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Improvements in maize N recommendations decreased carbon dioxide equivalence without sacrificing yield 改进玉米氮推荐量,在不影响产量的情况下降低二氧化碳当量
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21694
Dwarika Bhattarai, Sharon A. Clay, Thandiwe Nleya, Jason D. Clark, David E. Clay

Globally, agricultural scientists are challenged with creating, testing, and validating climate-smart nutrient strategies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions while increasing food security. This study determined maize (Zea mays L.) N recommendations and bias for N-rate studies conducted in South Dakota using models created for western Minnesota, Iowa, Eastern North Dakota, Nebraska, and South Dakota. From 2019 to 2021, 16 N rate studies were conducted in long-term no-tillage (>6 years) fields located in South Dakota. In the randomized block replicated study, the soils were mollisols that were derived in a semi-arid frigid environment. The economic optimum N rates were calculated using four fertilizer-to-maize grain price ratios (4.11, 5.48, 6.85, and 8.23 [$ (kg N)−1] [$ (kg grain)−1]−1). Analysis showed that reducing the yield goal coefficient used in the South Dakota model from 21.4 to 17.9 kg N (Mg grain)−1 reduced the recommended N rate but did not reduce yield. The reduced yield goal coefficient that considered the fertilizer-to-maize price ratio also reduced model root mean square error (RMSE), bias, and the estimated partial carbon dioxide equivalence (CO2e) by at least 18%. Nitrogen recommendation models developed for western Minnesota, Iowa, and South Dakota had similar RMSE, bias, and fertilizer recommendations, and adjusting the recommendation based on expected fertilizer cost and maize selling price improved accuracy. This study suggests that yield was not sacrificed by reducing the coefficients from 21.4 to 17.9 kg N (Mg grain)−1 and that recommendations are improved by considering the fertilizer-to-maize grain price ratio.

在全球范围内,农业科学家面临着制定、测试和验证气候智能型养分策略的挑战,这些策略既能减少温室气体排放,又能提高粮食安全。本研究利用为明尼苏达州西部、爱荷华州、北达科他州东部、内布拉斯加州和南达科他州创建的模型,确定了在南达科他州进行的玉米(Zea mays L.)氮率研究的氮推荐值和偏差。从 2019 年到 2021 年,在南达科他州的长期免耕(>6 年)田间进行了 16 次氮肥施用率研究。在随机区组重复研究中,土壤为源自半干旱寒带环境的软质壤土。采用四种肥料与玉米籽粒价格比(4.11、5.48、6.85 和 8.23 [美元(千克氮)-1] [美元(千克籽粒)-1]-1)计算出了经济上的最佳氮肥率。分析表明,将南达科他州模型中使用的产量目标系数从 21.4 千克氮(毫克谷物)-1 降至 17.9 千克氮(毫克谷物)-1,降低了推荐的氮用量,但并未减少产量。考虑到化肥与玉米价格比率的减产目标系数还将模型均方根误差 (RMSE)、偏差和估计的部分二氧化碳当量 (CO2e) 降低了至少 18%。为明尼苏达州西部、爱荷华州和南达科他州开发的氮推荐模型具有相似的均方根误差、偏差和肥料推荐,根据预期肥料成本和玉米售价调整推荐可提高准确性。这项研究表明,将系数从 21.4 降低到 17.9 千克氮(毫克谷物)-1 并没有牺牲产量,而且考虑肥料与玉米谷物价格的比率可以改进建议。
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引用次数: 0
Within-field variation of crop yield loss from cover crops 覆盖作物造成的作物产量损失的田间差异
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21696
Andrei I. Girz, Tuomas J. Mattila

