首页 > 最新文献

Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal最新文献

英文 中文
Role of Regret Aversion and Loss Aversion Emotional Biases in Determining Individual Investors’ Trading Frequency: Moderating Effects of Risk Perception 后悔厌恶和损失厌恶情绪偏差对个人投资者交易频率的影响:风险感知的调节作用
Pub Date : 2021-06-29 DOI: 10.18510/hssr.2021.93137
Ibtasam Shah, I. Malik
Purpose: This study aims to investigate the moderating effect of risk perception on the relationship among emotional biases (i.e., regret aversion and loss aversion) and the trading frequency of individual investors in the context of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). Approach / Methodology: This study is conducted under the philosophical assumptions of the positivist paradigm and the approach is deductive. The convenience sampling technique is used for sample selection of registered individual investors on the database of PSX. This led the study towards designing a cross-sectional study. Furthermore, 384 questionnaires are used for the collection of primary data from a population of 0.22 million registered PSX individual investors. The direction and degree of relationship among variables of concern are analyzed by the multiple linear regression techniques. The structural Equation Modelling (SEM) technique is used for authentication of moderation results. Findings: The results depict that regret aversion and loss aversion have statistically significant and negative impacts on individual investors’ trading frequency. Whereas, risk perception has an insignificant & positive impact on individual investors’ trading frequency. Moreover, risk perception is found to moderate the relationship between these two emotional behavioral biases. Originality/Value: This current study is a pioneer in developing links between individual investors’ trading frequency, loss aversion, regret aversion, and risk perception. The article also contributes to the literature of behavioral finance, specifically while understanding the role of emotional biases in investment strategies. So, this article engenders the reader's thoughtfulness to find plausible explanations in minimizing the impact of emotional biases in trading frequency and decision-making of individual investors. Implications: This study implies that emotional biases and risk perception cause and moderate the magnitude of the trading frequency of individual investors. The regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) and PSX can launch training programs for individual investors to train them in coping up with such emotional biases and risk perception. This might result in the enhancement of the market capitalization of the stock market.
目的:本研究旨在探讨巴基斯坦证券交易所背景下风险感知对个人投资者情绪偏差(即后悔厌恶和损失厌恶)与交易频率之间关系的调节作用。方法/方法论:本研究是在实证主义范式的哲学假设下进行的,方法是演绎的。采用便利抽样技术对PSX数据库中的注册个人投资者进行抽样选择。这使得研究趋向于设计一个横断面研究。此外,通过384份问卷收集了22万注册PSX个人投资者的原始数据。利用多元线性回归技术分析了各关注变量之间的关系方向和关系程度。采用结构方程建模(SEM)技术对调节结果进行验证。研究发现:遗憾厌恶和损失厌恶对个人投资者的交易频率有显著的负向影响。而风险感知对个人投资者的交易频率有不显著的正向影响。此外,风险感知还可以调节这两种情绪行为偏差之间的关系。原创性/价值:本研究是研究个人投资者交易频率、损失厌恶、后悔厌恶和风险感知之间关系的先驱。这篇文章也为行为金融学的文献做出了贡献,特别是在理解情绪偏见在投资策略中的作用时。因此,本文引起读者的深思,寻找合理的解释,以尽量减少情绪偏见对个人投资者交易频率和决策的影响。启示:本研究表明,情绪偏差和风险感知导致并调节个人投资者的交易频率。巴基斯坦证券交易委员会(SECP)和巴基斯坦证券交易所(PSX)等监管机构可以为个人投资者推出培训计划,培训他们如何应对这种情绪偏见和风险认知。这可能会导致股票市场市值的提高。
{"title":"Role of Regret Aversion and Loss Aversion Emotional Biases in Determining Individual Investors’ Trading Frequency: Moderating Effects of Risk Perception","authors":"Ibtasam Shah, I. Malik","doi":"10.18510/hssr.2021.93137","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18510/hssr.2021.93137","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: This study aims to investigate the moderating effect of risk perception on the relationship among emotional biases (i.e., regret aversion and loss aversion) and the trading frequency of individual investors in the context of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). \u0000Approach / Methodology: This study is conducted under the philosophical assumptions of the positivist paradigm and the approach is deductive. The convenience sampling technique is used for sample selection of registered individual investors on the database of PSX. This led the study towards designing a cross-sectional study. Furthermore, 384 questionnaires are used for the collection of primary data from a population of 0.22 million registered PSX individual investors. The direction and degree of relationship among variables of concern are analyzed by the multiple linear regression techniques. The structural Equation Modelling (SEM) technique is used for authentication of moderation results. \u0000Findings: The results depict that regret aversion and loss aversion have statistically significant and negative impacts on individual investors’ trading frequency. Whereas, risk perception has an insignificant & positive impact on individual investors’ trading frequency. Moreover, risk perception is found to moderate the relationship between these two emotional behavioral biases. \u0000Originality/Value: This current study is a pioneer in developing links between individual investors’ trading frequency, loss aversion, regret aversion, and risk perception. The article also contributes to the literature of behavioral finance, specifically while understanding the role of emotional biases in investment strategies. So, this article engenders the reader's thoughtfulness to find plausible explanations in minimizing the impact of emotional biases in trading frequency and decision-making of individual investors. \u0000Implications: This study implies that emotional biases and risk perception cause and moderate the magnitude of the trading frequency of individual investors. The regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) and PSX can launch training programs for individual investors to train them in coping up with such emotional biases and risk perception. This might result in the enhancement of the market capitalization of the stock market.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86080599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Should Investors Consider the Sentiment of Online Discussions? An Analysis of the Link between Fundamental Information, Social Media Sentiment and the Stock Market 投资者应该考虑网上讨论的情绪吗?基础信息、社交媒体情绪与股市的关系分析
Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3875576
B. Eierle, Sebastian Klamer, Matthias Muck
This research analyses the link between fundamental information, social media sentiment, and stock returns from 2010 to 2018. We are interested in whether social media sentiment provides additional information to already published fundamental information, such as financial information and analysts forecasts. Therefore, we explore the relationship between fundamental information and sentiment. We find that unexpected earnings, analyst forecast revisions, new dividends, and 8-K filings have a significant impact on sentiment. We introduce the adjusted social media sentiment, which corrects social media sentiment for the impact of this fundamental information. It turns out that adjusted social media sentiment is related to the subsequent stock returns. Moreover, most of social media sentiment's total effect emerges from adjusted sentiment. In particular, stocks with negative sentiment tend to have negative subsequent short-term returns. It is, thus, important to distinguish between positive and negative sentiment. Subsequent long-term returns are more mildly affected suggesting that the impact of negative sentiment seems to be permanent.
本研究分析了2010年至2018年基本信息、社交媒体情绪和股票回报之间的联系。我们感兴趣的是,社交媒体情绪是否为已经发布的基本面信息(如财务信息和分析师预测)提供了额外的信息。因此,我们探索基本信息与情绪之间的关系。我们发现,意外收益、分析师预测修正、新股息和8-K文件对市场情绪有重大影响。我们引入调整后的社交媒体情绪,以纠正社交媒体情绪对这一基本信息的影响。事实证明,调整后的社交媒体情绪与随后的股票回报有关。此外,社交媒体情绪的总效应大部分来自于调整后的情绪。特别是,负面情绪的股票往往会有负的短期回报。因此,区分积极和消极情绪是很重要的。随后的长期回报受到的影响较为轻微,这表明负面情绪的影响似乎是永久性的。
{"title":"Should Investors Consider the Sentiment of Online Discussions? An Analysis of the Link between Fundamental Information, Social Media Sentiment and the Stock Market","authors":"B. Eierle, Sebastian Klamer, Matthias Muck","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3875576","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3875576","url":null,"abstract":"This research analyses the link between fundamental information, social media sentiment, and stock returns from 2010 to 2018. We are interested in whether social media sentiment provides additional information to already published fundamental information, such as financial information and analysts forecasts. Therefore, we explore the relationship between fundamental information and sentiment. We find that unexpected earnings, analyst forecast revisions, new dividends, and 8-K filings have a significant impact on sentiment. We introduce the adjusted social media sentiment, which corrects social media sentiment for the impact of this fundamental information. It turns out that adjusted social media sentiment is related to the subsequent stock returns. Moreover, most of social media sentiment's total effect emerges from adjusted sentiment. In particular, stocks with negative sentiment tend to have negative subsequent short-term returns. It is, thus, important to distinguish between positive and negative sentiment. Subsequent long-term returns are more mildly affected suggesting that the impact of negative sentiment seems to be permanent.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79260973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effects of Approach/Avoidance Motivation and Gain/Loss-Framing on the Processing of Information Cues by Non-Professional Investors 趋近/回避动机和得失框架对非专业投资者信息线索加工的影响
Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3664856
Stephanie Jana, Tyge-F. Kummer, Martin Schmidt
Investor judgment and decision-making (JDM) is influenced by several factors. We examine the effect of dispositional goal orientation (approach and avoidance motivation), as well as situational goal orientation (gain- and loss-framing), on non-professional investors’ JDM. In an experiment, 150 business students evaluated the relevance of (positive and negative) information cues and estimated the resulting stock price changes. Results show that approach motivation increases the perceived relevance of (positive and negative) information cues, which in turn results in greater expected stock price changes. The increasing effect that approach motivation has on the perceived relevance of negative information cues is amplified by gain-framing and dampened by loss-framing. Similarly, the effect that the perceived relevance of information cues has on expected stock price changes is amplified under gain-framing and dampened under loss-framing. These results contribute to the JDM literature and have practical implications for non-professional investors.
投资者的判断与决策受多种因素的影响。我们考察了处置性目标取向(接近动机和回避动机)以及情境性目标取向(收益框架和损失框架)对非专业投资者共同决策的影响。在一项实验中,150名商科学生评估了(正面和负面)信息线索的相关性,并估计了由此产生的股价变化。结果表明,接近动机增加了(积极和消极)信息线索的感知相关性,这反过来导致更大的预期股价变化。趋近动机对负面信息线索感知相关性的影响在增益框架中被放大,在损失框架中被抑制。同样,信息线索的感知相关性对预期股价变化的影响在收益框架下被放大,在损失框架下被抑制。这些结果有助于JDM文献,并对非专业投资者具有实际意义。
{"title":"The Effects of Approach/Avoidance Motivation and Gain/Loss-Framing on the Processing of Information Cues by Non-Professional Investors","authors":"Stephanie Jana, Tyge-F. Kummer, Martin Schmidt","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3664856","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3664856","url":null,"abstract":"Investor judgment and decision-making (JDM) is influenced by several factors. We examine the effect of dispositional goal orientation (approach and avoidance motivation), as well as situational goal orientation (gain- and loss-framing), on non-professional investors’ JDM. In an experiment, 150 business students evaluated the relevance of (positive and negative) information cues and estimated the resulting stock price changes. Results show that approach motivation increases the perceived relevance of (positive and negative) information cues, which in turn results in greater expected stock price changes. The increasing effect that approach motivation has on the perceived relevance of negative information cues is amplified by gain-framing and dampened by loss-framing. Similarly, the effect that the perceived relevance of information cues has on expected stock price changes is amplified under gain-framing and dampened under loss-framing. These results contribute to the JDM literature and have practical implications for non-professional investors.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89802312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Dynamics of Stock Market Developments, Financial Behavior, and Emotions 股票市场的动态发展,金融行为和情绪
Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3861699
H. Cordes, Sven Nolte, Judith C. Schneider
We explore in a series of incentivized experiments how stock market developments affect emotional arousal (proxied by pupil dilation, electrodermal activity, and heart rate variation), and how this emotional arousal in turn affects investment behavior. Experiencing stock market downswings increases emotional arousal (e.g., fear), while upswings do not trigger such an effect. The subsequent interplay between emotional arousal and investment behavior is by no means one-dimensional. The heightened level of emotional arousal after downswings reduces financial risk taking and thus the money put at stake, while the exposure to financial risks itself has a positive impact on subsequent emotional arousal. Our results inspire for future research and unifying theories where utility could also stem from (anticipated) emotions.
