Udit Debangshi, Vaishali Sharda, Scott Dooley, Eric A. Adee, P. V. Vara Prasad, Gaurav Jha
Soybean (Glycine max L. Moench) yield is influenced by fluctuations in weather throughout the growing season and across the planting dates. Therefore, for growers, predicting soybean yield early in the season and addressing yield variability is essential for strategic decisions and resource utilization. The objective of our study was to capture soybean yield variability under three different planting dates (early, mid, and late), for two seeding rates (low, ∼247,100 and high, ∼370,650 seeds ha−1) and two maturity groups (MGs 3 and 4), using machine learning models to predict soybean yield. Agronomic and meteorological data from the Kansas Mesonet and high-resolution (3 m) PlanetScope satellite imagery were used to predict and address soybean yield variability. Results showed that early-planted soybeans have demonstrated higher mean yield potential with a higher coefficient of variation than mid- and late-planted soybeans. Therefore, to quantify and model this variability, four models, including Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), K-Nearest Neighbor, and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, were evaluated. The RF and AdaBoost algorithms performed comparatively better (R2: 0.79–0.80; root mean square error: 0.38–0.39 Mg ha−1; mean absolute error: 0.31 Mg ha−1; mean squared error: 0.14–0.15 Mg ha−1; mean absolute percentage error: 0.08%). Moreover, we have observed that the accuracy percentage (10% error threshold) and R2 were relatively higher as the crop matured, with the highest during the late vegetative and reproductive stages. This highlights the importance of in-season monitoring of the resources and market planning.
大豆(Glycine max L. Moench)的产量在整个生长季节和种植期间受到天气波动的影响。因此,对种植者来说,在季初预测大豆产量并解决产量变化问题对战略决策和资源利用至关重要。我们的研究目的是利用机器学习模型预测大豆产量,在三种不同的播种日期(早、中、晚)、两种播种率(低,~ 247,100粒和高,~ 370,650粒/公顷)和两种成熟度组(mg3和mg4)下,捕捉大豆产量的变化。来自堪萨斯州Mesonet的农艺和气象数据以及高分辨率(3米)PlanetScope卫星图像被用于预测和解决大豆产量的变化。结果表明,早播大豆的平均产量潜力和变异系数均高于中、晚播大豆。因此,为了量化和建模这种可变性,我们评估了四种模型,包括随机森林(RF)、自适应增强(AdaBoost)、k -最近邻和最小绝对收缩和选择算子。RF和AdaBoost算法表现相对较好(R2: 0.79-0.80;均方根误差:0.38-0.39 Mg ha - 1;平均绝对误差:0.31 Mg ha - 1;平均平方误差:0.14-0.15 Mg ha - 1;平均绝对百分比误差:0.08%)。此外,我们还观察到,随着作物的成熟,准确率(10%误差阈值)和R2相对较高,在营养后期和生殖阶段最高。这凸显了当季监测资源和市场规划的重要性。
{"title":"Evaluating the effect of planting dates on soybean yield using satellite and weather data","authors":"Udit Debangshi, Vaishali Sharda, Scott Dooley, Eric A. Adee, P. V. Vara Prasad, Gaurav Jha","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70228","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70228","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Soybean (<i>Glycine max</i> L. Moench) yield is influenced by fluctuations in weather throughout the growing season and across the planting dates. Therefore, for growers, predicting soybean yield early in the season and addressing yield variability is essential for strategic decisions and resource utilization. The objective of our study was to capture soybean yield variability under three different planting dates (early, mid, and late), for two seeding rates (low, ∼247,100 and high, ∼370,650 seeds ha<sup>−1</sup>) and two maturity groups (MGs 3 and 4), using machine learning models to predict soybean yield. Agronomic and meteorological data from the Kansas Mesonet and high-resolution (3 m) PlanetScope satellite imagery were used to predict and address soybean yield variability. Results showed that early-planted soybeans have demonstrated higher mean yield potential with a higher coefficient of variation than mid- and late-planted soybeans. Therefore, to quantify and model this variability, four models, including Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), K-Nearest Neighbor, and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, were evaluated. The RF and AdaBoost algorithms performed comparatively better (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>: 0.79–0.80; root mean square error: 0.38–0.39 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>; mean absolute error: 0.31 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>; mean squared error: 0.14–0.15 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>; mean absolute percentage error: 0.08%). Moreover, we have observed that the accuracy percentage (10% error threshold) and <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> were relatively higher as the crop matured, with the highest during the late vegetative and reproductive stages. This highlights the importance of in-season monitoring of the resources and market planning.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145824837","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nearly 1 billion ha of soils affected by salinization have been identified worldwide (8.7% of the planet's soils). These soils are mainly found in naturally arid or semi-arid environments. The map also shows that 20%–50% of irrigated soils across all continents are too saline. Thus, soil salinity is one of the most critical threats to food security. It adversely affects the growth and productivity of agricultural crops. Tomato is the most important horticultural plant and an essential annual crop for human food worldwide. The effects of salinity on tomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.) plants have been studied in recent years by several researchers. Attempts to improve tomato salinity tolerance through conventional breeding programs have had limited success due to the complexity of the trait. Thus, various cultural techniques, in addition to varietal selection, are applied to mitigate the harmful effects of salinity, such as seed pretreatments through priming methods, chemical fertilizers, and organic amendments like the use of beneficial soil microorganisms, including plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. This review paper provided valuable information on the behavior of tomato cultivars under saline conditions. The review also provides a synthetic overview of current and relevant scientific advances allowing the improvement of salinity tolerance of tomato plants. However, natural seed or soil treatments to combat salinization have not been widely developed. Nevertheless, the strategies developed in this review, combined with recent advances in emerging biotechnological solutions, could allow mitigating the effects of salinity on tomato plants.
