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Diversification and intensification of irrigated maize-based cropping systems under Mediterranean conditions 地中海条件下以玉米为基础的灌溉种植系统的多样化和集约化
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70255
I. Zugasti-López, R. Isla, J. Cavero

Under Mediterranean irrigated conditions cover cropping (CC) and double cropping (DC) are diversification/intensification strategies that can increase grain yield and resource use efficiency of the traditional winter fallow-maize (Zea mays L.) system. Four cropping systems were evaluated in terms of productivity, water and nitrogen use efficiency (WUE and NUE) under sprinkler-irrigated conditions during three growing seasons in the Ebro Valley, Spain: (1) long-season maize with winter fallow (F-LSM), (2) long-season maize after a leguminous cover crop (common vetch, Vicia sativa L.) (CC-LSM), (3) short-season maize after a cereal crop (barley, Hordeum vulgare L.) (B-SSM), (4) short-season maize after a leguminous crop (winter peas, Pisum sativum L.) (P-SSM). The introduction of the vetch winter cover crop required an additional 5% irrigation water but allowed to reduce the nitrogen fertilizer applied by 20%, increasing the system grain yield synthetic nitrogen use efficiency (NUEsynt-g) by 27% without affecting the cropping system grain yield and WUE. DC systems required 12% more irrigation water than the traditional F-LSM but produced more grain. The B-SSM was the most productive system (21.9 Mg grain ha−1) and increased the WUE by 32% compared to the F-LSM system, but required a 39% more nitrogen fertilizer. Compared to the traditional F-LSM system, the P-SSM cropping system increased the grain yield (+16%), protein yield (+66%), NUEsynt-g (+20%), and the WUE (+10%). The diversification and intensification of the traditional F-LSM system increased yield (with the DC systems) and resource use efficiency (WUE with the DC systems; NUE with CC-LSM and P-SSM cropping systems).

在地中海灌溉条件下,复作(CC)和复作(DC)是提高传统冬休玉米(Zea mays L.)系统粮食产量和资源利用效率的多样化/集约化策略。以西班牙埃布罗河谷(Ebro Valley)为研究区,在喷灌条件下,采用4种种植制度(1)冬休长季玉米(F-LSM),(2)豆科覆盖作物(野豌豆、豇豆)后的长季玉米,对4种种植制度的生产力、水氮利用效率(WUE和NUE)进行了评价。(CC-LSM),(3)短季玉米后谷类作物(大麦,Hordeum vulgare L.)(B-SSM),(4)豆科作物后的短季玉米(冬豌豆,Pisum sativum L.)(P-SSM)。在不影响种植系统粮食产量和水分利用效率的情况下,引入紫薇冬季覆盖作物需要额外5%的灌溉水量,但可以减少20%的氮肥施用,使系统粮食产量合成氮利用效率(NUEsynt-g)提高27%。直流系统比传统的F-LSM多需要12%的灌溉用水,但产量更高。B-SSM是产量最高的制度(21.9 Mg粒ha - 1),与F-LSM制度相比,WUE提高了32%,但氮肥需用量增加了39%。与传统的F-LSM相比,P-SSM种植制度提高了籽粒产量(+16%)、蛋白质产量(+66%)、NUEsynt-g(+20%)和WUE(+10%)。传统F-LSM系统的多样化和集约化提高了产量(与DC系统)和资源利用效率(与DC系统的WUE, CC-LSM和P-SSM种植系统的NUE)。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “Irrigation frequency and mowing height influence annual bluegrass in perennial ryegrass” 对“灌溉频率和刈割高度对多年生黑麦草中一年生蓝草的影响”的修正
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-21 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70265

McNally, B. C., Elmore, M. T., Kowalewski, A. R., Braithwaite, E. T., & Cain, A. B. (2025). Irrigation frequency and mowing height influence annual bluegrass in perennial ryegrass. Agronomy Journal, 117, e70232. https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70232

North Brunswick, NJ was mistakenly placed in quotes throughout the article. It has now been corrected in the following places: in the second sentence of the abstract; in the caption of Table 1, and in the second sentence under Table 1's first footnote; in the fourth sentence under Section 3.1; in the captions of Tables 2, 3, 4, and 5; in the last sentence of the second paragraph under Section 3.3; and in the last sentence of first paragraph under Section 3.4.

