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Nonlinear seismic performance of buildings considering deep excavation-soil-structure interaction 考虑深层开挖-土-结构相互作用的建筑物非线性抗震性能
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01966-1
Dong Van Nguyen, Dookie Kim, YunWook Choo

This study investigates the effects of adjacent deep excavation on the seismic performance of buildings. For that purpose, the numerical models are constructed for different buildings (i.e., 5-Story building and 15-Story building) considering the deep excavation-soil-structure interaction (ESSI) and soil-structure interaction (SSI). The results achieved from the ESSI and SSI systems are discussed and compared. Fully nonlinear numerical models with material, geometric, and contact nonlinearities are developed. Eleven earthquakes with different intensities, epicentral distances, significant durations, and frequency contents are applied to the models; and, the numerical results are given in terms of average records. The buildings are carefully designed and verified based on common design codes. The numerical modelling procedure of the deep excavation-soil system is validated using centrifuge test data. The comparisons between the ESSI and SSI systems are carried out in terms of accelerations, lateral displacements, inter-story drifts, story shear forces, and the nonlinear behavior of the soil medium under the buildings. The results show that it is necessary to consider the ESSI effect, and it might significantly change the seismic behavior of buildings adjacent to the deep excavations. The findings from this study can provide valuable recommendations for engineers to design buildings close to deep excavations under earthquakes.

本研究探讨了邻近深层开挖对建筑物抗震性能的影响。为此,考虑到深层开挖-土-结构相互作用(ESSI)和土-结构相互作用(SSI),为不同的建筑物(即 5 层楼和 15 层楼)构建了数值模型。对 ESSI 和 SSI 系统取得的结果进行了讨论和比较。建立了具有材料、几何和接触非线性的全非线性数值模型。模型应用了 11 次不同强度、震中距、显著持续时间和频率含量的地震,并根据平均记录给出了数值结果。根据通用设计规范对建筑物进行了精心设计和验证。利用离心机测试数据验证了深层开挖-土壤系统的数值建模程序。从加速度、侧向位移、层间漂移、层剪力以及建筑物下土壤介质的非线性行为等方面对 ESSI 和 SSI 系统进行了比较。结果表明,有必要考虑 ESSI 效应,它可能会显著改变深基坑附近建筑物的抗震性能。本研究的结果可为工程师在地震中设计深开挖附近的建筑物提供宝贵的建议。
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引用次数: 0
On estimating the drift capacity of reinforced concrete walls with lap splices at their bases 关于估算底部有搭接接头的钢筋混凝土墙体的抗漂移能力
IF 4.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01944-7
W. Pollalis, C. Kerby, S. Pujol

Failures in reinforced concrete (RC) structural walls have been reported to occur at longitudinal lap splices in earthquakes as far back as 1964 (Kunze et al. in JP 62:635–650, 1965) and as recently as 2023 (Pujol et al. in ES 63:777, 2024). Design codes such as ACI318-19 (2019) and JSCE Standard Specification for Concrete Structures (2007) have been adjusted accordingly and have banned the placement of lap splices near sections where longitudinal reinforcement is expected to yield in reinforced concrete structural walls. But minimizing lap splice vulnerabilities in new construction does not address existing buildings that may be vulnerable to earthquakes because of lap splices placed at or near critical sections. A simple, rapid assessment technique should be adopted to address the large number of existing buildings with potentially vulnerable RC walls. To investigate the deformation capacity of structural walls with lap splices near sections where longitudinal reinforcement yields, a two-part experimental program is ongoing: four large-scale walls with non-staggered lap splices were tested at Purdue University (Pollalis Drift capacity of reinforced concrete walls with lap splices, Purdue University: West Lafayette, 2021) and two large-scale walls with staggered lap splices have been tested at the University of Canterbury (Kerby et al. Experimental study of staggered lap splices in RC structural walls, 2023). Results from these six tests are added to a dataset of 15 previous tests of walls with non-staggered lap splices compiled by Almeida et al. (JSE 143:853, 2017). A method to estimate drift capacity of walls with lap splices is proposed based on estimates of lap splice strength, steel stress–strain relationships, and moment-area theorems. Two sets of assumptions can be used to produce estimates of drift capacity. The first set of assumptions applies when detailed information of reinforcement stress–strain relationships is available, and the second set of assumptions applies when reinforcement stress–strain relationships must be assumed. Both sets of assumptions produce reasonable estimates of the drift capacity of walls with lap splices, and the second set of assumptions can be used for rapid assessment given minimal information about the detailing and material properties of a wall.

