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In This Issue: Russia’s Economic Strategies After 2014 本期:2014年后俄罗斯的经济战略
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111159
P.A.K.
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引用次数: 0
Anti-Russian Sanctions: Then and Now 反俄制裁:当时和现在
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111160
S. V. Kazantsev
ABSTRACT In March 2014, the United States and European Union announced the imposition of sanctions against Russia through measures affecting the Russian Federation in order for the country to meet unconditionally all the demands of the United States and some Western countries against Russia’s position on the issue of Ukraine. The nature of the sanctions suggest they are aimed at Russia’s international isolation, weakening its economy, discrediting its president, and creating the image of a rogue state. Russia is not the first country against which the United States has applied sanctions without United Nations approval. The author cites examples of these sanctions, compares the anti-Russian sanctions with those carried out in secret under President Reagan to weaken the Soviet economy, and addresses the potential negative consequences for Russia due to the economic and financial sanctions imposed on it.
摘要2014年3月,美国和欧盟宣布通过影响俄罗斯联邦的措施对俄罗斯实施制裁,以使该国无条件满足美国和一些西方国家对俄罗斯在乌克兰问题上立场的所有要求。制裁的性质表明,制裁旨在孤立俄罗斯,削弱其经济,抹黑其总统,并塑造流氓国家的形象。俄罗斯并不是美国在未经联合国批准的情况下对其实施制裁的第一个国家。作者列举了这些制裁的例子,将反俄制裁与里根总统时期为削弱苏联经济而秘密实施的制裁进行了比较,并谈到了由于对俄罗斯实施经济和金融制裁而对其产生的潜在负面后果。
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引用次数: 0
The Trans-Siberian and the Silk Road: Global Infrastructure and Regional Development 跨西伯利亚与丝绸之路:全球基础设施与区域发展
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111181
L. Bezrukov
ABSTRACT This article analyzes the problem of the competitiveness of the Trans-Siberian as compared to overland versions of the Silk Road. It proves the utility of creating international transport corridors in order to not only organize transit shipments but also integrate both economically and politically the Eurasian space; that is, first and foremost, to activate cross-border economic cooperation between the adjacent regions of Russia, China, and Kazakhstan. Such cooperation is a promising path that lessens the unprofitable consequences of the intracontinental position of these regions.
摘要本文分析了跨西伯利亚地区与陆上丝绸之路相比的竞争力问题。它证明了建立国际运输走廊的效用,以便不仅组织过境运输,而且在经济和政治上整合欧亚空间;即,首先,激活俄罗斯、中国和哈萨克斯坦邻近地区之间的跨境经济合作。这种合作是一条有希望的道路,可以减少这些地区大陆内地位带来的无利可图的后果。
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引用次数: 0
Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain: Potential Applications in Government and Business 加密货币和区块链:在政府和企业中的潜在应用
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111186
A. Pestunov
ABSTRACT Cryptocurrencies and distributed registers (blockchains) have recently attracted increased interest among specialists from the widest variety of fields. In turn, the public has generated a pool of regularly asked questions, which have not yet been answered thoroughly. This article provides lines of reasoning with regard to several popular questions linked to this subject. It also addresses issues such as the creation of national cryptocurrencies and use of blockchain technology by businesses and governments. In addition, it analyzes the opinion that cryptocurrencies are a financial pyramid. Finally, it briefly examines the configuration of Bitcoin’s distributed register and looks at how this register could be affected by the hypothetical creation of a quantum computer.
摘要加密货币和分布式寄存器(区块链)最近吸引了来自最广泛领域的专家越来越多的兴趣。反过来,公众产生了一系列经常被问到的问题,但这些问题还没有得到彻底的回答。这篇文章提供了与这个主题相关的几个流行问题的推理思路。它还解决了国家加密货币的创建以及企业和政府使用区块链技术等问题。此外,它还分析了加密货币是一个金融金字塔的观点。最后,它简要检查了比特币分布式寄存器的配置,并观察了该寄存器如何受到量子计算机假设创建的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Development of Russia’s Food Complex under the Sanctions 制裁下俄罗斯粮食综合体的战略发展
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111175
V. Goncharov
ABSTRACT Under market conditions, the successful operation of agricultural enterprises is not possible without an effective development strategy. Currently, it is impossible to modernize all industries of the food complex. Therefore, it is important to identify specific manageable problems. The two major challenges in this respect are animal breeding and seed production. In both cases, there is a high dependence on imports. This article argues that to promote Russian seedstock and breeding animals it is necessary to restructure the organization of production and to establish closer cooperation between scientific organizations and the Ministry of Agriculture. By scaling up production within a schema of specialized zones, the vertical integration of agricultural production could provide the industry with the necessary resources. The food complex is the core of vertical agro-food systems. In this case, federal and local authorities must fully support the development of integration.
