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Improving Retirement Coverage Durability with Target Volatility Strategy for Changing Interest Rate Environment 利用目标波动率策略提高退休保障的持久性,应对不断变化的利率环境
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12455
Zefeng Bai, Victoria Steblovskaya, Kai Wallbaum

Motivated by the recent market turbulence triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic and the changing interest rate environment, we propose an improved investment strategy for extending retirement coverage in the pension decumulation stage. The newly proposed strategy with interest rate dependent volatility targets can significantly improve the durability of conventional retirement portfolios with constant risky and risk-free asset allocations. This conclusion follows from our analysis in the simulated financial market with stochastic interest rate and stochastic volatility, based on the Hybrid Heston-Vasicek model. Consequently, the proposed target volatility strategy could be a suitable option for more reliable retirement coverage after retirement.

受近期 COVID-19 大流行病引发的市场动荡和不断变化的利率环境的影响,我们提出了一种改进的投资策略,用于在养老金清算阶段扩大退休保障范围。新提出的策略具有利率相关波动性目标,可以显著提高风险资产和无风险资产配置不变的传统退休投资组合的持久性。这一结论来自我们基于混合 Heston-Vasicek 模型对随机利率和随机波动率的模拟金融市场的分析。因此,建议的目标波动率策略可以成为退休后获得更可靠退休保障的合适选择。
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引用次数: 0
Unintended Consequences of End-of-Year Rush Toward Innovation: Evidence from Patent Application Filings* 年末创新热潮的意外后果:来自专利申请文件的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12452
Jiyoung Park, Hyun-Han Shin

This study employs novel data on patents filed in Korea to investigate whether there is an end-of-year rush phenomenon for innovation. Our findings indicate that patent applications tend to be concentrated in the second half of the year more than in the first half of the year, and the number of application filings gradually increases toward the end of the year. We also examine the quality of patents and find that applications filed near the end of the year are more likely to be low-quality innovations. Firms in our sample that filed more patent applications in the second half of the year engaged in incremental innovation, which entails the exploitation of existing knowledge or research areas rather than the exploration of new knowledge in new areas. Furthermore, our study reveals that this end-of-year rush on innovation is more prevalent among firms with high free cash flow and among firms belonging to business groups. Our findings demonstrate that the end-of-year rush has unintended consequences for innovation.

本研究采用韩国专利申请的新数据来调查是否存在年底创新热潮现象。我们的研究结果表明,专利申请在下半年比上半年更倾向于集中,并且申请数量在年底逐渐增加。我们还研究了专利的质量,发现在年底提交的申请更有可能是低质量的创新。在我们的样本中,今年下半年提交了更多专利申请的公司从事增量创新,这需要利用现有知识或研究领域,而不是在新领域探索新知识。此外,我们的研究表明,这种年终创新热潮在自由现金流高的公司和属于商业集团的公司中更为普遍。我们的研究结果表明,年终的热潮对创新产生了意想不到的后果。
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引用次数: 0
Procyclical Credit Rating Policy* 顺周期信用评级政策*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12450
Jun Kyung Auh

This paper examines whether credit rating agencies applied consistent rating standards to US corporate bonds in the periods surrounding the 2008 financial crisis. Based on estimates of issuing firms' credit quality from a structural model, I find that rating standards are in fact procyclical: ratings are stricter during an economic downturn than during an economic expansion. As a result, firms receive overly pessimistic ratings in a recession, relative to during an expansion. I further show that a procyclical rating policy amplifies the variation in corporate credit spreads, accounting for, on average, 11% of the increase in spreads during a recession. In the cross-section, firms with a higher rollover rate of debt, fewer alternative channels to convey their credit quality to the market, and firms with businesses that are more sensitive to economic cycles are more affected by the procyclical rating policy.

