coastal region insouthern Norway with a significant number of historic masonry buildings. Thefrost damage risk of the masonry walls was assessed by using data from aclimate reanalysis for the present conditions and from a climate model underpast, present, and future conditions. Two climate-based (CB) indicesaccounting for the air temperature and one material response-based (MRB)index considering the temperature and moisture content inside a simulatedmasonry wall were used for the frost damage risk assessment. The inputs forthe MRB index were calculated by heat, air, and moisture (HAM) transfersimulations. Within the HAM simulations, the indoor climate was in one caserepresentative of an unconditioned building with air leakages and manyopenings, while in the second case it was representative of a small,conditioned room. The overall impact of CC was a decrease in the frost damage risk of themasonry walls. However, an increased frost damage risk was observed from thepresent to the future conditions according to the MRB index for the walls ofsmall, conditioned rooms with higher driving rain load and lower solarradiation gains. The (i) number of freeze-thaw events, (ii) periods duringwhich freeze-thaw events occur, and (iii) CC-related trends varied based onthe considered index with the most explicit risk assessment being the MRBone. Moreover, the freeze-thaw events experienced by the masonry walls ofunconditioned, leaky buildings were 20 times more than the ones for thesmall, conditioned rooms. Significant differences were observed between theresults from the climate model and the climate reanalysis which were mainlylinked to the underestimation of the air temperature and the overestimationof the precipitation by the climate model. The outputs of the MRB index weretranslated into certain damage categories while suggestions on improving thelimitations of the current research were made.
摘要历史砖石建筑是人类文化遗产不可分割的一部分,需要为子孙后代保存下来。砖容易受到霜冻的损害,这在气候寒冷潮湿的地区很常见。砌体墙体的冻害是多年来积累的,对历史建筑的完整性影响越来越大,同时也受到气候变化的影响。在目前的研究中,重点放在挪威南部的一个沿海地区,那里有大量的历史砖石建筑。砌体墙的霜冻损害风险通过使用当前条件下的气候再分析数据以及过去、现在和未来条件下的气候模型进行评估。采用考虑空气温度的两个气候因子(CB)指标和考虑室内温度和含水率的一个材料响应因子(MRB)指标对模拟砌体墙体进行冻损风险评估。MRB指数的输入是通过热、空气和水分(HAM)传输模拟计算的。在HAM模拟中,室内气候在一个案例中代表了一个没有空调的建筑,有空气泄漏和许多开口,而在第二个案例中它代表了一个小的,有空调的房间。CC的总体影响是降低了砌体墙体的冻损风险。然而,根据MRB指数,对于具有较高驱动雨负荷和较低太阳辐射增益的小型空调房间的墙壁,从现在到未来的条件下,霜冻损害风险增加。(i)冻融事件的数量,(ii)冻融事件发生的时间,以及(iii)与气候变化相关的趋势基于考虑的指数而变化,其中最明确的风险评估是MRBone。此外,不加空调的漏水建筑的砖石墙所经历的冻融事件是小房间的20倍。气候模式与气候再分析结果存在显著差异,主要与气候模式对气温的低估和对降水的高估有关。将MRB指数的输出转化为一定的损伤类别,并对目前研究的局限性提出改进建议。
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引用次数: 2
Metakaolin-based geopolymers for stone conservation: preliminary results on alkaline activation 用于石材保护的偏高岭土聚合物:碱活化的初步结果
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-149-2023
Sophie van Roosmale, T. De Kock, J. Blom
Abstract. Geopolymers are inorganic and versatile alternative binder. Theyexist in a wide range, varying from a material which behaves like mortars toa material with properties like ceramics. This makes them a potentiallyinnovative alternative to repair mortars. In this research the activation ofmetakaolin-based geopolymers is explored in the context of stoneconservation. A set of reactivity tests are performed to evaluate activatorsand compatibility with a lime-based binder. The physico-chemical propertiesof the binder are investigated, in combination with low proportions ofstandardized aggregates of marl powder, limestone powder and quartz sand.The most promising mixtures absorb water relatively slowly due to therelative small pore sizes. The samples have a high open porosity andtherefore a lower density when compared to results found in literature fromgeopolymers with aggregate, but the results are comparable to geopolymerswithout aggregates. The compressive strength is comparable to currently usedrepair mortars. This study shows that metakaolin with lime-based binderscould be investigated in the future as alternative binder in stone repairmortars.
