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Mutual Aid as Disaster Response in NYC: Hurricane Sandy to COVID-19 纽约市救灾互助:飓风桑迪到新冠肺炎
Pub Date : 2022-05-30 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622410019
L. Landau
In the face of increasingly frequent climate crises, hazard and disaster studies, best practices stress the importance of social resilience and adaptation to changing conditions. Yet critical scholars remind us that the ability to adapt to change hinges on political and economic structures that create and contribute to existing social inequities, thus determining the amount and type of resources different communities can access in times of crisis. Traditional forms of aid from the state and elite funders can sometimes explicitly exclude those most in need of support based on citizen status or requirements around housing and substance use. Mutual aid, which is grounded in anarchist principles and strives to meet basic survival needs of people while delegitimizing harmful systems of injustice, presents an alternative way to understand and engage in disaster response. In New York City, mutual aid disaster responses were documented following Hurricane Sandy in the case of Occupy Sandy, an emergent network that grew from the organizing of Occupy Wall Street. In reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic, the practice of mutual aid received a new kind of global attention and acceptance into the mainstream. This commentary piece will provide a brief summary of mutual aid literature, followed by a case study of Occupy Sandy and an overview of the still evolving COVID-19 mutual aid practices in New York City and beyond. Finally, it will propose questions for further research in the context of the ongoing pandemic.
面对日益频繁的气候危机、危害和灾害研究,最佳做法强调了社会复原力和适应不断变化的条件的重要性。然而,批判性学者提醒我们,适应变化的能力取决于政治和经济结构,这些结构造成并助长了现有的社会不平等,从而决定了不同社区在危机时期可以获得的资源的数量和类型。来自国家和精英资助者的传统援助形式有时会明确排除那些基于公民身份或住房和物质使用要求而最需要支持的人。互助以无政府主义原则为基础,努力满足人们的基本生存需求,同时使有害的不公正制度失去合法性,这是理解和参与救灾的另一种方式。在纽约市,“占领桑迪”运动是一个由“占领华尔街”组织发展而来的新兴网络,在飓风“桑迪”之后,互助救灾措施被记录在案。为了应对新冠肺炎疫情,互助的做法得到了新的全球关注,并成为主流。这篇评论文章将简要总结互助文献,随后对占领桑迪事件进行案例研究,并概述纽约市及其他地区仍在演变的新冠肺炎互助实践。最后,它将在当前疫情的背景下提出进一步研究的问题。
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引用次数: 1
Automation and Coupling of Models for Coastal Flood Forecasting in South Texas 德克萨斯州南部沿海洪水预报模型的自动化与耦合
Pub Date : 2022-03-23 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622500014
C. Hernandez, S. Davila, Martin Flores, J. Ho, Dong-Chul Kim
Forecasting natural disasters such as inundations can be of great help for emergency bodies and first responders. In coastal communities, this risk is often associated with storm surge. To produce flood forecasts for coastal communities, a system must incorporate models capable of simulating such events based on forecasted weather conditions. In this work, a system for forecasting inundations based predominantly on storm surge is explored. An automation and a coupling strategy were implemented to produce forecasted flood maps automatically. The system leverages an ocean circulation model and a channel water flow model to estimate flood events in South Texas specially alongside the Lower Laguna Madre. The system around the models is implemented using Python and the meteorological forcing input is obtained from weather forecasting models maintained by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The forecasted weather data retrieval, data processing and automation of the models are successful, and the complete stack of software can be deployed locally or in cloud solutions to accelerate computations. The resulting system performs as expected and successfully produces flood maps automatically providing vital information for flood emergency management in coastal communities.
