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Smoothness and Gaussian Density Estimates for Stochastic Functional Differential Equations with Fractional Noise 分数阶噪声随机泛函微分方程的光滑性和高斯密度估计
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.19139/soic-2310-5070-784
N. V. Tan
In this paper, we study the density of the solution to a class of stochastic functional differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion. Based on the techniques of Malliavin calculus, we prove the smoothness and establish upper and lower Gaussian estimates for the density.
本文研究了一类分数布朗运动驱动的随机泛函微分方程解的密度。基于Malliavin演算技术,我们证明了密度的光滑性,并建立了密度的上下高斯估计。
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引用次数: 2
A flexible ranked set sampling schemes: Statistical analysis on scale parameter 一种灵活的排序集抽样方案:尺度参数的统计分析
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.19139/SOIC-2310-5070-812
Abbas Eftekharian, M. Razmkhah, J. Ahmadi
A flexible ranked set sampling scheme including some various existing sampling methods is proposed. This scheme may be used to minimize the error of ranking and the cost of sampling. Based on the data obtained from this scheme, the maximum likelihood estimation as well as the Fisher information are studied for the scale family of distributions. The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter of the exponential and normal distributions are investigated. Moreover, the optimal scheme is derived via simulation and numerical computations.
提出了一种灵活的排序集抽样方案,该方案综合了现有的几种抽样方法。该方案可用于最小化排序误差和采样成本。在此基础上,研究了分布尺度族的极大似然估计和Fisher信息。研究了指数分布和正态分布的尺度参数的极大似然估计的存在唯一性。并通过仿真和数值计算推导出最优方案。
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引用次数: 2
Tail distribution of the integrated Jacobi diffusion process 积分Jacobi扩散过程的尾分布
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.19139/soic-2310-5070-760
N. Dung, Trinh Nhu Quynh
In this paper, we study the distribution of the integrated Jacobi diffusion processes with Brownian noise and fractional Brownian noise. Based on techniques of Malliavin calculus, we develop a unified method to obtain explicit estimates for the tail distribution of these integrated diffusions.
本文研究了具有布朗噪声和分数布朗噪声的积分Jacobi扩散过程的分布。基于Malliavin演算技术,我们开发了一种统一的方法来获得这些积分扩散的尾部分布的显式估计。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of two sampling schemes in estimating the stress-strength reliability under the proportional reversed hazard rate model 比例反向危险率模型下两种抽样方案估计应力强度可靠性的比较
Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.19139/SOIC-2310-5070-781
A. Sadeghpour, A. Nezakati, M. Salehi
In this paper, point and interval estimation of stress-strength reliability based on lower record ranked set sampling (RRSS) scheme under the proportional reversed hazard rate model are considered. Maximum likelihood, uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator, and Bayesian estimators of R are derived. Also, we compared this point estimators with their counterparts obtained by well-known sampling scheme in record values known as inverse sampling scheme. Various confidence intervals for the parameter R are constructed, and compared based on the simulation study. Moreover, the RRSS scheme is compared with ordinary records in case of interval estimations. We observed that our proposed point and interval estimations perform well in the estimation of R based on RRSS. We also proved that all calculations do not depend on the baseline distribution in the proportional reversed hazard rate model. Finally, a data set has been analyzed for illustrative purposes.
本文考虑了在比例反向危险率模型下,基于低记录排序集抽样(RRSS)方案的应力强度可靠性的点和区间估计。推导了R的最大似然、一致最小方差无偏估计量和贝叶斯估计量。此外,我们还将该点估计量与通过已知的采样方案在记录值中获得的点估计量(称为逆采样方案)进行了比较。构造了参数R的各种置信区间,并在仿真研究的基础上进行了比较。此外,在区间估计的情况下,将RRSS方案与普通记录进行了比较。我们观察到,我们提出的点和区间估计在基于RRSS的R估计中表现良好。我们还证明,在比例反向危险率模型中,所有计算都不依赖于基线分布。最后,为了便于说明,对数据集进行了分析。
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引用次数: 4
The Weibull Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution And Its Applications Weibull Birnbaum-Saunders分布及其应用
Pub Date : 2020-06-23 DOI: 10.19139/SOIC-2310-5070-887
Lazhar Benkhelifa
A new lifetime model, with four positive parameters, called the Weibull Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is proposed. The proposed model extends the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution and provides great flexibility in modeling data in practice. Some mathematical properties of the new distribution are obtained including expansions for the cumulative and density functions, moments, generating function, mean deviations, order statistics and reliability. Estimation of the model parameters is carried out by the maximum likelihood estimation method. A simulation study is presented to show the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters. The flexibility of the new model is examined by applying it to two real data sets.
