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Spatiotemporal heterogeneity reveals urban-rural differences in post-disaster recovery 时空异质性揭示了灾后恢复的城乡差异
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00139-4
Sangung Park, Tong Yao, Satish V. Ukkusuri
A post-disaster recovery process necessitates significant financial and time investment. Previous studies have found the importance of post-disaster spatial recovery heterogeneity, but the recovery heterogeneity has not been extended to the directed recovery relationships despite the significance of sequential recovery plans. Identifying a causal structure between county-level time series data can reveal spatial relationships in the post-disaster recovery process. This study uses a causal discovery method to reveal the spatiotemporal relationships between counties before, during, and after Hurricane Irma in 2017. This study proposes node aggregation methods at different time scales to obtain internally validated causal links. This paper utilizes points of interest data with daily location information from mobile phones and county-level daily nighttime light data. We find intra-regional homogeneity, inter-regional heterogeneity, and a hierarchical structure among urban, suburban, and rural counties based on a network motif analysis. Subsequently, this article suggests county-level post-disaster sequential recovery plans using the causal graph methods. These results help policymakers develop recovery scenarios and estimate the corresponding spatial recovery impacts.
灾后恢复过程需要投入大量的资金和时间。以往的研究发现了灾后空间恢复异质性的重要性,但尽管顺序恢复计划具有重要意义,但恢复异质性尚未扩展到定向恢复关系。识别县级时间序列数据之间的因果结构可以揭示灾后恢复过程中的空间关系。本研究采用因果发现方法揭示了 2017 年飓风艾尔玛之前、期间和之后各县之间的时空关系。本研究提出了不同时间尺度的节点聚合方法,以获得内部验证的因果联系。本文利用了具有手机每日位置信息的兴趣点数据和县级每日夜间光照数据。基于网络动机分析,我们发现了区域内的同质性、区域间的异质性以及城市、郊区和农村县之间的层次结构。随后,本文利用因果图方法提出了县级灾后顺序恢复计划。这些结果有助于决策者制定恢复方案并估算相应的空间恢复影响。
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引用次数: 0
Work–family interference in urban China: gender discrimination and the effects of work–family balance policies 中国城市中的工作-家庭干扰:性别歧视与工作-家庭平衡政策的影响
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00137-6
Yuehua Xu, Shujie Zhang, Manyuan Li, Depeng Liu, Haichuan Zhao, Guiyao Tang
Family responsibility discrimination is a form of discrimination against men and women because of their caregiving responsibilities. Unlike prior studies that have predominantly focused on Western contexts, this study shifts attention to observers’ differentiated discrimination against men and women in China involved in work–family interference. The findings across four main experiments (N = 2577) suggest that shouldering family responsibility in the context of both family interference in work and work interference in family would stimulate more discrimination against men in urban China. We also explore whether a firm’s work–family balance policies can mitigate such discrimination. The results demonstrate that such policies mitigate supervisors’ discrimination against men involved in family interference in work but not observers’ discrimination against men involved in work interference in family. Post-hoc experiments and further tests (N = 931) demonstrate the robustness of our findings and show additional insights. Our findings suggest that gender discrimination in non-Western contexts can be very different.
家庭责任歧视是一种因男性和女性的照顾责任而对其产生的歧视。与以往主要关注西方背景的研究不同,本研究将注意力转移到观察者对中国男性和女性在工作与家庭干扰方面的不同歧视。四个主要实验(N = 2577)的结果表明,在中国城市,在家庭干扰工作和工作干扰家庭的情况下,肩负家庭责任的男性会受到更多歧视。我们还探讨了企业的工作与家庭平衡政策能否减轻这种歧视。结果表明,这些政策能减轻主管对男性工作中家庭干扰的歧视,但不能减轻观察者对男性工作中家庭干扰的歧视。事后实验和进一步测试(N = 931)证明了我们研究结果的稳健性,并显示了更多的启示。我们的研究结果表明,非西方背景下的性别歧视可能非常不同。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of urban population on housing cost: the case of Australia 城市人口对住房成本的影响:澳大利亚的案例
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00136-7
Chris Leishman, Weidong Liang, Nicholas Sim
Rapid population expansions in urban areas have significant implications for housing costs, creating challenges for housing affordability. However, estimating the causal effect of population on housing costs is challenging due to various confounding issues, such as unobserved location-specific attributes, measurement error, and the potential bi-directional relationship between population and housing costs. To address them, we adopt a city-level analysis and introduce a novel instrumental variable (IV) that enables us to employ fixed effects IV estimation. Our findings indicate that housing costs tend to increase at a faster rate than population growth. As individuals and households with lower incomes tend to allocate a larger proportion of their earnings to housing expenses, an upward trajectory of housing costs may dramatically widen the inequality in income after housing expenditure.