在市场条件下,农业企业的成功经营离不开有效的发展战略。目前,不可能实现食品综合体所有产业的现代化。因此,确定具体的可管理问题是很重要的。这方面的两大挑战是动物育种和种子生产。在这两种情况下,都高度依赖进口。本文认为,为了促进俄罗斯种畜和种畜的发展,有必要调整生产组织结构,并在科学组织和农业部之间建立更密切的合作。通过在专业化区域内扩大生产规模,农业生产的垂直整合可以为该行业提供必要的资源。食品综合体是垂直农业食品系统的核心。在这种情况下,联邦和地方当局必须充分支持融合的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Import Substitution in Russia: The Need for a System-Strategic Approach 俄罗斯进口替代:系统战略方针的必要性
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111162
S. Tolkachev, A. Teplyakov
ABSTRACT Russia is currently implementing a policy of import substitution. Although some positive results have been achieved (e.g., in the agricultural industry and the pharmaceutical industry), there are still significant problems with the current approach. The present article considers the successes and challenges of Russia’s current import substitution policy and offers several solutions that should facilitate significant economic growth. In particular, we argue that a systematic approach to import substitution should focus on stimulating the industrial base through government regulation and support, which is better than the present policy of maintaining a relatively unregulated domestic free market and relying on the import of foreign technology. This article reviews several arguments in favor and against this approach and concludes that under current economic conditions, the best way forward for the Russian economy involves the transition to a system-strategic approach to import substitution, which requires a reevaluation of macroeconomic policy and the rejection of certain liberal principles (e.g., rigid monetary policy, floating exchange rates, and abstaining from currency restrictions). In light of foreign experience, we argue that this model has been successfully implemented in countries that are currently technological leaders in global value chains and that this model can likewise help Russia develop its industrial base.
俄罗斯目前正在实施进口替代政策。虽然已经取得了一些积极的成果(例如,在农业工业和制药工业),但目前的方法仍然存在重大问题。本文考虑了俄罗斯目前进口替代政策的成功和挑战,并提供了一些应促进显著经济增长的解决方案。特别是,我们认为,进口替代的系统方法应侧重于通过政府监管和支持来刺激工业基础,这比目前维持一个相对不受管制的国内自由市场和依赖外国技术进口的政策要好。本文回顾了支持和反对这种方法的几个论点,并得出结论,在当前的经济条件下,俄罗斯经济向前发展的最佳途径包括向进口替代的系统战略方法过渡,这需要对宏观经济政策进行重新评估,并拒绝某些自由主义原则(例如,刚性货币政策、浮动汇率和放弃货币限制)。根据国外的经验,我们认为这一模式已经成功地在全球价值链中处于技术领先地位的国家实施,这种模式同样可以帮助俄罗斯发展其工业基础。
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引用次数: 0
On the Strategy for the Economic Security and Socioeconomic Development of Russia 论俄罗斯的经济安全与社会经济发展战略
Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2022.2111173
V. B. Daskovsky
ABSTRACT On May 13, 2017, the “Strategy for the Economic Security of the Russian Federation up to 2030” was ratified by the Russian government. This article considers the major question the “Strategy” tries to answer: How can Russia’s economic security by achieved and maintained? One major problem facing Russia today is the lack of government regulation of the economy. We consider some of the negative consequences of the lack of regulation, in particular massive deindustrialization. We describe several causes of deindustrialization (e.g., failed privatization and the absence of investment) and propose several ways that government regulation can facilitate the reindustrialization of the national economy (reinvesting resource wealth and creating long-term loans). Finally, we argue that to reverse negative economic trends, Russia must adopt a two-phase strategy to be completed in twelve years (2019–2030), which necessitates the mobilization of major financial and organizational resources. The first six-year phase (2019–2024) covers the massive innovative reconstruction of existing low-profit and negative-profit enterprises, and the second stage (2025–2030) will create large modern enterprises. The main goal for this twelve-year strategy is to bring the Russian economy into the orbit of the industrialized countries and to use the system of innovation accumulated during this time to start the new stage of state-corporate capitalism characterized by industrialization.
摘要2017年5月13日,俄罗斯政府批准了《至2030年俄罗斯联邦经济安全战略》。本文探讨了《战略》试图回答的一个主要问题:如何实现和维护俄罗斯的经济安全?俄罗斯目前面临的一个主要问题是缺乏政府对经济的监管。我们考虑到缺乏监管的一些负面后果,特别是大规模去工业化。我们描述了去工业化的几个原因(例如,私有化失败和缺乏投资),并提出了政府监管可以促进国民经济再工业化的几种方式(资源财富再投资和创造长期贷款)。最后,我们认为,为了扭转负面经济趋势,俄罗斯必须采取一项在12年内(2019-2030年)完成的两阶段战略,这需要调动主要的财政和组织资源。第一个六年阶段(2019–2024)涵盖对现有低利润和负利润企业的大规模创新重建,第二阶段(2025–2030)将创建大型现代企业。这一十二年战略的主要目标是将俄罗斯经济纳入工业化国家的轨道,并利用这一时期积累的创新体系,开启以工业化为特征的国家企业资本主义的新阶段。
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引用次数: 0
The “Immortal Regiment”: A “Holiday Through Tears,” a Parade of the Dead, or a Mass Protest? “不朽军团”:一个“泪流满面的节日”,一场死者的游行,还是一场大规模抗议?
