Pub Date : 2024-11-07eCollection Date: 2024-11-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a04
Amole Khadilkar, Lisa Waddell, Emily S Acheson, Nicholas H Ogden
Blastomycosis is a disease of potentially varied presentations caused by thermally dimorphic fungi that appear as mold at ambient temperatures and transform to yeast at body temperature. Inhalation of aerosolized fungal spores represents the primary mode of transmission. Exposure may follow outdoor activities that disturb soil, which is warm, moist, acidic and rich in organic debris, particularly within forested areas and in proximity to waterways. Blastomycosis is endemic to several parts of Canada, but is only reportable in Ontario and Manitoba, with Northwestern Ontario being considered a hyperendemic area with average annual incidence rates of over 25 cases per 100,000 population. Delays in diagnosis and treatment are frequently observed as the symptoms and imaging findings of blastomycosis may initially be mistaken for community-acquired pneumonia, tuberculosis or malignancy, which can result in interim disease progression and worsening clinical outcomes. Risks from fungal infections such as blastomycosis are likely to increase with climate change-associated shifts in temperature and rainfall, and this may contribute to the geographic expansion of cases, a phenomenon that appears to be already underway. Further research investigating the ecological niche of Blastomyces and its climate sensitivity could help facilitate better modelling of the potential impacts of climate change on risks to Canadians and inform more effective methods of exposure prevention. Early clinical recognition and treatment of blastomycosis remain the key to minimizing morbidity and mortality.
{"title":"Perspectives on blastomycosis in Canada in the face of climate change.","authors":"Amole Khadilkar, Lisa Waddell, Emily S Acheson, Nicholas H Ogden","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a04","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a04","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Blastomycosis is a disease of potentially varied presentations caused by thermally dimorphic fungi that appear as mold at ambient temperatures and transform to yeast at body temperature. Inhalation of aerosolized fungal spores represents the primary mode of transmission. Exposure may follow outdoor activities that disturb soil, which is warm, moist, acidic and rich in organic debris, particularly within forested areas and in proximity to waterways. Blastomycosis is endemic to several parts of Canada, but is only reportable in Ontario and Manitoba, with Northwestern Ontario being considered a hyperendemic area with average annual incidence rates of over 25 cases per 100,000 population. Delays in diagnosis and treatment are frequently observed as the symptoms and imaging findings of blastomycosis may initially be mistaken for community-acquired pneumonia, tuberculosis or malignancy, which can result in interim disease progression and worsening clinical outcomes. Risks from fungal infections such as blastomycosis are likely to increase with climate change-associated shifts in temperature and rainfall, and this may contribute to the geographic expansion of cases, a phenomenon that appears to be already underway. Further research investigating the ecological niche of <i>Blastomyces</i> and its climate sensitivity could help facilitate better modelling of the potential impacts of climate change on risks to Canadians and inform more effective methods of exposure prevention. Early clinical recognition and treatment of blastomycosis remain the key to minimizing morbidity and mortality.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 11","pages":"400-411"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11542677/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142635556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-07eCollection Date: 2024-11-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a01
Anabel Gil, Winnie Siu, Jesse Papenburg
Background: The National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) reviews the evolving evidence on influenza immunization and provides annual recommendations regarding the use of seasonal influenza vaccines. The NACI Statement on Seasonal Influenza Vaccine for 2024-2025 updates the NACI recommendations from the previous year.
Objective: To summarize the 2024-2025 NACI seasonal influenza vaccine recommendations and to highlight new and updated information.
Methods: For the development of the Statement on Seasonal Influenza Vaccine for 2024-2025, the NACI Influenza Working Group applied the NACI evidence-based process to assess available evidence and formulate recommendations. These recommendations underwent a thorough evaluation and were approved by NACI based on the available evidence.
Results: Key updates for the 2024-2025 influenza season include updated immunization recommendations reflecting changes in influenza epidemiology and revised guidance for vaccine administration during pregnancy and in older adults.
Conclusion: The National Advisory Committee on Immunization recommends that any age-appropriate quadrivalent or trivalent influenza vaccine should be used for individuals six months of age and older who do not have contraindications or precautions. NACI reaffirms the importance of influenza vaccination with inactivated or recombinant influenza vaccines in pregnancy. Finally, NACI recommends that inactivated high-dose (IIV-HD), inactivated adjuvanted (IIV-Adj) or recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV) should be offered, when available, over other influenza vaccines for adults 65 years of age and older.