预测洪水等自然灾害对应急机构和急救人员有很大帮助。在沿海社区,这种风险通常与风暴潮有关。为了对沿海社区进行洪水预报,系统必须包含能够根据预测的天气条件模拟此类事件的模型。在这项工作中,探索了一个主要基于风暴潮的洪水预报系统。实现了自动化和耦合策略,自动生成洪水预报图。该系统利用海洋环流模型和河道水流模型来估计德克萨斯州南部的洪水事件,特别是下拉古纳马德雷沿岸的洪水事件。模型周围的系统是使用Python实现的,气象强迫输入是从美国国家海洋和大气管理局维护的天气预报模型中获得的。预测天气数据检索、数据处理和模型自动化是成功的,完整的软件堆栈可以在本地或云解决方案中部署,以加速计算。由此产生的系统按预期运行,并成功生成洪水地图,自动为沿海社区的洪水应急管理提供重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
Winter Storm Uri: A Test of Texas’ Water Infrastructure and Water Resource Resilience to Extreme Winter Weather Events 冬季风暴乌里:对德克萨斯州水基础设施和水资源对极端冬季天气事件的抵御能力的测试
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621500226
Y. R. Glazer, D. Tremaine, J. Banner, M. Cook, R. Mace, J. Nielsen‐Gammon, E. Grubert, K. Kramer, A. Stoner, Briana M. Wyatt, A. Mayer, T. Beach, Rachel M. Correll, M. Webber
We synthesize the interconnected impacts of Texas’ water and energy resources and infrastructure including the cascading effects due to Winter Storm Uri. The government’s preparedness, communication, policies, and response as well as storm impacts on vulnerable communities are evaluated using available information and data. Where knowledge gaps exist, we propose potential research to elucidate health, environmental, policy, and economic impacts of the extreme weather event. We expect that recommendations made here — while specific to the situation and outcomes of Winter Storm Uri — will increase Texas’ resilience to other extreme weather events not discussed in this paper. We found that out of 14 million residents who were on boil water notices, those who were served by very small water systems went, on average, a minimum of three days longer without potable water. Available county-level data do not indicate vulnerable communities went longer periods of time without power or water during the event. More resolved data are required to understand who was most heavily impacted at the community or neighborhood level. Gaps in government communication, response, and policy are discussed, including issues with identifying — and securing power to — critical infrastructure and the fact that the state’s Emergency Alert System was not used consistently to update Texans during the crisis. Finally, research recommendations are made to bolster weaknesses discovered during and after the storm including (1) reliable communication strategies, (2) reducing disproportionate impacts to vulnerable communities, (3) human health impacts, (4) increasing water infrastructure resilience, and (5) how climate change could impact infrastructure resilience into the future.
我们综合了德克萨斯州的水和能源资源以及基础设施的相互影响,包括冬季风暴Uri的级联效应。利用现有信息和数据评估政府的准备、沟通、政策和应对以及风暴对脆弱社区的影响。在存在知识缺口的地方,我们建议进行潜在的研究,以阐明极端天气事件对健康、环境、政策和经济的影响。我们期望这里提出的建议——虽然具体针对“乌里”冬季风暴的情况和结果——将提高德克萨斯州对本文未讨论的其他极端天气事件的适应能力。我们发现,在1400万接到烧开水通知的居民中,那些供水系统非常小的居民,平均至少有三天没有饮用水。现有的县级数据并没有表明脆弱社区在地震期间断电或断水的时间更长。要了解谁在社区或邻里一级受到了最严重的影响,需要更多的确定数据。讨论了政府沟通、反应和政策方面的差距,包括识别和确保关键基础设施供电的问题,以及该州紧急警报系统在危机期间没有持续使用来更新德州人的情况。最后,提出了研究建议,以加强在风暴期间和之后发现的弱点,包括(1)可靠的沟通策略,(2)减少对脆弱社区的不成比例的影响,(3)人类健康影响,(4)提高水基础设施的恢复能力,以及(5)气候变化如何影响未来的基础设施恢复能力。
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引用次数: 18
Sensitivity of Rainfall to Cumulus Parameterization Schemes from a WRF Model over the City of Douala in Cameroon 喀麦隆杜阿拉市上空WRF模型降雨对积云参数化方案的敏感性
Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621500214
R. Tanessong, A. J. K. Mbienda, G. M. Guenang, S. Kaissassou, L. Djiotang, D. Vondou, H. B. Lekina, R. H. Mvondo Balla, W. Pokam, P. Igri
With the recurrence of extreme weather events in Central Africa, it becomes imperative to provide high-resolution forecasts for better decision-making by the Early warning systems. This study assesses the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to simulate heavy rainfall that affected the city of Douala in Cameroon during 19–21 August 2020. The WRF model is configured with two domains with horizontal resolutions of 15 and 5[Formula: see text]km, 33 vertical levels using eight cumulus parameterization schemes (CPSs). The WRF model performance is assessed by investigating the agreement between simulations and observations. Categorical and deterministic statistics are used, which include the probability of detection (POD), the success ratio (SR), the equitable threat score (ETS), the pattern correlation coefficient (PCC), the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), and the BIAS. K-index is finally used to assess the capacity of the WRF model to predict the instability of the atmosphere in Douala during the above-mentioned period. It is found that (1) The POD, SR and ETS decrease when the threshold increases, showing the difficulty of the WRF model to predict and locate heavy rainfall events; (2) There are important differences in the rainfall area simulated by the eight CPSs; (3) The BIAS is negative for the eight CPSs, implying that all of the CPSs tested underestimate the rainfall over the study area; (4) Some of the CPSs have good agreement with observations, especially the new modifed Tiedtke and the Betts–Miller–Janjic schemes; (5) The K-index, an atmospheric instability index, is well predicted by the eight CPSs tested in this work. Overall, the WRF model exhibits a strong ability for rainfall simulation in the study area. The results point out that heavy rainfall events in tropical areas are very sensitive to CPSs and study domain. Therefore, sensitivity tests studies should be multiplied in order to identify most suitable CPSs for a given area.
