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Processing weights of chickens determined by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry: 2. Developing prediction models 用双能x线吸收法测定鸡的加工重量:开发预测模型
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100023
D.A. Martinez, N. Suesuttajit, J.T. Weil, P. Maharjan , A. Beitia , K. Hilton , C. Umberson, A. Scott, C.N. Coon

A considerable opportunity exists in evaluating the dynamics of the carcass and the processing cut-up weights of broilers across the whole grow-out period as influenced by intervention factors. However, no fast and objective tool exists up to date to make such determinations. This study aimed to develop models to predict the unchilled and chilled weights of the carcass and cut-up pieces of broilers using Dual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA) and feathered non-fasted birds. Highly diverse (BW and body composition) broilers (n = 291) between 4 and 79 days of age were euthanized, DEXA-scanned, and manually processed to determine the weights of the carcass and cut-up pieces. Correction factors were applied to obtain the fasted BW and the corresponding bled and chilled weights. A database was built up, including all the weights recorded and the DEXA-reported indexes. A stratified random data-splitting with a refitting approach was applied. Multiple least-squares linear regressions were fitted for each unchilled and chilled variable on the training dataset using JMP Pro 16. Natural log and square root transformations were applied to predictor variables as convenient, and outliers were removed. Candidate models were screened for normal distribution and homoscedasticity of residuals and collinearity among predictors. The highest precision (adjusted R2) and the lowest error (RMSE) were selection criteria. Once model overfitting and prediction performance was tested on the validation dataset, the models were refitted with all the data in the original dataset. Prediction models with high (unchilled and chilled carcass and cut-up weights, feet, and head; R2 > 0.99) and acceptable (abdominal fat; R2 > 0.69) precision were obtained. In conclusion, these results support the use of DEXA to determine the processing weights of broilers. Its application to the study of growth curves of cut-up pieces as influenced by nutrition, genetics, environment, and management opens a new spectrum of opportunities for the industry.

在评估受干预因素影响的肉鸡整个生长期胴体动态和加工切重方面存在相当大的机会。然而,到目前为止,还没有快速和客观的工具来做出这样的决定。本研究旨在利用双能x射线吸收仪(DEXA)建立模型,预测肉仔鸡胴体和切肉块的未冷冻和冷冻体重。对4 ~ 79日龄高度多样化(体重和体成分)的肉鸡(n = 291)实施安乐死,对其进行dexa扫描,并进行人工处理,以确定胴体和切肉块的重量。采用修正因子得到了空腹体重和相应的放血和冷冻体重。建立了一个数据库,包括所有记录的权重和dexa报告的索引。采用分层随机数据分割和修正方法。使用JMP Pro 16对训练数据集上的每个未冷冻和冷冻变量进行多元最小二乘线性回归。为了方便,对预测变量应用自然对数和平方根变换,并去除异常值。对候选模型进行正态分布、残差均方差和预测因子间共线性筛选。以最高精密度(调整R2)和最低误差(RMSE)为选择标准。一旦在验证数据集上测试了模型过拟合和预测性能,则使用原始数据集中的所有数据对模型进行修正。具有高(未冷藏和冷藏)胴体和切割重量、脚和头的预测模型;R2的在0.99)和可接受(腹部脂肪;R2的在0.69)精密度。综上所述,这些结果支持DEXA测定肉鸡加工体重。将其应用于研究受营养、遗传、环境和管理影响的切块生长曲线,为该行业开辟了新的机会。
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引用次数: 7
Understanding anomalies in animal behaviour: data on cow activity in relation to health and welfare 理解动物行为异常:与健康和福利相关的奶牛活动数据
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100004
R. Lardy , M.-M. Mialon , N. Wagner , Y. Gaudron , B. Meunier , K. Helle Sloth , D. Ledoux , M. Silberberg , A. de Boyer des Roches , Q. Ruin , M. Bouchon , C. Cirié , V. Antoine , J. Koko , I. Veissier

