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Assessment of the Impact of Industry 4.0 Technologies on the Economic Growth of the Russian Segment of Rail Transportation 工业4.0技术对俄罗斯铁路运输业经济增长的影响评估
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(4).431-438
I. Gulyi
Formation of cyber-physical models in the economy is perceived as an imperative and the objective reality. However, the issues of developing scientific and methodological support for projects aimed at creating digital business models, namely, economic algorithms for their evaluation, are currently unsolved. The purpose of the study is to work out a system of indicators for assessing the impact of industry 4.0 technologies on economic growth, and further verification of the performance. The empirical base for the study is the reporting documents of the largest national carrier — Russian Railways Holding. The research methods include a descriptive diagnostics, statistic data structuring, a correlation analysis of data, a comparative analysis, and others. The results: the author proposes a system of statistic indicators for assessing the impact of industry 4.0 digital technologies on economic growth parameters, and makes an assessment of these indicators in Russian Railways Holding. Conclusion: investing in a digital business model enhances economic growth, increases marginalization via electronic channels and other means of interaction with the consumer, and provides for optimizing operating costs.
网络物理模型在经济中的形成被认为是一种必然和客观的现实。然而,为旨在创建数字商业模式的项目提供科学和方法支持的问题,即用于评估数字商业模式的经济算法,目前尚未解决。本研究的目的是制定一套指标体系来评估工业4.0技术对经济增长的影响,并进一步验证其绩效。研究的实证基础是最大的国有承运人俄罗斯铁路控股公司的报告文件。研究方法包括描述性诊断、统计数据结构、数据相关分析、比较分析等。结果:作者提出了一套评估工业4.0数字技术对经济增长参数影响的统计指标体系,并对俄罗斯铁路控股公司的这些指标进行了评估。结论:投资数字商业模式可以促进经济增长,通过电子渠道和其他与消费者互动的方式增加边缘化,并提供优化运营成本。
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引用次数: 0
University Development Strategy: Sociological Aspect 大学发展战略:社会学视角
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(4).515-523
V. Bubnov, E. Zimina
Students are active participants in the educational process. The events of recent years have affected seriously the activities of the University. The authors conducted a sociological study in 2 areas: the pandemic situation and its impact on the educational process; strategic direction of the university development. The article presents the results of a sociological study of students of Baikal State University (BSU) with a detailed description of issues related to satisfaction with the educational process, including the use of an online study mode. A set of issues related to the proposals of students on the strategy for the development of the university is considered. Students are satisfied with the education in general and in the relevant areas, as well as the high quality of training specialists at BSU. Objective and subjective difficulties encountered by students when switching to online learning are analyzed. The advantages and disadvantages of distance learning according to respondents are described. The examples of the responses are given, the grouping of which allows to adjust the direction of the university development. Social aspects of communication of students with teachers and employees are distinguished. It was concluded that students of BSU have preferences for obtaining applied education as well as oriented to the development of modern professional skills. The results of sociological research influence the formation of new approaches to learning and the development direction of the university, in general.
学生是教育过程的积极参与者。近年来发生的事件严重影响了大学的活动。作者在两个方面进行了社会学研究:流行病形势及其对教育进程的影响;大学发展的战略方向。本文介绍了贝加尔湖国立大学(BSU)学生的社会学研究结果,并详细描述了与教育过程满意度相关的问题,包括使用在线学习模式。考虑了一系列与学生对大学发展战略的建议有关的问题。学生们对北京州立大学的总体教育和相关领域的教育以及高质量的培训专家感到满意。分析了学生在转向在线学习时遇到的客观和主观困难。根据受访者描述了远程学习的优点和缺点。举例说明了这些问题的答案,并对其进行了归类,以便调整大学的发展方向。学生与老师和员工沟通的社会方面得到了区分。结果表明:北京外国语大学学生偏好接受应用型教育,并以培养现代专业技能为导向。社会学研究的成果一般影响着新学习方法的形成和大学的发展方向。
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引用次数: 1
Management Efficiency: Necessity and Possibility of Assessing the Process and Result 管理效率:评估过程与结果的必要性与可能性
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).330-334
T. Kondratskaya, E. Dmitrienko
The practice and theory of modern management associates the assessment of efficiency with the results of the company's work or changes in the level of use of individual resources. The criteria are results such as profit, profitability, labor productivity, the level of financial independence and others. We judge about the effectiveness of management by changes in these criteria. The number of criteria varies, and the results often show opposite conclusions about the level of effectiveness. This approach is not relevant in market conditions since the external environment, in which the company operates, remains beyond the assessment zone: with a shrinking market, profit may decrease but this is not evidence of deterioration in management. The second methodological problem is the lack of assessment of the management process itself as a set of certain actions. The purpose of the study was to develop a scientific approach to assessing the effectiveness of management in a competitive environment. The article presents a methodology for assessing efficiency not only in terms of results (management efficiency) but also actions (process efficiency). The research methodology is based on critical analysis and synthesis of theoretical and practical approaches to management assessment. The unity of the assessment of the management process and its results is the scientific novelty of the proposed methodology. The methodology was illustrated by the example of the Irkutsk Oil Company.