早在 1964 年(Kunze 等人,发表于 JP 62:635-650, 1965 年),以及最近在 2023 年(Pujol 等人,发表于 ES 63:777, 2024 年)的地震中,钢筋混凝土(RC)结构墙体的纵向搭接拼接处就已出现故障。ACI318-19 (2019) 和 JSCE 混凝土结构标准规范 (2007) 等设计规范已做出相应调整,禁止在钢筋混凝土结构墙体中纵向钢筋可能屈服的部分附近设置搭接接头。但是,尽量减少新建筑中的搭接薄弱环节并不能解决现有建筑由于在关键部分或附近设置搭接而容易受到地震影响的问题。应采用一种简单、快速的评估技术来解决大量存在潜在易受影响的 RC 墙体的现有建筑问题。为了研究在纵向钢筋屈服部分附近带有搭接接头的结构墙体的变形能力,一项由两部分组成的实验计划正在进行中:在普渡大学测试了四面带有非交错搭接接头的大型墙体(Pollalis 带有搭接接头的钢筋混凝土墙体的漂移能力,普渡大学,西拉法叶特,2021 年):西拉法叶特,2021 年),并在坎特伯雷大学测试了两幅采用交错搭接拼接的大型墙体(Kerby 等人,《钢筋混凝土结构墙体中交错搭接拼接的实验研究》,2023 年)。这六次测试的结果被添加到了 Almeida 等人之前对无交错搭接拼接墙进行的 15 次测试的数据集中(JSE 143:853, 2017)。根据对搭接强度、钢材应力应变关系和弯矩面积定理的估计,提出了一种估算带搭接拼接墙体漂移承载力的方法。有两组假设可用于估算漂移能力。第一套假设适用于可获得钢筋应力应变关系详细信息的情况,第二套假设适用于必须假设钢筋应力应变关系的情况。这两组假设都能对带有搭接接头的墙体的漂移能力进行合理估算,而且第二组假设可用于在墙体细节和材料属性信息极少的情况下进行快速评估。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of consistent absolute acceleration and relative displacement floor response spectra in existing masonry-infilled reinforced concrete buildings 既有砌体填充钢筋混凝土建筑中一致的绝对加速度和相对位移楼板响应谱的估算
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01961-6
Roberto J. Merino, Gianrocco Mucedero, Daniele Perrone, Ricardo Monteiro, Maria Antonietta Aiello, Roberto Nascimbene

Non-structural elements play a crucial role in the overall seismic performance of buildings, as has been largely demonstrated in recent earthquakes that have stuck densely populated regions. Therefore, the development of performance-based seismic design and assessment methodologies for non-structural elements is becoming an important research topic within earthquake engineering. A crucial aspect in such methodologies is the accurate prediction of the seismic demands acting on non-structural elements in terms of consistent absolute acceleration and relative displacement floor response spectra for the most common types of structural seismic force resisting systems. Masonry-infilled reinforced concrete frames are one of the most common building typologies in high seismicity regions, such as the Mediterranean region. This study proposes a simplified procedure to estimate consistent absolute acceleration and relative displacement floor response spectra in masonry-infilled reinforced concrete frames based on an existing methodology to estimate consistent floor response spectra in bare reinforced concrete frames. Nine archetype masonry-infilled reinforced concrete buildings with different numbers of storeys and arranged with three masonry infill typologies were considered as case-study archetypes, and were used to validate the proposed methodology using nonlinear time history analyses. The proposed procedure can accurately estimate consistent absolute acceleration and relative displacement floor response spectra for masonry-infilled reinforced concrete buildings that respond both in the elastic and nonlinear ranges for all the non-structural period range. The estimates of floor response spectra given by the proposed procedure are fully consistent with the well-known pseudo-spectral relationship for the entire non-structural period range.

