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Engineered frameworks for sustainable seismic retrofitting design: a state-of-the-art review 可持续抗震改造设计的工程框架:最先进的回顾
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02213-x
Antonio P. Sberna, Marilisa Di Benedetto, Fabio Di Trapani

The pressing need to address seismic risk reduction for built heritage, while ensuring economic and environmental sustainability, highlights the importance of formal design methodologies that achieve prescribed goals. In current practice, the design of seismic retrofitting is predominantly based on the designer’s experience and trial-and-error procedures, primarily focusing on structural performance. However, retrofit interventions have significant social, environmental, and economic impacts that must be integrated into the design process to enable informed decision-making. The absence of formalized criteria, combined with advancements in computational capabilities, has driven the development of structured frameworks to guide the design process. This paper presents a comprehensive literature review of engineered design frameworks for seismic retrofitting of existing structures. The state of the art includes Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) frameworks, which rank multiple conflicting design options, and Optimization frameworks, which mathematically formalize the design process by adhering to prescribed constraints. Recent hybrid methodologies are also examined. The review explores these methodologies, traces their research evolution over time, outlines the advantages and limitations of each framework, and identifies gaps that future research must address.

在确保经济和环境可持续性的同时,迫切需要解决建筑遗产的地震风险降低问题,这凸显了实现规定目标的正式设计方法的重要性。在目前的实践中,抗震改造的设计主要基于设计师的经验和试错过程,主要关注结构性能。然而,改造干预措施具有重大的社会、环境和经济影响,必须将其整合到设计过程中,以实现明智的决策。形式化标准的缺乏,加上计算能力的进步,推动了结构化框架的发展,以指导设计过程。本文对现有结构抗震改造的工程设计框架进行了全面的文献综述。最新的技术包括多标准决策框架(Multi-Criteria Decision-Making, MCDM)和优化框架(Optimization framework),前者对多个相互冲突的设计选项进行排序,后者通过遵守规定的约束条件,以数学方式形式化设计过程。最近的混合方法也进行了审查。这篇综述探讨了这些方法,追踪了它们的研究演变,概述了每个框架的优点和局限性,并确定了未来研究必须解决的差距。
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引用次数: 0
State-dependent life-cycle structural seismic resilience analysis incorporating corrosion and aftershock effects: illustrated with a corroded RC frame 结合腐蚀和余震效应的状态依赖生命周期结构抗震弹性分析:以腐蚀的钢筋混凝土框架为例
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02208-8
Zhou Zhou, Kuangyu Dai, Decheng Feng, Xiaohui Yu

The interaction of environmental aggression and seismic events may significantly reduce the seismic capacity, serviceability, and resilience of aged structures. Considering the deterioration caused by corrosion and earthquake events, it is crucial to account for the current structural state in the procedure for assessing seismic resilience. This paper presents an analytical approach for assessing seismic resilience that incorporates the influence of corrosion and mainshock-induced damages. Within this methodology, the conventional structural functionality formula is modified by incorporating a time-variant function that is dependent on mainshock damage states. An aftershock fragility is generated by the grouped damage data. An approach based on the total probability theorem is introduced to estimate the downtime caused by ageing and aftershock loadings. In the downtime estimation process, a color-tagged scheme is employed to differentiate between repair and rebuild scenarios for the damaged building. Subsequently, the seismic resilience can be evaluated using the acquired functionality, fragility, and downtime. The assessment procedure is implemented on a representative reinforced concrete frame structure to demonstrate its applicability. The results indicate that corrosion and aftershocks together cause a considerable drop in resilience index and an increase in downtime. The coupling effect of these two factors on resilience is larger than that of each individual factor. Taking into account the contribution of aftershocks and corrosion, the downtime resulting from structural damage is approximately 2.7 times longer than that associated with the mainshock alone. For the damage state induced by the mainshock, it is estimated that when the mainshock causes moderate damage to the structure, there is an approximate 22% reduction in seismic resilience, which should be considered when evaluating life-cycle resilience. The obtained results underscore the importance of considering aftershocks and corrosion, as neglecting them would lead to an overestimation of seismic resilience.