摘要地聚合物是一种无机的、通用的替代粘合剂。它们的存在范围很广,从像砂浆一样的材料到像陶瓷一样的材料。这使得它们成为修复迫击炮的潜在创新选择。在本研究中,以偏高岭土为基础的地聚合物的活化在石头保护的背景下进行了探索。进行了一组反应性测试,以评估活化剂及其与石灰基粘合剂的相容性。结合低比例的泥灰石粉、石灰石粉和石英砂的标准化骨料,研究了粘结剂的物理化学性能。由于孔径较小,最有希望的混合物吸水速度相对较慢。与文献中含有聚集体的地聚合物相比,样品具有较高的开孔率,因此密度较低,但结果与没有聚集体的地聚合物相当。抗压强度与目前使用的修补砂浆相当。本研究表明,偏高岭土与石灰基粘结剂可作为石材修补砂浆的替代粘结剂。
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引用次数: 1
Storm Kyrill and the storms of mid-January 2007: Societal and Energy Impacts in Europe 基尔风暴和2007年1月中旬的风暴:欧洲的社会和能源影响
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-26 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-135-2023
A. Kettle
Abstract. January 2007 was a stormy period in Europe with impacts onsocietal infrastructure and implications for energy meteorology. A series ofcyclones tracked across the North Atlantic and into Europe during the twoweek period 8–22 January 2007. For many parts of Europe, Storm Kyrill on 18 January 2007 was the most important of these for the infrastructure damagethat it caused. It had the highest European storm-related insurance lossesin recent history. The storm spawned a high intensity derecho that startedin Germany and travelled across eastern Europe into the Black Sea region. Itwas associated with severe convection, lightning, several tornadoes, andstrong wind gusts. The storm caused over 50 fatalities, widespreaddisruption of transport and power networks, and a lot of forest damage. Thehighest coastal water levels for the month at many tide gauge stations innorthwest Europe (and also for the year, in some cases) were registeredduring Storm Kyrill. This contribution presents a literature review of thestorm characteristics and its impacts. This is followed by an analysis ofthe North Sea tide gauge data to assess the storm surge, tidal variation,and short-period seiche component around the North Sea. The water levelinformation is compared with shipping accidents and offshore incidents toassess possible links. Unusually large waves had been registered at theFINO1 offshore wind energy research platform and off the northern coast ofthe Netherlands only a couple of months previously on 1 November 2006. WhileStorm Kyrill caused a lot of societal damage on land areas, there wascomparatively little coastal damage around the North Sea and few reports ofoffshore infrastructure damage linked to wave strikes.
摘要2007年1月是欧洲的暴风雨时期,对社会基础设施和能源气象产生了影响。在2007年1月8日至22日的两周期间,一系列气旋穿过北大西洋并进入欧洲。对欧洲许多地区来说,2007年1月18日的基里尔风暴是其中最重要的一次,因为它造成了基础设施的破坏。这是欧洲近期历史上与风暴相关的保险损失最高的一次。这场风暴产生了一个高强度的回波,从德国开始,穿过东欧进入黑海地区。它与强对流、闪电、几次龙卷风和强风有关。这场风暴造成50多人死亡,交通和电力网络大面积中断,大量森林遭到破坏。在欧洲西北部的许多潮汐测量站,本月最高的沿海水位(在某些情况下也是全年最高的)是在风暴基尔期间记录的。这篇文章介绍了风暴特征及其影响的文献综述。接下来是对北海潮汐计数据的分析,以评估北海周围的风暴潮、潮汐变化和短周期淤塞成分。水位信息与航运事故和海上事故进行比较,以评估可能的联系。就在几个月前的2006年11月1日,fin01海上风能研究平台和荷兰北部海岸外已经记录到了异常的大浪。虽然风暴基里尔对陆地地区造成了大量的社会破坏,但北海沿岸的破坏相对较小,而且很少有与海浪袭击有关的海上基础设施破坏的报道。
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引用次数: 1
Spatial distribution of Mesozoic deposits and their temperature ranges within the Weser-Wiehengebirge Syncline of the inverted Lower Saxony Basin, Minden area, Germany 德国明登地区下萨克森州倒转盆地Weser-Wiehengebirge向斜中生代矿床空间分布及其温度范围
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-121-2023
A. Jüstel, Olga Knaub, F. Strozyk, Gregor Bussmann, F. Wellmann, P. Kukla
Abstract. The provision of climate-neutral, sustainable, and independent heat sources is an essential part of the ongoing transformation of heating systems in Germany. The city of Minden, located at the junction of the river Weser and the Middleland Canal, with its strong industrial sector, faces a massive transition of how heat and energy will be provided for industrial processes as well as heating in the commercial and residential sectors. In our study, we evaluate the structural requirements for the exploitation and utilization of deep geothermal energy from regional Mesozoic rocks, which are known to source thermal springs in the greater Minden area, and geothermal projects in other parts of the North German Basin. The compilation of geological data, seismic data, and rock properties from wells is used to construct a regional structural model as well as temperature distributions based on depth uncertainties of the respective stratigraphic units. Our investigations indicate several stratigraphic units ranging from the Middle Jurassic, Keuper, and Muschelkalk to the Middle Bunter at depths greater than 4100 m below mean sea level with suitable temperatures greater than 150 ∘C. Seismic data reveal the presence of faults, which may act as a conduit for thermal waters in the northern part of Minden. Our study also provides a basis for further geothermal exploration and exploitation south of Minden, where an operating geothermal system has already been established in the city of Osnabrück and further north, where the potential reservoirs are located at greater depths as shown by hydrocarbon exploration data. First estimations of the geothermal power output for two selected reservoir horizons yield up to 11.3 and 14.3 MW (10 % probability to yield these or higher values), respectively. We conclude that the subsurface of the inverted part of the Lower Saxony Basin principally fulfills the requirements (formation temperatures) for deep geothermal production not only for residential and commercial use but also for industrial processes. However, future detailed reservoir analyses and thermo-hydraulic investigations on a regional scale require additional exploration work like newly acquired seismic surveys and deep exploration wells.