{"title":"Summary of the National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Statement for 2024-2025.","authors":"Anabel Gil, Winnie Siu, Jesse Papenburg","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a01","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) reviews the evolving evidence on influenza immunization and provides annual recommendations regarding the use of seasonal influenza vaccines. The <i>NACI Statement on Seasonal Influenza Vaccine for 2024-2025</i> updates the NACI recommendations from the previous year.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To summarize the 2024-2025 NACI seasonal influenza vaccine recommendations and to highlight new and updated information.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>For the development of the <i>Statement on Seasonal Influenza Vaccine for 2024-2025</i>, the NACI Influenza Working Group applied the NACI evidence-based process to assess available evidence and formulate recommendations. These recommendations underwent a thorough evaluation and were approved by NACI based on the available evidence.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Key updates for the 2024-2025 influenza season include updated immunization recommendations reflecting changes in influenza epidemiology and revised guidance for vaccine administration during pregnancy and in older adults.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The National Advisory Committee on Immunization recommends that any age-appropriate quadrivalent or trivalent influenza vaccine should be used for individuals six months of age and older who do not have contraindications or precautions. NACI reaffirms the importance of influenza vaccination with inactivated or recombinant influenza vaccines in pregnancy. Finally, NACI recommends that inactivated high-dose (IIV-HD), inactivated adjuvanted (IIV-Adj) or recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV) should be offered, when available, over other influenza vaccines for adults 65 years of age and older.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 11","pages":"381-386"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11542546/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142635558","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Adults 65 years of age and older are at higher risk of influenza complications, such as hospitalization and death. As a result, seasonal influenza immunization is particularly important for this group.
Objective: This supplemental statement provides an evidence summary on the preferential use of one or more of the age-appropriate influenza vaccines for adults 65 years of age and older, over other age-appropriate influenza vaccines.
Methods: The National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI)'s Influenza Working Group undertook an overview of existing systematic reviews on the efficacy, effectiveness, safety and cost effectiveness of influenza vaccination in adults 65 years of age and older. Additionally, NACI's evidence-based process was used to assess the quality of eligible studies, summarize and analyze the findings and apply an ethics, feasibility and acceptability lens to develop recommendations.
Results: The evidence suggests that high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV-HD), adjuvanted inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV-Adj) and recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV) offer increased benefits for adults 65 years of age and older when compared to standard dose influenza vaccines. The IIV-HD had the most supporting evidence, followed by IIV-Adj and then RIV. Evidence comparing these enhanced vaccines was limited.
Conclusion: Following a thorough review of the complete body of evidence, NACI recommends that IIV-HD, IIV-Adj or RIV should be offered over other influenza vaccines for adults 65 years of age and older. NACI also continues to strongly recommend the inclusion of adults 65 years of age and older among those for whom it is particularly important to receive influenza vaccination.
{"title":"Summary of the National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) Supplemental Guidance on Influenza Vaccination in Adults 65 Years of Age and Older.","authors":"Pamela Doyon-Plourde, Angela Sinilaite, Jesse Papenburg","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a02","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Adults 65 years of age and older are at higher risk of influenza complications, such as hospitalization and death. As a result, seasonal influenza immunization is particularly important for this group.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This supplemental statement provides an evidence summary on the preferential use of one or more of the age-appropriate influenza vaccines for adults 65 years of age and older, over other age-appropriate influenza vaccines.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI)'s Influenza Working Group undertook an overview of existing systematic reviews on the efficacy, effectiveness, safety and cost effectiveness of influenza vaccination in adults 65 years of age and older. Additionally, NACI's evidence-based process was used to assess the quality of eligible studies, summarize and analyze the findings and apply an ethics, feasibility and acceptability lens to develop recommendations.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The evidence suggests that high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV-HD), adjuvanted inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV-Adj) and recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV) offer increased benefits for adults 65 years of age and older when compared to standard dose influenza vaccines. The IIV-HD had the most supporting evidence, followed by IIV-Adj and then RIV. Evidence comparing these enhanced vaccines was limited.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Following a thorough review of the complete body of evidence, NACI recommends that IIV-HD, IIV-Adj or RIV should be offered over other influenza vaccines for adults 65 years of age and older. NACI also continues to strongly recommend the inclusion of adults 65 years of age and older among those for whom it is particularly important to receive influenza vaccination.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 11","pages":"387-392"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11542547/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142635561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-07eCollection Date: 2024-11-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a03
