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A Brief History of the American Middle Class 《美国中产阶级简史》
Pub Date : 2022-09-03 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p127
Y. Datta
The credit for the birth of the American middle class in 1914 goes to Henry Ford.Reckless speculation in the New York Stock Market led to the Great Depression of 1929: the longest and most severe depression ever experienced by America, that led to an amazing level of unemployment that lasted till 1939.Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt, who was elected as President in 1933, instituted New Deal: a series of programs--the most important of which was the G.I. Bill.The baby boom, increasing consumer income, affordability of cars and homes--coupled with the new interstate highway system—all worked together, that then led to a mass migration of the middle class from the inner cities to suburbia.The years 1947-1973 are considered the golden years of America’s middle class: an age the U.S. will never experience again. The foundation of this goldilocks economy was the social covenant of shared prosperity between big business and big labor.The 1980-2008 period marks ‘America in decline’ largely because America took a sharp turn toward unfettered capitalism and greed.This led to a massive growth of the Financial Services Industry.Income inequality has steadily been increasing in America for 45 years from 1974-2018, and by 2007 it touched or exceeded the lofty heights of 1928.A socio-economic class lifestyle profile of America includes three groups: The Upper Class, The Middle Class, and The Lower Class, each with two classes, making it a total of six.Finally, a look into the forces that led to the stock market crash of 2008.
1914年美国中产阶级的诞生要归功于亨利·福特。纽约股市鲁莽的投机行为导致了1929年的大萧条:这是美国经历过的时间最长、最严重的萧条,导致了惊人的失业率,一直持续到1939年。1933年当选总统的民主党人富兰克林·d·罗斯福(Franklin D. Roosevelt)制定了新政(New Deal):一系列计划——其中最重要的是《退伍军人权利法案》(gi Bill)。婴儿潮、消费者收入的增加、汽车和住房的可负担性——再加上新的州际高速公路系统——所有这些共同作用,导致中产阶级从内城大规模迁移到郊区。1947年至1973年被认为是美国中产阶级的黄金年代:一个美国永远不会再经历的时代。这种“金发女孩”经济的基础是大企业和大劳动力之间共享繁荣的社会契约。1980年至2008年这段时期标志着“美国的衰落”,主要是因为美国急剧转向了不受约束的资本主义和贪婪。这导致了金融服务业的大规模增长。从1974年到2018年的45年间,美国的收入不平等一直在稳步扩大,到2007年,收入不平等达到或超过了1928年的高峰。美国社会经济阶层的生活方式包括三个阶层:上层阶级、中产阶级和下层阶级,每个阶层有两个阶层,总共有六个阶层。最后,我们来看看导致2008年股市崩盘的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Role of Institutions in Economic Development of China 制度在中国经济发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p107
Guangkuo Fan, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Siti Rohaida Mohamed Zainal
The study has depicted the role of institutions in the economic development of China, and this leads to the elements of development in organizations. Moreover, there are various educational institutions in China that are mainly focused on the main keys to economic development. Apart from this, several top-class universities such as: Tsinghua University, Peking University and Nanjing University are providing the best education for better development of the economic systems.  This study has also depicted the graphical representation of the role of institutional development from 2018 to 2022 within the Fiscal year. Various instructions have inspired economic development in China. Moreover, the researcher has stated the proper hypothesis for better and scientific measurement of the study.The literature review chapter has described various themes for aligning the topic along with Two-wheel drive, Keynesian economics theory and Marxian theory for better understanding of the study. Theoretical underpinning is also be understood with development of conceptual framework after the entire description. The methodology chapter has been described with proper elements such as positivism philosophy, deductive research approach, descriptive research design and also mixed, method of research method. This chapter has given the advantage to determine the main survey method, which is simple random sampling, within which the entire data collection has been done. On the other hand, secondary qualitative data has been collected from the authentic articles. Moreover, the recommendation has depicted a clear idea of a better educational system for economic development in China.