We collected data on the behaviour of dairy cows in barns, clinical signs of diseases as well as events that may stress or agitate the cows. A Real-Time Locating System gives the position of individual cows every second. The position of the cow is determined by triangulation based on radio waves emitted by a tag fixed on each cow neck collar and captured by antennas in the barn. The cow’s activity is inferred from its position: ‘eating’ if the cow is positioned at the feeding table, ‘resting’ if the cow is in a resting area (typically cubicles), else ‘in alleys’. We aggregated this information to get the time spent in each activity per hour. We also calculated the activity level of the cow for each hour of the day by attributing a weight to the time spent in each activity. For each cow and day, we collected information on health events or other events that may affect behaviour. There were 11 types of events. Six events were linked to health: lameness; mastitis; LPS (i.e. administration of lipopolysaccharide (LPS) in the mammary gland, an experimental treatment to induce udder inflammation); subacute ruminal acidosis; other diseases (such as colic, diarrhoea, ketosis, milk fever or other infectious diseases); and accidents (such as retained placenta or vaginal laceration). Two events were linked to reproduction: oestrus and calving. Three events were stress events: animal mixing, disturbance (i.e. mild intervention on animals such as late feeding, alarm test) and marginal management changes (ration changes, fill bed). In addition, a Boolean sums up whether this hour was considered as normal or not. Data contain four datasets. It consists of univariate time series. Each time series corresponds to the hourly activity level of a cow. Datasets 1 and 2 are from the INRAE Herbipôle experimental farm and include data from experiments; datasets 3 and 4 are from commercial farms. They contain data on respectively 28, 28, 30 and 300 cows monitored for 6 months, 2 months, 40 days and one year. The data can be used to study the links between health, reproduction events and stress on the one hand and cow behaviour on the other hand. More specifically, it can be used to build and test tools for an earlier detection of health and disturbances, with a view to inform caretakers so that corrective actions can be rapidly put in place.

我们收集了奶牛在畜栏中的行为、疾病的临床症状以及可能使奶牛紧张或烦躁的事件的数据。实时定位系统每秒钟给出单个奶牛的位置。奶牛的位置是通过三角测量来确定的,三角测量基于无线电波,无线电波由固定在每头奶牛脖子上的标签发射,并由谷仓里的天线捕获。奶牛的活动是从它的位置推断出来的:如果奶牛位于喂食桌旁,则为“进食”,如果奶牛在休息区(通常是小隔间),则为“休息”,否则为“在小巷”。我们汇总这些信息,得到每小时在每项活动上花费的时间。我们还计算了奶牛在一天中每小时的活动水平,通过将每项活动所花费的时间归因于重量。对于每头奶牛和每一天,我们收集了有关健康事件或可能影响其行为的其他事件的信息。有11种类型的事件。六件事与健康有关:跛行;乳腺炎;LPS(即在乳腺中给予脂多糖(LPS),一种诱导乳房炎症的实验性治疗);亚急性瘤胃酸中毒;其他疾病(如绞痛、腹泻、酮症、奶热或其他传染病);以及意外事故(如胎盘残留或阴道撕裂伤)。有两个事件与繁殖有关:发情和产犊。应激事件为动物混合、干扰(即对动物进行轻度干预,如晚采食、报警试验)和边际管理变化(日粮变化、填充床)。另外,一个布尔值概括了这个小时是否被认为是正常的。数据包含四个数据集。它由单变量时间序列组成。每个时间序列对应一头牛每小时的活动水平。数据集1和2来自INRAE Herbipôle实验农场,包括来自实验的数据;数据集3和4来自商业农场。它们分别包含28头、28头、30头和300头奶牛的6个月、2个月、40天和1年的监测数据。这些数据可用于研究健康、繁殖事件和压力与奶牛行为之间的联系。更具体地说,它可用于建立和测试早期发现健康和干扰的工具,以便通知护理人员,以便迅速采取纠正行动。
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引用次数: 1
Welfare assessment of Krškopolje pigs reared in different production systems 不同生产体制下Krškopolje猪的福利评价
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100021
M. Čandek-Potokar , N. Batorek-Lukač , U. Tomažin , M. Škrlep , A.N.T.R. Monteiro , F. Garcia-Launay