随着中非极端天气事件的再次发生,必须提供高分辨率的预报,以便预警系统更好地做出决策。本研究评估了天气研究和预测(WRF)模型的性能,以模拟2020年8月19日至21日影响喀麦隆杜阿拉市的强降雨。WRF模型配置有两个区域,水平分辨率分别为15和5[公式:见正文]km,33个垂直水平,使用八个积云参数化方案(CPSs)。WRF模型的性能是通过研究模拟和观测之间的一致性来评估的。使用类别和确定性统计,包括检测概率(POD)、成功率(SR)、公平威胁得分(ETS)、模式相关系数(PCC)、均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和BIAS。K指数最终用于评估WRF模型预测上述期间杜阿拉大气不稳定性的能力。研究发现:(1)POD、SR和ETS随着阈值的增加而降低,表明WRF模型难以预测和定位强降雨事件;(2) 八个CPSs模拟的降雨面积存在重要差异;(3) 八个CPSs的BIAS为阴性,这意味着所有测试的CPSs都低估了研究区域的降雨量;(4) 一些CPSs与观测结果有很好的一致性,特别是新修改的Tiedtke和Betts–Miller–Janjic方案;(5) K指数是一种大气不稳定指数,通过本工作中测试的八个CPSs可以很好地预测。总体而言,WRF模型对研究区域的降雨模拟能力较强。结果表明,热带地区的强降雨事件对CPSs和研究领域非常敏感。因此,灵敏度测试研究应成倍增加,以确定特定区域最合适的CPSs。
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引用次数: 1
The June 2021 Extreme Heat Event in Portland, OR, USA: Its Impacts on Ecosystems and Human Health and Potential Adaptation Strategies 2021年6月美国俄勒冈州波特兰极端高温事件:其对生态系统和人类健康的影响以及潜在的适应策略
Pub Date : 2021-11-20 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621750014
Heejun Chang, P. Loikith, L. Messer
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引用次数: 0
A System for Resilience Learning: Developing a Community-Driven, Multi-Sector Research Approach for Greater Preparedness and Resilience to Long-Term Climate Stressors and Extreme Events in the Miami Metropolitan Region 韧性学习系统:开发一种社区驱动的多部门研究方法,以增强迈阿密大都会地区对长期气候压力和极端事件的准备和韧性
Pub Date : 2021-11-11 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621500196
T. Troxler, A. Clement, Yoca Arditi-Rocha, Gretchen Beesing, M. Bhat, J. Bolson, Carissa Cabán-Alemán, Karina Castillo, Olivia Collins, Mayra Cruz, Alan Dodd, S. Evans, Abigail L. Fleming, C. Genatios, Jane Gilbert, Alyssa M. Hernandez, Cheryl L. Holder, Maria Ilcheva, Elizabeth Kelly, Arturo León, Joanna L. Lombard, K. Mach, D. Moanga, J. Murley, A. Knowles, J. Obeysekera, Loren Parra, Jennifer Posner, A. Sarwat, Rachel N. Silverstein, J. A. Stuart, M. Sukop, S. Wdowinski, E. Wheaton
There is a growing need for integrated approaches that align community priorities with strategies that build resilience to climate hazards, societal shocks, and economic crises to ensure more equitable and sustainable outcomes. We anticipate that adaptive management and resilience learning are central elements for these approaches. In this paper, we describe an approach to build and test a Resilience Learning System to support research and implementation of a resilience strategy developed for the Greater Miami and the Beaches or the Resilient305 Strategy. Elements foundational to the design of this integrated research strategy and replicable Resilience Learning System are: (1) strong partnerships among community members, government and non-government organization leaders, and researchers from multiple academic institutions; (2) contributions of subject matter expertise and local knowledge to identify information and translational gaps, formulate metrics and evaluate outcomes of Resilient305 Strategy actions from the community perspective; and (3) a comprehensive understanding of civic engagement activities, technological tools, and resilience-building capacities, including policy and financial innovations, from which to advance socio-technological, smart and connected regional-to-hyperlocal community translation through co-design/co-production. Initial results on co-produced metrics are provided. This work produces a new, replicable framework for resilience research that includes a comprehensive set of metrics, translation to communities through structured dialogues, a collaborative process involving all stakeholders and researchers, and evaluation of resilience actions to inform new investments and improve understanding and effectiveness over time.