该研究描述了制度在中国经济发展中的作用,并由此引出了组织中的发展要素。此外,中国有各种各样的教育机构,主要关注经济发展的主要关键。除此之外,清华大学、北京大学和南京大学等几所一流大学正在为经济体系的更好发展提供最好的教育。本研究还描绘了2018年至2022年财政年度机构发展作用的图形表示。各种指示激励了中国的经济发展。此外,研究人员还提出了适当的假设,以便更好地科学地测量研究。文献回顾章节描述了各种主题,使主题与两轮驱动、凯恩斯经济学理论和马克思主义理论相一致,以便更好地理解这项研究。在整个描述之后,随着概念框架的发展,理论基础也被理解。方法论一章运用了实证主义哲学、演绎研究方法、描述性研究设计以及混合研究方法等适当的元素进行了描述。本章的优势在于确定了主要的调查方法,即简单的随机抽样,在此范围内完成了全部的数据收集。另一方面,从真实文章中收集了二次定性数据。此外,该建议还描绘了一个更好的教育体系促进中国经济发展的清晰理念。
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引用次数: 0
Intergovernmental Grant Transfers from Central to Local Levels of Government in Ghana: Does Formula Allocation Prevents Political Influences? 加纳中央到地方政府间赠款转移:公式分配是否能防止政治影响?
Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p82
A. Fumey, F. Egwaikhide, O. Adeniyi
This study examines how the district assemblies’ common fund grant is distributed among the local governments in Ghana to ascertain the objectivity of the sharing formula scheme created under the 1992 Constitution. The dynamic GMM panel estimation approach is employed for the empirical analysis with focus on new versus mature democracy and how swing and aligned districts tend to benefit from the distribution. Annual data on the fund disbursements and the election outcomes from 1994 to 2018 for 216 district assemblies is used. The findings reveal that average transfers to each district was Gh?7.54 million which generally increased by 9.4 percent in election years reflecting the opportunistic behavior of incumbent governments. Swing districts benefited more from the increase than non-swing districts, as the former received 4.3 percent more than the latter. Aligned districts in new democracy received, 2 percent more than non-aligned ones, while it was 4.3 percent more for swing districts in mature democracy. Therefore, the allocation formula is subject to political manipulations hence it is recommended that the unilateral appointment of the fund’s administrator by incumbent Presidents be reviewed in addition to creating autonomous public agencies to be responsible for the allocation formula and the fund administration independently.
本研究审查了地区议会的共同基金赠款如何在加纳的地方政府之间分配,以确定根据1992年《宪法》制定的分摊公式计划的客观性。采用动态GMM面板估计方法进行实证分析,重点关注新民主与成熟民主,以及摇摆和结盟地区如何倾向于从分布中受益。本文使用了1994年至2018年216个地区议会的年度资金支出和选举结果数据。调查结果显示,每个地区的平均转移支付额为754万卢比,在选举年普遍增加9.4%,反映了现任政府的机会主义行为。摇摆地区比非摇摆地区受益更多,前者比后者多4.3%。新民主主义的结盟地区比不结盟地区高出2%,而成熟民主主义的摇摆地区则高出4.3%。因此,分配公式受到政治操纵的影响,因此建议除了设立独立负责分配公式和基金管理的自主公共机构外,还应审查由现任总统单方面任命基金管理人的情况。
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引用次数: 0
An Attempt of Determining Some Characteristics of the Moroccan Productive System 确定摩洛哥生产制度若干特征的尝试
Pub Date : 2022-08-12 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p72
Ahmed Oulad El Fakir
The purpose of this paper is to determine some characteristics of the production system of the Moroccan economy for a single product (GDP) with annual data from 1999 to 2019. Then, we try to estimate the TFP from a translog production function to compare it with that corresponding to a Cobb-Douglas production function, if possible. The results obtained show the difficulties encountered in these estimations, particularly the multicollinearity between the explanatory variables.
本文的目的是用1999年至2019年的年度数据确定摩洛哥经济单一产品(GDP)生产系统的一些特征。然后,如果可能的话,我们尝试从超对数生产函数中估计TFP,并将其与对应于柯布-道格拉斯生产函数的TFP进行比较。得到的结果显示了在这些估计中遇到的困难,特别是解释变量之间的多重共线性。
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引用次数: 1
A Type of “Bubble” Water-saving Faucet 一种“泡沫”节水水龙头
Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p60
Xiao Luo, Kandorera Angela Nujoma, Xiying Kuang
At present, many places are seriously short of freshwater resources. Thus, saving water is the universal responsibility of contemporary citizens. Now faucet products such as ordinary washing nozzle, kitchen nozzle, face-washer nozzle, bathtub nozzle and washing machine nozzle are widely used in urban and rural households. Most have poor water-saving abilities, and much water is wasted through daily washing. Our bubble-type water-saving device is a brand-new water-saving device with a simple structure and low cost. It uses the Bernoulli principle and the bubble atomizing principle to inhale air naturally in water flow to atomize water flow. It can help achieve more than 50% water-saving efficiency in daily washing behavior.