Rutgers University Horticulture Farm No. 2 in North Brunswick, NJ was mistakenly placed in quotes in both the third sentence in Section 2.1 and the first sentence in Section 3.1.

In addition, in the last sentence in the fifth paragraph in the Introduction, in the fifth sentence under Section 3.1, and in the second to last sentence in the second paragraph in Section 3.4, New Jersey should not have been in quotes.

We apologize for these errors.

McNally, b.c., Elmore, m.t., Kowalewski, a.r., Braithwaite, e.t., & Cain, a.b.(2025)。灌溉频率和刈割高度对多年生黑麦草的一年生蓝草有影响。农学通报,2009,33(2):391 - 391。https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70232North Brunswick, NJ在整篇文章中都被错误地放在引号中。现在下列地方作了更正:摘要第二句;在表1的标题和表1第一个脚注下的第二句中;第3.1节第4句;在表2、3、4和5的标题中;3.3节第二段的最后一句;以及第3.4节第一段的最后一句。Rutgers University Horticulture Farm No. 2 in North Brunswick, NJ在第2.1节的第三句和第3.1节的第一句中都被错误地放在引号中。此外,在引言第5段的最后一句,章节3.1的第5句,章节3.4第二段的倒数第二句中,New Jersey不应该被加引号。我们为这些错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the effect of planting dates on soybean yield using satellite and weather data 利用卫星和气象资料评价播种日期对大豆产量的影响
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-21 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70228
Udit Debangshi, Vaishali Sharda, Scott Dooley, Eric A. Adee, P. V. Vara Prasad, Gaurav Jha

Soybean (Glycine max L. Moench) yield is influenced by fluctuations in weather throughout the growing season and across the planting dates. Therefore, for growers, predicting soybean yield early in the season and addressing yield variability is essential for strategic decisions and resource utilization. The objective of our study was to capture soybean yield variability under three different planting dates (early, mid, and late), for two seeding rates (low, ∼247,100 and high, ∼370,650 seeds ha−1) and two maturity groups (MGs 3 and 4), using machine learning models to predict soybean yield. Agronomic and meteorological data from the Kansas Mesonet and high-resolution (3 m) PlanetScope satellite imagery were used to predict and address soybean yield variability. Results showed that early-planted soybeans have demonstrated higher mean yield potential with a higher coefficient of variation than mid- and late-planted soybeans. Therefore, to quantify and model this variability, four models, including Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), K-Nearest Neighbor, and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, were evaluated. The RF and AdaBoost algorithms performed comparatively better (R2: 0.79–0.80; root mean square error: 0.38–0.39 Mg ha−1; mean absolute error: 0.31 Mg ha−1; mean squared error: 0.14–0.15 Mg ha−1; mean absolute percentage error: 0.08%). Moreover, we have observed that the accuracy percentage (10% error threshold) and R2 were relatively higher as the crop matured, with the highest during the late vegetative and reproductive stages. This highlights the importance of in-season monitoring of the resources and market planning.

大豆(Glycine max L. Moench)的产量在整个生长季节和种植期间受到天气波动的影响。因此,对种植者来说,在季初预测大豆产量并解决产量变化问题对战略决策和资源利用至关重要。我们的研究目的是利用机器学习模型预测大豆产量,在三种不同的播种日期(早、中、晚)、两种播种率(低,~ 247,100粒和高,~ 370,650粒/公顷)和两种成熟度组(mg3和mg4)下,捕捉大豆产量的变化。来自堪萨斯州Mesonet的农艺和气象数据以及高分辨率(3米)PlanetScope卫星图像被用于预测和解决大豆产量的变化。结果表明,早播大豆的平均产量潜力和变异系数均高于中、晚播大豆。因此,为了量化和建模这种可变性,我们评估了四种模型,包括随机森林(RF)、自适应增强(AdaBoost)、k -最近邻和最小绝对收缩和选择算子。RF和AdaBoost算法表现相对较好(R2: 0.79-0.80;均方根误差:0.38-0.39 Mg ha - 1;平均绝对误差:0.31 Mg ha - 1;平均平方误差:0.14-0.15 Mg ha - 1;平均绝对百分比误差:0.08%)。此外,我们还观察到,随着作物的成熟,准确率(10%误差阈值)和R2相对较高,在营养后期和生殖阶段最高。这凸显了当季监测资源和市场规划的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Salinity stress in plants and enhancing tomato tolerance: Insights from chemical and bio-organic fertilization, priming, and breeding approaches 植物的盐胁迫和提高番茄的耐盐性:从化学和生物有机肥、启动和育种方法的见解
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70252
Abdou Khadre Sane, Mariama Ngom, Oumar Ba, Aboubacry Kane, Mame Ourèye Sy

