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Can crop production intensification through irrigation be sustainable? An ex-ante impact study of the south-central coastal zone of Bangladesh 通过灌溉提高作物产量能否持续?孟加拉国中南部沿海地区的事前影响研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000153
Zahirul Haque Khan, Md Saiful Islam, Shume Akhter, Md Raqubul Hasib, A. Sutradhar, J. Timsina, T. Krupnik, U. Schulthess
In Bangladesh’s south-central coastal zone, there is considerable potential to intensify crop production by growing dry winter season ‘Boro’ rice, maize, wheat, pulses and oilseeds using irrigation from southward flowing and predominantly freshwater rivers. However, the impacts of surface water withdrawal for sustained irrigation and its safe operating space remain unclear. We used field measurements and simulation modeling to investigate the effects of irrigation water withdrawal for Boro rice–the most water-consumptive crop–on river water flow and salinity under different climate change and river flow scenarios. Under the baseline conditions, about 250,000 ha could potentially be irrigated with river water that has salinity levels below 2 dS/m. The impact on river water salinity would be minimal, and only between 0.71 to 1.12% of the cropland would shift from the 0–2 dS/m class to higher salinity levels. Similarly, for the moderate climate change scenario (RCP 4.5) that forecasts a sea level rise of 22 cm in 2050, there would be a minor change in water flow and salinity. Only under the extreme climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), resulting in a sea level rise of 43 cm by 2050 and low flow conditions that are exceeded in 90% of the cases, the 2 dS/m isohaline would move landward by 64 to 105 km in March and April for the Tentulia and Buriswar Rivers. This would expose an additional 36.6% of potentially irrigable cropland to salinity levels of 2 to 4 dS/m. However, Boro rice will already be well established by that time and can tolerate greater levels of salinity. We conclude that there is considerable scope to expand irrigated crop production without negatively exposing the cropland and rivers to detrimental salinization levels while preserving the ecosystem services of the rivers.
在孟加拉国中南部沿海地区,利用南流的淡水河灌溉种植冬季旱季 "Boro "稻、玉米、小麦、豆类和油菜籽,提高作物产量的潜力相当大。然而,地表水持续灌溉的影响及其安全运行空间仍不明确。我们利用实地测量和模拟模型,研究了在不同气候变化和河流流量情景下,博罗水稻(耗水量最大的作物)灌溉取水对河流水流量和盐度的影响。在基线条件下,约 25 万公顷的灌溉用水可能是盐度低于 2 dS/m 的河水。这对河水盐度的影响微乎其微,只有 0.71% 到 1.12% 的耕地会从 0-2 dS/m 的盐度等级转为较高的盐度等级。同样,在预测 2050 年海平面上升 22 厘米的中度气候变化情景(RCP 4.5)下,水流和盐度的变化也很小。只有在极端气候变化情景下(RCP 8.5),即到 2050 年海平面上升 43 厘米,90% 的情况下会超过低流量条件,在 3 月和 4 月,Tentulia 河和 Buriswar 河的 2 dS/m 等盐度将向陆地移动 64 至 105 千米。这将使另外 36.6% 的潜在可灌溉耕地面临 2 至 4 dS/m 的盐度水平。然而,届时波罗水稻已经成熟,可以耐受更高的盐度。我们的结论是,在不使耕地和河流受到有害盐碱化水平的负面影响,同时保护河流生态系统服务的情况下,扩大灌溉作物生产的空间相当大。
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引用次数: 0
Can crop production intensification through irrigation be sustainable? An ex-ante impact study of the south-central coastal zone of Bangladesh 通过灌溉提高作物产量能否持续?孟加拉国中南部沿海地区的事前影响研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000153
Zahirul Haque Khan, Md Saiful Islam, Shume Akhter, Md Raqubul Hasib, A. Sutradhar, J. Timsina, T. Krupnik, U. Schulthess
In Bangladesh’s south-central coastal zone, there is considerable potential to intensify crop production by growing dry winter season ‘Boro’ rice, maize, wheat, pulses and oilseeds using irrigation from southward flowing and predominantly freshwater rivers. However, the impacts of surface water withdrawal for sustained irrigation and its safe operating space remain unclear. We used field measurements and simulation modeling to investigate the effects of irrigation water withdrawal for Boro rice–the most water-consumptive crop–on river water flow and salinity under different climate change and river flow scenarios. Under the baseline conditions, about 250,000 ha could potentially be irrigated with river water that has salinity levels below 2 dS/m. The impact on river water salinity would be minimal, and only between 0.71 to 1.12% of the cropland would shift from the 0–2 dS/m class to higher salinity levels. Similarly, for the moderate climate change scenario (RCP 4.5) that forecasts a sea level rise of 22 cm in 2050, there would be a minor change in water flow and salinity. Only under the extreme climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), resulting in a sea level rise of 43 cm by 2050 and low flow conditions that are exceeded in 90% of the cases, the 2 dS/m isohaline would move landward by 64 to 105 km in March and April for the Tentulia and Buriswar Rivers. This would expose an additional 36.6% of potentially irrigable cropland to salinity levels of 2 to 4 dS/m. However, Boro rice will already be well established by that time and can tolerate greater levels of salinity. We conclude that there is considerable scope to expand irrigated crop production without negatively exposing the cropland and rivers to detrimental salinization levels while preserving the ecosystem services of the rivers.
