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Comparing type 1 and type 2 error rates of different tests for heterogeneous treatment effects. 比较不同异质性治疗效果检验的 1 类和 2 类错误率。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02371-x
Steffen Nestler, Marie Salditt

Psychologists are increasingly interested in whether treatment effects vary in randomized controlled trials. A number of tests have been proposed in the causal inference literature to test for such heterogeneity, which differ in the sample statistic they use (either using the variance terms of the experimental and control group, their empirical distribution functions, or specific quantiles), and in whether they make distributional assumptions or are based on a Fisher randomization procedure. In this manuscript, we present the results of a simulation study in which we examine the performance of the different tests while varying the amount of treatment effect heterogeneity, the type of underlying distribution, the sample size, and whether an additional covariate is considered. Altogether, our results suggest that researchers should use a randomization test to optimally control for type 1 errors. Furthermore, all tests studied are associated with low power in case of small and moderate samples even when the heterogeneity of the treatment effect is substantial. This suggests that current tests for treatment effect heterogeneity require much larger samples than those collected in current research.

心理学家对随机对照试验中治疗效果是否存在差异越来越感兴趣。因果推理文献中提出了许多测试方法来检验这种异质性,这些方法在使用的样本统计量(使用实验组和对照组的方差项、经验分布函数或特定的量值)以及是否做出分布假设或基于费雪随机化程序方面各不相同。在本手稿中,我们介绍了一项模拟研究的结果,在这项研究中,我们在改变治疗效果异质性的程度、基础分布类型、样本大小以及是否考虑额外协变量的情况下,检验了不同检验的性能。总之,我们的研究结果表明,研究人员应该使用随机化检验来对类型 1 错误进行最佳控制。此外,即使治疗效果的异质性很大,在小样本和中等样本的情况下,所研究的所有检验都与低功率有关。这表明,目前的治疗效果异质性检验所需的样本要比目前研究中收集的样本大得多。
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引用次数: 0
SEMA3: A free smartphone platform for daily life surveys. SEMA3:用于日常生活调查的免费智能手机平台。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02445-w
Sarah T O'Brien, Nerisa Dozo, Jordan D X Hinton, Ella K Moeck, Rio Susanto, Glenn T Jayaputera, Richard O Sinnott, Duy Vu, Mario Alvarez-Jimenez, John Gleeson, Peter Koval

Traditionally, behavioral, social, and health science researchers have relied on global/retrospective survey methods administered cross-sectionally (i.e., on a single occasion) or longitudinally (i.e., on several occasions separated by weeks, months, or years). More recently, social and health scientists have added daily life survey methods (also known as intensive longitudinal methods or ambulatory assessment) to their toolkit. These methods (e.g., daily diaries, experience sampling, ecological momentary assessment) involve dense repeated assessments in everyday settings. To facilitate research using daily life survey methods, we present SEMA3 ( http://www.SEMA3.com ), a platform for designing and administering intensive longitudinal daily life surveys via Android and iOS smartphones. SEMA3 fills an important gap by providing researchers with a free, intuitive, and flexible platform with basic and advanced functionality. In this article, we describe SEMA3's development history and system architecture, provide an overview of how to design a study using SEMA3 and outline its key features, and discuss the platform's limitations and propose directions for future development of SEMA3.

传统上,行为、社会和健康科学研究人员依赖于横截面(即在单一场合)或纵向(即在相隔数周、数月或数年的多个场合)的全球/回顾性调查方法。最近,社会和健康科学家的工具包中又增加了日常生活调查方法(也称为密集纵向方法或流动评估)。这些方法(如日常日记、经验抽样、生态瞬间评估)涉及在日常环境中进行密集的重复评估。为了促进使用日常生活调查方法的研究,我们推出了 SEMA3 ( http://www.SEMA3.com ),这是一个通过安卓和 iOS 智能手机设计和实施密集纵向日常生活调查的平台。SEMA3 为研究人员提供了一个免费、直观、灵活且具有基本和高级功能的平台,填补了一项重要空白。在本文中,我们将介绍 SEMA3 的开发历史和系统架构,概述如何使用 SEMA3 设计研究并概述其主要功能,讨论该平台的局限性并提出 SEMA3 的未来发展方向。
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引用次数: 0
Decoding the essence of two-character Chinese words: Unveiling valence, arousal, concreteness, familiarity, and imageability through word norming. 解码双字汉语词汇的本质:通过词语规范揭示价值、唤醒、具体、熟悉和形象性。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02437-w
Yuen-Lai Chan, Chi-Shing Tse

