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Exploring the Uses of Arts-Led Community Spaces to Build Resilience: Applied Storytelling for Successful Co-Creative Work 探索利用艺术主导的社区空间建立韧性:成功合作创作的应用故事讲述
Pub Date : 2023-03-11 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622500075
A. Liguori, Karen Le Rossignol, Sarit Kraus, L. McEwen, Michael Wilson
In a time of many extremes — climate, pandemic, isolation — there is strength in community linkages that can provide resilience through arts-generated connections. The arts-led recovery approach to communities suffering extreme events and social isolation offers the capacity to use applied storytelling as both individual and social practice, and to generate creative contributions to social change. This paper will explore the extent to which, in bringing people together, the arts can create spaces that are open and conducive to real dialogue and engagement, developing resilience with wider applications. Monkivitch (EO of Creative Recovery Network) talks of listening to the ecology of voices, advocating for the voice of the artist to be central to government recoveries from extreme events. The intent of looking at co-creative systems or ecologies is to explore beyond disciplinary boundaries and articulate a social purpose both for the artists and the community involved in the curation. The creative arts process, in extreme events contexts, offers engagement with and empowerment of the community to develop and sustain resilience and adaptability. In this paper, a team of artists and academics with expertise in community participation, applied storytelling, socially-engaged arts and water risk management, will reflect on a variety of approaches to co-create arts-led community spaces. Two case studies are described to explore collaboration and co-production between creative artists and their communities as a participatory process to develop emotional resilience. The UK-based case study, ‘The Reasons in the Fens’, brought together diverse members of the community to develop and share personal stories and to work with a songwriter to compose a community song about the impact of the flood drought nexus in their region leading to developed empathy for diversities of views. The Australian case-study, the digital Regional Arts Park in Victoria, enabled co-curation using a creative ecosystem design which related strongly to storytelling for resilience. Both case studies offer opportunities to reflect on how a creative ecosystem provides a framework for exploring the disruptive role of the cultural sector in space/place resilience-building. The ongoing purpose of a creative ecosystem, as described in this paper, is in fact to strengthen creative organizations and individuals, which will develop a complex system ‘involving a multitude of people, institutions and places. To flourish, they require access to a suite of interconnected resources and capabilities’ (Creative Victoria (2016). Creative State 2016–2020, p. 19. https://creative.vic.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0007/54349/creativestate.pdf ). The requirement is for the cultural, creative, social and commercial parts of this ecosystem to have meaningful interactions. This creative ecosystem potentially leads to a dynamic model with a vibrant or creative interplay between cultural values and stories. As Ha