目前,许多地方严重缺乏淡水资源。因此,节约用水是当代公民的普遍责任。现在普通洗涤喷头、厨房喷头、洗脸喷头、浴缸喷头、洗衣机喷头等水龙头产品已广泛应用于城乡家庭。大多数城市的节水能力较差,日常洗涤浪费了大量的水。我们的气泡式节水装置是一种结构简单、成本低廉的新型节水装置。它利用伯努利原理和气泡雾化原理,在水流中自然吸入空气,使水流雾化。它可以帮助在日常洗涤行为中实现50%以上的节水效率。
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引用次数: 0
How Overconfidence Influences the Herding Behavior in a Modified Information Cascade Game 修正信息级联博弈中过度自信如何影响羊群行为
Pub Date : 2022-07-08 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p44
Shaoguang Yang
Humans are social animals. In everyday life, people rarely make important decisions solely based on their personal opinions. Most human decisions are made in a social context. People seek help from relatives, peers, experts, and more to make decisions. To mimic this fact, Anderson and Holt (1997) devised an experiment design, the information cascade game, in which players guess the actual state of the world based on their private signals and others’ prior choices. On another side of the picture, Michailova (2010) defines overconfidence as the act of a person overestimating his or her skill, knowledge, and precision of information. According to Camerer and Lovallo (1999), subjects exhibit overconfidence when placing bets on their relative performance. In this experiment, the baseline treatment of the information cascade game is modified so that subjects’ overconfidence actively participates in subjects’ guesses about the actual state of the world. Under this modified experiment design, subjects’ confidence level is negatively correlated with the herding frequency.
人类是群居动物。在日常生活中,人们很少仅仅根据个人意见来做重要的决定。人类的大多数决定都是在社会背景下做出的。人们在做决定时,会向亲戚、同伴、专家等寻求帮助。为了模拟这一事实,Anderson和Holt(1997)设计了一个实验设计,即信息级联游戏,在这个游戏中,参与者根据自己的私人信号和他人的先前选择来猜测世界的实际状态。另一方面,Michailova(2010)将过度自信定义为一个人高估自己的技能、知识和信息准确性的行为。根据Camerer和Lovallo(1999)的研究,受试者在对自己的相对表现下注时表现出过度自信。在本实验中,对信息级联博弈的基线处理进行了修改,使被试的过度自信积极参与到被试对世界实际状态的猜测中。在改进的实验设计下,被试的置信水平与羊群频率呈负相关。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency Analysis of Private Lending Market in China—Based on Hurst Index 基于赫斯特指数的中国民间借贷市场效率分析
Pub Date : 2022-07-08 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p23
Mulan Li, Bin Wang
This paper explored the efficiency of the private lending market based on the fractal market theory. We used the rescaled range analysis method and the generalized Hurst exponent analysis method respectively, and we got that the private lending market had not yet reached the weakly efficient level and was anti-persistent. Then we further used the time-varying Hurst index to describe the dynamic changes in the efficiency of the private lending market and analyzed the Chinese stock market and foreign exchange market as a comparative analysis. We found that among the three markets, the efficiency of the private lending market was the lowest, and that there was a correlation between the efficiencies of the three markets, and its effectiveness was affected by the other two markets. Finally, based on the above analysis results, we put forward relevant suggestions on the development of the private lending market and provided a decision basis for investors in the private financing market.
本文基于分形市场理论对民间借贷市场的效率进行了研究。分别采用重标度极差分析方法和广义Hurst指数分析方法,得出民间借贷市场尚未达到弱有效水平,具有抗持久性。然后,我们进一步使用时变的Hurst指数来描述民间借贷市场效率的动态变化,并对中国股票市场和外汇市场进行对比分析。我们发现,在三个市场中,民间借贷市场的效率是最低的,并且三个市场的效率之间存在相关性,其有效性受到另外两个市场的影响。最后,基于以上分析结果,对民间借贷市场的发展提出相关建议,为民间融资市场的投资者提供决策依据。
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引用次数: 0
Card or Cash? An Econometrical and Behavioral Analysis in Greece during Covid-19 刷卡还是现金?新冠肺炎期间希腊的计量经济学和行为分析
Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n3p1
Melpomeni Anysiadou
Purpose: This study aims to investigate Greek bank card holders’ behavior and verify the use of this means of payment against cash in their various transactions.Methodology: A variety of econometric and behavioral models were used to capture those factors that can affect satisfaction and attitude towards bank cards and behavioral intention to continue using them, in conjunction with the choice of using this payment method over cash, during the Covid-19 period in Greece.By performing Factor Analysis, Multiple Logistic Regression, Structural Equation, and Multiple Linear Regressions Models, it was proved that factors such as transaction security, acceptance of the payment, ease of use, and the characteristics of bank cards could be influencing the use of such banking products. Exceptional were the findings regarding the influence of the type of good, the sector, and transaction size, on the choice of payment method. In addition, individuals’ perceptions about the prestige and benefits offered by bank cards against cash, in combination with elements of an individual’s personality, such as materialism and compulsive buyers, were equally important factors that could enhance the use of these banking products in Greece.Originality: The novelty of this study lies in the fact that a variety of different econometric and behavioral models were used to investigate in-depth personal factors and factors related to the conduction of transactions that both affect the use of bank cards and cash at a time that Greek transactions require to be contactless.
