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An engineering model of the COVID-19 trajectory to predict the success of isolation initiatives. COVID-19 轨迹工程模型,用于预测隔离举措的成功与否。
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 eCollection Date: 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000020
Steven King, Alberto Striolo
<p><p>Much media and societal attention is today focused on how to best control the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19). Every day brings us new data, and policy makers are implementing different strategies in different countries to manage the impact of COVID-19. To respond to the first 'wave' of infection, several countries, including the UK, opted for isolation/lockdown initiatives, with different degrees of rigour. Data showed that these initiatives have yielded the expected results in terms of containing the rapid trajectory of the virus. When this article was first prepared (April 2020), the affected societies were wondering when the isolation/lockdown initiatives should be lifted. While detailed epidemiological, economic as well as social studies would be required to answer this question completely, here we employ a simple engineering model. Albeit simple, the model is capable of reproducing the main features of the data reported in the literature concerning the COVID-19 trajectory in different countries, including the increase in cases in countries following the initially successful isolation/lockdown initiatives. Keeping in mind the simplicity of the model, we attempt to draw some conclusions, which seem to suggest that a decrease in the number of infected individuals after the initiation of isolation/lockdown initiatives does not necessarily guarantee that the virus trajectory is under control. Within the limit of this model, it would seem that rigid isolation/lockdown initiatives for the medium term would lead to achieving the desired control over the spread of the virus. This observation seems consistent with the 2020 summer months, during which the COVID-19 trajectory seemed to be almost under control across most European countries. Consistent with the results from our simple model, winter 2020 data show that the virus trajectory was again on the rise. Because the optimal solution will achieve control over the spread of the virus while minimising negative societal impacts due to isolation/lockdown, which include but are not limited to economic and mental health aspects, the engineering model presented here is not sufficient to provide the desired answer. However, the model seems to suggest that to keep the COVID-19 trajectory under control, a series of short-to-medium term isolation measures should be put in place until one or more of the following scenarios is achieved: a cure has been developed and has become accessible to the population at large; a vaccine has been developed, tested and distributed to large portions of the population; a sufficiently large portion of the population has developed resistance to the COVID-19 virus; or the virus itself has become less aggressive. It is somewhat remarkable that an engineering model, despite all its approximations, provides suggestions consistent with advanced epidemiological models developed by several experts in the field. The model proposed here is however not expected to be able to captu
如今,许多媒体和社会关注的焦点是如何最好地控制冠状病毒(COVID-19)的传播。每天都有新的数据,不同国家的政策制定者正在实施不同的策略来控制 COVID-19 的影响。为了应对第一 "波 "感染,包括英国在内的一些国家选择了不同程度的隔离/封锁措施。数据显示,这些举措在遏制病毒快速传播方面取得了预期效果。在本文撰写之初(2020 年 4 月),受影响的社会正在考虑何时取消隔离/封锁措施。要彻底回答这个问题,需要进行详细的流行病学、经济和社会研究,在此我们采用一个简单的工程模型。该模型虽然简单,但却能再现文献中报道的不同国家 COVID-19 发展轨迹数据的主要特征,包括隔离/封锁措施取得初步成功后各国病例的增加。考虑到模型的简易性,我们试图得出一些结论,这些结论似乎表明,隔离/封锁措施启动后受感染人数的减少并不一定能保证病毒轨迹得到控制。在这一模型的限制范围内,在中期内采取严格的隔离/封锁措施似乎可以达到预期的控制病毒传播的目的。这一观察结果似乎与 2020 年夏季的情况一致,在这几个月中,COVID-19 在大多数欧洲国家的传播轨迹似乎几乎得到了控制。与我们的简单模型得出的结果一致,2020 年冬季的数据显示病毒的传播轨迹再次上升。由于最佳解决方案既要控制病毒传播,又要尽量减少隔离/封锁对社会造成的负面影响(包括但不限于经济和心理健康方面),因此本文介绍的工程模型不足以提供理想的答案。不过,该模型似乎建议,为了控制 COVID-19 的发展轨迹,应采取一系列中短期隔离措施,直到出现以下一种或多种情况:已开发出治愈方法,并可供广大人群使用;已开发出疫苗,并对其进行了测试和向大部分人群分发;有足够多的人群对 COVID-19 病毒产生了抵抗力;或病毒本身的攻击性有所降低。一个工程模型尽管是近似的,但它提供的建议却与该领域多位专家开发的先进流行病学模型相一致,这在某种程度上是很了不起的。然而,这里提出的模型预计无法捕捉到病毒变种的出现,而这些变种似乎是造成重大疫情爆发的原因,特别是在 2021 年春季的印度。该模型无法描述疫苗策略的有效性,因为它没有区分人群中的不同年龄组,也不允许我们考虑感染或接种疫苗后所获得的免疫力的持续时间。
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引用次数: 0
A new attribute-linked residential property price dataset for England and Wales, 2011-2019. 2011-2019 年英格兰和威尔士新的属性关联住宅物业价格数据集。
Pub Date : 2021-05-27 eCollection Date: 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000019
Bin Chi, Adam Dennett, Thomas Oléron-Evans, Robin Morphet

