首页 > 最新文献

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society最新文献

英文 中文
TAMU TRACER: Targeted Mobile Measurements to Isolate the Impacts of Aerosols and Meteorology on Deep Convection 塔姆大学 TRACER:通过有针对性的移动测量来隔离气溶胶和气象对深对流的影响
IF 6.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0218.1
Anita D. Rapp, Sarah D. Brooks, Christopher J. Nowotarski, Milind Sharma, Seth A. Thompson, Bo Chen, Brianna H Matthews, Montana Etten-Bohm, Erik R. Nielsen, Ron Li
Difficulty in using observations to isolate the impacts of aerosols from meteorology on deep convection often stems from inability to resolve the spatiotemporal variations in the environment serving as the storm’s inflow region. During the DOE TRacking Aerosol Convection interactions ExpeRiment (TRACER) in June-September 2022, a Texas A&M University (TAMU) team conducted a mobile field campaign to characterize the meteorological and aerosol variability in airmasses that serve as inflow to convection across the ubiquitous mesoscale boundaries associated with the sea- and bay-breezes in the Houston, Texas, region. These boundaries propagate inland over the fixed DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) sites. However, convection occurs on either or both the continental or maritime sides or along the boundary. The maritime and continental airmasses serving as convection inflow may be quite distinct, with different meteorological and aerosol characteristics that fixed-site measurements cannot simultaneously sample. Thus, a primary objective of TAMU TRACER was to provide mobile measurements similar to those at the fixed sites, but in the opposite airmass across these moving mesoscale boundaries. TAMU TRACER collected radiosonde, lidar, aerosol, cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), and ice nucleating particle (INP) measurements on 29 enhanced operations days covering a variety of maritime, continental, outflow, and pre-frontal airmasses. This paper summarizes the TAMU TRACER deployment and measurement strategy, instruments, available datasets, and provides sample cases highlighting differences between these mobile measurements and those made at the ARM sites. We also highlight the exceptional TAMU TRACER undergraduate student participation in high impact learning activities through forecasting and field deployment opportunities.
利用观测数据从气象学中分离出气溶胶对深对流影响的困难,往往源于无法解析作为风暴流入区域的环境的时空变化。在 2022 年 6 月至 9 月进行的能源部跟踪气溶胶对流相互作用试验(TRACER)期间,德克萨斯农工大学(TAMU)的一个团队开展了一次移动实地活动,以描述气象和气溶胶在气团中的变异性,这些气团是与德克萨斯州休斯顿地区的海风和海湾风相关的无处不在的中尺度边界对流的流入区。这些边界在能源部大气辐射测量(ARM)固定站点上向内陆传播。然而,对流发生在大陆或海洋两侧或边界沿线。作为对流流入的海洋气团和大陆气团可能截然不同,具有不同的气象和气溶胶特征,固定站点测量无法同时进行采样。因此,塔姆大学 TRACER 的一个主要目标是提供与固定站点类似的移动测量,但在这些移动中尺度边界的相反气团中进行。塔姆大学 TRACER 在 29 个增强运行日收集了无线电探空仪、激光雷达、气溶胶、云凝结核 (CCN) 和冰核粒子 (INP) 测量数据,涵盖各种海洋性、大陆性、外流和锋前气团。本文概述了塔姆大学 TRACER 的部署和测量战略、仪器、可用数据集,并提供了样本案例,突出了这些移动测量与 ARM 站点测量之间的差异。我们还强调了塔姆大学 TRACER 本科生通过预报和实地部署机会参与高影响学习活动的特殊情况。
{"title":"TAMU TRACER: Targeted Mobile Measurements to Isolate the Impacts of Aerosols and Meteorology on Deep Convection","authors":"Anita D. Rapp, Sarah D. Brooks, Christopher J. Nowotarski, Milind Sharma, Seth A. Thompson, Bo Chen, Brianna H Matthews, Montana Etten-Bohm, Erik R. Nielsen, Ron Li","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0218.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0218.1","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Difficulty in using observations to isolate the impacts of aerosols from meteorology on deep convection often stems from inability to resolve the spatiotemporal variations in the environment serving as the storm’s inflow region. During the DOE TRacking Aerosol Convection interactions ExpeRiment (TRACER) in June-September 2022, a Texas A&M University (TAMU) team conducted a mobile field campaign to characterize the meteorological and aerosol variability in airmasses that serve as inflow to convection across the ubiquitous mesoscale boundaries associated with the sea- and bay-breezes in the Houston, Texas, region. These boundaries propagate inland over the fixed DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) sites. However, convection occurs on either or both the continental or maritime sides or along the boundary. The maritime and continental airmasses serving as convection inflow may be quite distinct, with different meteorological and aerosol characteristics that fixed-site measurements cannot simultaneously sample. Thus, a primary objective of TAMU TRACER was to provide mobile measurements similar to those at the fixed sites, but in the opposite airmass across these moving mesoscale boundaries. TAMU TRACER collected radiosonde, lidar, aerosol, cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), and ice nucleating particle (INP) measurements on 29 enhanced operations days covering a variety of maritime, continental, outflow, and pre-frontal airmasses. This paper summarizes the TAMU TRACER deployment and measurement strategy, instruments, available datasets, and provides sample cases highlighting differences between these mobile measurements and those made at the ARM sites. We also highlight the exceptional TAMU TRACER undergraduate student participation in high impact learning activities through forecasting and field deployment opportunities.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141653565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