目的:本研究旨在调查希腊银行卡持有人的行为,并验证在各种交易中使用这种支付手段对抗现金。方法:在希腊新冠肺炎疫情期间,使用各种计量经济学和行为模型来捕捉可能影响银行卡满意度和态度以及继续使用银行卡的行为意愿的因素,并结合使用这种支付方式而不是现金的选择。通过因子分析、多元逻辑回归、结构方程和多元线性回归模型,证明了交易安全性、支付接受度、易用性、银行卡特性等因素可能会影响此类银行产品的使用。关于商品类型、行业和交易规模对付款方式选择的影响的调查结果是例外的。此外,个人对银行卡与现金相比所提供的声望和利益的看法,以及个人的个性因素,如物质主义和强迫性购买,都是提高希腊人使用这些银行产品的同样重要的因素。独创性:本研究的新颖之处在于,在希腊要求非接触式交易的时候,使用了各种不同的计量经济学和行为模型来深入研究影响银行卡和现金使用的个人因素和与交易进行相关的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Investor Characteristics and Their Effect on Investment Decisions among Public University Workers in Kenya 投资者特征及其对肯尼亚公立大学职工投资决策的影响
Pub Date : 2022-05-28 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n2p179
Mwaka Samuel Musembi, Dr. Samuel O. Onyuma, Dr. James N. Kung’u
Investment decision has become part of individuals’ lives in the in recent days. People invest in insurance policies, fixed deposits, shares, equities, real estate, mutual funds, and government securities among others. Universities are the peak of knowledge hence the community expects that workers in such institutions be in the frontline in making informed investment decisions. Although the university staff work in the same environment, it has not yet been established how their different investor characteristics affect their investment decisions. There is scanty information on the moderating effect of mobile borrowing on the relationship between investors’ risk attitude, demographic profile, and socio-economic status on investment decisions. This study investigated the effect of the investor characteristics on investment decision. The objectives of the study were to; assess the effect of investor risk attitude on investment decision among public university workers in Kenya, test the effect of the investor demographic profile on investment decisions among public university workers in Kenya, and determine the effect of socio-economic status on investment decision among public university workers in Kenya. Finally, the study examined the moderating effect of mobile borrowing on the effect of investor risk attitude and socio-economic status on investment decision among public university workers in Kenya. Capital Asset Pricing Model, Efficient Markets Hypothesis, Prospect Theory and Behavioural Finance Theory guided the study. The study adopted a descriptive survey research design with a target population of 2075 workers from the sampled Public Universities in Kenya. Stratified random sampling technique was employed from which a sample of 336 was used. Further, the study used primary data sources through a structured questionnaire. The questionnaires were administered using google forms. Data was analysed with the aid of SPSS version 26 software and Microsoft excel. Charts, tables, graphs, and figures were used to present the results. The results of the study indicated that risk attitude played the biggest role in investment decision-making since it explained 41.7 percent of investment decision. In addition, all the demographic factors influenced the choice of investment. The results also showed that investors in the age of 31-40 were willing to diversify their investments unlike the other age groups. Mobile borrowing was found to moderate the relationship between investment decision and its predictors. The study recommends that a similar study is conducted once the government operationalises the mobile lending control. Since workers between 31-40 years were found to have a much higher affinity for risk and investment, the government should consider targeting civil servants and other professionals in this age group by providing them with investment incentives.