现代管理的实践和理论将效率的评估与公司的工作结果或个人资源利用水平的变化联系在一起。标准是利润、盈利能力、劳动生产率、财务独立程度等结果。我们通过这些标准的变化来判断管理的有效性。标准的数量各不相同,结果往往显示出与有效性水平相反的结论。这种方法与市场条件无关,因为公司所处的外部环境仍然超出了评估范围:随着市场萎缩,利润可能会下降,但这并不是管理恶化的证据。第二个方法上的问题是缺乏对管理过程本身作为一组特定行动的评估。这项研究的目的是发展一种科学的方法来评估在竞争环境中管理的有效性。本文提出了一种评估效率的方法,不仅在结果(管理效率)方面,而且在行动(过程效率)方面。研究方法是基于对管理评估的理论和实践方法的批判性分析和综合。管理过程和结果评价的统一性是所提出方法的科学新颖性。伊尔库茨克石油公司的例子说明了这种方法。
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引用次数: 2
Russian-Chinese Projects as the Basis for the Development of Cooperation in Tourism 俄中项目是发展旅游合作的基础
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).363-373
N. Epova, Irina Kozyrskaya
Contemporary tourism has become one of the key sectors of world economy. The Russian Federation and People’s Republic of China are the countries with a huge tourism potential and opportunities for cooperation in this area. The objective of this article is to reveal prospective directions for the development of cooperation between Russia and China in tourism business. On the basis of the analysis of the projects in the area of tourism, the authors identified the most prospective projects and drew a conclusion about the necessity of digitalization of the tourism sector to enhance competitiveness of the companies engaged in it, as travel industry has to change its strategies and look for new ways of travelling because of the Coronavirus pandemic. The conducted analysis of the statistical data of 2019–2020 allowed the authors to draw a conclusion that, notwithstanding the new global challenges the tourism faces, the mechanism of business partnership between our countries is constantly improving and cooperation in tourism has become one of the significant factors for the development of strategic partnership between China and Russia.
当代旅游业已成为世界经济的重要组成部分之一。俄罗斯联邦和中华人民共和国是旅游潜力巨大、合作机遇巨大的国家。本文的目的是揭示中俄旅游合作的发展前景。在对旅游领域的项目进行分析的基础上,作者确定了最具前景的项目,并得出了旅游业数字化的必要性,以提高从事旅游业的公司的竞争力,因为由于冠状病毒大流行,旅游业必须改变其战略并寻找新的旅行方式。通过对2019-2020年统计数据的分析,作者得出结论:尽管旅游业面临新的全球性挑战,但两国之间的商业伙伴关系机制正在不断完善,旅游合作已成为中俄战略伙伴关系发展的重要因素之一。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of the Effectiveness of Management of Sovereign Wealth Funds 主权财富基金管理有效性分析
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).356-362
A. Mikheeva, A. Petrova
The paper considers management of sovereign wealth funds established in the countries located in the transboundary territories of the Russian Federation, China, the Republic of Kazakhstan and Mongolia. Sovereign wealth funds have gained great importance in the global financial market, which indicates the relevance of the study of these institutions of financial and economic activity. The purpose of this research is to assess the efficiency of management of sovereign wealth funds. The objects of research are sovereign wealth funds, the subject of research is management of these funds. The methods of research used in the article are comparative cross-country analysis, structure analysis and systematic approach. As a result of the study, it was concluded that the management of China's sovereign wealth funds is highly efficient, Kazakhstan's long-term fund management policy based on the Norwegian model is advantageous, and the activities of Mongolian funds show lack of transparency. A recommendation is given to include profitable risk assets in the portfolio of a Russian sovereign fund in order to increase its profitability.
