<p>To The Editor</p><p>In an article in this journal published recently,<span><sup>1</sup></span> Drs. Daly, Kepp, and Imbimbo discussed the question as to whether the anti-amyloid beta monoclonal antibodies lecanemab and donanemab effectively modify the natural history of disease in patients with early Alzheimer's disease (AD). Based on their analysis of results obtained from two large clinical trials of these drugs carried out over an 18 -month period,<span><sup>2, 3</sup></span> Daly, Kepp, and Imbimbo concluded that there is not yet strong evidence for claiming a modification of the natural history of the disease by these drugs. In particular, they point out that while both drugs greatly reduced brain amyloid plaques in patients with AD as well as led to statistically significant reductions in the rate of cognitive decline in patients treated with the drugs compared to the placebo group, these clinical benefits were modest. Furthermore, both drugs are associated with significant adverse effects. In particular, donanemab was associated with increased risks of amyloid-related imaging abnormalities and brain volume loss.<span><sup>3, 4</sup></span></p><p>A further question concerning the results of these clinical trials is the degree of individual variability in the observed changes in cognition in patients treated with either drug or placebo. In the case of the study by Sims et al.,<span><sup>3</sup></span> the integrated Alzheimer's Disease Rating Scale (iADRS) score after 76 weeks of donanemab treatment decreased by a mean of 10.2 units in the 583 patients who completed the trial, with 95% confidence limits of 11.22 and 9.16. Given that 95% confidence limits are close to ± 2 standard errors of the mean (SEM), the SEM for this group is calculated as 0.53. Further, given an <i>n</i> value of 583, the standard deviation (SD) is 12.69 (as calculated from the formula SEM = SD divided by the square root of <i>n</i>). In the placebo group, the iADRS score after 76 weeks decreased by a mean of 13.1, with 95% confidence limits of 14.10 and 12.13. There were 653 patients in this group. By the same method as above, the SD for the placebo group is calculated as 12.84. As shown in Figure 1A, there is considerable overlap between the donanemab and placebo groups in the change in iADRS score after 76 weeks.</p><p>Given that the iADRS is a combination of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog, which itself is the sum of several components) and the Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study–instrumental Activities of Daily Living (ADCS-iADL), it is reasonable to assume that the change in iADRS is normally distributed. Based on this assumption, the distribution of this variate for the donanemab group would be as shown in Figure 1B (mean value −10.2, SD 12.69). The mean score for the placebo group (−13.1) is also shown in Figure 1B. From the properties of the normal distribution, it follows that 59.0% of patients in the donanemab group
{"title":"Variability of cognitive changes after donanemab treatment","authors":"Roger A. L. Dampney","doi":"10.1002/alz.14576","DOIUrl":"10.1002/alz.14576","url":null,"abstract":"<p>To The Editor</p><p>In an article in this journal published recently,<span><sup>1</sup></span> Drs. Daly, Kepp, and Imbimbo discussed the question as to whether the anti-amyloid beta monoclonal antibodies lecanemab and donanemab effectively modify the natural history of disease in patients with early Alzheimer's disease (AD). Based on their analysis of results obtained from two large clinical trials of these drugs carried out over an 18 -month period,<span><sup>2, 3</sup></span> Daly, Kepp, and Imbimbo concluded that there is not yet strong evidence for claiming a modification of the natural history of the disease by these drugs. In particular, they point out that while both drugs greatly reduced brain amyloid plaques in patients with AD as well as led to statistically significant reductions in the rate of cognitive decline in patients treated with the drugs compared to the placebo group, these clinical benefits were modest. Furthermore, both drugs are associated with significant adverse effects. In particular, donanemab was associated with increased risks of amyloid-related imaging abnormalities and brain volume loss.<span><sup>3, 4</sup></span></p><p>A further question concerning the results of these clinical trials is the degree of individual variability in the observed changes in cognition in patients treated with either drug or placebo. In the case of the study by Sims et al.,<span><sup>3</sup></span> the integrated Alzheimer's Disease Rating Scale (iADRS) score after 76 weeks of donanemab treatment decreased by a mean of 10.2 units in the 583 patients who completed the trial, with 95% confidence limits of 11.22 and 9.16. Given that 95% confidence limits are close to ± 2 standard errors of the mean (SEM), the SEM for this group is calculated as 0.53. Further, given an <i>n</i> value of 583, the standard deviation (SD) is 12.69 (as calculated from the formula SEM = SD divided by the square root of <i>n</i>). In the placebo group, the iADRS score after 76 weeks decreased by a mean of 13.1, with 95% confidence limits of 14.10 and 12.13. There were 653 patients in this group. By the same method as above, the SD for the placebo group is calculated as 12.84. As shown in Figure 1A, there is considerable overlap between the donanemab and placebo groups in the change in iADRS score after 76 weeks.</p><p>Given that the iADRS is a combination of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog, which itself is the sum of several components) and the Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study–instrumental Activities of Daily Living (ADCS-iADL), it is reasonable to assume that the change in iADRS is normally distributed. Based on this assumption, the distribution of this variate for the donanemab group would be as shown in Figure 1B (mean value −10.2, SD 12.69). The mean score for the placebo group (−13.1) is also shown in Figure 1B. From the properties of the normal distribution, it follows that 59.0% of patients in the donanemab group","PeriodicalId":7471,"journal":{"name":"Alzheimer's & Dementia","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":13.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/alz.14576","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143055311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}