在孟加拉国中南部沿海地区,利用南流的淡水河灌溉种植冬季旱季 "Boro "稻、玉米、小麦、豆类和油菜籽,提高作物产量的潜力相当大。然而,地表水持续灌溉的影响及其安全运行空间仍不明确。我们利用实地测量和模拟模型研究了在不同气候变化和河流流量情景下,博罗水稻(耗水量最大的作物)灌溉取水对河流水流量和盐度的影响。在基线条件下,约 25 万公顷的灌溉用水可能是盐度低于 2 dS/m 的河水。这对河水盐度的影响微乎其微,仅有 0.71% 至 1.12% 的耕地会从 0-2 dS/m 的盐度等级转向更高的盐度等级。同样,在预测 2050 年海平面上升 22 厘米的中度气候变化情景(RCP 4.5)下,水流和盐度的变化也很小。只有在极端气候变化情景下(RCP 8.5),即到 2050 年海平面上升 43 厘米,90% 的情况下会超过低流量条件,在 3 月和 4 月,Tentulia 河和 Buriswar 河的 2 dS/m 等盐度将向陆地移动 64 至 105 千米。这将使另外 36.6% 的潜在可灌溉耕地面临 2 至 4 dS/m 的盐度水平。然而,届时波罗水稻已经成熟,可以耐受更高的盐度。我们的结论是,在不使耕地和河流受到有害盐碱化水平的负面影响,同时保护河流生态系统服务的情况下,扩大灌溉作物生产的空间相当大。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing discharge estimation from SWOT satellite data in a tropical tidal river environment 利用 SWOT 卫星数据加强热带潮汐河流环境中的排水量估算
Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000226
Francisco Rodrigues do Amaral, Thierry Pellarin, Tin Nguyen Trung, Tran Anh Tu, Nicolas Gratiot
The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission aims to provide essential data on river width, height and slope in order to estimate worldwide river discharge accurately. This mission offers a powerful tool for monitoring river discharge in dynamic coastal areas, like the Saigon-Dongnai estuary in Southern Vietnam. However, estimating discharge of tidally-influenced rivers using SWOT measurements can be challenging when hydraulic variables have the same order of magnitude as SWOT measurement errors. In this paper we present a methodology to enhance discharge estimation accuracy from SWOT measurements based on simulated SWOT products at the 200 meter node resolution and varying river reach size. We assess measurement error variability and its impact on discharge estimation by employing a Monte Carlo analysis. Our approach significantly improved discharge estimation in the Saigon tidal river, reducing RMSE from 1400 m3/s to 180 m3/s and increasing R² from 0.31 to 0.95. Notably, the percentage of Monte Carlo particles meeting the 30% rRMSE threshold rose from 0% to 79%. This study underscores the feasibility of obtaining reliable discharge estimates from SWOT data in complex coastal areas where hydraulic variables are of the same order of magnitude as SWOT errors. Additionally, the proposed methodology to improve discharge estimation from SWOT measurements is widely adaptable as it can be applied to similar regions and can be combined with any discharge estimation method.