本文考虑了在俄罗斯联邦、中国、哈萨克斯坦共和国和蒙古的跨境领土上建立的主权财富基金的管理。主权财富基金在全球金融市场中占有重要地位,这表明了对这些金融和经济活动机构进行研究的相关性。本研究的目的是评估主权财富基金的管理效率。本文研究的对象是主权财富基金,研究的主题是主权财富基金的管理。本文采用的研究方法有跨国比较分析法、结构分析法和系统分析法。研究结果表明,中国主权财富基金的管理效率高,哈萨克斯坦基于挪威模式的长期基金管理政策具有优势,蒙古基金的活动缺乏透明度。建议将有利可图的风险资产纳入俄罗斯主权基金的投资组合,以提高其盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
Research of Toponyms of the Irkutsk Region Using the Method of Artificial Intelligence 基于人工智能的伊尔库茨克地区地名研究
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).382-390
A. Borovsky, E. Rakovskaya
Essential issues of toponymy presuppose studying separate words to reconstruct the denotative meaning of geographical names that were lost in the modern language and to find out how the peculiarities of the local topography, the inhabitants’ activities, etc. are reflected in them. It is possible to solve this kind of problems using intellectual methods of data analysis on the basis of information technologies. However, in scientific literature on toponymy, such methods are practically ignored. The article is devoted to the study of the origin and semantic meanings of geographical names based on finding semantic associates and calculating the semantic similarity of words using the embedding model. According to the proposed method, the origin of some toponyms of the Irkutsk region was determined, their semantic relations were revealed. The dichotomy method was used for toponyms that have two roots in their structure. This made it possible to improve the operation of the model by clarifying the morphemic composition of the original word. The method of word transformation was used to determine the etymology of the toponym «Moscow». We have received new versions of the origin of the toponym. It is shown that the application of the methods based on distributive semantics and vector representation of words, obtained on the basis of large arrays of text data, significantly expands the possibilities of research in the field of determining the origin of toponyms and clarifying their meaning.
地名学的本质问题是以研究单独的词为前提的,以重建在现代语言中丢失的地名的外延意义,并找出当地地形的特点、居民的活动等是如何在其中反映出来的。利用基于信息技术的智能数据分析方法来解决这类问题是可能的。然而,在关于地名的科学文献中,这种方法实际上被忽略了。本文主要研究地理名称的来源及其语义含义,并利用嵌入模型寻找语义关联,计算词的语义相似度。根据提出的方法,确定了伊尔库茨克地区一些地名的来源,揭示了它们的语义关系。二分法用于在其结构中有两个根的地名。这使得通过澄清原词的语素组成来改进模型的操作成为可能。用词法变换确定了地名“莫斯科”的词源。我们收到了关于这个地名起源的新版本。结果表明,基于分布语义和词向量表示的方法的应用,极大地扩展了在确定地名来源和澄清其含义领域研究的可能性。
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引用次数: 2
Alternative Options for Modernization of Regional Heat Supply Systems: Environmental and Economic Aspects 区域供热系统现代化的备选方案:环境和经济方面
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).407-415
D. Bergen
At present, environmental pollution by fuel combustion products is one of the key problems in the heat supply sector. It affects the entire population of the Earth. The purpose of the research is to substantiate the necessity of ecological upgrading of thermal power facilities in the Irkutsk region and using a part of municipal solid waste as an alternative fuel at thermal power facilities of the Russian Federation. The research shows that the use of the two kinds of fuel (solid biofuel and alternative fuel) can reduce the anthropogenic load. This measure can be a way of energy efficient disposal of accumulated and annually generated production and consumer waste. The transition to alternative fuels can be most efficiently implemented in boiler houses. This is due to lower capital investments in the modernization of boiler houses as compared to the modernization of thermal power plants. The calculations in the article confirm that the implementation of environmental modernization of regional heat supply systems is not economically beneficial for entrepreneurs. The state should supplement the methods of regulation with targeted co-financing of programs for the modernization of thermal power facilities in order to accelerate the processes of modernization of heat supply in the Russian Federation. At the same time, the recipients of support must comply with the established indicators further on.
