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Diffusing sustainable supply chains: a hybrid evolutionary game theory and system dynamics approach 扩散可持续供应链:进化博弈论和系统动力学的混合方法
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06670-0
Fatemeh Yaftiyan, Hannan Amoozad Mahdiraji, Mahnaz Hosseinzadeh, Demetris Vrontis

This study develops a comprehensive policy-making model to diffuse sustainable supply chain management (SSCM) across pharmaceutical supply chains (PSCs), addressing triple bottom line (TBL) concerns—people, planet, and profit—while considering stakeholder dynamics interactions and unexpected events like global pandemics. Initially, the pharma industry's most essential TBL criteria are extracted by systematically reviewing the extant literature. Next, two different types of evolutionary game theory (EGT) (i.e., pairwise contest game (PCG) and tripartite evolutionary game (TEG)) are innovatively integrated to describe the stakeholders' interactions, providing a theoretical basis for assessing strategy stability and sustainable practice diffusion across multi-tiered and multi-echelon PSCs under regulators' interventions. Then, a system dynamics (SD) model is developed based on the EGT models to simulate the targeted policy-making system based on Iran's PSC as a case study. Key findings reveal that COVID-19 health protocols and lockdowns increased work avoidance among Regulatory Enterprises (REs), but long-term adherence to sustainable policies by distributors (Ds) and retailers (Rs) is projected by 2228. Five policies—imposing fines, segregation and public disclosure, increased punishments and incentives, rewards for sustainable practices, and subsidies for sustainable purchases—are recommended to accelerate sustainable adoption by 2056, eliminate RE work avoidance, and achieve significant outcomes: a monthly reduction of over 2,000 expired products, a decrease of around 1,000 TCO2e (Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent) in upstream CO2 emissions, an increase of over 600 TCO2e in CO2 neutralisation, and over 100 new monthly job vacancies. This highlights the model's potential to diffuse economic, environmental, and social sustainability in PSCs post-COVID-19 under regulations.

本研究开发了一个全面的决策模型,以在制药供应链(psc)中传播可持续供应链管理(SSCM),解决三重底线(TBL)问题-人,地球和利润,同时考虑利益相关者动态互动和全球流行病等意外事件。最初,制药行业最重要的TBL标准是通过系统地回顾现有文献提取的。其次,创新性地整合了两种不同类型的进化博弈理论(即配对竞争博弈(PCG)和三方进化博弈(TEG))来描述利益相关者之间的相互作用,为评估监管机构干预下多层次多层次psc的战略稳定性和可持续实践扩散提供了理论基础。然后,基于EGT模型建立了系统动力学(SD)模型,以伊朗PSC为例,模拟目标决策系统。主要调查结果显示,COVID-19健康协议和封锁增加了监管企业(REs)的工作逃避,但预计到2228年,分销商(d)和零售商(r)将长期遵守可持续政策。五项政策——实施罚款、隔离和公开披露、加大惩罚和激励力度、奖励可持续做法、补贴可持续采购——被建议到2056年加速可持续采用,消除可再生能源工作回避,并取得显著成果:每月减少超过2,000种过期产品,减少约1,000吨二氧化碳当量的上游二氧化碳排放量,增加超过600吨二氧化碳当量的二氧化碳中和,每月新增超过100个职位空缺。这凸显了该模式在监管下在covid -19后的psc中传播经济、环境和社会可持续性的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A nonlinear wiener process degradation model with damage resistance for reliability analysis 基于损伤抗力的非线性维纳过程退化模型的可靠性分析
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06695-5
Yuhan Hu, Mengmeng Zhu, Huizhong Lin

Systems commonly experience competing risks of internal degradation and random shocks. Random shocks may cause damage to the system, and the degrees of the damage affect system degradation differently. In this paper, we consider a system, namely, a damage-resistant system, designed to withstand shocks up to a specified threshold. To consider the system damage resistance, we first propose a new shock classification based on the shock magnitude and define the damage resistance level of the system accordingly. Furthermore, because the system will be more vulnerable to shocks over time, we divide the system degradation process into two stages and propose nonlinear Wiener process degradation models with two stages by incorporating the system damage resilience level with the new shock classification. The closed-form system reliability functions for these two stages are further derived. Lastly, we conduct numerical examples with real-world data to demonstrate the practical application of our proposed model.