在气候、疫情、隔离等许多极端情况下,社区联系具有力量,可以通过艺术产生的联系提供韧性。以艺术为主导的对遭受极端事件和社会孤立的社区的恢复方法提供了将应用故事作为个人和社会实践的能力,并为社会变革做出创造性贡献。本文将探讨在多大程度上,通过将人们聚集在一起,艺术可以创造开放的空间,有助于真正的对话和参与,发展具有更广泛应用的韧性。Monkivitch(创意恢复网络首席执行官)谈到倾听声音的生态,倡导艺术家的声音成为政府从极端事件中恢复的核心。研究共同创作系统或生态的目的是超越学科界限进行探索,并为参与策展的艺术家和社区阐明社会目的。在极端事件背景下,创意艺术过程提供了与社区的互动和赋权,以发展和维持韧性和适应性。在这篇论文中,一个由艺术家和学者组成的团队,在社区参与、应用故事讲述、社会参与艺术和水风险管理方面具有专业知识,他们将反思共同创造艺术主导的社区空间的各种方法。描述了两个案例研究,以探索创意艺术家及其社区之间的合作和共同制作,作为培养情感韧性的参与过程。总部位于英国的案例研究“沼泽地的原因”将社区的不同成员聚集在一起,发展和分享个人故事,并与一位词曲作者合作,创作一首关于他们所在地区水旱关系影响的社区歌曲,从而培养对不同观点的同理心。澳大利亚的案例研究,即维多利亚州的数字区域艺术公园,使联合策展能够使用创造性的生态系统设计,该设计与讲故事有着密切的关系,以增强韧性。这两个案例研究都提供了反思创意生态系统如何为探索文化部门在空间/场所复原力建设中的破坏性作用提供框架的机会。正如本文所述,创意生态系统的持续目的实际上是加强创意组织和个人,这将发展一个“涉及众多人员、机构和场所”的复杂系统。为了蓬勃发展,他们需要获得一套相互关联的资源和能力”(创意维多利亚(2016)。《创意之州2016–2020》,第19页。https://creative.vic.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0007/54349/creativestate.pdf)。要求这个生态系统的文化、创意、社会和商业部分进行有意义的互动。这种创造性的生态系统可能会产生一种动态的模式,在文化价值观和故事之间进行充满活力或创造性的互动。正如Hartley和Potts(2014)。文化科学:故事、德梅斯、知识和创新的自然史。伦敦:Bloomsbury,第70页)指出,“文化是群体的“生存载体”,故事是文化的生存载体”。
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引用次数: 3
The Adaptive Governance Capacities of the City of Cape Town Built in Response to Extreme Events 开普敦应对极端事件的适应性治理能力
Pub Date : 2023-02-23 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622500051
G. Ziervogel, Gareth J. Morgan
Increasingly, city governments are having to deal with climate change repercussions alongside those of other disasters, all while addressing its implications for both daily life and future sustainability. This paper argues that to build resilience to future climate extreme events and multi-hazards, it is essential to establish a systemic approach across sectors at the city scale. The City of Cape Town recently endured an extreme drought, followed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Through a series of interviews and engagements with senior government officials, a detailed understanding of the City of Cape Town’s response to the 2015–2018 drought and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020–2021 was attained. In reviewing the City’s response, five inter-related adaptive governance capacities were identified as necessary for building a rapid and effective systemic response to future extreme events within city government. First, local government must be able to respond to hazards and risk systemically; second, system-level data is needed to quantify and develop an integrated understanding of important system components; and third, flexible governance mechanisms can help support agile leadership at the senior city management level. The fourth capacity is that of project execution skills for the rapid implementation of responses and infrastructure; the fifth is the ability to partner with civil society and the private sector. An analysis of these two proximate extreme events reveals the nature of these five capacities and how they have been put into practice in Cape Town. It is important to unpack and share the nature of these capacities and how they enabled a more systemic response, especially given the call for more attention to be paid to what adaptive urban governance looks like in practice when managing multi-risk and extreme events in cities.
城市政府越来越多地不得不与其他灾害一起应对气候变化的影响,同时应对其对日常生活和未来可持续性的影响。本文认为,为了建立对未来气候极端事件和多重灾害的抵御能力,必须在城市范围内建立跨部门的系统方法。开普敦市最近经历了一场极端干旱,随之而来的是新冠肺炎大流行。通过对政府高级官员的一系列采访和接触,详细了解了开普敦市对2015-2018年干旱和2020-2021年新冠肺炎大流行的应对措施。在审查该市的应对措施时,确定了五种相互关联的适应性治理能力,这是在市政府内部建立快速有效的系统应对未来极端事件所必需的。首先,地方政府必须能够系统地应对危害和风险;其次,需要系统级数据来量化和发展对重要系统组件的综合理解;第三,灵活的治理机制有助于支持城市高层管理层的敏捷领导。第四种能力是项目执行技能,用于快速实施应对措施和基础设施;第五是与民间社会和私营部门合作的能力。对这两个最近的极端事件的分析揭示了这五种能力的性质以及它们是如何在开普敦付诸实践的。重要的是要了解和分享这些能力的性质,以及它们是如何实现更系统的应对的,特别是考虑到在管理城市中的多风险和极端事件时,需要更多地关注适应性城市治理在实践中的样子。
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引用次数: 2