In the present case study, the welfare of local breed (Krškopolje pig) pigs reared indoors, outdoors, and in combined production systems (total of 10 farms) were evaluated. The multidimensional Welfare Quality® assessment protocol, with slight modifications, was used to evaluate the farms. Animal-based observations were used to examine the four main principles of welfare (good feeding, good housing, good health, and appropriate behaviour) and their twelve independent welfare sub-criteria. Scores for each criterion were calculated and each farm was classified into one of the four welfare categories (excellent, enhanced, acceptable, or not classified). Maximal total scores were determined for the “good feeding” principle in the indoor and combined systems, whereas the outdoor system had a lower score (64) because of insufficient water troughs. In the case of “good housing” principle, maximal total scores were attributed to outdoor system, and lower scores for indoor and combined systems (72 and 84, respectively) due to the lesser space allowance, dirtiness and shivering in pigs. The scores for the “principle of good health” were rather low in all husbandry systems (62, 58, 61 for outdoor, indoor and combined systems, respectively), mainly because of the castration method practised without pain relief medication. The integrated score for “appropriate behaviour” was lower in indoor systems, because of lower “exploratory behaviour” scores (64). Considering the overall assessment across all principles, farms having only outdoor or only indoor system were classified as “enhanced” (total score of 77 and 74, respectively), whereas farms with combined system (indoor housing with outdoor access) were classified as “excellent” (total score of 85). The present study showed high welfare quality of housing systems with local breed Krškopolje pigs.

在本案例研究中,对室内、室外和联合生产系统(共10个农场)饲养的地方品种(Krškopolje猪)猪的福利进行了评估。采用稍作修改的多维福利质量评估方案对农场进行评估。以动物为基础的观察用于检查福利的四个主要原则(良好的喂养,良好的住房,良好的健康和适当的行为)及其十二个独立的福利子标准。计算每个标准的分数,并将每个农场划分为四个福利类别(优秀,增强,可接受或未分类)中的一个。在室内和组合系统中,“良好喂养”原则获得了最高总分,而室外系统由于水槽不足而得分较低(64分)。在“良好住房”原则的情况下,室外系统的总分最高,室内和组合系统的得分较低(分别为72分和84分),因为猪的空间空间较小,肮脏和颤抖。在所有饲养系统中,“良好健康原则”的得分都相当低(室外、室内和联合饲养系统分别为62、58、61分),主要原因是阉割方法没有使用止痛药。在室内系统中,“适当行为”的综合得分较低,因为“探索行为”得分较低(64)。考虑到所有原则的总体评估,只有室外或只有室内系统的农场被归类为“增强”(总分分别为77分和74分),而拥有联合系统(室内住房与室外通道)的农场被归类为“优秀”(总分为85分)。本研究表明,本地养殖Krškopolje猪的养殖系统具有较高的福利质量。
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引用次数: 0
The net portal appearance approach – a tool to monitor the real-time bioavailability of nutrients in pigs 净门户外观方法-一种实时监测猪体内营养物质生物利用度的工具
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2021.100001
D.B. Dalto, J.J. Matte

Among the available approaches to study the bioavailability of nutrients, both the body deposition and the intestinal balance methods have technical and analytical particularities that make them inconsistent to study the bioavailability of trace elements. This study describes an approach that allows assessing the net postintestinal bioavailability of trace elements. This approach is based on the real-time fluxes of nutrients flowing in the portal vein. In contrast with other methods, this technique allows monitoring the real-time postmeal profile of net fluxes of nutrients in order to compare multiple types of meal treatments within the same animal.