我们在一系列激励实验中探讨了股票市场发展如何影响情绪唤醒(以瞳孔扩张、皮肤电活动和心率变化为代表),以及这种情绪唤醒如何反过来影响投资行为。经历股市下跌会增加情绪唤起(例如,恐惧),而股市上涨不会引发这种效应。随后情绪唤醒与投资行为之间的相互作用绝不是一维的。在经济下滑后,情绪唤起水平的提高减少了金融风险的承担,从而减少了资金的风险,而暴露于金融风险本身对随后的情绪唤起有积极的影响。我们的结果启发了未来的研究和统一理论,效用也可能源于(预期的)情绪。
{"title":"Dynamics of Stock Market Developments, Financial Behavior, and Emotions","authors":"H. Cordes, Sven Nolte, Judith C. Schneider","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3861699","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3861699","url":null,"abstract":"We explore in a series of incentivized experiments how stock market developments affect emotional arousal (proxied by pupil dilation, electrodermal activity, and heart rate variation), and how this emotional arousal in turn affects investment behavior. Experiencing stock market downswings increases emotional arousal (e.g., fear), while upswings do not trigger such an effect. The subsequent interplay between emotional arousal and investment behavior is by no means one-dimensional. The heightened level of emotional arousal after downswings reduces financial risk taking and thus the money put at stake, while the exposure to financial risks itself has a positive impact on subsequent emotional arousal. Our results inspire for future research and unifying theories where utility could also stem from (anticipated) emotions.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"245 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74125170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Attention Discrimination under Time Constraints: Evidence from Retail Lending 时间约束下的注意力歧视:来自零售贷款的证据
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3865478
Bobby Huang, Jiacui Li, Tse-Chun Lin, Mingzhu Tai, Yiyuan Zhou
Using proprietary loan screening data, we document that loan officers engage in “attention discrimination”: they exert less effort reviewing ex-ante disadvantage applicants, leading to higher rejection rates than otherwise justified by those applicants’ credit quality. Attention discrimination increases with the officers’ time constraints induced by quasi-random workload variations. When officer workload rises from the bottom to the top decile, they devote 70% less time to disadvantaged applicants, and the approval rate for those applicants declines by three-fifths. Our results indicate that attention constraints magnify discrimination, which provides policy implications about how to reduce discrimination in practice.
使用专有的贷款筛选数据,我们证明了信贷员参与了“注意力歧视”:他们在审查事先不利的申请人方面付出的努力较少,导致拒绝率高于申请人的信用质量。注意歧视随工作负荷的准随机变化而增加。当官员的工作量从最低的十分之一上升到最高的十分之一时,他们花在弱势申请人身上的时间减少了70%,这些申请人的批准率下降了五分之三。我们的研究结果表明,注意力约束放大了歧视,这为如何在实践中减少歧视提供了政策启示。
{"title":"Attention Discrimination under Time Constraints: Evidence from Retail Lending","authors":"Bobby Huang, Jiacui Li, Tse-Chun Lin, Mingzhu Tai, Yiyuan Zhou","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3865478","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3865478","url":null,"abstract":"Using proprietary loan screening data, we document that loan officers engage in “attention discrimination”: they exert less effort reviewing ex-ante disadvantage applicants, leading to higher rejection rates than otherwise justified by those applicants’ credit quality. Attention discrimination increases with the officers’ time constraints induced by quasi-random workload variations. When officer workload rises from the bottom to the top decile, they devote 70% less time to disadvantaged applicants, and the approval rate for those applicants declines by three-fifths. Our results indicate that attention constraints magnify discrimination, which provides policy implications about how to reduce discrimination in practice.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"39 4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80909192","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
On the Valuation Skills of Corporate Bond Mutual Funds 论公司债券共同基金的估值技巧
Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3803890
G. Cici, Peixin Zhang
We introduce a novel measure to assess the valuation skills of investment-grade corporate bond funds. Our measure recognizes funds ex-ante holding a higher fraction of underpriced bonds as having better valuation skills. The measure predicts future fund performance, is stable over time, and is unrelated to other sources of skill. Fund investors recognize such skill by responding more to the past performance of funds with better valuation skills. Consistent with the equilibrium model of Gârleanu and Pedersen (2018), our evidence suggests that as growing capital gets allocated to skilled bond funds, the investment-grade corporate bond market is becoming more efficient.