提出了一种新的具有四个正参数的寿命模型,称为威布尔-伯恩鲍姆-桑德斯分布。所提出的模型扩展了Birnbaum-Saunders分布,并在实践中为建模数据提供了很大的灵活性。得到了新分布的一些数学性质,包括累积函数和密度函数的展开式、矩、生成函数、平均偏差、阶统计量和可靠性。模型参数的估计是通过最大似然估计方法进行的。仿真研究表明了模型参数的最大似然估计的性能。通过将新模型应用于两个真实数据集来检验其灵活性。
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引用次数: 5
CQ-free optimality conditions and strong dual formulations for a special conic optimization problem 一类特殊二次优化问题的无cq最优性条件和强对偶公式
Pub Date : 2020-06-19 DOI: 10.19139/soic-2310-5070-915
O. Kostyukova, T. Tchemisova
In this paper, we consider a special class of conic optimization problems, consisting of set-semidefinite (or Ksemidefinite) programming problems, where the set K is a polyhedral convex cone. For these problems, we introduce the concept of immobile indices and study the properties of the set of normalized immobile indices and the feasible set. This study provides the main result of the paper, which is to formulate and prove the new first-order optimality conditions in the form of a criterion. The optimality conditions are explicit and do not use any constraint qualifications. For the case of a linear cost function, we reformulate the K-semidefinite problem in a regularized form and construct its dual. We show that the pair of the primal and dual regularized problems satisfies the strong duality relation which means that the duality gap is vanishing.
本文考虑了一类特殊的由集半定(或K半定)规划问题组成的二次优化问题,其中集K是一个多面体凸锥。针对这些问题,我们引入了不动指标的概念,研究了归一化不动指标集和可行集的性质。本研究提供了本文的主要成果,即以判据的形式表述并证明了新的一阶最优性条件。最优性条件是显式的,不使用任何约束条件。对于线性代价函数,我们用正则形式重新表述了k -半定问题,并构造了它的对偶。证明了原正则化问题和对偶正则化问题对满足强对偶关系,即对偶间隙消失。
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引用次数: 2
Inferences for Weibull parameters under progressively first-failure censored data with binomial random removals 二项随机去除下渐进式首次失效截尾数据下威布尔参数的推断
Pub Date : 2020-06-18 DOI: 10.19139/SOIC-2310-5070-611
S. Ashour, A. El-sheikh, A. Elshahhat
In this paper, the Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation of a two-parameter Weibull lifetime model in presence of progressive first-failure censored data with binomial random removals are considered. Based on the s-normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of maximum likelihood estimators, two-sided approximate confidence intervals for the unknown parameters are constructed. Using gamma conjugate priors, several Bayes estimates and associated credible intervals are obtained relative to the squared error loss function. Proposed estimators cannot be expressed in closed forms and can be evaluated numerically by some suitable iterative procedure. A Bayesian approach is developed using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques to generate samples from the posterior distributions and in turn computing the Bayes estimates and associated credible intervals. To analyze the performance of the proposed estimators, a Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted. Finally, a real data set is discussed for illustration purposes.
本文研究了具有二项随机去除的渐进式首次失效截尾数据的双参数威布尔寿命模型的贝叶斯估计和非贝叶斯估计。基于极大似然估计渐近分布的s正态近似,构造了未知参数的双侧近似置信区间。利用伽马共轭先验,获得了相对于误差平方损失函数的若干贝叶斯估计和相关可信区间。所提出的估计量不能用封闭形式表示,可以通过一些合适的迭代过程进行数值计算。利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗技术开发了贝叶斯方法,从后验分布中生成样本,然后计算贝叶斯估计和相关的可信区间。为了分析所提出的估计器的性能,进行了蒙特卡洛仿真研究。最后,为了说明目的,讨论了一个真实的数据集。
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引用次数: 5
Overdisp: A Stata (and Mata) Package for Direct Detection of Overdispersion in Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models Overdisp:一个Stata(和Mata)软件包,用于泊松和负二项回归模型中过度分散的直接检测
Pub Date : 2020-06-14 DOI: 10.19139/soic-2310-5070-557
Luiz Paulo Fávero, P. Belfiore, Marco Aurélio dos Santos, R. F. Souza
Stata has several procedures that can be used in analyzing count-data regression models and, more specifically, in studying the behavior of the dependent variable, conditional on explanatory variables. Identifying overdispersion in countdata models is one of the most important procedures that allow researchers to correctly choose estimations such as Poisson or negative binomial, given the distribution of the dependent variable. The main purpose of this paper is to present a new command for the identification of overdispersion in the data as an alternative to the procedure presented by Cameron and Trivedi [5], since it directly identifies overdispersion in the data, without the need to previously estimate a specific type of count-data model. When estimating Poisson or negative binomial regression models in which the dependent variable is quantitative, with discrete and non-negative values, the new Stata package overdisp helps researchers to directly propose more consistent and adequate models. As a second contribution, we also present a simulation to show the consistency of the overdispersion test using the overdisp command. Findings show that, if the test indicates equidispersion in the data, there are consistent evidence that the distribution of the dependent variable is, in fact, Poisson. If, on the other hand, the test indicates overdispersion in the data, researchers should investigate more deeply whether the dependent variable actually exhibits better adherence to the Poisson-Gamma distribution or not.