East African Megacity Air Quality: Rationale and Framework for a Measurement and Modeling Program 东非大城市空气质量:测量和建模计划的原理和框架
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0098.1
Solomon Bililign, Steven S. Brown, Daniel M. Westervelt, Rajesh Kumar, Wenfu Tang, Frank Flocke, William Vizuete, Kassahun Ture, Francis D. Pope, Belay Demoz, Akua Asa-Awuku, Pieternel F. Levelt, Egide Kalisa, Garima Raheja, Alex Ndyabakira, Michael J. Gatari
Abstract Air pollution in Africa is a significant public health issue responsible for 1.1 million premature deaths annually. Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest rate of population growth and urbanization of any region in the world, with substantial potential for future emissions growth and worsening air quality. Accurate and extensive observations of meteorology and atmospheric composition have underpinned successful air pollution mitigation strategies in the Global North, yet Africa in general, and East Africa in particular, remain among the most sparsely observed regions in the world. This paper is based on the discussion of these issues during two international workshops, one held virtually in the U.S. in July 2021 and one in Kigali, Rwanda in January 2023. The workshops were designed to develop a measurement, capacity building and collaboration strategy to improve air quality relevant measurements, modeling, and data availability in East Africa. This paper frames the relevant scientific needs and describes the requirements for training and infrastructure development for an integrated observing and modeling strategy that includes partnerships between East African scientists and organizations and their counterparts in the developed world.
摘要 非洲的空气污染是一个重大的公共卫生问题,每年造成 110 万人过早死亡。撒哈拉以南非洲是世界上人口增长率和城市化率最高的地区,未来排放增长和空气质量恶化的潜力巨大。对气象学和大气成分进行准确而广泛的观测是全球北方成功实施空气污染减缓战略的基础,但非洲,尤其是东非,仍然是世界上观测最稀少的地区之一。本文是根据两次国际研讨会对这些问题的讨论编写的,一次于 2021 年 7 月在美国举行,另一次于 2023 年 1 月在卢旺达基加利举行。研讨会旨在制定测量、能力建设和合作战略,以改善东非的空气质量相关测量、建模和数据可用性。本文阐述了相关的科学需求,并介绍了综合观测和建模战略对培训和基础设施发展的要求,其中包括东非科学家和组织与发达国家同行之间的伙伴关系。
{"title":"East African Megacity Air Quality: Rationale and Framework for a Measurement and Modeling Program","authors":"Solomon Bililign, Steven S. Brown, Daniel M. Westervelt, Rajesh Kumar, Wenfu Tang, Frank Flocke, William Vizuete, Kassahun Ture, Francis D. Pope, Belay Demoz, Akua Asa-Awuku, Pieternel F. Levelt, Egide Kalisa, Garima Raheja, Alex Ndyabakira, Michael J. Gatari","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0098.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0098.1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Air pollution in Africa is a significant public health issue responsible for 1.1 million premature deaths annually. Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest rate of population growth and urbanization of any region in the world, with substantial potential for future emissions growth and worsening air quality. Accurate and extensive observations of meteorology and atmospheric composition have underpinned successful air pollution mitigation strategies in the Global North, yet Africa in general, and East Africa in particular, remain among the most sparsely observed regions in the world. This paper is based on the discussion of these issues during two international workshops, one held virtually in the U.S. in July 2021 and one in Kigali, Rwanda in January 2023. The workshops were designed to develop a measurement, capacity building and collaboration strategy to improve air quality relevant measurements, modeling, and data availability in East Africa. This paper frames the relevant scientific needs and describes the requirements for training and infrastructure development for an integrated observing and modeling strategy that includes partnerships between East African scientists and organizations and their counterparts in the developed world.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141576520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Climate Services Dialog to Build Sector-Based Climate Early Warning Systems in the Republic of Palau 气候服务对话,在帕劳共和国建立基于部门的气候预警系统
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-24-0157.1
Laura Brewington, Chelsey Bryson, Abby Frazier, Victoria W. Keener, John J. Marra, Erbai X. Matsutaro, Kikuko Mochimaru, Paula Moehlenkamp
"A Climate Services Dialog to Build Sector-Based Climate Early Warning Systems in the Republic of Palau" published on 09 Jul 2024 by American Meteorological Society.