{"title":"Salinity stress in plants and enhancing tomato tolerance: Insights from chemical and bio-organic fertilization, priming, and breeding approaches","authors":"Abdou Khadre Sane, Mariama Ngom, Oumar Ba, Aboubacry Kane, Mame Ourèye Sy","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70252","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70252","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Nearly 1 billion ha of soils affected by salinization have been identified worldwide (8.7% of the planet's soils). These soils are mainly found in naturally arid or semi-arid environments. The map also shows that 20%–50% of irrigated soils across all continents are too saline. Thus, soil salinity is one of the most critical threats to food security. It adversely affects the growth and productivity of agricultural crops. Tomato is the most important horticultural plant and an essential annual crop for human food worldwide. The effects of salinity on tomato (<i>Solanum lycopersicum</i> L.) plants have been studied in recent years by several researchers. Attempts to improve tomato salinity tolerance through conventional breeding programs have had limited success due to the complexity of the trait. Thus, various cultural techniques, in addition to varietal selection, are applied to mitigate the harmful effects of salinity, such as seed pretreatments through priming methods, chemical fertilizers, and organic amendments like the use of beneficial soil microorganisms, including plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. This review paper provided valuable information on the behavior of tomato cultivars under saline conditions. The review also provides a synthetic overview of current and relevant scientific advances allowing the improvement of salinity tolerance of tomato plants. However, natural seed or soil treatments to combat salinization have not been widely developed. Nevertheless, the strategies developed in this review, combined with recent advances in emerging biotechnological solutions, could allow mitigating the effects of salinity on tomato plants.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145852599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
While vegetation indices (VIs)-based machine learning (ML) techniques have been developed for predicting crop yield, limited research has focused on how VI selection impacts ML model predictions or on identifying optimal VI combinations. In this study, three ML models, including Distributed Random Forest (DRF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Deep Neural Network (DNN), were established to predict rice (Oryza sativa L.) yield using eight VIs: difference vegetation index (DVI), land surface wetness index, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference (red − blue)/(red + blue) vegetation index, ratio vegetation index (RVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), transformed vegetation index (TVI), and Keetch–Byram drought index (KBDI), extracted at five key growth stages: re-greening, tillering, stem elongation, preliminary heading, and full heading. The feature attribution method was used to quantify the relative contributions of input variables to yield predictions. The results are as follows: (1) The three ML models produce accurate rice yield predictions using DVI, NDVI, RVI, and SAVI, with root mean square error (RMSE) ranging from 174.80 to 291.83 kg/ha, R2 from 0.56 to 0.84, and Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) from 0.56 to 0.84. But three models produce poor predictions with KBDI, with RMSE ranging from 344.01 to 404.73 kg/ha, R2 from 0.31 to 0.44, and NSE from 0.14 to 0.38. (2) The DNN model performs better than the GBM and DRF models for rice yield prediction. (3) Note that 80% of the most important input variables are associated with the rice preliminary heading stage for the DNN models, whose importance values ranged from 0.65 to 1.00, and the average TVI at this growth stage is the most important variable. Therefore, the DNN technique, when integrated with VIs from the preliminary heading stage, is recommended for rice yield prediction.