The amount of high-resolution agricultural data has increased rapidly in the current decade. Integration of satellite multispectral imagery, combine harvester yield monitoring data, and soil moisture mapping allows managing for within-field variation and better interpreting on-farm experimentation. In this study, we investigated the effect of cover crops on yield in Finland by integrating Sentinel-2 satellite imagery (normalized difference vegetation index), topographic soil moisture indexes, and high-resolution yield data. The experiment was run by three farmers over 4 years and serves as an example for low-cost on-farm experimentation. Our results confirmed earlier findings that undersown cover crops result in approximately 5% yield loss. We also found that the effect is highly variable across farms and within fields. The highest yield losses were found in areas of the field, which were wetter in the spring seeding time. The competition between crop and cover crop could be observed in the vegetation maps for autumn and early summer. Combining NDVI and soil moisture maps allows delineating field zones, which require extra management to reduce the risk of yield loss from cover crop resource competition. Evaluating the overall effect of cover crops on yield would require replication on more farms. The within-field variation results and workflow investigated in this study can guide placement of sampling areas within those fields.

近十年来,高分辨率农业数据量迅速增加。将卫星多光谱图像、联合收割机产量监测数据和土壤水分绘图整合在一起,可以管理田间差异,更好地解释农场试验。在这项研究中,我们通过整合哨兵-2 卫星图像(归一化差异植被指数)、地形土壤水分指数和高分辨率产量数据,研究了覆盖作物对芬兰产量的影响。该实验由三位农民进行,历时四年,可作为低成本农场实验的范例。我们的结果证实了早先的发现,即播种不足的覆盖作物会导致约 5%的产量损失。我们还发现,这种影响在不同农场和不同田块之间存在很大差异。产量损失最大的是春季播种时较潮湿的田块。从秋季和初夏的植被图中可以观察到作物和覆盖作物之间的竞争。结合归一化差异植被指数和土壤湿度图,可以划分出需要额外管理的田间区域,以降低覆盖作物资源竞争造成的产量损失风险。要评估覆盖作物对产量的总体影响,需要在更多农场进行复制。本研究调查的田间变化结果和工作流程可以指导这些田块内取样区域的位置。
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引用次数: 0
Economic evaluation of corn relative maturity hybrids in corn–pennycress–soybean rotations 玉米-芹菜-大豆轮作中玉米相对成熟度杂交种的经济性评估
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21691
Yesuf Assen Mohammed, Russ W. Gesch, Samantha Wells, Nicholas J. Heller, Alexander J. Lindsey, Alexander W. Hard, Winthrop B. Phippen

This manuscript is a follow-up of previously published results that presented findings on pennycress (Thlaspi arvense L.) establishment and agronomics in response to previous corn (Zea mays L.) relative maturity (CRM) hybrids grown for grain and silage in the corn–pennycress–soybean [Glycine max (L.)] rotations. In this manuscript, we compared the economics of grain corn–pennycress–soybean rotations (grain rotation) with silage corn–pennycress–soybean rotations (silage rotation). The treatments were CRM hybrids ranging from 76 to 95 days (full season) at northern sites (Morris and Rosemount, MN) and 95 to 113 days (full season) at southern sites (Lexington, IL, and Custar, OH). Full-season corn harvested for silage was included as a control treatment representing optimum conditions for sowing pennycress. A partial budget procedure was used for economic analysis. The results showed that the annualized net benefits (ANBs) ranged from $315 to $945 ha−1. The silage rotation produced greater ANBs than the grain rotation at all sites due to increased pennycress seed yield. In the grain rotation, the 105 days in the south, 95 days corn at Morris, and 86 days corn at Rosemount resulted in minimal ANB losses compared with silage rotation. Among grain corn treatments, some of the early CRM hybrids resulted in greater ANBs (up to 40%) than the full season hybrid. Results demonstrate potential to integrate pennycress into a grain rotation using early CRM hybrids. In addition, valuing the diverse ecosystem benefits that pennycress offers as a cash cover crop during the offseason between corn and soybean rotation may help to attract growers.