本文考察了在2008年金融危机前后,信用评级机构是否对美国公司债券采用了一致的评级标准。根据结构模型对发行公司信用质量的估计,我发现评级标准实际上是顺周期的:经济衰退期间的评级比经济扩张期间的评级更严格。因此,相对于扩张时期,企业在经济衰退时期的评级过于悲观。我进一步表明,顺周期评级政策放大了企业信贷利差的变化,在经济衰退期间,平均占利差增长的11%。在横截面中,债务展期率较高、向市场传达信贷质量的替代渠道较少的公司,以及对经济周期更敏感的企业,更容易受到顺周期评级政策的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does Geographical Proximity Matter in Small Business Lending? Evidence from Changes in Main Bank Relationships* 地理邻近性对小企业贷款有影响吗?主银行关系变化的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12447
Arito Ono, Yukiko U. Saito, Koji Sakai, Iichiro Uesugi

We examine the causal link between the geographical distance between firms and their main bank and the termination of main bank relationships, using the exogenous change in firm–main bank distances brought about by bank branch consolidations in Japan. Our findings are threefold. First, an increase in lending distance increases the likelihood that firms switch their main bank. Second, the average lending distance for firms that switched to a new main bank decreased after the switch. Third, the lending distance of new firm–main bank relationships after the switch had a positive impact on the probability of default of small firms.

我们利用日本银行分行合并带来的企业-主银行距离的外生变化,研究了企业与其主银行之间的地理距离与主银行关系终止之间的因果关系。我们的发现有三个方面。首先,贷款距离的增加增加了企业更换主要银行的可能性。其次,转投新的主要银行的公司的平均贷款距离在转投后有所下降。第三,转换后新企业与主要银行关系的贷款距离对小企业违约概率有积极影响。
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引用次数: 10
Does Environmental, Social and Governance Performance Lessen Analyst Optimistic Bias: Evidence from China* 环境、社会和治理绩效是否减轻了分析师的乐观偏见:来自中国的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12446
Zaifeng Wang, Tiancai Xing

We examine how analysts respond to non-financial information about environmental, social responsibility, and corporate governance (ESG) performance and find good ESG performance lessens analysts' optimistic bias. We verify the mediating role of financial transparency that superior ESG performance decreases the level of information asymmetry between firms and analysts and improves financial transparency, thus weakening optimistic bias. Analysts' optimistic bias rises with increased institutional holdings and diminishes with heightened economic policy uncertainty. Social responsibility makes a larger reducing effect on analyst optimistic bias than corporate governance and environmental protection. Our findings have important implications for encouraging firms to emphasize ESG performance and improving stock market efficiency.

我们研究了分析师对环境、社会责任和公司治理(ESG)绩效的非财务信息的反应,发现良好的ESG绩效可以减少分析师的乐观偏见。我们验证了财务透明度的中介作用,即卓越的ESG绩效降低了企业和分析师之间的信息不对称水平,提高了财务透明度,从而削弱了乐观偏见。分析师的乐观倾向随着机构持股的增加而增加,随着经济政策不确定性的增加而减少。与公司治理和环境保护相比,社会责任对分析师乐观偏见的减少作用更大。我们的研究结果对鼓励企业强调ESG绩效和提高股市效率具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Stock Pledge by Controlling Shareholder and Corporate Social Responsibility* 控股股东股权质押与企业社会责任*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12448
Wen Wen, Lijing Tong, Lu Xie, Siting Zhang

We examine the influence of stock pledge by controlling shareholders on corporate social responsibility (CSR). Results show that firms exhibit poorer CSR performance when the controlling shareholders have more shares under pledge to financial institutions. Further analyses suggest that the negative relation between stock pledge and CSR only exists in financially constrained firms and non-state-owned firms, in which the pledging controlling shareholders have greater incentive to increase stock price and maintain their control rights. Our findings support a margin call hypothesis that firms tend to cut off CSR spending to improve short-term financial performance and reduce the risk of losing control rights.

