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Don’t shoot yourself in the foot! A (real-effort task) experiment on income redistribution and voting. 别搬起石头砸自己的脚!这是一项关于收入再分配和投票的实验(实干任务)。
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3485548
Natalia Jimenez Jimenez, E. Molis, Ángel Solano-García
According to the World Inequality Database 2020, income inequality has increased in almost all countries in recent decades. Nevertheless, top tax rates on upper-income earners have declined during the same period. This empirical evidence seems not to support models based on the median voter theorem as the one proposed by Meltzer and Richard (1981). To shed some light on this contradictory evidence, this paper reports results from a laboratory experiment that investigates the Meltzer–Richard model of equilibrium tax rates in which individuals face a real-effort task that includes leisure at the work place. We classify participants into high-skilled and low-skilled workers, according to their performance in a tournament at the beginning of the experiment. They vote over two (high and low) exogenous tax rates and their pre-tax income is determined according to their performance in a real-effort task and also to the skill premium. We find that a large proportion of low-skilled workers vote for the lowest tax rate (the one that gives them the lowest payoff), especially when the alternative tax rate is very high. However, this proportion is significantly reduced in treatments in which the subjects are given extra information about how the tax operates in redistributing income. This result suggests that the lack of information about the role of taxes in income redistribution may be an important factor in explaining the counter-intuitive voting behavior of low-income voters over income redistribution. We also find some support that the prospect of upward mobility and the belief in the negative effect of taxes on productivity make low-income voters support low tax rates, especially when the alternative tax rate is very high.
根据《2020年世界不平等数据库》,近几十年来,几乎所有国家的收入不平等都在加剧。然而,高收入者的最高税率在同一时期有所下降。这一经验证据似乎不支持基于Meltzer和Richard(1981)提出的中间选民定理的模型。为了阐明这一矛盾的证据,本文报告了一项实验室实验的结果,该实验调查了Meltzer-Richard均衡税率模型,在该模型中,个人面临着一项实际努力的任务,其中包括在工作场所的休闲。我们根据参与者在实验开始时在比赛中的表现,将他们分为高技能工人和低技能工人。他们对两种(高和低)外生税率进行投票,他们的税前收入是根据他们在实际任务中的表现和技能溢价决定的。我们发现,很大一部分低技能工人投票支持最低税率(即给他们最低收入的税率),尤其是在替代税率非常高的情况下。然而,在向受试者提供有关税收如何在收入再分配中运作的额外信息的处理中,这一比例显着降低。这一结果表明,缺乏关于税收在收入再分配中的作用的信息,可能是解释低收入选民反对收入再分配的反直觉投票行为的一个重要因素。我们也发现了一些支持,即向上流动的前景和税收对生产率的负面影响的信念使低收入选民支持低税率,特别是当替代税率非常高的时候。
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引用次数: 1
Causal Attribution, Benefits Sharing, and Earnings Management 因果归因、利益分享与盈余管理
Pub Date : 2021-10-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3951261
Lukas J. Helikum, H. Tan, Tu Xu
We conduct two experiments to examine the joint effect of two justification factors of earnings management, namely attribution for the firm’s underperformance and benefits accruing to other employees from inflating reported earnings. In the main experiment, we predict and find that managers are more likely to manage earnings when the firm’s underperformance is caused by an external event and misreported earnings benefit other employees besides the reporting manager. Further, we show that the extent to which participants use moral justifications mediates the effect of benefits sharing on earnings management, but only when causal attribution is external, and that it mediates the effect of causal attribution on earnings management, but only when benefits are shared. In the second experiment, we use a neutral control condition that makes no mention of causal attribution or benefits sharing to demonstrate that both justification factors jointly increase earnings management relative to what managers normally do in a situation without an explicit mention of either factor. We contribute to the accounting and psychology literature by proposing and testing a theory that explains how multiple justification factors interact to cause opportunistic behavior. Our results have important implications for practice.
