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Browning of Scottish surface water sources exposed to climate change 受气候变化影响的苏格兰地表水源变褐
Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000172
S. Haaland, B. Eikebrokk, G. Riise, R. D. Vogt
Levels of dissolved natural organic matter (DNOM) are increasing in our boreal watercourses. This is manifested by an apparent increase in its yellow to brown colour of the water, i.e., browning. Sound predictions of future changes in colour of our freshwaters is a prerequisite for predicting effects on aquatic fauna and a sustainable operation of drinking water facilities using surface waters as raw water sources. A model for the effect of climate on colour (mg Pt L-1) has been developed for two surface raw water sources in Scotland, i.e., at Bracadale and Port Charlotte. Both sites are situated far out on the Scottish west coast, without major impact of acid rain, with limited amounts of frost, and with limited recent land-use changes. The model was fitted to 15 years long data-series on colour measurements, provided by Scottish Water, at the two sites. Meteorological data were provided by UK Met. The models perform well for both sites in simulating the variation in monthly measured colour, explaining 89 and 90% of the variation at Bracadale and Port Charlotte, respectively. These well fitted models were used to predict future changes in colour due to changes in temperature and precipitation based on median climate data from a high emission climate RCP8.5 scenario from the HadCM3 climate model (UKCP18). The model predicted an increase in monthly average colour during growing season at both sites from about 150 mg Pt L-1 to about 200 mg Pt L-1 in 2050–2079. Temperature is found to be the most important positively driver for colour development at both sites.
北方水道中溶解的天然有机物质(DNOM)的含量正在增加。这表现在水的黄色明显增加到棕色,即褐变。对未来淡水颜色变化的合理预测是预测对水生动物的影响和以地表水作为原水来源的饮用水设施可持续运行的先决条件。气候对颜色(mg Pt L-1)影响的模型已经为苏格兰的两个地表原水水源,即Bracadale和Port Charlotte开发。这两个地点都位于苏格兰西海岸,没有酸雨的重大影响,霜冻数量有限,最近的土地利用变化也有限。该模型与苏格兰水务公司在两个地点提供的长达15年的颜色测量数据系列相匹配。气象资料由英国气象局提供。该模型在模拟两个地点每月测量的颜色变化方面表现良好,分别解释了Bracadale和Port Charlotte的89%和90%的变化。基于HadCM3气候模式(UKCP18)的高排放RCP8.5情景的中位数气候数据,这些拟合良好的模型被用于预测由于温度和降水变化而导致的未来颜色变化。该模型预测,在2050-2079年,两个地点生长季节的月平均颜色将从约150 mg Pt -1增加到约200 mg Pt -1。温度被发现是两个地点颜色发展的最重要的积极驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Putting diplomacy at the forefront of Water Diplomacy 将外交置于水外交的前沿
Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000173
Hussam Hussein, Zoe Campbell, Josephine Leather, Patrick Ryce
Water diplomacy is a recent term that has been used to analyse hydropoltiical dynamics and issues that may arise when discussing transboundary water governance. In fact, the shared nature of transboundary water resources may lead to tension over their allocation and use which can in turn aggravate or harm interstate relations and cooperation. This is important as most freshwater resource systems cross jurisdictional borders, with 153 countries sharing transboundary rivers, lakes, and aquifers. Thus, a coordinated and sustainable management of these resources through water diplomacy is vital. While the concept of water diplomacy has been defined in several ways, we stress the need to emphasise diplomacy and the goals beyond the water field when considering this concept.