我们考察了控股股东股票质押对企业社会责任的影响。结果表明,当控股股东向金融机构质押的股份较多时,企业的社会责任表现较差。进一步的分析表明,股票质押与企业社会责任之间的负相关关系仅存在于财务约束企业和非国有企业中,其中质押控股股东有更大的动机提高股价并维护其控制权。我们的研究结果支持了一种追加保证金的假设,即企业倾向于削减企业社会责任支出,以改善短期财务业绩并降低失去控制权的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Does Differentiated Key Audit Matter in Unqualified Audit Reports Indicate Increased Financial Misstatement Risk? Evidence from China* 无保留审计报告中差异化的关键审计事项是否表明财务报表错误风险增加?来自中国的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12444
Qianqun Ma, Jianan Zhou, Kongwen Wang, Qi Wang

This study examines whether differentiated disclosure of key audit matter (KAM) in China indicates a higher financial misstatement risk. Our empirical study demonstrates that financial statements with less boilerplate KAM are more likely to be subsequently restated than those with more boilerplate KAM. This association is only pronounced for smaller auditing firms in stronger legal environments. Additionally, auditors who report differentiated KAM are likely to disclose more risk-related information. Moreover, clients are more likely to restate financial reports when the KAM relates to managers' subjective estimations.

本研究考察了中国关键审计事项的差异化披露是否表明财务错报风险较高。我们的实证研究表明,与具有更多KAM准则的财务报表相比,具有较少KAM准则的会计报表更有可能在随后进行重述。这种关联只适用于法律环境较强的小型审计公司。此外,报告差异KAM准则的审计师可能会披露更多与风险相关的信息。此外,当KAM准则与管理者的主观估计有关时,客户更有可能重述财务报告。
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引用次数: 1
Do Cost Behaviors Affect Cost of Equity: Evidence from Seasoned Equity Offering? 成本行为会影响股权成本吗?来自经验丰富的股权发行的证据?
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12441
He Xiao

This study investigates the impact of firms' cost behavior on their seasoned equity offering (SEO) performance. The empirical findings show that cost-stickier SEO firms experience more negative SEO cumulative abnormal returns (CARs). The economic mechanism of this association is that cost-stickier SEO firms deal with higher information asymmetry and issue fewer debts, which reduce their SEO CARs. SEO firm cost behavior also affects corporate SEO decisions and announcement returns in different life cycles. Among the three economic mechanisms, the information asymmetry channel has been found as the dominant one. This study also indicates that cost-stickier firms are less likely to conduct SEOs than their counterparts. In contrast, the motivation for Chinese SEO issuance for cost-stickier firms is market timing rather than adjusting the capital structure or financing for investment and growth. Additionally, the negative impact of cost stickiness on corporate SEO returns is less pronounced for firms associated with industry-specialized auditors and greater corporate governance capacity but more substantial for SEO firms with higher free cash flow. All main findings are consistent in a number of endogenous tests, including the two-stage least squares test, the generalized method of moments estimation, and the control of alternative fixed effects. These conclusions also passed several robustness tests such as an alternative factor model and event windows and an alternative proxy of cost stickiness.