Current research on residential house price variation in the UK is limited by the lack of an open and comprehensive house price database that contains both transaction price alongside dwelling attributes such as size. This research outlines one approach which addresses this deficiency in England and Wales through combining transaction information from the official open Land Registry Price Paid Data (LR-PPD) and property size information from the official open Domestic Energy Performance Certificates (EPCs). A four-stage data linkage is created to generate a new linked dataset, representing 79% of the full market sales in the LR-PPD. This new linked dataset offers greater flexibility for the exploration of house price (£/m2) variation in England and Wales at different scales over postcode units between 2011 and 2019. Open access linkage codes will allow for future updates beyond 2019.

由于缺乏一个既包含交易价格又包含住宅属性(如面积)的开放而全面的房价数据库,目前对英国住宅房价变化的研究受到了限制。本研究概述了在英格兰和威尔士解决这一不足的一种方法,即结合来自官方公开的土地登记价格支付数据(LR-PPD)的交易信息和来自官方公开的住宅能效证书(EPCs)的房产面积信息。通过四个阶段的数据链接,生成了一个新的链接数据集,占 LR-PPD 完整市场销售额的 79%。这个新的链接数据集提供了更大的灵活性,可用于探索 2011 年至 2019 年期间英格兰和威尔士不同规模邮编单位的房价(英镑/平方米)变化情况。开放访问的链接代码将允许在 2019 年之后进行更新。
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引用次数: 0
The geographic, environmental and phylogenetic evolution of the Alveolinoidea from the Cretaceous to the present day. 从白垩纪到今天,Alveolinoidea 的地理、环境和系统进化。
Pub Date : 2021-03-08 eCollection Date: 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000015
Marcelle K BouDagher-Fadel, Geoffrey David Price

The superfamily Alveolinoidea is a member of the Order Miliolida, and comprises three main families, the Alveolinidae, the Fabulariidae and the Rhapydioninidae. They are examples of Larger benthic foraminifera (LBF), which are single-celled organisms with specific characteristic endoskeletons. Alveolinoids are found globally from the Cretaceous to the present day, and are important biostratigraphic index fossils in shallow-marine carbonates. They are often associated with hydrocarbon reservoirs, and exhibit provincialism with characteristic genera often confined to one of the American, Tethyan or Indo-Pacific provinces. Previously, the systematic study of the global interrelationship between the various alveolinoid lineages has not been possible because of the absence of biostratigraphic correlation between the geographically scattered assemblages, and the scarcity of described material from the Indo-Pacific province. Here we use the literature and new material from the Americas, the French Alps, Iran, Tibet, India and South East Asia, coupled with the use of the planktonic foraminiferal zonal (PZ) correlation scheme to propose a comprehensive, global, systematic analysis of the biostratigraphic, phylogenetic and paleogeographic evolution of the alveolinoids. The alveolinoids originated in the Cretaceous in the Tethyan province. During a global sea-level low stand, a westward migration of some alveolinoids species to the Americas occurred, a behaviour previously reported in contemporaneous orbitolinid LBF. After the Cretaceous/Palaeogene (K-P) event, which saw the extinction of all Cretaceous alveolinoids, rare new forms of alveolinoids evolved again, first in the Americas and later independently in Tethys. As was found in previous studies of rotalid LBF, sea-level low stands in the Paleocene also allowed some alveolinoid forms to migrate, but this time in an eastward direction from the Americas to Tethys, and from Tethys on to the Indo-Pacific province. Alveolinoids still exist today (Borelis and Alveolinella), the former of which is cosmopolitan, while the latter is restricted to the Indo-Pacific province. Throughout their phylogenetic history, alveolinoids characteristically exhibit convergent evolution, with the repeated re-occurrence of certain morphological features. Understanding this propensity to homoplasy is essential in understanding and constructing the phylogenetic relationships within the alveolinoid superfamily.