地表水和海洋地形(SWOT)任务旨在提供有关河流宽度、高度和坡度的重要数据,以便准确估算全球河流的排水量。这项任务为监测动态沿海地区(如越南南部的西贡-东奈河口)的河流排水量提供了强有力的工具。然而,当水力变量的数量级与 SWOT 测量误差相同时,利用 SWOT 测量来估算受潮汐影响河流的排泄量就会面临挑战。在本文中,我们介绍了一种提高 SWOT 测量排水量估算精度的方法,该方法基于 200 米节点分辨率和不同河段大小的模拟 SWOT 产品。我们通过蒙特卡罗分析评估了测量误差的可变性及其对排泄量估算的影响。我们的方法明显改善了西贡潮汐河的排水量估算,RMSE 从 1400 立方米/秒降低到 180 立方米/秒,R² 从 0.31 提高到 0.95。值得注意的是,达到 30% RMSE 临界值的蒙特卡罗粒子的百分比从 0% 上升到 79%。这项研究表明,在水力变量与 SWOT 误差数量级相同的复杂沿岸地区,从 SWOT 数据中获得可靠的排泄量估算值是可行的。此外,所提出的改进 SWOT 测量排泄量估算的方法具有广泛的适应性,可应用于类似地区,并可与任何排泄量估算方法相结合。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing discharge estimation from SWOT satellite data in a tropical tidal river environment 利用 SWOT 卫星数据加强热带潮汐河流环境中的排水量估算
Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000226
Francisco Rodrigues do Amaral, Thierry Pellarin, Tin Nguyen Trung, Tran Anh Tu, Nicolas Gratiot
The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission aims to provide essential data on river width, height and slope in order to estimate worldwide river discharge accurately. This mission offers a powerful tool for monitoring river discharge in dynamic coastal areas, like the Saigon-Dongnai estuary in Southern Vietnam. However, estimating discharge of tidally-influenced rivers using SWOT measurements can be challenging when hydraulic variables have the same order of magnitude as SWOT measurement errors. In this paper we present a methodology to enhance discharge estimation accuracy from SWOT measurements based on simulated SWOT products at the 200 meter node resolution and varying river reach size. We assess measurement error variability and its impact on discharge estimation by employing a Monte Carlo analysis. Our approach significantly improved discharge estimation in the Saigon tidal river, reducing RMSE from 1400 m3/s to 180 m3/s and increasing R² from 0.31 to 0.95. Notably, the percentage of Monte Carlo particles meeting the 30% rRMSE threshold rose from 0% to 79%. This study underscores the feasibility of obtaining reliable discharge estimates from SWOT data in complex coastal areas where hydraulic variables are of the same order of magnitude as SWOT errors. Additionally, the proposed methodology to improve discharge estimation from SWOT measurements is widely adaptable as it can be applied to similar regions and can be combined with any discharge estimation method.
地表水和海洋地形(SWOT)任务旨在提供有关河流宽度、高度和坡度的重要数据,以便准确估算全球河流的排水量。这项任务为监测动态沿海地区(如越南南部的西贡-东奈河口)的河流排水量提供了强有力的工具。然而,当水力变量的数量级与 SWOT 测量误差相同时,利用 SWOT 测量来估算受潮汐影响河流的排泄量就会面临挑战。在本文中,我们介绍了一种提高 SWOT 测量排水量估算精度的方法,该方法基于 200 米节点分辨率和不同河段大小的模拟 SWOT 产品。我们通过蒙特卡罗分析评估了测量误差的可变性及其对排泄量估算的影响。我们的方法明显改善了西贡潮汐河的排水量估算,RMSE 从 1400 立方米/秒降低到 180 立方米/秒,R² 从 0.31 提高到 0.95。值得注意的是,达到 30% RMSE 临界值的蒙特卡罗粒子的百分比从 0% 上升到 79%。这项研究表明,在水力变量与 SWOT 误差数量级相同的复杂沿岸地区,从 SWOT 数据中获得可靠的排泄量估算值是可行的。此外,所提出的改进 SWOT 测量排泄量估算的方法具有广泛的适应性,可应用于类似地区,并可与任何排泄量估算方法相结合。
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引用次数: 0
Microbial and physicochemical water quality changes within distribution and premise plumbing systems during a chlorine conversion 在氯转换过程中,配水和供水系统内的微生物和物理化学水质变化
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000181
Helen Y. Buse, Jatin H. Mistry
A strategy for nitrification control within chloraminated drinking water systems (CDWSs) is to temporarily switch from chloramine secondary disinfection to free chlorine, also known as a free chlorine conversion (FCC). However, the long-term and beneficial effects of FCCs are unclear, especially regarding opportunistic pathogen occurrence. In this study, the impacts to microbial and physicochemical parameters were monitored throughout a CDWS implementing a FCC. Water samples were collected weekly for 4–6 weeks before, during, and after a FCC at eight locations: four distribution system and four residential sites. Monochloramine residual (mean±standard deviation) before and after the FCC averaged 1.8±0.9 and 1.6±1.0 parts per million (ppm) for all sites, respectively. Free chlorine levels averaged 2.3±0.9 ppm. There were no significant differences in turbidity and hardness at each location during the three time periods, but some were noted for pH, temperature, and orthophosphate levels across various sites and sampling periods. For all locations, heterotrophic plate count levels were lower during the FCC compared to the periods before and after. All samples from one residence were culture positive for P. aeruginosa which exhibited high levels before the FCC, decreasing levels during, and steadily increasing levels after. Additionally, one week prior to the FCC, sediment samples from two elevated storage tanks, ET-1 and ET-2, were analyzed with ET-1 displaying higher levels of culturable heterotrophic bacteria and molecularly detected total bacteria, Legionella spp., and nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), as well as presence of culturable P. aeruginosa and total coliforms compared to ET-2. Fourteen P. aeruginosa and total coliform isolates were whole genome sequenced with genetic differences observed depending on the sampling location and timepoint. Collectively, the observed differences in chemical and microbial parameters advocates for a better understanding of the effects associated with implementing FCCs to determine both their effectiveness and potential risks/rewards to water quality.