环境侵蚀和地震事件的相互作用会显著降低老化结构的抗震能力、使用能力和恢复能力。考虑到腐蚀和地震事件引起的劣化,在评估抗震弹性的过程中,考虑结构的当前状态是至关重要的。本文提出了一种综合考虑腐蚀和主震损伤影响的地震恢复力评估分析方法。在这种方法中,通过加入依赖于主震损伤状态的时变函数来修改传统的结构功能公式。余震易损性是由分组损伤数据生成的。提出了一种基于全概率定理的方法来估计由老化和余震载荷引起的停机时间。在停机时间估计过程中,采用颜色标记方案来区分受损建筑的修复和重建方案。随后,可以使用获得的功能、脆弱性和停机时间来评估地震恢复能力。通过对具有代表性的钢筋混凝土框架结构进行评价,验证了评价方法的适用性。结果表明,腐蚀和余震共同导致回弹性指数明显下降,停机时间增加。这两个因素对弹性的耦合效应大于单个因素的耦合效应。考虑到余震和腐蚀的影响,结构损坏造成的停工时间大约是主震单独造成的停工时间的2.7倍。对于由主震引起的损伤状态,估计当主震对结构造成中等程度的损伤时,其抗震回弹性降低约22%,在评估全寿命回弹性时应考虑到这一点。得到的结果强调了考虑余震和腐蚀的重要性,因为忽略它们会导致对地震恢复力的高估。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic retrofitting of built-up battened columns through CFRP wrapping and grouting CFRP包覆注浆组合式配筋柱抗震加固
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02222-w
Abdul Waheed, Mohammadreza Vafaei, Sophia C. Alih, Rafiq Ullah

Built-up battened columns have been widely used in steel structures mainly because of providing a higher moment of inertia than solid sections with a similar weight. However, previous earthquakes and recent studies have demonstrated the poor seismic performance of these columns. This study proposes a strengthening method for deficient built-up battened columns through chord grouting and wrapping with carbon fiber-reinforced polymer (CFRP). Experimental works and numerical simulations were employed to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed method. The experimental works included quasi-static cyclic testing of four strengthened built-up battened columns with different batten spacing and chord distances. A comparison was made between the experimental results of the strengthened columns and four similar un-retrofitted built-up battened columns. Besides, the ABAQUS program was used to simulate 54 built-up battened columns with various batten spacing, chord distances, axial stresses, CFRPs layers, and strengthened panels. The results indicated that the proposed method prevented the buckling and bulging of flange and webs, respectively. Besides, the retrofitted columns exhibited a larger lateral strength and displacement capacity.

组合式钢筋混凝土柱在钢结构中得到了广泛的应用,主要是因为它比同等重量的实心截面具有更高的转动惯量。然而,以前的地震和最近的研究表明,这些柱的抗震性能很差。本文提出了一种通过弦灌浆和碳纤维增强聚合物(CFRP)包覆加固缺陷组合钢筋柱的方法。通过实验和数值模拟验证了该方法的有效性。试验工作包括4根不同板条间距和弦距的加固组合柱的准静力循环试验。并将加固柱与4根类似的未加固组合钢筋柱的试验结果进行了比较。此外,利用ABAQUS程序对54根具有不同板条间距、弦距、轴向应力、cfrp层数和加固板的组合柱进行了数值模拟。结果表明,该方法能有效防止翼缘和腹板的屈曲和胀形。此外,改造后的柱具有更大的侧向强度和位移能力。
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引用次数: 0
Study of steel buildings under multicomponent near-field ground motions and nonlinear soil-structure interaction 多分量近场地震动及非线性土-结构相互作用下钢结构建筑的研究
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02225-7
M. Farazmand, F. Behnamfar, A. Aziminejad

