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Estimation of the continuity of tillage choices with aggregated and incomplete data: An application of the entropy approach 用聚合和不完全数据估计耕作选择的连续性:熵法的应用
Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70022
Dat Q. Tran, Lyubov A. Kurkalova

The environmental benefits of conservation tillage (CT) are fully realized when the practice is used continuously. Little is known about farmer's tillage choice dynamics due to the scarcity of panel tillage data. Using publicly available data, we estimate rotational and continuous CT (CCT) probabilities for 1992–2008 for Iowa, U.S. The results show that approximately one million acres of corn and soybeans moved away from CCT to greater tillage intensity practices in 2001–2008 when corn prices increased sharply. Spatially, more acreage in lower soil productivity and more likely classified as highly erodible land were taken out of CCT during 2001–2008.

保护性耕作的环境效益在持续实施的过程中得以充分实现。由于面板耕作数据的缺乏,对农民耕作选择动态知之甚少。利用公开数据,我们估计了1992-2008年美国爱荷华州轮作和连续轮作(CCT)的可能性。结果表明,2001-2008年玉米价格大幅上涨时,约有100万英亩玉米和大豆从轮作和连续轮作转向了更高耕作强度的做法。从空间上看,2001-2008年,更多土壤生产力较低的土地和更可能被归类为高侵蚀性的土地被排除在CCT之外。
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引用次数: 0
Nudging local: Do information treatments work? 推动本地:信息处理有效吗?
Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70017
Younghyeon Jeon, Hayk Khachatryan, Xuan Wei, Bachir Kassas, Lisa House, Rodolfo M. Nayga Jr.

This study examines how information nudges shape consumer preferences for locally grown foods. Using an online discrete choice experiment with blueberries, we assess the effectiveness of tailored information emphasizing local economy support, quality, and environmental benefits in increasing consumer valuation of state-branded products. Results indicate that consumers respond positively to all information treatments, with quality—particularly freshness—having the strongest effect. State ethnocentrism plays a key role, as consumers with higher state ethnocentrism exhibit greater willingness to pay for the state-branded logo across all treatments. These findings provide insights for improving local food marketing strategies and strengthening state-level marketing programs.

这项研究考察了信息如何影响消费者对当地种植食品的偏好。利用蓝莓的在线离散选择实验,我们评估了强调地方经济支持、质量和环境效益的定制信息在提高消费者对国有品牌产品的评价方面的有效性。结果表明,消费者对所有信息处理的反应都是积极的,其中质量(尤其是新鲜度)的影响最大。国家民族中心主义起着关键作用,因为具有较高国家民族中心主义的消费者在所有治疗中都表现出更大的意愿为国家品牌标识付费。这些发现为改进地方食品营销策略和加强国家级营销计划提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the estimation bias of yield response to N using combined on-farm experiment data 利用田间联合试验数据测定氮素对产量响应的估计偏差
Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70015
Qianqian Du, Taro Mieno, David S. Bullock

Accurately evaluating yield response to nitrogen is essential for increasing farm profitability. Data often come from randomized experiments, ensuring nitrogen is independent of other factors. However, when data from multiple experiments are combined, as many studies do, correlations between nitrogen and unobserved field heterogeneity can arise, potentially leading to biased results if the endogeneity problem is not addressed in regression analysis. This study examines the bias caused by this endogeneity using data from 41 large-scale on-farm precision experiments. We find that this bias can be both statistically and economically significant.

准确评估氮肥对产量的影响对提高农场盈利能力至关重要。数据通常来自随机实验,确保氮不受其他因素的影响。然而,当多个实验的数据结合在一起时,如许多研究所做的那样,氮和未观察到的场异质性之间的相关性可能会出现,如果在回归分析中不解决内生性问题,可能导致结果偏倚。本研究使用来自41个大型农场精准实验的数据来检验这种内生性造成的偏差。我们发现这种偏差在统计和经济上都是显著的。
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引用次数: 0
What's the price of meat? Sources of variation in retail meat price data and impacts on market performance analysis 肉的价格是多少?零售肉类价格数据变化的来源及其对市场绩效分析的影响
Pub Date : 2025-07-15 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70021
Jaime R. Luke, Ted C. Schroeder, Glynn T. Tonsor, LaPorchia A. Collins, Danielle J. Ufer

Retail meat price data, an essential element of market analysis, can differ substantially across data sources. Volume-weighted retail meat prices calculated using scanner data are lower than Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) prices. Generally, the difference between BLS prices and scanner-based prices increases as the volume sold increases and as the concentration of retail sales decreases. We explore the impacts of alternative data sources on meat price spreads and the farmers' share of the retail meat dollar. When estimated using scanner-based versus BLS prices, farmers receive, on average, 9.0 and 3.1 percentage points more of retail beef and pork dollars, respectively.