Investigation of affective and semantic dimensions of words is essential for studying word processing. In this study, we expanded Tse et al.'s (Behav Res Methods 49:1503-1519, 2017; Behav Res Methods 55:4382-4402, 2023) Chinese Lexicon Project by norming five word dimensions (valence, arousal, familiarity, concreteness, and imageability) for over 25,000 two-character Chinese words presented in traditional script. Through regression models that controlled for other variables, we examined the relationships among these dimensions. We included ambiguity, quantified by the standard deviation of the ratings of a given lexical variable across different raters, as separate variables (e.g., valence ambiguity) to explore their connections with other variables. The intensity-ambiguity relationships (i.e., between normed variables and their ambiguities, like valence with valence ambiguity) were also examined. In these analyses with a large pool of words and controlling for other lexical variables, we replicated the asymmetric U-shaped valence-arousal relationship, which was moderated by valence and arousal ambiguities. We also observed a curvilinear relationship between valence and familiarity and between valence and concreteness. Replicating Brainerd et al.'s (J Exp Psychol Gen 150:1476-1499, 2021; J Mem Lang 121:104286, 2021) quadratic intensity-ambiguity relationships, we found that the ambiguity of valence, arousal, concreteness, and imageability decreases as the value of these variables is extremely low or extremely high, although this was not generalized to familiarity. While concreteness and imageability were strongly correlated, they displayed different relationships with arousal, valence, familiarity, and valence ambiguity, suggesting their distinct conceptual nature. These findings further our understanding of the affective and semantic dimensions of two-character Chinese words. The normed values of all these variables can be accessed via https://osf.io/hwkv7 .

调查词语的情感和语义维度对于研究词语加工至关重要。在本研究中,我们扩展了 Tse 等人(Behav Res Methods 49:1503-1519, 2017; Behav Res Methods 55:4382-4402, 2023)的 "中文词典项目",对超过 25,000 个繁体字双字词的五个词语维度(情感、唤醒、熟悉、具体和形象)进行了规范。通过控制其他变量的回归模型,我们研究了这些维度之间的关系。我们将模糊性(通过不同评分者对特定词汇变量评分的标准偏差来量化)作为单独的变量(如情感模糊性),以探讨它们与其他变量之间的联系。强度-模糊性关系(即规范变量与其模糊性之间的关系,如价位与价位模糊性之间的关系)也在研究之列。在这些分析中,我们使用了大量词库,并控制了其他词汇变量,结果证实了不对称的 U 型 "情价-唤醒 "关系,这种关系受到情价和唤醒模糊性的调节。我们还观察到情绪与熟悉程度之间以及情绪与具体程度之间存在曲线关系。与 Brainerd 等人(J Exp Psychol Gen 150:1476-1499,2021;J Mem Lang 121:104286,2021)的二次方强度-模糊性关系相同,我们发现,当这些变量的值极低或极高时,效价、唤醒、具体性和形象性的模糊性会降低,尽管这并没有推广到熟悉程度上。虽然具体性和形象性密切相关,但它们与唤醒度、情绪、熟悉度和情绪模糊度之间的关系却不同,这表明它们具有不同的概念性质。这些发现进一步加深了我们对两个汉字的情感和语义维度的理解。所有这些变量的标准值可通过 https://osf.io/hwkv7 访问。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring temporal bias in sequential numerosity comparison. 测量顺序数量比较中的时间偏差。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02436-x
Serena Dolfi, Alberto Testolin, Simone Cutini, Marco Zorzi

While several methods have been proposed to assess the influence of continuous visual cues in parallel numerosity estimation, the impact of temporal magnitudes on sequential numerosity judgments has been largely ignored. To overcome this issue, we extend a recently proposed framework that makes it possible to separate the contribution of numerical and non-numerical information in numerosity comparison by introducing a novel stimulus space designed for sequential tasks. Our method systematically varies the temporal magnitudes embedded into event sequences through the orthogonal manipulation of numerosity and two latent factors, which we designate as "duration" and "temporal spacing". This allows us to measure the contribution of finer-grained temporal features on numerosity judgments in several sensory modalities. We validate the proposed method on two different experiments in both visual and auditory modalities: results show that adult participants discriminated sequences primarily by relying on numerosity, with similar acuity in the visual and auditory modality. However, participants were similarly influenced by non-numerical cues, such as the total duration of the stimuli, suggesting that temporal cues can significantly bias numerical processing. Our findings highlight the need to carefully consider the continuous properties of numerical stimuli in a sequential mode of presentation as well, with particular relevance in multimodal and cross-modal investigations. We provide the complete code for creating sequential stimuli and analyzing participants' responses.