Nearly 1 billion ha of soils affected by salinization have been identified worldwide (8.7% of the planet's soils). These soils are mainly found in naturally arid or semi-arid environments. The map also shows that 20%–50% of irrigated soils across all continents are too saline. Thus, soil salinity is one of the most critical threats to food security. It adversely affects the growth and productivity of agricultural crops. Tomato is the most important horticultural plant and an essential annual crop for human food worldwide. The effects of salinity on tomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.) plants have been studied in recent years by several researchers. Attempts to improve tomato salinity tolerance through conventional breeding programs have had limited success due to the complexity of the trait. Thus, various cultural techniques, in addition to varietal selection, are applied to mitigate the harmful effects of salinity, such as seed pretreatments through priming methods, chemical fertilizers, and organic amendments like the use of beneficial soil microorganisms, including plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. This review paper provided valuable information on the behavior of tomato cultivars under saline conditions. The review also provides a synthetic overview of current and relevant scientific advances allowing the improvement of salinity tolerance of tomato plants. However, natural seed or soil treatments to combat salinization have not been widely developed. Nevertheless, the strategies developed in this review, combined with recent advances in emerging biotechnological solutions, could allow mitigating the effects of salinity on tomato plants.

全世界已确定有近10亿公顷的土壤受到盐碱化的影响(占地球土壤的8.7%)。这些土壤主要分布在自然干旱或半干旱的环境中。该地图还显示,各大洲20%-50%的灌溉土壤含盐量过高。因此,土壤盐分是对粮食安全最严重的威胁之一。它对农作物的生长和生产力产生不利影响。番茄是世界上最重要的园艺植物,也是人类食物的重要一年生作物。近年来,一些研究者研究了盐度对番茄植株的影响。由于性状的复杂性,通过传统育种计划提高番茄耐盐性的尝试收效甚微。因此,除了品种选择外,还应用了各种培养技术来减轻盐度的有害影响,例如通过启动方法对种子进行预处理,化肥和有机修正,如使用有益的土壤微生物,包括促进植物生长的根瘤菌和丛枝菌根真菌。本文综述了番茄品种在生理盐水条件下的表现。本文还综合综述了目前有关提高番茄耐盐性的科学进展。然而,对抗盐碱化的天然种子或土壤处理尚未得到广泛发展。然而,本综述中制定的策略,结合新兴生物技术解决方案的最新进展,可以减轻盐分对番茄植株的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Rice yield predictions from remote sensing inputs in machine learning models 机器学习模型中遥感输入的水稻产量预测
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70254
Jin Yu, Liangji Dong, Wenzhi Zeng, Guoqing Lei

While vegetation indices (VIs)-based machine learning (ML) techniques have been developed for predicting crop yield, limited research has focused on how VI selection impacts ML model predictions or on identifying optimal VI combinations. In this study, three ML models, including Distributed Random Forest (DRF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Deep Neural Network (DNN), were established to predict rice (Oryza sativa L.) yield using eight VIs: difference vegetation index (DVI), land surface wetness index, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference (red − blue)/(red + blue) vegetation index, ratio vegetation index (RVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), transformed vegetation index (TVI), and Keetch–Byram drought index (KBDI), extracted at five key growth stages: re-greening, tillering, stem elongation, preliminary heading, and full heading. The feature attribution method was used to quantify the relative contributions of input variables to yield predictions. The results are as follows: (1) The three ML models produce accurate rice yield predictions using DVI, NDVI, RVI, and SAVI, with root mean square error (RMSE) ranging from 174.80 to 291.83 kg/ha, R2 from 0.56 to 0.84, and Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) from 0.56 to 0.84. But three models produce poor predictions with KBDI, with RMSE ranging from 344.01 to 404.73 kg/ha, R2 from 0.31 to 0.44, and NSE from 0.14 to 0.38. (2) The DNN model performs better than the GBM and DRF models for rice yield prediction. (3) Note that 80% of the most important input variables are associated with the rice preliminary heading stage for the DNN models, whose importance values ranged from 0.65 to 1.00, and the average TVI at this growth stage is the most important variable. Therefore, the DNN technique, when integrated with VIs from the preliminary heading stage, is recommended for rice yield prediction.