美国气象学会于 2024 年 7 月 9 日发表了 "帕劳共和国建立基于部门的气候预警系统的气候服务对话"。
{"title":"A Climate Services Dialog to Build Sector-Based Climate Early Warning Systems in the Republic of Palau","authors":"Laura Brewington, Chelsey Bryson, Abby Frazier, Victoria W. Keener, John J. Marra, Erbai X. Matsutaro, Kikuko Mochimaru, Paula Moehlenkamp","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-24-0157.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-24-0157.1","url":null,"abstract":"\"A Climate Services Dialog to Build Sector-Based Climate Early Warning Systems in the Republic of Palau\" published on 09 Jul 2024 by American Meteorological Society.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141576517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Influences of Anthropogenic Forcing on the Exceptionally Warm August 2022 over the Eastern Tibetan Plateau 人为强迫对青藏高原东部 2022 年 8 月异常温暖的影响
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0179.1
Jianping Duan, Haoxin Zhang, Dongnan Jian, Cunde Xiao, Fengqi Hao, Hongzhou Zhu, Fraser C. Lott, Peter A. Stott
Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) simulations suggest that the extremely warm August over the Tibetan Plateau in 2022 could not occur without human influences, which corresponds to a new normal during 2070–2100.
耦合模式相互比较项目(CMIP6)第 6 阶段模拟表明,如果没有人类活动的影响,青藏高原 2022 年 8 月的极暖天气不可能出现,这相当于 2070-2100 年期间的新常态。
{"title":"Influences of Anthropogenic Forcing on the Exceptionally Warm August 2022 over the Eastern Tibetan Plateau","authors":"Jianping Duan, Haoxin Zhang, Dongnan Jian, Cunde Xiao, Fengqi Hao, Hongzhou Zhu, Fraser C. Lott, Peter A. Stott","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0179.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0179.1","url":null,"abstract":"Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) simulations suggest that the extremely warm August over the Tibetan Plateau in 2022 could not occur without human influences, which corresponds to a new normal during 2070–2100.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141576518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Attribution of the Extreme 2022 Summer Drought along the Yangtze River Valley in China Based on Detection and Attribution System of Chinese Academy of Sciences 基于中国科学院探测与归因系统的中国长江流域 2022 年极端夏旱归因研究
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0258.1
Lixia Zhang, Tianjun Zhou, Xing Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Lijuan Li, Laurent Li
"Attribution of the Extreme 2022 Summer Drought along the Yangtze River Valley in China Based on Detection and Attribution System of Chinese Academy of Sciences" published on 03 Jul 2024 by American Meteorological Society.
