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The Virgin of “EL CISNE” and the Ecuadorian Families Resident in Madrid “EL CISNE”圣母和居住在马德里的厄瓜多尔家庭
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.24193/RJPS.2017.1.02
M. C. Espinosa
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引用次数: 0
The new aspects of the research field 研究领域的新方面
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.24193/RJPS.2017.1.08
Anca Aştilean
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引用次数: 0
“Minding the gap” in the research on human trafficking for sexual purposes 以性为目的的人口贩运研究中的“填补空白”
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.24193/RJPS.2017.1.05
R. Pascoal
. Since the signature of the United Nations Trafficking Protocol in December 2000 that human trafficking has been labeled as a transnational, complex criminal phenomenon. However, despite the implementation of international soft law instruments to tackle the phenomenon, human trafficking is constantly evolving by the frequent changes of strategies, routes, types of exploitation and methodologies applied by the criminal networks. This flexibility of the phenomenon does not only difficult the implementation of effective tackling measures, but it also demonstrates to be an obstacle to produce accurate information on the subject (Cusick et al. 2009). Therefore, this paper aims to analyse the implementation of qualitative research on human trafficking for sexual purposes by 1) the identification of the obstacles on the research; 2) the application of an ethical conduct during the research; 3) the problematic of the participative observation method on the sexual exploitation.
. 自2000年12月《联合国人口贩运议定书》签署以来,人口贩运已被定性为一种跨国、复杂的犯罪现象。然而,尽管执行了处理这一现象的国际软性法律文书,但由于犯罪网络的战略、路线、剥削类型和方法的频繁变化,人口贩运仍在不断演变。这种现象的灵活性不仅难以实施有效的应对措施,而且也证明是产生关于该主题的准确信息的障碍(Cusick et al. 2009)。因此,本文旨在分析以性为目的的人口贩运定性研究的实施情况:1)确定研究的障碍;2)研究过程中伦理行为的应用;性剥削参与式观察法存在的问题。
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引用次数: 5
Utilization of institutional delivery services across successive births in India 印度连续分娩机构接生服务的利用情况
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.02.006
P. Dixit, L. Dwivedi
As institutional delivery centers usually have much better modern facilities and hygienic conditions in India, utilization of institutional delivery services could improve maternal and child health. The objective of this paper is to address the issue of whether women were consistent in delivering births in an institutional care center over successive pregnancies in India and investigate the factors associated with consistent utilization of institutional delivery. We applied multivariate multilevel models that allow for a strong dependence between successive outcomes at the same unit to the third round of the National Family Health Survey in 2005-2006. Results show that region and place of residence, woman’s education, wealth index, having experienced the loss of a child, ever having terminated a pregnancy, and birth order are significant predictors of place of delivery for all three recent births among ever-married women. Our results further show that previous utilization of institutional delivery was an important predictor of utilization for subsequent institutional deliveries. Policies aimed at improving the wide or persistent utilization of institutional delivery in India should focus on first-time mothers targeting disadvantaged women who are from rural areas, poor families, illiterate, Muslim, and scheduled castes.
由于印度的机构分娩中心通常拥有更好的现代化设施和卫生条件,利用机构分娩服务可以改善孕产妇和儿童健康。本文的目的是解决妇女是否一致在机构护理中心分娩连续怀孕在印度的问题,并调查与一致利用机构分娩相关的因素。我们应用了多变量多层模型,该模型允许同一单位的连续结果与2005-2006年第三轮全国家庭健康调查之间的强烈依赖性。结果表明,居住地区和地点、妇女的受教育程度、财富指数、失去孩子的经历、曾经终止妊娠和出生顺序是已婚妇女最近三次分娩地点的重要预测因素。我们的研究结果进一步表明,以前对机构交付的利用是对后续机构交付的利用的重要预测因子。旨在改善印度机构分娩的广泛或持续利用的政策应侧重于针对来自农村地区、贫困家庭、文盲、穆斯林和排期种姓的弱势妇女的首次母亲。
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引用次数: 11
Assessments of mortality at oldest-old ages by province in China's 2000 and 2010 censuses 中国2000年和2010年人口普查中各省份最高龄人口死亡率评估
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.02.008
D. Gu, R. Huang, K. Andreev, Matthew E. Dupre, Y. Zhuang, Hongyan Liu
This study examined the possible underestimation and age-trajectories of mortality at oldest-old ages in China’s 2000 and 2010 censuses. By linking logit-transformed conditional probabilities of dying from 13 countries with the highest data quality in the world, this study found that many Chinese provinces had underestimations of mortality at oldest-old ages when a relatively lenient criterion was applied. When a relatively strict criterion was applied, most provinces had a 30% or more underestimation in the probability of dying. We also investigated age trajectories of death rates after age 80 in these two censuses by applying the Kannisto model. Results showed that the age trajectories were distorted in most provinces after age 95. Overall, eastern-coastal provinces had higher data quality — in terms of low underestimation rates and less distorted age trajectories — whereas western China had provinces with problematic data. Females had greater rates of underestimation yet less distorted age-trajectories than males; and the 2010 census had greater rates of underestimation yet less distorted age-trajectories than the 2000 census. We conclude that appropriate adjustments with simultaneous applications of the Kannisto model are needed for direct estimates of mortality at oldest-old ages in the 2000 and 2010 censuses for China and for its provinces.