本手稿是对以前发表的关于菥蓂(Thlaspi arvense L.)在玉米-菥蓂-大豆(Glycine max (L.))轮作的谷物和青贮玉米(Zea mays L.)相对成熟度(CRM)杂交种下的建立和农艺学反应的研究结果的后续。在本手稿中,我们比较了谷物玉米-菥蓂-大豆轮作(谷物轮作)与青贮玉米-菥蓂-大豆轮作(青贮轮作)的经济效益。在北部研究地点(明尼苏达州莫里斯市和罗斯蒙特市),处理为 76 至 95 天(全季)的 CRM 杂交品种;在南部研究地点(伊利诺伊州列克星敦市和俄亥俄州库斯塔市),处理为 95 至 113 天(全季)的 CRM 杂交品种。收获用于青贮的全季玉米作为对照处理,代表了菥蓂播种的最佳条件。经济分析采用了部分预算程序。结果表明,年化净效益(ANBs)从每公顷 315 美元到 945 美元不等。由于菥蓂种子产量增加,在所有地点,青贮轮作产生的年净收益都高于谷物轮作。在谷物轮作中,与青贮轮作相比,南部 105 天、莫里斯 95 天和罗斯蒙特 86 天的玉米轮作产生的 ANB 损失最小。在谷物玉米处理中,一些早期 CRM 杂交种比全季杂交种的 ANB 更大(高达 40%)。结果表明,使用早期 CRM 杂交种将菥蓂纳入谷物轮作中具有潜力。此外,在玉米和大豆轮作的淡季,菥蓂作为经济覆盖作物所带来的多种生态系统效益可能有助于吸引种植者。
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引用次数: 0
Wild introgression as an effective tool for aiding the expansion and adaptation of cultivated safflower 野生引种是帮助扩大和适应栽培红花的有效工具
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21693
Mohammad Mahdi Majidi, Fatemeh Pirnajmedin, Soheila Espanani

Safflower is a multipurpose crop grown in different regions, mainly for its high oil quality. Crop wild relatives serve as a valuable reservoir of genes that have been depleted due to evolutionary bottlenecks, which are poorly applied in safflower. During the last decade, we developed three populations from hybridization of safflower with its wild relatives and selected the superior lines to develop new varieties. From each of three different interspecific populations (TP: Carthamus tinctorius × Carthamus palaestinus, PO: C. palaestinus × Carthamus oxyacantha, and TO: C. tinctorius × C. oxyacantha), 10 genotypes were selected (a total of 30 lines) in the “F8” generation and were evaluated along with their parents (T, P, and O) and one control cultivar (Golsfid) at the field during 2019–2022 to assess genetic variation, estimate genetic parameters, and evaluate the stability. Considerable genetic variability for oil, seed yield, and other agronomic traits between and within the interspecific populations suggests the high potential of these new recombinant lines for introducing beneficial alleles. Our results indicated that recombinant inbred lines derived from the hybridization of TP were superior in terms of seed yield, oil content, and stability parameters. The use of stability indices of Wricke, Lin and Binns, Eberhart and Russell, and HMRPGVi, along with the biplot analysis, allowed the identification of preferable and stable safflower genotypes. Moderately high values of heritability were found for yield-related traits. New recombinant lines can be introduced to the safflower gene pool to improve the genetic base of this valuable oil seed crop.