我们进行了两个实验来检验盈余管理的两个证明因素的联合效应,即公司业绩不佳的归因和夸大报告盈余给其他员工带来的利益。在主实验中,我们预测并发现,当公司的业绩不佳是由外部事件引起的,并且误报的盈余使报告经理以外的其他员工受益时,管理者更有可能管理盈余。此外,我们表明,参与者使用道德辩护的程度中介了利益分享对盈余管理的影响,但仅当因果归因是外部的;它中介了因果归因对盈余管理的影响,但仅当利益是共享的。在第二个实验中,我们使用了一个没有提及因果归因或利益分享的中性控制条件来证明,相对于管理者在没有明确提及任何一个因素的情况下通常所做的事情,这两个证明因素共同增加了盈余管理。我们通过提出和测试一个解释多重理由因素如何相互作用导致机会主义行为的理论,为会计和心理学文献做出了贡献。我们的研究结果对实践具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Sleep Debt and Information Processing in Financial Markets 金融市场中的睡眠债务与信息处理
Pub Date : 2021-10-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3934115
William J. Bazley, Carina Cuculiza, Kevin Pisciotta
Despite growing evidence of the importance of sleep for performance, prior research generally finds limited effects of sleep disruptions in financial markets. Using forecasts of corporate earnings, we are able to reconcile this dissonance. We find that non-professional forecasters exhibit a significant decline in their forecast accuracy and optimism following Spring Daylight Saving Time changes relative to professional forecasters. Placebo tests provide support for sleep disruptions as the main driver of these effects. Additionally, we provide corresponding evidence using survey data that sleep disruptions relate to more pessimistic economic forecasts by U.S. households. Collectively, our evidence that information processing by less skilled market participants is particularly susceptible to negative sleep loss effects helps reconcile why financial markets are generally believed to be immune to sleep effects even though individual participants are not, and suggests that sleep debt could widen the wealth transfers from U.S. households.
尽管越来越多的证据表明睡眠对业绩的重要性,但之前的研究通常发现,睡眠中断对金融市场的影响有限。通过对公司收益的预测,我们能够调和这种不协调。我们发现,与专业预报员相比,非专业预报员的预测准确性和乐观度在春季夏令时间变化后显著下降。安慰剂试验支持睡眠中断是这些影响的主要驱动因素。此外,我们使用调查数据提供了相应的证据,表明睡眠中断与美国家庭更悲观的经济预测有关。总的来说,我们的证据表明,技能较低的市场参与者的信息处理特别容易受到睡眠不足的负面影响,这有助于解释为什么金融市场通常被认为不受睡眠影响的影响,尽管个人参与者并非如此。我们还表明,睡眠债务可能会扩大美国家庭的财富转移。
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引用次数: 0
Game Changer: Can Modifications to Audit Firm Communication Improve Auditors’ Actions in Response to Heightened Fraud Risk? 改变游戏规则:对审计事务所沟通的修改能否改善审计人员应对日益加剧的欺诈风险的行动?
Pub Date : 2021-08-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2951396
Ashley A. Austin, Tina D Carpenter
Regulators express concern over auditors’ failure to respond to fraud risks. Audit firms communicate the importance of remaining skeptical and alert for fraud, but busy auditors give these messages insufficient attention. Building on psychology theory, we develop an innovative intervention designed to improve audit firm communication by incorporating game-like elements. We expect game-like elements to pique auditors’ interest, deepen their cognitive processing, enhance their awareness of important fraud concepts, and make them more alert for fraud. We experimentally demonstrate that the intervention improves auditors’ awareness of important fraud concepts, and these benefits persist to improve auditors’ fraud detection actions. Importantly, auditors receiving communication that simulates current practice fail to respond to heightened fraud risk, confirming regulators’ concerns. In additional analyses, a model supports our intervention promoting deeper processing of the communication, enabling auditors’ subsequent recognition of heightened fraud risk and effective actions. Thus, our results contribute to theory and practice.