目前,燃料燃烧产物对环境的污染是供热领域的关键问题之一。它影响到地球上的所有人口。这项研究的目的是证实伊尔库茨克地区热电设施生态升级的必要性,并在俄罗斯联邦的热电设施中使用部分城市固体废物作为替代燃料。研究表明,使用两种燃料(固体生物燃料和替代燃料)可以减少人为负荷。这项措施可以有效地处理累积的和每年产生的生产和消费废物。锅炉房可以最有效地实现向替代燃料的过渡。这是由于与火力发电厂的现代化相比,锅炉房现代化的资本投资较低。本文的计算证实,实施区域供热系统的环境现代化对企业家来说是没有经济效益的。为了加快俄罗斯联邦供热现代化的进程,国家应通过有针对性的火电设施现代化项目共同融资来补充监管方法。同时,接受支助的国家今后必须遵守既定的指标。
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引用次数: 1
Improvement of Activities of Strategizing of Social and Economic Development in a Region by Means of Strengthening the Interconnection between Forecasting and Strategic Planning 通过加强预测与战略规划的联系来改进区域社会经济发展战略活动
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).285-295
E. Meteleva
The importance of strategic management of the socio-economic development of regions in conditions of uncertainty is becoming increasingly important. The aim of this article is to identify the main problems in organizing activities of strategizing and forecasting of social and economic development of a region. The research conducted using the systemic mental and action approach showed that comprehensive strategic planning at the regional level is impossible without normative forecasting and environmental analysis, which state government bodies of the territorial entities of the Russian Federation do not pay sufficient attention to. Such stages of strategizing as forecasting and strategic planning play a major role in the process of strategizing. The article clarifies the concept of strategic management (strategizing) in relation to the socio-economic development of regions. It was found out that the shortcomings of the methodological tools and low level qualification of experts lead to a low quality of the developed forecast documents and management decisions. Suggestions have been deve­loped to support the forecasting of the socio-economic development of the region through the use of qualitative forecasting methods. The proposals include criteria for the selection of experts for the development of forecasts, as well as a conceptual distributed scheme for collecting expert opinions on the prospects for changing various aspects and directions of the socio-economic development of the region.
在不确定的条件下对区域社会经济发展进行战略管理的重要性正变得日益重要。本文的目的是确定在组织一个地区的社会和经济发展的战略和预测活动的主要问题。采用系统的思想和行动方法进行的研究表明,如果没有规范的预测和环境分析,就不可能在区域一级进行全面的战略规划,而俄罗斯联邦领土实体的国家政府机构对这一点没有给予足够的重视。战略预测和战略规划等阶段在战略制定过程中起着重要作用。本文从区域社会经济发展的角度阐述了战略管理(战略制定)的概念。研究发现,方法工具的不足和专家素质的低下导致了预测文件和管理决策的质量不高。已经提出建议,通过使用定性预测方法来支持预测该区域的社会经济发展。这些建议包括选择专家编制预测的标准,以及收集关于改变该区域社会经济发展的各个方面和方向的前景的专家意见的概念性分配计划。
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引用次数: 1
Consumer Extremism in the Insurance Market: Problem Statement 保险市场中的消费者极端主义:问题陈述
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).374-381
M. Stepanova
Consumer extremism has recently taken the form of a mass phenomenon, gradually penetrating into the insurance industry. Since it negatively affects not only the reputation and financial position of individual insurers, but also the development of the insurance market as a whole, the task of finding ways to counteract the facts of unfair behavior of consumers of services is becoming urgent. It should be borne in mind that consumer extremism is a complex, multifaceted phenomenon: it has legal, and at the same time social, economic, psychological foundations, motives and consequences. Therefore, it is extremely important to go beyond the purely legal aspects in this research. In this regard, the purpose of the work was to identify the most significant aspects in the study of consumer extremism as a phenomenon that takes place in the insurance market. As a result of the study, we came to the conclusion that it is necessary to take into account both the consumer's polysubject connections, which arise in the insurance market, and the multidisciplinary ones, which are formed within a particular insurance transaction. When assessing a possible area of relations where consumer extremism can manifest itself, we should take into account all scenarios of consumer’s activity from the passive one, in which the relationship does not go beyond the «policyholder — insurer», to the proactive one, when representatives of the insurance infrastructure are involved in the relationship. In the result a set of measures has been offered which would help prevent consumer extremism cases while implementing insurance relationships.
