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An invisible water surcharge: Climate warming increases crop water demand in the San Joaquin Valley’s groundwater-dependent irrigated agriculture 无形的水附加费:气候变暖增加了圣华金河谷依赖地下水灌溉农业的作物需水量
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000184
Kelley Moyers, J. Abatzoglou, A. Escriva-Bou, J. Medellín-Azuara, J. Viers
California’s bountiful San Joaquin Valley (SJV), a critical region for global fruit and nut production, has withstood two severe, multi-year droughts in the past decade, exacerbated by record-breaking high temperature and evaporative demand. We employed climate data and crop coefficients to estimate the crop water demand in the SJV over the past forty years. Our approach, using crop coefficients for Penman-Montieth modeled evapotranspiration, focused on the climate effects on crop water demand, avoiding the confounding factors of changing land use and management practices that are present in actual evapotranspiration. We demonstrate that increases in crop water demand explain half of the cumulative deficits of the agricultural water balance since 1980, exacerbating water reliance on depleting groundwater supplies and fluctuating surface water imports. We call this phenomenon of climate-induced increased crop water demand an invisible water surcharge. We found that in the past decade, this invisible water surcharge on agriculture has increased the crop water demand in the SJV by 4.4% with respect to the 1980–2011 timeframe—more than 800 GL per year, a volume as large as a major reservoir in the SJV. Despite potential agronomic adaptation and crop response to climate warming, increased crop water demand adds a stressor to the sustainability of the global fruit and nut supply and calls for changes in management and policies to consider the shifting hydroclimate.
加利福尼亚州富饶的圣华金河谷(SJV)是全球水果和坚果生产的重要地区,在过去十年中经受了两次严重的多年干旱,破纪录的高温和蒸发需求加剧了干旱。我们利用气候数据和作物系数估算了过去四十年中圣何塞山谷的作物需水量。我们的方法是使用彭曼-蒙蒂斯模型蒸散的作物系数,重点关注气候对作物需水量的影响,避免了实际蒸散量中存在的土地利用和管理方法变化的干扰因素。我们证明,作物需水量的增加解释了自 1980 年以来农业用水平衡累积赤字的一半,加剧了对日益枯竭的地下水供应和波动的地表水进口的依赖。我们将这种气候导致作物需水量增加的现象称为 "隐形水附加费"。我们发现,在过去十年中,这种无形的农业用水附加使澳门博彩的网站山谷的作物需水量比 1980-2011 年期间增加了 4.4%--每年超过 800 GL,相当于澳门博彩的网站山谷一个大型水库的水量。尽管农艺适应和作物应对气候变暖具有潜力,但作物需水量的增加给全球水果和坚果供应的可持续性增加了压力,并要求改变管理和政策,以考虑水文气候的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Performance evaluation and application of host-specific Bacteroidales and mitochondrial DNA markers to identify sources of fecal contamination in river water in Japan 宿主特异性类杆菌和线粒体 DNA 标记在确定日本河水粪便污染源方面的性能评估和应用
Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000210
B. Malla, Kazuki Yamamoto, Kotomi Furukawa, E. Haramoto
Microbial source tracking (MST) using host-specific Bacteroidales and mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) markers is an efficient tool to identify the sources of fecal contamination in environmental water. This study evaluated and updated the previously reported performances of seven host-specific Bacteroidales markers (three human-, two cattle-, and two pig-specific). Additionally, the performance of a cattle-specific Bovine mtDNA and a pig-specific Swine mtDNA marker were evaluated and then applied to MST of river water samples collected in Yamanashi Prefecture, Japan. We collected 48 fecal-source samples, including raw sewage, secondary-treated sewage, an effluent of a domestic wastewater treatment tank, pig feces, pig wastewater, and cattle feces, which were quantitatively analyzed using host-specific Bacteroidales and mtDNA markers. BacHum and gyrB markers (human-specific), BacR and Bovine mtDNA markers (cattle-specific), and Pig2Bac and Swine mtDNA markers (pig-specific) were judged the best-performing markers. Then, these selected markers were applied to MST to identify the sources of fecal contamination in 59 river water samples collected at 21 sites. Of them, 20 (95%), 21 (100%), and 16 (76%) sites were positive for at least one human, cattle, and pig marker, respectively, indicating the need for immediate action and monitoring to control fecal pollution.
