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Persian Gulf Security: Lessons of the Past and the Need for New Thinking 波斯湾安全:过去的教训和新思维的需要
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/sais.1992.0017
S. Hunter
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引用次数: 1
Northern Ireland: A Manageable Conflict? 北爱尔兰:一场可控的冲突?
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1994.0016
Padraig O’Malley
Early in 1992 a citizens' group, Initiative '92, was set up under the direction of Robin Wilson, editor of Fortnight, and Simon Lee, profes? sor of jurisprudence at Queen's University, Belfast. Their idea was for an independent commission of inquiry to which the people of North? ern Ireland and those beyond who were concerned about it would be invited to submit ideas on possible ways forward for the region. Apart from that, there would be no limitation on what the ideas could be about; they realised it was vital that the terms of reference of such a commission should be kept as open as possible, so that no view would be excluded.
1992年初,一个名为“92倡议”的公民组织在《两周周刊》编辑罗宾·威尔逊和西蒙·李教授的指导下成立。贝尔法斯特女王大学法学博士。他们的想法是成立一个独立的调查委员会。我们将邀请爱尔兰和其他对此表示关注的国家就该地区可能的前进道路提出意见。除此之外,创意的内容也没有限制;他们认识到至关重要的是,这样一个委员会的职权范围应尽可能保持公开,以便不排除任何意见。
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引用次数: 1
Industrial Contraction: Facing the Paradoxes of the Post-Cold War 工业收缩:面对冷战后的悖论
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1993.0030
J. Gansler
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引用次数: 3
France and European Security after the INF Treaty 《中导条约》后的法国与欧洲安全
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1988.0041
P. Gordon
-Cor the second time in this decade, Europe must sort itself out in the wake of a "Euromissile crisis." This time, the question is not whether to accept deployment of U.S. nuclear weapons — their successful and peaceful installation ended that discussion — but what their removal will mean and how best to respond to it. The Reagan-Gorbachev INF (intermediate-range nuclear forces) agreement last December is rightly being seen as a turning point in Western Europe's postwar defense narrative, and policymakers across the Continent are asking what this treaty, and the trends it symbolizes, means for the security of their countries. Nowhere is reappraisal more serious or more consequential than in France, where the degree of high-level and public debate, diplomacy, and military handwringing in the wake of recent developments has been considerable. Even in a country known for its defense "consensus" and its stubborn clinging to General Charles de Gaulle's military policies, the changing security environment has led to anything but continuity. Instead, France has begun to reexamine and even revise existing policies, to consider, enhance, or create alliances with different European partners, and to study military options more closely than ever. The main focus of these deliberations has been, not surprisingly, the role France can and should play in a West European defense that is more independent from the United States. Since the Reagan administration first began seriously courting its Kremlin counterpart late last year, leaders in Paris have begun to take note of other ominous signs that the U.S. contribution to European security cannot be taken for granted. Even though many observers, in France as elsewhere, have long
——这是十年来第二次,欧洲必须在“欧洲导弹危机”之后理清自己的头绪。这一次,问题不在于是否接受美国部署核武器——核武器的成功和平部署结束了那次讨论——而是核武器的移除意味着什么,以及如何最好地对此作出回应。去年12月,里根-戈尔巴乔夫签署的中程核力量协议被理所当然地视为西欧战后防务叙事的一个转折点,欧洲大陆的政策制定者都在问,这项条约及其所象征的趋势对他们国家的安全意味着什么。没有哪个地方的重新评估比法国更严肃或更重要,在法国,高层和公共辩论、外交和军事上的绝望程度在最近的事态发展之后已经相当可观。即使在一个以国防“共识”和对戴高乐将军军事政策的顽固坚持而闻名的国家,不断变化的安全环境也导致了任何事情,而不是连续性。相反,法国已经开始重新审视甚至修改现有政策,考虑、加强或建立与不同欧洲伙伴的联盟,并比以往任何时候都更密切地研究军事选择。毫无疑问,这些讨论的主要焦点是,在更加独立于美国的西欧防务中,法国能够而且应该扮演什么样的角色。自从里根政府去年年底开始认真讨好克里姆林宫以来,巴黎的领导人已经开始注意到其他不祥的迹象,即美国对欧洲安全的贡献不能被视为理所当然。尽管在法国和其他地方的许多观察家都有很长的时间
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引用次数: 0
Terrorism: Its Political Uses and Abuses 恐怖主义:它的政治用途和滥用
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1987.0034
G. Sick
.ERRORISM, TO PARAPHRASE CLAUSEWITZ, is the continuation of politics by other means. The political content of the terrorist act distinguishes it from such ordinary criminal activities as murder, robbery, hijacking and extortion— all of which are committed with far greater frequency by vastly larger numbers of nonterrorists for motives of simple profit or passion. Terrorists become terrorists, at least initially, for reasons associated with politics. After a certain amount of time, of course, terrorists may continue to be terrorists for no reason except that they are terrorists. More than most vocations, terrorism does not easily lend itself to career changes. But the initial impulse that led a group to adopt terrorism as a method of operation or that persuaded an individual to participate in such activities almost certainly had its origins in political circumstances. Indeed, the political nature of their origin and proclaimed purpose is the most important common characteristic shared by such disparate groups as the Sendero Luminoso of Peru, the Provisional Irish Republican Army, the dissident Sikhs of India, the Moro National Liberation Front of the Philippines, the Armenian Secret Army for the Liberation of Armenia, the Italian Red Brigades, the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, and in the United States, organizations as diverse as the Puerto Rican Front for National Liberation, the Weather Underground, the Jewish Defense League, and a scattering of neo-fascist groups.