Myriam Ben Moussa, Andrea Nwosu, Kara Schmidt, Steven Buckrell, Abbas Rahal, Liza Lee, Amanda Shane, Nathalie Bastien
The 2023-2024 influenza epidemic saw the return of typical late-season influenza B circulation. The epidemic was declared in week 45 (week ending November 11, 2023) due to the predominant circulation of influenza A(H1N1) and peaked in week 52 (week ending December 30, 2023); however, as influenza A circulation decreased, influenza B detections and the percentage of tests positive increased, reaching its peak in week 14 (week ending April 6, 2024). Influenza B/Victoria dominated this wave of activity, contributing to the ongoing discussion about the apparent disappearance of influenza B/Yamagata. With the recommendation for the removal of influenza B/Yamagata lineages from the recommended seasonal influenza vaccine components, the influenza surveillance community is preparing for the possibility of a new seasonal pattern dominated by influenza B/Victoria circulation. This season, as a result of influenza B/Victoria's overwhelming predominance, younger age groups were primarily affected by the wave of influenza B activity. Over the course of the season, among all influenza B detections, 52% occurred in children aged 0-19 years. Among all influenza B-associated hospitalizations, 46.4% were in children aged 0-19 years, and the highest cumulative hospitalization rates for influenza B were among children younger than five years (n=37 per 100,000 population) and children between the ages of 5-19 years (n=15 per 100,000 population). Continued vigilance and surveillance around influenza B trends and epidemiology is required to contribute to effective epidemic preparedness.
{"title":"National Influenza Annual Report 2023-2024: A focus on influenza B and public health implications.","authors":"Myriam Ben Moussa, Andrea Nwosu, Kara Schmidt, Steven Buckrell, Abbas Rahal, Liza Lee, Amanda Shane, Nathalie Bastien","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a03","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The 2023-2024 influenza epidemic saw the return of typical late-season influenza B circulation. The epidemic was declared in week 45 (week ending November 11, 2023) due to the predominant circulation of influenza A(H1N1) and peaked in week 52 (week ending December 30, 2023); however, as influenza A circulation decreased, influenza B detections and the percentage of tests positive increased, reaching its peak in week 14 (week ending April 6, 2024). Influenza B/Victoria dominated this wave of activity, contributing to the ongoing discussion about the apparent disappearance of influenza B/Yamagata. With the recommendation for the removal of influenza B/Yamagata lineages from the recommended seasonal influenza vaccine components, the influenza surveillance community is preparing for the possibility of a new seasonal pattern dominated by influenza B/Victoria circulation. This season, as a result of influenza B/Victoria's overwhelming predominance, younger age groups were primarily affected by the wave of influenza B activity. Over the course of the season, among all influenza B detections, 52% occurred in children aged 0-19 years. Among all influenza B-associated hospitalizations, 46.4% were in children aged 0-19 years, and the highest cumulative hospitalization rates for influenza B were among children younger than five years (n=37 per 100,000 population) and children between the ages of 5-19 years (n=15 per 100,000 population). Continued vigilance and surveillance around influenza B trends and epidemiology is required to contribute to effective epidemic preparedness.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 11","pages":"393-399"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11542548/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142635541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-07eCollection Date: 2024-11-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a05
Janice Zhang, Ann Jolly, Tram Nguyen, Monir Taha, Christina Lee, Antoine Corbeil, Esther Dapaah, Jeff Walker, Curtis Cooper, Jacqueline Willmore
Background: In Canada, Salmonella enterica serovar Typhi infections are uncommon and typically travel-related. In November 2021, Ottawa Public Health identified a link between two typhoid fever cases, with no recent history of international travel, to the same grocery store ready-to-eat counter.
Objective: This report describes the outbreak response to a rare occurrence of chronic S. Typhi carriage in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada and provides recommendations for investigations of small-scale protracted outbreaks.
Methods: We administered exposure questionnaires using a single interviewer approach, tested stool samples of contacts and food handlers, inspected food premises, collected food samples and reviewed takeout receipts. Social network, spatial and whole genome sequencing analyses were used to investigate additional possible links between cases.
Results: Seven people with typhoid fever and onset from October 2018 to May 2022 were linked to an asymptomatic chronic S. Typhi carrier. Whole-genome sequencing confirmed that all eight isolates matched the outbreak cluster. All cases and carrier resided within an eight km radius in Ottawa. The chronic carrier worked as a food handler at various locations of a grocery store chain, including the implicated ready-to-eat counter. Transmission occurred via food handling, shared workspaces and social and household networks.