虽然基于植被指数(VIs)的机器学习(ML)技术已被开发用于预测作物产量,但有限的研究集中在VI选择如何影响ML模型预测或识别最佳VI组合。本文建立了分布随机森林(DRF)、梯度增强机(GBM)和深度神经网络(DNN) 3种机器学习模型,利用8个VIs对水稻(Oryza sativa L.)产量进行预测。植被差异指数(DVI)、地表湿度指数、归一化植被差异指数(NDVI)、归一化(红-蓝)/(红+蓝)植被差异指数、比例植被指数(RVI)、土壤调整植被指数(SAVI)、转化植被指数(TVI)和Keetch-Byram干旱指数(KBDI),分别在复绿、分蘖、茎伸长、初抽穗和全抽穗五个关键生长阶段进行提取。特征归因方法用于量化输入变量的相对贡献,以产生预测。结果表明:(1)3种ML模型分别利用DVI、NDVI、RVI和SAVI对水稻产量进行准确预测,均方根误差(RMSE)在174.80 ~ 291.83 kg/ha之间,R2在0.56 ~ 0.84之间,Nash Sutcliffe效率(NSE)在0.56 ~ 0.84之间。但是有三种模型对KBDI的预测效果较差,RMSE在344.01 ~ 404.73 kg/ha之间,R2在0.31 ~ 0.44之间,NSE在0.14 ~ 0.38之间。(2) DNN模型对水稻产量的预测效果优于GBM和DRF模型。(3) DNN模型中80%最重要的输入变量与水稻初抽穗期相关,其重要值在0.65 ~ 1.00之间,该生育期的平均TVI是最重要的变量。因此,建议将DNN技术与抽穗期前期的VIs相结合,用于水稻产量预测。
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引用次数: 0
Technological interventions to strengthen traditional agricultural practices in the Himalayan region: A literature and patent review 加强喜马拉雅地区传统农业实践的技术干预:文献和专利审查
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70241
Gajendra Giri

This study presents a comprehensive review of literature focused on technological interventions that enhance traditional agricultural farming and rural practices. It aims to highlight how modern technologies can be integrated with traditional farming methods to build more efficient, climate-resilient, and context-appropriate agricultural practices. The review is divided into two primary sources: (a) peer-reviewed research articles and (b) granted patents related to relevant technologies. A systematic keyword-based search was conducted using terms such as “Traditional farming practices” and “Agri-rural processes” across high-ranking academic directories. The selection of journals was based on their reputational ranking and subject relevance. A similar strategy was applied to the Derwent and XL Scout patent databases to track innovation trends supporting traditional agricultural systems. Each selected paper and patent was examined in detail to assess its significance, application scope, and contribution to sustainable rural development. The analysis identifies a range of technological innovations that can complement and enhance traditional agricultural farming practices. These interventions provide opportunities for improved efficiency, resilience, and sustainability, particularly in rural terrace farming. By analyzing both scientific literature and patented innovations, this work offers actionable insights for policymakers, researchers, and practitioners. It highlights how innovation can be balanced with tradition in rural transformation strategies. This study uniquely combines a comparative review of scientific research and patent analysis to explore the coexistence of tradition and technology. It contributes to the understanding of how innovation can be tailored to local practices and cultural heritage to foster inclusive and resilient agricultural development.

本研究对有关技术干预提高传统农业和农村实践的文献进行了全面回顾。它旨在强调如何将现代技术与传统农业方法相结合,以建立更高效、更有气候适应性和更适合具体情况的农业实践。评审分为两个主要来源:(a)同行评审的研究文章和(b)与相关技术相关的授权专利。在高级学术目录中使用“传统农业实践”和“农业-农村过程”等术语进行了系统的基于关键字的搜索。期刊的选择是基于它们的声誉排名和学科相关性。类似的策略应用于Derwent和XL Scout专利数据库,以跟踪支持传统农业系统的创新趋势。对每一篇入选论文和专利进行了详细审查,以评估其重要性、应用范围和对农村可持续发展的贡献。该分析确定了一系列可以补充和加强传统农业耕作方式的技术创新。这些干预措施为提高效率、恢复力和可持续性提供了机会,特别是在农村梯田农业方面。通过分析科学文献和专利创新,这项工作为政策制定者、研究人员和从业者提供了可行的见解。它强调了如何在农村转型战略中平衡创新与传统。本研究独特地将科学研究的比较回顾与专利分析相结合,探讨传统与技术的共存。它有助于理解如何根据当地实践和文化遗产进行创新,以促进包容和有复原力的农业发展。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing on-farm research with a web-based single-strip spatial evaluation tool: Design, features, and applications 利用基于网络的单条空间评估工具加强农场研究:设计、功能和应用
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70264
Srinivasagan N. Subhashree, Rahul Goel, Manuel Marcaida III, Juan Carlos Ramos-Tanchez, Quirine M. Ketterings

