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The Effect of the Financial Structure Decision and Governance Mechanism on Shareholders' Wealth: Nonlinearity Evidence from a Petroleum-based Economy 金融结构决策和治理机制对股东财富的影响——来自石油经济的非线性证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12400
Ali Shaddady

This study was designed to determine the nature of the association between the financial structure decision and shareholders' wealth—dividend payments—of firms listed on one of the largest stock markets in oil-based economies, the Saudi stock market. The study used panel data for all nonfinancial firms listed in Saudi Arabia's primary stock market (TASI) during the period from 2000 to 2018. The pooled ordinary least squares, quantile, generalized method of moments and U-tests were conducted to evaluate the association between the financial structure decision and dividend payment. The preliminary findings revealed a positive effect of financial leverage on dividend payments using a linear model. However, when a nonlinear model was used, the study found a nonlinear relation between the financial structure decision and dividend payouts, which exhibited an inverted U-shaped curve driven by levels of debt. This nonlinear relation verifies the tenets of the trade-off theory of optimum debt level based on the costs and benefits of the debt. Further, the study found a negative influence of firm performance, size, and age on dividend payments. The outcomes of this study may provide useful insights for policymakers, managers, and lenders into the optimal level of financial leverage and efficient dividend policies.

这项研究旨在确定在石油经济体最大的股票市场之一沙特股票市场上市的公司的财务结构决策与股东财富(股息支付)之间的关联性质。该研究使用了2000年至2018年期间在沙特阿拉伯一级股票市场(TASI)上市的所有非金融公司的面板数据。采用普通最小二乘法、分位数法、广义矩法和U检验法对财务结构决策与股利支付之间的关系进行了综合评价。初步发现使用线性模型揭示了财务杠杆对股息支付的积极影响。然而,当使用非线性模型时,研究发现财务结构决策与股息支付之间存在非线性关系,表现出由债务水平驱动的倒U型曲线。这种非线性关系验证了基于债务成本和收益的最优债务水平权衡理论的原理。此外,研究发现,公司业绩、规模和年龄对股息支付有负面影响。这项研究的结果可能为政策制定者、管理者和贷款人提供有用的见解,以了解财务杠杆的最佳水平和有效的股息政策。
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引用次数: 1
Surplus Optimization in Defined Benefit Pensions Using the Regime-Switching Model: Occupational Pension Plans in South Korea* 基于制度转换模型的固定收益养老金盈余优化:韩国职业养老金计划*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12396
Hyeonjong Jung, Dong-Hwa Lee, Do Young Cheong

We assume a hypothetical defined benefit (DB) pension plan that reflects the characteristics of the occupational pension in South Korea and propose a surplus optimization strategy using a regime-switching model. Using conditional surplus at risk, we construct an optimized portfolio that limits extreme tail risks. Furthermore, we identify the surplus risk and return conditional on global macroeconomic status using a hidden Markov model. The main results are that (i) the DB pension portfolio should move from principal-protected products to diverse capital market products, and (ii) the DB pension portfolio using the regime-switching model outperforms an unconditional static portfolio.

我们假设了一个反映韩国职业养老金特征的设定收益养老金计划,并使用制度转换模型提出了盈余优化策略。利用风险下的条件盈余,构造了一个限制极端尾部风险的优化投资组合。此外,我们使用隐马尔可夫模型识别盈余风险和回报条件下的全球宏观经济状况。主要结果是:(i)固定退休金投资组合应从保本产品转向多样化的资本市场产品,以及(ii)使用制度转换模型的固定退休金投资组合优于无条件静态投资组合。
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引用次数: 0
Political Uncertainty and Corporate Social Responsibility in a Transition Economy 转型经济中的政治不确定性与企业社会责任
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12393
Maoyong Cheng, Yuxuan Dong, Justin Y. Jin, Kiridaran Kanagaretnam

We examine the influence of political uncertainty on the corporate social responsibility (CSR) of local firms in China. Political uncertainty refers to government officials' turnover. We find that these firms significantly increase their CSR activities when city government officials are changed or replaced. We also find that political uncertainty increases firms' attention to employee responsibilities, supply chain responsibilities, and environmental responsibilities. In addition, the turnover of government officials increases CSR activities due to the reduction or loss of political connections. The anti-corruption campaign has also strengthened the influence of political uncertainty on CSR.