人们越来越需要综合方法,将社区优先事项与建立应对气候危害、社会冲击和经济危机的能力的战略相结合,以确保取得更公平和可持续的结果。我们预计,适应性管理和恢复力学习是这些方法的核心要素。在本文中,我们描述了一种建立和测试韧性学习系统的方法,以支持为大迈阿密和海滩制定的韧性战略或韧性305战略的研究和实施。设计这一综合研究战略和可复制的弹性学习系统的基础要素是:(1)社区成员、政府和非政府组织领导人以及多个学术机构的研究人员之间的牢固伙伴关系;(2) 主题专业知识和当地知识的贡献,以确定信息和转化差距,制定衡量标准,并从社区角度评估韧性305战略行动的结果;以及(3)全面了解公民参与活动、技术工具和复原力建设能力,包括政策和金融创新,通过共同设计/共同制作,推动社会技术、智能和互联的区域到超地方社区的翻译。提供了联合制定的指标的初步结果。这项工作产生了一个新的、可复制的复原力研究框架,其中包括一套全面的指标,通过结构化对话向社区转化,一个涉及所有利益相关者和研究人员的合作过程,以及评估复原力行动,为新的投资提供信息,并随着时间的推移提高理解和有效性。
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引用次数: 1
Synergies Between COVID-19 and Climate Change Impacts and Responses COVID-19与气候变化影响和应对之间的协同作用
Pub Date : 2021-11-05 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621310023
M. Pelling, R. Kerr, R. Biesbroek, M. Caretta, G. Cissé, M. J. Costello, K. Ebi, E. Gunn, C. Parmesan, C. Schuster-Wallace, M. C. Tirado, M. V. Aalst, A. Woodward
The COVID-19 pandemic and anthropogenic climate change are global crises. We show how strongly these crises are connected, including the underlying societal inequities and problems of poverty, substandard housing, and infrastructure including clean water supplies. The origins of all these crises are related to modern consumptive industrialisation, including burning of fossil fuels, increasing human population density, and replacement of natural with human dominated ecosystems. Because business as usual is unsustainable on all three fronts, transformative responses are needed. We review the literature on risk management interventions, implications for COVID-19, for climate change risk and for equity associated with biodiversity, water and WaSH, health systems, food systems, urbanization and governance. This paper details the considerable evidence base of observed synergies between actions to reduce pandemic and climate change risks while enhancing social justice and biodiversity conservation. It also highlights constraints imposed by governance that can impede deployment of synergistic solutions. In contrast to the response to the COVID-19 pandemic, governance systems have procrastinated on addressing climate change and biodiversity loss as these are interconnected chronic crises. It is now time to address all three to avoid a multiplication of future crises across health, food, water, nature, and climate systems.