零售肉类价格数据是市场分析的基本要素,不同的数据来源可能存在很大差异。使用扫描仪数据计算的体积加权零售肉类价格低于劳工统计局(BLS)的价格。一般来说,BLS价格和基于扫描仪的价格之间的差异随着销售量的增加和零售销售集中度的降低而增加。我们探讨了替代数据来源对肉类价差和农民零售肉类美元份额的影响。当使用基于扫描仪的价格与劳工统计局的价格进行估算时,农民平均获得的牛肉和猪肉零售美元分别高出9.0和3.1个百分点。
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引用次数: 0
Factors affecting U.S. sorghum and cotton exports: A dynamic ARDL simulation approach 影响美国高粱和棉花出口的因素:动态ARDL模拟方法
Pub Date : 2025-07-15 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70018
Tanmoy Kumar Ghose, Darren Hudson

The U.S. faces increasing competition from Argentina and Brazil for sorghum and cotton exports. Using a dynamic Auto Regressive Distributed Lag model, this study shows that U.S. sorghum and cotton exports are positively affected by area harvested, yield, and export price. The positive causal relationship between yield, export price, and exports are further confirmed by the Kernel Based Least Square results. Therefore, the U.S. must prioritize developing locally adapted high-yielding varieties while maintaining quality to increase competitiveness. Reducing overreliance on a few markets, the U.S. needs to diversify its export markets to strengthen its resilience against external shocks and trade barriers.

美国在高粱和棉花出口方面面临着来自阿根廷和巴西日益激烈的竞争。采用动态自回归分布滞后模型,研究发现美国高粱和棉花出口受到收获面积、产量和出口价格的积极影响。基于核最小二乘法的结果进一步证实了产量、出口价格和出口量之间的正因果关系。因此,美国必须优先开发适合当地的高产品种,同时保持质量以提高竞争力。为了减少对少数几个市场的过度依赖,美国需要使其出口市场多样化,以增强其抵御外部冲击和贸易壁垒的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Reporting willingness to pay estimates from random parameters models 根据随机参数模型报告支付意愿
Pub Date : 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70023
Matthew G. Interis, Alba J. Collart

Value estimates such as willingness to pay and their confidence intervals are commonly calculated from estimated random-parameters logit models. That parameters in these models have a distribution within the population as well as a sampling distribution poses a challenge for how to best help an audience understand variation in willingness to pay. We detail this issue, discuss the ways in which willingness to pay and related distributional information have been conveyed in the literature, and review and propose several ways to meaningfully but relatively succinctly convey both sources of variation to audiences.

诸如支付意愿及其置信区间等价值估计通常是从估计的随机参数logit模型中计算出来的。这些模型中的参数既具有总体分布,也具有抽样分布,这对如何最好地帮助用户了解付费意愿的变化提出了挑战。我们详细介绍了这一问题,讨论了在文献中传达支付意愿和相关分布信息的方式,并回顾并提出了几种有意义但相对简洁地向受众传达这两种变化来源的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Agricultural and applied economists' views on pre-registration and pre-analysis plans for empirical research 农业和应用经济学家对实证研究预登记和预分析方案的看法
Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70011
Carola Grebitus, Wuyang Hu

Given the widespread credibility crisis of empirical research, disciplines including economics have increasingly turned attention to replicability-seeking venues to enhance trust. One of these approaches is to pre-register a study and prepare a pre-analysis plan. There are promising benefits but also clear challenges, leading selected disciplines of economics to adopt pre-registration and pre-analysis plans for empirical research with caution. This study investigates how agricultural and applied economists view the current development of pre-registration and pre-analysis plans, and offers guidance for future advancements of these practices within the profession.