本文引入了一种评估投资级公司债券基金估值能力的新方法。我们的衡量标准认为,事先持有较高比例被低估债券的基金具有更好的估值技能。该指标预测了未来基金的表现,随着时间的推移是稳定的,而且与其他技能来源无关。基金投资者通过对估值技能较好的基金过去的表现做出更多反应,来认可这种技能。与gantrleanu和Pedersen(2018)的均衡模型一致,我们的证据表明,随着越来越多的资本被分配到技术债券基金,投资级公司债券市场正变得越来越有效。
{"title":"On the Valuation Skills of Corporate Bond Mutual Funds","authors":"G. Cici, Peixin Zhang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3803890","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3803890","url":null,"abstract":"We introduce a novel measure to assess the valuation skills of investment-grade corporate bond funds. Our measure recognizes funds ex-ante holding a higher fraction of underpriced bonds as having better valuation skills. The measure predicts future fund performance, is stable over time, and is unrelated to other sources of skill. Fund investors recognize such skill by responding more to the past performance of funds with better valuation skills. Consistent with the equilibrium model of Gârleanu and Pedersen (2018), our evidence suggests that as growing capital gets allocated to skilled bond funds, the investment-grade corporate bond market is becoming more efficient.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77518805","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Consensus Market Hypothesis: This is Not a Guide to Market Manipulation 共识市场假说:这不是市场操纵指南
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3849315
Constantine Ignatenko
This is a general eclectic theoretical framework that attempts to provide another practical understanding of how the market works and how to invest with chaos, non-ergodicity and inefficiency. It covers bubbles, corrections, volatility, correlation disturbances in crises by means of behaviorism and aspects of information, game and chaos theories and how market reality as a consensus is shaped. The article also touches on equilibrium as a reflection of expected normality, the danger of market “efficiency” in the light of non-ergodicity, information diffusion with market manipulation, the relativity of rationality, why pumping and bubbles are natural and why we should lower short-term capital gains taxes to the level of long-term ones in order to support the sustainability of the market. Current regulation and taxation policies jeopardize the long-term market's sustainability by undermining diversity and inclusion.

Old orthodox academic theories and views in financial economics are contradictory not only to themselves but also to the reasonableness and meaning of the entire industry. The author is a practitioner who is not bound by academia in financial economics. This article is written in a straightforward style that is more typical for essays. It skips the evolution of economic thought as well as obvious criticisms, and the function is to transmit and communicate with a broad audience.