{"title":"Rice yield predictions from remote sensing inputs in machine learning models","authors":"Jin Yu, Liangji Dong, Wenzhi Zeng, Guoqing Lei","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70254","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70254","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While vegetation indices (VIs)-based machine learning (ML) techniques have been developed for predicting crop yield, limited research has focused on how VI selection impacts ML model predictions or on identifying optimal VI combinations. In this study, three ML models, including Distributed Random Forest (DRF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Deep Neural Network (DNN), were established to predict rice (<i>Oryza sativa</i> L.) yield using eight VIs: difference vegetation index (DVI), land surface wetness index, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference (red − blue)/(red + blue) vegetation index, ratio vegetation index (RVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), transformed vegetation index (TVI), and Keetch–Byram drought index (KBDI), extracted at five key growth stages: re-greening, tillering, stem elongation, preliminary heading, and full heading. The feature attribution method was used to quantify the relative contributions of input variables to yield predictions. The results are as follows: (1) The three ML models produce accurate rice yield predictions using DVI, NDVI, RVI, and SAVI, with root mean square error (RMSE) ranging from 174.80 to 291.83 kg/ha, <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> from 0.56 to 0.84, and Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) from 0.56 to 0.84. But three models produce poor predictions with KBDI, with RMSE ranging from 344.01 to 404.73 kg/ha, <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> from 0.31 to 0.44, and NSE from 0.14 to 0.38. (2) The DNN model performs better than the GBM and DRF models for rice yield prediction. (3) Note that 80% of the most important input variables are associated with the rice preliminary heading stage for the DNN models, whose importance values ranged from 0.65 to 1.00, and the average TVI at this growth stage is the most important variable. Therefore, the DNN technique, when integrated with VIs from the preliminary heading stage, is recommended for rice yield prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145848171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study presents a comprehensive review of literature focused on technological interventions that enhance traditional agricultural farming and rural practices. It aims to highlight how modern technologies can be integrated with traditional farming methods to build more efficient, climate-resilient, and context-appropriate agricultural practices. The review is divided into two primary sources: (a) peer-reviewed research articles and (b) granted patents related to relevant technologies. A systematic keyword-based search was conducted using terms such as “Traditional farming practices” and “Agri-rural processes” across high-ranking academic directories. The selection of journals was based on their reputational ranking and subject relevance. A similar strategy was applied to the Derwent and XL Scout patent databases to track innovation trends supporting traditional agricultural systems. Each selected paper and patent was examined in detail to assess its significance, application scope, and contribution to sustainable rural development. The analysis identifies a range of technological innovations that can complement and enhance traditional agricultural farming practices. These interventions provide opportunities for improved efficiency, resilience, and sustainability, particularly in rural terrace farming. By analyzing both scientific literature and patented innovations, this work offers actionable insights for policymakers, researchers, and practitioners. It highlights how innovation can be balanced with tradition in rural transformation strategies. This study uniquely combines a comparative review of scientific research and patent analysis to explore the coexistence of tradition and technology. It contributes to the understanding of how innovation can be tailored to local practices and cultural heritage to foster inclusive and resilient agricultural development.
{"title":"Technological interventions to strengthen traditional agricultural practices in the Himalayan region: A literature and patent review","authors":"Gajendra Giri","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70241","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70241","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study presents a comprehensive review of literature focused on technological interventions that enhance traditional agricultural farming and rural practices. It aims to highlight how modern technologies can be integrated with traditional farming methods to build more efficient, climate-resilient, and context-appropriate agricultural practices. The review is divided into two primary sources: (a) peer-reviewed research articles and (b) granted patents related to relevant technologies. A systematic keyword-based search was conducted using terms such as “Traditional farming practices” and “Agri-rural processes” across high-ranking academic directories. The selection of journals was based on their reputational ranking and subject relevance. A similar strategy was applied to the Derwent and XL Scout patent databases to track innovation trends supporting traditional agricultural systems. Each selected paper and patent was examined in detail to assess its significance, application scope, and contribution to sustainable rural development. The analysis identifies a range of technological innovations that can complement and enhance traditional agricultural farming practices. These interventions provide opportunities for improved efficiency, resilience, and sustainability, particularly in rural terrace farming. By analyzing both scientific literature and patented innovations, this work offers actionable insights for policymakers, researchers, and practitioners. It highlights how innovation can be balanced with tradition in rural transformation strategies. This study uniquely combines a comparative review of scientific research and patent analysis to explore the coexistence of tradition and technology. It contributes to the understanding of how innovation can be tailored to local practices and cultural heritage to foster inclusive and resilient agricultural development.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145848277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Srinivasagan N. Subhashree, Rahul Goel, Manuel Marcaida III, Juan Carlos Ramos-Tanchez, Quirine M. Ketterings