用克劳塞维茨的话来说,恐怖主义是政治的另一种延续。恐怖主义行为的政治内容使其与谋杀、抢劫、劫持和勒索等普通犯罪活动区别开来- -所有这些行为都是由数量多得多的非恐怖分子出于单纯的利益或激情动机而频繁进行的。恐怖分子之所以成为恐怖分子,至少在一开始是由于与政治有关的原因。当然,在一段时间之后,恐怖分子可能会毫无理由地继续成为恐怖分子,只是因为他们是恐怖分子。与大多数职业相比,恐怖主义不容易让人转行。但是,导致一个团体采用恐怖主义作为一种行动方法或说服个人参与此类活动的最初冲动几乎肯定源于政治环境。的确,这些组织的起源和所宣布的目的的政治性质是秘鲁的光辉之旅、爱尔兰共和军、印度持不同政见的锡克教人、菲律宾的摩洛民族解放阵线、解放亚美尼亚的亚美尼亚秘密军、意大利红色旅、解放巴勒斯坦人民阵线和美国的人民解放阵线等不同团体所具有的最重要的共同特点。各种各样的组织,如波多黎各民族解放阵线、地下气象组织、犹太保卫联盟,以及零星的新法西斯组织。
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引用次数: 2
Mexico in Transition: Essays from Both Sides of the Border, and: U.S.-Mexican Economic Relations: Prospects and Problems (review) 转型中的墨西哥:来自边境两侧的文章,以及:美墨经济关系:前景与问题(评论)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/sais.1989.0004
E. Medina
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引用次数: 1
Conflict and War in the Middle East, 1967-91: Regional Dynamic and the Superpowers (review) 1967-91年中东冲突与战争:地区动态与超级大国(回顾)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1993.0057
D. Pervin
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引用次数: 0
Does Japan Speak to Africa? 日本对非洲说话吗?
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1983.0034
J. Powelson
Japan has a story to tell to Africa, but it is not one that Africa will want to hear. Nor will development economists, nor will American policymakers. It implies that the policies and theories of all three groups are off the track. Yet, it is a story that all three must not only listen to, but ultimately heed. Japan has been considered a maverick in economic development. "It could not happen the same way elsewhere," economists and policymakers say. The Japanese are disciplined and organized, more so than any country in the Third World. Yet historians have known that Japan and Western Europe, the very two areas with the highest level of industrialization, have strong similarities that date back thirteen to fifteen centuries. Those similarities have not found their way into development theory, and therein lies the deficiency of economists. Therein also lies the bane for American policymakers, who have too much relied on mainstream economic theory. In this article, I will argue that Japan's secret lies in her history, and one must go far back to find it. Instead of dealing with present-day Japanese behavior, therefore, I go back to the beginning. I will construct a set of hypotheses—call it a theory if you like—drawn from both Japan and Europe. Despite the smallness of sample, I will argue that certain characteristics of
日本有一个故事要告诉非洲,但这不是非洲想听的。发展经济学家也不会,美国的政策制定者也不会。这意味着这三个集团的政策和理论都偏离了轨道。然而,这三个国家不仅必须倾听这个故事,而且最终必须听从这个故事。日本一直被认为是经济发展的特立独行者。经济学家和政策制定者表示:“其他地方不可能出现同样的情况。”日本人是有纪律有组织的,比第三世界的任何国家都强。然而,历史学家已经知道,日本和西欧这两个工业化程度最高的地区,在13到15世纪之间有着强烈的相似之处。这些相似之处并没有出现在发展理论中,这也是经济学家的不足之处。这也是美国政策制定者的祸根,他们过于依赖主流经济理论。在这篇文章中,我将论证日本的秘密在于她的历史,人们必须追溯到很久以前才能找到它。因此,我不讨论当今日本人的行为,而是从头开始。我将从日本和欧洲建立一套假设——如果你愿意,可以称之为理论。尽管样本很小,但我认为
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引用次数: 0
Redesigning U.S. Foreign Aid 重新设计美国的对外援助
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1994.0031
Gary Posz, Bruce Janigian, J. Jun
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引用次数: 1
Palestinians in the Arab World (review) 阿拉伯世界的巴勒斯坦人(回顾)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1993.0041
Houeida Saad
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引用次数: 1
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