本研究考察了中国2000年和2010年人口普查中可能低估的最高龄人群死亡率及其年龄轨迹。通过将世界上数据质量最高的13个国家的对数转换后的死亡条件概率联系起来,本研究发现,当采用相对宽松的标准时,中国许多省份低估了最高龄人群的死亡率。当采用相对严格的标准时,大多数省份的死亡概率低估了30%或更多。我们还应用Kannisto模型研究了这两次人口普查中80岁以后死亡率的年龄轨迹。结果表明,大多数省份95岁以后的年龄轨迹出现了扭曲。总体而言,东部沿海省份的数据质量更高——就低低估率和较少扭曲的年龄轨迹而言——而中国西部省份的数据存在问题。与男性相比,女性的年龄轨迹低估率更高,但扭曲程度更低;与2000年的人口普查相比,2010年人口普查的低估率更高,但年龄轨迹的扭曲程度更低。我们的结论是,在同时应用Kannisto模型的情况下,需要对2000年和2010年中国及其各省人口普查中最高龄人口死亡率的直接估计进行适当的调整。
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引用次数: 9
Infant mortality differentials among the tribal and non-tribal populations of Central and Eastern India 印度中部和东部部落和非部落人口之间的婴儿死亡率差异
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.02.004
M. Ranjan, L. Dwivedi, Rahul Mishra, Brajesh
Higher infant mortality among tribal populations in India is well-documented. However, it is rare to compare factors associated with infant mortality in tribal populations with those in non-tribal populations. In the present paper, Cox proportional hazards models were employed to examine factors influencing infant mortality in tribal and non-tribal populations in the Central and Eastern Indian states using data from the District Level Household Survey-III in 2007-2008. Characteristics of mothers, infants, and households/communities plus a program variable reflecting the place of pregnancy registration were included in the analyses. We found that the gap in infant mortality between tribal and non-tribal populations was substantial in the early months after birth, narrowed between the fourth and eighth months, and enlarged mildly afterwards. Cox regression models show that while some factors were similarly associated with infant mortality in tribes and non-tribes, distinctive differences between tribal and non-tribal populations were striking. Sex of infants, breastfeeding with colostrum, and age of mother at birth acted similarly between tribes and non-tribes, yet factors such as state of residence, wealth, religion, place of residence, mother’s education, and birth order behaved differently. The program factor was non-significant in both tribal and non-tribal populations.