Stata有几个程序可用于分析计数数据回归模型,更具体地说,用于研究因变量的行为,条件是解释变量。识别计数数据模型中的过度分散是最重要的程序之一,它允许研究人员正确选择估计,如泊松或负二项估计,给定因变量的分布。本文的主要目的是提出一个新的命令来识别数据中的过离散,作为Cameron和Trivedi[5]提出的程序的替代方案,因为它直接识别数据中的过离散,而不需要事先估计特定类型的计数数据模型。当估计泊松或负二项回归模型,其中因变量是定量的,离散和非负的值,新的Stata包overdisp帮助研究人员直接提出更一致和充分的模型。作为第二个贡献,我们还提供了一个模拟,以显示使用overdisp命令的过色散测试的一致性。研究结果表明,如果检验表明数据中的等分散,则有一致的证据表明因变量的分布实际上是泊松分布。另一方面,如果测试表明数据过度分散,研究人员应该更深入地调查因变量是否实际上更好地遵循泊松-伽马分布。
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引用次数: 14
A Note on CCMV Portfolio Optimization Model with Short Selling and Risk-neutral Interest Rate 考虑卖空和风险中性利率的CCMV组合优化模型研究
Pub Date : 2020-06-14 DOI: 10.19139/soic-2310-5070-890
T. Khodamoradi, M. Salahi, A. Najafi
In this paper, first, we discuss some drawbacks of the cardinality constrained mean-variance (CCMV) portfolio optimization with short selling and risk-neutral interest rate when the lower and upper bounds of the assets contributions are − 1 K and 1 K (K denotes the number of assets in portfolio). Second, we present an improved variant using absolute returns instead of the returns to include short selling in the model. Finally, some numerical results are provided using the data set of the S&P 500 index, Information Technology, and the MIBTEL index in terms of returns and Sharpe ratios to compare the proposed models with those in the literature.
本文首先讨论了当资产贡献的下界和上界分别为- 1k和1k (K表示投资组合中的资产数量)时,卖空和风险中性利率下的基数约束均值方差(CCMV)投资组合优化的一些缺陷。其次,我们提出了一个改进的变量,使用绝对收益代替收益,在模型中包括卖空。最后,利用标准普尔500指数、信息技术指数和MIBTEL指数的数据集,在回报率和夏普比率方面提供了一些数值结果,将所提出的模型与文献中的模型进行了比较。
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引用次数: 7
A Different Approach for Choosing a Threshold in Peaks over Threshold 一种选择阈值的不同方法
Pub Date : 2020-06-10 DOI: 10.19139/soic-2310-5070-976
A. Verster, Lizanne Raubenheimer Department of Mathematical Statistics, Actuarial Science, U. State, Bloemfontein, S. Africa, School of Mathematical, Statistical Sciences, North-West University, Potchefstroom
In Extreme Value methodology the choice of threshold plays an important role in efficient modelling of observations exceeding the threshold. The threshold must be chosen high enough to ensure an unbiased extreme value index but choosing the threshold too high results in uncontrolled variances. This paper investigates a generalized model that can assist in the choice of optimal threshold values in the γ positive domain. A Bayesian approach is considered by deriving a posterior distribution for the unknown generalized parameter. Using the properties of the posterior distribution allows for a method to choose an optimal threshold without visual inspection.
在极值方法中,阈值的选择对于有效地模拟超过阈值的观测值起着重要的作用。必须选择足够高的阈值以确保无偏极值指数,但选择过高的阈值会导致不受控制的方差。本文研究了一个可以帮助选择γ正域中最优阈值的广义模型。通过推导未知广义参数的后验分布来考虑贝叶斯方法。利用后验分布的特性,可以在没有目测的情况下选择最佳阈值。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Statistics, optimization & information computing
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