有孔虫超科(Alveolinoidea)是有孔虫纲(Miliolida)的一个成员,由三个主要科组成:Alveolinidae 科、Fabulariidae 科和 Rhapydioninidae 科。它们是大型底栖有孔虫(LBF)的代表,是具有特定特征内骨骼的单细胞生物。有孔虫从白垩纪至今遍布全球,是浅海碳酸盐岩中重要的生物地层索引化石。它们通常与碳氢化合物储层有关,并表现出分区特征,其特征属通常局限于美洲、四叠纪或印度洋-太平洋分区中的某一分区。在此之前,由于地理上分散的集合体之间缺乏生物地层学上的相关性,而且来自印度-太平洋省的描述材料很少,因此不可能对各种白垩系之间的全球相互关系进行系统研究。在此,我们利用文献资料和来自美洲、法国阿尔卑斯山、伊朗、西藏、印度和东南亚的新材料,结合使用浮游有孔虫带状(PZ)相关计划,对白垩系的生物地层学、系统发育和古地理演化进行了全面、全球性的系统分析。肺泡动物起源于白垩纪的哲罗纪。在全球海平面较低的时期,一些肺泡动物物种向西迁移到美洲,这种行为以前曾在同时代的眶鳃纲LBF中报道过。在白垩纪/古近纪(K-P)事件之后,白垩纪的肺泡动物全部灭绝,罕见的新形式肺泡动物再次进化,先是在美洲,后来在特提斯独立进化。正如之前对喙藻类枸杞藻的研究发现的那样,古新世的海平面低洼地带也使得一些肺泡藻类迁徙,但这次是向东迁徙,从美洲迁徙到特提斯,再从特提斯迁徙到印度洋-太平洋省。如今仍有肺泡藻类(Borelis 和 Alveolinella)存在,前者是世界性的,而后者则局限于印度-太平洋省。在其系统发育历史中,肺泡藻类具有趋同进化的特征,某些形态特征反复出现。了解这种同生倾向对于理解和构建肺泡藻超科内的系统发育关系至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Associations between the household environment and stunted child growth in rural India: a cross-sectional analysis. 印度农村地区家庭环境与儿童发育迟缓之间的关系:横断面分析。
Pub Date : 2021-02-22 eCollection Date: 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000014
Charlotte Lee, Monica Lakhanpaul, Bernardo Maza Stern, Kaushik Sarkar, Priti Parikh

Stunting is a major unresolved and growing health issue for India. There is a need for a broader interdisciplinary cross-sectoral approach in which disciplines such as the environment and health have to work together to co-develop integrated socio-culturally tailored interventions. However, there remains scant evidence for the development and application of such integrated, multifactorial child health interventions across India's most rural communities. In this paper we explore and demonstrate the linkages between environmental factors and stunting thereby highlighting the scope for interdisciplinary research. We examine the associations between household environmental characteristics and stunting in children under 5 years of age across rural Rajasthan, India. We used Demographic and Health Survey (DHS)-3 India (2005-2006) data from 1194 children living across 109,041 interviewed households. Multiple logistic regression analyses independently examined the association between (i) the primary source of drinking water, (ii) primary type of sanitation facilities, (iii) primary cooking fuel type, and (iv) agricultural land ownership and stunting adjusting for child age. The results suggest, after adjusting for child age, household access to (i) improved drinking water source was associated with 23% decreased odds [odds ratio (OR) = 0.77, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5-1.00], (ii) improved sanitation facility was associated with 41% decreased odds (OR = 0.51, 95% CI 0.3-0.82), and (iii) agricultural land ownership was associated with 30% decreased odds of childhood stunting (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.51-0.94]. The cooking fuel source was not associated with stunting. Our findings indicate that a shift is needed from nutrition-specific to contextually appropriate interdisciplinary solutions, which incorporate environmental improvements. This will not only improve living conditions in deprived communities but also help to tackle the challenge of childhood malnutrition across India's most vulnerable communities.