On-farm research is important for estimating the performance of crop management practices under real-world conditions, offering localized insights that drive adoption. However, conventional research trial designs such as the randomized complete block design often fail to capture spatial variability and can be complex to implement on commercial farms. To address these limitations, the single-strip spatial evaluation approach (SSEA) was developed, allowing farmers to test treatments using a single-strip design while leveraging spatial yield data collected by harvester-mounted sensors for corn (Zea mays L.) grain and silage. In this approach, yield stability zones, generated from multi-year interpolated yield data, enable evaluation of treatment effects across different zones within the field. While the single-strip design may introduce spatial bias, this can be mitigated by replicating treatments across multiple fields. To improve accessibility, a web-based tool was developed that automates the analysis, generates confidence charts, and produces downloadable reports for farmer use. We describe the process and resources used for building the tool and present its functionality through a real-world single-strip case study. Developed with input from a statewide advisory committee, the tool includes zone distribution donut plots and a color-coded confidence chart with interpretations of spatial responses. By streamlining spatial data analysis and reporting, the SSEA web tool empowers farmers, farm advisors, and crop consultants to independently conduct on-farm trials, interpret treatment effects by zone, and make informed management decisions. The SSEA web tool represents a significant step toward spatially informed on-farm research and supports broader adoption of data-driven, site-specific agricultural practices.
{"title":"Enhancing on-farm research with a web-based single-strip spatial evaluation tool: Design, features, and applications","authors":"Srinivasagan N. Subhashree, Rahul Goel, Manuel Marcaida III, Juan Carlos Ramos-Tanchez, Quirine M. Ketterings","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70264","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70264","url":null,"abstract":"<p>On-farm research is important for estimating the performance of crop management practices under real-world conditions, offering localized insights that drive adoption. However, conventional research trial designs such as the randomized complete block design often fail to capture spatial variability and can be complex to implement on commercial farms. To address these limitations, the single-strip spatial evaluation approach (SSEA) was developed, allowing farmers to test treatments using a single-strip design while leveraging spatial yield data collected by harvester-mounted sensors for corn (<i>Zea mays</i> L.) grain and silage. In this approach, yield stability zones, generated from multi-year interpolated yield data, enable evaluation of treatment effects across different zones within the field. While the single-strip design may introduce spatial bias, this can be mitigated by replicating treatments across multiple fields. To improve accessibility, a web-based tool was developed that automates the analysis, generates confidence charts, and produces downloadable reports for farmer use. We describe the process and resources used for building the tool and present its functionality through a real-world single-strip case study. Developed with input from a statewide advisory committee, the tool includes zone distribution donut plots and a color-coded confidence chart with interpretations of spatial responses. By streamlining spatial data analysis and reporting, the SSEA web tool empowers farmers, farm advisors, and crop consultants to independently conduct on-farm trials, interpret treatment effects by zone, and make informed management decisions. The SSEA web tool represents a significant step toward spatially informed on-farm research and supports broader adoption of data-driven, site-specific agricultural practices.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145848278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Louis Longchamps, Phillip Lanza, Alexander Yore, Alicia McElwee, Marcelo Chan Fu Wei, Bernard Panneton, Daniel H. Buckley, Abdelkrim Lachgar, Matthew Thomas
This study explores how scientists can support on-farm experiments using analytical methods that align with farmers’ endogenous learning processes to inform their management decision. Four maize (Zea mays L.) farmers across 10 site-years in New York participated in this study to evaluate the effectiveness of a nitrogen-fixing inoculant (NFI) applied with a reduced side-dress nitrogen rate. Farmers designed and implemented their own experiments using a range of layouts, including side-by-side comparisons and strip trials. Two analytical approaches were compared: a quantitative yield analysis using spatial regression, and a causal pathway analysis based on mechanistic steps informed by field sampling (e.g., quantitative polymerase chain reaction detection of NFI organisms, nitrogen nutrition index, and yield). While yield data suggested positive or neutral treatment effects at all sites when simply comparing yield average, the spatial regression analysis and causal pathway analysis identified positive outcomes in only seven or four of 10 site-years, respectively, reflecting a more conservative interpretation of efficacy. Both methods provided consistent conclusions at four out of 10 site-years, demonstrating the contribution of metrics other than yield in the interpretation process. Findings suggest that simple causal diagrams can structure data collection and interpretation in ways aligned with farmers' goals. Supporting farmer experiments with digital agronomy, mechanistic reasoning, and site-specific data enhances learning outcomes and scientific rigor without requiring formal replication. This work contributes to the development of collaborative, scalable methodologies that integrate farmer knowledge and scientific analysis in on-farm experimentation.