在现有的营养物质生物利用度研究方法中,体内沉积法和肠道平衡法都具有技术和分析的特殊性,这使得它们在研究微量元素生物利用度方面存在不一致性。本研究描述了一种评估微量元素肠道后净生物利用度的方法。这种方法是基于在门静脉中流动的营养物质的实时通量。与其他方法相比,该技术可以实时监测营养物质净通量的餐后情况,以便在同一动物体内比较多种类型的膳食处理。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic data for determining the accuracy of four open-circuit respiration chambers designed to quantify methane emissions from goats 用于确定四个开路呼吸室的准确性的动态数据,用于量化山羊的甲烷排放
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100006
O. Dhumez , J. Tessier , M. Eugène , A.I. Martín-García , A. Eymard , S. Giger-Reverdin , C. Duvaux-Ponter , R. Muñoz-Tamayo

Respiration chambers are the gold standard technique for measuring methane in ruminants provided that their gas recovery rates are close to 100%. The determination of the gas recovery rate of respiration chamber facilities is a central prerequisite to assess the accuracy of the methane emission quantification. However, data of recovery tests are seldom reported. This paper presents data from gas recovery tests applied to an experimental facility of four open-circuit respiration chambers designed to measure methane emissions from goats. The experimental facility is located at Thiverval-Grignon, France. The recovery test was assessed by placing a known source of methane emission at six locations in each chamber successively. For each chamber, the gas from the chamber and the ambient air were continuously sampled by a Multi-Gas Analyser 3500 gas analyser provided with a multiport unit that switches the sampling between the pipe from chamber and from the ambient air every 90 s. The analyser determines the concentration (ppm) of methane by infrared. The data were further imported in an R script for calculation of the methane recovery percentage. These data are useful resources for illustrating the protocol to assess the accuracy of respiration chambers.

呼吸室是测量反刍动物体内甲烷的黄金标准技术,前提是它们的气体回收率接近100%。呼吸室设施气体回收率的测定是评估甲烷排放定量准确性的核心前提。然而,有关恢复试验的数据很少报道。本文介绍了用于测量山羊甲烷排放的四个开路呼吸室实验设施的气体回收测试数据。实验设施位于法国的Thiverval-Grignon。通过在每个腔室的六个位置连续放置一个已知的甲烷排放源来评估回收试验。对于每个腔室,由Multi-Gas Analyser 3500气体分析仪连续采样来自腔室的气体和环境空气,该分析仪配备了一个多端口单元,每90秒在腔室的管道和环境空气之间切换采样。分析仪通过红外线测定甲烷的浓度(ppm)。将数据进一步导入R脚本,计算甲烷采收率。这些数据对于说明评估呼吸室准确性的方案是有用的资源。
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引用次数: 0
The role of diversity and circularity to enhance the resilience of organic pig producers in Europe 多样性和循环的作用,以提高弹性有机猪生产者在欧洲
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100009
C. Pfeifer , S. Moakes , E. Salomon , A.G. Kongsted

This paper investigates how pig housing relates to diversity and circularity of farms and how this influences the capacity of European organic pig producers to cope with economic, legislation, labour and climate-related shocks. It identifies resilience strategies of pig producers in Europe by analysing resilience capacity and attributes to different shocks, namely input and output price shocks, disease outbreaks, climate change, legislation change and labour fluctuations. Based on narratives of 18 pig producers, this paper finds three resilience strategies: an efficiency-based strategy, a nutrient substitution strategy and a farm diversification strategy. Non-resiliency is mostly found among the producers with an all-year outdoor production system following the nutrient substitution strategy related to low feed self-sufficiency. The producers follow an efficiency-based strategy when they cannot accumulate reserves sufficient to cope with shocks. Non-resilience among the farm diversification strategy is related to direct marketing that is labour intensive requires the ability to pay decent wages. To increase the resilience of pig producers in Europe, policies should recognise that these different strategies exist and tailor policies differently for different types of producers.