虽然已经提出了几种方法来评估连续视觉线索在并行数字估计中的影响,但时间幅度对顺序数字判断的影响却在很大程度上被忽视了。为了克服这一问题,我们扩展了最近提出的一个框架,该框架通过引入一个专为顺序任务设计的新刺激空间,使数字和非数字信息在数字比较中的贡献得以分离。我们的方法通过正交调控数值和两个潜在因素(我们称之为 "持续时间 "和 "时间间隔"),系统地改变嵌入事件序列的时间幅度。这样,我们就能在多种感官模式中测量更细粒度的时间特征对数值判断的贡献。我们在视觉和听觉模式的两个不同实验中验证了所提出的方法:结果表明,成年参与者主要依靠数字度来判别序列,在视觉和听觉模式中具有相似的敏锐度。然而,参与者同样会受到非数字线索的影响,如刺激物的总持续时间,这表明时间线索会对数字处理产生重大偏差。我们的研究结果突出表明,在顺序呈现模式中也需要仔细考虑数字刺激的连续特性,这在多模态和跨模态研究中尤为重要。我们提供了创建顺序刺激和分析参与者反应的完整代码。
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引用次数: 0
Slow and steady: Validating the rhythmic visual response task as a marker for attentional states. 缓慢而稳定验证有节奏的视觉反应任务是注意力状态的标记
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02409-0
Shaela T Jalava, Jeffrey D Wammes

A principal goal of attention research is to develop tasks with clear behavioral signatures of attentional fluctuations. Measures that index attentional states often fall under two broad umbrellas: decision tasks, in which participants make responses based on the changing requirements of each trial, and rhythm tasks, in which participants respond rhythmically to a uniform stimulus (e.g., a metronome tone). In the former, response speeding typically precedes errors (indicative of attention failures). In the latter, increased response variability precedes subjective reports of off-task states. We developed and validated the rhythmic visual response task (RVRT); a rhythm task incorporating trial-unique scene stimuli. The RVRT incorporates two important advances from both task categories: (1) it is free from the influence that differential decision-making has on fluctuations in attentional states, and (2) trial-unique stimuli enable later cognitive judgments to be mapped to specific moments in the task. These features allow a relatively unobtrusive measure of mind wandering that facilitates the downstream assessment of its consequences. Participants completed 900 trials of the RVRT, interrupted periodically by thought probes that assessed their attentional state. We found that both response time variance and speed predicted depth of mind wandering. Encouraged by these findings, we used the same analysis approach on archival data to demonstrate that the combination of variance and speed best predicted attentional states in several rhythm and decision task datasets. We discuss the implications of these findings and suggest future research that uses the RVRT to investigate the impact of spontaneous mind wandering on memory, decision-making, and perception.

注意力研究的一个主要目标是开发具有明显注意力波动行为特征的任务。反映注意力状态的测量通常分为两大类:一类是决策任务,即参与者根据每次试验不断变化的要求做出反应;另一类是节奏任务,即参与者对统一的刺激(如节拍器音调)做出有节奏的反应。在前者中,反应速度通常先于错误(表明注意失败)。在后者中,反应变异性的增加会先于任务外状态的主观报告。我们开发并验证了有节奏的视觉反应任务(RVRT);这是一项包含试验独特场景刺激的节奏任务。RVRT 融合了这两种任务类别的两个重要进步:(1) 它不受决策差异对注意状态波动的影响,(2) 独特的试验刺激使后来的认知判断能够映射到任务中的特定时刻。这些特点使得对思维游移的测量变得相对不显眼,从而有助于对其后果进行下游评估。受试者完成了 900 次 RVRT 试验,并不时被评估其注意力状态的思维探测打断。我们发现,反应时间差异和速度都能预测思维游离的深度。在这些发现的鼓舞下,我们在档案数据中使用了相同的分析方法,证明在多个节奏和决策任务数据集中,方差和速度的组合最能预测注意力状态。我们讨论了这些发现的意义,并建议未来的研究使用 RVRT 来研究自发性思维游离对记忆、决策和感知的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A jsPsych touchscreen extension for behavioral research on touch-enabled interfaces. 用于触摸界面行为研究的 jsPsych 触摸屏扩展。
IF 5.4 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02454-9
Younes Strittmatter, Markus W H Spitzer, Nadja Ging-Jehli, Sebastian Musslick