"美国气象学会于 2024 年 7 月 3 日发表了《基于中国科学院探测和归因系统的中国长江流域 2022 年夏季极端干旱的归因》。
{"title":"Attribution of the Extreme 2022 Summer Drought along the Yangtze River Valley in China Based on Detection and Attribution System of Chinese Academy of Sciences","authors":"Lixia Zhang, Tianjun Zhou, Xing Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Lijuan Li, Laurent Li","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0258.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0258.1","url":null,"abstract":"\"Attribution of the Extreme 2022 Summer Drought along the Yangtze River Valley in China Based on Detection and Attribution System of Chinese Academy of Sciences\" published on 03 Jul 2024 by American Meteorological Society.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141505154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Human Fingerprints on Daily Temperatures in 2022 2022 年每日气温的人类指纹
IF 6.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0264.1
D. Gilford, Andrew J Pershing, Joseph Giguere, Friederike E. L. Otto
{"title":"Human Fingerprints on Daily Temperatures in 2022","authors":"D. Gilford, Andrew J Pershing, Joseph Giguere, Friederike E. L. Otto","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0264.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0264.1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141847058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
New WMO Certified Tropical Cyclone Duration Extreme: TC Freddy (04 February to 14 March 2023) Lasting for 36.0 days 世界气象组织新认证的热带气旋极端持续时间:TC Freddy(2023 年 2 月 4 日至 3 月 14 日)持续 36.0 天
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-24-0071.1
Craig Earl-Spurr, Sébastien Langlade, Daniel Krahenbuhl, Sim D. Aberson, Manola Brunet, Johnny Chan, Chris Fogarty, Christopher W. Landsea, Blair Trewin, Christopher Velden, Robert C. Balling, Randall S. Cerveny
Abstract A World Meteorological Organization team has evaluated 2023's Tropical Cyclone Freddy's duration of 36.0 days (with 10-min average wind-speeds of 30 kt or higher) as the world record for longest tropical cyclone duration.
摘要 世界气象组织的一个小组将 2023 年热带气旋 "弗雷迪 "持续 36.0 天(10 分钟平均风速达到或超过 30 千米/秒)评为世界上持续时间最长的热带气旋。
{"title":"New WMO Certified Tropical Cyclone Duration Extreme: TC Freddy (04 February to 14 March 2023) Lasting for 36.0 days","authors":"Craig Earl-Spurr, Sébastien Langlade, Daniel Krahenbuhl, Sim D. Aberson, Manola Brunet, Johnny Chan, Chris Fogarty, Christopher W. Landsea, Blair Trewin, Christopher Velden, Robert C. Balling, Randall S. Cerveny","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-24-0071.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-24-0071.1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract A World Meteorological Organization team has evaluated 2023's Tropical Cyclone Freddy's duration of 36.0 days (with 10-min average wind-speeds of 30 kt or higher) as the world record for longest tropical cyclone duration.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141505155","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How Well Do Seasonal Climate Anomalies Match Expected El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Impacts? 季节性气候异常与预期的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)影响匹配程度如何?
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0252.1
Michelle L. L’Heureux, Daniel S. Harnos, Emily Becker, Brian Brettschneider, Mingyue Chen, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Arun Kumar, Michael K. Tippett
Abstract Did the strong 2023–24 El Niño live up to the hype? While climate prediction is inherently probabilistic, many users compare El Niño events against a deterministic map of expected impacts (e.g., wetter or drier regions). Here, using this event as a guide, we show that no El Niño perfectly matches the ideal image and that observed anomalies will only partially match what was anticipated. In fact, the degree to which the climate anomalies match the expected ENSO impacts tends to scale with the strength of the event. The 2023–24 event generally matched well with ENSO expectations around the United States. However, this will not always be the case, as the analysis shows larger deviations from the historical ENSO pattern of impacts are commonplace, with some climate variables more prone to inconsistencies (e.g., temperature) than others (e.g., precipitation). Users should incorporate this inherent uncertainty in their risk and decision-making analysis.