摘要提供气候中性、可持续和独立的热源是德国正在进行的供暖系统转型的重要组成部分。明登市位于威悉河和米德兰运河的交汇处,拥有强大的工业部门,面临着如何为工业过程以及商业和住宅部门的供暖提供热量和能源的巨大转变。在我们的研究中,我们评估了从区域中生代岩石中开采和利用深层地热能的构造要求,这些岩石是已知的大明登地区的温泉来源,以及北德意志盆地其他地区的地热项目。利用井中地质资料、地震资料和岩石性质的汇编,构建区域结构模型以及基于各自地层单元深度不确定性的温度分布。我们的调查表明,在平均海平面以下超过4100米的深度,适宜温度大于150°C的几个地层单元,范围从中侏罗统、Keuper和Muschelkalk到中Bunter。地震资料揭示了断层的存在,这可能是明登北部热水的管道。我们的研究也为Minden南部的进一步地热勘探和开发提供了基础,在那里,osnabrck市已经建立了一个运行的地热系统,而在更北的地方,潜在的储层位于更深的深度,这是油气勘探数据所显示的。对两个选定储层的地热发电输出的初步估计分别达到11.3兆瓦和14.3兆瓦(10%的概率产生这些或更高的值)。我们得出结论,下萨克森州盆地倒转部分的地下主要满足深层地热生产的要求(地层温度),不仅适用于住宅和商业用途,也适用于工业过程。然而,未来详细的储层分析和区域尺度的热水力调查需要额外的勘探工作,如新获得的地震调查和深探井。
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引用次数: 0
TransPyREnd: a code for modelling the transport of radionuclides on geological timescales transytrend:一个模拟放射性核素在地质时间尺度上的输运的代码
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-58-109-2023
C. Behrens, E. Luijendijk, P. Kreye, F. Panitz, Merle Bjorge, M. Gelleszun, A. Renz, S. Miro, W. Rühaak
Abstract. The German site selection procedure for a high-level nuclear waste repository is entering a stage in which preliminary safety assessments have to be conducted and the release of radionuclides has to be estimated for a large number of potential sites. Here, we present TransPyREnd, a 1D finite-differences code for modeling the transport of radionuclides in the subsurface at geological timescales. The code simulates the processes advection, diffusion, equilibrium sorption, decay of radionuclides, and the build-up of daughter nuclides. We summarize the modeled physical processes, their mathematical description and our numerical approach to solve the governing equations. Finally, two simple tests are shown, one considering diffusion, sorption, and radioactive decay, the other involving diffusion and a radioactive decay chain. In both tests, the code shows good agreement with the reference solutions. Caveats of the model and future additions are discussed.
摘要德国高放核废料储存库的选址程序正在进入一个阶段,在这个阶段必须进行初步安全评估,并必须估计大量潜在场址的放射性核素释放情况。在这里,我们提出了TransPyREnd,这是一个一维有限差分代码,用于在地质时间尺度上模拟放射性核素在地下的传输。该代码模拟了平流、扩散、平衡吸收、放射性核素的衰变和子核素的积累过程。我们总结了模拟的物理过程,它们的数学描述和我们求解控制方程的数值方法。最后,给出了两个简单的试验,一个考虑扩散、吸收和放射性衰变,另一个涉及扩散和放射性衰变链。在这两个测试中,代码与参考解决方案表现出良好的一致性。讨论了模型的注意事项和将来添加的内容。
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引用次数: 0
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Advances in Geosciences
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