{"title":"Strengthening farmer-led experiments through agronomic and causal inference frameworks","authors":"Louis Longchamps, Phillip Lanza, Alexander Yore, Alicia McElwee, Marcelo Chan Fu Wei, Bernard Panneton, Daniel H. Buckley, Abdelkrim Lachgar, Matthew Thomas","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70263","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70263","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study explores how scientists can support on-farm experiments using analytical methods that align with farmers’ endogenous learning processes to inform their management decision. Four maize (<i>Zea mays</i> L.) farmers across 10 site-years in New York participated in this study to evaluate the effectiveness of a nitrogen-fixing inoculant (NFI) applied with a reduced side-dress nitrogen rate. Farmers designed and implemented their own experiments using a range of layouts, including side-by-side comparisons and strip trials. Two analytical approaches were compared: a quantitative yield analysis using spatial regression, and a causal pathway analysis based on mechanistic steps informed by field sampling (e.g., quantitative polymerase chain reaction detection of NFI organisms, nitrogen nutrition index, and yield). While yield data suggested positive or neutral treatment effects at all sites when simply comparing yield average, the spatial regression analysis and causal pathway analysis identified positive outcomes in only seven or four of 10 site-years, respectively, reflecting a more conservative interpretation of efficacy. Both methods provided consistent conclusions at four out of 10 site-years, demonstrating the contribution of metrics other than yield in the interpretation process. Findings suggest that simple causal diagrams can structure data collection and interpretation in ways aligned with farmers' goals. Supporting farmer experiments with digital agronomy, mechanistic reasoning, and site-specific data enhances learning outcomes and scientific rigor without requiring formal replication. This work contributes to the development of collaborative, scalable methodologies that integrate farmer knowledge and scientific analysis in on-farm experimentation.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://acsess.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.70263","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145824526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Farmers often conduct unreplicated on-farm experiments (OFE) to evaluate management practices such as the application of plant growth regulators (PGR) in winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.). Traditional methods of comparing strip average yields, such as using weigh wagons or yield monitors, lack error estimates and are causally confounded by field variability. Prescription (Rx) maps with randomization and replication may reduce causal confounding but are not always feasible. We propose a methodology to improve causal inference from unreplicated strip trials using propensity score matching (PSM). PGR strip trials were implemented using growers’ fields and equipment at two sites. Yield data, topographic covariates, and soil properties were collected. Propensity scores were calculated and used to create weights for covariate balancing. Next, treatment effect estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each site using G-computation. Various benchmark models were included to compare the results of commonly implemented spatial models to the results from PSM. Spatial benchmark models showed evidence of spatial confounding, a purely statistical artifact rather than a causal effect. This artifact may alter treatment estimates and test statistics in strip trials where experimental units are not randomized throughout the field. PSM has potential to address the lack of replication and randomization in simple two-treatment strip trials. PSM can potentially increase accessibility to rigorous OFE and improve decision-making in agricultural practices, particularly in contexts where traditional experimental designs present barriers to participation.