摘要 2023-24 年的强厄尔尼诺现象是否名副其实?虽然气候预测本质上是概率性的,但许多用户将厄尔尼诺事件与预期影响的确定性地图(如更潮湿或更干燥的地区)进行比较。在此,我们以这次厄尔尼诺现象为指导,说明没有任何一次厄尔尼诺现象能完全符合理想图景,观测到的异常现象只能部分符合预期。事实上,气候异常与预期厄尔尼诺/南方涛动影响的匹配程度往往与事件的强度成正比。2023-24 年的厄尔尼诺/南方涛动事件总体上与美国各地的厄尔尼诺/南方涛动预期相吻合。然而,情况并非总是如此,分析表明,与厄尔尼诺/南方涛动历史影响模式的较大偏差很常见,一些气候变量(如气温)比其他气候变量(如降水)更容易出现不一致。用户应将这种固有的不确定性纳入其风险和决策分析中。
{"title":"How Well Do Seasonal Climate Anomalies Match Expected El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Impacts?","authors":"Michelle L. L’Heureux, Daniel S. Harnos, Emily Becker, Brian Brettschneider, Mingyue Chen, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Arun Kumar, Michael K. Tippett","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0252.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0252.1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Did the strong 2023–24 El Niño live up to the hype? While climate prediction is inherently probabilistic, many users compare El Niño events against a deterministic map of expected impacts (e.g., wetter or drier regions). Here, using this event as a guide, we show that no El Niño perfectly matches the ideal image and that observed anomalies will only partially match what was anticipated. In fact, the degree to which the climate anomalies match the expected ENSO impacts tends to scale with the strength of the event. The 2023–24 event generally matched well with ENSO expectations around the United States. However, this will not always be the case, as the analysis shows larger deviations from the historical ENSO pattern of impacts are commonplace, with some climate variables more prone to inconsistencies (e.g., temperature) than others (e.g., precipitation). Users should incorporate this inherent uncertainty in their risk and decision-making analysis.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141505156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamics, statistics and predictability of Rossby waves, heatwaves and spatially compounded extreme events 罗斯比波、热浪和空间复合极端事件的动力学、统计学和可预测性
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-24-0145.1
Valerio Lembo, Simona Bordoni, Emanuele Bevacqua, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Christian L. E. Franzke, Vera M. Galfi, Chaim Garfinkel, Christian I. Grams, Assaf Hochman, Roshan Jha, Kai Kornhuber, Frank Kwasniok, Valerio Lucarini, Gabriele Messori, Duncan Pappert, Iago Perez-Fernandez, Jacopo Riboldi, Emmanuele Russo, Tiffany A. Shaw, Iana Strigunova, Felix Strnad, Pascal Yiou, Nedjeljka Zagar
Abstract What: A workshop on Rossby waves, heatwaves and compound extreme events was co-organized by the Institute for Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (ISAC) of the National Research Council of Italy (CNR) and the University of Trento, Italy. The workshop gathered experts from different fields, such as extreme events analysis, atmospheric dynamics, climate modeling, Numerical Weather Prediction, with the aim to discuss state-of-the-art research, open challenges, and stimulate networking across different communities. When: 28-30th November 2023. Where: CNR Research Area, Bologna, Italy.
内容摘要:意大利国家研究理事会大气科学与气候研究所(ISAC)和意大利特伦托大学联合举办了罗斯比波、热浪和复合极端事件研讨会。研讨会汇聚了来自极端事件分析、大气动力学、气候建模、数值天气预报等不同领域的专家,旨在讨论最新研究成果、公开挑战,并促进不同社区之间的网络联系。时间: 2023 年 11 月 28-30 日地点:博洛尼亚 CNR 研究区意大利博洛尼亚 CNR 研究区。
{"title":"Dynamics, statistics and predictability of Rossby waves, heatwaves and spatially compounded extreme events","authors":"Valerio Lembo, Simona Bordoni, Emanuele Bevacqua, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Christian L. E. Franzke, Vera M. Galfi, Chaim Garfinkel, Christian I. Grams, Assaf Hochman, Roshan Jha, Kai Kornhuber, Frank Kwasniok, Valerio Lucarini, Gabriele Messori, Duncan Pappert, Iago Perez-Fernandez, Jacopo Riboldi, Emmanuele Russo, Tiffany A. Shaw, Iana Strigunova, Felix Strnad, Pascal Yiou, Nedjeljka Zagar","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-24-0145.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-24-0145.1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract What: A workshop on Rossby waves, heatwaves and compound extreme events was co-organized by the Institute for Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (ISAC) of the National Research Council of Italy (CNR) and the University of Trento, Italy. The workshop gathered experts from different fields, such as extreme events analysis, atmospheric dynamics, climate modeling, Numerical Weather Prediction, with the aim to discuss state-of-the-art research, open challenges, and stimulate networking across different communities. When: 28-30th November 2023. Where: CNR Research Area, Bologna, Italy.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141505157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Common Community Physics Package: Fostering Collaborative Development in Physical Parameterizations and Suites 共同社区物理软件包:促进物理参数化和套件的合作开发