Pub Date : 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2021.2002043
I. Kurilla
ABSTRACT The history of the Great Patriotic War has become post-Soviet Russia’s universal language for political discussion and the only effective “bond.” As the most advantageous narrative from the perspective of the regime’s interests, it is this narrative of war that the Kremlin seeks to control above all. Memory of the war has been “appropriated” by the state, and the more freedom it has to manipulate this, the less veterans are able to challenge its triumphal mythmaking. However, the memory of war is, for most Russians, not limited to any official narrative in school texts, books, or films. For each family, it is also a family history, an object of pride, and a memory of tragedy. The state’s appropriation of the war and the pressure of “military-patriotic propaganda” have sparked resistance among a significant portion of society, along with a desire to affirm their own family memories. The “Immortal Regiment” was originally an attempt to seize power from the state monopoly and to assert the history of the war as a family history, one not inscribed in the state narrative alone, but that also subordinates the state narrative to family memory. Millions of Russians took to the streets to assert their right to history, the most powerful political statement in Russia’s entire post-Soviet history. The state has tried to paint the Immortal Regiment as a loyalist movement, because it speaks to the same topic that constitutes the core of the regime’s own political ideology, the Great Patriotic War. Meanwhile, it is clear even to the regime itself that this movement is discussing the war differently, in fact undermining the state’s interpretive monopoly on the military past and, consequently, its right to make political statements that exploit the theme of the war. It nevertheless remains too early to say whether the state has fully integrated this action into the propaganda mainstream. Furthermore, the power of the Immortal Regiment is even forcing propaganda to adapt to the demands of family and personal memory.
摘要伟大卫国战争的历史已经成为后苏联时代俄罗斯政治讨论的通用语言,也是唯一有效的“纽带”。作为从政权利益角度来看最有利的叙事,克里姆林宫最想控制的就是这种战争叙事。对战争的记忆被国家“侵占”了,国家操纵战争的自由度越高,退伍军人就越难挑战其胜利神话。然而,对大多数俄罗斯人来说,对战争的记忆并不局限于学校课本、书籍或电影中的任何官方叙事。对每个家庭来说,这也是一段家族历史,一个值得骄傲的对象,一个悲剧的记忆。国家对战争的挪用和“军事爱国宣传”的压力在社会的很大一部分人中引发了抵抗,同时也引发了肯定自己家庭记忆的愿望。“不朽军团”最初是试图从国家垄断中夺取权力,并将战争史视为家族史,这不是一部单独刻在国家叙事中的历史,而是一部将国家叙事置于家族记忆之下的历史。数百万俄罗斯人走上街头,维护他们的历史权利,这是俄罗斯整个后苏联历史上最有力的政治声明。国家试图将不朽军团描绘成一场忠诚的运动,因为它涉及的主题与该政权自身政治意识形态的核心——伟大卫国战争——相同。与此同时,即使是政权本身也很清楚,这场运动正在以不同的方式讨论战争,事实上破坏了国家对军事过去的解释垄断,从而破坏了国家发表利用战争主题的政治声明的权利。然而,现在说国家是否已经将这一行动完全纳入宣传主流还为时过早。此外,不朽军团的力量甚至迫使宣传适应家庭和个人记忆的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Crimea 克里米亚
Pub Date : 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2021.2002064
M. Deliagin
The author examines the role of Crimea in the Russian state, beginning with a justification of the legality of the region's annexation as both a reflection of the historical connection between Crimea and Russia and the result of the illegitimacy of the post-coup government in Ukraine. He then turns to the potential role of the integration of Crimea as a national project that could revive Russia while allowing its leaders to root out traitors and other undesirables from among the Russian elites.
作者考察了克里米亚在俄罗斯国家中的作用,首先证明了该地区吞并的合法性,这既是克里米亚与俄罗斯之间历史联系的反映,也是乌克兰政变后政府非法性的结果。然后,他谈到了克里米亚一体化作为一个国家项目的潜在作用,它可以复兴俄罗斯,同时允许俄罗斯领导人从俄罗斯精英中铲除叛徒和其他不受欢迎的人。
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引用次数: 0
The Price of Victory 胜利的代价
Pub Date : 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/10611428.2021.2002077
V.L. Stepanov
This article examines the role of the economic factor in the war and the consequences of the war for the Russian economy. The author describes the country's critical economic situation and financial difficulties on the eve of the war. He concludes that the exorbitant expenditures on the war caused irreparable damage to the Russian treasury and forced the government to adopt a more circumspect foreign policy and avoid another international conflict.
本文探讨了经济因素在战争中的作用以及战争对俄罗斯经济的影响。作者描述了战争前夕该国严峻的经济形势和财政困难。他得出的结论是,战争开支过高对俄罗斯财政造成了无法弥补的损害,迫使政府采取更加谨慎的外交政策,避免再次发生国际冲突。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Russian social science review : a journal of translations
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