Online experiments are increasingly gaining traction in the behavioral sciences. Despite this, behavioral researchers have largely continued to use keyboards as the primary input devices for such online studies, overlooking the ubiquity of touchscreens in everyday use. This paper presents an open-source touchscreen extension for jsPsych, a JavaScript framework designed for conducting online experiments. We additionally evaluated the touchscreen extension assessing whether typical behavioral findings from two distinct perceptual decision-making tasks - the random-dot kinematogram and the Stroop task - can similarly be observed when administered via touchscreen devices compared to keyboard devices. Our findings indicate similar performance metrics for each paradigm between the touchscreen and keyboard versions of the experiments. Specifically, we observe similar psychometric curves in the random-dot kinematogram across the touchscreen and keyboard versions. Similarly, in the Stroop task, we detect significant task, congruency, and sequential congruency effects in both experiment versions. We conclude that our open-source touchscreen extension serves as a promising tool for data collection in online behavioral experiments on forced-choice tasks.

在线实验在行为科学领域日益受到重视。尽管如此,行为研究人员在很大程度上仍将键盘作为此类在线研究的主要输入设备,而忽视了日常使用中无处不在的触摸屏。本文介绍了 jsPsych 的开源触摸屏扩展,这是一个专为开展在线实验而设计的 JavaScript 框架。此外,我们还对触摸屏扩展进行了评估,评估通过触摸屏设备与键盘设备相比,是否能从随机点运动图和 Stroop 任务这两个不同的感知决策任务中观察到类似的典型行为结果。我们的研究结果表明,在触摸屏和键盘版本的实验中,每个范例的性能指标相似。具体来说,我们观察到触摸屏和键盘版随机点运动图的心理测量曲线相似。同样,在 Stroop 任务中,我们在两个实验版本中都检测到了显著的任务效应、一致性效应和连续一致性效应。最后,我们得出结论:我们的开源触摸屏扩展是一种很有前途的工具,可用于强迫选择任务在线行为实验的数据收集。
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引用次数: 0
The Ambiguous Cue Task: Measurement reliability of an experimental paradigm for the assessment of interpretation bias and associations with mental health. 模糊线索任务:用于评估解释偏差及与心理健康关系的实验范式的测量可靠性。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02451-y
Diana J N Armbruster-Genç, Rebecca A Rammensee, Stefanie M Jungmann, Philine Drake, Michèle Wessa, Ulrike Basten

Interpretation biases in the processing of ambiguous affective information are assumed to play an important role in the onset and maintenance of emotional disorders. Reports of low reliability for experimental measures of cognitive biases have called into question previous findings on the association of these measures with markers of mental health and demonstrated the need to systematically evaluate measurement reliability for measures of cognitive biases. We evaluated reliability and correlations with self-report measures of mental health for interpretation bias scores derived from the Ambiguous Cue Task (ACT), an experimental paradigm for the assessment of approach-avoidance behavior towards ambiguous affective stimuli. For a non-clinical sample, the measurement of an interpretation bias with the ACT showed high internal consistency (rSB = .91 - .96, N = 354) and acceptable 2-week test-retest correlations (rPearson = .61 - .65, n = 109). Correlations between the ACT interpretation bias scores and mental health-related self-report measures of personality and well-being were generally small (r ≤ |.11|) and statistically not significant when correcting for multiple comparisons. These findings suggest that in non-clinical populations, individual differences in the interpretation of ambiguous affective information as assessed with the ACT do not show a clear association with self-report markers of mental health. However, in allowing for a highly reliable measurement of interpretation bias, the ACT provides a valuable tool for studies considering potentially small effect sizes in non-clinical populations by studying bigger samples as well as for work on clinical populations, for which potentially greater effects can be expected.