在氯化饮用水系统 (CDWS) 中控制硝化的一种策略是暂时将氯胺二次消毒转换为游离氯,也称为游离氯转换 (FCC)。然而,游离氯转换的长期和有益影响尚不明确,尤其是在机会性病原体的发生方面。在这项研究中,对实施了自由氯转换的 CDWS 的整个过程中微生物和理化参数的影响进行了监测。在催化还原反应之前、期间和之后的 4-6 周内,每周在八个地点采集水样:四个配水系统和四个居民点。在所有地点,催化还原反应前后的一氯胺残留量(平均值± 标准偏差)分别为 1.8±0.9 和 1.6±1.0 百万分之一(ppm)。游离氯含量平均为 2.3±0.9 ppm。在三个时间段内,每个地点的浑浊度和硬度没有明显差异,但 pH 值、温度和正磷酸盐水平在不同地点和采样时间段内存在一些差异。与之前和之后的时间段相比,所有地点在催化裂化时间段的异养细胞计数水平都较低。一个居民点的所有样本均对铜绿微囊藻培养呈阳性,铜绿微囊藻在催化还原反应前含量较高,在催化还原反应期间含量下降,在催化还原反应后含量稳步上升。此外,在催化裂化时间前一周,对来自两个高架储罐(ET-1 和 ET-2)的沉积物样本进行了分析,与 ET-2 相比,ET-1 的可培养异养菌和分子检测细菌总数、军团菌属、非结核分枝杆菌 (NTM) 以及可培养铜绿假单胞菌和总大肠菌群的含量更高。对 14 个铜绿假单胞菌和总大肠菌群分离物进行了全基因组测序,观察到基因差异取决于采样地点和时间点。总之,观察到的化学和微生物参数差异有助于更好地了解实施催化还原剂的相关影响,以确定其有效性以及对水质的潜在风险/回报。
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引用次数: 0
Microbial and physicochemical water quality changes within distribution and premise plumbing systems during a chlorine conversion 在氯转换过程中,配水和供水系统内的微生物和物理化学水质变化
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000181
Helen Y. Buse, Jatin H. Mistry
A strategy for nitrification control within chloraminated drinking water systems (CDWSs) is to temporarily switch from chloramine secondary disinfection to free chlorine, also known as a free chlorine conversion (FCC). However, the long-term and beneficial effects of FCCs are unclear, especially regarding opportunistic pathogen occurrence. In this study, the impacts to microbial and physicochemical parameters were monitored throughout a CDWS implementing a FCC. Water samples were collected weekly for 4–6 weeks before, during, and after a FCC at eight locations: four distribution system and four residential sites. Monochloramine residual (mean±standard deviation) before and after the FCC averaged 1.8±0.9 and 1.6±1.0 parts per million (ppm) for all sites, respectively. Free chlorine levels averaged 2.3±0.9 ppm. There were no significant differences in turbidity and hardness at each location during the three time periods, but some were noted for pH, temperature, and orthophosphate levels across various sites and sampling periods. For all locations, heterotrophic plate count levels were lower during the FCC compared to the periods before and after. All samples from one residence were culture positive for P. aeruginosa which exhibited high levels before the FCC, decreasing levels during, and steadily increasing levels after. Additionally, one week prior to the FCC, sediment samples from two elevated storage tanks, ET-1 and ET-2, were analyzed with ET-1 displaying higher levels of culturable heterotrophic bacteria and molecularly detected total bacteria, Legionella spp., and nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), as well as presence of culturable P. aeruginosa and total coliforms compared to ET-2. Fourteen P. aeruginosa and total coliform isolates were whole genome sequenced with genetic differences observed depending on the sampling location and timepoint. Collectively, the observed differences in chemical and microbial parameters advocates for a better understanding of the effects associated with implementing FCCs to determine both their effectiveness and potential risks/rewards to water quality.