水外交是最近出现的一个术语,用于分析在讨论跨界水治理时可能出现的水政治动态和问题。事实上,跨界水资源的共享性质可能导致在分配和使用方面的紧张关系,从而加剧或损害国家间的关系与合作。这一点很重要,因为大多数淡水资源系统跨越管辖边界,153个国家共享跨界河流、湖泊和含水层。因此,通过水外交对这些资源进行协调和可持续的管理至关重要。虽然水外交的概念有多种定义,但我们强调在考虑这一概念时必须强调外交和水领域以外的目标。
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引用次数: 2
Deep reinforcement learning for irrigation scheduling using high-dimensional sensor feedback 基于高维传感器反馈的灌溉调度深度强化学习
Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000169
Yuji Saikai, Allan Peake, Karine Chenu
Deep reinforcement learning has considerable potential to improve irrigation scheduling in many cropping systems by applying adaptive amounts of water based on various measurements over time. The goal is to discover an intelligent decision rule that processes information available to growers and prescribes sensible irrigation amounts for the time steps considered. Due to the technical novelty, however, the research on the technique remains sparse and impractical. To accelerate the progress, the paper proposes a principled framework and actionable procedure that allow researchers to formulate their own optimisation problems and implement solution algorithms based on deep reinforcement learning. The effectiveness of the framework was demonstrated using a case study of irrigated wheat grown in a productive region of Australia where profits were maximised. Specifically, the decision rule takes nine state variable inputs: crop phenological stage, leaf area index, extractable soil water for each of the five top layers, cumulative rainfall and cumulative irrigation. It returns a probabilistic prescription over five candidate irrigation amounts (0, 10, 20, 30 and 40 mm) every day. The production system was simulated at Goondiwindi using the APSIM-Wheat crop model. After training in the learning environment using 1981–2010 weather data, the learned decision rule was tested individually for each year of 2011–2020. The results were compared against the benchmark profits obtained by a conventional rule common in the region. The discovered decision rule prescribed daily irrigation amounts that uniformly improved on the conventional rule for all the testing years, and the largest improvement reached 17% in 2018. The framework is general and applicable to a wide range of cropping systems with realistic optimisation problems.
深度强化学习具有相当大的潜力,可以通过根据不同时间的测量值施加自适应水量来改善许多种植系统的灌溉调度。目标是发现一个智能决策规则,该规则可以处理种植者可用的信息,并为所考虑的时间步骤规定合理的灌溉量。然而,由于该技术的新颖性,对该技术的研究仍然很少,而且不切实际。为了加快进展,本文提出了一个原则性框架和可操作的程序,使研究人员能够制定自己的优化问题并实现基于深度强化学习的解决算法。该框架的有效性通过对澳大利亚一个高产地区种植的灌溉小麦的案例研究得到了证明,该地区的利润最大化。具体来说,该决策规则需要9个状态变量输入:作物物候阶段、叶面积指数、5个顶层的可提取土壤水分、累积降雨量和累积灌溉。它每天返回5个候选灌溉量(0、10、20、30和40毫米)的概率处方。利用apsim -小麦作物模型对Goondiwindi的生产系统进行了模拟。在学习环境中使用1981-2010年的天气数据进行训练后,对学习到的决策规则在2011-2020年的每一年进行单独测试。这些结果与该地区常用的常规规则获得的基准利润进行了比较。发现的决策规则规定的日灌溉量在所有测试年份都比常规规则统一提高,2018年最大的提高达到17%。该框架是通用的,适用于广泛的种植系统与现实的优化问题。
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引用次数: 1
Household water insecurity experiences and their perceived determinants in a low-income community of Cartagena, Colombia, during a water service expansion project 哥伦比亚卡塔赫纳低收入社区在供水服务扩展项目期间的家庭用水不安全经历及其感知的决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000154
Andrea K. Lemaitre, Joshua D. Miller, Justin Stoler
Traditional water indicators primarily focus on water quantity and quality, but emergent research demonstrates that measurement of lived experiences with water availability, accessibility, and use is important for understanding how household water insecurity impacts health and well-being. Few empirical studies have explored which household water insecurity experiences are most salient, or their potential causes, in Latin American cities. We analyzed data from 266 households in a low-income settlement of Cartagena, Colombia, to identify correlates and perceived determinants of water insecurity. The most prevalent household water insecurity experiences were water supply interruptions (96%), water worry (94%), and anger about the water situation (90%). Unexpected water interruptions and use of non-piped primary drinking water sources were associated with greater household water insecurity scores, water worry subscores, and hygiene subscores. Respondents perceived water issues in their community to be caused by deficiencies in gray infrastructure (49%), which included deficiencies in water distribution, treatment, or storage technologies. Social infrastructure (36%), including issues with political, economic, or administrative systems, was also cited as a barrier to water security. We did not detect significant relationships between water insecurity scores and the attribution of these problems to gray or social infrastructure, but there may be relationships between these factors and duration of residency and using a non-piped water source. These findings underscore the importance of socio-political factors and community engagement for improving urban water insecurity through slum-upgrade projects.