在处理模棱两可的情感信息时出现的解释偏差被认为在情感障碍的发生和维持中起着重要作用。有报告称,认知偏差实验测量的可靠性较低,这使人们对之前关于这些测量与心理健康指标之间联系的研究结果产生了质疑,并表明有必要对认知偏差测量的测量可靠性进行系统评估。我们评估了 "模糊线索任务"(ACT)得出的解释偏差分数与心理健康自我报告测量的可靠性和相关性。在非临床样本中,ACT 对解释偏差的测量显示出较高的内部一致性(rSB = .91 - .96, n = 354)和可接受的两周测试-再测相关性(rPearson = .61 - .65, n = 109)。ACT 解释偏差得分与心理健康相关的人格和幸福感自我报告测量之间的相关性一般较小(r ≤ |.11|),并且在进行多重比较校正后,相关性在统计学上并不显著。这些研究结果表明,在非临床人群中,ACT 评估的模糊情感信息解释的个体差异与心理健康自我报告指标并没有明显的关联。然而,由于 ACT 可以对解释偏差进行高度可靠的测量,因此它为通过研究更大样本来考虑非临床人群中可能较小的效应大小的研究以及临床人群的研究提供了一种有价值的工具,因为临床人群的效应可能会更大。
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引用次数: 0
Geofencing in location-based behavioral research: Methodology, challenges, and implementation. 基于位置的行为研究中的地理围栏:方法、挑战和实施。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-25 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-023-02213-2
Yury Shevchenko, Ulf-Dietrich Reips

This manuscript presents a novel geofencing method in behavioral research. Geofencing, built upon geolocation technology, constitutes virtual fences around specific locations. Every time a participant crosses the virtual border around the geofenced area, an event can be triggered on a smartphone, e.g., the participant may be asked to complete a survey. The geofencing method can alleviate the problems of constant location tracking, such as recording sensitive geolocation information and battery drain. In scenarios where locations for geofencing are determined by participants (e.g., home, workplace), no location data need to be transferred to the researcher, so this method can ensure privacy and anonymity. Given the widespread use of smartphones and mobile Internet, geofencing has become a feasible tool in studying human behavior and cognition outside of the laboratory. The method can help advance theoretical and applied psychological science at a new frontier of context-aware research. At the same time, there is a lack of guidance on how and when geofencing can be applied in research. This manuscript aims to fill the gap and ease the adoption of the geofencing method. We describe the current challenges and implementations in geofencing and present three empirical studies in which we evaluated the geofencing method using the Samply application, a tool for mobile experience sampling research. The studies show that sensitivity and precision of geofencing were affected by the type of event, location radius, environment, operating system, and user behavior. Potential implications and recommendations for behavioral research are discussed.

本手稿介绍了一种用于行为研究的新型地理围栏方法。地理围栏建立在地理定位技术的基础上,在特定地点周围形成虚拟围栏。每当参与者越过地理围栏周围的虚拟边界,智能手机上就会触发一个事件,例如,参与者可能会被要求完成一项调查。地理围栏方法可以缓解持续位置跟踪带来的问题,如记录敏感的地理位置信息和电池消耗。在地理围栏的位置由参与者确定的情况下(如家庭、工作场所),无需向研究人员传输位置数据,因此这种方法可以确保隐私和匿名性。鉴于智能手机和移动互联网的广泛使用,地理围栏已成为在实验室外研究人类行为和认知的可行工具。这种方法有助于在情境感知研究的新领域推动理论和应用心理科学的发展。与此同时,在如何以及何时将地理围栏应用于研究方面还缺乏指导。本手稿旨在填补这一空白,促进地理围栏方法的应用。我们描述了地理围栏目前面临的挑战和实施情况,并介绍了三项实证研究,在这些研究中,我们使用移动体验采样研究工具 Samply 应用程序对地理围栏方法进行了评估。研究表明,地理围栏的灵敏度和精确度受事件类型、位置半径、环境、操作系统和用户行为的影响。研究还讨论了对行为研究的潜在影响和建议。
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引用次数: 0
The discrepancy in timing between synchronous signals and visual stimulation should not be underestimated. 同步信号和视觉刺激在时间上的差异不容小觑。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02382-8
Biao Chen, Junjie Bu, Xu Jiang, Ping Wang, Yan Xie, Zhuoyun Wang, Zhen Liang, Shengzhao Zhang