{"title":"Improving causal inference from unreplicated on-farm strip trials with propensity score matching: Application to plant growth regulator effects in wheat","authors":"Caleb Niemeyer, John Sulik","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70260","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70260","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Farmers often conduct unreplicated on-farm experiments (OFE) to evaluate management practices such as the application of plant growth regulators (PGR) in winter wheat (<i>Triticum aestivum</i> L.). Traditional methods of comparing strip average yields, such as using weigh wagons or yield monitors, lack error estimates and are causally confounded by field variability. Prescription (Rx) maps with randomization and replication may reduce causal confounding but are not always feasible. We propose a methodology to improve causal inference from unreplicated strip trials using propensity score matching (PSM). PGR strip trials were implemented using growers’ fields and equipment at two sites. Yield data, topographic covariates, and soil properties were collected. Propensity scores were calculated and used to create weights for covariate balancing. Next, treatment effect estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each site using G-computation. Various benchmark models were included to compare the results of commonly implemented spatial models to the results from PSM. Spatial benchmark models showed evidence of spatial confounding, a purely statistical artifact rather than a causal effect. This artifact may alter treatment estimates and test statistics in strip trials where experimental units are not randomized throughout the field. PSM has potential to address the lack of replication and randomization in simple two-treatment strip trials. PSM can potentially increase accessibility to rigorous OFE and improve decision-making in agricultural practices, particularly in contexts where traditional experimental designs present barriers to participation.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://acsess.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.70260","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145848191","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Manuel Aguirre-Miguez, Ignacio Macedo, Pablo González-Barrios, Álvaro Roel, Jesús Castillo, Camila Bonilla-Cedréz, Alexander Bordagorri, José A. Terra
Understanding the long-term impacts of crop rotation systems on rice (Oryza sativa L.) yield and stability is key to redesigning agroecosystems, optimizing management, and refining sustainable intensification strategies. This study evaluated the impacts of the rotation system and the previous crops on irrigated rice yield and its stability over 9 years, using an RCB design experiment in Uruguay. Rotations were (1) Rice1-Rice2-Perennial Pasture (R-PP); (2) Rice-Biannual Pasture (R-BP); (3) Rice1-Soybean1-Soybean2-Rice2-Perennial Pasture (R-Sy-PP); (4) Rice1-Soybean-Rice2-Sorghum (R-Crops); (5) Rice-Soybean (R-Sy); and (6) continuous rice (CR), all with winter cover crops between grain crops. The highest yields were obtained in rotations including soybean (R-Sy, R-Sy-PP, R-Crops: 11.03 Mg ha−1), which were 7% and 15% higher than those including only pastures (R-BP and R-PP) and CR, respectively. However, the highest effect on yield and yield stability was observed by previous crops. Independently of rotation, rice following soybean had the greatest productivity (11.33 Mg ha−1), followed by rice after pastures (10.60 Mg ha−1), and rice after rice (9.46 Mg ha−1). These differences were amplified in high-yielding years, with rice after soybean (12.72 Mg ha−1) yielding 5%, 17%, and 22% more than after perennial pastures, biannual pastures, and rice, respectively. Soybean as a previous crop increased rice yield in all rotations but decreased yield stability as demonstrated by an environmental index combining four parameters. For rice-pasture systems in temperate climates, rotation intensification integrating soybean offers a viable strategy for increasing rice productivity, particularly in high-yielding years, despite lower yield stability.
了解轮作制度对水稻产量和稳定性的长期影响是重新设计农业生态系统、优化管理和完善可持续集约化战略的关键。本研究在乌拉圭采用RCB设计试验,评价了轮作制度和前代作物对9年灌溉水稻产量及其稳定性的影响。轮作为(1)水稻-水稻-多年生牧草(R-PP);(2)水稻-两年牧草(R-BP);(3)水稻-大豆-大豆-水稻-多年生牧草(R-Sy-PP);(4)水稻-大豆-水稻-高粱(R-Crops);(5)水稻-大豆(R-Sy);(6)连续稻(CR),在粮食作物之间都有冬季覆盖作物。轮作大豆(R-Sy、R-Sy- pp、r - crop: 11.03 Mg ha - 1)产量最高,分别比单作牧场(R-BP、R-PP)和单作CR增产7%和15%。然而,对产量和产量稳定性影响最大的是以前的作物。与轮作无关,大豆后稻的产量最高(11.33 Mg ha - 1),牧草后稻(10.60 Mg ha - 1)和水稻后稻(9.46 Mg ha - 1)次之。这些差异在高产年份被放大,大豆(12.72 Mg ha - 1)后水稻的产量分别比多年生牧草、两年牧草和水稻高5%、17%和22%。综合四个参数的环境指数表明,大豆作为前一种作物在所有轮作中都提高了水稻产量,但降低了产量稳定性。对于温带的水稻-牧场系统,尽管产量稳定性较低,但轮作集约化种植大豆是提高水稻生产力的可行策略,特别是在高产年份。