利用宿主特异性类杆菌和线粒体 DNA(mtDNA)标记进行微生物源追踪(MST)是确定环境水体粪便污染源的有效工具。本研究评估并更新了之前报道的 7 种宿主特异性类杆菌标记物(3 种人特异性、2 种牛特异性和 2 种猪特异性)的性能。此外,还评估了牛特异性牛 mtDNA 标记和猪特异性猪 mtDNA 标记的性能,并将其应用于日本山梨县收集的河水样本的 MST。我们收集了 48 份粪便来源样本,包括未经处理的污水、经过二级处理的污水、生活污水处理池的出水、猪粪便、猪废水和牛粪便,并使用宿主特异性类杆菌和 mtDNA 标记对这些样本进行了定量分析。结果表明,BacHum 和 gyrB 标记(人特异性)、BacR 和牛 mtDNA 标记(牛特异性)以及 Pig2Bac 和猪 mtDNA 标记(猪特异性)是效果最好的标记。然后,将这些选定的标记应用于 MST,以确定在 21 个地点采集的 59 个河水样本中的粪便污染源。其中,分别有 20 个(95%)、21 个(100%)和 16 个(76%)地点的至少一种人、牛和猪标记物呈阳性,表明有必要立即采取行动并进行监测,以控制粪便污染。
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引用次数: 0
Design of infiltration swales 渗水沟渠的设计
Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000228
David A. Chin
Conventional designs of infiltration swales either neglect infiltration while the swale is filling or approximate the flow in the swale as being normal instead of gradually varied. The adequacy of these approximations are elucidated, and two common design configurations for infiltration swales are considered. For swales designed to store the water-quality volume behind check dams, the retained volume can be on the order of twice the design water-quality volume depending on the magnitude of the inflow rate normalized by the infiltration rate. In a second configuration, the swale is designed to infiltrate the water-quality flow, where the limiting assumption is that the flow is normal along the infiltration length. The actual required infiltration length can be expressed as a function of the normalized bottom width, and the required infiltration length can be up to 30% longer than derived using the conventional design. Graphical relations are developed that can be used to either quantify the factor of safety of conventional designs or provide credit for in the flood-control function of infiltration swales.
传统的渗水渠设计要么忽略了渠内充水时的渗透,要么将渠内的水流近似为正常水流而非逐渐变化的水流。本文阐明了这些近似值的适当性,并考虑了两种常见的渗透渠设计配置。对于设计为在止水坝后储存水质体积的沼泽地,保留体积可达到设计水质体积的两倍,具体取决于按渗透率归一化的流入率大小。在第二种配置中,沼泽地的设计目的是渗透水质流,其限制性假设是水流沿渗透长度方向是正常的。实际所需的渗透长度可表示为归一化底部宽度的函数,所需的渗透长度可比使用传统设计得出的长度长 30%。所建立的图形关系可用于量化传统设计的安全系数,或为渗透渠的防洪功能提供信用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing viability of Escherichia coli in mining-impacted surface waters 评估受采矿影响地表水中大肠埃希氏菌的生存能力
Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000230
Claire McDonald, Kara Cunningham, Grace Kerr, Belle Lu, M. H. Tarek, Christopher Anderson, Emily Garner
Multiple threats to surface water quality, including both fecal pollution and acid mine drainage (AMD) are frequently coincident in mining regions, such as parts of the Appalachian region of the U.S. While it has been established that AMD can have toxic effects to fecal bacteria in surface waters, there is also evidence that AMD may induce a viable but non-culturable (VBNC) state, leaving fecal bacteria undetectable by common standard methods. This study aims to better understand the occurrence of VBNC Escherichia coli in mining-impacted waters (MIW) through three objectives: (1) assess the relationship between MIWs and concentrations of culturable fecal bacteria, (2) compare standard methods for quantification of E. coli in MIW, and (3) investigate whether MIW can induce a VBNC state in E. coli. An analysis of historic data from the Deckers Creek and West Run Watersheds of West Virginia revealed a moderate correlation between pH and E. coli abundance determined via culture and enzyme-based methods. In samples collected from sites within the two watersheds impacted by historic mining activities, the E. coli uidA gene was measured via quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) and found to be significantly more abundant than E. coli concentrations measured via culture or enzyme substrate coliform test. However, this discrepancy between methods was greatest in samples with a low pH. Further, experiments in which an environmental strain of E. coli was dosed into samples of MIW diluted with saline at different concentrations confirmed that the culturability of E. coli significantly decreased with increasing MIW concentration, while the total number of intact cells, determined via "live/dead” staining and microscopy, remained high. This finding suggests that culture and enzyme methods may underestimate viable E. coli levels in AMD-impacted waters.
