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Germany Debates Defense: The NATO Alliance at the Crossroads, and: Conventional Deterrence (review) 德国辩论国防:北约联盟在十字路口,和:常规威慑(回顾)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1985.0045
W. Hoffman
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引用次数: 0
Interview: Helmut Sonnenfeldt with Philip Geyelin 采访:Helmut Sonnenfeldt和Philip Geyelin
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1982.0017
H. Sonnenfeldt, Philip L. Geyelin
Helmut Sonnenfeldt, now a visiting scholar at the Brookings Institute, was born in Berlin and became a U.S. citizen in 1944. A graduate of SAIS, he was thL· review's first editor. Later he served as a Soviet scholar and director of intelligence and research in the State Department, moved to the White House to become senior member of the National Security Council staff, and then returned to the State Department as counselor under Secretary KL·singer. In 1976 he was "traduced," in ^singer's words, by a series of newspaper columns that elevated a confidential account of an informal policy dmussion to the level of a "Sonnenfeldt Doctrine." The incident was shortly caught up in the presidential campaign of that year as evidence of a supposed "softness" toward the Soviet's role in Eastern Europe—"an absurd accusation," according to Kttsinger, "reflecting a woeful ignorance of the convictions and contributions of an outstanding public servant" whose "superb analyses" have been confirmed "with the passage of time to be penetrating, shrewd, and wL·^ " In the following interview with Philip Geyelin, syndicated columntit and editor-in-residence at The Johns Hopkins Foreign Policy Institute, SAIS, Mr. Sonnenfeldt dxcusses the circumstances surrounding the matter ofthe "Sonnenfeldt Doctrine" and updates hL· views on current issues having to do with Poland in particuhr, and East-West refations in general.
赫尔穆特·索南菲尔德(Helmut Sonnenfeldt)现在是布鲁金斯研究所(Brookings Institute)的访问学者,出生于柏林,1944年成为美国公民。他毕业于上海国际贸易学院,是《时代评论》的首任编辑。后来,他在国务院担任苏联学者和情报与研究主任,搬到白宫成为国家安全委员会的高级成员,然后回到国务院担任国务卿KL·辛格的顾问。1976年,用辛格的话说,他受到了一系列报纸专栏的“诽谤”,这些专栏将一份非正式政策讨论的机密报告提升到了“索南菲尔德主义”的水平。这一事件很快成为当年总统竞选活动的焦点,被认为是对苏联在东欧扮演的角色“软弱”的证据——“一个荒谬的指控”,根据Kttsinger的说法,“反映了对一位杰出公务员的信念和贡献的可悲无知”,他的“精湛的分析”已经被“随着时间的推移”证实为“敏锐、精明和智慧”。在对约翰霍普金斯外交政策研究所联合专栏作家兼驻校编辑菲利普·格耶林的采访中,索南菲尔德先生讨论了围绕“索南菲尔德主义”的情况,并更新了他对当前问题的看法,特别是与波兰有关的问题,以及一般的东西方关系。
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引用次数: 0
Europe 1992: The Opportunity and the Challenge for U.S. Economic Interests 1992年的欧洲:美国经济利益的机遇与挑战
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1990.0002
S. Cooney
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引用次数: 1
Germany, America, Europe: Forty Years of German Foreign Policy (review) 德国、美国、欧洲:德国外交政策四十年(回顾)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1990.0025
Victoria Keefe
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引用次数: 0
Problems of Adjustment: The Gorbachev Effect in Eastern Europe 调整的问题:东欧的戈尔巴乔夫效应
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1988.0002
O. Pick