本文调查了猪舍如何与农场的多样性和循环性相关,以及这如何影响欧洲有机养猪生产者应对经济、立法、劳动力和气候相关冲击的能力。它通过分析抗灾能力和不同冲击因素,即投入和产出价格冲击、疾病爆发、气候变化、立法变化和劳动力波动,确定了欧洲养猪生产者的抗灾战略。本文通过对18家生猪养殖户的叙述,发现了三种弹性策略:基于效率的策略、营养替代策略和农场多样化策略。在采用与低饲料自给率相关的营养替代策略的全年户外生产系统的生产者中,主要发现无弹性。当产油国无法积累足够的储备来应对冲击时,它们就会采取以效率为基础的策略。农场多样化战略中的非弹性与直接营销有关,这是劳动密集型的,需要有能力支付体面的工资。为了提高欧洲养猪生产者的适应力,政策应该认识到这些不同策略的存在,并针对不同类型的生产者制定不同的政策。
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引用次数: 1
Coupling genetic and mechanistic models to benchmark selection strategies for feed efficiency in dairy cows: sensitivity analysis validating this novel approach 将遗传和机制模型耦合到奶牛饲料效率的基准选择策略:敏感性分析验证这种新方法
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100017
A. Bouquet , M. Slagboom , J.R. Thomasen , N.C. Friggens , M. Kargo , L. Puillet

Coupling genetic and mechanistic models is appealing to explore the impact of energy trade-offs on the expression of feed efficiency traits in dairy cattle and predict selection response. The objective of this study was to evaluate the sensitivity of genetic (co)variances among milk production and feed efficiency (FE) traits simulated with a mechanistic dairy cow model depending on the genetic variability assumed for input parameters. The cow model was calibrated for a grass-based production and included a genetic module. Four genetically driven input parameters described the energy acquisition and allocation to different biological functions of cows. In each simulation, a population of 20 000 cows from 200 unrelated sires was simulated. The nutritional environment was an input of the model and was tailored by modulating feed offer and quality. A non-limiting nutritional environment was simulated to mimic a situation of ad libitum feeding and was used as a reference. Two other scenarios were simulated by imposing a moderate and a high DM intake restriction on simulated cows. Five phenotypes related to milk production and FE were considered: milk production, BW at calving, DM intake, lactation efficiency and body reserves during early lactation. These traits were estimated both in first and third lactations. A baseline scenario was defined considering a heritability of 0.35 and a phenotypic CV of 10% for acquisition and allocation parameters (AAPs). Different scenarios were explored by reducing the heritability to 0.15 or increasing CV to 20 and 30% or both. Heritabilities and genetic correlations between simulated traits were estimated using animal linear mixed models. Each scenario was replicated 20 times. Simulated performance and genetic parameters for these traits were compared across scenarios using an ANOVA. The heritability of AAPs only influenced the heritability of simulated traits. The phenotypic CV of AAPs mainly influenced the variability of simulated traits. However, increasing the CV also affected the number of cows reaching first and third lactation, due to the early culling of females with extreme AAPs profiles. Compared to other input parameters, the nutritional environment had the largest effect on both performance and genetic correlations between traits. Using a heritability value of 0.35 and a CV of 10% for all four AAPs enabled the simulation of milk production and FE performance with a realistic mean, variance and genetic correlations among traits in the three considered environments.