Conclusion: The chronic carrier was excluded from food handling until successful completion of treatment and clearance testing. We overcame the challenges of a small but prolonged outbreak by identifying an asymptomatic carrier using a multi-method approach including whole genome sequencing and social network analysis.
{"title":"Locally acquired typhoid fever outbreak linked to chronic carriage in Ottawa, Canada, 2018-2022.","authors":"Janice Zhang, Ann Jolly, Tram Nguyen, Monir Taha, Christina Lee, Antoine Corbeil, Esther Dapaah, Jeff Walker, Curtis Cooper, Jacqueline Willmore","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a05","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a05","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In Canada, <i>Salmonella enterica</i> serovar Typhi infections are uncommon and typically travel-related. In November 2021, Ottawa Public Health identified a link between two typhoid fever cases, with no recent history of international travel, to the same grocery store ready-to-eat counter.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This report describes the outbreak response to a rare occurrence of chronic <i>S.</i> Typhi carriage in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada and provides recommendations for investigations of small-scale protracted outbreaks.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We administered exposure questionnaires using a single interviewer approach, tested stool samples of contacts and food handlers, inspected food premises, collected food samples and reviewed takeout receipts. Social network, spatial and whole genome sequencing analyses were used to investigate additional possible links between cases.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Seven people with typhoid fever and onset from October 2018 to May 2022 were linked to an asymptomatic chronic <i>S.</i> Typhi carrier. Whole-genome sequencing confirmed that all eight isolates matched the outbreak cluster. All cases and carrier resided within an eight km radius in Ottawa. The chronic carrier worked as a food handler at various locations of a grocery store chain, including the implicated ready-to-eat counter. Transmission occurred via food handling, shared workspaces and social and household networks.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The chronic carrier was excluded from food handling until successful completion of treatment and clearance testing. We overcame the challenges of a small but prolonged outbreak by identifying an asymptomatic carrier using a multi-method approach including whole genome sequencing and social network analysis.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 11","pages":"412-418"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11542676/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142635531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-03eCollection Date: 2024-10-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a06
Andrea Chambers, Mark A Cachia, Jessica P Hopkins
Background: During a public health emergency, it is vital to have access to data sources that can identify communities disproportionately affected and to ensure public health communications are meeting the needs of diverse populations.
Objective: To explore how administrative billing data for language interpretation services could be used as an additional source of information to understand the language profile of high-risk close contacts of COVID-19 cases.
Methods: A retrospective descriptive analysis was conducted using administrative billing data from Public Health Ontario's Contact Tracing Initiative from May 2020 to February 2022. Data from the Contact Tracing Initiative were utilized to identify drivers that could have influenced patterns in language interpretation requests. Trends were compared with community language profiles using 2021 Canadian Census data.
Results: Interpreters responded to 2,604 requests across 38,518 interpretation minutes and provided information in 50 different languages. The top five requested languages were French, Arabic, Spanish, Punjabi and Mandarin. Five distinct periods were identified of different language predominance including Spanish in spring/summer 2020, French in summer/fall 2020 and Arabic in spring 2021. Overall, these trends aligned with the language profile of health units contributing most submissions.
Conclusion: Public health agencies could benefit from using existing secondary data sources to understand the language interpretation needs of their communities. This study also demonstrated how existing data sources could be used to help assess how communities are being disproportionately affected by public health emergencies and how this might change over time.