在美国阿巴拉契亚地区等矿区,排泄物污染和酸性矿井排水(AMD)对地表水水质的多重威胁经常同时存在。虽然已经确定 AMD 会对地表水中的排泄物细菌产生毒性影响,但也有证据表明 AMD 可能会诱导一种可存活但不可培养(VBNC)的状态,使普通标准方法无法检测到排泄物细菌。本研究旨在通过三个目标更好地了解采矿影响水体(MIW)中 VBNC 大肠杆菌的发生情况:(1)评估采矿影响水体与可培养粪便细菌浓度之间的关系;(2)比较采矿影响水体中大肠杆菌的标准定量方法;(3)调查采矿影响水体是否会诱发大肠杆菌的 VBNC 状态。对西弗吉尼亚州 Deckers 溪和 West Run 流域历史数据的分析表明,pH 值与通过培养和酶法测定的大肠杆菌数量之间存在一定的相关性。在这两个流域内受历史采矿活动影响的地点采集的样本中,通过定量聚合酶链式反应 (qPCR) 测定了大肠杆菌 uidA 基因,发现其含量明显高于通过培养或酶底物大肠菌群测试测定的大肠杆菌浓度。不过,在 pH 值较低的样本中,两种方法之间的差异最大。此外,在用不同浓度的生理盐水稀释的 MIW 样品中添加大肠杆菌环境菌株的实验证实,随着 MIW 浓度的增加,大肠杆菌的可培养性明显降低,而通过 "活/死 "染色和显微镜测定的完整细胞总数仍然很高。这一发现表明,培养和酶法可能低估了受 AMD 影响的水体中大肠杆菌的存活水平。
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引用次数: 0
Research priorities for water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) in humanitarian crises: A global prioritisation exercise 人道主义危机中水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)研究的优先事项:全球优先事项排序工作
Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000217
Lauren D’Mello-Guyett, Camille Heylen, Elsa Rohm, Jane Falconer, Jean Lapegue, R. Dreibelbis, Monica Ramos, Oliver Cumming, Daniele Lantagne
Water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) interventions should provide access to safe water and sanitation, and promote good hygiene practices with dignity, comfort and security. Multiple systematic reviews have noted evidence gaps and is a paucity of good quality evidence related to the effectiveness and implementation of WASH programmes and interventions in humanitarian crises. The aim of this study was to generate consensus-based actionable research priorities for the humanitarian WASH sector. A research prioritisation exercise was conducted by adapting the Child Health and Nutrition Research Initiative (CHNRI) method. Research questions were compiled from a rapid scoping review, key informant interviews (KIIs) and focus group discussions (FGDs). Questions were reviewed by a technical expert group. An online survey was circulated to score research questions according to five criteria. An overall prioritisation score was calculated and weighted to prioritise questions. A diverse range of 286 global WASH and health experts engaged in the CHNRI process. A list of 128 questions were generated and scored by experts. Prioritised research questions focussed on evaluating existing interventions or programmes, and making iterative changes to current programmes. Other important questions centred on describing WASH conditions and associated health risks in crises contexts. Priorities were also stratified by gender, organisation and region to understand differences globally. The WASH in Crises Research Agenda has identified key research questions of most importance to those implementing WASH in humanitarian crises and has established a list of research priorities. The identified priorities reinforce how more evidence is needed, and underlines the need for research to evaluate current practices in order to improve the quality of humanitarian response. Stakeholders, including donors, international and national organisations, governments and academic institutions, are invited to use this research agenda to encourage, inspire and enable relevant and high-quality research that will be used to inform humanitarian responses.