Winter Storm Uri 2021: A Litmus Test for Extreme Event Resiliency 冬季风暴Uri 2021:极端事件弹性的试金石
Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1142/s234573762250004x
Dean Kyne
The Winter Storm Uri, which occurred in February 2021 (WSU2021), was regarded as a triple extreme weather event because it was a large winter storm, caused massive power outages, and occurred during a pandemic. The event spelled record-low temperatures, which caused power outages and blackouts, leaving over 4 million people without electricity during the ongoing pandemic. This study empirically examined the preparedness for, impacts from, and response to the WSU2021 of individual households who live in the Rio Grande Valley. Information on preparedness, impact, and the response was collected from the valley residents using an online survey instrument. The study’s findings suggested that low-income households were found to have positive associations with impact and response and negative associations with preparedness. In addition, the nation established a policy to promote and maintain the resiliency of 16 critical infrastructures 18 years ago, including the energy sector, but the efforts to make the emergency sector resilient were insufficient, leading to failing the litmus test for extreme event resiliency. Based on the study’s findings, the study concludes that it is imperative for all key stakeholders to build extreme event resiliency in the Rio Grande Valley.
发生在2021年2月的“乌里”冬季风暴(WSU2021)是一场大型冬季风暴,造成了大规模停电,并在大流行期间发生,因此被视为“三重极端天气事件”。这一事件导致创纪录的低温,导致停电和停电,在持续的大流行期间,超过400万人无电可用。本研究实证研究了居住在里约热内卢格兰德山谷的个体家庭对WSU2021的准备、影响和响应。使用在线调查工具从山谷居民那里收集了有关准备、影响和响应的信息。研究结果表明,低收入家庭与影响和反应呈正相关,与准备负相关。此外,国家在18年前制定了一项促进和保持包括能源部门在内的16个关键基础设施弹性的政策,但使应急部门具有弹性的努力不足,导致未能通过极端事件弹性的试金石。根据研究结果,该研究得出结论,所有关键利益相关者都必须在里约热内卢格兰德河谷建立极端事件的恢复能力。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis of Wind Shear Variability and Its Effects on the Flights Activities at the Garoua Airport 加鲁阿机场风切变变化及其对航班活动的影响分析
Pub Date : 2023-01-25 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622500063
Daika Augustin, Mbane Biouele César
In this study, the wind shear vector variability likely to mitigate the flights activities at the Cameroon Airport and in particular Garoua has been analyzed. This research is based on a statistical method R of pilot probe and observation synoptic station data, April–July 2021 period. The results show that Garoua Airport has recorded more than 55[Formula: see text]percent of the intensities of the wind shear vector greater than 10[Formula: see text]kt/100[Formula: see text]ft with dominant directions in the North-South sector. The intensities of the headwind/tailwind shear vector are at 60[Formula: see text]percent moderate; the probability density distribution shows 40[Formula: see text]percent strong to very strong shear with moderate to strong probability. This fact may represent a problem for lighter aircrafts, whose crosswind rates are lower. In this context, the forecast of high wind speed values and directions becomes very important. The schedule distribution of the various wind during this period displays that the most sheared month is the month of May, the sounding that presents the strongest to very strong shears is that of 5 p.m. and the most sheared slice is the ground surface layer where the frictional force has a very large impact on the wind. In addition, the convective system’s formation and the geographical discontinuities effects contributed to the recording of shear types during the period not only at ground level but also at the superior levels.