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-23-0227.1
Ligia Bernardet, Lisa Bengtsson, Patrick A. Reinecke, Fanglin Yang, Man Zhang, Kyle Hall, James Doyle, Matus Martini, Grant Firl, Lulin Xue
Abstract The Common Community Physics Package (CCPP) is a state-of-the-art infrastructure designed to facilitate community-wide development of atmospheric physics parameterizations, support their interoperability among different modeling centers, and enable the transition of research to operations in NWP and climate modeling. The CCPP consists of two elements: the Physics (a repository of parameterizations) and the Framework (an infrastructure for interfacing the parameterizations with host models). The CCPP is a community resource: its latest release has 23 primary parameterizations, which can be organized into six supported suites. It is distributed with a single-column model to facilitate physics development and experimentation. The Developmental Testbed Center provides support to users and developers. A key aspect of the CCPP is its interoperability, that is, its ability to be used by multiple host models. This enables synergistic collaboration among groups dispersed over various institutions and working on various models. In this article we provide an overview of the CCPP and how it is being used in two leading modeling systems. The CCPP is part of the Unified Forecast System (UFS), is included in the NOAA operational Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) version one, and is slated for use in all upcoming NOAA global and limited-area UFS applications for operations. Similarly, the CCPP has been integrated into the Navy Environmental Prediction System Using a Nonhydrostatic Engine (NEPTUNE) model and is undergoing testing for upcoming transition to operations. These experiences make physics interoperability a reality and open the doors for much broader collaborative efforts on ESM development.
摘要 共同社区物理包(CCPP)是一种先进的基础设施,旨在促进全社区大气物理参数化的发展,支持不同建模中心之间的互操作性,并实现从研究到运行的 NWP 和气候建模过渡。CCPP 由两部分组成:物理(参数化资源库)和框架(参数化与主机模型接口的基础设施)。CCPP 是一个社区资源:其最新版本有 23 个主要参数,可分为六个支持套件。它采用单列模式发布,以促进物理开发和实验。开发试验台中心为用户和开发人员提供支持。CCPP 的一个关键方面是它的互操作性,即它能够被多个主机模型使用。这使得分散在不同机构和不同模型上的小组之间能够协同合作。在本文中,我们将概述 CCPP 及其在两个领先建模系统中的应用。CCPP 是统一预报系统(UFS)的一部分,包含在 NOAA 运行的飓风分析和预报系统(HAFS)第一版中,并计划用于 NOAA 即将推出的所有全球和有限区域统一预报系统的运行应用中。同样,CCPP 已被集成到海军使用非流体静力学引擎的环境预测系统(NEPTUNE)模型中,并正在为即将过渡到业务运行进行测试。这些经验使物理互操作性成为现实,并为更广泛地合作开发 ESM 打开了大门。
{"title":"Common Community Physics Package: Fostering Collaborative Development in Physical Parameterizations and Suites","authors":"Ligia Bernardet, Lisa Bengtsson, Patrick A. Reinecke, Fanglin Yang, Man Zhang, Kyle Hall, James Doyle, Matus Martini, Grant Firl, Lulin Xue","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-23-0227.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0227.1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The Common Community Physics Package (CCPP) is a state-of-the-art infrastructure designed to facilitate community-wide development of atmospheric physics parameterizations, support their interoperability among different modeling centers, and enable the transition of research to operations in NWP and climate modeling. The CCPP consists of two elements: the Physics (a repository of parameterizations) and the Framework (an infrastructure for interfacing the parameterizations with host models). The CCPP is a community resource: its latest release has 23 primary parameterizations, which can be organized into six supported suites. It is distributed with a single-column model to facilitate physics development and experimentation. The Developmental Testbed Center provides support to users and developers. A key aspect of the CCPP is its interoperability, that is, its ability to be used by multiple host models. This enables synergistic collaboration among groups dispersed over various institutions and working on various models. In this article we provide an overview of the CCPP and how it is being used in two leading modeling systems. The CCPP is part of the Unified Forecast System (UFS), is included in the NOAA operational Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) version one, and is slated for use in all upcoming NOAA global and limited-area UFS applications for operations. Similarly, the CCPP has been integrated into the Navy Environmental Prediction System Using a Nonhydrostatic Engine (NEPTUNE) model and is undergoing testing for upcoming transition to operations. These experiences make physics interoperability a reality and open the doors for much broader collaborative efforts on ESM development.","PeriodicalId":9464,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141505158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1