{"title":"Opportunities and lessons learned from a retrospective analysis of administrative billing data to understand the language profile of high-risk close contacts of COVID-19 cases in Ontario.","authors":"Andrea Chambers, Mark A Cachia, Jessica P Hopkins","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a06","DOIUrl":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a06","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>During a public health emergency, it is vital to have access to data sources that can identify communities disproportionately affected and to ensure public health communications are meeting the needs of diverse populations.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To explore how administrative billing data for language interpretation services could be used as an additional source of information to understand the language profile of high-risk close contacts of COVID-19 cases.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective descriptive analysis was conducted using administrative billing data from Public Health Ontario's Contact Tracing Initiative from May 2020 to February 2022. Data from the Contact Tracing Initiative were utilized to identify drivers that could have influenced patterns in language interpretation requests. Trends were compared with community language profiles using 2021 Canadian Census data.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Interpreters responded to 2,604 requests across 38,518 interpretation minutes and provided information in 50 different languages. The top five requested languages were French, Arabic, Spanish, Punjabi and Mandarin. Five distinct periods were identified of different language predominance including Spanish in spring/summer 2020, French in summer/fall 2020 and Arabic in spring 2021. Overall, these trends aligned with the language profile of health units contributing most submissions.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Public health agencies could benefit from using existing secondary data sources to understand the language interpretation needs of their communities. This study also demonstrated how existing data sources could be used to help assess how communities are being disproportionately affected by public health emergencies and how this might change over time.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 10","pages":"375-380"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11464010/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142396557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-03eCollection Date: 2024-10-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a03
Nicholas H Ogden, Emily S Acheson, Kevin Brown, David Champredon, Caroline Colijn, Alan Diener, Jonathan Dushoff, David Jd Earn, Vanessa Gabriele-Rivet, Marcellin Gangbè, Steve Guillouzic, Deirdre Hennessy, Valerie Hongoh, Amy Hurford, Lisa Kanary, Michael Li, Victoria Ng, Sarah P Otto, Irena Papst, Erin E Rees, Ashleigh Tuite, Matthew R MacLeod, Carmen Lia Murall, Lisa Waddell, Rania Wasfi, Michael Wolfson
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic underlined the need for pandemic planning but also brought into focus the use of mathematical modelling to support public health decisions. The types of models needed (compartment, agent-based, importation) are described. Best practices regarding biological realism (including the need for multidisciplinary expert advisors to modellers), model complexity, consideration of uncertainty and communications to decision-makers and the public are outlined.
Methods: A narrative review was developed from the experiences of COVID-19 by members of the Public Health Agency of Canada External Modelling Network for Infectious Diseases (PHAC EMN-ID), a national community of practice on mathematical modelling of infectious diseases for public health.
Results: Modelling can best support pandemic preparedness in two ways: 1) by modelling to support decisions on resource needs for likely future pandemics by estimating numbers of infections, hospitalized cases and cases needing intensive care, associated with epidemics of "hypothetical-yet-plausible" pandemic pathogens in Canada; and 2) by having ready-to-go modelling methods that can be readily adapted to the features of an emerging pandemic pathogen and used for long-range forecasting of the epidemic in Canada, as well as to explore scenarios to support public health decisions on the use of interventions.
Conclusion: There is a need for modelling expertise within public health organizations in Canada, linked to modellers in academia in a community of practice, within which relationships built outside of times of crisis can be applied to enhance modelling during public health emergencies. Key challenges to modelling for pandemic preparedness include the availability of linked public health, hospital and genomic data in Canada.
{"title":"Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19.","authors":"Nicholas H Ogden, Emily S Acheson, Kevin Brown, David Champredon, Caroline Colijn, Alan Diener, Jonathan Dushoff, David Jd Earn, Vanessa Gabriele-Rivet, Marcellin Gangbè, Steve Guillouzic, Deirdre Hennessy, Valerie Hongoh, Amy Hurford, Lisa Kanary, Michael Li, Victoria Ng, Sarah P Otto, Irena Papst, Erin E Rees, Ashleigh Tuite, Matthew R MacLeod, Carmen Lia Murall, Lisa Waddell, Rania Wasfi, Michael Wolfson","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a03","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The COVID-19 pandemic underlined the need for pandemic planning but also brought into focus the use of mathematical modelling to support public health decisions. The types of models needed (compartment, agent-based, importation) are described. Best practices regarding biological realism (including the need for multidisciplinary expert advisors to modellers), model complexity, consideration of uncertainty and communications to decision-makers and the public are outlined.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A narrative review was developed from the experiences of COVID-19 by members of the Public Health Agency of Canada External Modelling Network for Infectious Diseases (PHAC EMN-ID), a national community of practice on mathematical modelling of infectious diseases for public health.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Modelling can best support pandemic preparedness in two ways: 1) by modelling to support decisions on resource needs for likely future pandemics by estimating numbers of infections, hospitalized cases and cases needing intensive care, associated with epidemics of \"hypothetical-yet-plausible\" pandemic pathogens in Canada; and 2) by having ready-to-go modelling methods that can be readily adapted to the features of an emerging pandemic pathogen and used for long-range forecasting of the epidemic in Canada, as well as to explore scenarios to support public health decisions on the use of interventions.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>There is a need for modelling expertise within public health organizations in Canada, linked to modellers in academia in a community of practice, within which relationships built outside of times of crisis can be applied to enhance modelling during public health emergencies. Key challenges to modelling for pandemic preparedness include the availability of linked public health, hospital and genomic data in Canada.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 10","pages":"345-356"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11460797/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142396556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-03eCollection Date: 2024-10-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a04
Lizanne Béïque, Savannah Clarke, Mina Azad, Elaha Sarwar, Margaret Gale-Rowe, Stacy Sabourin, Cheryl Marinsky, Jacqueline Arthur
Background: As the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded, hundreds of investigational COVID-19 therapeutics emerged. Maintaining situational awareness of this extensive and rapidly evolving therapeutic landscape represented an unprecedented challenge for the Public Health Agency of Canada, as it worked to promote and protect the health of Canadians. A tool to triage and prioritize the assessment of these therapeutics was needed.