传统的水指标主要关注水量和水质,但新兴研究表明,衡量水的可用性、可及性和使用方面的生活经历对于了解家庭水不安全如何影响健康和福祉至关重要。很少有实证研究探讨拉丁美洲城市中哪些家庭用水不安全经历最为突出,或其潜在原因。我们分析了哥伦比亚卡塔赫纳低收入定居点266户家庭的数据,以确定水不安全的相关因素和感知的决定因素。最普遍的家庭用水不安全经历是供水中断(96%)、用水担忧(94%)和对用水状况的愤怒(90%)。意外的供水中断和非管道初级饮用水源的使用与更高的家庭用水不安全分数、用水担忧分量表和卫生分量表有关。受访者认为他们社区的水问题是由灰色基础设施的不足造成的(49%),其中包括水分配、处理或储存技术的不足。社会基础设施(36%),包括政治、经济或行政系统问题,也被认为是水安全的障碍。我们没有发现水不安全评分与将这些问题归因于灰色或社会基础设施之间存在显著关系,但这些因素与居住期限和使用非管道水源之间可能存在关系。这些发现强调了社会政治因素和社区参与对通过贫民窟改造项目改善城市水不安全的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The status of water access, sanitation, and hygiene in schools: A cross sectional survey to identify capacities and assess coverage in Garoua, North Cameroon 学校供水、环境卫生和个人卫生状况:在喀麦隆北部加鲁瓦开展一项旨在确定能力和评估覆盖范围的横断面调查
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000146
C. Nounkeu, Kevin Toumba Aoutaksa, C. B. Ndongo, S. Eyebe, A. Amani, Brian Bongwong Tamfon, Patrice Leumeni, Florent Kamkumo Ouabo, Daniele Sandra Yopa, Mathieu Ari, Bertin Nono, M. Ngoufack, N. Azza, E. Kouotou, J. Dharod, G. Nguefack-Tsague
There has been an increasing global interest in understanding, documenting, and monitoring water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services in schools. This study is the first to identify existing WASH-in-school capacities and understand the magnitude of the gaps in WASH coverage in schools in the Northern Cameroon, a region of the country marked by recurrent sanitary emergencies, the highest prevalence of acute malnutrition, and representing the largest and heaviest focus of food and water insecurity. Using a cross-sectional design, relevant authorities of 176 schools in Garoua, were interviewed. The survey guide included core questions for monitoring WASH in schools from recommended guidelines. Eleven indicators-related variables were extracted from data to calculate the WASH-in-school indicators composite score, which could be used as a more reliable and useful tool for comparison across settings and can contribute to harmonize data with WASH in schools related indicators applied in national surveys. The results of this research showed suboptimal drinking water supply systems and sanitation facilities whereas most schools had hand washing points available. However, activities that aimed to promote and sustain a WASH positive environment among children still need to be put in place. The WASH-in-school indicators composite score predictive value corroborated the disparities related to WASH access in schools located in Garoua. This score hence provides an assessment of the spatial dimensions of reduced access to water in schools, improper hygiene practices, and inadequate sanitation facilities. Such a score could be used to identify hotspots lacking WASH infrastructural facilities and strategize optimal interventions to reduce the incidence of WASH related diseases in schools.