印度部落人口中较高的婴儿死亡率是有据可查的。然而,很少对部落人口与非部落人口中与婴儿死亡率有关的因素进行比较。本文采用Cox比例风险模型,利用2007-2008年地区级住户调查iii的数据,研究了影响印度中部和东部各邦部落和非部落人口婴儿死亡率的因素。分析包括母亲、婴儿和家庭/社区的特征以及反映怀孕登记地点的程序变量。我们发现,在出生后的最初几个月里,部落和非部落人口之间的婴儿死亡率差距很大,在第四个月到第八个月之间缩小,之后略有扩大。Cox回归模型显示,虽然一些因素与部落和非部落的婴儿死亡率相似,但部落和非部落人口之间的显著差异是惊人的。在部落和非部落之间,婴儿的性别、初乳的母乳喂养和母亲的出生年龄的影响是相似的,但诸如居住地、财富、宗教、居住地、母亲的教育程度和出生顺序等因素的影响则不同。计划因素在部落和非部落人群中均不显著。
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引用次数: 19
Latent class models for cross-national comparisons: the association between individual and national-level fertility and partnership characteristics 跨国比较的潜在阶级模型:个人和国家层面生育和伙伴关系特征之间的关联
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.02.002
Mark Lyons-Amos
Multilevel modelling techniques such as random models or fixed effect are increasingly used in social sciences and demography to both account for clustering within higher level aggregations and evaluate the interaction between individual and contextual information. While this is justifiable in some studies, the extension of multilevel models to national level analysis — and particularly cross-national comparative analysis — is problematic and can hamper the understanding of the interplay between individual and country level characteristics. This paper proposes an alternative approach, which allocates countries to classes based on economic, labour market and policy characteristics. Classes influence the profiles of three key demographic behaviours at a sub-national level: marriage, cohabitation and first birth timing. Woman level data are drawn from a subset of the Harmonized Histories dataset, and national level information from the GGP contextual database. In this example, three country classes are extracted reflecting two Western patterns and an Eastern pattern, divided approximately along the Hajnal line. While Western countries tend to exhibit higher levels of family allowances albeit accounting for a lower share of spending which is associated with lower marriage and later fertility, Eastern countries generally show a higher share of spending but at lower absolute levels with lower cohabitation rates and early fertility.
随机模型或固定效应等多层次建模技术越来越多地用于社会科学和人口学,既可以解释更高层次聚集中的聚类,也可以评估个人信息和上下文信息之间的相互作用。虽然这在一些研究中是合理的,但将多层模型扩展到国家一级的分析- -特别是跨国比较分析- -是有问题的,可能妨碍对个人和国家一级特征之间相互作用的理解。本文提出了另一种方法,即根据经济、劳动力市场和政策特征将国家划分为不同的阶级。在次国家一级,阶级影响着三个关键人口行为的概况:婚姻、同居和首次生育时间。妇女层面的数据来自统一历史数据集的一个子集,而国家层面的信息则来自GGP上下文数据库。在本例中,提取了三个国家类,反映了两个西方模式和一个东方模式,大致沿着Hajnal线划分。虽然西方国家往往表现出较高水平的家庭津贴,但在支出中所占的份额较低,这与较低的结婚率和较晚的生育率有关,东方国家通常表现出较高的支出份额,但绝对水平较低,同居率较低,生育率较低。
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引用次数: 1
Decomposing the Socio-economic Inequalities in Utilization of Full Antenatal Care in Jharkhand State, India 分解印度贾坎德邦充分产前保健利用中的社会经济不平等
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.02.003
Abha Gupta, Pushpendra Kumar, Olalemi Adewumi Dorcas
It is widely evidenced that low socio-economic status is significantly associated with poor health, but inequalities caused by social and economic factors are poorly quantified. This paper attempts to measure contributions of selected factors to the differences in full antenatal care (ANC) utilization in the state of Jharkhand, India, based on the third wave of District Level Household and Facility Survey (DLHS-3) data in 2007–2008. Full ANC is defined as having a minimum of three antenatal visits, at least two tetanus toxoid injections and receiving folic acid tablets for at least 90 days or more during the last pregnancy. Multivariate and decomposition statistical techniques were employed to examine the factors associated with utilization of ANC services and their contributions to inequalities in utilization. Results show that the factors with the largest contribution to utilization of ANC services were poor economic status of women (37.53%), mass media exposure (30.71%), and residence in a rural area (15.56%). The relative contributions of region, mothers’ education, age, and birth order of the women in generating inequalities were small. Therefore, to improve maternal health and to reduce socio-economic gaps in the state, more focus is needed on vulnerable sections of society and regions where the effects of government health programs hardly reach.
广泛的证据表明,社会经济地位低与健康状况不佳密切相关,但社会和经济因素造成的不平等却很少量化。本文基于2007-2008年第三波地区家庭和设施调查(DLHS-3)数据,试图衡量选定因素对印度贾坎德邦全面产前保健(ANC)利用差异的贡献。全面产前检查的定义是,在上一次怀孕期间至少进行三次产前检查,至少两次破伤风类毒素注射,并服用叶酸片至少90天或更长时间。采用了多变量和分解统计技术来检查与利用非洲经委会服务有关的因素及其对利用不平等的贡献。结果表明,对非农业服务利用贡献最大的因素是妇女经济状况不佳(37.53%)、大众媒体暴露(30.71%)和居住在农村(15.56%)。地区、母亲的教育程度、年龄和出生顺序对产生不平等的相对贡献很小。因此,为了改善产妇保健和缩小国家的社会经济差距,需要更多地关注社会弱势群体和政府卫生方案难以发挥作用的地区。
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引用次数: 7
Utilization of maternal and child health care services in North and South India: does spousal violence matter? 印度北部和南部对妇幼保健服务的利用:配偶暴力重要吗?