系统通常会经历内部退化和随机冲击的竞争风险。随机冲击会对系统造成破坏,破坏程度对系统退化的影响不同。在本文中,我们考虑一个系统,即一个抗损伤系统,被设计为能够承受高达指定阈值的冲击。为了考虑系统的抗损伤性,我们首先提出了一种新的基于冲击幅度的冲击分类方法,并据此定义了系统的抗损伤等级。此外,由于系统随着时间的推移更容易受到冲击的影响,我们将系统退化过程分为两个阶段,并通过将系统损伤恢复水平与新的冲击分类相结合,提出了具有两个阶段的非线性维纳过程退化模型。进一步推导了这两个阶段的闭式系统可靠性函数。最后,我们用实际数据进行了数值算例,以证明我们提出的模型的实际应用。
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引用次数: 0
“Bad outputs as inputs”, reverse outputs and extended strong disposability “不良产出即投入”、反向产出和扩展的强可处置性
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06735-0
Giannis Karagiannis, Stavros Kourtzidis

In this paper we examine the relation between the “bad outputs as inputs” with other approaches of modeling undesirable outputs in non-parametric production analysis and we end up with six equivalencies among them. Based on these, we argue that the “bad outputs as inputs” is a valid modeling option as long as the assumption of extended strong disposability and thus of reverse outputs is reasonable in a particular setting. In this case, the “bad outputs as inputs” approach can easily be implemented by means of a conventional input-oriented DEA model with variable returns to scale where the translated additive inverse transformation is applied to undesirable output quantities.

本文研究了非参数生产分析中“不良产出作为输入”与其他不良产出建模方法之间的关系,并得出了它们之间的六个等价关系。基于这些,我们认为“坏输出作为输入”是一个有效的建模选项,只要在特定设置中假设扩展的强可处置性和反向输出是合理的。在这种情况下,“不良输出作为输入”的方法可以很容易地通过传统的以输入为导向的DEA模型实现,该模型具有可变的比例回报,其中转换的可加性逆变换应用于不希望的输出量。
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引用次数: 0
A loss-averse ordering strategy with a piecewise-formed reference point 具有分段形成的参考点的避免损失的排序策略
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06679-5
Chengzhi Fang, Yongjiang Guo, Zhaofeng He

We study a loss-averse (LA) retailer with a quantity-oriented reference point (RP) in a piecewise form in a random market. The proposed RP is characterized by a two-fold convex combination of three elements (profits in three environments) at low reference levels, and a standard convex combination of two elements (profits in two environments) at high reference levels. We aim to use prospect theory with the above piecewise-formed RP to characterize the LA retailer’s optimal procurement strategy in maximizing her expected profit, and describe the effect on the procurement strategy from some parameters. We prove that there exists a procurement strategy inducing the LA retailer to make her optimal ordering decision given a random market with a general distribution. We analyze the respective effect of LA degree and reference level on retailer’s optimal procurement strategy, and obtain some intuitive insights, such as, a LA retailer always orders less than a loss-neutral one; increasing LA degree leads to more cautious ordering behavior; a lower RP level leads retailer to over-order, and a higher RP leads to under-order. Moreover, we find that the joint effect from LA degree and RP level on the optimal order quantity is mutually reinforcing. This joint effect also presents results consistent with people’s cognition, that is, the optimal order quantity of a LA retailer with RP is more likely to be lower than a classical retailer, compared to a risk-neutral retailer with RP. We finally provide the sensitivity analysis of parameters on the optimal order strategy.