最近,消费极端主义已成为一种普遍现象,并逐渐渗透到保险行业。由于它不仅对个别保险公司的声誉和财务状况产生负面影响,而且对整个保险市场的发展也产生负面影响,因此寻找方法来抵消服务消费者不公平行为的事实的任务变得紧迫。应该记住,消费极端主义是一个复杂的、多方面的现象:它有法律基础,同时也有社会、经济、心理基础、动机和后果。因此,在这项研究中,超越纯粹的法律方面是极其重要的。在这方面,这项工作的目的是确定作为保险市场上发生的一种现象的消费者极端主义研究中最重要的方面。作为研究的结果,我们得出的结论是,有必要同时考虑消费者在保险市场中产生的多学科联系,以及在特定保险交易中形成的多学科联系。在评估消费者极端主义可能表现出来的关系领域时,我们应该考虑到消费者活动的所有场景,从被动的,其中关系不超过“投保人-保险人”,到主动的,当保险基础设施的代表参与到关系中。结果,一套措施被提出,这将有助于防止消费者极端主义案件,同时实施保险关系。
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引用次数: 1
Research on Supply and Demand in the Primary Housing Market by Structurizing on the Basis of the Number of Apartments and Bedrooms 基于户数和卧室数结构的一手住宅市场供求关系研究
Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.17150/2500-2759.2021.31(3).335-346
N. Shelomentseva
All the household sector throughout the Russian Federation needs to improve housing facilities. The objective of an optimally organized economic system of a state is to provide a state or market possibility for all the categories of citizens to meet their demand for housing. The aim of the research is to identify the necessary structure of market housing supply in terms of number of bedrooms. The supply and demand in the first housing market are analyzed in order to substantiate the developers’ shaping of the housing supply strategy. Structurizing on the basis of the number of apartments and bedrooms is emphasized. As a part of the research, the problem of finding the optimal living area allocated for apartments with different number of bedrooms was formalized and solved. Due to the solution, developers will be able to create a housing proposal, taking into account the number of bedrooms, аnd state government bodies will be able to plan construction orders for citizens supported by the government more accurately. It was recommended to include the calculation of the indicator «number of bedrooms per each member of the family» into the methods of calculating target indicators of the state program for the Irkutsk region «Available Housing» for 2019–2024 (into Part 3 «Target Indicators of the Subprogram «Housing Construction Support in the Irkutsk Region» for 2019–2024»).
整个俄罗斯联邦的所有家庭部门都需要改善住房设施。一个国家最优组织的经济体系的目标是为所有类别的公民提供国家或市场的可能性,以满足他们对住房的需求。该研究的目的是根据卧室数量确定市场住房供应的必要结构。通过对首套住房市场的供需分析,为开发商制定住房供应策略提供依据。以公寓和卧室的数量为基础的结构被强调。作为研究的一部分,找到分配给不同卧室数量的公寓的最佳生活区域的问题被正式确定并解决了。由于该解决方案,开发商将能够创建一个住房建议,考虑到卧室的数量,州政府机构将能够更准确地为政府支持的公民规划建筑订单。建议将“每个家庭成员的卧室数量”指标的计算纳入伊尔库茨克地区2019-2024年“可用住房”国家计划目标指标的计算方法(纳入第三部分“2019-2024年伊尔库茨克地区住房建设支持”子计划目标指标”)。
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引用次数: 0
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Bulletin of Baikal State University
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