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Geopolitics in International Business: Challenges and Insights 国际商务中的地缘政治:挑战与洞察
Pub Date : 2023-02-21 DOI: 10.46697/001c.70428
Luciano Ciravegna, C. Hartwell, S. Jandhyala, Ishmael Tingbani, William Newburry
In the current geopolitical context, multinational corporations (MNCs) face a high level of uncertainty and volatility while trying to navigate a changing landscape. This AIB Insights special issue aims to provide the first steps towards articulating novel and actionable insights to guide MNCs as they interact with a rapidly shifting geopolitical environment. Our introductory editorial to the issue first briefly introduces the topic of geopolitics and international business in the current global environment. It then surveys the issue’s five articles. Given current international circumstances, many of the articles revolve around themes of war and peace, but the lessons derived are applicable to any manner of geopolitical risks.
在当前的地缘政治背景下,跨国公司(MNCs)在试图驾驭不断变化的环境时,面临着高度的不确定性和波动性。本期《亚洲投资银行洞察》特刊旨在为跨国公司在快速变化的地缘政治环境中进行互动时提供新颖和可操作的见解,以指导它们迈出第一步。我们的导论社论首先简要介绍了当前全球环境下的地缘政治和国际商业主题。然后,它调查了本期的五篇文章。鉴于当前的国际环境,许多文章围绕着战争与和平的主题,但从中得出的教训适用于任何形式的地缘政治风险。
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引用次数: 1
Should I Stay or Should I Go? How Danish MNEs in Russia Respond to a Geopolitical Shift 我该走还是该留?在俄罗斯的丹麦跨国公司如何应对地缘政治变化
Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.46697/001c.68337
M. Mol, L. Rabbiosi, G. Santangelo
Geopolitical shifts are having an increased impact on multinational enterprises. We propose a framework that illustrates how corporate responses to geopolitical shifts vary with operational and reputational considerations. We build our framework from evidence of how five Danish multinationals with operations in Russia responded to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The selected cases highlight several drivers of operational and reputational considerations that offer reasons for MNEs’ heterogeneity in strategic responses. Based on our framework, we derive recommendations for managers in terms of increased preparedness and awareness. We also recommend that policymakers reconsider their strategies for using corporations as geopolitical instruments.
地缘政治变化对跨国企业的影响越来越大。我们提出了一个框架,说明企业对地缘政治变化的反应如何随着运营和声誉的考虑而变化。我们从五家在俄罗斯有业务的丹麦跨国公司如何回应俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的证据中构建了我们的框架。选定的案例突出了业务和声誉考虑的几个驱动因素,这些因素为跨国公司在战略应对方面的异质性提供了原因。根据我们的框架,我们为管理人员提出了加强准备和意识方面的建议。我们还建议政策制定者重新考虑将企业作为地缘政治工具的战略。
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引用次数: 8
War and International Business: Insights from Political Science 战争与国际贸易:来自政治学的见解
Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.46697/001c.68323
Molly M. Mellin, Santiago Sosa, Andres Velez-Calle, Ivan Montiel
How might businesses foster peace? We borrow insights from political science on the causes of war to guide IB scholarly research. We analyze war as a bargaining failure and present five causes of war (unchecked authority, intangible incentives, uncertainty, commitment problems, and misperceptions). We then identify business-for-peace initiatives (modifying incentives for war and peace, ex-combatant demobilization and reintegration, providing information, mediation and track-two diplomacy, peace guarantees, and community engagement) and propose research questions for each. Our work has important implications for IB scholars conducting research on firms operating in conflict-prone environments.
企业如何促进和平?我们借用政治学对战争原因的见解来指导IB学术研究。我们将战争分析为谈判失败,并提出了战争的五个原因(不受约束的权威、无形的激励、不确定性、承诺问题和误解)。然后,我们确定商业促和平倡议(修改战争与和平的激励机制、前战斗人员复员和重返社会、提供信息、调解和二轨外交、和平保障和社区参与),并为每项倡议提出研究问题。我们的工作对IB学者在容易发生冲突的环境中开展公司研究具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 3
Geopolitics of the Digital Economy: Implications for States and Firms 数字经济的地缘政治:对国家和企业的影响
Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.46697/001c.67966
T. Lawton, Stephanie Tonn Goulart Moura, D. Tobin, Bernardo Silva-Rêgo
The lack of boundaries in cyberspace contributes to geopolitical disputes, as data and technology are weaponized across borders, and hacking of critical infrastructure becomes pervasive. But we lack a framework for understanding the tangible impact of geopolitical tensions and digital proxy conflict on states and firms. We argue that governments and companies can gain insights into these tensions by examining who controls the main structural power pillars of the international political economy: production, security, knowledge, and finance. Based on this approach, we consider how policymakers and practitioners can engage and navigate digital geopolitics in an age of uncertainty.