On-farm research is important for estimating the performance of crop management practices under real-world conditions, offering localized insights that drive adoption. However, conventional research trial designs such as the randomized complete block design often fail to capture spatial variability and can be complex to implement on commercial farms. To address these limitations, the single-strip spatial evaluation approach (SSEA) was developed, allowing farmers to test treatments using a single-strip design while leveraging spatial yield data collected by harvester-mounted sensors for corn (Zea mays L.) grain and silage. In this approach, yield stability zones, generated from multi-year interpolated yield data, enable evaluation of treatment effects across different zones within the field. While the single-strip design may introduce spatial bias, this can be mitigated by replicating treatments across multiple fields. To improve accessibility, a web-based tool was developed that automates the analysis, generates confidence charts, and produces downloadable reports for farmer use. We describe the process and resources used for building the tool and present its functionality through a real-world single-strip case study. Developed with input from a statewide advisory committee, the tool includes zone distribution donut plots and a color-coded confidence chart with interpretations of spatial responses. By streamlining spatial data analysis and reporting, the SSEA web tool empowers farmers, farm advisors, and crop consultants to independently conduct on-farm trials, interpret treatment effects by zone, and make informed management decisions. The SSEA web tool represents a significant step toward spatially informed on-farm research and supports broader adoption of data-driven, site-specific agricultural practices.

农场研究对于评估作物管理实践在现实条件下的表现非常重要,可以提供推动采用的本地化见解。然而,传统的研究试验设计,如随机完全区组设计,往往不能捕捉到空间变异性,并且在商业农场实施起来可能很复杂。为了解决这些限制,开发了单条空间评估方法(SSEA),允许农民使用单条设计测试处理,同时利用安装在收割机上的玉米(Zea mays L.)谷物和青贮的传感器收集的空间产量数据。在这种方法中,产量稳定区是由多年的产量插值数据生成的,可以评估油田内不同区域的处理效果。虽然单条带设计可能会引入空间偏差,但这可以通过在多个油田重复处理来缓解。为了提高可访问性,开发了一个基于网络的工具,使分析自动化,生成置信度图表,并生成供农民使用的可下载报告。我们描述了用于构建该工具的过程和资源,并通过一个真实的单条案例研究展示了其功能。该工具是根据全州咨询委员会的意见开发的,包括区域分布的甜甜圈图和彩色编码的置信图,其中包含对空间响应的解释。通过简化空间数据分析和报告,SSEA网络工具使农民、农场顾问和作物顾问能够独立进行农场试验,按区域解释处理效果,并做出明智的管理决策。SSEA网络工具代表了向空间信息农场研究迈出的重要一步,并支持更广泛地采用数据驱动的、特定地点的农业实践。
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引用次数: 0
Strengthening farmer-led experiments through agronomic and causal inference frameworks 通过农艺和因果推理框架加强农民主导的实验
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70263
Louis Longchamps, Phillip Lanza, Alexander Yore, Alicia McElwee, Marcelo Chan Fu Wei, Bernard Panneton, Daniel H. Buckley, Abdelkrim Lachgar, Matthew Thomas