非结构性构件在建筑物的整体抗震性能中发挥着至关重要的作用,这一点在近期发生在人口稠密地区的地震中得到了充分证明。因此,针对非结构构件开发基于性能的抗震设计和评估方法正成为地震工程领域的一个重要研究课题。这些方法的一个重要方面是,针对最常见类型的结构抗震系统,以一致的绝对加速度和相对位移楼层反应谱来准确预测作用于非结构构件的地震要求。砌体填充钢筋混凝土框架是地中海地区等地震高发区最常见的建筑类型之一。本研究基于现有的钢筋混凝土裸框架一致楼板反应谱估算方法,提出了一种简化程序,用于估算砌体填充钢筋混凝土框架的一致绝对加速度和相对位移楼板反应谱。九栋不同层数的砌体填充钢筋混凝土原型建筑被视为案例研究原型,并采用三种砌体填充类型进行布置,利用非线性时间历程分析验证了所提出的方法。所提出的程序可以准确估算出砌体填充钢筋混凝土建筑物的绝对加速度和相对位移楼板响应谱,这些楼板响应谱在所有非结构周期范围内都具有弹性和非线性响应。在整个非结构周期范围内,拟议程序给出的楼板响应谱估计值与众所周知的伪谱关系完全一致。
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引用次数: 0
The performance of transmission pipelines on february 6th, 2023 Kahramanmaras earthquake: a series of case studies 2023 年 2 月 6 日卡赫拉曼马拉什地震中输油管道的性能:一系列案例研究
IF 4.6 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01957-2
E. Uckan, M. Aksel, O. Atas, S. Toprak, E. S. Kaya

The Mw 7.8 earthquake that struck Kahramanmaras on February 6, 2023, caused significant damage to hydrocarbon and water transmission lines due to permanent ground deformations. Explosions occurred in the Kahramanmaras–Gaziantep Natural Gas transmission pipeline causing disruption of gas in the cities of Gaziantep and Hatay Fault Displacement Hazard. Water transmission pipelines were also damaged due to extreme fault offsets. This paper presents the findings from the earthquake affected zones. Particular attention was given to the performance of the 2600 mm diameter Duzbag–Gaziantep water transmission pipeline due to three reported challenges: (#1) The behavior of the pipe in the Duzbag tunnel, (#2) The pipe bend behavior at the fault crossing, and (#3) The pull-out of the pipe at valve room. Based on field observations, extreme damage forms at pipes were presented. A three-dimensional nonlinear numerical analysis was performed to simulate the observed damage of the reoriented water pipe at the fault crossing for Case #2. The nonlinear finite element model was able to capture the complex nature of the post-yield behavior of steel pipe as well as the damage locations along the pipe and their sequence of occurrences. As a mitigation measure for new pipes, the need for using flexible connections at critical crossings was highlighted. For existing pipes, the importance of developing secondary (by-pass) lines was emphasized.

2023 年 2 月 6 日,卡赫拉曼马拉什(Kahramanmaras)发生 7.8 兆瓦地震,由于永久性地面变形,碳氢化合物和输水管线遭到严重破坏。卡赫拉曼马拉什-加济安泰普天然气输送管道发生爆炸,导致加济安泰普市和哈塔伊断层位移危险区的天然气供应中断。输水管道也因极端的断层偏移而受损。本文介绍了地震灾区的调查结果。本文特别关注了直径为 2600 毫米的杜兹巴格--加济安泰普输水管道的性能,因为据报告该管道面临三项挑战:(1) 管道在杜兹巴格隧道中的行为;(2) 管道在断层穿越处的弯曲行为;(3) 管道在阀门室的拉出。根据现场观察,提出了管道的极端损坏形式。针对案例 #2,我们进行了三维非线性数值分析,以模拟在断层交汇处观察到的重新定位水管的损坏情况。非线性有限元模型能够捕捉到钢管屈服后行为的复杂性,以及钢管沿线的损坏位置及其发生顺序。作为新管道的缓解措施,强调了在关键交叉点使用柔性连接的必要性。对于现有管道,强调了开发二级(旁通式)管线的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Shaking-table-test-based numerical simulation study on seismic performance of Zhuanyao dwellings 基于振动台试验的祝瑶民居抗震性能数值模拟研究
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01899-9
Pengchun Hu, Jianyang Xue, Fengliang Zhang, Huaiquan Ling