红花是一种多用途作物,在不同地区均有种植,主要是为了获得高品质的油脂。农作物野生近缘种是一个宝贵的基因库,但由于进化瓶颈,这些基因已经枯竭,而这些基因在红花中的应用却很少。过去十年间,我们从红花与其野生近缘植物的杂交中培育出了三个种群,并选择其中的优良品系培育新品种。从三个不同的种间群体(TP:Carthamus tinctorius × Carthamus palaestinus,PO:C. palaestinus × Carthamus oxyacantha,TO:在 "F8 "代中选择了 10 个基因型(共 30 个品系),并在 2019-2022 年期间与其亲本(T、P 和 O)和一个对照栽培品种(Golsfid)一起在田间进行评估,以评估遗传变异、估计遗传参数并评价稳定性。在种间群体之间和种间群体内部,油分、种子产量和其他农艺性状具有相当大的遗传变异,这表明这些新的重组品系具有引入有益等位基因的巨大潜力。我们的研究结果表明,由 TP 杂交产生的重组近交系在种子产量、含油量和稳定性参数方面更胜一筹。利用 Wricke、Lin 和 Binns、Eberhart 和 Russell 以及 HMRPGVi 的稳定性指数,再加上双图分析,可以鉴定出优选的稳定红花基因型。发现产量相关性状的遗传力值中等偏高。可将新的重组品系引入红花基因库,以改善这种宝贵的油料作物的遗传基础。
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引用次数: 0
Auxin injury on cotton, I: Aerial reflectance data, crop injury, and yield 棉花的叶绿素伤害,I:航空反射数据、作物伤害和产量
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21698
Savana Denton, Tyson Raper, Darrin Dodds, Chris Main, Lori Duncan, Thomas Mueller

Synthetic auxin herbicide movement onto sensitive cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) cultivars has impacted many US cotton hectares. The spatial scope and severity of auxin damage in-season is typically estimated by an agronomist. The use of remote sensing technology has the potential to objectively quantify the spatial scope and severity of auxin damage. Experiments were conducted in 2019, 2020, and 2021 in Grand Junction, TN, to determine: (1) the effect of reflectance data collection timing; (2) the effect of auxin exposure timing; (3) the value of near infrared and red-edge (RE) reflectance versus reflectance within the visible spectrum data; and (4) if/how visual injury relates to aerial reflectance data. Applications of 2,4-D or dicamba were made to susceptible cotton cultivars at 1X, 1/4X, 1/16X, 1/64X, 1/256X, and 1/1024X rates at either matchhead square (MHS) or 2 weeks after first bloom (FB+2WK). Non-treated controls were also included for each application timing. Aerial reflectance data were collected 7, 14, 21, and 28 days after application. Unsupervised classification of images into pixels with and without vegetation did not increase correlations between vegetation indices (VIs) and application rate. Although Vis, which generated the strongest correlations with application rate, visual injury, and relative lint yield, were generally RE based, similar correlations were also noted with visible spectrum VIs. Correlations were greater when auxin injury occurred at MHS than FB+2WK. Results suggest reflectance measured within the visible spectrum can quantify the scope and severity of auxin injury if the injury occurs early during the growing season.

合成助剂除草剂迁移到敏感的棉花(Gossypium hirsutum L.)栽培品种上,对许多美国棉花公顷造成了影响。农艺师通常会估计当季助剂损害的空间范围和严重程度。遥感技术的使用有可能客观地量化辅助素危害的空间范围和严重程度。2019 年、2020 年和 2021 年在田纳西州大交界地区进行了实验,以确定:(1) 反射率数据收集时间的影响;(2) 助剂暴露时间的影响;(3) 近红外和红边(RE)反射率与可见光谱内反射率数据的价值;以及 (4) 视觉损伤是否/如何与航空反射率数据相关。以 1X、1/4X、1/16X、1/64X、1/256X 和 1/1024X 的剂量在火柴头方格(MHS)或第一次开花后 2 周(FB+2WK)对易感棉花品种施用 2,4-D 或麦草畏。每个施药时间还包括未施药对照。在施药后 7、14、21 和 28 天收集航空反射率数据。将图像无监督分类为有植被和无植被像素并不能提高植被指数(VI)与施药量之间的相关性。虽然与施肥量、视觉损伤和相对皮棉产量相关性最强的植被指数通常以 RE 为基础,但可见光谱植被指数也有类似的相关性。当辅助素伤害发生在 MHS 而不是 FB+2WK 时,相关性更大。结果表明,如果在生长季节早期发生伤害,在可见光谱内测量的反射率可以量化辅助素伤害的范围和严重程度。
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引用次数: 0
RGB-based indices for estimating cover crop biomass, nitrogen content, and carbon:nitrogen ratio 用于估算覆盖作物生物量、氮含量和碳氮比的基于 RGB 的指数
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21657
Lucas Rosen, Patrick M. Ewing, Bryan C. Runck