在这项研究中,分析了可能缓解喀麦隆机场特别是加鲁阿航班活动的风切变矢量变化。本研究基于2021年4月至7月期间试点探测器和观测天气站数据的统计方法R。结果表明,加鲁阿机场记录的风切变矢量强度超过55[公式:见正文]%,大于10[公式:参见正文]kt/100[公式:详见正文]ft,主要方向为南北方向。逆风/顺风剪切矢量的强度为60%[公式:见正文]中等;概率密度分布显示40[公式:见正文]%的强到非常强的剪切,具有中等到强烈的概率。这一事实可能代表了侧风率较低的轻型飞机的问题。在这种情况下,对高风速值和风向的预测变得非常重要。这一时期各种风的时间表分布显示,剪切最大的月份是5月份,呈现最强到非常强剪切的测深是下午5点,剪切最严重的切片是摩擦力对风影响很大的地表层。此外,对流系统的形成和地理不连续性影响不仅在地面,而且在高层都有助于记录这一时期的剪切类型。
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引用次数: 0
Communication to Reduce Dependency and Enhance Empowerment Using ‘New’ Media: Evidence from Practice in UK Flood Risk Areas 利用“新”媒体减少依赖和增强赋权的沟通:来自英国洪水风险地区的实践证据
Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622410032
T. Ball, Grace Nash-Williams
Sharing of risk knowledge for extreme events is taking place against a backdrop of changing societal communication patterns, in which the flow of information is increasingly multi-directional, within and between individuals, wider communities and a variety of authorities using online media. We present qualitative findings from the CASCADE knowledge exchange project and a case study, from a flood risk area, on the role of social networks using such ‘new’ media as engagement tools in building resilience to flooding. The data emerged from a workshop held in 2018, together with a study into changing communication practice in the Thames Valley near Windsor, UK. It was found that engagement is occurring both during events, as an emergency management tool, and between events, often linked to strategic management such as flood defense and related planning. The qualitative findings were analyzed to investigate whether knowledge and information sharing in emergencies may lead to co-operative sharing between emergencies. According to evidence from workshop discussions across the seminars, and empirical evidence from the flood risk zone, social networks formed and/or enhanced using new media can help promote consensus but also have the potential to accentuate distrust and divide managers and the community at risk. Relevant factors were the nature of the risk faced, nature of event-related protection activity, whether extreme weather events were occurring or had occurred in the recent past, and sociocultural aspects such as the degree of general engagement of civil society, linked to location. There is a possibility that new media may thus reinforce existing power structures, including acknowledged paternalistic attitudes by management authorities and pre-conceived ideas from at-risk communities. In terms of the contribution that social media can make toward the goal of social learning for resilience, the specific role of online social media as a communication tool continues to evolve. It was noted from the workshop that there is a potential for producers of information to act also as consumers (the ‘prosumer effect’), but gaining benefit from this trend requires some changes to existing interaction patterns within and between risk management authorities and communities. More investment may be required in forms of engagement that build relationships of trust, using ‘traditional’ (face-to-face) approaches.
极端事件风险知识的分享是在社会沟通模式不断变化的背景下进行的,其中信息的流动日益多向,在个人内部和个人之间、更广泛的社区之间以及使用在线媒体的各种当局之间。我们展示了CASCADE知识交流项目的定性研究结果,以及一个来自洪水风险地区的案例研究,研究了使用这种“新”媒体作为参与工具的社交网络在建立抗洪能力方面的作用。这些数据来自于2018年举行的一次研讨会,以及一项关于英国温莎附近泰晤士河谷不断变化的沟通实践的研究。研究发现,作为应急管理工具的接触既发生在事件期间,也发生在事件之间,通常与防洪和相关规划等战略管理有关。对定性研究结果进行分析,探讨突发事件中的知识和信息共享是否会导致突发事件之间的合作共享。根据来自研讨会上的研讨会讨论的证据,以及来自洪水风险区的经验证据,使用新媒体形成和/或增强的社会网络可以帮助促进共识,但也有可能加剧不信任,分裂管理者和处于风险中的社区。相关因素包括所面临风险的性质、与事件有关的保护活动的性质、极端天气事件是否正在发生或最近发生过,以及与地点有关的社会文化方面,如民间社会的普遍参与程度。因此,新媒体有可能加强现有的权力结构,包括管理当局公认的家长式态度和危险社区的先入为主的观念。就社交媒体对社会学习弹性目标的贡献而言,在线社交媒体作为一种沟通工具的具体作用在不断发展。讲习班指出,信息生产者也有可能充当消费者(“产消效应”),但要从这一趋势中获益,就需要对风险管理当局与社区内部和社区之间现有的互动模式进行一些改变。可能需要在使用“传统”(面对面)方法建立信任关系的参与形式上进行更多投资。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Civil Society in Extreme Events Through a Narrative Reflection of Pathways and Long-Term Relationships 民间社会在极端事件中的作用:途径和长期关系的叙事反映