This study explores how scientists can support on-farm experiments using analytical methods that align with farmers’ endogenous learning processes to inform their management decision. Four maize (Zea mays L.) farmers across 10 site-years in New York participated in this study to evaluate the effectiveness of a nitrogen-fixing inoculant (NFI) applied with a reduced side-dress nitrogen rate. Farmers designed and implemented their own experiments using a range of layouts, including side-by-side comparisons and strip trials. Two analytical approaches were compared: a quantitative yield analysis using spatial regression, and a causal pathway analysis based on mechanistic steps informed by field sampling (e.g., quantitative polymerase chain reaction detection of NFI organisms, nitrogen nutrition index, and yield). While yield data suggested positive or neutral treatment effects at all sites when simply comparing yield average, the spatial regression analysis and causal pathway analysis identified positive outcomes in only seven or four of 10 site-years, respectively, reflecting a more conservative interpretation of efficacy. Both methods provided consistent conclusions at four out of 10 site-years, demonstrating the contribution of metrics other than yield in the interpretation process. Findings suggest that simple causal diagrams can structure data collection and interpretation in ways aligned with farmers' goals. Supporting farmer experiments with digital agronomy, mechanistic reasoning, and site-specific data enhances learning outcomes and scientific rigor without requiring formal replication. This work contributes to the development of collaborative, scalable methodologies that integrate farmer knowledge and scientific analysis in on-farm experimentation.

本研究探讨了科学家如何使用与农民内生学习过程相一致的分析方法来支持农场实验,从而为他们的管理决策提供信息。纽约的4位玉米(Zea mays L.)农民在10个站点年的时间里参与了这项研究,以评估在降低侧施氮量的情况下施用固氮剂(NFI)的有效性。农民使用一系列布局设计和实施他们自己的实验,包括并排比较和条形试验。研究人员比较了两种分析方法:一种是利用空间回归进行定量产量分析,另一种是基于现场采样的机制步骤(例如,NFI生物的定量聚合酶链反应检测、氮营养指数和产量)进行因果通路分析。当简单比较产量平均值时,产量数据显示所有站点的治疗效果均为阳性或中性,而空间回归分析和因果通路分析分别仅在10个站点年中的7个或4个中确定了阳性结果,反映了对疗效的更保守的解释。两种方法在10个站点年中的4个提供了一致的结论,证明了解释过程中除产量以外的指标的贡献。研究结果表明,简单的因果关系图可以以符合农民目标的方式组织数据收集和解释。用数字农学、机械推理和特定地点数据支持农民实验可以提高学习成果和科学严谨性,而无需正式复制。这项工作有助于开发协作的、可扩展的方法,将农民知识和科学分析整合到农场实验中。
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引用次数: 0
Improving causal inference from unreplicated on-farm strip trials with propensity score matching: Application to plant growth regulator effects in wheat 利用倾向评分匹配改进未重复农田条形试验的因果推理:应用于小麦的植物生长调节剂效应
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-14 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70260
Caleb Niemeyer, John Sulik

Farmers often conduct unreplicated on-farm experiments (OFE) to evaluate management practices such as the application of plant growth regulators (PGR) in winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.). Traditional methods of comparing strip average yields, such as using weigh wagons or yield monitors, lack error estimates and are causally confounded by field variability. Prescription (Rx) maps with randomization and replication may reduce causal confounding but are not always feasible. We propose a methodology to improve causal inference from unreplicated strip trials using propensity score matching (PSM). PGR strip trials were implemented using growers’ fields and equipment at two sites. Yield data, topographic covariates, and soil properties were collected. Propensity scores were calculated and used to create weights for covariate balancing. Next, treatment effect estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each site using G-computation. Various benchmark models were included to compare the results of commonly implemented spatial models to the results from PSM. Spatial benchmark models showed evidence of spatial confounding, a purely statistical artifact rather than a causal effect. This artifact may alter treatment estimates and test statistics in strip trials where experimental units are not randomized throughout the field. PSM has potential to address the lack of replication and randomization in simple two-treatment strip trials. PSM can potentially increase accessibility to rigorous OFE and improve decision-making in agricultural practices, particularly in contexts where traditional experimental designs present barriers to participation.