Common building regulations typically establish the seismic design criteria based on earthquake movements occurring in far-field regions. For the areas close to faults, the codes have introduced specialized criteria or coefficients aimed at incorporating the influence of the related seismic effects into the design spectrum. While the application of these criteria is straightforward, the inherent uncertainty associated with the proposed methodologies hinders the ability to conduct a precise evaluation of the seismic performance of structures. This challenge is more pronounced concerning the distribution of drift and inelastic behavior of buildings in these regions, especially when they are influenced by the concurrent effects of three translational components of an earthquake and the flexibility of the foundation. Consequently, there is a necessity for more comprehensive investigations. In light of this, the present study conducts three-dimensional nonlinear time history analyses of 32 steel building models in OpenSees software, varying in the number of stories (ranging from 3 to 12), structural system types (special cross braced frames, SCBF and special moment resisting frames, SMRF), soil classifications (D and E based on ASCE 7–22), and base conditions (fixed and flexible). The analyses consider the simultaneous influence of three translational components of suitably selected near-field earthquake ground motions. Modeling of the soil flexibility is conducted using the Winkler approach. The comparative study of the fixed- and flexible-base structures indicates that soil-structure interaction significantly contributes to increased inter-story drifts, particularly in taller braced frames, with the first story experiencing increases of as much as 80%. Despite the decrease in the base shear due to the consideration of soil-structure interaction, it is responsible for increasing the plastic hinge rotations and the permanent displacement of the stories, particularly in the SCBF buildings. In the worst-case scenario, for the braces which are the key elements to controlling the seismic performance of the SCBF buildings, the plastic hinge rotations increase by as much as 5 times. Moreover, the permanent lateral displacement of the models can also increase by a factor of 3. In most cases, the maximum increase of the story drift due to base flexibility corresponds to the story where the story drift is the lowest in the fixed-base condition. Using the obtained results, an equation is proposed to convert the lateral displacements of a fixed-base building to those for the flexible-base case.

一般的建筑规范通常根据远场地区发生的地震运动建立抗震设计标准。对于靠近断层的区域,规范引入了专门的标准或系数,旨在将相关地震效应的影响纳入设计范围。虽然这些标准的应用很简单,但与所提出的方法相关的固有不确定性阻碍了对结构抗震性能进行精确评估的能力。这一挑战在这些地区的建筑物的漂移分布和非弹性行为方面更为明显,特别是当它们同时受到地震的三个平移分量和基础灵活性的影响时。因此,有必要进行更全面的调查。鉴于此,本研究在OpenSees软件中对32个钢结构模型进行了三维非线性时程分析,这些模型的层数(3 - 12层)、结构体系类型(特殊交叉支撑框架、SCBF和特殊抗弯矩框架、SMRF)、土壤分类(基于ASCE 7-22的D和E)和基础条件(固定和柔性)不同。分析考虑了适当选择的近场地震地面运动的三个平动分量的同时影响。采用Winkler方法对土壤弹性进行建模。固定基础和柔性基础结构的对比研究表明,土-结构相互作用显著增加了层间位移,特别是在较高的支撑框架中,第一层的位移增加高达80%。尽管考虑了土-结构相互作用,降低了基础剪力,但它增加了塑性铰旋转和楼层的永久位移,特别是在SCBF建筑中。在最坏的情况下,作为控制SCBF建筑抗震性能的关键要素的支撑,塑性铰旋转增加了5倍之多。此外,模型的永久侧向位移也可以增加3倍。在大多数情况下,在固定基础条件下,由于基础柔性而导致的楼层漂移的最大增加对应于楼层漂移最小的楼层。利用所得结果,提出了将固定基础建筑物的侧向位移转化为柔性基础情况的方程。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic retrofitting of substandard RC frames using tube-in-tube buckling-restrained braces: shake table evaluation and field insights 使用管中管屈曲约束支撑的不合格RC框架的抗震改造:振动台评估和现场见解
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02229-3
Evrim Oyguc, Resat Oyguc, Abdul Hayir, Onur Seker, Jay Shen, Bulent Akbas