Pub Date : 2023-01-06 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622500038
P. Cobbing, Ewan Waller, L. McEwen
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引用次数: 0
Operationalizing Urban Climate Justice: A Case Study of Sunset Park, Brooklyn, New York City 城市气候正义的运作——以纽约市布鲁克林日落公园为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-23 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622410044
K. H. Nguyen, R. Leichenko
Cities are increasingly incorporating climate resiliency goals into planning, development, and sustainability efforts. Such efforts are often touted as opportunities to promote climate justice that will not only support adaptation and mitigation efforts but also improve local environmental quality and bring higher paying, green jobs to frontline communities. Yet many local community leaders and residents remain skeptical of the promised benefits of climate-resilient development in their neighborhoods, fearing that new investments will attract higher income earners, intensify real estate pressures, and contribute to green gentrification. This study investigates the synergies and tensions that are emerging as cities develop policy responses to address climate change, implement resiliency projects, and meet economic, equity and social justice goals. Through a case study of Sunset Park, Brooklyn, a low-income working waterfront community in New York City, the paper explores community efforts to exert influence over two large-scale, climate resiliency-focused development projects. Data sources for the study include interviews with city officials, private sector representatives, community leaders and residents, participation in community events and workshops, and analysis of planning and policy documents. The study finds that an extensive legacy of community-led planning, the presence of proactive community champions, and grassroots mobilizations were critical factors that strengthened local influence over urban resiliency planning processes. It offers lessons and strategies for empowering local voices in community-based adaptation and resiliency efforts and for achieving climate justice objectives.
城市越来越多地将气候适应目标纳入规划、发展和可持续性工作。这些努力往往被吹捧为促进气候正义的机会,不仅将支持适应和减缓努力,而且还将改善当地环境质量,并为一线社区带来收入更高的绿色就业机会。然而,许多当地社区领导人和居民仍然对气候适应型开发在他们社区所承诺的好处持怀疑态度,担心新的投资将吸引高收入者,加剧房地产压力,并促进绿色高档化。本研究调查了城市在制定应对气候变化政策、实施弹性项目以及实现经济、公平和社会正义目标时出现的协同效应和紧张关系。本文以纽约市低收入的滨水区社区布鲁克林日落公园为例,探讨了社区如何对两个以气候适应能力为重点的大型开发项目施加影响。该研究的数据来源包括对城市官员、私营部门代表、社区领导人和居民的访谈、对社区活动和讲习班的参与以及对规划和政策文件的分析。研究发现,社区主导规划的广泛遗产、积极主动的社区倡导者的存在以及基层动员是加强地方对城市弹性规划过程影响的关键因素。它提供了经验教训和战略,以增强当地在社区适应和恢复工作中的发言权,并实现气候正义目标。
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引用次数: 0
Hearing Minority Voices: Institutional Discrimination Towards LGBTQ in Disaster and Recovery 倾听少数人的声音:灾难和恢复中对LGBTQ的制度性歧视
Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622410056
David King
Within the themes of CASCADE NET, this paper focusses on less heard voices and the need to develop new social spaces. Disaster vulnerability identifies diversity in society through a lens of constraints to solutions, on such bases as demography, socio-economic status, cultural, ethnic and gendered minorities within society, and marginalized groups as well as physical proximity to a hazard. The focus of disaster risk reduction is on building resilience through the strengths and capacities in society, but it has a tendency to homogenize characteristics of resilience to the community level, thereby flattening and hiding diversity. LGBTQ people are largely ignored as minority groups with specific information needs. Specific response and recovery processes and actors exacerbate the vulnerability of the LGBTQ minority, especially in evacuation, support, counselling, and rehousing. The role of faith-based organizations (FBO) in providing these services during disaster relief and recovery is examined in this paper. This paper identifies and critiques the attitudes and practices of some FBO towards LGBTQ groups in their provision of disaster relief services.