最近,投资决策已经成为个人生活的一部分。人们投资于保险单、定期存款、股票、股票、房地产、共同基金和政府证券等。大学是知识的顶峰,因此社会期望这些机构的工作人员在做出明智的投资决策时站在第一线。虽然大学员工在相同的环境中工作,但尚未确定他们不同的投资者特征如何影响他们的投资决策。关于移动借贷对投资者风险态度、人口特征和社会经济地位对投资决策之间关系的调节作用的信息很少。本研究探讨了投资者特征对投资决策的影响。这项研究的目的是;评估投资者风险态度对肯尼亚公立大学工作人员投资决策的影响,检验投资者人口结构对肯尼亚公立大学工作人员投资决策的影响,并确定社会经济地位对肯尼亚公立大学工作人员投资决策的影响。最后,研究考察了移动借贷对投资者风险态度和社会经济地位对肯尼亚公立大学工作人员投资决策影响的调节作用。本研究以资本资产定价模型、有效市场假说、前景理论和行为金融理论为指导。该研究采用描述性调查研究设计,目标人群为2075名来自肯尼亚抽样公立大学的工作人员。采用分层随机抽样方法,抽取样本336人。此外,该研究通过结构化问卷使用了原始数据来源。问卷使用谷歌表格进行管理。数据分析采用SPSS 26软件和Microsoft excel软件。图表、表格、图形和数字被用来展示结果。研究结果表明,风险态度在投资决策中发挥了最大的作用,解释了41.7%的投资决策。此外,所有人口因素都会影响投资选择。调查结果还显示,31 ~ 40岁年龄段的投资者比其他年龄段的投资者更愿意分散投资。研究发现,移动借贷可以调节投资决策与其预测因子之间的关系。该研究建议,一旦政府实施移动贷款控制,就进行类似的研究。由于31 ~ 40岁的劳动者对风险和投资的亲和性更高,政府应该考虑针对公务员和其他专业人士提供投资奖励。
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引用次数: 0
Trade Openness-Inflation Nexus in Sierra Leone: Testing Romer Hypothesis using ARDL Approach 塞拉利昂贸易开放与通货膨胀的关系:用ARDL方法检验Romer假设
Pub Date : 2022-05-26 DOI: 10.22158/jepf.v8n2p161
Morlai Bangura
This study is based on Romer’s proposition that there is an inverse relationship between inflation and trade openness as opposed to the narrative that argues otherwise. Therefore, the objective of this study is to examine Romer hypothesis for Sierra Leone. To achieve this objective, the study utilized the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration using data for the period 1980-2020. In addition, a battery of diagnostic tests were conducted to confirm the robustness of the model. The bounds test result confirm that there is long-run association between inflation and the dependent variables in this study. The associated equilibrium correction term was also significant, further confirming the existence of long-run relationship. The key findings of the study is that the Romer hypothesis holds for Sierra Leone in both the long-run and the short-run, as inflation tend to ease with increase trade openness. The control variables, exchange rate and gross domestic product were found to have a positive and significant impact on inflation in both the short-run and long-run, whereas domestic credit to the private sector impacts inflation positively in the long-run but have a disinflationary impact in the short-run. Finally, money supply and real interest rate were found to have no effects on inflation in both the short-run and long-run. At the policy level, these results show that encouraging more trade and imports that embody technology or intermediate inputs is essential in taming inflation in both the short-run and in the long–run. This outcome suggests that implementing trade liberalization policies by deepening the integration of the Sierra Leone economy to the global economy would support the price stability objective of the Bank of Sierra Leone.
这项研究是基于罗默的命题,即通货膨胀和贸易开放之间存在反比关系,而不是相反的说法。因此,本研究的目的是检验塞拉利昂的罗默假设。为了实现这一目标,本研究利用1980-2020年期间的数据,采用ARDL边界检验方法进行协整。此外,还进行了一系列诊断测试,以确认模型的稳健性。边界检验结果证实了本研究中通货膨胀与因变量之间存在长期的相关性。相关的均衡校正项也显著,进一步证实了长期关系的存在。该研究的主要发现是,罗默假设在长期和短期内都适用于塞拉利昂,因为通货膨胀往往会随着贸易开放程度的提高而缓解。控制变量,汇率和国内生产总值在短期和长期对通货膨胀都有积极和显著的影响,而对私营部门的国内信贷在长期对通货膨胀产生积极影响,但在短期内具有抑制通货膨胀的影响。最后,发现货币供应量和实际利率在短期和长期对通货膨胀都没有影响。在政策层面上,这些结果表明,鼓励更多包含技术或中间投入的贸易和进口,对于短期和长期抑制通货膨胀都是至关重要的。这一结果表明,通过深化塞拉利昂经济与全球经济的一体化来实施贸易自由化政策将支持塞拉利昂银行的价格稳定目标。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of economics and public finance
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