This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of an all-steel Tube-in-Tube Buckling-Restrained Brace (TnT-BRB) system designed for the seismic retrofitting of substandard reinforced concrete (RC) frames. A significant portion of existing RC buildings, particularly those constructed prior to the adoption of modern seismic design codes, suffer from inadequate ductility, poor joint detailing, and insufficient lateral load resistance. To address these vulnerabilities, this research integrates large-scale cyclic testing of TnT-BRB components with shake table experiments on one-third scale, single-story RC frame specimens. The experimental program involved two geometrically identical frames: one unretrofitted and one equipped with the TnT BRB system. Subjected to progressively scaled horizontal ground motions, the retrofitted frame exhibited pronounced improvements in lateral stiffness, deformation capacity, and energy dissipation. By contrast, the bare frame sustained brittle joint failures, diagonal shear cracking, and considerable residual drift at moderate excitation levels. When subjected to ground motions scaled to replicate the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake, the retrofitted specimen remained structurally intact and stable, with the brace yielding in a controlled manner as intended. These outcomes were validated through detailed strain, acceleration, and displacement histories, as well as through post-test inspections. Field observations from the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake further reinforce the system’s practical feasibility. Collectively, the findings demonstrate the TnT BRB system’s capacity to transform vulnerable RC frames into ductile, seismically resilient structures. The study supports the integration of such systems into performance-based retrofitting frameworks, offering a scalable and repairable solution for improving the seismic safety of existing RC buildings in high-risk regions.

本研究提出了一个综合评价的全钢管中管屈曲约束支撑(TnT-BRB)系统设计的抗震改造的不合格钢筋混凝土(RC)框架。现有钢筋混凝土建筑的很大一部分,特别是那些在采用现代抗震设计规范之前建造的,存在延展性不足、接缝细节不佳和抗侧载能力不足的问题。为了解决这些漏洞,本研究将TnT-BRB构件的大规模循环试验与三分之一比例的单层RC框架试件的振动台试验相结合。实验程序涉及两个几何形状相同的框架:一个未经改装,另一个配备了TnT BRB系统。受到逐渐扩大的水平地面运动,改造后的框架在横向刚度、变形能力和能量耗散方面表现出明显的改善。相比之下,裸框架在中等激励水平下持续脆性节点破坏,对角剪切开裂和相当大的残余漂移。当受到地面运动的影响,以复制2023年kahramanmaraki地震时,改造后的标本在结构上保持完整和稳定,支撑以可控的方式屈服。通过详细的应变、加速度和位移历史以及测试后的检查,验证了这些结果。2023年kahramanmaraki地震的现场观测进一步加强了该系统的实际可行性。总的来说,研究结果表明TnT BRB系统有能力将脆弱的RC框架转变为延展性强的抗震结构。该研究支持将这些系统集成到基于性能的改造框架中,为提高高风险地区现有RC建筑的地震安全性提供了可扩展和可修复的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Application of a layered shell element formulation to blind prediction simulations of U-shaped RC walls 层壳单元公式在u形RC墙盲预测模拟中的应用
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02216-8
Alexander Kagermanov

The paper presents the formulation of a shell element, together with appropriate constitutive models, for the predictive simulation of non-planar RC walls. The formulation is used in blind prediction analyses of U-shaped walls recently tested at UCLouvain, in Belgium and the National Laboratory of Civil Engineering, in Portugal. The first blind prediction addressed walls UW1 and UW2, which were subjected to cyclic flexure and torsion. The second one addressed wall UWS1, which was tested dynamically on a shake table. The author’s modelling approach as well as comparisons between experimental and numerical results are presented. Overall good agreement was obtained for UW1 and UW2 specimens in terms of maximum load, hysteretic pinching and post-peak response. For UWS1 both prediction and postdiction results are presented. Comparison with displacements, torsional rotation, maximum inertial forces, tensile strains and residual displacements is provided. Finally, sensitivity analysis of some modelling parameters affecting the response of wall UWS1 is presented.