本文研究了政治不确定性对中国本土企业社会责任的影响。政治不确定性指的是政府官员的更替。我们发现,当城市政府官员更换或更换时,这些企业的企业社会责任活动显著增加。我们还发现,政治不确定性增加了企业对员工责任、供应链责任和环境责任的关注。此外,由于政治关系的减少或丧失,政府官员的更替增加了企业社会责任活动。反腐运动也加强了政治不确定性对企业社会责任的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Corporate Philanthropy and Analyst Forecast Accuracy: Evidence from China 企业慈善与分析师预测准确性:来自中国的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12394
Jing Tang, Chenghao Huang

Based on the perspective of market attention, this study investigates financial analysts' performance in the presence of corporate philanthropy in China. We find that the involvement of corporate philanthropy is associated with lower analyst forecast error. Additionally, our results show that the favorable effect of philanthropy on analyst forecast accuracy is stronger for firms with higher and easier information exposure in the face of engaging in corporate philanthropy. Collectively, our findings have important implications for academics and practitioners in understanding the function of corporate philanthropy in financial markets.

本研究基于市场关注的视角,考察了中国企业慈善存在时金融分析师的绩效。我们发现,企业慈善事业的参与与较低的分析师预测误差相关。此外,我们的研究结果显示,在从事慈善事业的企业中,信息暴露程度越高、越容易接触的企业,慈善事业对分析师预测准确性的有利影响越强。总的来说,我们的发现对学者和从业者理解企业慈善在金融市场中的作用具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The Signaling Role of IPO Lockups: Evidence from SMEs in Korea IPO锁定期的信号作用:来自韩国中小企业的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12397
Youngjoo Lee

This study examines the signaling role of lockup extensions for initial public offering (IPO) firms subject to mandatory lockup provisions. The sample contains IPO firms that went public in the Korean stock market, which reduced the mandatory lockup period over the sample period. This study finds that (1) IPO underpricing is negatively related to the lockup extension length after the reform, and (2) the negative relationship in the post-reform period is stronger for firms characterized by high information asymmetry. The results imply that lockup extensions may reduce information asymmetry related to IPO underpricing when information asymmetry is acute.

本研究考察了受强制性锁定期规定约束的首次公开发行(IPO)公司的锁定期延长的信号作用。样本中包括在韩国上市的公司,这些公司在样本期间减少了强制禁售期。研究发现:(1)IPO抑价与改革后的禁售期长度呈负相关,(2)对于信息高度不对称的企业,改革后时期的负相关关系更强。结果表明,在信息不对称严重的情况下,延长股票锁定期可以减少与IPO抑价相关的信息不对称。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Social Media in Financial Risk Prediction: Evidence from China* 社交媒体在金融风险预测中的作用:来自中国的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12392
Qi Wang, Chenghu Zhang, Zheng Li

In this paper, we develop an intelligent approach to detect default risk of FinTech lending platforms. Using China's peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market as an empirical application, we assemble a unique dataset of matched default and non-default platforms. We apply state-of-art techniques to extract sentiment and topic features from several stakeholders' social media data, which are used as supportive soft information. Our approach exhibits better predictive abilities than those with hard information only, where the value of dynamic soft information is demonstrated. Our approach serves as a proof of concept to complement traditional methods of financial risk prediction.

本文提出了一种智能检测金融科技借贷平台违约风险的方法。以中国的P2P借贷市场为实证应用,我们收集了一个独特的匹配违约和非违约平台数据集。我们应用最先进的技术从几个利益相关者的社交媒体数据中提取情感和主题特征,这些特征用作支持性软信息。我们的方法比那些只有硬信息的方法表现出更好的预测能力,其中动态软信息的价值得到了证明。我们的方法作为一个概念的证明,补充了传统的金融风险预测方法。
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引用次数: 0
Does Co-CEO Adoption Lead to Better Stock Performance? An Empirical Analysis Focusing on High-growth Firms 采用联席ceo会带来更好的股票表现吗?基于高增长企业的实证分析
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12391
Jae Eun Shin, Gun Lee

While there is an increasing debate about whether having multiple CEOs is beneficial to firms, few empirical studies have examined stock returns' consequences after adopting the co-CEO structure. Set in the Korean context, where the co-CEO structure is a common corporate practice, we find that co-CEO adoption has subsequently led to better stock performance than adherence to a sole-CEO structure. Moreover, given the diverse circumstances in which firms operate, co-CEO structure adoption does not guarantee success. We find evidence that the co-CEO structure's superior performance over the sole-CEO structure is concentrated in high-growth subsamples.