在氯化饮用水系统 (CDWS) 中控制硝化的一种策略是暂时将氯胺二次消毒转换为游离氯,也称为游离氯转换 (FCC)。然而,游离氯转换的长期和有益影响尚不明确,尤其是在机会性病原体的发生方面。在这项研究中,对实施了自由氯转换的 CDWS 的整个过程中微生物和理化参数的影响进行了监测。在催化还原反应之前、期间和之后的 4-6 周内,每周在八个地点采集水样:四个配水系统和四个居民点。在所有地点,催化还原反应前后的一氯胺残留量(平均值± 标准偏差)分别为 1.8±0.9 和 1.6±1.0 百万分之一(ppm)。游离氯含量平均为 2.3±0.9 ppm。在三个时间段内,每个地点的浑浊度和硬度没有明显差异,但 pH 值、温度和正磷酸盐水平在不同地点和采样时间段内存在一些差异。与之前和之后的时间段相比,所有地点在催化裂化时间段的异养细胞计数水平都较低。一个居民点的所有样本均对铜绿微囊藻培养呈阳性,铜绿微囊藻在催化还原反应前含量较高,在催化还原反应期间含量下降,在催化还原反应后含量稳步上升。此外,在催化裂化时间前一周,对来自两个高架储罐(ET-1 和 ET-2)的沉积物样本进行了分析,与 ET-2 相比,ET-1 的可培养异养菌和分子检测细菌总数、军团菌属、非结核分枝杆菌 (NTM) 以及可培养铜绿假单胞菌和总大肠菌群的含量更高。对 14 个铜绿假单胞菌和总大肠菌群分离物进行了全基因组测序,观察到基因差异取决于采样地点和时间点。总之,观察到的化学和微生物参数差异有助于更好地了解实施催化还原剂的相关影响,以确定其有效性以及对水质的潜在风险/回报。
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引用次数: 0
The invisibility of health effects associated with water pollution within disease burden estimates: Analysis from a Colombian Andean watershed 疾病负担估算中水污染对健康影响的隐蔽性:对哥伦比亚安第斯流域的分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000125
Fabian Mendez, Laura E. Piedrahita-Gómez, Andrés Fernando Toro, Juliana Salazar-Benitez, Helmer Zapata, Miguel Peña
Modernization is marked by an increase in pollution-related health risks due to the rapid economic and technological growth. In the Global South, there is concern regarding the disease burden attributable to chemical contaminants released into the environment, especially in river basins, where populations are exposed through multiple pathways. While significant research exists linking chemical exposure to disease, mostly in occupational settings, less data is available for the open environment. Emerging pollutants have shown ecotoxicological and genotoxic effects at low concentrations in both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, with humans at the apex. Despite such evidence, water quality standards focus primarily on communicable diseases risks, and the burden of disease method mainly includes gastrointestinal and respiratory infections. Therefore, the use of DALYs as a prioritization strategy needs to be evaluated to suggest alternatives for integrated analysis. Our aim was to enhance the comprehension of watersheds as socioecological entities that necessitate inclusive indicators to display the intricate and diverse links between water, health, and the resultant inequities. Based on previous research and information collected in a tropical Andean watershed at southwestern Colombia, we characterized drivers of pollution and health hazards. Using standardized methods for calculating DALYs, we estimated the water-related environmental burden of communicable and noncommunicable diseases. Estimates of disease burden were analyzed to find out disparities driven by ethnic, gender and socioeconomic status. Results indicate that significant inequalities persist affecting the most vulnerable populations for preventable communicable diseases. Furthermore, the impact of noncommunicable diseases, which are linked to chemical pollution from individual substances and their cocktail effect, remains largely invisible due to insufficient data and research. The econometric approach of the DALY addition effect needs to be expanded with historical and critical perspectives to expose the profound social and health inequities present in the socioecological systems of the Global South.