发育迟缓是印度一个尚未解决且日益严重的重大健康问题。有必要采取更广泛的跨学科跨部门方法,环境和健康等学科必须携手合作,共同开发适合社会文化的综合干预措施。然而,在印度最偏远的农村社区开发和应用这种综合的、多因素的儿童健康干预措施的证据仍然很少。在本文中,我们探讨并证明了环境因素与发育迟缓之间的联系,从而突出了跨学科研究的范围。我们研究了印度拉贾斯坦邦农村地区 5 岁以下儿童的家庭环境特征与发育迟缓之间的关联。我们使用了印度人口与健康调查(DHS)-3(2005-2006 年)的数据,这些数据来自 109,041 个受访家庭的 1194 名儿童。多元逻辑回归分析独立研究了(i) 主要饮用水源、(ii) 主要卫生设施类型、(iii) 主要烹饪燃料类型和(iv) 农田所有权与发育迟缓之间的关系,并对儿童年龄进行了调整。结果表明,在对儿童年龄进行调整后,家庭获得(i)改善的饮用水源与儿童发育迟缓几率降低 23% [几率比(OR)= 0.77,95% 置信区间(CI)0.5-1.00]相关,(ii)改善的卫生设施与儿童发育迟缓几率降低 41% [几率比(OR)= 0.51,95% 置信区间(CI)0.3-0.82]相关,以及(iii)农业土地所有权与儿童发育迟缓几率降低 30% [几率比(OR)0.70,95% 置信区间(CI)0.51-0.94]相关。烹饪燃料来源与发育迟缓无关。我们的研究结果表明,需要从针对营养问题的解决方案转变为与具体情况相适应的跨学科解决方案,并将环境改善纳入其中。这不仅能改善贫困社区的生活条件,还有助于应对印度最弱势社区儿童营养不良的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing SDG indicator 6.4.2 'level of water stress' at major basins level. 在主要流域层面评估可持续发展目标指标6.4.2“水资源压力水平”。
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000026
Riccardo Biancalani, Michela Marinelli

This paper describes a method to disaggregate indicator 6.4.2 (level of water stress) by major river basins. The analysis was performed using the GlobWat soil water balance model and global geospatial data consistent with national statistics published in AQUASTAT, the FAO's global information system on water and agriculture. When a river basin spans across more than one country, the water stress calculated by country can be very different from that calculated by the river basin as the counting of the renewable freshwater resources from one country to another is highly dependent on the official agreement and treaties that regulate the flow of those resources between countries. This problem is solved hydrologically once the accounting of the water resources is done on the major river basin as a whole. The disaggregation by the river basin allows the identification of hotspots where actions should be prioritised and reveals that the area affected by a high or critical water stress spans across all continents with the exception of Oceania. It also offers the possibility of an analysis of freshwater withdrawals by sector, which may become crucial for the definition of water management policies in the context of the economic development of a country.

本文提出了一种按主要流域分解指标6.4.2(水资源压力水平)的方法。分析使用的是GlobWat土壤水分平衡模型和全球地理空间数据,这些数据与粮农组织全球水与农业信息系统AQUASTAT上公布的国家统计数据一致。当一个河流流域跨越多个国家时,国家计算的水资源压力可能与河流流域计算的水资源压力大不相同,因为从一个国家到另一个国家的可再生淡水资源的计算高度依赖于规范这些资源在国家之间流动的官方协议和条约。对主要流域的水资源进行整体核算,从水文学上解决了这一问题。按流域分类可以确定应优先采取行动的热点地区,并揭示受高度或临界水压力影响的地区跨越除大洋洲以外的所有大陆。它还提供了按部门分析淡水抽取情况的可能性,这对于在一国经济发展的范围内确定水管理政策可能是至关重要的。
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引用次数: 5
Basic considerations on the practical method for predicting sound insulation performance of a single-leaf window. 预测单叶窗隔声性能实用方法的基本思考。
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000018
Yohei Tsukamoto, Kimihiro Sakagami, Takeshi Okuzono, Yoshihiro Tomikawa