本文研究了随机市场中一个分段形式的具有数量导向参考点(RP)的损失规避型零售商。建议RP的特点是在低参考水平下三个要素(三种环境下的利润)的双重凸组合,在高参考水平下两个要素(两种环境下的利润)的标准凸组合。我们的目的是利用前景理论和上述分段形成的RP来表征LA零售商在期望利润最大化下的最优采购策略,并从一些参数描述其对采购策略的影响。我们证明了在一般分布的随机市场中存在一种采购策略,可以诱导LA零售商做出最优的订购决策。我们分别分析了LA度和参考水平对零售商最优采购策略的影响,得到了一些直观的见解,例如,LA零售商的订单总是少于亏损中立的零售商;增加的LA度导致更谨慎的点餐行为;较低的RP水平导致零售商超额订货,较高的RP水平导致零售商订单不足。此外,我们发现LA度和RP水平对最优订货量的共同影响是相辅相成的。这种联合效应也呈现出与人们认知一致的结果,即与风险中性零售商相比,具有RP的LA零售商的最优订货量更有可能低于经典零售商。最后给出了参数对最优排序策略的敏感性分析。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing circular supply chain management in the steel industry: an RFID-enabled blockchain framework for sustainability 推进钢铁行业的循环供应链管理:一个支持rfid的可持续发展区块链框架
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06673-x
Sandip Rakshit, Nazrul Islam, Tripti Paul

Circular supply chain management is expected to shift the steel sector from a conventional economic paradigm to a more fruitful circular economy. Furthermore, tracing reusable and recyclable metals across the steel industry’s supply chain necessitates multi-stakeholders’ involvement. Radio frequency identification (RFID) may assist in the governance of the complexity of circular steel supply chain management (CSSCM), strengthening the steel industry’s transparency as well as efficiency. The following research develops a decentralized and service-oriented RFID-enabled blockchain-integrated conceptual framework that incorporates a circular steel supply chain strategy for the B2B steel sector to achieve this goal. Industrial methods, inventory management, and resource utilization are examined in this study. The findings show that RFID-enabled blockchain technology enhanced firm’s capacity to share real-time knowledge with CSSCM stake-holders and aid organizations in the B2B steel sector in understanding the aspects that influence the steel sector’s overall performance. Management must need to understand the value of associated technologies to deliver CSSCM and make choices faster. The implications of adopting RFID-enabled blockchain technology to serve the circular economy are discussed from theoretical, practical, and social perspectives.

循环供应链管理有望将钢铁行业从传统的经济模式转变为更富有成效的循环经济。此外,在整个钢铁行业的供应链中追踪可重复使用和可回收的金属需要多方利益相关者的参与。无线射频识别(RFID)可以帮助治理循环钢铁供应链管理(CSSCM)的复杂性,加强钢铁行业的透明度和效率。以下研究开发了一个分散的、面向服务的、支持rfid的区块链集成概念框架,该框架结合了B2B钢铁行业的循环钢铁供应链战略,以实现这一目标。本研究考察了工业方法、库存管理和资源利用。研究结果表明,启用rfid的区块链技术增强了企业与CSSCM利益相关者分享实时知识的能力,并帮助B2B钢铁行业的组织了解影响钢铁行业整体绩效的各个方面。管理层必须了解相关技术的价值,以便交付CSSCM并更快地做出选择。从理论、实践和社会的角度讨论了采用射频识别技术为循环经济服务的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization and artificial intelligence in logistics management 物流管理中的优化和人工智能
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06700-x
Eduardo Lalla-Ruiz, Martijn R. K. Mes
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引用次数: 0
Grading barriers in IoT adoption for sustainable supply chains: a double hierarchy fuzzy-based Cronbach-WISP model 可持续供应链采用物联网的分级障碍:基于双层次模糊的Cronbach-WISP模型
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06620-w
Raghunathan Krishankumar, Sundararajan Dhruva, Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas, Kattur Soundarapandian Ravichandran