{"title":"Rice yield and yield stability in long-term rotations in temperate South America","authors":"Manuel Aguirre-Miguez, Ignacio Macedo, Pablo González-Barrios, Álvaro Roel, Jesús Castillo, Camila Bonilla-Cedréz, Alexander Bordagorri, José A. Terra","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70250","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70250","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding the long-term impacts of crop rotation systems on rice (<i>Oryza sativa</i> L.) yield and stability is key to redesigning agroecosystems, optimizing management, and refining sustainable intensification strategies. This study evaluated the impacts of the rotation system and the previous crops on irrigated rice yield and its stability over 9 years, using an RCB design experiment in Uruguay. Rotations were (1) Rice1-Rice2-Perennial Pasture (R-PP); (2) Rice-Biannual Pasture (R-BP); (3) Rice1-Soybean1-Soybean2-Rice2-Perennial Pasture (R-Sy-PP); (4) Rice1-Soybean-Rice2-Sorghum (R-Crops); (5) Rice-Soybean (R-Sy); and (6) continuous rice (CR), all with winter cover crops between grain crops. The highest yields were obtained in rotations including soybean (R-Sy, R-Sy-PP, R-Crops: 11.03 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>), which were 7% and 15% higher than those including only pastures (R-BP and R-PP) and CR, respectively. However, the highest effect on yield and yield stability was observed by previous crops. Independently of rotation, rice following soybean had the greatest productivity (11.33 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>), followed by rice after pastures (10.60 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>), and rice after rice (9.46 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>). These differences were amplified in high-yielding years, with rice after soybean (12.72 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>) yielding 5%, 17%, and 22% more than after perennial pastures, biannual pastures, and rice, respectively. Soybean as a previous crop increased rice yield in all rotations but decreased yield stability as demonstrated by an environmental index combining four parameters. For rice-pasture systems in temperate climates, rotation intensification integrating soybean offers a viable strategy for increasing rice productivity, particularly in high-yielding years, despite lower yield stability.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://acsess.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.70250","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kiran K. Mann, Rachel Fields, Sue Welham, Kate E. Storer, Susie E. Roques, Pete Berry, Brian R. Wade, Daniel Kindred, Candice Pienaar
Current food production challenges of soil degradation, rising demand, and climate change require a more holistic approach to crop nutrition. Scalable, multi-nutrient fertilizers that can enhance yield and reduce nutrient losses are a promising solution. Polyhalite is a natural mineral containing potassium (K), magnesium (Mg), calcium (Ca), and sulfur (S) that has multiple agronomic benefits. The main objective of this study was to combine evidence from hundreds of trials across different soils, crop species, and environments to quantify the yield response to polyhalite. Factors affecting the yield response to polyhalite, including soil K and S availability and crop species, were investigated. To compare polyhalite's performance with conventional fertilizers, we contrasted the results of restricted maximum likelihood meta-analysis, with and without the exclusion of outliers, with simpler comparisons of means and medians. The data included 921 replicated trials conducted on 47 crops across 33 countries over 10 years. Fertilizer programs based on polyhalite outperformed conventional fertilizers, with a 6.6% yield increase over nitrogen + phosphorus (NP) and 3.2% over nitrogen + phosphorus + potassium (NPK) controls for all the trials. For the trials that were responsive to K or S, this increase was 12.2% over NP and 4.8% over NPK controls. Polyhalite increased yields over NP control by 3.8%–16.3% across different crops, with the highest responses of 16.3% in sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum L.), 12.5% in vegetables, and 9.5% in potatoes (Solanum tuberosum L.). These results demonstrated polyhalite's consistent yield enhancement benefits as compared with conventional fertilizers across a range of soils, crops, and geographies.
{"title":"Meta-analysis of polyhalite's yield performance across diverse soil, crop, and environmental conditions","authors":"Kiran K. Mann, Rachel Fields, Sue Welham, Kate E. Storer, Susie E. Roques, Pete Berry, Brian R. Wade, Daniel Kindred, Candice Pienaar","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70259","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70259","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Current food production challenges of soil degradation, rising demand, and climate change require a more holistic approach to crop nutrition. Scalable, multi-nutrient fertilizers that can enhance yield and reduce nutrient losses are a promising solution. Polyhalite is a natural mineral containing potassium (K), magnesium (Mg), calcium (Ca), and sulfur (S) that has multiple agronomic benefits. The main objective of this study was to combine evidence from hundreds of trials across different soils, crop species, and environments to quantify the yield response to polyhalite. Factors affecting the yield response to polyhalite, including soil K and S availability and crop species, were investigated. To compare polyhalite's performance with conventional fertilizers, we contrasted the results of restricted maximum likelihood meta-analysis, with and without the exclusion of outliers, with simpler comparisons of means and medians. The data included 921 replicated trials conducted on 47 crops across 33 countries over 10 years. Fertilizer programs based on polyhalite outperformed conventional fertilizers, with a 6.6% yield increase over nitrogen + phosphorus (NP) and 3.2% over nitrogen + phosphorus + potassium (NPK) controls for all the trials. For the trials that were responsive to K or S, this increase was 12.2% over NP and 4.8% over NPK controls. Polyhalite increased yields over NP control by 3.8%–16.3% across different crops, with the highest responses of 16.3% in sugarcane (<i>Saccharum officinarum</i> L.), 12.5% in vegetables, and 9.5% in potatoes (<i>Solanum tuberosum</i> L.). These results demonstrated polyhalite's consistent yield enhancement benefits as compared with conventional fertilizers across a range of soils, crops, and geographies.