在CASCADE NET的主题中,本文关注较少听到的声音和开发新的社交空间的需求。灾害脆弱性通过限制解决办法的各种因素确定社会的多样性,这些因素包括人口、社会经济地位、社会中的文化、族裔和性别少数群体、边缘群体以及离灾害地点的实际接近程度。减少灾害风险的重点是通过社会的优势和能力来建立复原力,但它有一种将复原力特征同质化到社区层面的倾向,从而使多样性扁平化和隐藏起来。LGBTQ人群作为有特定信息需求的少数群体,在很大程度上被忽视了。具体的应对和恢复过程和行为者加剧了LGBTQ少数群体的脆弱性,特别是在疏散、支持、咨询和重新安置方面。本文考察了信仰组织(FBO)在救灾和恢复过程中提供这些服务的作用。本文对一些FBO在提供救灾服务中对待LGBTQ群体的态度和做法进行了识别和批评。
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引用次数: 0
From Extreme Weather Events to ‘Cascading Vulnerabilities’: Participatory Flood Research Methodologies in Brazil During COVID-19 从极端天气事件到“级联脆弱性”:新冠肺炎期间巴西的参与性洪水研究方法
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622410020
N. Calvillo, Joanne Garde-Hansen, Fernanda Lima-Silva, Rachel Trajber, J. Albuquerque
Extreme weather events are entangled with each other and with other extreme events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, anti-racist protests, drought, a housing crisis, strikes, or climate emergencies, as well as with more general inadequacies due to national, economic, and political upheavals and accreted vulnerabilities from long-term policies or inactions. Effects of extreme weather events are intensified by ongoing social injustices like poverty and structural racism, a housing deficit, and the consequent informal and unplanned occupation of hazardous areas, such as riverbanks, and areas of previous social-environmental disasters. In the context of Brazil, the ongoing deforestation in the Amazon (agribusiness, mining and illegal wood) provoking droughts and energy shortages in the region creates further vulnerabilities that are felt globally. In this paper, our primary contribution to these inter-connected scenarios is to describe methodological interventions that were made in response to COVID-19, and to show how those changes provided new insights into vulnerability processes of both subjects and researchers. During a larger project (Waterproofing Data), focused on the case study research areas of São Paulo and Acre (Brazil) wherein our wider team conducted flood-risk community research, we were forced to rethink our approach. We moved away from the singularity of the flood event and its impacts toward acknowledging the cascading conditions of social vulnerability (caused by weather, health, social and political conditions). In this paper, we directly address the ‘cascade of vulnerabilities’ that the flood-prone communities already encounter when researchers seek to engage with them. We open new avenues to reconsider citizenship, space, and innovation in terms of the key challenges that our methods encountered when conducting participatory flood research methodologies, particularly during the first phase of the COVID-19 pandemic from March 2020 to November 2021. Through flood research in Brazil, we articulate methodological contributions from the arts, humanities, and social sciences for more realistic, just, and caring research practices within and about weather in the context of ‘slow violence’ [Nixon, R (2013). Slow Violence and the Environmentalism of the Poor. Cambridge, MA: Harvard UP].