Zhuanyao dwellings faced significant seismic risks in rural regions of China. Therefore, a shaking-table test was performed to explore the seismic performance of Zhuanyaos and validate the finite-element simulation results. The results showed that the damage to the pier and roof levels of Zhuanyaos was more severe after earthquakes, resulting in a noteworthy increase in the displacement responses of these two levels compared to that of the vault level. The damage to the front structure (Yaolian) and mid-pier of the Zhuanyao were more severe than the damage to the back wall and side pier, respectively, which caused a significant reduction in acceleration responses of Yaolian and mid-pier. Following the crack development, dynamic response, and field investigation, three typical collapse modes of Zhuanyaos were presented. Subsequently, the parametric analysis was conducted using a verified finite-element simulation method. The results show that using the catenary arch can reduce earthquake damage in Zhuanyaos. Increasing the width of the middle pier can improve the seismic performance of Zhuanyaos to a certain extent; however, it may exacerbate local damage to the structure. Besides, the high seismic vulnerability of Zhuanyaos stemming from an increasing thickness of overlying soil cannot be ignored.

在中国农村地区,祝窑民居面临着巨大的地震风险。因此,我们进行了振动台试验,以探讨祝窑民居的抗震性能,并验证有限元模拟结果。结果表明,地震发生后,Zhuanyaos 的墩台层和屋顶层受到的破坏更为严重,与拱顶层相比,这两层的位移响应明显增大。与后墙和侧墩相比,祝窑正面结构(窑洞)和中墩的破坏更为严重,这导致窑洞和中墩的加速度响应显著降低。根据裂缝发展、动态响应和现场调查,提出了三种典型的祝融窑坍塌模式。随后,采用经过验证的有限元模拟方法进行了参数分析。结果表明,使用悬臂拱可以减少祝窑的地震破坏。增加中墩宽度可在一定程度上改善祝窑的抗震性能,但可能会加剧结构的局部破坏。此外,由于上覆土层厚度的增加,祝窑的抗震脆弱性也不容忽视。
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引用次数: 0
Correlating the seismic acceleration of reinforced concrete moment-resisting-frames with structural and earthquake characteristics 钢筋混凝土矩型抗震框架的地震加速度与结构和地震特征的相关性
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01950-9
Shir Parizat, Ronnie Kamai, Assaf Shmerling

Nonstructural components (NSCs) are elements within the building unrelated to the lateral load-carrying system. Failure of NSCs during earthquakes can result in casualties, significant economic losses, disabled critical infrastructures, and loss of building functionality. The NSCs can be categorized into two primary groups: deformation-sensitive and acceleration-sensitive. Thanks to well-established seismic design guidelines and standards, buildings may suffer minor seismic deformations – resulting in lesser damage to deformation-sensitive components. However, planning under the peak floor response or peak floor acceleration (PFA) is getting much less attention – exposing the acceleration-sensitive components to greater risk. This manuscript develops equations for moment-resisting reinforced concrete frames (MRRCFs) that estimate the total floor acceleration. The data is gathered based on 984 inelastic response simulations, elaborated to create an idealized equation based on the earthquake characteristics. The developed equation offers engineers a quantitative approach to understanding the inertial forces applied to the NSCs within the building during earthquakes, allowing them to plan for potential risks due to earthquakes.