遗传和机制耦合模型有助于探索能量权衡对奶牛饲料效率性状表达的影响,并预测选择反应。本研究的目的是利用机械奶牛模型模拟产奶量和饲料效率性状的遗传变异,根据输入参数的遗传变异来评估遗传变异的敏感性。奶牛模型是为以草为基础的生产而校准的,并包括一个遗传模块。四个基因驱动的输入参数描述了奶牛能量的获取和分配到不同的生物功能。在每次模拟中,来自200个不相关的奶牛种群的2万头奶牛被模拟。营养环境是模型的输入,并通过调节饲料供应和质量来定制。模拟非限制性营养环境,模拟自由摄食的情况,并作为参考。通过对模拟奶牛施加中等和高DM摄入量限制,模拟另外两种情况。考虑产奶量和FE相关的5种表型:产奶量、产犊体重、DM摄入量、泌乳效率和泌乳早期体储备。这些特征在第一次和第三次哺乳时都得到了估计。基线情景的定义考虑了获得和分配参数(AAPs)的遗传率为0.35,表型CV为10%。通过将遗传力降低到0.15或将CV提高到20%和30%或两者兼而有之,探索了不同的情况。利用动物线性混合模型估计了模拟性状之间的遗传力和遗传相关性。每个场景都被重复了20次。使用方差分析比较这些性状的模拟性能和遗传参数。AAPs的遗传力只影响模拟性状的遗传力。AAPs的表型变异主要影响模拟性状的变异。然而,CV的增加也会影响到达第一次和第三次泌乳的奶牛数量,因为AAPs特征极端的奶牛会被提前淘汰。与其他输入参数相比,营养环境对生产性能和性状间遗传相关性的影响最大。所有4种aap的遗传力值为0.35,CV值为10%,这使得在3种考虑的环境中,能够以真实的平均值、方差和性状之间的遗传相关性来模拟产奶量和FE性能。
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引用次数: 2
How to approach the resilience of livestock exposed to environmental challenges? Quantification of individual response and recovery by means of differential calculus 如何处理牲畜面对环境挑战的复原力?用微分法量化个体反应和恢复
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100008
L. Barreto-Mendes, A. De La Torre, I. Ortigues-Marty, I. Cassar-Malek, J. Pires, F. Blanc

This work was originated from the need to study how animals individually react to environmental challenges. Common practical constraints in research protocols often lead to data collected at frequencies that are not high enough to capture the dynamics of animal responses. One approach to deal with that issue is to transform discrete empirical time series into continuous functions from which several descriptors can be extracted to characterise the response. A method for the extraction of smoothed functions from milk yield (MY) time series has been published before for dairy cows. This method was applied to detect challenges a posteriori. In this paper, we present an adaptation of this differential smoothing methodology, for the case when the environmental challenge is known a priori. This is advantageous because it allows for a more detailed characterisation of the response. Full description of the methodology is presented, where operations from differential calculus are applied to the smoothed functions to extract 23 descriptors that characterise the shape, dynamics and delay of individual responses to a single known challenge. We present examples of the application of the algorithm to individual time series of MY and plasma non-esterified fatty acid concentrations from suckling cows exposed to nutritional challenges that are known a priori. We propose a selection strategy for the smoothing coefficient (λ) based on the optimisation between noise reduction and output stability. If applied to groups of individuals that are sufficiently large, this methodology could provide information to help discriminating animals based on how they respond to the environmental challenges. This methodology may be used to develop decision-making tools for the selection of resilient individuals aiming at improving robustness and performance.

这项工作源于研究动物个体如何应对环境挑战的需要。研究方案中常见的实际限制常常导致收集的数据频率不够高,无法捕捉动物反应的动态。处理这个问题的一种方法是将离散经验时间序列转换为连续函数,从中可以提取几个描述符来表征响应。一种从奶牛产奶量(MY)时间序列中提取平滑函数的方法已经发表。将该方法应用于后验挑战检测。在本文中,我们提出了这种微分平滑方法的适应,当环境挑战是已知先验的情况下。这是有利的,因为它允许对响应进行更详细的描述。给出了该方法的完整描述,其中微分运算应用于光滑函数,以提取23个描述符,这些描述符表征了单个已知挑战的个体响应的形状、动态和延迟。我们给出了将该算法应用于暴露于已知先验营养挑战的乳牛的MY和血浆非酯化脂肪酸浓度的个体时间序列的例子。我们提出了一种基于降噪和输出稳定性之间优化的平滑系数(λ)选择策略。如果应用于足够大的个体群体,这种方法可以提供信息,帮助根据动物如何应对环境挑战来区分动物。该方法可用于开发决策工具,以选择弹性个体,旨在提高鲁棒性和性能。
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引用次数: 3
The relationship between on-farm environmental conditions inside and outside cow sheds during the summer in England: can Temperature Humidity Index be predicted from outside conditions? 英国夏季牛棚内外环境条件的关系:能否通过外界条件预测温度湿度指数?
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100019
A.T. Chamberlain , C.D. Powell , E. Arcier , N. Aldenhoven