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://acsess.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.70259","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Niraj Singh, Yong-Hong Liu, Dipayan Das, Nowsheen Shameem, Javid A. Parray, Wen Jun Li, Apurva Sharma, Snigdha Singh, Pankaj Kumar, Rozidaini Mohd Ghazi
Agriculture plays a vital role in global food security and economic stability. However, climate change and environmental stresses such as drought, salinity, and heavy metal toxicity threaten crop health. Abiotic stress causes 20%–50% of global yield losses annually by disrupting essential physiological processes, such as photosynthesis, nutrient uptake, and water absorption, ultimately hindering plant growth and leading to crop failure. Innovative strategies to enhance plant resilience and promote sustainable agriculture are essential. Nanotechnology offers promising solutions to mitigate abiotic stress and boost crop yields. Nanoparticles possess unique physicochemical properties, including high surface-area-to-volume ratios and the ability to penetrate biological membranes, which enables targeted nutrient delivery, enhanced stress tolerance, and improved photosynthesis. Nano-based agricultural products, including nano-fertilizers, pesticides, and herbicides, outperform conventional agrochemicals by offering greater efficiency with fewer environmental risks. Controlled-release nano-fertilizers ensure sustained nutrient availability, reducing leaching and pollution. For instance, nano-hydroxyapatite fertilizers prevent phosphorus fixation, while silica-based nano-fertilizers enhance nitrogen use efficiency and plant health. Advanced nano-delivery systems, such as nano-capsules and solid lipid NPs, enable precise pesticide release, minimizing waste and contamination. Carbon-based nano-fertilizers improve nutrient retention and reduce runoff. At the same time, silica nanoparticles (SiNPs) enhance drought tolerance, photosynthetic efficiency, and enzymatic activity, strengthening crop resilience. Despite its potential, further research is necessary to evaluate the long-term environmental impact, toxicity, regulatory challenges, and cost-effectiveness of nanotechnology. This review highlights the role of nanomaterials in mitigating abiotic stress, enhancing plant health, and ensuring sustainable food production in a changing climate.
{"title":"Nano-enabled strategies for plant stress management and sustainable crop production: A review","authors":"Niraj Singh, Yong-Hong Liu, Dipayan Das, Nowsheen Shameem, Javid A. Parray, Wen Jun Li, Apurva Sharma, Snigdha Singh, Pankaj Kumar, Rozidaini Mohd Ghazi","doi":"10.1002/agj2.70230","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70230","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Agriculture plays a vital role in global food security and economic stability. However, climate change and environmental stresses such as drought, salinity, and heavy metal toxicity threaten crop health. Abiotic stress causes 20%–50% of global yield losses annually by disrupting essential physiological processes, such as photosynthesis, nutrient uptake, and water absorption, ultimately hindering plant growth and leading to crop failure. Innovative strategies to enhance plant resilience and promote sustainable agriculture are essential. Nanotechnology offers promising solutions to mitigate abiotic stress and boost crop yields. Nanoparticles possess unique physicochemical properties, including high surface-area-to-volume ratios and the ability to penetrate biological membranes, which enables targeted nutrient delivery, enhanced stress tolerance, and improved photosynthesis. Nano-based agricultural products, including nano-fertilizers, pesticides, and herbicides, outperform conventional agrochemicals by offering greater efficiency with fewer environmental risks. Controlled-release nano-fertilizers ensure sustained nutrient availability, reducing leaching and pollution. For instance, nano-hydroxyapatite fertilizers prevent phosphorus fixation, while silica-based nano-fertilizers enhance nitrogen use efficiency and plant health. Advanced nano-delivery systems, such as nano-capsules and solid lipid NPs, enable precise pesticide release, minimizing waste and contamination. Carbon-based nano-fertilizers improve nutrient retention and reduce runoff. At the same time, silica nanoparticles (SiNPs) enhance drought tolerance, photosynthetic efficiency, and enzymatic activity, strengthening crop resilience. Despite its potential, further research is necessary to evaluate the long-term environmental impact, toxicity, regulatory challenges, and cost-effectiveness of nanotechnology. This review highlights the role of nanomaterials in mitigating abiotic stress, enhancing plant health, and ensuring sustainable food production in a changing climate.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"117 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}