本文提出了用于非平面钢筋混凝土墙预测模拟的壳单元公式和相应的本构模型。该公式被用于对u形墙的盲预测分析,最近在比利时的UCLouvain和葡萄牙的国家土木工程实验室进行了测试。第一个盲预测处理了UW1和UW2壁,它们受到循环弯曲和扭转。第二个是UWS1墙,在振动台上进行了动态测试。本文介绍了作者的建模方法以及实验结果和数值结果的比较。UW1和UW2试样在最大荷载、迟滞缩和峰后响应方面总体上取得了良好的一致性。对于UWS1,给出了预测和定位结果。与位移、扭转旋转、最大惯性力、拉伸应变和残余位移进行了比较。最后,对影响壁面UWS1响应的一些建模参数进行了敏感性分析。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of seismic collapse performance of RC frames with strengthened masonry infill walls under February 6, 2023 earthquakes in Türkiye 2023年2月6日青海震区地震作用下钢筋混凝土框架加筋砌体填充墙抗震倒塌性能研究
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02223-9
Huseyin Cilsalar, Ozgur Anil

Two destructive earthquakes on February 6, 2023, in Türkiye, have demonstrated the importance of seismic retrofitting of those structures with weak seismic performance since many reinforced concrete (RC) structures have collapsed or experienced heavy damage. Many structures are seriously damaged in eleven different provinces. According to authorities, almost 250,000 structures suffered severe damage or were destroyed, more than 50,000 people lost their lives, and more than 100,000 people were injured. These two major earthquakes have once again highlighted the need to strengthen RC structures with inadequate seismic performance before or retrofit after earthquakes. Adding a reinforced stucco layer to the masonry infill walls is a preferred, easy-to-apply, cost-effective and less labor-intensive method for strengthening RC frame structures. This study investigates the effect of a masonry infill walls strengthening method for reinforced concrete structural frames and the purpose of the work is to show seismic performance enhancement with the strengthening method. The behavior of three different models is simulated, and seismic performance is observed for classical and strengthened infill walls. Incremental dynamic analysis procedure is applied with earthquake motions from February 6, 2023 events in Türkiye. Earthquake simulation program OpenSees is used for the time history analysis in this study. Results indicate that strengthening infill walls by adding a rebar layer with mortar can enhance buildings’ seismic performance. Also, the seismic collapse probabilities of frames within fifty years are evaluated, and the results of strengthened infill walls are compared with the classical walls. Results indicate that strengthening method can reduce collapse probability of frames in fifty years around 30% depending on structural properties.

2023年2月6日发生在日本基耶岛的两次破坏性地震,证明了对抗震性能较弱的结构进行抗震改造的重要性,因为许多钢筋混凝土(RC)结构已经倒塌或遭受严重破坏。11个省的许多建筑严重受损。据有关部门称,近25万栋建筑严重受损或被毁,5万多人丧生,10万多人受伤。这两次大地震再次强调了在地震前加强抗震性能不足的钢筋混凝土结构或在地震后进行改造的必要性。在砌体填充墙上添加增强灰泥层是加固钢筋混凝土框架结构的首选方法,易于应用,成本效益高,劳动强度低。本文研究了砌体填充墙加固方法对钢筋混凝土框架结构的影响,目的是表明该加固方法对结构抗震性能的提高。对三种不同模型的性能进行了模拟,并对经典和加固填充墙的抗震性能进行了观察。增量动力分析程序应用于2023年2月6日在台湾发生的地震运动。本研究使用地震模拟程序OpenSees进行时程分析。结果表明,在填充墙内加筋层砂浆加固可以提高建筑物的抗震性能。同时,对框架结构在50年内的地震倒塌概率进行了评估,并将加固填充墙的结果与经典墙体进行了比较。结果表明,根据结构性能不同,采用加固方法可使框架在50年内的倒塌概率降低30%左右。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical analysis of site effect indicators at the Italian seismic network: inside the site characterization database CRISP 意大利地震台网现场效应指标的统计分析:现场特征数据库CRISP内部
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02212-y
Giovanna Cultrera, Alessia Mercuri