This paper primarily focuses on grading barriers that hinder internet-of-things (IoTs) adoption, which eventually promotes sustainable supply chain execution. As countries globally plan to combat climate change, supply chain sustainability is substantial. Digital technology, such as IoT, supports sustainability within supply chains. Still, studies infer that the adoption could be more direct and involve barriers that must be graded for efficient implementation and planning. Previous barrier grading models (i) did not accept natural language-based ratings; (ii) subjective orientation of experts’ weights is not well explored; (iii) hybrid determination of attributes’ weights is lacking; and (iv) personalized grades for barriers are also unexplored. Motivated by these gaps, this article develops an integrated model by considering preferences in the natural language form via double hierarchy fuzzy data (DHFD). Later, the rank sum (RS) approach is presented for determining the weights of experts, and the RS-Cronbach factor is put forward for the hybrid weight calculation of attributes. An algorithm to grade barriers is proposed based on WISP formulation combined with the Copeland method. Finally, a case example from Coimbatore is presented to understand the framework’s usefulness, and sensitivity/comparison reveals the pros and cons of the framework.

本文主要侧重于对阻碍物联网(iot)采用的障碍进行分级,最终促进可持续供应链的执行。随着全球各国计划应对气候变化,供应链的可持续性至关重要。物联网等数字技术支持供应链的可持续性。尽管如此,研究推断,采用可能更直接,并且涉及必须分级的障碍,以便有效地实施和规划。以前的障碍分级模型(i)不接受基于自然语言的分级;(2)专家权重的主观取向探究不够深入;(iii)缺乏属性权重的混合确定;(四)障碍的个性化等级也未被探索。基于这些不足,本文通过双层次模糊数据(DHFD)来考虑自然语言形式的偏好,开发了一个集成模型。随后,提出秩和法确定专家权重,并提出RS- cronbach因子进行属性混合权重计算。提出了一种基于WISP公式与Copeland方法相结合的障碍物分级算法。最后,从哥印拜陀的一个案例,以了解框架的有用性,和敏感性/比较揭示了框架的利弊。
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引用次数: 0
Transparency of combinatorial optimisations via machine learning and explainable AI 通过机器学习和可解释的人工智能实现组合优化的透明度
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06684-8
Wolfgang Garn, Mehrdad Amirghasemi

In this golden age of artificial intelligence, transparency and responsible decision-making are paramount. While machine learning (ML) and operational research (OR) optimisations are fundamental aspects of AI, the benefits of explainable AI (XAI) for combinatorial optimisations remain underexplored. This study investigates the convergence of XAI and OR, emphasising the importance of transparency in combinatorial optimisations. Using the Knapsack problem as an example, we demonstrate that interpretable ML models can effectively solve combinatorial optimisation challenges and enhance transparency. Additionally, we illustrate the application of post-hoc XAI methods to OR optimisations solved with ML, providing transparent, human-friendly explanations. The key contributions of this work include proposing the application of the SAGE framework for transparent OR, demonstrating the integration of XAI with combinatorial optimisations, and offering practical guidelines for creating transparent explanations. These contributions can aid decision-makers in understanding, communicating, and trusting combinatorial optimisation solutions, paving the way for enhanced transparency in operational research across various sectors.

在这个人工智能的黄金时代,透明度和负责任的决策至关重要。虽然机器学习(ML)和运筹学(OR)优化是人工智能的基本方面,但可解释人工智能(XAI)对组合优化的好处仍未得到充分探索。本研究探讨了XAI和OR的收敛性,强调了组合优化中透明度的重要性。以背包问题为例,我们证明了可解释的ML模型可以有效地解决组合优化挑战并提高透明度。此外,我们说明了post-hoc XAI方法在ML解决OR优化中的应用,提供了透明的、人性化的解释。这项工作的主要贡献包括提出了SAGE框架在透明OR中的应用,展示了XAI与组合优化的集成,并为创建透明解释提供了实用指南。这些贡献可以帮助决策者理解、沟通和信任组合优化解决方案,为提高各个部门运营研究的透明度铺平道路。
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引用次数: 0
How do investor preferences on ESG score influence portfolio management? A Markov model for simulating risk-return expectations 投资者对ESG评分的偏好如何影响投资组合管理?模拟风险收益预期的马尔可夫模型
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06716-3
Salvatore Vergine