Response latency is a critical parameter in studying human behavior, representing the time interval between the onset of stimulus and the response. However, different time between devices can introduce errors. Serial port synchronization signal can mitigate this, but limited information is available regarding their accuracy. Optical signals offer another option, but the difference in the positioning of optical signals and visual stimuli can introduce errors, and there have been limited reports of error reduction. This study aims to investigate methods for reducing the time errors. We used the Psychtoolbox to generate visual stimuli and serial port synchronization signals to explore their accuracy. Subsequently, we proposed a calibration formula to minimize the error between optical signals and visual stimuli. The findings are as follows: Firstly, the serial port synchronization signal presenting precedes visual stimulation, with a smaller lead time observed at higher refresh rates. Secondly, the lead time increases as the stimulus position deviates to the right and downwards. In Linux and IOPort(), serial port synchronization signals exhibited greater accuracy. Considering the poor accuracy and the multiple influencing factors associated with serial port synchronization signals, it is recommended to use optical signals to complete time synchronization. The results indicate that under the darkening process, the time error is - 0.23 ~ 0.08 ms (mean). This calibration formula can help measure the response latency accurately. This study provides valuable insights for optimizing experimental design and improving the accuracy of response latency. Although it only involves visual stimuli, the methods and results of this study can still serve as a reference.

反应潜伏期是研究人类行为的一个关键参数,它代表了从刺激开始到做出反应之间的时间间隔。然而,设备之间的时间不同会带来误差。串行端口同步信号可以缓解这一问题,但有关其准确性的信息有限。光学信号提供了另一种选择,但光学信号和视觉刺激在定位上的差异可能会带来误差,而且有关减少误差的报道也很有限。本研究旨在探讨减少时间误差的方法。我们使用 Psychtoolbox 生成视觉刺激和串行端口同步信号,以探索其准确性。随后,我们提出了一个校准公式,以尽量减小光学信号和视觉刺激之间的误差。研究结果如下:首先,串行端口同步信号先于视觉刺激出现,刷新率越高,前导时间越短。其次,随着刺激位置向右和向下偏移,前导时间也会增加。在 Linux 和 IOPort() 中,串行端口同步信号表现出更高的精确度。考虑到串行端口同步信号的准确性较差且影响因素较多,建议使用光信号来完成时间同步。结果表明,在暗化过程中,时间误差为 - 0.23 ~ 0.08 ms(平均值)。这一校准公式有助于精确测量响应延迟。这项研究为优化实验设计和提高反应潜伏期的准确性提供了宝贵的启示。虽然只涉及视觉刺激,但本研究的方法和结果仍可作为参考。
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引用次数: 0
A new sample-size planning approach for person-specific VAR(1) studies: Predictive accuracy analysis. 针对特定人群的 VAR(1) 研究的新样本大小规划方法:预测准确性分析。
IF 4.6 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.3758/s13428-024-02413-4
Jordan Revol, Ginette Lafit, Eva Ceulemans

Researchers increasingly study short-term dynamic processes that evolve within single individuals using N = 1 studies. The processes of interest are typically captured by fitting a VAR(1) model to the resulting data. A crucial question is how to perform sample-size planning and thus decide on the number of measurement occasions that are needed. The most popular approach is to perform a power analysis, which focuses on detecting the effects of interest. We argue that performing sample-size planning based on out-of-sample predictive accuracy yields additional important information regarding potential overfitting of the model. Predictive accuracy quantifies how well the estimated VAR(1) model will allow predicting unseen data from the same individual. We propose a new simulation-based sample-size planning method called predictive accuracy analysis (PAA), and an associated Shiny app. This approach makes use of a novel predictive accuracy metric that accounts for the multivariate nature of the prediction problem. We showcase how the values of the different VAR(1) model parameters impact power and predictive accuracy-based sample-size recommendations using simulated data sets and real data applications. The range of recommended sample sizes is smaller for predictive accuracy analysis than for power analysis.

研究人员越来越多地使用 N = 1 研究方法来研究单个个体内部演变的短期动态过程。通常是通过对所得数据拟合 VAR(1) 模型来捕捉感兴趣的过程。一个关键问题是如何进行样本大小规划,从而决定所需的测量次数。最常用的方法是进行幂次分析,重点是检测感兴趣的效应。我们认为,根据样本外预测准确性来进行样本大小规划,可以获得更多有关模型潜在过拟合的重要信息。预测准确度量化了估计的 VAR(1) 模型在预测同一个体的未见数据方面的效果。我们提出了一种新的基于模拟的样本大小规划方法,称为预测准确性分析(PAA),以及相关的 Shiny 应用程序。这种方法使用了一种新的预测准确度指标,该指标考虑到了预测问题的多变量性质。我们利用模拟数据集和真实数据应用,展示了不同 VAR(1) 模型参数值如何影响功率和基于预测准确度的样本大小建议。与功率分析相比,预测准确度分析推荐的样本大小范围较小。
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引用次数: 0
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Behavior Research Methods
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