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Expert Group Meeting on Population Distribution and Migration. 人口分布和移徙问题专家组会议。
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引用次数: 0
Synthesis of the expert group meetings convened as part of the substantive preparations for the International Conference on Population and Development. 综合作为国际人口与发展会议实质性筹备工作的一部分而召开的专家组会议。
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引用次数: 0
Expert Group Meeting on Family Planning, Health and Family Well-Being. 计划生育、保健和家庭福利专家组会议。
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引用次数: 0
Some aspects of the social context of HIV and its effects on women, children and families. 艾滋病毒社会背景的某些方面及其对妇女、儿童和家庭的影响。
A Palloni, Y J Lee
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of adult mortality from paternal orphanhood: a reassessment and a new approach. 估算父亲孤儿的成人死亡率:重新评估与新方法。
I M Timaeus

"This article proposes a new procedure for estimating men's mortality from paternal orphanhood which generally yields more accurate results than the existing approach. A procedure for estimating mortality from maternal orphanhood data based on consistent assumptions is also presented. The theory underlying these methods is outlined.... The article also points out an error made in the tabulation of the weighting factors used until now to estimate mortality from paternal orphanhood. Investigations using simulated data are presented which support the theoretical arguments that suggest that the paternal orphanhood method is more robust than has often been assumed and which confirm that the new approach usually produces more accurate estimates than the weighting factors."

“这篇文章提出了一个估算父亲孤儿造成的男性死亡率的新程序,它通常比现有的方法产生更准确的结果。还提出了一种基于一致假设的估计孕产妇孤儿数据死亡率的程序。下面概述了这些方法背后的理论....文章还指出了迄今为止用于估计父亲孤儿死亡率的加权因子的制表所犯的一个错误。使用模拟数据进行的调查支持理论论点,表明父亲孤儿方法比通常假设的更可靠,并证实新方法通常比加权因素产生更准确的估计。”
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引用次数: 0
Fertility patterns and child survival: a comparative analysis. 生育模式与儿童生存:比较分析。
J Hobcraft
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引用次数: 0
Sensitivity of aggregate period life expectancy to different averaging procedures. 总周期预期寿命对不同平均方法的敏感性。
W Lutz, S Scherbov
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引用次数: 0
Applications of the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule. Heligman/Pollard模型死亡率表的应用。
A Rogers, K Gard

"The United Nations working manual for MORTPAK-Lite, a software package for demographic measurement, includes among its 16 computer programs a routine (UNABR) that graduates a set of age-specific probabilities of dying...for the standard set of five-year age groups into a set of single-year probabilities of dying. The graduation is effected with an eight-parameter 'law of mortality' known as the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule. Model mortality schedules...are useful in mortality analysis and forecasting. Several such applications are illustrated in this article: a historical time-series analysis, a forecasting application, studies of causes of death, spatial differences and sex-specific mortality disaggregated by race." The geographical focus is on the United States, England, and Australia.

“联合国的MORTPAK-Lite工作手册是一个用于人口统计的软件包,在它的16个计算机程序中包括一个例行程序(uncr),它输出一组特定年龄的死亡概率……将五岁年龄组的标准组转化为一组单年死亡概率。毕业是由八个参数的“死亡规律”,即赫利格曼/波拉德模型死亡时间表完成的。模型死亡率表…在死亡率分析和预测中都很有用。本文说明了几种这样的应用:历史时间序列分析、预测应用、死因研究、空间差异和按种族分列的性别死亡率。”地理上的重点是美国、英国和澳大利亚。
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引用次数: 0
South-to-north migration since 1960: the view from the north. 1960年以来的南向北移民:来自北方的观点。
H Zlotnik

"Using statistics on migration flows by country of origin gathered by three of the traditional countries of immigration (Australia, Canada and the United States of America) and five European countries (Belgium, Federal Republic of Germany, Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland), this paper analyses trends in migration from developing to developed countries, the so-called 'South-to-North' component of international migration. The data reveal that persons born in the developing world now constitute a majority of the immigrants admitted for resettlement by the traditional countries of immigration. In Europe, in contrast, migrants from developed countries still predominate in migrant inflows. However, during the 1980s, European countries generally gained population from the developing world, whereas they recorded only small or even negative net migration balances with respect to other developed countries."

“本文利用三个传统移民国家(澳大利亚、加拿大和美利坚合众国)和五个欧洲国家(比利时、德意志联邦共和国、荷兰、瑞典和大不列颠及北爱尔兰联合王国)收集的按原籍国划分的移民流动统计数据,分析了从发展中国家向发达国家的移民趋势,即国际移民的所谓‘南向北’组成部分。数据显示,在发展中世界出生的人现在占传统移民国接纳重新安置的移民的大多数。相比之下,在欧洲,来自发达国家的移民在流入的移民中仍然占主导地位。然而,在1980年代,欧洲国家一般从发展中世界获得人口,而与其他发达国家相比,它们的净移徙余额很少,甚至为负。”
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引用次数: 0
Age misreporting and its effects on adult mortality estimates in Latin America. 拉丁美洲年龄误报及其对成人死亡率估计的影响。
A R Dechter, S H Preston

"This article investigates whether misreporting of ages contributes to the apparently low mortality at older ages in Latin America. It compares the size of cohorts enumerated at two censuses, after allowance for intercensal deaths, in 10 intercensal periods in four countries. It finds evidence of very pervasive overstatement of age at advanced ages. Using an empirical age-reporting matrix for Costa Rica, it estimates the bias that such misstatement produces in measured adult mortality levels in that country."

这篇文章调查了谎报年龄是否导致了拉丁美洲老年人明显较低的死亡率。它比较了在四个国家的10个人口普查期间,两次人口普查中被枚举的队列的规模,在考虑了人口普查期间的死亡后。它发现了在老年时普遍夸大年龄的证据。使用哥斯达黎加的经验年龄报告矩阵,它估计了这种错误陈述在该国测量的成人死亡率水平中产生的偏差。”
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引用次数: 0
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Population bulletin of the United Nations
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