本研究调查了企业的成本行为对其经验股权发行(SEO)绩效的影响。实证结果表明,成本粘性较高的SEO公司经历了更多的负SEO累积异常回报(CAR)。这种关联的经济机制是,成本更高的SEO公司处理更高的信息不对称,发行更少的债务,这降低了他们的SEO CAR。SEO公司的成本行为也会影响企业在不同生命周期中的SEO决策和公告回报。在这三种经济机制中,信息不对称渠道占主导地位。这项研究还表明,与同行相比,坚持成本的公司不太可能进行SEO。相比之下,中国SEO发行给成本更高的公司的动机是市场时机,而不是调整资本结构或为投资和增长融资。此外,对于拥有行业专业审计师和更大公司治理能力的公司来说,成本粘性对公司SEO回报的负面影响不那么明显,但对于拥有更高自由现金流的SEO公司来说,影响更大。所有主要发现在许多内生检验中都是一致的,包括两阶段最小二乘检验、矩估计的广义方法和替代固定效应的控制。这些结论还通过了一些稳健性测试,如替代因素模型和事件窗口以及成本粘性的替代代理。
{"title":"Do Cost Behaviors Affect Cost of Equity: Evidence from Seasoned Equity Offering?","authors":"He Xiao","doi":"10.1111/ajfs.12441","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajfs.12441","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study investigates the impact of firms' cost behavior on their seasoned equity offering (SEO) performance. The empirical findings show that cost-stickier SEO firms experience more negative SEO cumulative abnormal returns (CARs). The economic mechanism of this association is that cost-stickier SEO firms deal with higher information asymmetry and issue fewer debts, which reduce their SEO CARs. SEO firm cost behavior also affects corporate SEO decisions and announcement returns in different life cycles. Among the three economic mechanisms, the information asymmetry channel has been found as the dominant one. This study also indicates that cost-stickier firms are less likely to conduct SEOs than their counterparts. In contrast, the motivation for Chinese SEO issuance for cost-stickier firms is market timing rather than adjusting the capital structure or financing for investment and growth. Additionally, the negative impact of cost stickiness on corporate SEO returns is less pronounced for firms associated with industry-specialized auditors and greater corporate governance capacity but more substantial for SEO firms with higher free cash flow. All main findings are consistent in a number of endogenous tests, including the two-stage least squares test, the generalized method of moments estimation, and the control of alternative fixed effects. These conclusions also passed several robustness tests such as an alternative factor model and event windows and an alternative proxy of cost stickiness.</p>","PeriodicalId":8570,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies","volume":"52 4","pages":"565-608"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50125511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unintended Consequences of Leverage Regulation: Evidence from Korea* 杠杆监管的意外后果:来自韩国的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-06 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12442
Taejin Jung, Natalie Kyung Won Kim, Woo-Jong Lee, Daniel Yang

During the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Korean regulators imposed a 200% leverage cap to curb excessive debt and restore economic stability. We examine the real effects and externalities of mandated capital structure changes resulting from this leverage ratio regulation. Our findings indicate that firms that met the leverage requirement experienced a significant decrease in firm risk. However, the effect varied depending on how firms adjusted their capital structure. Firms that chose to issue equity to lower their leverage ratio, as opposed to firms repaying debt, exhibited higher firm risk, lower investment-q sensitivity, and lower profitability in the post-regulation period.

1997年亚洲金融危机期间,韩国监管机构设定了200%的杠杆上限,以遏制过度债务并恢复经济稳定。我们研究了这种杠杆率监管导致的强制性资本结构变化的真实影响和外部性。我们的研究结果表明,满足杠杆要求的公司风险显著降低。然而,这种影响因企业调整资本结构的方式而异。选择发行股票以降低杠杆率的公司,而不是偿还债务的公司,在后监管时期表现出更高的公司风险、更低的投资q敏感性和更低的盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
Local Financial Agglomeration and Corporate Green Innovation* 地方金融集聚与企业绿色创新*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12443
Yu He, Dianna Chang, Ran Wei

Using a large sample of publicly listed firms in China, we examine the relation between local financial agglomeration and corporate green innovation. We document that local financial agglomeration positively affects corporate green innovation output. This positive effect is more pronounced when firms have better environmental performance, when the market-level sentiment for corporate environmental responsibility is higher, or prior to the implementation of a green credit policy in China. Further analysis reveals that local financial agglomeration enhances corporate green investments and the quality of green innovation. Collectively, our findings reveal the real and environmental effects of local financial agglomeration.

以中国上市公司为样本,考察了地方金融集聚与企业绿色创新的关系。我们记录了地方金融集聚对企业绿色创新产出的积极影响。当企业的环境绩效更好时,当市场对企业环境责任的情绪更高时,或者在中国实施绿色信贷政策之前,这种积极影响更为明显。进一步分析表明,地方金融集聚促进了企业的绿色投资和绿色创新质量。总之,我们的研究结果揭示了地方金融集聚的真实影响和环境影响。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies
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