鉴于实证研究普遍存在的信誉危机,包括经济学在内的学科越来越多地将注意力转向寻求可复制性的场所,以增强信任。其中一种方法是预先登记一项研究并准备一份预分析计划。有希望的好处,但也有明显的挑战,导致选定的经济学学科谨慎地采用预登记和预分析计划进行实证研究。本研究调查了农业和应用经济学家如何看待当前预注册和预分析计划的发展,并为这些实践在专业领域的未来发展提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Dietary shifts in agrarian households: Population-based evidence from off-farm work in Ghana 农业家庭的饮食变化:来自加纳非农工作的基于人口的证据
Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70014
Ralph Armah, Antoinette Tsiboe-Darko, Yacob Abrehe Zereyesus, Francis Tsiboe, Evelyn Osei

This study examines the association between income from off-farm work and nutritional outcomes in Ghanaian agrarian households, analyzing data from the Ghana Living Standards Surveys of 2005/06, 2012/13, and 2016/17. Findings from 24,550 observations reveal that off-farm work is associated with increased intake of protein, fat, essential minerals, and vitamin availability but decreased intake of dietary fiber and carbohydrates. Households engaged in both nonfarm business and wage employment show dietary shifts over time.

本研究通过分析2005/06年、2012/13年和2016/17年加纳生活水平调查的数据,探讨了加纳农民家庭非农工作收入与营养状况之间的关系。24,550项观察的结果表明,非农工作与蛋白质、脂肪、必需矿物质和维生素摄入量增加有关,但与膳食纤维和碳水化合物摄入量减少有关。从事非农业业务和工资就业的家庭随着时间的推移出现了饮食变化。
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引用次数: 0
Household food security and perceptions of food price unfairness in the United States 美国家庭食品安全和对食品价格不公平的看法
Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70012
Ly Nguyen, Anne T. Byrne, Hoa Hoang, Rodolfo M. Nayga Jr.

Modern measurement of food security in the United States asks consumers about their household conditions, often with reference to whether they have “enough money for food.” However, “enough” may be subjective, with some households holding the view that retail food prices are unfair and therefore unaffordable. This study determines the association between food insecurity and perceptions of retail food price fairness using online data. Applying ordered probit models, our results show a statistically significant difference in perceptions of fairness cross levels of household food security status. Therefore, understanding perceptions of food price fairness may be an important component of understanding food insecurity in the United States.

在美国,衡量食品安全的现代方法是询问消费者的家庭状况,通常是关于他们是否有“足够的钱买食物”。然而,“足够”可能是主观的,一些家庭认为食品零售价格不公平,因此负担不起。本研究利用在线数据确定了食品不安全与零售食品价格公平性之间的关系。应用有序概率模型,我们的研究结果显示,家庭食品安全状况在不同水平的公平感知上存在统计学上的显著差异。因此,理解对食品价格公平的看法可能是理解美国食品不安全的一个重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Can index insurance alter pastoralists' labor allocation decisions? Evidence from East Africa 指数保险能改变牧民的劳动力配置决策吗?来自东非的证据
Pub Date : 2025-03-30 DOI: 10.1002/jaa2.70010
Tekalign Gutu Sakketa, Lukas Kornher

Social protection programs designed to reduce the impact of economic, climatic, and social shocks on vulnerable livelihoods are becoming more popular. This study explores the causal effects of index-based livestock insurance (IBLI) programs that have been implemented among pastoralists in Ethiopia and Kenya. Our findings indicate that IBLI coverage influences household labor allocation by prompting shifts and expansions in agricultural production, leading to more diversified livelihood activities both on and off-farm in both countries. These findings have significant policy implications for promoting the diversification and transformation of livelihood options for households in drought-prone regions.

旨在减少经济、气候和社会冲击对脆弱生计的影响的社会保护项目越来越受欢迎。本研究探讨了在埃塞俄比亚和肯尼亚牧民中实施的基于指数的牲畜保险(IBLI)计划的因果效应。我们的研究结果表明,IBLI覆盖率通过促进农业生产的转移和扩张来影响家庭劳动力分配,从而导致两国的农业和非农生计活动更加多样化。这些发现对促进干旱易发地区家庭生计选择的多样化和转变具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
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