水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)干预措施应提供安全饮用水和卫生设施,并提倡有尊严、舒适和安全的良好个人卫生习惯。多篇系统性综述指出了证据方面的差距,与人道主义危机中水、环境卫生和个人卫生计划及干预措施的有效性和实施相关的高质量证据十分匮乏。这项研究的目的是为人道主义 "讲卫生运动 "部门确定基于共识的可操作研究重点。通过采用儿童健康与营养研究计划(CHNRI)的方法,开展了一项研究重点排序工作。根据快速范围界定审查、关键信息提供者访谈 (KII) 和焦点小组讨论 (FGD) 编制了研究问题。技术专家组对问题进行了审查。分发了一份在线调查,根据五项标准对研究问题进行评分。计算出总体优先级得分并加权,以确定问题的优先级。286 名全球讲卫生运动和健康专家参与了 CHNRI 进程。专家们提出了 128 个问题并进行了评分。优先考虑的研究问题侧重于评估现有干预措施或计划,并对现有计划进行反复修改。其他重要问题集中在描述危机情况下讲卫生运动的条件和相关的健康风险。优先事项还按性别、组织和地区进行了分层,以了解全球范围内的差异。危机中的讲卫生运动研究议程确定了对在人道主义危机中实施讲卫生运动的人员最为重要的关键研究问题,并制定了研究重点清单。所确定的优先事项进一步说明了如何需要更多的证据,并强调需要通过研究来评估当前的做法,以提高人道主义响应的质量。我们邀请利益相关者,包括捐助者、国际和国内组织、政府和学术机构,利用本研究议程鼓励、激励和推动相关的高质量研究,为人道主义响应提供信息。
{"title":"Research priorities for water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) in humanitarian crises: A global prioritisation exercise","authors":"Lauren D’Mello-Guyett, Camille Heylen, Elsa Rohm, Jane Falconer, Jean Lapegue, R. Dreibelbis, Monica Ramos, Oliver Cumming, Daniele Lantagne","doi":"10.1371/journal.pwat.0000217","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000217","url":null,"abstract":"Water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) interventions should provide access to safe water and sanitation, and promote good hygiene practices with dignity, comfort and security. Multiple systematic reviews have noted evidence gaps and is a paucity of good quality evidence related to the effectiveness and implementation of WASH programmes and interventions in humanitarian crises. The aim of this study was to generate consensus-based actionable research priorities for the humanitarian WASH sector. A research prioritisation exercise was conducted by adapting the Child Health and Nutrition Research Initiative (CHNRI) method. Research questions were compiled from a rapid scoping review, key informant interviews (KIIs) and focus group discussions (FGDs). Questions were reviewed by a technical expert group. An online survey was circulated to score research questions according to five criteria. An overall prioritisation score was calculated and weighted to prioritise questions. A diverse range of 286 global WASH and health experts engaged in the CHNRI process. A list of 128 questions were generated and scored by experts. Prioritised research questions focussed on evaluating existing interventions or programmes, and making iterative changes to current programmes. Other important questions centred on describing WASH conditions and associated health risks in crises contexts. Priorities were also stratified by gender, organisation and region to understand differences globally. The WASH in Crises Research Agenda has identified key research questions of most importance to those implementing WASH in humanitarian crises and has established a list of research priorities. The identified priorities reinforce how more evidence is needed, and underlines the need for research to evaluate current practices in order to improve the quality of humanitarian response. Stakeholders, including donors, international and national organisations, governments and academic institutions, are invited to use this research agenda to encourage, inspire and enable relevant and high-quality research that will be used to inform humanitarian responses.","PeriodicalId":93672,"journal":{"name":"PLOS water","volume":"38 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140264762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial and seasonal variation in disinfection byproducts concentrations in a rural public drinking water system: A case study of Martin County, Kentucky, USA 农村公共饮用水系统中消毒副产物浓度的空间和季节变化:美国肯塔基州马丁县案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000227
J. Unrine, Nina McCoy, W. J. Christian, Yogesh Gautam, L. Ormsbee, Wayne Sanderson, Ricki Draper, Madison Mooney, Mary Cromer, Kelly Pennell, A. G. Hoover