这是一个折衷的理论框架,试图为市场如何运作以及如何在混乱、非遍历性和低效率的情况下进行投资提供另一种实用的理解。它涵盖了泡沫、修正、波动、危机中的相关干扰,通过行为主义和信息、游戏和混沌理论的各个方面,以及市场现实作为共识是如何形成的。本文还涉及均衡作为预期常态的反映,在非重复的情况下市场“效率”的危险,市场操纵的信息扩散,理性的相对性,为什么抽吸和泡沫是自然的,为什么我们应该将短期资本利得税降低到长期的水平,以支持市场的可持续性。目前的监管和税收政策破坏了多样性和包容性,从而危及市场的长期可持续性。传统正统的金融经济学学术理论和观点不仅与自身相矛盾,而且与整个行业的合理性和意义相矛盾。作者是不受学术束缚的金融经济学实践者。这篇文章是用一种更典型的散文风格写的。它跳过了经济思想的演变和明显的批评,其功能是与广泛的受众进行传播和交流。
{"title":"Consensus Market Hypothesis: This is Not a Guide to Market Manipulation","authors":"Constantine Ignatenko","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3849315","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3849315","url":null,"abstract":"This is a general eclectic theoretical framework that attempts to provide another practical understanding of how the market works and how to invest with chaos, non-ergodicity and inefficiency. It covers bubbles, corrections, volatility, correlation disturbances in crises by means of behaviorism and aspects of information, game and chaos theories and how market reality as a consensus is shaped. The article also touches on equilibrium as a reflection of expected normality, the danger of market “efficiency” in the light of non-ergodicity, information diffusion with market manipulation, the relativity of rationality, why pumping and bubbles are natural and why we should lower short-term capital gains taxes to the level of long-term ones in order to support the sustainability of the market. Current regulation and taxation policies jeopardize the long-term market's sustainability by undermining diversity and inclusion. <br><br>Old orthodox academic theories and views in financial economics are contradictory not only to themselves but also to the reasonableness and meaning of the entire industry. The author is a practitioner who is not bound by academia in financial economics. This article is written in a straightforward style that is more typical for essays. It skips the evolution of economic thought as well as obvious criticisms, and the function is to transmit and communicate with a broad audience. <br><br>","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89236574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Central Bank Digital Currency Can Lead to the Collapse of Cryptocurrency 央行数字货币可能导致加密货币崩溃
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3850826
Peterson K. Ozili
Cryptocurrencies have become popular. Economic agents use cryptocurrencies such as bitcoins to make payments. They pose a threat to fiat currency. Central banks have begun to respond to this threat. They realize that they need to join the race to offer a digital currency and dominate the digital currency landscape which can lead to the collapse of most digital currencies that are not issued by a central bank or monetary authority. In this paper, I show how the creation of a central bank digital currency can lead to the collapse of digital currencies including cryptocurrencies and bitcoins. Central banks will leverage on their monetary powers, and the trust that citizens have in government-backed money. This will give central banks strong incentives to issue a central bank digital currency. The issuance of a central bank digital currency can lead to the collapse of cryptocurrencies although not immediately.
加密货币已经变得流行起来。经济主体使用比特币等加密货币进行支付。它们对法定货币构成了威胁。各国央行已开始应对这一威胁。他们意识到,他们需要加入提供数字货币的竞赛,并主导数字货币领域,这可能导致大多数不是由中央银行或货币当局发行的数字货币崩溃。在本文中,我展示了央行数字货币的创建如何导致包括加密货币和比特币在内的数字货币的崩溃。央行将利用它们的货币权力,以及公民对政府支持的货币的信任。这将给各国央行提供发行央行数字货币的强烈动力。央行发行数字货币可能会导致加密货币崩溃,尽管不会立即崩溃。
{"title":"Central Bank Digital Currency Can Lead to the Collapse of Cryptocurrency","authors":"Peterson K. Ozili","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3850826","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3850826","url":null,"abstract":"Cryptocurrencies have become popular. Economic agents use cryptocurrencies such as bitcoins to make payments. They pose a threat to fiat currency. Central banks have begun to respond to this threat. They realize that they need to join the race to offer a digital currency and dominate the digital currency landscape which can lead to the collapse of most digital currencies that are not issued by a central bank or monetary authority. In this paper, I show how the creation of a central bank digital currency can lead to the collapse of digital currencies including cryptocurrencies and bitcoins. Central banks will leverage on their monetary powers, and the trust that citizens have in government-backed money. This will give central banks strong incentives to issue a central bank digital currency. The issuance of a central bank digital currency can lead to the collapse of cryptocurrencies although not immediately.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81292729","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
National Culture and Bank Liquidity Creation 民族文化与银行流动性创造
Pub Date : 2021-04-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3829416
Narjess Boubakri, Zhong Cao, Sadok El Ghoul, O. Guedhami, Xinming Li
This paper investigates the relationship between national culture and cross-country variations in bank liquidity creation. We hypothesize that banks in individualistic societies create more liquidity because of risk-taking and overconfidence bias. On the other hand, a better access to soft information likely facilitates liquidity creation by banks in collectivistic societies as well. Using a sample covering 66 countries over the 2001–2014 period, we find that individualism is associated with greater bank liquidity creation. This finding is robust to several sensitivity checks. The effect of individualism is stronger for larger banks, pointing to the importance of soft information on bank lending. Additional analysis suggests that uncertainty avoidance and power distance are related to lower bank liquidity creation.