现代化的特点是,由于经济和技术的快速增长,与污染有关的健康风险增加。在全球南部,人们对排放到环境中的化学污染物所造成的疾病负担感到担忧,特别是在人口通过多种途径接触到化学污染物的河流流域。虽然已有大量研究将化学品暴露与疾病联系起来,但主要是在职业环境中,而开放环境中的数据较少。在陆地和水生生态系统中,新出现的污染物在低浓度时就会产生生态毒理学和基因毒性影响,而人类则处于最高点。尽管有这些证据,但水质标准主要侧重于传染性疾病风险,疾病负担方法主要包括胃肠道和呼吸道感染。因此,需要对使用残疾调整生命年作为优先策略进行评估,以便为综合分析提出替代方案。我们的目标是加强对流域作为社会生态实体的理解,流域需要包容性指标来显示水、健康和由此产生的不平等之间错综复杂的联系。基于先前的研究和在哥伦比亚西南部热带安第斯流域收集的信息,我们描述了污染和健康危害的驱动因素。利用计算残疾调整寿命年数的标准化方法,我们估算了与水有关的传染性和非传染性疾病的环境负担。我们对疾病负担的估计值进行了分析,以找出种族、性别和社会经济地位造成的差异。结果表明,在可预防的传染病方面,影响最脆弱人群的严重不平等现象持续存在。此外,由于数据和研究不足,与个别物质的化学污染及其鸡尾酒效应有关的非传染性疾病的影响在很大程度上仍然不为人所知。需要从历史和批判的角度来扩展 DALY 附加效应的计量经济学方法,以揭示全球南部社会生态系统中存在的深刻的社会和健康不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Household, neighbourhood and service provider risk factors for piped drinking-water intermittency in urban and peri-urban Zambia: A cross-sectional analysis 赞比亚城市和城郊地区家庭、邻里和服务提供商造成自来饮用水间断的风险因素:横截面分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000127
Mair L. H. Thomas-Possee, Andrew A. Channon, Robert E. S. Bain, James A. Wright
Given nearly one third of sub-Saharan Africa’s population lack access to an improved water source that is available when needed, service continuity restricts access to safely managed services. Household surveys, water regulators, and utilities all gather data on service continuity, but few studies have integrated these disparate datasets to quantify continuity-related risk factors and inequalities. This study aimed to assess the added value of utility and regulator data for international monitoring by assessing factors affecting piped water availability in urban and peri-urban Zambia. Household ‘user’ data from the 2018 Demographic and Health Survey (n = 3047) were spatially linked to provider data from an international utility database and regulator reports. Multilevel modelling quantified provider-related and socio-economic risk factors for households reporting water being unavailable for at least one day in the previous fortnight. 47% (95% CI: 45%, 49%) of urban and peri-urban households reported water being unavailable for at least one full day, ranging from 18% (95% CI: 14%, 23%) to 76% (95% CI: 70%, 81%) across providers. Controlling for provider, home ownership (odds ratio (OR) = 1.31; p <0.01), speaking Luvale, Kaonde, Lunda (OR = 2.06; p <0.05) or Tonga (OR = 1.78; p <0.1) as an ethnicity proxy, and dry season interview dates (OR = 1.91; p <0.05) were associated with household-reported interruptions. Households using a neighbour’s tap (OR = 1.33; p <0.1) and in mid-wealth neighbourhoods (OR = 4.31; p <0.1) were more likely to report interruptions. For every $1000 increase in utility-level GDP per capita, the odds of an interruption were 0.51 times less (p<0.01). Substantial inequalities in drinking-water availability were found between provider coverage areas. Spatial integration of user, provider and regulator data enriches analysis, providing a finer-scale perspective than otherwise possible. However, wider use of utility or regulator data requires investment in monitoring of small-scale community supply intermittency and utility coverage area data.