监管机构对审计机构未能应对欺诈风险表示担忧。审计公司传达了对欺诈保持怀疑和警惕的重要性,但忙碌的审计人员没有给予这些信息足够的重视。在心理学理论的基础上,我们开发了一种创新的干预措施,旨在通过融入游戏元素来改善审计事务所的沟通。我们期望类似游戏的元素能够激发审计师的兴趣,加深他们的认知加工,增强他们对重要舞弊概念的认识,提高他们对舞弊的警惕性。我们通过实验证明,干预提高了审计师对重要欺诈概念的认识,这些好处持续存在,以提高审计师的欺诈检测行动。重要的是,收到模仿当前做法的信息的审计机构未能对日益加剧的欺诈风险做出反应,这证实了监管机构的担忧。在其他分析中,一个模型支持我们的干预措施,促进对信息的更深入处理,使审计师能够随后识别更高的欺诈风险并采取有效行动。因此,我们的研究结果对理论和实践都有一定的贡献。
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引用次数: 1
Retail Bond Investors and Credit Ratings 零售债券投资者和信用评级
Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3872111
E. dehaan, Jiacui Li, Edward M. Watts
Using comprehensive data on U.S. corporate bond trades since 2002, we find that retail bond investors over-rely on untimely credit ratings, neglect firm fundamentals, and appear to misunderstand the trade-off between bond risk and yields. Specifically, retail investors appear to select bonds by first screening on a credit rating level and then sorting by yield, buying the highest-yielding bonds within each rating level. Because yields lead credit ratings, selecting on yield-within-rating means that retail investors systematically trade in the opposite direction of accounting fundamentals, buy in advance of credit downgrades and defaults, and generate negative average future returns. Overall, our findings indicate that retail bond investors systematically mislearn from prices, which is hard to reconcile with standard notions of rationality. Our study provides new evidence of ill-informed trading in a market that is thought to be relatively sophisticated, and contributes to our understanding of the roles and consequences of credit ratings in debt markets.
利用2002年以来美国公司债券交易的综合数据,我们发现债券散户投资者过度依赖不合时宜的信用评级,忽视公司基本面,并且似乎误解了债券风险与收益率之间的权衡关系。具体来说,散户投资者在选择债券时,似乎是先对信用评级水平进行筛选,然后按收益率排序,在每个评级水平中购买收益率最高的债券。由于收益率高于信用评级,选择评级内收益率意味着散户投资者系统性地以与会计基本面相反的方向进行交易,在信用评级下调和违约之前买入,并产生负的平均未来回报。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,债券散户投资者系统性地从价格中错误学习,这很难与标准的理性概念相协调。我们的研究提供了在一个被认为相对复杂的市场中进行不知情交易的新证据,并有助于我们理解信用评级在债务市场中的作用和后果。
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引用次数: 6
The Effect of Advice Valence on the Perceived Credibility of Data Analytics 建议效价对数据分析可信度感知的影响
Pub Date : 2021-06-04 DOI: 10.2308/jmar-2020-015
Clara Xiaoling Chen, Ryan Hudgins, William F. Wright
We use an experiment to examine how advice valence (i.e. whether the advice suggests good news or bad news) affects the perceived source credibility of data analytics compared to human experts as a result of motivated reasoning. We predict that individuals will perceive data analytics as less credible than human experts, but only when the advice suggests bad news. Using a forecasting task in which individuals are seeking advice from either a human expert or data analytics, we find evidence consistent with our prediction. Furthermore, we find that this effect is mediated by the perceived competence of the advice source. We contribute to the nascent accounting literature on data analytics by providing evidence on a potential impediment to successfully transitioning to the use of analytics for decision-making in organizations.
我们使用一个实验来检验建议效价(即建议是好消息还是坏消息)如何影响数据分析的感知来源可信度,与人类专家相比,作为动机推理的结果。我们预测,个人会认为数据分析不如人类专家可信,但只有当数据分析的建议暗示坏消息时才会如此。使用预测任务,个人向人类专家或数据分析寻求建议,我们发现与我们的预测一致的证据。此外,我们发现这种影响是由意见来源的感知能力介导的。我们通过提供成功过渡到在组织决策中使用分析的潜在障碍的证据,为新生的数据分析会计文献做出贡献。
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引用次数: 4
Exploring Contagion in Budgetary Misreporting 探讨预算误报的传染
Pub Date : 2021-04-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3788643
Jeremy B. Lill, Michael Majerczyk, Ke Xu
This study investigates the effect of internal reporting environment openness and organizational identification on managers’ budgetary misreporting. Using an experiment, we find that organizational identification moderates the effect of internal reporting environments on misreporting. That is, with weak organizational identification, there is significantly higher misreporting under an open reporting environment compared to a closed reporting environment. However, with strong organizational identification, there is no difference in misreporting between open and closed reporting environments. Our findings provide insight into how the internal reporting environment and the level of organizational identification jointly affect managerial reporting behavior. Our study has important implications for practice given many organizations are moving towards more open, transparent environments and increasing investment in building organizational identification. Our results suggest that organizations need investment in enhancing organizational identification first before considering having an open environment.