城市地区人口的快速扩张对住房成本产生了重大影响,给住房可负担性带来了挑战。然而,由于各种混淆问题,如未观察到的特定地点属性、测量误差以及人口与住房成本之间的潜在双向关系,估计人口对住房成本的因果效应具有挑战性。为了解决这些问题,我们采用了城市层面的分析方法,并引入了一种新的工具变量(IV),使我们能够采用固定效应 IV 估计法。我们的研究结果表明,住房成本的增长速度往往快于人口增长速度。由于收入较低的个人和家庭倾向于将较大比例的收入用于住房支出,住房成本的上升轨迹可能会显著扩大住房支出后的收入不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Automation and labour market inequalities: a comparison between cities and non-cities 自动化与劳动力市场的不平等:城市与非城市之间的比较
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00135-8
Roberta Capello, Camilla Lenzi
This paper reassesses the displacement effects of automation technologies from an urban perspective by highlighting heterogeneous effects in urban vs non-urban settings. Specifically, the paper argues that automation technologies in the form of robotisation do displace jobs and shrink the labour force, whatever the territorial context considered. However, this displacement effect particularly hits low-skilled workers in non-urban settings which suffer from the substitution pressure of robots and may exit the labour market. In urban contexts, instead, the low-skilled workers displacement effect is offset by reinstatement effects and, more relevantly, a reorientation of occupations towards more skilled, better paid ones, i.e., élite occupations, raising concerns about a widening of i inequalities in cities vs non-cities. The paper proves these statements in an analysis of the adoption of robot technologies in Italian cities in the period 2009–2019.
本文从城市视角重新评估了自动化技术的替代效应,强调了在城市与非城市环境中的异质性效应。具体而言,本文认为,以机器人化为形式的自动化技术确实取代了工作岗位,缩小了劳动力队伍,无论考虑的地域背景如何。然而,这种替代效应对非城市环境中的低技能工人的影响尤为明显,他们会受到机器人的替代压力而退出劳动力市场。相反,在城市环境中,低技能工人失业效应被复职效应所抵消,更重要的是,职业向更高技能、更高收入的职业(即精英职业)调整,从而引发了对城市与非城市不平等扩大的担忧。本文通过分析 2009-2019 年期间意大利城市采用机器人技术的情况,证明了上述观点。
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引用次数: 0
Accessibility inequality across Europe: a comparison of 15-minute pedestrian accessibility in cities with 100,000 or more inhabitants 欧洲各地无障碍环境的不平等:居民人数达到或超过 10 万人的城市 15 分钟行人无障碍环境比较
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00133-w
David Vale, André Soares Lopes
Active accessibility is a paramount objective of current sustainable urban development policies. Recently, the 15-minute city concept emphasized this framework by stressing proximity as a key urban feature. In this paper, we use two accessibility indicators—cumulative opportunities (total destinations) and Variety (number of different types of opportunities)—to evaluate pedestrian accessibility, using a 15-minute threshold, in a sample of European cities with 100,000 or more inhabitants, and measure within-city and between-city inequality, by calculating pseudo-Gini coefficients. Our results show not only that European cities are not 15-minute cities yet, but also that there is significant inequality within them, although less so in cities with high Variety. Our cross-city comparison found diminishing returns between both total destinations and population density and between Variety and density. Our findings suggest that European cities can increase pedestrian accessibility and reduce internal inequality by increasing the Variety of opportunities accessible by foot, along with improvements to pedestrian infrastructure.