Heat stress is a growing problem in dairy cows, and interest is developing in calculating heat stress risk (Temperature Humidity Index – THI) without using specific farm data and in forecasting THI changes a few days in advance. Previous workers have shown that calculating THI values inside cattle sheds using data from local Meteorological Stations is not sufficiently accurate. Weather forecasting is becoming more local and can forecast on-farm temperature and humidity. This work looked at how well THI inside a cow shed could be predicted from data collected outside the cow shed on British farms. Six farms were monitored from 1 May 2021 to 30 Sept 2021 using bespoke data monitors that uploaded the data to the cloud in real time through the cellular network. Calculated THI values for inside and outside the cow shed were highly correlated (P < 0.001), and a regression predicting THI inside the shed from the THI outside the shed was highly significant (P < 0.001). However, farm-specific regressions had significantly different regression intercepts. Including calving pattern type (autumn or all year round) and calendar month separately or together improved the regression. The 95% confidence interval (CI) of the prediction was 10.8 THI units for the simple one-component model (THIoutside) and 7.8 for the three-component model (THIoutside, calendar month, calving pattern type). Farm-specific regressions had the lowest CI values suggesting there are farm-specific factors affecting THI that had not been captured. As a predictive model, the simple single component regression would be the most applicable but the relatively high CI means that predictions will not be that accurate with the risk of heat stress either under- or overemphasised on different farms. With one THI unit equating to approximately a 200 ml drop in milk yield in heat-stressed cows, such errors will be of biological and commercial significance. This in part may be due to the THI equation only considering temperature and humidity and ignoring solar radiation, shade, wind and animal factors such as milk yield, stage of pregnancy, weight and genetic variability. Further work is underway to develop an index that quantifies how the cow is responding to the combined heat-loading factors which may improve the prediction of heat stress.

热应激在奶牛中是一个日益严重的问题,人们对不使用特定农场数据计算热应激风险(温度湿度指数- THI)和提前几天预测THI变化的兴趣正在发展。以前的工作人员已经证明,使用当地气象站的数据计算牛棚内的THI值不够准确。天气预报正变得更加本地化,可以预测农场的温度和湿度。这项研究着眼于从英国农场牛棚外收集的数据中预测牛棚内THI的效果。从2021年5月1日到2021年9月30日,使用定制的数据监测器对六个农场进行了监测,这些监测器通过蜂窝网络将数据实时上传到云端。牛棚内外THI计算值高度相关(P <0.001),预测棚内THI与棚外THI的回归非常显著(P <0.001)。然而,特定农场的回归具有显著不同的回归截距。将产犊模式类型(秋季或全年)和自然月份单独或共同考虑,均能改善回归。简单单组分模型(THIoutside)预测的95%置信区间(CI)为10.8 THI单位,三组分模型(THIoutside、日历月、产羔模式类型)预测的95%置信区间(CI)为7.8。特定农场回归的CI值最低,表明存在未被捕获的特定农场影响THI的因素。作为预测模型,简单的单组分回归将是最适用的,但相对较高的CI意味着,在不同农场的热应激风险被低估或过度强调的情况下,预测将不那么准确。在热应激奶牛中,一个THI单位相当于大约200毫升的产奶量下降,这样的误差将具有生物学和商业意义。这在一定程度上可能是由于THI方程只考虑了温度和湿度,而忽略了太阳辐射、阴影、风和动物因素,如产奶量、怀孕阶段、体重和遗传变异。进一步的工作正在进行中,以开发一个指数来量化奶牛对综合热负荷因素的反应,这可能会改善热应激的预测。
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引用次数: 7
Processing weights of chickens determined by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry: 3. Validation of prediction models 2 .双能x线吸收法测定鸡的加工体重;预测模型的验证
Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.anopes.2022.100022
D.A. Martinez, J.T. Weil, N. Suesuttajit, A. Beitia , P. Maharjan , K. Hilton , C. Umberson, A. Scott, C.N. Coon