To increase our understanding of the factors that influence formation of disinfection byproducts (DBPs) in rural drinking systems, we investigated the spatial and seasonal variation in trihalomethane (THM) and haloacetic acid (HAA) concentrations in relation to various chemical and physical variables in a rural public drinking water system in Martin County, Kentucky, USA. We collected drinking water samples from 97 individual homes over the course of one year and analyzed them for temperature, electrical conductivity, pH, free chlorine, total chlorine, THMs (chloroform, bromodichloromethane, dibromochloromethane, dichlorobromomethane, and bromoform) and HAAs (monochloroacetic acid, dichloroacetic acid, trichloroacetic acid, bromoacetic acid, and dibromoacetic acid). Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed only weak overall clustering for HAA concentrations and none for THMs. The relationship between modeled water age and TTHM or HAA5 concentrations varied seasonally. In contrast, there was strong variation for both HAA and THMs, with concentrations of HAA peaking in mid-summer and THMs peaking in early fall. Multiple regression analysis revealed that THM concentrations were strongly correlated with conductivity, while HAA concentrations were more strongly correlated with water temperature. Individual DBP species that only contained chlorine halogen groups were strongly correlated with temperature, while compounds containing bromine were more strongly correlated with conductivity. Further investigation revealed that increased drinking water conductivity associated with low discharge of the Tug Fork River, the source water, is highly correlated with increased concentrations of bromide. Discharge and conductivity of the Tug Fork River changed dramatically through the year contributing to a seasonal peak in bromide concentrations in the late summer and early fall and appeared to be a driver of brominated THM concentrations. Brominated DBPs tend to have higher toxicity than DBPs containing only chlorine, therefore this study provides important insight into the seasonal factors driving risk from exposure to DBPs in rural drinking water systems impacted by bromide.
为了进一步了解影响农村饮用水系统中消毒副产物(DBPs)形成的因素,我们调查了美国肯塔基州马丁县农村公共饮用水系统中三卤甲烷(THM)和卤乙酸(HAA)浓度与各种化学和物理变量之间的空间和季节变化关系。我们在一年的时间里收集了 97 户家庭的饮用水样本,并对其进行了温度、电导率、pH 值、游离氯、总氯、THMs(氯仿、溴二氯甲烷、二溴氯甲烷、二氯溴甲烷和溴仿)和 HAAs(一氯乙酸、二氯乙酸、三氯乙酸、溴乙酸和二溴乙酸)分析。空间自相关分析表明,HAA 浓度的总体聚类较弱,而 THMs 浓度则没有。模拟水龄与 TTHM 或 HAA5 浓度之间的关系随季节而变化。相比之下,HAA 和 THMs 的变化很大,HAA 的浓度在仲夏达到峰值,THMs 的浓度在初秋达到峰值。多元回归分析表明,三卤甲烷浓度与电导率密切相关,而 HAA 浓度与水温的相关性更大。只含有氯卤素基团的单个 DBP 物种与温度密切相关,而含有溴的化合物与电导率的相关性更大。进一步的调查显示,饮用水电导率的增加与图格福克河(源水)的低排量有关,与溴化物浓度的增加高度相关。塔格岔河的排水量和电导率在一年中会发生巨大变化,导致溴浓度在夏末秋初达到季节性峰值,并且似乎是溴化三卤甲烷浓度的一个驱动因素。与仅含氯的 DBP 相比,溴化 DBP 的毒性往往更高,因此这项研究为我们提供了重要的洞察力,让我们了解受溴化物影响的农村饮用水系统暴露于 DBP 风险的季节性因素。
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引用次数: 0
Can crop production intensification through irrigation be sustainable? An ex-ante impact study of the south-central coastal zone of Bangladesh 通过灌溉提高作物产量能否持续?孟加拉国中南部沿海地区的事前影响研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000153
Zahirul Haque Khan, Md Saiful Islam, Shume Akhter, Md Raqubul Hasib, A. Sutradhar, J. Timsina, T. Krupnik, U. Schulthess
In Bangladesh’s south-central coastal zone, there is considerable potential to intensify crop production by growing dry winter season ‘Boro’ rice, maize, wheat, pulses and oilseeds using irrigation from southward flowing and predominantly freshwater rivers. However, the impacts of surface water withdrawal for sustained irrigation and its safe operating space remain unclear. We used field measurements and simulation modeling to investigate the effects of irrigation water withdrawal for Boro rice–the most water-consumptive crop–on river water flow and salinity under different climate change and river flow scenarios. Under the baseline conditions, about 250,000 ha could potentially be irrigated with river water that has