极端天气事件相互交织,与其他极端事件交织在一起,如新冠肺炎大流行、反种族主义抗议、干旱、住房危机、罢工或气候紧急情况,以及由于国家、经济和政治动荡以及长期政策或不作为而增加的脆弱性而导致的更普遍的不足。极端天气事件的影响因持续的社会不公正而加剧,如贫困和结构性种族主义、住房短缺,以及随之而来的对危险地区的非正规和计划外占领,如河岸和以前发生过社会环境灾难的地区。就巴西而言,亚马逊地区持续的森林砍伐(农业综合企业、采矿和非法木材)引发了该地区的干旱和能源短缺,这进一步加剧了全球范围内的脆弱性。在本文中,我们对这些相互关联的情景的主要贡献是描述了为应对新冠肺炎而采取的方法干预措施,并展示了这些变化如何为受试者和研究人员的脆弱性过程提供了新的见解。在一个更大的项目(防水数据)中,我们的更广泛的团队在圣保罗和Acre(巴西)的案例研究区域进行了洪水风险社区研究,我们被迫重新思考我们的方法。我们从洪水事件及其影响的单一性转向承认社会脆弱性的级联条件(由天气、健康、社会和政治条件引起)。在这篇论文中,我们直接解决了当研究人员寻求与洪水易发社区接触时,他们已经遇到的“一连串的脆弱性”。我们开辟了新的途径,根据我们的方法在进行参与性洪水研究方法时遇到的关键挑战,重新考虑公民身份、空间和创新,特别是在2020年3月至2021年11月新冠肺炎大流行的第一阶段。通过在巴西进行的洪水研究,我们阐明了艺术、人文和社会科学在“慢暴力”背景下对天气内部和有关天气的更现实、公正和关爱的研究实践的方法学贡献[Nixon,R(2013)。慢暴力与穷人的环保主义。马萨诸塞州剑桥:哈佛大学UP]。
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引用次数: 1
Analyses of Past Extremes Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Indices Over Sub-Saharan Countries 撒哈拉以南非洲国家过去极端降水-蒸散指数分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1142/s2345737622500026
M. Mbaye, A. Bodian, O. Kimambo, Fabienne Inès Rouamba, Elias Gaveta
Extreme weather and climate events including extreme precipitation have increased in frequency, intensity, and severity due to climate change and hit vulnerable communities disproportionately hard. However, there is a gap in the understanding of the characteristics of extreme precipitation and their effects on socio-economic activities in sub-Saharan Africa societies. The study utilized climate hazards group infrared precipitation with station data (CHIRPS) to analyze the climate characteristics from 1981 to 2019 over Senegal, Burkina Faso, Tanzania, and Malawi. Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were used to classify the precipitation and water balance anomalies with respect to the long-term observations. It was found that Burkina Faso and Senegal have a similar climate signal with more rainfall in Burkina Faso. Malawi recorded more rainfall than Tanzania. All the four countries recorded a high rainfall variability of extreme events. Standardized hydro climatic indices have shown that these sub-Saharan countries have suffered severe droughts which have negatively affected the socio-economic activities among the rural populations.
由于气候变化,包括极端降水在内的极端天气和气候事件的频率、强度和严重程度都有所增加,对弱势社区的打击尤为严重。然而,在了解极端降水的特点及其对撒哈拉以南非洲社会社会经济活动的影响方面存在差距。该研究利用气候危害组红外降水和台站数据(CHIRPS)分析了1981年至2019年塞内加尔、布基纳法索、坦桑尼亚和马拉维的气候特征。利用标准化降水蒸发蒸腾指数(SPEI)和标准化降水指数(SPI)对长期观测的降水和水平衡异常进行了分类。研究发现,布基纳法索和塞内加尔的气候信号相似,布基纳法索降雨量更多。马拉维的降雨量超过坦桑尼亚。这四个国家都记录了极端事件的高降雨量变化。标准化的水文气候指数表明,这些撒哈拉以南国家遭受了严重的干旱,对农村人口的社会经济活动产生了负面影响。
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Journal of extreme events
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