网络空间边界的缺失助长了地缘政治争端,因为数据和技术被跨境武器化,对关键基础设施的黑客攻击变得普遍。但我们缺乏一个框架来理解地缘政治紧张局势和数字代理冲突对国家和企业的切实影响。我们认为,通过研究谁控制着国际政治经济的主要结构性权力支柱:生产、安全、知识和金融,政府和公司可以深入了解这些紧张关系。基于这种方法,我们考虑了政策制定者和实践者如何在一个不确定的时代参与和驾驭数字地缘政治。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Geopolitical Risk: A Multi-Level Approach for Top Managers of Multinationals 地缘政治风险评估:跨国公司高层管理人员的多层次方法
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.46697/001c.67875
Maria A. De Villa
Geopolitical risk is a major concern for top managers of multinationals around the globe. However, top managers often find it challenging to assess how geopolitical risk can impact their multinational’s operations. Hence, this article offers top managers a multi-level approach for the holistic assessment of geopolitical risk that can help them identify their multinational’s degree of exposure. This multi-level approach integrates insights of over one hundred top managers of multinationals, and involves conducting a tailored examination at the supranational, international, national, industry, and firm levels of analysis to factor geopolitical risk more effectively into strategic decision making.
地缘政治风险是全球跨国公司高管的一大担忧。然而,高层管理人员经常发现,评估地缘政治风险如何影响其跨国公司的运营是一项挑战。因此,本文为高层管理者提供了一种多层次的方法来全面评估地缘政治风险,帮助他们确定跨国公司的风险程度。这种多层次的方法整合了一百多名跨国公司高层管理人员的见解,包括在超国家、国际、国家、行业和公司层面进行量身定制的分析,以更有效地将地缘政治风险纳入战略决策。
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引用次数: 8
Media in the Geopolitical Crossfire: Identification and Novel Data Sources for IB Research 地缘政治交火中的媒体:IB研究的识别和新数据来源
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.46697/001c.66442
Harald Puhr, Alex Kupfer
The media is a rich data source for IB scholars to study policy uncertainty, stakeholder attention, and issue salience. However, the media is exposed to geopolitical tension and political interference. The resulting bias distorts the insights scholars gain from media analysis and leads to potentially impaired conclusions. This study introduces GDELT and Google Trends as novel data sources to handle this challenge. Their usefulness is illustrated by an analysis of media coverage of Russia’s invasion in Ukraine in 2022. The paper guides scholars in conducting media-based research in the face of abrupt geopolitical tension and political interference.
媒体是IB学者研究政策不确定性、利益相关者关注和问题突出性的丰富数据源。然而,媒体受到地缘政治紧张局势和政治干预的影响。由此产生的偏见扭曲了学者从媒体分析中获得的见解,并导致可能受损的结论。本研究引入了GDELT和谷歌趋势作为新的数据源来处理这一挑战。对俄罗斯2022年入侵乌克兰的媒体报道的分析说明了它们的有用性。本文指导学者在面对突发性地缘政治紧张局势和政治干预时进行基于媒体的研究。
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引用次数: 1
“A Bridge Not Too Far”: An Interview with lebua Hotels & Resorts Founder and CEO Deepak Ohri “一座不太远的桥”:采访乐华酒店及度假村创始人兼首席执行官Deepak Ohri
Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.46697/001c.67892
William Newburry, Deepak Ohri
Starting from a humble background in India, Deepak Ohri, founder and CEO of lebua Hotels & Resorts, has become a leading figure in the luxury hospitality industry. He recently released his book, A Bridge Not Too Far: Where Creativity Meets Innovation, where he describes his journey to becoming a global hospitality leader. In this interview, he discusses with William Newburry the conditions that impacted his decision to become a self-initiated expatriate to Singapore, Thailand, and the United States, his development of an entrepreneurial global mindset, and factors related to the emerging market context of Thailand that influence business success.