salinity levels below 2 dS/m. The impact on river water salinity would be minimal, and only between 0.71 to 1.12% of the cropland would shift from the 0–2 dS/m class to higher salinity levels. Similarly, for the moderate climate change scenario (RCP 4.5) that forecasts a sea level rise of 22 cm in 2050, there would be a minor change in water flow and salinity. Only under the extreme climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), resulting in a sea level rise of 43 cm by 2050 and low flow conditions that are exceeded in 90% of the cases, the 2 dS/m isohaline would move landward by 64 to 105 km in March and April for the Tentulia and Buriswar Rivers. This would expose an additional 36.6% of potentially irrigable cropland to salinity levels of 2 to 4 dS/m. However, Boro rice will already be well established by that time and can tolerate greater levels of salinity. We conclude that there is considerable scope to expand irrigated crop production without negatively exposing the cropland and rivers to detrimental salinization levels while preserving the ecosystem services of the rivers.
在孟加拉国中南部沿海地区,利用南流的淡水河灌溉种植冬季旱季 "Boro "稻、玉米、小麦、豆类和油菜籽,提高作物产量的潜力相当大。然而,地表水持续灌溉的影响及其安全运行空间仍不明确。我们利用实地测量和模拟模型,研究了在不同气候变化和河流流量情景下,博罗水稻(耗水量最大的作物)灌溉取水对河流水流量和盐度的影响。在基线条件下,约 25 万公顷的灌溉用水可能是盐度低于 2 dS/m 的河水。这对河水盐度的影响微乎其微,只有 0.71% 到 1.12% 的耕地会从 0-2 dS/m 的盐度等级转为较高的盐度等级。同样,在预测 2050 年海平面上升 22 厘米的中度气候变化情景(RCP 4.5)下,水流和盐度的变化也很小。只有在极端气候变化情景下(RCP 8.5),即到 2050 年海平面上升 43 厘米,90% 的情况下会超过低流量条件,在 3 月和 4 月,Tentulia 河和 Buriswar 河的 2 dS/m 等盐度将向陆地移动 64 至 105 千米。这将使另外 36.6% 的潜在可灌溉耕地面临 2 至 4 dS/m 的盐度水平。然而,届时波罗水稻已经成熟,可以耐受更高的盐度。我们的结论是,在不使耕地和河流受到有害盐碱化水平的负面影响,同时保护河流生态系统服务的情况下,扩大灌溉作物生产的空间相当大。
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引用次数: 0
Can crop production intensification through irrigation be sustainable? An ex-ante impact study of the south-central coastal zone of Bangladesh 通过灌溉提高作物产量能否持续?孟加拉国中南部沿海地区的事前影响研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000153
Zahirul Haque Khan, Md Saiful Islam, Shume Akhter, Md Raqubul Hasib, A. Sutradhar, J. Timsina, T. Krupnik, U. Schulthess
In Bangladesh’s south-central coastal zone, there is considerable potential to intensify crop production by growing dry winter season ‘Boro’ rice, maize, wheat, pulses and oilseeds using irrigation from southward flowing and predominantly freshwater rivers. However, the impacts of surface water withdrawal for sustained irrigation and its safe operating space remain unclear. We used field measurements and simulation modeling to investigate the effects of irrigation water withdrawal for Boro rice–the most water-consumptive crop–on river water flow and salinity under different climate change and river flow scenarios. Under the baseline conditions, about 250,000 ha could potentially be irrigated with river water that has salinity levels below 2 dS/m. The impact on river water salinity would be minimal, and only between 0.71 to 1.12% of the cropland would shift from the 0–2 dS/m class to higher salinity levels. Similarly, for the moderate climate change scenario (RCP 4.5) that forecasts a sea level rise of 22 cm in 2050, there would be a minor change in water flow and salinity. Only under the extreme climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), resulting in a sea level rise of 43 cm by 2050 and low flow conditions that are exceeded in 90% of the cases, the 2 dS/m isohaline would move landward by 64 to 105 km in March and April for the Tentulia and Buriswar Rivers. This would expose an additional 36.6% of potentially irrigable cropland to salinity levels of 2 to 4 dS/m. However, Boro rice will already be well established by that time and can tolerate greater levels of salinity. We conclude that there is considerable scope to expand irrigated crop production without negatively exposing the cropland and rivers to detrimental salinization levels while preserving the ecosystem services of the rivers.