虽然关于多位ceo是否对公司有利的争论越来越多,但很少有实证研究考察了采用联席ceo结构后股票回报的影响。在韩国的背景下,联合ceo结构是一种常见的企业实践,我们发现,采用联合ceo随后比坚持单一ceo结构带来了更好的股票表现。此外,考虑到企业经营环境的多样性,采用联席ceo结构并不能保证成功。我们发现,联合ceo结构优于单一ceo结构的证据集中在高增长子样本中。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Institutional Depositors on Banks' Dividend Policy: Evidence from Korea during the Global Financial Crisis* 机构存款人对银行股利政策的影响:来自全球金融危机时期韩国的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12390
Hyun-Jae Jung, Jinho Lee, Young S. Park

This study investigates the motive for dividends by examining the relationship between dividends and banks' institutional depositors during the global financial crisis. The results indicate that during the financial crisis, the higher the deposit ratio of institutional depositors to the total insured deposits was, the lower the dividend payments were. This may be attributable to the fact that during the financial crisis, banks significantly reduced their dividends because they were under close monitoring due to the fear that institutional depositors would overreact to disadvantageous policy and cause a bank run.

本研究通过考察全球金融危机期间银行机构存款人与股息的关系,探讨了银行发放股息的动机。结果表明,在金融危机期间,机构存款人存款占保险存款总额的比例越高,股息支付越低。这可能是因为,在金融危机期间,由于担心机构储户对不利政策反应过度,导致银行挤兑,银行受到严密监控,大幅减少了股息。
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引用次数: 0
Market Responses to Private and Public Targets: The Role of Goodwill Valuation* 市场对私人和公共目标的反应:商誉评估的作用*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12388
Shin Hyoung Kwon, Irene Guannan Wang

Investors overprice goodwill value acquired from a private target during a merger and acquisition (M&A) announcement. However, the overpricing of goodwill is corrected in the years following the deal's completion. Our results show that investors predict the decreasing value of goodwill and promptly adjust their pricing regardless of goodwill impairment. The differential market reactions to goodwill between private and public targets are economically significant. The pricing on goodwill obtained from a private target is 47% higher around the announcements and 44% (33%) lower one (two) year(s) after the M&A completion than that from the public target.

投资者在并购公告中高估了从私人目标获得的商誉价值。然而,商誉的过高定价在交易完成后的几年内得到了纠正。我们的研究结果表明,无论商誉减值如何,投资者都会预测商誉的减值,并及时调整定价。私人和公共目标对商誉的不同市场反应在经济上具有重要意义。从私人目标获得的商誉的定价在公告前后高出47%,在并购后的一(两)年内低出44%(33%);比公众目标完成的还要多。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Marital Status in the Online Lending Market: Evidence from the Renrendai Platform 婚姻状况在网络借贷市场中的作用:来自人人贷平台的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12389
Wenli Huang, Anyun Chen, Yanhong Qian

Based on data from the Renrendai platform in China, this paper studies the impacts of marital status on funding success and default. Probit models are employed to perform the main regressions. The empirical results show that married borrowers have the highest rate of funding success, followed by divorced and single borrowers. Although the default risk of divorced borrowers is higher than that of married borrowers, it is not different from that of single borrowers. In addition, this paper uncovers an important joint effect of marital status and education on online lending.

本文基于中国人人贷平台的数据,研究婚姻状况对融资成功和违约的影响。Probit模型用于进行主回归。实证结果显示,已婚借款人的融资成功率最高,其次是离婚和单身借款人。虽然离婚借款人的违约风险高于已婚借款人,但与单身借款人的违约风险并无差异。此外,本文还揭示了婚姻状况和教育程度对网络借贷的重要共同影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies
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