鉴于撒哈拉以南非洲地区近三分之一的人口无法获得在需要时可用的改良水源,服务连续性限制了人们获得安全管理的服务。住户调查、水监管机构和公用事业部门都会收集有关服务连续性的数据,但很少有研究将这些不同的数据集整合起来,以量化与连续性相关的风险因素和不平等现象。本研究旨在通过评估影响赞比亚城市和城郊自来水供应的因素,评估公用事业和监管机构数据在国际监测中的附加值。来自 2018 年人口与健康调查的家庭 "用户 "数据(n = 3047)与来自国际公用事业数据库和监管机构报告的供应商数据进行了空间链接。多层次建模量化了与供水商相关的风险因素和社会经济风险因素,这些因素影响了报告在过去两周内至少有一天无法供水的家庭。47%(95% CI:45%,49%)的城市和城郊家庭报告至少有一整天没有水,不同供水公司的报告比例从 18%(95% CI:14%,23%)到 76%(95% CI:70%,81%)不等。控制提供者、房屋所有权(几率比 (OR) = 1.31;p <0.01)、说 Luvale、Kaonde、Lunda 语(OR = 2.06;p <0.05)或汤加语(OR = 1.78;p <0.1)作为种族替代,以及旱季采访日期(OR = 1.91;p <0.05)与家庭报告的中断情况有关。使用邻居水龙头的家庭(OR = 1.33;p <0.1)和中等富裕社区的家庭(OR = 4.31;p <0.1)更有可能报告自来水中断。人均国内生产总值每增加 1000 美元,发生中断的几率就会降低 0.51 倍(p<0.01)。在提供商覆盖区域之间,饮用水供应存在着巨大的不平等。用户、供应商和监管机构数据的空间整合丰富了分析内容,提供了比其他方法更精细的视角。然而,要更广泛地使用公用事业或监管机构的数据,就必须投资于对小规模社区供应间歇性和公用事业覆盖区域数据的监测。
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引用次数: 0
The invisibility of health effects associated with water pollution within disease burden estimates: Analysis from a Colombian Andean watershed 疾病负担估算中水污染对健康影响的隐蔽性:对哥伦比亚安第斯流域的分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000125
Fabian Mendez, Laura E. Piedrahita-Gómez, Andrés Fernando Toro, Juliana Salazar-Benitez, Helmer Zapata, Miguel Peña
Modernization is marked by an increase in pollution-related health risks due to the rapid economic and technological growth. In the Global South, there is concern regarding the disease burden attributable to chemical contaminants released into the environment, especially in river basins, where populations are exposed through multiple pathways. While significant research exists linking chemical exposure to disease, mostly in occupational settings, less data is available for the open environment. Emerging pollutants have shown ecotoxicological and genotoxic effects at low concentrations in both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, with humans at the apex. Despite such evidence, water quality standards focus primarily on communicable diseases risks, and the burden of disease method mainly includes gastrointestinal and respiratory infections. Therefore, the use of DALYs as a prioritization strategy needs to be evaluated to suggest alternatives for integrated analysis. Our aim was to enhance the comprehension of watersheds as socioecological entities that necessitate inclusive indicators to display the intricate and diverse links between water, health, and the resultant inequities. Based on previous research and information collected in a tropical Andean watershed at southwestern Colombia, we characterized drivers of pollution and health hazards. Using standardized methods for calculating DALYs, we estimated the water-related environmental burden of communicable and noncommunicable diseases. Estimates of disease burden were analyzed to find out disparities driven by ethnic, gender and socioeconomic status. Results indicate that significant inequalities persist affecting the most vulnerable populations for preventable communicable diseases. Furthermore, the impact of noncommunicable diseases, which are linked to chemical pollution from individual substances and their cocktail effect, remains largely invisible due to insufficient data and research. The econometric approach of the DALY addition effect needs to be expanded with historical and critical perspectives to expose the profound social and health inequities present in the socioecological systems of the Global South.