在孟加拉国中南部沿海地区,利用南流的淡水河灌溉种植冬季旱季 "Boro "稻、玉米、小麦、豆类和油菜籽,提高作物产量的潜力相当大。然而,地表水持续灌溉的影响及其安全运行空间仍不明确。我们利用实地测量和模拟模型研究了在不同气候变化和河流流量情景下,博罗水稻(耗水量最大的作物)灌溉取水对河流水流量和盐度的影响。在基线条件下,约 25 万公顷的灌溉用水可能是盐度低于 2 dS/m 的河水。这对河水盐度的影响微乎其微,仅有 0.71% 至 1.12% 的耕地会从 0-2 dS/m 的盐度等级转向更高的盐度等级。同样,在预测 2050 年海平面上升 22 厘米的中度气候变化情景(RCP 4.5)下,水流和盐度的变化也很小。只有在极端气候变化情景下(RCP 8.5),即到 2050 年海平面上升 43 厘米,90% 的情况下会超过低流量条件,在 3 月和 4 月,Tentulia 河和 Buriswar 河的 2 dS/m 等盐度将向陆地移动 64 至 105 千米。这将使另外 36.6% 的潜在可灌溉耕地面临 2 至 4 dS/m 的盐度水平。然而,届时波罗水稻已经成熟,可以耐受更高的盐度。我们的结论是,在不使耕地和河流受到有害盐碱化水平的负面影响,同时保护河流生态系统服务的情况下,扩大灌溉作物生产的空间相当大。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing discharge estimation from SWOT satellite data in a tropical tidal river environment 利用 SWOT 卫星数据加强热带潮汐河流环境中的排水量估算
Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000226
Francisco Rodrigues do Amaral, Thierry Pellarin, Tin Nguyen Trung, Tran Anh Tu, Nicolas Gratiot
The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission aims to provide essential data on river width, height and slope in order to estimate worldwide river discharge accurately. This mission offers a powerful tool for monitoring river discharge in dynamic coastal areas, like the Saigon-Dongnai estuary in Southern Vietnam. However, estimating discharge of tidally-influenced rivers using SWOT measurements can be challenging when hydraulic variables have the same order of magnitude as SWOT measurement errors. In this paper we present a methodology to enhance discharge estimation accuracy from SWOT measurements based on simulated SWOT products at the 200 meter node resolution and varying river reach size. We assess measurement error variability and its impact on discharge estimation by employing a Monte Carlo analysis. Our approach significantly improved discharge estimation in the Saigon tidal river, reducing RMSE from 1400 m3/s to 180 m3/s and increasing R² from 0.31 to 0.95. Notably, the percentage of Monte Carlo particles meeting the 30% rRMSE threshold rose from 0% to 79%. This study underscores the feasibility of obtaining reliable discharge estimates from SWOT data in complex coastal areas where hydraulic variables are of the same order of magnitude as SWOT errors. Additionally, the proposed methodology to improve discharge estimation from SWOT measurements is widely adaptable as it can be applied to similar regions and can be combined with any discharge estimation method.