非结构构件 (NSC) 是建筑物内与横向承载系统无关的构件。非结构部件在地震中发生故障会导致人员伤亡、重大经济损失、重要基础设施瘫痪以及建筑物功能丧失。非结构敏感元件主要分为两类:变形敏感元件和加速度敏感元件。得益于完善的抗震设计指南和标准,建筑物可能会受到轻微的地震变形影响,从而导致对变形敏感的部件受到较小的损坏。然而,楼板峰值响应或楼板峰值加速度(PFA)下的规划却很少受到关注,这使得对加速度敏感的部件面临更大的风险。本手稿针对力矩抵抗钢筋混凝土框架 (MRRCF) 开发了估算总楼层加速度的方程。这些数据是根据 984 次非弹性响应模拟收集的,并根据地震特征详细阐述了理想化方程。所开发的方程式为工程师提供了一种定量方法,用于了解地震时施加在建筑物内非结构体上的惯性力,使他们能够对地震造成的潜在风险进行规划。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic hazard assessment for Iran in terms of macroseismic intensity 按宏观地震烈度评估伊朗的地震危害
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01960-7
E. Shabani, D. Albarello, M. Mahsuli, N. Eghbali, S. Hosseini Varzandeh, F. Farnetani

We present the results of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Iran based on a statistical procedure specifically developed to manage macroseismic intensity data. This method takes into careful consideration the specific features of such data, which are characterized as ordinal, discrete, and confined within a finite interval, ensuring a logically coherent approach throughout the analysis. The results of our assessment are then compared with hazard maps generated using a standard approach, putting in evidence significant differences both on a national scale and relative to individual cities. This comparative analysis will be useful in identifying areas of utmost concern, where further studies are strongly recommended to yield hazard estimates of greater robustness and reliability. By pinpointing these critical scenarios, we aim to guide future research endeavors towards providing more accurate and reliable seismic hazard estimates. Identifying these critical situations facilitates the prioritization of resources and interventions, ultimately enhancing seismic risk mitigation efforts across Iran.

我们根据专门为管理宏观地震烈度数据而开发的统计程序,介绍了伊朗地震灾害概率评估的结果。该方法仔细考虑了此类数据的具体特征,即顺序性、离散性和局限于有限区间内,确保整个分析过程在逻辑上连贯一致。然后,我们将评估结果与使用标准方法绘制的危害图进行比较,以证明全国范围内和单个城市之间的显著差异。这种比较分析有助于确定最值得关注的领域,我们强烈建议在这些领域开展进一步研究,以获得更可靠、更稳健的灾害估算结果。通过确定这些关键情况,我们旨在指导未来的研究工作,以提供更准确、更可靠的地震灾害估算。确定这些关键情况有助于确定资源和干预措施的优先次序,最终加强伊朗全国的地震风险缓解工作。
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引用次数: 0
Determining acceptable risk levels in earthquake disasters: insights from Chinese Mainland 确定地震灾害中可接受的风险水平:中国大陆的启示
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01959-0
Cheng Miao, Mingtao Ding

The establishment of acceptable risk standards serves as a crucial connection between earthquake disaster risk assessment and risk management. Currently, there lacks a standardized criterion for determining the acceptable level of risk pertaining to earthquake disasters. To establish a standardized system of acceptable risk of earthquake disaster, the data of disaster-affected toll, death toll, and direct economic losses resulting from earthquakes disaster with MS ≥ 5.0 in Chinese Mainland between 1991 and 2020 are utilized. These data are employed to construct the acceptable life risk F–N curve (the accumulated probability F of annual death toll ≥ N—death toll N), the acceptable economic risk F–D curve (the accumulated probability F of annual direct economic losses ≥ D—direct economic losses), and the acceptable comprehensive risk F–L curve (the accumulated probability F with earthquake occurrence of annual disaster degree ≥ L—disaster degree). Then, the acceptable risk level of earthquake disasters with MS5.0–5.9, MS6.0–6.9, MS ≥ 7.0, and MS ≥ 5.0 are determined. Moreover, the classification and consistency of acceptable types of earthquake disaster comprehensive risk, life risk and economic risk in the past 30 years are compared. Through analysis, the acceptable life risk, acceptable economic risk, and acceptable comprehensive risk criteria of earthquake disasters with MS5.0–5.9, MS6.0–6.9, MS ≥ 7.0, and MS ≥ 5.0 in Chinese Mainland are obtained. It is found that the comprehensive risk of earthquake disasters with different magnitudes is mainly at an unacceptable level, while the main types that are consistent with life risk and economic risk are tolerable level and acceptable level, respectively. The research results can provide more comprehensive theoretical data and practical basis for the effective implementation of earthquake disaster risk management.