Plant cover and biochemical composition are essential parameters for evaluating cover crop management. Destructive sampling or estimates with aerial imagery require substantial labor, time, expertise, or instrumentation cost. Using low-cost consumer and mobile phone cameras to estimate plant canopy coverage and biochemical composition could broaden the use of high-throughput technologies in research and crop management. Here, we estimated canopy development, tissue nitrogen, and biomass of medium red clover (Trifolium pratense L.), a perennial forage legume and common cover crop, using red-green-blue (RGB) indices collected with standard settings in non-standardized field conditions. Pixels were classified as plant or background using combinations of four RGB indices with both unsupervised machine learning and preset thresholds. The excess green minus red (ExGR) index with a preset threshold of zero was the best index and threshold combination. It correctly identified pixels as plant or background 86.25% of the time. This combination also provided accurate estimates of crop growth and quality: Canopy coverage correlated with red clover biomass (R2 = 0.554, root mean square error [RMSE] = 219.29 kg ha−1), and ExGR index values of vegetation pixels were highly correlated with clover nitrogen content (R2 = 0.573, RMSE = 3.5 g kg−1) and carbon:nitrogen ratio (R2 = 0.574, RMSE = 1.29 g g−1). Data collection were simple to implement and stable across imaging conditions. Pending testing across different sensors, sites, and crop species, this method contributes to a growing and open set of decision support tools for agricultural research and management.

植物覆盖率和生化成分是评估覆盖作物管理的基本参数。破坏性取样或利用航空图像进行估算需要大量的人力、时间、专业知识或仪器成本。使用低成本的消费类相机和手机相机估算植物冠层覆盖率和生化成分,可以扩大高通量技术在研究和作物管理中的应用。在此,我们利用在非标准化田间条件下使用标准设置采集的红-绿-蓝(RGB)指数,估算了中型红三叶草(Trifolium pratense L.)(一种多年生牧草豆科植物和常见的覆盖作物)的冠层发育、组织氮和生物量。利用无监督机器学习和预设阈值的四种 RGB 指数组合,将像素分类为植物或背景。预设阈值为零的过量绿色减去红色(ExGR)指数是最佳的指数和阈值组合。在 86.25% 的情况下,它能正确识别像素是植物还是背景。这一组合还能准确估计作物的生长情况和质量:冠层覆盖率与红三叶草生物量相关(R2 = 0.554,均方根误差 [RMSE] = 219.29 kg ha-1),植被像素的 ExGR 指数值与三叶草氮含量(R2 = 0.573,均方根误差 = 3.5 g kg-1)和碳氮比(R2 = 0.574,均方根误差 = 1.29 g g-1)高度相关。数据采集简单易行,在不同成像条件下均保持稳定。在对不同传感器、地点和作物种类进行测试之前,该方法有助于为农业研究和管理提供一套不断增长的开放式决策支持工具。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the limitations of grain yield monitor technology to inform on-farm research 了解谷物产量监测技术的局限性,为农场研究提供依据
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21695
Alysa Gauci, John Fulton, Scott Shearer, David J. Barker, Elizabeth Hawkins, Alexander J. Lindsey