Tlie myth of a monolithic Soviet empire in Eastern Europe exploded long before Gorbachev launched his program of reforms. Even in the years immediately after World War II Stalin's concept of a uniformly obedient ring of satellite states on the western periphery of the USSR did not last long. Although the establishment of communist control in Czechoslovakia in February 1948 seemed to complete the imposition of Soviet hegemony in Eastern Europe, the defection of Yugoslavia shattered the monolith within weeks. Tito's success in maintaining his country's independence exercised a profound influence on the communist leaders of the other East European countries. This effect was reinforced by Khrushchev's clumsy attempts to heal the breach between the two countries, affirmed in the 1955 Belgrade Declaration, which, in effect, proclaimed the right of each communist regime to seek socialist salvation in its own way. The East European purges, which had disfigured the closing years of Stalin's rule, had been in vain. After 1956 the USSR was reduced to propping up the ailing economies of its East European allies and protecting its own security interests. Perceptions of threats to Soviet security and stability, rather than any desire to impose the slavish ideological conformity that Stalin had sought, prompted the suppression of the Hungarian revolution in 1956, the invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968, and, more recently, the support of Jaruzelski's attempt to reimpose effective control in Poland. Within the parameters of the Soviet Union's security interests, the East European
早在戈尔巴乔夫开始他的改革计划之前,东欧一个庞大的苏联帝国的神话就破灭了。即使在第二次世界大战后的几年里,斯大林在苏联西部边缘建立一个统一服从的卫星国圈的概念也没有持续太久。虽然1948年2月在捷克斯洛伐克建立共产主义控制似乎完成了苏联在东欧的霸权,但南斯拉夫的叛逃在几周内打破了这一巨石。铁托在维护国家独立方面的成功对其他东欧国家的共产主义领导人产生了深远的影响。赫鲁晓夫笨拙地试图弥合两国之间的裂痕,这一点在1955年的《贝尔格莱德宣言》中得到了肯定,该宣言实际上宣布了每个共产主义政权都有权以自己的方式寻求社会主义救赎,从而加强了这种影响。在斯大林统治的最后几年,东欧的大清洗使其颜面尽失,但却徒劳无功。1956年之后,苏联沦落到支持其东欧盟友的经济衰退和保护自己的安全利益。对苏联安全与稳定的威胁的认知,而不是斯大林所寻求的强加奴性意识形态一致性的愿望,促使了1956年对匈牙利革命的镇压,1968年对捷克斯洛伐克的入侵,以及最近对雅鲁泽尔斯基在波兰重新实施有效控制的支持。在苏联安全利益的范围内,东欧
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引用次数: 1
Jamaica: The Limits of a Showcase Policy 牙买加:展示政策的局限性
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1985.0048
S. Tollefson
V.iOLENT protests rocked Jamaica for two days in January 1985 and shattered a four-year period of relative tranquility, evoking grim memories of the Dominican Republic uprising in April of the preceding year. The Kingston demonstrations, sparked by an increase of twenty-one percent in fuel prices, resulted in the death of at least seven people and the injury of twenty others, leading many observers to question the effectiveness of U.S. policy vis-à-vis Jamaica.1 That policy can only be analyzed in the broader context of U.S. policy in the Caribbean and Central America. The Reagan administration, in an attempt to halt perceived Soviet and Cuban influence in a region considered vital to U.S. national interests, has pursued an activist policy. President Reagan emphasized the strategic importance of the region three years ago: "Nearly half of our trade, two-thirds of our imported oil, and [more than] half of our imported strategic minerals pass through the Panama Canal or the Gulf of Mexico."2 The activist policy seeks to achieve U.S. political and strategic objectives through increased levels of economic and technical assistance.