积极的可达性是当前可持续城市发展政策的首要目标。最近,"15 分钟城市 "概念强调了这一框架,将就近性作为一个关键的城市特征。在本文中,我们使用两个可达性指标--累积机会(目的地总数)和多样性(不同类型机会的数量)--来评估欧洲 10 万或以上人口城市样本中的行人可达性,使用 15 分钟门槛,并通过计算伪基尼系数来衡量城市内和城市间的不平等。我们的研究结果表明,欧洲城市不仅还不是 15 分钟城市,而且城市内部也存在严重的不平等现象,尽管在综合程度较高的城市中不平等现象较少。我们的跨城市比较发现,总目的地和人口密度之间以及多样性和密度之间的收益都在递减。我们的研究结果表明,欧洲城市可以通过增加步行可达机会的多样性,同时改善步行基础设施,从而提高步行可达性,减少城市内部的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Strategies for mainstreaming nature-based solutions in urban governance capacities in ten European cities 十个欧洲城市将基于自然的解决方案纳入城市治理能力主流的战略
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00134-9
Katharina Hölscher, Niki Frantzeskaki, Marcus John Collier, Stuart Connop, Esmee D. Kooijman, Marleen Lodder, Siobhan McQuaid, Paula Vandergert, Dimitra Xidous, Lejla Bešlagić, Gillian Dick, Adina Dumitru, Agnieszka Dziubała, Isobel Fletcher, Cristian Garcia-Espina Adank, María González Vázquez, Natalia Madajczyk, Eleni Malekkidou, Maria Mavroudi, Eleftherios Loizou, Agnieszka Osipiuk, Belma Pasic, Antonio Prieto González, Mien Quartier, Selina Schepers, Nermina Suljević, Ivaylo Trendafilov, Katrien Van De Sijpe, Velichka Velikova, Peter Vos
This paper explores the institutional mainstreaming of nature-based solutions (NBS) to advance a process-based understanding about how to strategically develop the governance capacities needed for systemic, localised and inclusive NBS. To this end, it reports how policy officers in ten European cities have started to mainstream NBS by interacting with and changing incumbent governance arrangements when experimenting with novel governance processes and mechanisms to plan, deliver and steward NBS. Based on these activities of the policy officers, the analysis identifies three strategies, associated stepping stones and changes in governance conditions, to mainstream NBS in governance capacities: institutionalising (a) a systems’ approach to link NBS to policies, regulations, and departments across goals and sectors, (b) inclusive collaborations for localised and inclusive interventions, and (c) reflexivity and learning about how NBS interact with the (institutional, ecological, social, etc.) contexts and create impacts. The strategies illustrate institutional entrepreneurship in interacting with incumbent governance contexts, and how starting from NBS as a type of systemic innovation can promote broader shifts in urban governance arrangements.