建立可接受的风险标准是地震灾害风险评估和风险管理之间的重要联系。目前,地震灾害可接受风险水平的确定缺乏统一的标准。为建立地震灾害可接受风险的标准体系,本文利用 1991-2020 年中国大陆 MS≥5.0 地震灾害的受灾人数、死亡人数和直接经济损失数据,构建了地震灾害可接受风险的生命值。利用这些数据构建了可接受生命风险 F-N 曲线(年死亡人数≥N-死亡人数 N 的累积概率 F)、可接受经济风险 F-D 曲线(年直接经济损失≥D-直接经济损失的累积概率 F)和可接受综合风险 F-L 曲线(年灾害度≥L-灾害度的地震发生累积概率 F)。然后,确定 MS5.0-5.9、MS6.0-6.9、MS≥7.0、MS≥5.0 的地震灾害可接受风险等级。此外,还比较了近 30 年地震灾害综合风险、生命风险和经济风险可接受类型的划分和一致性。通过分析,得出中国大陆 MS5.0-5.9、MS6.0-6.9、MS≥7.0、MS≥5.0 地震灾害的可接受生命风险、可接受经济风险和可接受综合风险标准。研究发现,不同震级地震灾害的综合风险主要处于不可接受水平,而与生命风险和经济风险相一致的主要类型分别为可容忍水平和可接受水平。研究成果可为有效实施地震灾害风险管理提供较为全面的理论数据和实践依据。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing seismic hazard and uncertainty in Büyükçekmece using ground motion simulations 利用地动模拟评估 Büyükçekmece 的地震灾害和不确定性
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01953-6
Hakan Süleyman, Eser Çaktı

This study presents a comprehensive seismic hazard assessment for Büyükçekmece, a district in Istanbul, Turkey, situated near the seismically active North Anatolian Fault (NAF). The study utilizes stochastic ground motion simulations with the validated EXSIM algorithm to understand the potential impact of medium to large-magnitude earthquakes (ranging from MW 6.3 to 7.42) on this vulnerable community. The research employs a site-specific approach, considering unique amplification factors for each location. By conducting 50 scenario-based simulations, the study assesses the seismic hazard, highlighting the importance of comprehending variations in ground motion, even when they are small, for a more precise hazard assessment. Furthermore, this study addresses the critical issue of uncertainty, particularly concerning stress parameters and hypocenter locations. The researchers demonstrate that variability in these factors can introduce substantial uncertainty in ground motion predictions. The study provides insights into the range of potential ground motion outcomes through probabilistic assessments involving multiple scenarios and stress drop values. Notably, the results indicate that ground motion levels vary with earthquake magnitudes and underscore the significance of accounting for this variability. This research emphasizes the seismic vulnerability of Büyükçekmece and the importance of accurate ground motion simulations, offering valuable insights for earthquake preparedness and mitigation efforts in the region.

本研究介绍了土耳其伊斯坦布尔 Büyükçekmece 地区的综合地震危害评估,该地区位于地震活跃的北安纳托利亚断层 (NAF) 附近。该研究利用经过验证的 EXSIM 算法进行随机地面运动模拟,以了解中震级到大震级地震(从 6.3 到 7.42 级)对这一脆弱社区的潜在影响。研究采用了因地制宜的方法,考虑了每个地点独特的放大系数。通过进行 50 次基于情景的模拟,该研究评估了地震危害,强调了理解地面运动变化(即使是很小的变化)对于更精确地评估危害的重要性。此外,这项研究还探讨了不确定性这一关键问题,特别是应力参数和震中位置。研究人员证明,这些因素的变化会给地动预测带来很大的不确定性。该研究通过涉及多种情况和应力下降值的概率评估,深入分析了潜在的地动结果范围。值得注意的是,研究结果表明,地动水平随地震震级而变化,并强调了考虑这种变化的重要性。这项研究强调了 Büyükçekmece 的地震脆弱性和精确地震动模拟的重要性,为该地区的地震防备和减灾工作提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
A simplified seismicity model of the bookshelf fault system of the Southwest Iceland transform zone 冰岛西南转换带书架断层系统的简化地震模型
IF 3.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-024-01946-5
Farnaz Bayat, Milad Kowsari, Benedikt Halldorsson