Yield monitoring technology (YM) is a valuable tool to evaluate crop performance in on-farm research (OFR). However, limited information exists on utilizing this technology to accurately inform OFR. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the ability of grain yield monitor mass flow sensors to detect changes in corn (Zea mays L.) yield for different plot lengths, provide a recommended minimum plot length to utilize YM in OFR, and determine if differences in estimating yield existed between YMs. Six treatment lengths that varied in distance of intentional yield differences (7.6, 15.2, 30.5, 61.0, 121.9, and 243.8 m) were created by alternating high-yield (202 kg N/ha application) and low-yield (0 kg N/ha application) plots. A total of four grain YMs with impact-style mass flow sensors were used within two commercially available combines. Yield comparisons were made between the plot combine and YMs to evaluate the accuracy of each technology for detecting the magnitude of yield change across lengths using analysis of variance and exponential regression curves. Results indicated that the mass flow sensors were not sensitive enough to detect quickly changing flow rates for alternating yield changes in small plot lengths. Minimum plot lengths ranged from 43 to 107 m depending on YM. Significant differences were observed between grain YMs from different manufacturers. Future work could evaluate the influence additional crops or smaller yield differences have on the optimum OFR plot length.

产量监测技术(YM)是评估农田研究(OFR)中作物表现的重要工具。然而,有关利用该技术为农田研究提供准确信息的资料却很有限。本研究的目的是评估谷物产量监测质量流量传感器检测不同地块长度的玉米(Zea mays L.)产量变化的能力,提供在农场研究中使用谷物产量监测技术的推荐最小地块长度,并确定不同谷物产量监测技术在估计产量方面是否存在差异。通过交替使用高产地块(每公顷施用 202 千克氮)和低产地块(每公顷施用 0 千克氮),创建了六种处理长度(7.6 米、15.2 米、30.5 米、61.0 米、121.9 米和 243.8 米),这些处理的有意产量差异距离各不相同。在两台市售联合收割机上共使用了四个装有冲击式质量流量传感器的谷物 YM。在小区联合收割机和 YM 之间进行了产量比较,以评估每种技术利用方差分析和指数回归曲线检测不同长度产量变化幅度的准确性。结果表明,质量流量传感器的灵敏度不够,无法检测到在小地块长度上产量交替变化的快速流量变化。根据不同的 YM,最小小区长度从 43 米到 107 米不等。不同制造商生产的谷物 YM 之间存在显著差异。未来的工作可以评估更多作物或更小的产量差异对最佳 OFR 小区长度的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Organic wheat: Lessons learned and challenges remaining 有机小麦:经验与挑战
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21700
Patrick M. Carr

Wheat has been an important part of the human diet for millennia. The increase in demand for wheat grown organically in the United States and globally reflects the growing interest in organic food and food products. A symposium on organic wheat production was held during the annual meeting of the American Society of Agronomy in Baltimore, MD, during 2021. Presenters discussed the state-of-the-science on organic wheat research. Papers were solicited following the symposium for inclusion in this special section. As a result, five papers are included in this special section: four focus on organic wheat research in North America while one discusses results of a European study.

千百年来,小麦一直是人类饮食的重要组成部分。美国和全球对有机种植小麦的需求增加,反映了人们对有机食品和食品的兴趣与日俱增。2021 年在马里兰州巴尔的摩市举行的美国农艺学会年会期间,举办了有机小麦生产研讨会。发言者讨论了有机小麦研究的科学现状。研讨会后征集了论文以纳入本专栏。因此,本专栏收录了五篇论文:其中四篇侧重于北美的有机小麦研究,一篇讨论了欧洲的一项研究成果。
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引用次数: 0
Crop yield estimation uncertainties at the regional scale for Saxony, Germany 德国萨克森州区域范围内作物产量估算的不确定性
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21680
Sebastian Goihl

In times of climate change and global population growth, agricultural yield forecasts play an increasingly important role. For example, predicting yields as early as possible in the event of a drought is crucial for decision-makers in politics, government, and business. The aim of this study was to provide precise yield predictions at agricultural regions as early as possible with a minimum amount of weather data. Random forest models were used for this purpose. Although more than 290,000 datasets were available for analysis, all models tended to be heavily overfitting, which can be explained by the strong fragmentation of the input data by crop, region, and prediction time. The models reacted very differently to unknown datasets. It was found that the regionally trained models achieved lower (≥10%) relative root mean square errors (RRMSEs) than the supra-regionally trained models. Rapeseed and barley achieved good predictions. Wheat had good potential, too. Corn, potatoes, and sugar beet achieved often too high RRMSEs. The results showed that targeted model selection for each region and an extension of the training time series could enable very good regional yield forecasts for rapeseed and cereals in the future.