This study investigates the relationships among various site-effect proxies collected in the CRISP database (http://crisp.ingv.it/), which archives site characterization data of the Italian National Seismic Network. We analyzed the Horizontal-to-Vertical spectral ratio (HVSR), derived from both earthquake and noise measurements at 320 stations, as a primary indicator of site effects. Our research also explored HVSR’s correlation with topography and site classes, lithology, and magnitude residuals. This extensive dataset allowed us to group the HVSR curves into four distinct clusters based on their shapes, facilitating detailed comparisons between earthquake- and noise-derived estimates. The analysis revealed that: (i) approximately half of the permanent stations exhibit significant amplification, with amplitudes exceeding 2; (ii) although HVSR from noise generally mirrored that from earthquakes, it often showed lower or equal amplitudes of the curves but higher amplitude of resonance frequency, likely due to different wavefield compositions. The correlation between HVSR and other proxies displayed a weak but statistically significant dependence on lithology, site classes and magnitude residuals. Specifically, as soil characteristics degrade, the resonance frequency decreases, and its amplitude slightly increases. Furthermore, local magnitude tends to be overestimated at sites exhibiting HVSR amplification at frequencies below 2–3 Hz. No correlation was found with topographic classes. A significant challenge in clearly distinguishing HVSR behavior among soil categories, as defined by current building codes, arises from the considerable standard deviation observed. Nevertheless, our findings suggest that integrating seismological data, including HVSR curves, fundamental frequency, and amplitude, can substantially optimize soil class definitions within the updated Eurocode 8 framework.

本研究调查了CRISP数据库(http://crisp.ingv)中收集的各种站点效应代理之间的关系。它/),其中存档了意大利国家地震台网的站点特征数据。我们分析了水平-垂直频谱比(HVSR),该数据来自320个站点的地震和噪声测量,作为站点效应的主要指标。我们的研究还探讨了HVSR与地形、遗址类型、岩性和震级残差的相关性。这个广泛的数据集使我们能够根据HVSR曲线的形状将其分为四个不同的簇,从而便于在地震和噪声估计之间进行详细的比较。分析显示:(i)大约一半的常设台站表现出明显的放大,幅度超过2;(ii)虽然来自噪音的高频振荡频率一般反映了来自地震的高频振荡频率,但可能由于不同的波场组成,它往往显示出较低或相等的曲线幅值,但共振频率的幅值较高。HVSR与其他指标之间的相关性对岩性、遗址类型和震级残差的依赖性较弱,但在统计学上具有显著意义。具体来说,随着土壤特性的退化,共振频率减小,振幅略有增大。此外,在HVSR放大频率低于2-3 Hz的地点,局部震级往往被高估。与地形分类无相关性。根据现行建筑规范的定义,在土壤类别中明确区分HVSR行为的一个重大挑战来自观察到的相当大的标准偏差。然而,我们的研究结果表明,整合地震数据,包括HVSR曲线,基频和振幅,可以在更新的欧洲规范8框架内大大优化土壤类别定义。
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引用次数: 0
Revision of empirical NGA-West2 horizontal ground-motion models using fixed-effects and mixed-effects regression and Bayesian inference 基于固定效应、混合效应回归和贝叶斯推断的NGA-West2水平地面运动经验模型修正
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02218-6
Kenneth W. Campbell, Yousef Bozorgnia, Nicolas M. Kuehn

This article presents a revision of empirical ground-motion models (GMMs) for the horizontal components of 5%-damped pseudo-spectral acceleration, peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, cumulative absolute velocity, and Arias intensity that were originally developed by the first two authors as part of the NGA-West2 Program. The GMMs were refit using fixed-effects (i.e., no random effects) and mixed-effects regression analyses that include either (1) events as a random or repeatable effect or (2) both events and sites as random or repeatable effects. True estimates of the variance components were obtained using Bayesian inference that incorporates uncertainty in the random effects and within-group errors (i.e., the residuals). As a result, the aleatory standard deviations are larger than those calculated directly from the residuals that ignore this uncertainty. Goodness-of-fit metrics show that the GMMs were improved by adding events as a random effect and improved even further by adding sites as a random effect. We found the variance components other than the between-site standard deviation to be magnitude dependent. We recommend use of the GMM that includes both events and sites as random effects because of its appropriate modeling of repeatable effects and its superior goodness-of-fit metrics.