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.02.001
Atreyee Sinha, A. Chattopadhyay
Spousal violence emerged as a major public health concern over the past few decades as its consequences on the health of victims are profound. Infliction of violence during pregnancy is even more detrimental as it might cause serious injuries to women and their unborn children. Violence during pregnancy can restrict access to proper health care and affect the health of mother and child. However, the role of spousal violence on utilization of pregnancy care services is not well explored in India where both fertility and spousal violence are high. In the present study, we used data of selected North and South Indian states from the National Family Health Survey (2005–2006) to examine the relationship between experience of spousal violence by young married women and utilization of maternal and child health care services. A marked regional variation was observed in MCH care utilization and levels of violence, where the South Indian states performed better than the North. Spousal violence was a significant factor determining MCH care use. Women who had experienced any form of physical/sexual violence were less likely to receive full ante natal care than non-abused women and the association was stronger in the South. Women experiencing any physical/sexual violence were also less likely to avail institutional delivery in the North. Emotional violence had similar constraining effects on MCH care use in the South. Integration of violence screening and counselling with MCH programs could be helpful to address the needs of abused pregnant women and provide essential care.
配偶暴力在过去几十年中成为一个主要的公共卫生问题,因为它对受害者的健康造成了深远的影响。在怀孕期间施加暴力甚至更为有害,因为它可能对妇女及其未出生的孩子造成严重伤害。怀孕期间的暴力行为可能限制获得适当保健的机会,并影响母亲和儿童的健康。然而,在生育率和配偶暴力都很高的印度,配偶暴力对怀孕护理服务利用的作用没有得到很好的探讨。在本研究中,我们使用了2005-2006年国家家庭健康调查中选定的印度北部和南部各州的数据,以检验年轻已婚妇女遭受配偶暴力与利用妇幼保健服务之间的关系。在妇幼保健的利用和暴力程度方面,观察到明显的区域差异,其中南印度各州的表现优于北部。配偶暴力是决定妇幼保健使用的一个重要因素。经历过任何形式的身体/性暴力的妇女比未受虐待的妇女更不可能得到充分的产前护理,这种联系在南方更强。在北方,遭受任何身体/性暴力的妇女也不太可能利用机构提供的服务。在南方,情绪暴力对妇幼保健的使用也有类似的限制作用。将暴力筛查和咨询与妇幼保健方案结合起来,可能有助于解决受虐待孕妇的需求,并提供基本护理。
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引用次数: 7
Nonparametric graduation techniques as a common framework for the description of demographic patterns 非参数分级技术作为描述人口统计模式的通用框架
Pub Date : 2016-10-28 DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2016.01.001
A. Kostaki, Javier M. Moguerza, Alberto Olivares, S. Psarakis
The graduation of age-specific demographic rates is a subject of special interest in many dis-ciplines as demography, biostatistics, actuarial practice, and social planning. For estimating the unknown age-specific probabilities of the various demographic phenomena, some graduation technique must be applied to the corresponding empirical rates, under the assumption that the true probabilities follow a smooth pattern through age. The classical way for graduating demographic rates is parametric modelling. However, for graduation purposes, nonparametric techniques can also be adapted. This work provides an adaptation, and an evaluation of kernels and Support Vector Machines (SVM) in the context of graduation of demographic rates.
特定年龄人口比率的毕业是许多学科特别感兴趣的主题,如人口统计学、生物统计学、精算实践和社会规划。为了估计各种人口现象的未知年龄特定概率,必须在假设真实概率随年龄的变化遵循平滑模式的情况下,对相应的经验率应用一些毕业技术。统计人口比率的经典方法是参数化建模。然而,为了毕业目的,也可以采用非参数技术。这项工作提供了一个适应,并评估核和支持向量机(SVM)在人口比率毕业的背景下。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Sudan journal of population studies
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