本文研究了民族文化与银行流动性创造的跨国差异之间的关系。我们假设,个人主义社会中的银行由于承担风险和过度自信偏见而创造了更多的流动性。另一方面,更好地获取软信息也可能促进集体主义社会中银行创造流动性。使用覆盖66个国家2001-2014年期间的样本,我们发现个人主义与更大的银行流动性创造有关。这一发现对几个敏感性检查是可靠的。个人主义对大银行的影响更大,这表明软信息对银行贷款的重要性。进一步的分析表明,不确定性规避和权力距离与较低的银行流动性创造有关。
{"title":"National Culture and Bank Liquidity Creation","authors":"Narjess Boubakri, Zhong Cao, Sadok El Ghoul, O. Guedhami, Xinming Li","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3829416","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3829416","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the relationship between national culture and cross-country variations in bank liquidity creation. We hypothesize that banks in individualistic societies create more liquidity because of risk-taking and overconfidence bias. On the other hand, a better access to soft information likely facilitates liquidity creation by banks in collectivistic societies as well. Using a sample covering 66 countries over the 2001–2014 period, we find that individualism is associated with greater bank liquidity creation. This finding is robust to several sensitivity checks. The effect of individualism is stronger for larger banks, pointing to the importance of soft information on bank lending. Additional analysis suggests that uncertainty avoidance and power distance are related to lower bank liquidity creation.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"230 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73923860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
Is Non-fungible Token Pricing Driven by Cryptocurrencies? 不可替代的代币定价是由加密货币驱动的吗?
Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3815093
M. Dowling
Abstract In early 2021, non-fungible tokens (NFT) became the first application of blockchain technology to achieve clear public prominence. NFTs are tradeable rights to digital assets (images, music, videos, virtual creations) where ownership is recorded in smart contracts on a blockchain. Given the NFT market emerged out of cryptocurrencies, we explore if NFT pricing is related to cryptocurrency pricing. A spillover index shows only limited volatility transmission effects between cryptocurrencies and NFTs. But wavelet coherence analysis indicates co-movement between the two sets of markets. This suggests that cryptocurrency pricing behaviours might be of some benefit in understanding NFT pricing patterns. However, the low volatility transmissions also indicate that NFTs can potentially be considered as a low-correlation asset class distinct from cryptocurrencies.
在2021年初,不可替代代币(NFT)成为区块链技术的第一个应用,获得了明显的公众关注。nft是数字资产(图像、音乐、视频、虚拟创作)的可交易权利,所有权记录在区块链上的智能合约中。鉴于NFT市场是从加密货币中出现的,我们将探讨NFT定价是否与加密货币定价相关。溢出指数显示,加密货币和nft之间的波动传导效应有限。但小波相干性分析表明,两组市场之间存在协同运动。这表明加密货币的定价行为可能对理解NFT定价模式有一定的好处。然而,低波动性传输也表明,nft可能被视为一种与加密货币不同的低相关性资产类别。
{"title":"Is Non-fungible Token Pricing Driven by Cryptocurrencies?","authors":"M. Dowling","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3815093","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3815093","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In early 2021, non-fungible tokens (NFT) became the first application of blockchain technology to achieve clear public prominence. NFTs are tradeable rights to digital assets (images, music, videos, virtual creations) where ownership is recorded in smart contracts on a blockchain. Given the NFT market emerged out of cryptocurrencies, we explore if NFT pricing is related to cryptocurrency pricing. A spillover index shows only limited volatility transmission effects between cryptocurrencies and NFTs. But wavelet coherence analysis indicates co-movement between the two sets of markets. This suggests that cryptocurrency pricing behaviours might be of some benefit in understanding NFT pricing patterns. However, the low volatility transmissions also indicate that NFTs can potentially be considered as a low-correlation asset class distinct from cryptocurrencies.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"704 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81974279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 238
期刊
Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1