在气候变化和全球人口增长的时代,农业产量预测发挥着越来越重要的作用。例如,在发生干旱时尽早预测产量对政治、政府和企业决策者至关重要。本研究的目的是利用最少的气象数据尽早提供农业地区的精确产量预测。为此采用了随机森林模型。虽然有 29 万多个数据集可供分析,但所有模型都有严重的过拟合倾向,这可以用输入数据按作物、地区和预测时间高度分散来解释。这些模型对未知数据集的反应截然不同。研究发现,区域训练模型的相对均方根误差(RRMSE)低于超区域训练模型(≥10%)。油菜籽和大麦的预测结果良好。小麦也有很好的潜力。玉米、马铃薯和甜菜的 RRMSE 往往过高。结果表明,为每个地区选择有针对性的模型并扩展训练时间序列,可以在未来对油菜籽和谷物进行很好的地区产量预测。
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引用次数: 0
Yield gap analysis for rainfed grain sorghum in Kansas 堪萨斯州雨养谷物高粱产量差距分析
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.21684
Sarah Sexton-Bowser, Andres Patrignani

In the United States, grain sorghum [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench] production is concentrated in the US Great Plains region, with the state of Kansas accounting for ∼50% of the planted area. In Kansas, state-level grain yields steadily increased at a rate of 0.07 Mg ha−1 year−1 from 1957 to 1990. However, since 1990, sorghum yield trends across the United States and Kansas have been exhibiting signs of yield stagnation. The objectives of this study were to (1) quantify the magnitude of the yield gap and (2) identify possible reasons for yield stagnation of rainfed sorghum in Kansas. Current yield (Yc) was estimated as the average yield of the most recently reported 10 years. Maximum attainable yield (Ya) and water-limited potential yield (Yw) were estimated with a frontier yield function using an extensive dataset of crop performance trials, yield contest data, and county-level survey yield data totaling 2997 site-years. State-level Yc was 4.7 Mg ha−1, which represents 77% of Ya and 49% of Yw. At a regional level, there is a trend of increasing yield gap in central and western Kansas sorghum-producing regions. Sorghum yield in Kansas appears to be stagnant due to a small exploitable yield gap relative to Ya rather than Yw, a statewide shift in planting area to environments more vulnerable to water deficits, and cultivation in soils with moderate to severe limitations.

在美国,谷物高粱 [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench] 的生产主要集中在美国大平原地区,其中堪萨斯州的谷物高粱种植面积占总面积的 50%。从 1957 年到 1990 年,堪萨斯州的谷物产量以每年每公顷 0.07 兆克的速度稳步增长。然而,自 1990 年以来,全美和堪萨斯州的高粱产量趋势呈现出停滞不前的迹象。本研究的目标是:(1)量化产量差距的大小;(2)找出堪萨斯州雨养高粱产量停滞的可能原因。当前产量 (Yc) 是根据最近 10 年的平均产量估算的。最大可实现产量(Ya)和限水潜在产量(Yw)是通过前沿产量函数估算的,该函数使用了大量的作物表现试验数据、产量竞赛数据和县级产量调查数据,共计 2997 个地点年。州级 Yc 为 4.7 兆克/公顷-1,占 Ya 的 77% 和 Yw 的 49%。从地区层面来看,堪萨斯州中部和西部高粱产区的产量差距呈扩大趋势。堪萨斯州的高粱产量似乎停滞不前,这是因为相对于 Ya 而非 Yw 而言,可利用的产量差距较小;全州的种植面积向更易受缺水影响的环境转移;以及在中度至严重缺水的土壤中种植高粱。
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Agronomy Journal
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