1985年1月,暴力抗议活动在牙买加持续了两天,打破了四年的相对平静,唤起了人们对前一年4月多米尼加共和国起义的可怕记忆。金斯敦的示威活动是由燃油价格上涨21%引发的,导致至少7人死亡,20人受伤,导致许多观察人士质疑美国对-à-vis牙买加政策的有效性。这项政策只能在美国对加勒比和中美洲政策的更广泛背景下进行分析。里根政府试图阻止苏联和古巴在这个被认为对美国国家利益至关重要的地区的影响,采取了积极的政策。三年前,里根总统强调了该地区的战略重要性:“我们近一半的贸易、三分之二的进口石油和(超过)一半的进口战略矿产都要经过巴拿马运河或墨西哥湾。”积极主义政策寻求通过提高经济和技术援助水平来实现美国的政治和战略目标。
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引用次数: 1
The United States, Japan, and the Emerging East Asian Order 美国、日本和新兴的东亚秩序
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/sais.1984.0016
N. Thayer
he nations of East Asia and North America have come to constitute a new international order. At the core of this order are Australia, Canada, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Pacific ministates, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, the United States, and the two city-states of Singapore and Hong Kong. Because the nations are so varied, however, identification among them is weak and regional cooperation suffers. At the periphery of this order are the Asian Socialist states of the People's Republic of China (prc), North Korea, the Soviet Union, and Vietnam, which includes Laos and Kampuchea. Relations among these states are dominated, for the most part, by balance-ofpower considerations, and their relations with the core states of the East Asian international order have been adversarial, although this is beginning to change. Most core states have established at least informal relations with China and the Soviet Union; for instance, Thailand uses its ties with China to contain Vietnam, and South Korea has considered outflanking North Korea by offering support to the Soviet Union in developing Siberia. Even though the security relations in East Asia are far from resolved, and balance-of-power considerations still very much in evidence, security systems have not emerged as a principal concern for these nations, which, for the most part, have been content to fend for themselves or, at best, to enter into bilateral security treaties. These arrangements have sufficed. In fact, they have failed to protect the parties involved on only one occasion, when the Chinese invaded Vietnam, which had signed a friendship treaty with the Soviet Union.
东亚和北美国家已经形成了一种新的国际秩序。这一秩序的核心是澳大利亚、加拿大、印度尼西亚、日本、马来西亚、新西兰、太平洋沿岸国家、菲律宾、韩国、台湾、泰国、美国以及新加坡和香港这两个城邦。然而,由于这些国家千差万别,它们之间的认同感很弱,区域合作受到影响。在这一秩序的外围是中华人民共和国、朝鲜、苏联和越南(包括老挝和柬埔寨)等亚洲社会主义国家。这些国家之间的关系在很大程度上是由均势考虑主导的,它们与东亚国际秩序核心国家的关系一直是对抗性的,尽管这种情况正在开始改变。大多数核心国家至少与中国和苏联建立了非正式关系;例如,泰国利用与中国的关系来遏制越南,韩国考虑通过在开发西伯利亚方面向苏联提供支持来包抄朝鲜。尽管东亚地区的安全关系远未解决,力量平衡的考虑仍然非常明显,但安全体系尚未成为这些国家的主要关切,它们大多数满足于自谋出路,或者充其量是签订双边安全条约。这些安排已经足够了。事实上,他们只有一次没能保护相关各方,那就是中国入侵与苏联签订友好条约的越南。
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引用次数: 0
Taking Europe Seriously (review) 认真对待欧洲(回顾)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1992.0039
T. Ryan
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引用次数: 0
Economic Development: The History of an Idea (review) 经济发展:一种思想的历史(评论)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/SAIS.1988.0020
Scott Andrew Goidel
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引用次数: 1
Governments and Corporations in a Shrinking World: Trade and Innovation Policies in the United States, Europe, and Japan (review) 缩小世界中的政府和企业:美国、欧洲和日本的贸易和创新政策(评论)
Pub Date : 2012-07-11 DOI: 10.1353/sais.1991.0016
Ahmet I. Kiziltan
For all the insights that it provides on the national motivations that produced the Free Trade Agreement, Making Free Trade Work fails to address the larger issue of the future of the Agreement. This book is guilty of having taken the economic and political contexts of the Free Trade Agreement for granted, and of completely disregarding two very serious realities. These realities—a Mexico ready and willing to deal and a Canada where the Free Trade Agreement is certain to have a difficult future—cannot be ignored.
尽管它提供了关于产生自由贸易协定的国家动机的所有见解,但《使自由贸易发挥作用》未能解决该协定未来的更大问题。这本书的错误在于把自由贸易协定的经济和政治背景视为理所当然,完全忽视了两个非常严重的现实。这些现实——墨西哥已经准备好并愿意进行交易,而加拿大的自由贸易协定肯定会有一个艰难的未来——不能被忽视。
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引用次数: 11
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SAIS review (Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies)
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