农民经常进行无重复的农场试验(OFE)来评估管理实践,如在冬小麦(Triticum aestivum L.)上应用植物生长调节剂(PGR)。比较条带平均产量的传统方法,如使用称重车或产量监测器,缺乏误差估计,并且会因现场变化而造成混淆。随机化和复制的处方(Rx)图可以减少因果混淆,但并不总是可行的。我们提出了一种使用倾向评分匹配(PSM)的方法来改进非重复条形试验的因果推理。在两个地点利用种植者的田地和设备进行了PGR条带试验。收集了产量数据、地形协变量和土壤性质。倾向分数被计算并用于创建协变量平衡的权重。接下来,使用g计算计算每个部位的治疗效果估计值和95%置信区间。包括各种基准模型,将常用的空间模型的结果与PSM的结果进行比较。空间基准模型显示了空间混淆的证据,这纯粹是统计上的假象,而不是因果关系。这种人为因素可能会改变条形试验中的治疗估计和测试统计数据,在条形试验中,实验单位不是随机分布的。PSM有可能解决在简单的双处理条形试验中缺乏复制和随机化的问题。PSM可以潜在地增加获得严格的OFE的机会,并改善农业实践中的决策,特别是在传统实验设计存在参与障碍的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Rice yield and yield stability in long-term rotations in temperate South America 南美温带地区长期轮作的水稻产量和产量稳定性
IF 2 3区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1002/agj2.70250
Manuel Aguirre-Miguez, Ignacio Macedo, Pablo González-Barrios, Álvaro Roel, Jesús Castillo, Camila Bonilla-Cedréz, Alexander Bordagorri, José A. Terra

Understanding the long-term impacts of crop rotation systems on rice (Oryza sativa L.) yield and stability is key to redesigning agroecosystems, optimizing management, and refining sustainable intensification strategies. This study evaluated the impacts of the rotation system and the previous crops on irrigated rice yield and its stability over 9 years, using an RCB design experiment in Uruguay. Rotations were (1) Rice1-Rice2-Perennial Pasture (R-PP); (2) Rice-Biannual Pasture (R-BP); (3) Rice1-Soybean1-Soybean2-Rice2-Perennial Pasture (R-Sy-PP); (4) Rice1-Soybean-Rice2-Sorghum (R-Crops); (5) Rice-Soybean (R-Sy); and (6) continuous rice (CR), all with winter cover crops between grain crops. The highest yields were obtained in rotations including soybean (R-Sy, R-Sy-PP, R-Crops: 11.03 Mg ha−1), which were 7% and 15% higher than those including only pastures (R-BP and R-PP) and CR, respectively. However, the highest effect on yield and yield stability was observed by previous crops. Independently of rotation, rice following soybean had the greatest productivity (11.33 Mg ha−1), followed by rice after pastures (10.60 Mg ha−1), and rice after rice (9.46 Mg ha−1). These differences were amplified in high-yielding years, with rice after soybean (12.72 Mg ha−1) yielding 5%, 17%, and 22% more than after perennial pastures, biannual pastures, and rice, respectively. Soybean as a previous crop increased rice yield in all rotations but decreased yield stability as demonstrated by an environmental index combining four parameters. For rice-pasture systems in temperate climates, rotation intensification integrating soybean offers a viable strategy for increasing rice productivity, particularly in high-yielding years, despite lower yield stability.

了解轮作制度对水稻产量和稳定性的长期影响是重新设计农业生态系统、优化管理和完善可持续集约化战略的关键。本研究在乌拉圭采用RCB设计试验,评价了轮作制度和前代作物对9年灌溉水稻产量及其稳定性的影响。轮作为(1)水稻-水稻-多年生牧草(R-PP);(2)水稻-两年牧草(R-BP);(3)水稻-大豆-大豆-水稻-多年生牧草(R-Sy-PP);(4)水稻-大豆-水稻-高粱(R-Crops);(5)水稻-大豆(R-Sy);(6)连续稻(CR),在粮食作物之间都有冬季覆盖作物。轮作大豆(R-Sy、R-Sy- pp、r - crop: 11.03 Mg ha - 1)产量最高,分别比单作牧场(R-BP、R-PP)和单作CR增产7%和15%。然而,对产量和产量稳定性影响最大的是以前的作物。与轮作无关,大豆后稻的产量最高(11.33 Mg ha - 1),牧草后稻(10.60 Mg ha - 1)和水稻后稻(9.46 Mg ha - 1)次之。这些差异在高产年份被放大,大豆(12.72 Mg ha - 1)后水稻的产量分别比多年生牧草、两年牧草和水稻高5%、17%和22%。综合四个参数的环境指数表明,大豆作为前一种作物在所有轮作中都提高了水稻产量,但降低了产量稳定性。对于温带的水稻-牧场系统,尽管产量稳定性较低,但轮作集约化种植大豆是提高水稻生产力的可行策略,特别是在高产年份。
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引用次数: 0
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Agronomy Journal
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