地表水和海洋地形(SWOT)任务旨在提供有关河流宽度、高度和坡度的重要数据,以便准确估算全球河流的排水量。这项任务为监测动态沿海地区(如越南南部的西贡-东奈河口)的河流排水量提供了强有力的工具。然而,当水力变量的数量级与 SWOT 测量误差相同时,利用 SWOT 测量来估算受潮汐影响河流的排泄量就会面临挑战。在本文中,我们介绍了一种提高 SWOT 测量排水量估算精度的方法,该方法基于 200 米节点分辨率和不同河段大小的模拟 SWOT 产品。我们通过蒙特卡罗分析评估了测量误差的可变性及其对排泄量估算的影响。我们的方法明显改善了西贡潮汐河的排水量估算,RMSE 从 1400 立方米/秒降低到 180 立方米/秒,R² 从 0.31 提高到 0.95。值得注意的是,达到 30% RMSE 临界值的蒙特卡罗粒子的百分比从 0% 上升到 79%。这项研究表明,在水力变量与 SWOT 误差数量级相同的复杂沿岸地区,从 SWOT 数据中获得可靠的排泄量估算值是可行的。此外,所提出的改进 SWOT 测量排泄量估算的方法具有广泛的适应性,可应用于类似地区,并可与任何排泄量估算方法相结合。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing discharge estimation from SWOT satellite data in a tropical tidal river environment 利用 SWOT 卫星数据加强热带潮汐河流环境中的排水量估算
Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000226
Francisco Rodrigues do Amaral, Thierry Pellarin, Tin Nguyen Trung, Tran Anh Tu, Nicolas Gratiot
The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission aims to provide essential data on river width, height and slope in order to estimate worldwide river discharge accurately. This mission offers a powerful tool for monitoring river discharge in dynamic coastal areas, like the Saigon-Dongnai estuary in Southern Vietnam. However, estimating discharge of tidally-influenced rivers using SWOT measurements can be challenging when hydraulic variables have the same order of magnitude as SWOT measurement errors. In this paper we present a methodology to enhance discharge estimation accuracy from SWOT measurements based on simulated SWOT products at the 200 meter node resolution and varying river reach size. We assess measurement error variability and its impact on discharge estimation by employing a Monte Carlo analysis. Our approach significantly improved discharge estimation in the Saigon tidal river, reducing RMSE from 1400 m3/s to 180 m3/s and increasing R² from 0.31 to 0.95. Notably, the percentage of Monte Carlo particles meeting the 30% rRMSE threshold rose from 0% to 79%. This study underscores the feasibility of obtaining reliable discharge estimates from SWOT data in complex coastal areas where hydraulic variables are of the same order of magnitude as SWOT errors. Additionally, the proposed methodology to improve discharge estimation from SWOT measurements is widely adaptable as it can be applied to similar regions and can be combined with any discharge estimation method.
地表水和海洋地形(SWOT)任务旨在提供有关河流宽度、高度和坡度的重要数据,以便准确估算全球河流的排水量。这项任务为监测动态沿海地区(如越南南部的西贡-东奈河口)的河流排水量提供了强有力的工具。然而,当水力变量的数量级与 SWOT 测量误差相同时,利用 SWOT 测量来估算受潮汐影响河流的排泄量就会面临挑战。在本文中,我们介绍了一种提高 SWOT 测量排水量估算精度的方法,该方法基于 200 米节点分辨率和不同河段大小的模拟 SWOT 产品。我们通过蒙特卡罗分析评估了测量误差的可变性及其对排泄量估算的影响。我们的方法明显改善了西贡潮汐河的排水量估算,RMSE 从 1400 立方米/秒降低到 180 立方米/秒,R² 从 0.31 提高到 0.95。值得注意的是,达到 30% RMSE 临界值的蒙特卡罗粒子的百分比从 0% 上升到 79%。这项研究表明,在水力变量与 SWOT 误差数量级相同的复杂沿岸地区,从 SWOT 数据中获得可靠的排泄量估算值是可行的。此外,所提出的改进 SWOT 测量排泄量估算的方法具有广泛的适应性,可应用于类似地区,并可与任何排泄量估算方法相结合。
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