本研究探讨了内部报告环境开放程度和组织认同对管理者预算误报的影响。通过实验,我们发现组织认同调节了内部报告环境对误报的影响。也就是说,在组织认同较弱的情况下,开放报告环境下的误报率明显高于封闭报告环境。然而,在组织的强烈认同下,开放和封闭的报告环境在误报方面没有区别。我们的研究结果为内部报告环境和组织认同水平如何共同影响管理报告行为提供了深入的见解。我们的研究对实践具有重要意义,因为许多组织正在走向更加开放、透明的环境,并在建立组织识别方面增加投资。我们的研究结果表明,在考虑拥有一个开放的环境之前,组织需要首先投资于提高组织识别。
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引用次数: 0
'Come On, Man!' On Errors, Choice, and Hayekian Behavioral Economics “加油,伙计!”错误、选择与哈耶克行为经济学
Pub Date : 2021-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3807371
C. Sunstein
With respect to the views of dead thinkers, answers to many particular questions are often interpretive in Ronald Dworkin's sense. Such answers must attempt (1) to fit the materials to be interpreted and (2) to justify them, that is, to put them in the best constructive light. What looks like (1), or what purports to be (1), is often (2). That is, when a follower of Kant urges that ‘Kant would say x’, or that ‘Kantianism entails y’, the goal is to make the best constructive sense of Kant and Kantianism, not merely to adhere to something that Kant actually said. An approach to behavioral economics cannot claim to be Hayekian if it is rooted in enthusiasm for the abilities of planners to set prices and quantities, or if it sees the price system as a jumble of mistakes and errors. But within a not-so-narrow range, a variety of freedom-preserving approaches, alert to the epistemic limits of planners, can fairly claim to be Hayekian. Hayekian behavioral economics, I suggest, is an approach that (1) recognizes the importance and pervasiveness of individual errors, (2) emphasizes the epistemic limits of planners, (3) builds on individual choices rather than planner preferences, and (4) gives authority to choices made under epistemically favorable conditions, in which informational deficits and behavioral biases are least likely to be at work. The key step, of course, is (4). If it is properly elaborated, the resulting approach deserves respect. It is worthy of serious consideration, even if some of us, including the present author, would not entirely embrace it. In defending that proposition, the present essay responds to some critical remarks on behaviorally informed policy, including the resort to ‘explainawaytions’ (Matthew Rabin's term) for behavioral findings.