Dual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA) has been shown to predict the processing weights of the carcass and cut-up pieces of the chicken. This study aimed to validate models to predict processing weights using DEXA that were previously developed. An experiment was conducted with broilers grown up in 80 floor pens randomly subjected to one of five dietary treatments. On day 41, all birds were weighed, seven were randomly selected per pen, and their weights were recorded. After a feed withdrawal period, five selected birds per pen were transported to a processing plant, and the rest of the birds were fed again. The carcass was weighed before and after chilling for one hour. The chilled carcass was cut up, the weights of each commercial piece were recorded (breast fillet, tenders, wings, leg quarters, total white meat, and ready-to-cook parts), and the corresponding unchilled weights were calculated. On day 43 or 44, the other two birds selected per pen were weighed, DEXA-scanned without fasting, and their fasted weights were determined by applying a previously developed equation. Predicted processing weights were obtained by entering DEXA-reported values into a set of models previously developed. All the data were adjusted to the same BW basis. The pen mean observed processing weights and the DEXA-predicted ones were used to validate the models. The linear regression between predicted and observed values was calculated, and the R2 was used as a precision index. The parallelism of the predicted and observed response curves across dietary treatments, and the model prediction error and accuracy were determined. The validation criteria were based on the validation R2, the change in R2 from development to validation, the parallelism of response curves, and the prediction accuracy. The validation R2 of all tested models predicting the weight of cut-up pieces was > 0.84, and their prediction errors were ≤ 5.85 %, except for the model predicting the weight of the wings (prediction error > 10 %). All traits showed parallel trends when the response curves across treatments obtained with the DEXA-predicted values or the processing plant data were compared. In conclusion, all models but the one predicting the weight of wings satisfied the evaluation criteria and were validated, supporting the use of DEXA to determine the processing weights of broilers and its application to the study of nutrition interventions to improve breast meat production.

双能x射线吸收测定法(DEXA)已被证明可以预测鸡肉胴体和切块的加工重量。本研究旨在验证先前开发的使用DEXA预测加工权重的模型。本试验以80只地面栏饲养的肉鸡为试验对象,随机饲喂5种饲粮处理中的一种。第41天称重,每栏随机选取7只,记录体重。停饲期结束后,每圈5只选定的鸟被运送到加工厂,其余的鸟被再次喂食。在冷冻一小时前后对胴体进行称重。将冷冻后的胴体切开,记录每一块商业肉的重量(胸片、鸡胸肉、鸡翅、鸡腿、总白肉和即食部分),并计算相应的未冷冻重量。在第43天或第44天,每个围栏选择的另外两只鸟称重,在不禁食的情况下进行dexa扫描,并通过应用先前开发的公式确定其禁食体重。通过将dexa报告的值输入到先前开发的一组模型中,可以获得预测的处理权重。所有数据均调整为相同体重标准。钢笔平均观察处理权值和dexa预测权值用于验证模型。计算预测值与实测值之间的线性回归,采用R2作为精度指标。测定不同饲粮处理的预测响应曲线与观测响应曲线的平行性,以及模型预测误差和精度。验证标准为验证R2、从开发到验证的R2变化量、响应曲线的平行度和预测精度。除机翼重量预测模型(预测误差 > 10 %)外,所有模型预测切块重量的验证R2均为 > 0.84,预测误差均为 ≤ 5.85 %。用dexa预测值和加工厂数据比较各处理的响应曲线,各性状均呈平行趋势。综上所述,除预测鸡翅重量的模型外,其余模型均满足评价标准并得到验证,支持DEXA法确定肉鸡加工体重,并将其应用于提高胸肉产量的营养干预研究。
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引用次数: 7
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Animal - Open Space
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