lebua Hotels & Resorts创始人兼首席执行官Deepak Ohri从印度的一个不起眼的背景开始,已经成为豪华酒店业的领军人物。他最近出版了他的书《不远处的桥:创意与创新的相遇》,在书中他描述了自己成为全球酒店业领导者的历程。在这次采访中,他与William Newburry讨论了影响他决定成为新加坡、泰国和美国的外籍人士的条件,他的创业全球思维的发展,以及与泰国新兴市场背景有关的影响商业成功的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Managing, Structuring and Scaling Innovation in International Organizations 国际组织中的管理、结构和规模创新
Pub Date : 2022-11-04 DOI: 10.46697/001c.39662
K. Tatarinov
This article summarizes my award-winning dissertation on innovation for transforming the United Nations (UN) to solve the grand challenges in a technologically evolving world. It answers: how do the processes of managing, structuring and scaling innovation impact international organizations and the fulfilment of their missions? Findings show that innovative initiatives lead to the development of responsible innovation capacity, that scaling digital solutions for wicked problems requires global/local ecosystem actors to take on new roles in each location, and that innovation units create value through relationships not owned by one party. These contributions exhibit the cross-sectoral potential for delivering global impact through innovation. It also shows that IB scholars have the frameworks and tools to move beyond traditional contexts to address real problems in the global economy.
这篇文章总结了我的获奖论文,题为《通过创新改造联合国,以解决技术不断发展的世界中的重大挑战》。它的答案是:管理、构建和扩展创新的过程如何影响国际组织及其使命的实现?研究结果表明,创新举措导致负责任的创新能力的发展,为棘手问题扩展数字解决方案需要全球/地方生态系统参与者在每个地方扮演新的角色,创新单位通过不属于一方的关系创造价值。这些贡献显示出通过创新产生全球影响的跨部门潜力。它还表明,IB学者拥有超越传统背景的框架和工具,以解决全球经济中的实际问题。
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引用次数: 0
Iterate to Innovate: How Firms Strategize Design Iteration to Navigate the Uneven Landscape in the Global Mobile Application Industry 迭代创新:公司如何制定设计迭代策略以应对全球移动应用行业的不平衡格局
Pub Date : 2022-10-24 DOI: 10.46697/001c.38887
Pengxiang Zhang
Digital firms constantly iterate products to capture innovation opportunities. As digitalization transforms the global marketplace, firms all over the world must strategize iteration across various institutional contexts. My dissertation starts by establishing that firms need to be cautious about introducing iteration given its demand-side costs. Further, I find that frequent iterations enable digital firms to become innovative in uncertain institutional environments compared to stable environments. Moreover, iterating with regular rhythms help firms diversify across platform markets, but not so if firms diversify across heterogeneous country markets. Hence, both institutional conditions and market diversification must be considered when strategizing iteration.
数字公司不断迭代产品以抓住创新机会。随着数字化改变全球市场,世界各地的公司必须在不同的制度背景下制定迭代战略。我的论文首先指出,考虑到需求侧成本,企业在引入迭代时需要谨慎。此外,我发现与稳定的环境相比,频繁的迭代使数字公司在不确定的制度环境中变得具有创新性。此外,以规律的节奏进行迭代有助于公司在平台市场上实现多元化,但如果公司在异质国家市场上实现多元化,则并非如此。因此,在制定迭代策略时,必须同时考虑制度条件和市场多样化。
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引用次数: 0
General Manager Succession in Multinational Enterprise Subsidiaries 跨国企业子公司总经理继任
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.46697/001c.38486
Liangliang Li
This dissertation, based on interviews with over 40 managers and quantitative data on over 1,900 foreign subsidiaries, aims to provide new insights regarding subsidiary general manager (GM) changes in multinational enterprises (MNEs). I study continual GM change, individual succession event, the decision-making process through which different types of subsidiary GM successors are selected, and how they link to subsidiary performance. I found that GM succession decisions are path dependent and evolving, can be influenced by MNE environments, and need to be based on both GM successor nationality and origin. My dissertation underscores the complexity of subsidiary GM succession and bridges succession strategy with implementation.
本文基于对40多位经理人的访谈和1900多家国外子公司的定量数据,旨在为跨国企业子公司总经理(GM)的变化提供新的见解。本文研究了通用汽车的持续变化、个体继承事件、选择不同类型子公司通用汽车接班人的决策过程及其与子公司绩效的关系。研究发现,通用汽车继任决策具有路径依赖性和演化性,可能受到跨国公司环境的影响,并且需要基于通用汽车继任者的国籍和原籍。本文强调了子公司总经理继任的复杂性,并将继任战略与实施联系起来。
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引用次数: 1
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AIB insights
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