本文探讨了将基于自然的解决方案(NBS)纳入机构主流的问题,以推进对如何战略性地发展系统性、本地化和包容性 NBS 所需的治理能力的基于过程的理解。为此,本文报告了十个欧洲城市的政策官员是如何开始将 NBS 纳入主流的,他们在尝试采用新的治理流程和机制来规划、实施和管理 NBS 时,与现有的治理安排进行了互动并改变了这些安排。根据政策官员的这些活动,分析确定了三项战略、相关的垫脚石和治理条件的变化,以将国家基 础设施纳入治理能力的主流:制度化 (a) 系统方法,将国家基础结构与跨目标和跨部门的政策、规 章和部门联系起来,(b) 为本地化和包容性干预措施开展包容性合作,以及 (c) 反思和学习国家基 础设施如何与(制度、生态、社会等)环境互动并产生影响。这些战略说明了在与现有治理环境互动时的机构创业精神,以及从国家统计系统作为一种系统创新类型出发如何能够促进城市治理安排的更广泛转变。
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引用次数: 0
Projecting spatial interactions between global population and land use changes in the 21st century 预测 21 世纪全球人口与土地利用变化之间的空间相互作用
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-04 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00131-y
Di Yang, Wei-Xin Luan, Xiaoling Zhang
Previous research on global urban land expansion has primarily focused on accommodating the growing population without adequately considering the trade-offs between urban land and ecological services. Consequently, it is important to investigate the effect of this expansion on the ecological service system, while also examining the potential trade-offs between population growth and available urban land. Here, we quantify how different global land expansion options contribute to reconciling global population changes and to compliance with the UN Sustainable Development Goal 11 on sustainable cities and human settlements. Using an integrated framework for projecting global land consumption with the trade-off strategy between global land expansion and population under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), we aim to bridge the knowledge gap in this area. The results of our study suggest that implementing a trade-off strategy between global land expansion and population growth can successfully reduce the levels of global land consumption in the future. Under the SSP1 scenario, for instance, our findings indicate that implementing trade-off policies can significantly reduce land consumption while increasing carbon sinks and protecting the global ecological service system. Specifically, converting land to forest or grassland can help decrease land consumption by 8.07% by the end of the 21st century. These insights can be valuable in designing land use policies that incorporate data-based solutions and address the challenges of sustainable urban development while also accommodating population growth.
以往关于全球城市用地扩张的研究主要集中在如何容纳不断增长的人口,而没有充分考虑城市用地与生态服务之间的权衡。因此,研究这种扩张对生态服务系统的影响,同时研究人口增长与可用城市用地之间的潜在权衡非常重要。在此,我们量化了不同的全球土地扩张方案对协调全球人口变化和实现联合国可持续发展目标 11(可持续城市和人类住区)的贡献。我们采用综合框架预测全球土地消耗,并在共同的社会经济路径(SSP)下制定全球土地扩张与人口之间的权衡策略,旨在弥补这一领域的知识差距。我们的研究结果表明,在全球土地扩张和人口增长之间实施权衡战略可以成功降低未来全球土地消耗水平。例如,在 SSP1 情景下,我们的研究结果表明,实施权衡政策可以大幅减少土地消耗,同时增加碳汇,保护全球生态服务系统。具体来说,到 21 世纪末,将土地转化为森林或草地可帮助减少 8.07% 的土地消耗。这些见解对于设计土地利用政策非常有价值,这些政策既能纳入基于数据的解决方案,又能应对城市可持续发展的挑战,同时还能适应人口增长。
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引用次数: 0
Urban metabolic flow in China’s megacities doubled by material stock accumulation since the 21st century 21 世纪以来,中国特大城市的城市代谢流量因物质存量积累而翻了一番
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00132-x
Chenling Fu, Tianjie Deng, Yan Zhang
Buildings, infrastructure, and durable goods play a critical role in urbanization, akin to bones and muscles that structure the human body. These stocks contribute to the exploitation of over half of the world’s resources and offer potential “urban mining” sources. However, the process of resource transformation regarding urban material stock growth and material flow alteration remains unclear. The metaphor of urban metabolism provides a new perspective to dissect this process, but current studies often spotlight only specific fragments, such as certain end-use types or materials. This study bridges this gap by establishing a comprehensive level-to-level analysis of urban “bone-muscle” metabolism in China’s megacities. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of urban metabolism in China’s megacities, tracking the lifecycle of material stock across over a hundred distinct end-use types and 12 categories of materials. Results indicate that annual metabolic flow in these cities has doubled since the early 21st century, reaching 264–737 Mt in 2018, with manufacturing, construction, and transportation as primary drivers. As accumulation intensifies, the material stock’s growth rate diminishes logarithmically, hinting at increased efficiency and a move towards a steady state. Concurrently, scrap flow is on the rise. Driven by population growth, per capita scrap is projected to reach 2.0–4.7 t/cap by 2035, and material stock is expected to rise 1.4–2 fold. Proactive population planning and coordinated development strategies can mitigate the risks associated with this growth and maintain urban system stability.