As a basic study of a practical method for predicting the sound insulation performance of windows, this report presents a study of the sound reduction index of windows with single glazing, below a critical frequency. First, the results calculated by an existing theory for a single plate for the sound reduction indices are compared with measured results of actual windows to assess the theory's applicability for evaluating the sound insulation performance of windows. Then, a regression analysis is employed to measure the results of a certain number of actual windows to explore a further development of a more practical prediction. The following findings were obtained: (1) Sound reduction indices of actual fixed windows are predictable using Sewell's transmission theory for a single plate. However, sound reduction indices of openable windows, especially those of sliding windows, are strongly affected by gaps in the window frame. Therefore, predicting sound reduction indices of all windows accurately is difficult if using only one theory. (2) The frequency slope of the window reduction index is much lower than that of the mass law. Regression analyses indicate that the frequency slope of the reduction index of all examined windows is 3.0 dB per octave, on average.

作为预测窗户隔声性能的实用方法的基础研究,本报告研究了低于临界频率的单层玻璃窗户的隔声指数。首先,将现有理论计算的单层窗隔声指标与实际窗的实测结果进行比较,以评估该理论对窗隔声性能评价的适用性。然后,采用回归分析来测量一定数量的实际窗口的结果,以探索进一步发展更实际的预测。结果表明:(1)利用Sewell的透射理论可以预测实际固定窗的减声指标。而可开窗,尤其是推拉窗的减声指标受窗框间隙的影响较大。因此,如果只使用一种理论,很难准确预测所有窗口的减声指数。(2)窗缩指数的频率斜率远低于质量定律的频率斜率。回归分析表明,所有检测窗口的衰减指数的频率斜率平均为3.0 dB /倍频程。
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引用次数: 1
Influences on single-use and reusable cup use: a multidisciplinary mixed-methods approach to designing interventions reducing plastic waste. 对一次性使用和可重复使用杯子的影响:设计减少塑料废物干预措施的多学科混合方法方法。
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000025
Ayşe Lisa Allison, Fabiana Lorencatto, Mark Miodownik, Susan Michie

An estimated 2.5-5 billion single-use coffee cups are disposed of annually in the UK, most of which consist of paper with a plastic lining. Due to the difficulty of recycling poly-coated material, most of these cups end up incinerated or put in landfills. As drinking (take-away) hot beverages is a behaviour, behaviour change interventions are necessary to reduce the environmental impacts of single-use coffee cup waste. Basing the design of interventions on a theoretical understanding of behaviour increases the transparency of the development process, the likelihood that the desired changes in behaviour will occur and the potential to synthesise findings across studies. The present paper presents a methodology for identifying influences on using single-use and reusable cups as a basis for designing intervention strategies. Two behaviour change frameworks: The Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF) and the Capability-Opportunity-Motivation-Behaviour (COMB) model of behaviour, were used to develop an online survey and follow-up interviews. Research findings can inform the selection of intervention strategies using a third framework, the Behaviour Change Wheel (BCW). The application of the methodology is illustrated in relation to understanding barriers and enablers to single-use and reusable cup use across the setting of a London university campus. We have developed a detailed method for identifying behavioural influences relevant to pro-environmental behaviours, together with practical guidance for each step and a worked example. Benefits of this work include it providing guidance on developing study materials and collecting and analysing data. We offer this methodology to the intervention development and implementation community to assist in the application of behaviour change theory to interventions.

据估计,英国每年有25 - 50亿个一次性咖啡杯被丢弃,其中大部分是带有塑料衬里的纸。由于回收塑料涂层材料的困难,大多数杯子最终被焚烧或填埋。由于饮用(外卖)热饮是一种行为,因此有必要采取行为改变干预措施,以减少一次性咖啡杯废弃物对环境的影响。将干预措施的设计建立在对行为的理论理解之上,可以增加发展过程的透明度、行为发生预期变化的可能性,以及综合研究结果的潜力。本文提出了一种方法,以确定对使用一次性和可重复使用的杯子的影响,作为设计干预策略的基础。两个行为改变框架:理论领域框架(TDF)和能力-机会-动机-行为(COMB)行为模型,用于开发在线调查和随访访谈。研究结果可以为使用第三个框架——行为改变轮(BCW)的干预策略的选择提供信息。该方法的应用是通过理解伦敦大学校园中一次性使用和可重复使用杯子的障碍和推动因素来说明的。我们开发了一种详细的方法来确定与亲环境行为相关的行为影响,并为每一步提供了实际指导和工作示例。这项工作的好处包括为开发研究材料以及收集和分析数据提供指导。我们将这种方法提供给干预发展和实施社区,以协助将行为改变理论应用于干预。
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引用次数: 4
A simple and quick sensitivity analysis method for methane isotopologues detection with GOSAT-TANSO-FTS. GOSAT-TANSO-FTS检测甲烷同位素的简便快速灵敏度分析方法
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000013
Edward Malina, Jan-Peter Muller, David Walton