全球对了解、记录和监测学校的水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)服务越来越感兴趣。这项研究首次确定了学校内现有的WASH能力,并了解了喀麦隆北部地区学校在WASH覆盖方面的差距程度。喀麦隆北部是该国卫生紧急情况频发、急性营养不良发生率最高、粮食和水不安全问题最严重的地区。采用横断面设计,对Garoua 176所学校的有关当局进行了访谈。调查指南从建议指南中纳入了监测学校讲卫生运动的核心问题。从数据中提取了11个与指标相关的变量来计算学校内WASH指标综合得分,这可以作为跨环境比较的更可靠和有用的工具,并有助于将数据与国家调查中应用的学校内WASH相关指标相协调。这项研究的结果表明,饮用水供应系统和卫生设施并不理想,而大多数学校都有洗手点。然而,仍然需要开展旨在促进和维持儿童中讲卫生运动积极环境的活动。校内WASH指标综合得分预测值证实了Garoua学校中与WASH获取相关的差异。因此,该分数提供了对学校供水减少、卫生习惯不当和卫生设施不足的空间维度的评估。这样的评分可以用来确定缺乏讲卫生基础设施的热点地区,并制定最佳干预措施战略,以减少学校中讲卫生相关疾病的发病率。
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引用次数: 0
Daily stream temperature predictions for free-flowing streams in the Pacific Northwest, USA 美国太平洋西北部自由流动溪流的每日溪流温度预测
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000119
Jesse E. Siegel, A. Fullerton, A. FitzGerald, Damon M. Holzer, Chris E. Jordan
Supporting sustainable lotic ecosystems and thermal habitats requires estimates of stream temperature that are high in scope and resolution across space and time. We combined and enhanced elements of existing stream temperature models to produce a new statistical model to address this need. Contrasting with previous models that estimated coarser metrics such as monthly or seasonal stream temperature or focused on individual watersheds, we modeled daily stream temperature across the entire calendar year for a broad geographic region. This model reflects mechanistic processes using publicly available climate and landscape covariates in a Generalized Additive Model framework. We allowed covariates to interact while accounting for nonlinear relationships between temporal and spatial covariates to better capture seasonal patterns. To represent variation in sensitivity to climate, we used a moving average of antecedent air temperatures over a variable duration linked to area-standardized streamflow. The moving average window size was longer for reaches having snow-dominated hydrology, especially at higher flows, whereas window size was relatively constant and low for reaches having rain-dominated hydrology. Our model’s ability to capture the temporally-variable impact of snowmelt improved its capacity to predict stream temperature across diverse geography for multiple years. We fit the model to stream temperatures from 1993–2013 and predicted daily stream temperatures for ~261,200 free-flowing stream reaches across the Pacific Northwest USA from 1990–2021. Our daily model fit well (RMSE = 1.76; MAE = 1.32°C). Cross-validation suggested that the model produced useful predictions at unsampled locations across diverse landscapes and climate conditions. These stream temperature predictions will be useful to natural resource practitioners for effective conservation planning in lotic ecosystems and for managing species such as Pacific salmon. Our approach is straightforward and can be adapted to new spatial regions, time periods, or scenarios such as the anticipated decline in snowmelt with climate change.
支持可持续的激流生态系统和热栖息地需要在空间和时间上对溪流温度进行高范围和高分辨率的估计。我们结合并增强了现有流温度模型的元素,以产生一个新的统计模型来满足这一需求。与以前的模型相比,以前的模型估计了更粗略的指标,如每月或季节性的河流温度,或关注单个流域,我们为广泛的地理区域建模了整个日历年的每日河流温度。该模型反映了在广义相加模型框架中使用公开可用的气候和景观协变量的机制过程。我们允许协变量相互作用,同时考虑时间和空间协变量之间的非线性关系,以更好地捕捉季节模式。为了表示对气候敏感性的变化,我们使用了与区域标准化流量相关的可变持续时间内前期气温的移动平均值。对于以雪为主的水文河段,移动平均窗口大小较长,尤其是在流量较高的情况下,而对于以雨为主的水文河道,窗口大小相对恒定且较低。我们的模型能够捕捉融雪的随时间变化的影响,这提高了它多年来预测不同地理区域河流温度的能力。我们将该模型与1993-2013年的溪流温度进行了拟合,并预测了1990-2021年美国太平洋西北部约261200条自由流动溪流的日溪流温度。我们的每日模型拟合良好(RMSE=1.76;MAE=1.32°C)。交叉验证表明,该模型在不同景观和气候条件下的未采样位置产生了有用的预测。这些溪流温度预测将有助于自然资源从业者在激流生态系统中进行有效的保护规划,并管理太平洋鲑鱼等物种。我们的方法很简单,可以适应新的空间区域、时间段或场景,例如预计融雪量会随着气候变化而减少。
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引用次数: 1
Protecting fish and farms: Incentivising adoption of modern fish-protection screens for water pumps and gravity-fed diversions in Australia 保护鱼类和农场:鼓励在澳大利亚的水泵和重力式引水系统中采用现代鱼类保护屏障
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000107
T. Rayner, J. Conallin, C. Boys, Rodney Price
Modern fish-protection screens offer significant potential benefits for Australia. The Commonwealth and New South Wales (NSW) governments have invested over $30m to incentivise early adoption by water users. However, successful adoption requires an understanding of the motivations and abilities of water users, and strategies to overcome key barriers to adoption. Four practices have been used by the NSW Government to strengthen understanding of stakeholders and encourage participation in incentive programs by water users. These are: applying social learning concepts to screening programs; evaluating stakeholder needs; identifying and mapping stakeholders and their relationships; and, integrating science in communication and engagement. Analysing the motivations and abilities of water users revealed three key motivations: to save money, to protect fish, and to improve their reputation or social licence to operate. However, the ability of water users to install a fish-protection screen was found to vary significantly. A range of barriers have been identified by water users in NSW, and solutions or strategies developed to address each one. Today, in Australia, over 2,000 ML/day of water is being delivered through modern fish-protection screens, protecting ~580,000 native fish annually at 31 sites across NSW, Victoria and Queensland (60% being in NSW). Existing investment may see these numbers increase to ~7,000 ML/day and ~2 million native fish/yr by June 2024. The application of the methods to understand and strategically engage with stakeholders should enable improved uptake of screening technologies in other jurisdictions and areas of conservation concern into the future.