Methods: The objective was to develop and conduct an initial validation of a tool to identify investigational COVID-19 therapeutics for further review based on an efficient preliminary assessment, using a systematic and reliable process that would be practical to validate, implement and update. Phase 1 of this pilot project consisted of a literature search to identify existing COVID-19 therapeutic assessment prioritization tools, development of the Rapid Scoring Tool (RST) and initial validation of the tool.
Results: No tools designed to rank investigational COVID-19 therapeutics for the purpose of prioritizing their assessment were identified. However, a few publications provided criteria to consider and therapeutic ranking methods, which helped shape the development of the RST. The RST included eight criteria and several descriptors ("characteristics"). A universal characteristic scoring scale from -10 to 10 was developed. The sum of all the characteristic scores yielded an overall benefit score for each therapeutic. The RST appropriately ranked therapeutics using a systematic, reliable and practical approach.
Conclusion: Phase 1 was successfully completed. The RST presents several distinct aspects compared with other tools, including its scoring scale and method, and capacity to factor in incomplete or pending information. It is anticipated that the framework used for the RST will lend itself to use in other dynamic situations involving many interventions.
{"title":"An innovative tool to prioritize the assessment of investigational COVID-19 therapeutics: A pilot project.","authors":"Lizanne Béïque, Savannah Clarke, Mina Azad, Elaha Sarwar, Margaret Gale-Rowe, Stacy Sabourin, Cheryl Marinsky, Jacqueline Arthur","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a04","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a04","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>As the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded, hundreds of investigational COVID-19 therapeutics emerged. Maintaining situational awareness of this extensive and rapidly evolving therapeutic landscape represented an unprecedented challenge for the Public Health Agency of Canada, as it worked to promote and protect the health of Canadians. A tool to triage and prioritize the assessment of these therapeutics was needed.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The objective was to develop and conduct an initial validation of a tool to identify investigational COVID-19 therapeutics for further review based on an efficient preliminary assessment, using a systematic and reliable process that would be practical to validate, implement and update. Phase 1 of this pilot project consisted of a literature search to identify existing COVID-19 therapeutic assessment prioritization tools, development of the Rapid Scoring Tool (RST) and initial validation of the tool.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>No tools designed to rank investigational COVID-19 therapeutics for the purpose of prioritizing their assessment were identified. However, a few publications provided criteria to consider and therapeutic ranking methods, which helped shape the development of the RST. The RST included eight criteria and several descriptors (\"characteristics\"). A universal characteristic scoring scale from -10 to 10 was developed. The sum of all the characteristic scores yielded an overall benefit score for each therapeutic. The RST appropriately ranked therapeutics using a systematic, reliable and practical approach.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Phase 1 was successfully completed. The RST presents several distinct aspects compared with other tools, including its scoring scale and method, and capacity to factor in incomplete or pending information. It is anticipated that the framework used for the RST will lend itself to use in other dynamic situations involving many interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 10","pages":"357-364"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11460842/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142396552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-03eCollection Date: 2024-10-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a05
Venkata Duvvuri, Fatima Shire, Sandra Isabel, Thomas Braukmann, Shawn Clark, Alex Marchand-Austin, Alireza Eshaghi, Hina Bandukwala, Nobish Varghese, Ye Li, Karthikeyan Sivaraman, Hadia Hussain, Kirby Cronin, Ashleigh Sullivan, Aimin Li, Austin Zygmunt, Karam Ramotar, Julianne Kus, Maan Hasso, Antoine Corbeil, Jonathan Gubbay, Samir Patel
Background: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, a new oral antiviral called nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (PaxlovidTM) was authorized for use in Canada in January 2022. In vitro studies have reported mutations in Mpro protein that may be associated with the development of nirmatrelvir resistance.