现代化的特点是,由于经济和技术的快速增长,与污染有关的健康风险增加。在全球南部,人们对排放到环境中的化学污染物所造成的疾病负担感到担忧,特别是在人口通过多种途径接触到化学污染物的河流流域。虽然已有大量研究将化学品暴露与疾病联系起来,但主要是在职业环境中,而开放环境中的数据较少。在陆地和水生生态系统中,新出现的污染物在低浓度时就会产生生态毒理学和基因毒性影响,而人类则处于最高点。尽管有这些证据,但水质标准主要侧重于传染性疾病风险,疾病负担方法主要包括胃肠道和呼吸道感染。因此,需要对使用残疾调整生命年作为优先策略进行评估,以便为综合分析提出替代方案。我们的目标是加强对流域作为社会生态实体的理解,流域需要包容性指标来显示水、健康和由此产生的不平等之间错综复杂的联系。基于先前的研究和在哥伦比亚西南部热带安第斯流域收集的信息,我们描述了污染和健康危害的驱动因素。利用计算残疾调整寿命年数的标准化方法,我们估算了与水有关的传染性和非传染性疾病的环境负担。我们对疾病负担的估计值进行了分析,以找出种族、性别和社会经济地位造成的差异。结果表明,在可预防的传染病方面,影响最脆弱人群的严重不平等现象持续存在。此外,由于数据和研究不足,与个别物质的化学污染及其鸡尾酒效应有关的非传染性疾病的影响在很大程度上仍然不为人所知。需要从历史和批判的角度来扩展 DALY 附加效应的计量经济学方法,以揭示全球南部社会生态系统中存在的深刻的社会和健康不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Household, neighbourhood and service provider risk factors for piped drinking-water intermittency in urban and peri-urban Zambia: A cross-sectional analysis 赞比亚城市和城郊地区家庭、邻里和服务提供商造成自来饮用水间断的风险因素:横截面分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000127
Mair L. H. Thomas-Possee, Andrew A. Channon, Robert E. S. Bain, James A. Wright
Given nearly one third of sub-Saharan Africa’s population lack access to an improved water source that is available when needed, service continuity restricts access to safely managed services. Household surveys, water regulators, and utilities all gather data on service continuity, but few studies have integrated these disparate datasets to quantify continuity-related risk factors and inequalities. This study aimed to assess the added value of utility and regulator data for international monitoring by assessing factors affecting piped water availability in urban and peri-urban Zambia. Household ‘user’ data from the 2018 Demographic and Health Survey (n = 3047) were spatially linked to provider data from an international utility database and regulator reports. Multilevel modelling quantified provider-related and socio-economic risk factors for households reporting water being unavailable for at least one day in the previous fortnight. 47% (95% CI: 45%, 49%) of urban and peri-urban households reported water being unavailable for at least one full day, ranging from 18% (95% CI: 14%, 23%) to 76% (95% CI: 70%, 81%) across providers. Controlling for provider, home ownership (odds ratio (OR) = 1.31; p <0.01), speaking Luvale, Kaonde, Lunda (OR = 2.06; p <0.05) or Tonga (OR = 1.78; p <0.1) as an ethnicity proxy, and dry season interview dates (OR = 1.91; p <0.05) were associated with household-reported interruptions. Households using a neighbour’s tap (OR = 1.33; p <0.1) and in mid-wealth neighbourhoods (OR = 4.31; p <0.1) were more likely to report interruptions. For every $1000 increase in utility-level GDP per capita, the odds of an interruption were 0.51 times less (p<0.01). Substantial inequalities in drinking-water availability were found between provider coverage areas. Spatial integration of user, provider and regulator data enriches analysis, providing a finer-scale perspective than otherwise possible. However, wider use of utility or regulator data requires investment in monitoring of small-scale community supply intermittency and utility coverage area data.
鉴于撒哈拉以南非洲地区近三分之一的人口无法获得在需要时可用的改良水源,服务连续性限制了人们获得安全管理的服务。住户调查、水监管机构和公用事业部门都会收集有关服务连续性的数据,但很少有研究将这些不同的数据集整合起来,以量化与连续性相关的风险因素和不平等现象。本研究旨在通过评估影响赞比亚城市和城郊自来水供应的因素,评估公用事业和监管机构数据在国际监测中的附加值。来自 2018 年人口与健康调查的家庭 "用户 "数据(n = 3047)与来自国际公用事业数据库和监管机构报告的供应商数据进行了空间链接。多层次建模量化了与供水商相关的风险因素和社会经济风险因素,这些因素影响了报告在过去两周内至少有一天无法获得供水的家庭。47%(95% CI:45%,49%)的城市和城郊家庭报告至少有一整天没有水,不同供水公司的报告比例从 18%(95% CI:14%,23%)到 76%(95% CI:70%,81%)不等。控制提供者、房屋所有权(几率比 (OR) = 1.31;p <0.01)、说 Luvale、Kaonde、Lunda 语(OR = 2.06;p <0.05)或汤加语(OR = 1.78;p <0.1)作为种族替代,以及旱季采访日期(OR = 1.91;p <0.05)与家庭报告的中断情况有关。使用邻居水龙头的家庭(OR = 1.33;p <0.1)和中等富裕社区的家庭(OR = 4.31;p <0.1)更有可能报告自来水中断。人均国内生产总值每增加 1000 美元,发生中断的几率就会降低 0.51 倍(p<0.01)。在提供商覆盖区域之间,饮用水供应存在着巨大的不平等。用户、供应商和监管机构数据的空间整合丰富了分析内容,提供了比其他方法更精细的视角。然而,要更广泛地使用公用事业或监管机构的数据,就必须投资于对小规模社区供应间歇性和公用事业覆盖区域数据的监测。
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