现代鱼类保护屏障为澳大利亚带来了巨大的潜在利益。英联邦和新南威尔士州政府已投资3000多万美元,鼓励用水者尽早采用。然而,成功的采用需要了解用水者的动机和能力,以及克服采用关键障碍的策略。新南威尔士州政府采用了四种做法来加强对利益相关者的了解,并鼓励用水者参与激励计划。这些是:将社会学习概念应用于筛选项目;评估利益相关者的需求;确定和绘制利益攸关方及其关系图;以及将科学融入交流和参与。分析用水者的动机和能力揭示了三个关键动机:省钱、保护鱼类以及提高他们的声誉或社会经营许可证。然而,发现用水户安装鱼类保护屏的能力差异很大。新南威尔士州的用水者已经确定了一系列障碍,并制定了解决每一个障碍的解决方案或战略。如今,在澳大利亚,通过现代鱼类保护屏障每天输送超过2000毫升的水,每年在新南威尔士州、维多利亚州和昆士兰的31个地点保护约58万条本地鱼类(60%在新南威尔士)。到2024年6月,现有投资可能会使这些数量增加到约7000毫升/天,约200万条本地鱼类/年。应用这些方法来理解利益相关者并从战略上与之接触,应能提高未来其他司法管辖区和保护关注领域对筛查技术的接受程度。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Clean Water Act progress drivers for Idaho rivers and streams 2002–2022 评估2002-2022年爱达荷州河流和溪流清洁水法进展驱动因素
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000112
Jason Williams
In the United States, the Clean Water Act (CWA) is the primary legislation driving surface water quality management. Its goal is to “restore and maintain the chemical, physical, and biological integrity of the Nation’s waters.” Section 305(b) of the CWA requires states to document CWA progress by reporting whether applicable water quality standards are achieved for all state waters every two years. Developing strategies for increasing the proportion of waters achieving standards requires diagnosing factors driving 305(b) data temporal trends. This analysis demonstrates how systematically analyzing 305(b) data in new ways can help document CWA progress (or lack thereof) and associated drivers. Idaho 305(b) data were used to evaluate the relative contribution of assessment progress and restoration to 2002–2022 Idaho 305(b) temporal trends. Assessment progress was defined as assessing unassessed waters and correcting assessment errors. Restoration was defined as changes from not achieving one or more standards to achieving all assessed standards because water quality improved. From 2002–2022, the percentage of Idaho stream kilometers achieving all assessed standards increased from 24% to 32%. Systematically evaluating reasons for stream status changes revealed this trend was driven primarily by assessment progress, specifically progress monitoring previously unassessed waters in good condition and correcting prior assessment errors. More stream km changed from impaired to unimpaired because prior assessment errors were corrected than because water quality improved. In each biennial 305(b) report ≤ 5% of all stream km changing status resulted from water quality improvement. As of 2022, more state stream km were impaired (39%) than unassessed (29%) and restoration success rates will likely become the primary driver of 305(b) temporal trends in the future. Systematically analyzing 305(b) data in new ways may help develop new empirically driven strategies for accelerating CWA progress and merits further investigation.