就已故思想家的观点而言,许多特定问题的答案往往是罗纳德·德沃金意义上的解释性问题。这样的答案必须试图(1)符合要解释的材料,(2)证明它们是正确的,也就是说,把它们放在最好的建设性的光中。看起来像(1)的东西,或者声称是(1)的东西,往往是(2)。也就是说,当康德的追随者敦促“康德会说x”,或者“康德主义需要y”时,目标是对康德和康德主义做出最好的建设性理解,而不仅仅是坚持康德实际上说过的东西。如果一种行为经济学方法根植于对计划者设定价格和数量的能力的热情,或者认为价格体系是错误和错误的混合体,那么它就不能被称为哈耶克主义。但在一个不那么狭窄的范围内,各种保护自由的方法,警惕计划者的认知限制,可以相当地声称是哈耶克式的。我认为,哈耶克行为经济学是这样一种方法:(1)承认个人错误的重要性和普遍性;(2)强调计划者的认知限制;(3)建立在个人选择而不是计划者偏好的基础上;(4)赋予在认知有利条件下做出的选择权力,在这种条件下,信息缺陷和行为偏见最不可能起作用。当然,关键的一步是(4)。如果阐述得当,最终的方法值得尊重。这是值得认真考虑的,即使我们中的一些人,包括现在的作者,不会完全接受它。为了捍卫这一主张,本文回应了一些对行为知情政策的批评,包括对行为发现的“解释”(马修·拉宾的术语)。
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引用次数: 1
The Influence of Auditor Narcissism and Moral Disengagement on Risk Assessments of a Narcissistic Client CFO 审计师自恋和道德脱离对自恋客户CFO风险评估的影响
Pub Date : 2021-02-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3743018
Eric N. Johnson, D. Lowe, Philip M. J. Reckers
Abstract Global capital markets rely heavily on independent and skeptical auditors as gatekeepers to provide assurance that corporate financial reports are free of material fraud. The rise of narcissism among the ranks of both client and audit professionals challenge this gatekeeper function. In addition, auditor moral disengagement may undermine auditor skepticism, further eroding public confidence in the integrity of financial reporting and the audit process. We conduct a quasi-experiment with 118 auditors from three international audit firms. In a simulated interview with a client CFO, we examine whether auditors underestimate risks of fraudulent financial statements due to the interactive effects of (1) client narcissism (manipulated verbally and nonverbally) and (2) auditor narcissism. We also examine the influence of auditor moral disengagement on client risk assessments. Results indicate that CFO verbal and nonverbal narcissism significantly influenced auditors’ assessment of management-related client risk. Moreover, auditor narcissism was found to interactively influence client risk inferences such that auditors higher in narcissism exhibited narcissistic tolerance (lower risk assessments) when the hypothetical CFO displayed high verbal narcissism. Auditor moral disengagement was negatively associated with client risk assessments. We discuss the implication of these findings on future audit judgment research, audit firm policy and training on maintaining auditor skepticism, and the audit oversight role of standard-setters.
全球资本市场在很大程度上依赖独立和持怀疑态度的审计师作为看门人,以确保公司财务报告不存在重大欺诈。在客户和审计专业人士中,自恋的兴起挑战了这种看门人的职能。此外,审计师道德脱离可能会削弱审计师的怀疑态度,进一步削弱公众对财务报告和审计过程完整性的信心。我们对来自三家国际审计公司的118名审计师进行了准实验。在对客户首席财务官的模拟访谈中,我们考察了审计师是否低估了虚假财务报表的风险,这是由于(1)客户自恋(口头和非口头操纵)和(2)审计师自恋的互动影响。我们还研究了审计师道德脱离对客户风险评估的影响。结果表明,CFO语言和非语言自恋显著影响审计师对管理相关客户风险的评估。此外,审计师的自恋被发现交互影响客户的风险推断,当假设的首席财务官表现出高度的口头自恋时,自恋程度较高的审计师表现出自恋容忍度(风险评估较低)。审计师道德脱离与客户风险评估呈负相关。我们将讨论这些发现对未来审计判断研究、审计事务所维持审计师怀疑态度的政策和培训以及准则制定者的审计监督作用的影响。
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引用次数: 11
Trading Frictions and the Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift 交易摩擦和收益公告后漂移
Pub Date : 2021-02-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3788093
Josef Fink, Stefan Palan, Erik Theissen
We use laboratory experiments to analyze how the existence of trading frictions (a transaction fee and a ban on short selling and margin buying) affects occurrence and strength of the post-earnings-announcement drift. We find lower trading activity and higher asset prices in the presence of frictions. While the initial price reaction to earnings announcements is weaker, the strength of the PEAD is not materially affected. Trading strategies aimed at exploiting the PEAD are less profitable in the presence of frictions.
我们使用实验室实验来分析交易摩擦(交易费和卖空和融资融券禁令)的存在如何影响收益公告后漂移的发生和强度。我们发现,在存在摩擦的情况下,交易活动减少,资产价格上涨。虽然对收益公告的最初价格反应较弱,但PEAD的强弱并未受到实质性影响。在存在摩擦的情况下,以利用PEAD为目的的交易策略利润较低。
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引用次数: 0
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Behavioral & Experimental Accounting eJournal
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