Measurements of methane isotopologues can differentiate between different source types, be they biogenic (e.g. marsh lands) or abiogenic (e.g. industry). Global measurements of these isotopologues would greatly benefit the current disconnect between 'top-down' (knowledge from chemistry transport models and satellite measurements) and 'bottom-up' (in situ measurement inventories) methane measurements. However, current measurements of these isotopologues are limited to a small number of in situ studies and airborne studies. In this paper we investigate the potential for detecting the second most common isotopologue of methane (13CH4) from space using the Japanese Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite applying a quick and simple residual radiance analysis technique. The method allows for a rapid analysis of spectral regions, and can be used to teach university students or advanced school students about radiative transfer analysis. Using this method we find limited sensitivity to 13CH4, with detections limited to total column methane enhancements of >6%, assuming a desert surface albedo of >0.3.

甲烷同位素测量可以区分不同的来源类型,无论是生物源(如沼泽)还是非生物源(如工业)。这些同位素的全球测量将极大地有利于目前“自上而下”(来自化学传输模型和卫星测量的知识)和“自下而上”(现场测量清单)甲烷测量之间的脱节。然而,目前对这些同位素的测量仅限于少数实地研究和空中研究。在本文中,我们研究了利用日本温室气体观测卫星应用快速和简单的剩余辐射分析技术从太空检测第二种最常见的甲烷同位素(13CH4)的潜力。该方法可以快速分析光谱区域,并可用于教授大学生或高等学校的学生有关辐射转移分析。使用该方法,我们发现对13CH4的灵敏度有限,假设沙漠表面反照率>0.3,检测仅限于总柱甲烷增强>6%。
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引用次数: 1
Ticking time bomb: implications of the COVID-19 lockdown on e-waste management in developing countries. 定时炸弹:COVID-19封锁对发展中国家电子废物管理的影响。
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000023
Oluwadamilola A Adejumo, Olubisi F Oluduro

The COVID-19 pandemic has altered the course of events globally since the outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in late 2019 giving further credence to the long-standing belief that the world is indeed a global village. There have been different responses by countries to the raging pandemic including the imposition of lockdowns, quarantine and isolation. The imposition of lockdowns, whether full or partial, has not been without major consequences, which has led to information, communication and technological (ICT)-based measures to minimise the effect of the lockdown and as an alternative to physical interactions. The use of ICT devices to bridge the gaps created by the lockdown on schools, businesses and other sectors has led to the increased use of electronic devices. The challenge of electronic waste (e-waste) management in developing countries has been around for a while and the increased use of electronic devices is likely to compound the challenge during and post COVID-19. Whilst the development of ICT-based options as viable alternatives to face-to-face interactions may not be a negative development, this article argues that the existing frameworks are inadequate to manage the resultant increase in e-waste in most developing countries and that there is need now more than ever before for developing countries to exercise caution in embracing these ICT-based options without putting in place measures to ensure that there is increased capacity to manage and dispose of the e-waste created.