在美国,《清洁水法》(CWA)是推动地表水质量管理的主要立法。其目标是“恢复和维持美国水域的化学、物理和生物完整性”。《水资源法》第305(b)条要求各州每两年报告是否达到所有州水域的适用水质标准,以记录水资源法的进展。制定提高达到标准的水域比例的战略需要诊断驱动305(b)数据时间趋势的因素。该分析展示了如何以新的方式系统地分析305(b)数据可以帮助记录wa进展(或缺乏进展)和相关驱动因素。爱达荷305(b)数据用于评估评估进展和恢复对2002-2022年爱达荷305(b)时间趋势的相对贡献。评估进度定义为评估未评估水域和纠正评估错误。恢复被定义为由于水质改善而从未达到一个或多个标准到达到所有评估标准的变化。从2002年到2022年,达到所有评估标准的爱达荷州河流公里的百分比从24%增加到32%。系统地评估了河流状态变化的原因,发现这一趋势主要是由评估进展驱动的,特别是对以前未评估的良好水域的进展监测和纠正先前的评估错误。由于先前的评估错误得到纠正,而不是由于水质改善,从受损到未受损的河流公里更多。在每两年一次的305(b)报告中,水质改善导致的所有河流公里变化状态不超过5%。截至2022年,受损的状态流km(39%)超过未评估的(29%),恢复成功率可能成为未来305(b)时间趋势的主要驱动因素。以新的方式系统分析305(b)数据可能有助于制定新的经验驱动策略,以加速CWA的进展,值得进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Global microbial water quality data and predictive analytics: Key to health and meeting SDG 6 全球微生物水质数据和预测分析:健康和实现可持续发展目标6的关键
Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000166
J. Rose, N. Hofstra, Erica Hollmann, P. Katsivelis, G. Medema, H. Murphy, C. Naughton, M. Verbyla
Microbial water quality is an integral to water security and is directly linked to human health, food safety, and ecosystem services. However, specifically pathogen data and even faecal indicator data (e.g., E. coli), are sparse and scattered, and their availability in different water bodies (e.g., groundwater) and in different socio-economic contexts (e.g., low- and middle-income countries) are inequitable. There is an urgent need to assess and collate microbial data across the world to evaluate the global state of ambient water quality, water treatment, and health risk, as time is running out to meet Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6 by 2030. The overall goal of this paper is to illustrate the need and advocate for building a robust and useful microbial water quality database and consortium worldwide that will help achieve SDG 6. We summarize available data and existing databases on microbial water quality, discuss methods for producing new data on microbial water quality, and identify models and analytical tools that utilize microbial data to support decision making. This review identified global datasets (7 databases), and regional datasets for Africa (3 databases), Australia/New Zealand (6 databases), Asia (3 databases), Europe (7 databases), North America (12 databases) and South America (1 database). Data are missing for low- and middle-income countries. Increased laboratory capacity (due to COVID-19 pandemic) and molecular tools can identify potential pollution sources and monitor directly for pathogens. Models and analytical tools can support microbial water quality assessment by making geospatial and temporal inferences where data are lacking. A genomics, information technology (IT), and data revolution is upon us and presents unprecedented opportunities to develop software and devices for real-time logging, automated analysis, standardization, and modelling of microbial data to strengthen knowledge of global water quality. These opportunities should be leveraged for achieving SDG 6 around the world.