In Iceland, the most seismically active region in Northern Europe, large earthquakes up to ~({M}_{text{w}})7 repeatedly take place in the two transform zones of the country. Of the two, only the South Iceland Seismic Zone (SISZ) in southwest Iceland is on land and with a large part of the country’s population either collocated or in close proximity to it. Strong earthquake occurrence in the SISZ takes place on a bookshelf fault system, an array of short, vertical, and dextral strike-slip faults oriented perpendicular to the overall transform motion. Importantly, this system has recently been shown to be continuous further towards the west along the entire Reykjanes Peninsula Oblique Rift (RPOR), making the bookshelf fault system approximately twice as long as previously thought. Moreover, a systematic spatial variation of maximum earthquake magnitudes characterizes the SISZ-RPOR system, from ~({M}_{text{w}})7 down to ~({M}_{text{w}})5.5 from eastern SISZ to western RPOR, respectively, indicates a subzonation of the seismic region. The above has not been taken into account in past probabilistic seismic hazard assessments (PSHA) and poses a challenge as the historical earthquake catalogue precludes reliable estimates of seismicity parameters for individual subzones of the SISZ-RPOR system. In this study, we address this issue using a recently developed physics-based finite-fault model of the SISZ-RPOR bookshelf fault system, and quantitatively estimate the time-independent magnitude-frequency distributions (MFDs, of the Gutenberg-Richter type) for each subzone. We establish zone-specific distributions representative of long-term fault slip rates and derive the seismicity parameter estimates corresponding to the 2.5, 50, and 97.5 percentiles of fault slip rates along the SISZ-RPOR as predicted by the physics-based model. We present new and quantitative estimates of subzone MFDs and show that the model effectively explains the historical earthquake catalogues. The results of this study not only enable the efficient yet physically realistic and consistent revision of conventional time-independent PSHA for southwest Iceland using e.g., empirical ground motion models, but also a more comprehensive physics-based PSHA from finite-fault rupture modeling and advanced seismic ground motion simulation techniques.

冰岛是北欧地震最活跃的地区,在该国的两个地震带上经常发生高达 ~({M}_{text{w}})7 的大地震。在这两个地带中,只有冰岛西南部的南冰岛地震带(SISZ)位于陆地上,冰岛的大部分人口都居住在这里或与之相邻。SISZ 的强震发生在书架断层系统上,这是一个由垂直于整体转换运动的短向斜断层组成的阵列。重要的是,最近的研究表明,沿整个雷克雅未克半岛斜裂谷(RPOR)向西,该断层系统是连续的,这使得书架断层系统的长度大约是之前认为的两倍。此外,SISZ-RPOR 系统的最大地震震级在空间上存在系统性变化,从 SISZ 东部到 RPOR 西部,最大地震震级分别从 ~({M}_{text{w}})7 下降到 ~({M}_{text{w}})5.5,表明该地震区域存在亚区。上述情况在以往的地震危险性概率评估(PSHA)中并未得到考虑,而且由于历史地震目录的原因,无法对 SISZ-RPOR 系统中各个子区的地震活动性参数进行可靠的估算,这也是一个挑战。在本研究中,我们利用最近开发的基于物理学的 SISZ-RPOR 书架断层系统有限断层模型解决了这一问题,并定量估算了各子区与时间无关的震级-频率分布(MFDs,古腾堡-里克特类型)。我们建立了代表长期断层滑动率的分区分布,并得出了基于物理模型预测的 SISZ-RPOR 沿断层滑动率 2.5、50 和 97.5 百分位数对应的地震参数估计。我们提出了新的、定量的子区 MFD 估计值,并表明该模型能有效解释历史地震目录。这项研究的结果不仅使我们能够利用经验地动模型等对冰岛西南部传统的与时间无关的 PSHA 进行高效、物理上真实且一致的修正,还能利用有限断层破裂建模和先进的地震地动模拟技术对基于物理的 PSHA 进行更全面的修正。
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Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering
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