新冠肺炎大流行和人为气候变化是全球性危机。我们展示了这些危机是如何紧密地联系在一起的,包括潜在的社会不平等和贫困、不合格住房和包括清洁水供应在内的基础设施问题。所有这些危机的根源都与现代消费工业化有关,包括化石燃料的燃烧、人口密度的增加以及以人类主导的生态系统取代自然生态系统。由于一切照旧在这三个方面都是不可持续的,因此需要采取变革性的应对措施。我们回顾了风险管理干预措施、对COVID-19的影响、对气候变化风险的影响以及与生物多样性、水和讲卫生运动、卫生系统、粮食系统、城市化和治理相关的公平的影响。本文详细介绍了观察到的在减少流行病和气候变化风险的同时加强社会正义和生物多样性保护的行动之间的协同作用的大量证据基础。它还强调了治理施加的限制,这些限制可能阻碍协同解决方案的部署。与应对COVID-19大流行相反,治理体系在应对气候变化和生物多样性丧失方面拖延了时间,因为这是相互关联的长期危机。现在是解决这三个问题的时候了,以避免未来在卫生、粮食、水、自然和气候系统中出现更多危机。
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引用次数: 3
COVID-19 as an Extreme Event in the New York Metropolitan Region 2019冠状病毒病作为纽约大都会区的极端事件
Pub Date : 2021-11-03 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621020012
P. Marcotullio, W. Solecki
During early 2020, the world encountered an extreme event in the form of a new and deadly disease, COVID-19. Over the next two years, the pandemic brought sickness and death to countries and their cities around the globe. One of the first and initially the hardest hit location was New York City, USA. This article is an introduction to the Special Issue in this journal that highlights the impacts from and responses to COVID-19 as an extreme event in the New York City metropolitan region. We overview the aspects of COVID-19 that make it an important global extreme event, provide brief background to the conditions in the world, and the US before describing the 10 articles in the issue that focus on conditions, events and dynamics in New York City during the initial phases of the pandemic.
2020年初,世界遭遇了一种新的致命疾病新冠肺炎形式的极端事件。在接下来的两年里,疫情给全球各国及其城市带来了疾病和死亡。美国纽约市是第一个也是最初受灾最严重的地区之一。本文介绍了该杂志的特刊,重点介绍了新冠肺炎作为纽约大都市地区极端事件的影响和应对措施。我们概述了新冠肺炎使其成为一个重要的全球极端事件的各个方面,简要介绍了世界和美国的情况,然后描述了本期的10篇文章,重点介绍了疫情初期纽约市的情况、事件和动态。
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引用次数: 0
A Quest for the Origin of the Uneven Spread of Covid-19 Cases 寻找新冠肺炎病例不均衡传播的根源
Pub Date : 2021-10-27 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621500202
A. Bhadra, Mahasweta Bhattacharya
For more than one and a half years now, the world is highly impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic. The Covid-19 cases are, however, not evenly distributed across the countries; a few countries, particularly high-income countries have been hit harder than the countries of weak economic condition. The reasons for such an asymmetrical distribution are not clearly understood yet. In this work, we have examined the unevenness of global distribution of Covid-19 incidences till 18th June 2021 in terms of the economic condition of countries. Subsequently, we have tried to identify the main underlying factors behind unequal Covid-19 cases. Our analysis suggests that the physical connectivity and the diffusion of coronavirus are the main causes of the different unequal spread of Covid-19 cases in different countries. We find that the Covid-19 infected and death cases are well described by a power law in terms of the stated parameters.
一年半以来,世界受到新冠肺炎大流行的严重影响。然而,新冠肺炎病例在各国的分布并不均匀;少数国家,特别是高收入国家受到的打击比经济状况不佳的国家更为严重。造成这种不对称分布的原因尚不清楚。在这项工作中,我们研究了截至2021年6月18日新冠肺炎发病率在各国经济状况方面的全球分布不均衡。随后,我们试图确定新冠肺炎病例不平等背后的主要潜在因素。我们的分析表明,物理连接和冠状病毒的传播是新冠肺炎病例在不同国家不同程度不平等传播的主要原因。我们发现,新冠肺炎感染和死亡病例在规定参数方面得到了幂律的很好描述。
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引用次数: 0
Towards Disentangling Lockdown-Driven Air Quality Changes in the Northeastern U.S. 解开美国东北部封锁导致的空气质量变化
Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737621500172
C. Braneon, R. Field, E. Seto, Kai Chen, Kathryn McConnell, Lorrin Robinson, Safiya Richardson
In the absence of preventive therapies or effective treatment for most cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), governments worldwide have sought to minimize person-to-person severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission through a variety of lock-down measures and social distancing policies. Extreme events like the COVID-19 pandemic present a tremendous opportunity to make quantitative connections between changes in anthropogenic forcing, social and economic activity, and the related Earth system response. In this paper, we examine the air quality impacts associated with the pandemic response measures in the Northeastern United States.
在大多数2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例缺乏预防性治疗或有效治疗的情况下,世界各国政府通过各种封锁措施和社会距离政策,试图最大限度地减少SARS-CoV-2的人际传播。COVID-19大流行等极端事件提供了一个巨大的机会,可以在人为强迫、社会和经济活动的变化以及相关的地球系统响应之间建立定量联系。在本文中,我们研究了与美国东北部大流行应对措施相关的空气质量影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of extreme events
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