建筑、基础设施和耐用品在城市化进程中发挥着至关重要的作用,就像构成人体的骨骼和肌肉一样。这些存量有助于开发世界上一半以上的资源,并提供了潜在的 "城市采矿 "来源。然而,有关城市物质存量增长和物质流改变的资源转化过程仍不清楚。城市新陈代谢的隐喻为剖析这一过程提供了新的视角,但目前的研究往往只关注特定的片段,如某些最终用途类型或材料。本研究通过对中国特大城市的城市 "骨骼-肌肉 "新陈代谢进行全面的逐层分析,弥补了这一空白。本研究对中国特大城市的城市新陈代谢进行了全面分析,追踪了百余种不同最终用途类型和 12 类材料的生命周期。结果表明,自 21 世纪初以来,这些城市的年代谢流量翻了一番,2018 年达到 2.64-737 亿吨,其中制造业、建筑业和交通运输业是主要驱动力。随着积累的加剧,物质存量的增长率呈对数递减,暗示着效率的提高和向稳定状态的迈进。与此同时,废料流也在增加。在人口增长的推动下,预计到 2035 年,人均废料量将达到 2.0-4.7 吨/瓶,材料存量预计将增加 1.4-2 倍。积极的人口规划和协调的发展战略可以降低与这种增长相关的风险,并保持城市系统的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Covid, cities, and sustainability: a reflection on the legacy of a global pandemic Covid、城市和可持续性:对全球大流行病遗留问题的思考
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00130-z
Peter Newman
Covid is fading into history in our cities around the world, but its implications are still worth reflecting upon. This special collection called “Covid, Cities and Sustainability” in npj Urban Sustainability has been a pleasure to encourage and edit for the reflections it has provided.
在世界各地的城市中,Covid 逐渐成为历史,但其影响仍值得我们反思。npj Urban Sustainability》上这本名为 "Covid、城市与可持续性 "的特别文集为我们提供了反思的机会,我们很高兴能够鼓励并编辑这本文集。
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引用次数: 0
U.S. cities’ integration and evaluation of equity considerations into climate action plans 美国城市将公平因素纳入气候行动计划并对其进行评估
Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1038/s42949-023-00129-6
Holly Caggiano, Diren Kocakuşak, Pranay Kumar, Melissa O. Tier
While cities in the United States play an active role developing and implementing climate policy, urban centers are often sites of socio-spatial inequity. Thus, we explore how cities grapple with these inequities in their Climate Action Plans (CAPs). While CAPs can empower cities to engage in equitable planning practices that prioritize marginalized communities, little empirical research examines how equity goals are measured and evaluated. We find that among large U.S. cities with CAPs, less than one third include measurable indicators to evaluate progress towards achieving equity goals. Across climate adaptation and mitigation planning, nineteen cities consider equity goals as they relate to ten thematic areas, six outcomes, and five dimensions of equity. We suggest ways forward for cities to develop, implement, and measure a diverse and holistic set of equity indicators to use in their climate planning efforts and beyond.
尽管美国的城市在制定和实施气候政策方面发挥着积极作用,但城市中心往往是社会空间不平等的场所。因此,我们探讨了城市如何在其气候行动计划(CAP)中应对这些不平等现象。虽然气候行动计划可以使城市参与公平的规划实践,优先考虑边缘化社区,但很少有实证研究探讨如何衡量和评估公平目标。我们发现,在制定了 CAP 的美国大城市中,只有不到三分之一的城市制定了可衡量的指标来评估实现公平目标的进展情况。在气候适应和减缓规划中,19 个城市考虑了与 10 个主题领域、6 项成果和 5 个公平维度相关的公平目标。我们建议各城市在制定、实施和衡量其气候规划工作及其他工作中使用的一系列多样化、整体性的公平指标时,应采取哪些方法。
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引用次数: 0
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npj urban sustainability
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