自2019年底冠状病毒病(COVID-19)爆发以来,2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行改变了全球事件的进程,进一步证明了世界确实是一个地球村的长期信念。各国对肆虐的大流行采取了不同的应对措施,包括实施封锁、隔离和隔离。实施全面或部分封锁并非没有重大后果,这导致了基于信息、通信和技术(ICT)的措施,以尽量减少封锁的影响,并作为物理互动的替代方案。利用信通技术设备弥补学校、企业和其他部门封锁造成的差距,导致电子设备的使用增加。发展中国家电子废物管理的挑战已经存在了一段时间,电子设备使用的增加可能会在2019冠状病毒病期间和之后加剧这一挑战。虽然发展基于信息通信技术的选项作为面对面互动的可行替代方案可能不是一种消极的发展,这篇文章认为,在大多数发展中国家,现有的框架不足以管理由此产生的电子废物的增加,现在比以往任何时候都更需要发展中国家在接受这些基于信息通信技术的选择时谨慎行事,而不采取措施确保管理和处置产生的电子废物的能力增加。
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引用次数: 3
Improved bathymetry leads to >4000 new seamount predictions in the global ocean - but beware of phantom seamounts! 改进的测深技术导致全球海洋中超过4000个新的海底山预测-但要小心虚幻的海底山!
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000030
Chris Yesson, Tom B Letessier, Alex Nimmo-Smith, Phil Hosegood, Andrew S Brierley, Marie Hardouin, Roland Proud

Seamounts are important marine habitats that are hotspots of species diversity. Relatively shallow peaks, increased productivity and offshore locations make seamounts vulnerable to human impact and difficult to protect. Present estimates of seamount numbers vary from anywhere between 10,000 to more than 60,000. Seamount locations can be estimated by extracting large, cone-like features from bathymetry grids (based on criteria of size and shape). These predicted seamounts are a useful reference for marine researchers and can help direct exploratory surveys. However, these predictions are dependent on the quality of the surveys underpinning the bathymetry. Historically, quality has been patchy, but is improving as mapping efforts step up towards the target of complete seabed coverage by 2030. This study presents an update of seamount predictions based on SRTM30 PLUS global bathymetry version 11 and examines a potential source of error in these predictions. This update was prompted by a seamount survey in the British Indian Ocean Territory in 2016, where locations of two putative seamounts were visited. These 'seamounts' were targeted based on previous predictions, but these features were not detected during echosounder surveys. An examination of UK hydrographic office navigational (Admiralty) charts for the area showed that the summits of these putative features had soundings reporting 'no bottom detected at this depth' where 'this depth' was similar to the seabed reported from the bathymetry grids: we suspect that these features likely resulted from an initial misreading of the charts. We show that 15 'phantom seamount' features, derived from a misinterpretation of no bottom sounding data, persist in current global bathymetry grids and updated seamount predictions. Overall, we predict 37,889 seamounts, an increase of 4437 from the previous predictions derived from an older global bathymetry grid (SRTM30 PLUS v6). This increase is due to greater detail in newer bathymetry grids as acoustic mapping of the seabed expands. The new seamount predictions are available at https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.921688.

海山是重要的海洋栖息地,是物种多样性的热点地区。相对较浅的山峰、较高的生产力和近海位置使得海底山容易受到人类的影响,难以保护。目前对海山数量的估计从1万到6万不等。海底山的位置可以通过从测深网格(基于尺寸和形状标准)中提取大的锥形特征来估计。这些预测的海底山对海洋研究人员来说是有用的参考,可以帮助指导勘探。然而,这些预测依赖于支撑水深测量的调查的质量。从历史上看,质量参差不齐,但随着测绘工作朝着2030年完全覆盖海底的目标迈进,质量正在改善。本研究提出了基于SRTM30 PLUS全球水深测量版本11的海底山预测的更新,并检查了这些预测中的潜在误差来源。这一更新是由2016年在英属印度洋领土进行的海底山调查引起的,该调查访问了两个假定的海底山的位置。这些“海山”是根据之前的预测定位的,但在回声测深调查中没有发现这些特征。对英国海道测绘局航海(海军部)该地区海图的检查表明,这些假定特征的顶点的测深报告“在此深度未检测到底部”,而“此深度”与测深网格报告的海床相似:我们怀疑这些特征可能是由于最初对图表的误读造成的。我们表明,15个“幽灵海山”特征,源自对无海底测深数据的错误解释,在当前的全球测深网格和更新的海山预测中持续存在。总的来说,我们预测了37,889个海山,比之前基于较旧的全球测深网格(SRTM30 PLUS v6)的预测增加了4437个。这一增长是由于海底声学测绘的扩展,在新的测深网格中有了更多的细节。新的海底山预测可在https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.921688上获得。
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引用次数: 1
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