本文对前两位作者在NGA-West2项目中开发的5%阻尼伪谱加速度、峰值地面加速度、峰值地面速度、累积绝对速度和Arias强度水平分量的经验地动模型(GMMs)进行了修正。使用固定效应(即无随机效应)和混合效应回归分析对gmm进行修正,其中包括:(1)事件作为随机或可重复的效应,或(2)事件和地点都是随机或可重复的效应。使用贝叶斯推理获得方差成分的真实估计,该推断包含随机效应和组内误差(即残差)中的不确定性。因此,选择性标准偏差大于直接从忽略这种不确定性的残差计算出来的标准差。拟合优度指标表明,将事件作为随机效应添加到gmm中可以得到改善,将地点作为随机效应添加到gmm中可以得到进一步改善。我们发现,除了站点间标准偏差之外,方差成分与量值有关。我们建议使用包括事件和地点作为随机效应的GMM,因为它对可重复效应进行了适当的建模,并且具有优越的拟合优度指标。
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引用次数: 0
Probabilistic failure mode-based prediction method for flexural design capacities of precast reinforced concrete and prestressed concrete beams 基于概率破坏模式的预制钢筋混凝土和预应力混凝土梁抗弯设计承载力预测方法
IF 4.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2025-07-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02219-5
Yukun Hu, Jitao Yao, Kaikai Cheng, Luyang Zhang, Meng Ran, Hao Li, Jiewei Xu

With the growing use of precast concrete structures in construction, the reliability-based design (RBD) of bending capabilities of precast reinforced concrete (RC) and prestressed reinforced concrete (PRC) beams has become increasingly important. Traditional RBD methods, such as the partial safety factor design (PSFD), suffer from limited precast beam data for calibration and fail to consider the impact of different failure modes on flexural capacity. This oversight can lead to an unreliable estimated flexural design capacity. Hence, a robust RBD approach must account for the unique features of precast beams, including limited sample sizes and failure modes. In this study, a probabilistic failure mode-based design model for evaluating the flexural capacities of precast RC/PRC beams was developed and integrated with the probabilistic confidence-based estimation (PCBE) RBD method, which is suitable for small samples. This combined approach enables reliable estimation of flexural design capacities of precast RC/PRC beams. The proposed resistance design model was validated against the maximum bending moments of 74 RC and 69 PRC beams. Comparative analysis indicates that the predicted flexural capacities align well with experimental results. Furthermore, the validity of the combined method was verified using collected test datasets of RC/PRC beams, and partial safety factors corresponding to different failure modes were provided. The proposed method offers a practical approach for conducting effective reliability analysis of precast RC structures.

随着预制混凝土结构在建筑中的应用越来越广泛,基于可靠度的预制钢筋混凝土和预应力钢筋混凝土梁的抗弯性能设计变得越来越重要。传统的RBD方法,如部分安全系数设计(PSFD),由于用于校准的预制梁数据有限,并且没有考虑不同破坏模式对抗弯能力的影响。这种疏忽可能导致不可靠的估计弯曲设计能力。因此,稳健的RBD方法必须考虑预制梁的独特特征,包括有限的样本量和破坏模式。本文建立了一种基于概率破坏模型的RC/PRC预制梁抗弯承载力评估设计模型,并将其与基于概率置信度估计(PCBE)的RBD方法相结合,该方法适用于小样本情况。这种组合方法可以可靠地估计预制RC/PRC梁的抗弯设计能力。针对74 RC和69 PRC梁的最大弯矩,验证了所提出的阻力设计模型。对比分析表明,预测抗弯承载力与试验结果吻合较好。利用收集到的RC/PRC梁试验数据验证了组合方法的有效性,并给出了不同破坏模式对应的部分安全系数。该方法为钢筋混凝土预制结构进行有效的可靠度分析提供了一种实用的方法。
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Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering
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