微生物水质是水安全的组成部分,与人类健康、食品安全和生态系统服务直接相关。然而,具体而言,病原体数据甚至粪便指标数据(如大肠杆菌)都是稀疏和分散的,而且它们在不同水体(如地下水)和不同社会经济背景(如低收入和中等收入国家)中的可得性是不公平的。随着到2030年实现可持续发展目标(SDG) 6的时间越来越短,迫切需要评估和整理世界各地的微生物数据,以评估全球环境水质、水处理和健康风险状况。本文的总体目标是说明并倡导在全球范围内建立一个强大而有用的微生物水质数据库和联盟,以帮助实现可持续发展目标6。我们总结了微生物水质的可用数据和现有数据库,讨论了产生微生物水质新数据的方法,并确定了利用微生物数据支持决策的模型和分析工具。本综述确定了全球数据集(7个数据库),以及非洲(3个数据库)、澳大利亚/新西兰(6个数据库)、亚洲(3个数据库)、欧洲(7个数据库)、北美(12个数据库)和南美(1个数据库)的区域数据集。低收入和中等收入国家的数据缺失。实验室能力的增强(由于COVID-19大流行)和分子工具可以识别潜在的污染源并直接监测病原体。模型和分析工具可以通过在缺乏数据的地方进行地理空间和时间推断来支持微生物水质评估。基因组学、信息技术(IT)和数据革命正在向我们袭来,为开发实时记录、自动化分析、标准化和微生物数据建模的软件和设备提供了前所未有的机会,以加强对全球水质的了解。应利用这些机会在世界各地实现可持续发展目标6。
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引用次数: 0
Cholera risk in Lusaka: A geospatial analysis to inform improved water and sanitation provision 卢萨卡的霍乱风险:为改善水和卫生设施提供信息的地理空间分析
Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000163
Peter W. Gething, Sophie Ayling, Josses Mugabi, Odete Duarte Muximpua, Solomon Sitinadziwe Kagulura, George Joseph
Urbanization combined with climate change are exacerbating water scarcity for an increasing number of the world’s emerging cities. Water and sanitation infrastructure (WSS), which in the first place was largely built to cater only to a small subsector of developing city populations, is increasingly coming under excessive strain. In the rapidly growing cities of the developing world, infrastructure expansion does not always keep pace with population demand, leading to waterborne diseases such as cholera (Vibrio cholerae) and typhoid ( Salmonella serotype Typhi ). Funding gaps make targeting efficient spending on infrastructure essential for reducing the burden of disease. This paper applies geospatial analysis in Lusaka, Zambia for the cholera outbreak of October 2017—May 2018, to identify different WSS investment scenarios and their relative impact on reducing the risk of cholera in the city. The analysis uses cholera case location data and geospatial covariates, including the location of networked and non-networked WSS infrastructure, groundwater vulnerability, and drainage, to generate a high-resolution map of cholera risk across the city. The analysis presents scenarios of standalone or combined investments across sewerage expansion and maintenance; on-site sanitation improvements; piped water network expansion and quality; and ensuring the safety of point-source water. It identifies the investment most strongly correlated with the largest reduction in cholera risk as the provision of flush-to-sewer infrastructure citywide. However, it also considers the trade-offs in terms of financial cost vs. health benefits and takes note of where the next highest health benefits could be achieved for a much lower cost. Finally, the analysis was conducted during the restructuring of an existing World Bank investment, the Lusaka Sanitation Program (LSP), and identifies the most efficient investment at the time as partial sanitation scale-up and investment in piped water in wards where cholera risk was the highest.
城市化加上气候变化正在加剧世界上越来越多的新兴城市的缺水问题。水和卫生基础设施(WSS)最初主要是为了满足发展中城市人口的一小部分而建造的,现在正日益承受过度的压力。在发展中国家快速发展的城市中,基础设施的扩张并不总是与人口需求保持同步,从而导致霍乱(霍乱弧菌)和伤寒(伤寒沙门氏菌血清型)等水传播疾病。资金缺口使得有针对性地有效支出基础设施对于减轻疾病负担至关重要。本文对2017年10月至2018年5月的赞比亚卢萨卡霍乱疫情进行了地理空间分析,以确定不同的WSS投资情景及其对降低该市霍乱风险的相对影响。该分析使用霍乱病例位置数据和地理空间协变量,包括联网和非联网WSS基础设施的位置、地下水脆弱性和排水,生成整个城市霍乱风险的高分辨率地图。该分析提出了在污水系统扩建和维护方面单独或联合投资的方案;改善现场卫生条件;自来水管网扩建及水质;确保点源水安全。报告指出,与最大程度降低霍乱风险相关性最强的投资是在全市范围内提供从冲水到下水道的基础设施。然而,它还考虑了财务成本与健康效益之间的权衡,并注意到在何处可以以低得多的成本实现下一个最高的健康效益。最后,该分析是在对世界银行现有投资项目卢萨卡卫生项目(LSP)进行重组期间进行的,并确定了当时最有效的投资是部分扩大卫生设施规模,以及在霍乱风险最高的病房投资管道供水。
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