Objectives: To survey the prevalence, relevance and temporal patterns of Mpro mutations among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron lineages in Ontario, Canada.
Methods: A total of 93,082 Mpro gene sequences from December 2021 to September 2023 were analyzed. Reported in vitro Mpro mutations were screened against our database using in-house data science pipelines to determine the nirmatrelvir resistance. Negative binomial regression was conducted to analyze the temporal trends in Mpro mutation counts over the study time period.
Results: A declining trend was observed in non-synonymous mutations of Mpro sequences, showing a 7.9% reduction (95% CI: 6.5%-9.4%; p<0.001) every 30 days. The P132H was the most prevalent mutation (higher than 95%) in all Omicron lineages. In vitro nirmatrelvir-resistant mutations were found in 3.12% (n=29/929) Omicron lineages with very low counts, ranging from one to 19. Only two mutations, A7T (n=19) and M82I (n=9), showed temporal presence among the BA.1.1 in 2022 and the BQ.1.2.3 in 2022, respectively.
Conclusion: The observations suggest that, as of September 2023, no significant or widespread resistance to nirmatrelvir has developed among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants in Ontario. This study highlights the importance of creating automated monitoring systems to track the emergence of nirmatrelvir-resistant mutations within the SARS-CoV-2 virus, utilizing genomic data generated in real-time.
{"title":"Large scale analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 main protease reveals marginal presence of nirmatrelvir-resistant SARS-CoV-2 Omicron mutants in Ontario, Canada, December 2021-September 2023.","authors":"Venkata Duvvuri, Fatima Shire, Sandra Isabel, Thomas Braukmann, Shawn Clark, Alex Marchand-Austin, Alireza Eshaghi, Hina Bandukwala, Nobish Varghese, Ye Li, Karthikeyan Sivaraman, Hadia Hussain, Kirby Cronin, Ashleigh Sullivan, Aimin Li, Austin Zygmunt, Karam Ramotar, Julianne Kus, Maan Hasso, Antoine Corbeil, Jonathan Gubbay, Samir Patel","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a05","DOIUrl":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a05","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, a new oral antiviral called nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid<sup>TM</sup>) was authorized for use in Canada in January 2022. <i>In vitro</i> studies have reported mutations in M<sup>pro</sup> protein that may be associated with the development of nirmatrelvir resistance.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To survey the prevalence, relevance and temporal patterns of M<sup>pro</sup> mutations among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron lineages in Ontario, Canada.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 93,082 M<sup>pro</sup> gene sequences from December 2021 to September 2023 were analyzed. Reported <i>in vitro</i> M<sup>pro</sup> mutations were screened against our database using in-house data science pipelines to determine the nirmatrelvir resistance. Negative binomial regression was conducted to analyze the temporal trends in M<sup>pro</sup> mutation counts over the study time period.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A declining trend was observed in non-synonymous mutations of M<sup>pro</sup> sequences, showing a 7.9% reduction (95% CI: 6.5%-9.4%; <i>p</i><0.001) every 30 days. The P132H was the most prevalent mutation (higher than 95%) in all Omicron lineages. <i>In vitro</i> nirmatrelvir-resistant mutations were found in 3.12% (n=29/929) Omicron lineages with very low counts, ranging from one to 19. Only two mutations, A7T (n=19) and M82I (n=9), showed temporal presence among the BA.1.1 in 2022 and the BQ.1.2.3 in 2022, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The observations suggest that, as of September 2023, no significant or widespread resistance to nirmatrelvir has developed among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants in Ontario. This study highlights the importance of creating automated monitoring systems to track the emergence of nirmatrelvir-resistant mutations within the SARS-CoV-2 virus, utilizing genomic data generated in real-time.</p>","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 10","pages":"365-374"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11464099/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142396554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-03eCollection Date: 2024-10-01DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a01
Theresa Tam
{"title":"Lessons learned from COVID-19: Harnessing community insights for better vaccination outcomes.","authors":"Theresa Tam","doi":"10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a01","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":94304,"journal":{"name":"Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada","volume":"50 10","pages":"335-337"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11458202/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142396555","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}