In recent years, the increasing interest in financial policies in more sustainable economics and the consequent growth of public awareness about environmental, social, and governance (ESG) companies’ issues have modified investors’ portfolio management through ESG considerations in investment decisions. Consequently, the classic Markowitz mean-variance solution based on expected returns and standard deviation has been modified to consider ESG firm characteristics. This study investigates how investors’ ESG preferences influence portfolio choices and decision-making processes. We employ a discrete-time homogeneous Markov model to analyze ESG rating migration patterns, simulate possible configurations of the efficient frontier in portfolios aligned with sustainable preferences, and optimize portfolio asset weights complying with ESG portfolio performance over a time period. The obtained results provide a means of assessing the impact of the investor’s propensity toward sustainability over time on portfolio profitability. This approach provides insights into how ESG considerations may reshape portfolio performance over time, fostering more informed and ethically guided financial decisions.

近年来,人们对更具可持续性经济的金融政策越来越感兴趣,公众对环境、社会和治理(ESG)公司问题的认识也随之提高,这使得投资者在投资决策中考虑ESG因素,从而改变了他们的投资组合管理。因此,基于预期收益和标准差的经典马科维茨均值-方差解决方案已被修改,以考虑ESG公司的特征。本研究探讨投资者的ESG偏好如何影响投资组合选择和决策过程。我们采用离散时间齐次马尔可夫模型来分析ESG评级迁移模式,模拟符合可持续偏好的投资组合有效前沿的可能配置,并优化符合一段时间内ESG投资组合绩效的投资组合资产权重。所获得的结果提供了一种评估投资者的可持续性倾向对投资组合盈利能力的影响的方法。这种方法可以深入了解ESG因素如何随着时间的推移重塑投资组合的表现,从而促进更明智、更有道德指导的财务决策。
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引用次数: 0
Emerging trends in the interplay between analytics and operations in MSMEs 中小微企业分析与运营之间相互作用的新趋势
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06704-7
Mani Venkatesh, Samuel Fosso Wamba, Angappa Gunasekaran, V. G. Venkatesh

This editorial synthesizes the principal research trends and prospective directions emphasized in the special issue titled Emerging Trends in the Interplay between Analytics and Operations in MSMEs, published in Annals of Operations Research. The contributions underscore the transformative impact of analytics on Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), accentuating the integration of Industry 4.0 technologies, artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, deep learning, blockchain, and big data analytics into operations management. Furthermore, the discussions illuminate emerging trends concerning the application of these technologies in MSMEs, presenting a future roadmap and directions regarding the interplay between analytics and operations. This also affirms a renewed focus on data analytics capabilities in enhancing operational efficiency, resilience, and sustainability within MSMEs. Prospective research directions encompass the development of transparent and responsible AI models, the addressing of implementation challenges related to business intelligence tools, and the fostering of dynamic capabilities to navigate the evolving digital landscape.

这篇社论综合了在《运筹学年鉴》上发表的题为《中小微企业分析与运营相互作用的新趋势》的特刊中强调的主要研究趋势和未来方向。这些贡献强调了分析对微型、小型和中型企业(MSMEs)的变革性影响,强调了工业4.0技术、人工智能(AI)、机器学习、深度学习、区块链和大数据分析与运营管理的整合。此外,讨论阐明了有关这些技术在中小微企业中的应用的新兴趋势,提出了关于分析和运营之间相互作用的未来路线图和方向。这也肯定了对数据分析能力的重新关注,以提高中小微企业的运营效率、弹性和可持续性。未来的研究方向包括开发透明和负责任的人工智能模型,解决与商业智能工具相关的实施挑战,以及培养动态能力,以应对不断变化的数字环境。
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引用次数: 0
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